Scorpion Bay (San Juanico) Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s cooking for Scorpion Bay over the next couple of weeks.

First up, the water is sitting at a balmy 82°, which is a solid 5° warmer than usual for this time of year. That’s a real treat and way above average, so you’re basically swimming in a bathtub.

The opening window is Saturday the 15th, and it’s a cracker. We’ve got a clean 4ft SSW groundswell rolling in with a very long 16-second period. The combined energy is moderate (697), but the wind is light offshore from the W. That’s the recipe for those long, rifling point breaks. This is the standout of the whole forecast. The waves will have plenty of push and shape, but keep in mind Scorpion Bay is an advanced wave and inconsistent, so don’t expect a wave every minute. The crowds are always a factor here, so get amongst it early.

The swell drops to 3ft on Sunday and Monday mornings, with light cross-offshore winds keeping things clean. It’s still rideable, but not the same level. The energy drops to moderate (378-303). The afternoon winds pick up, but it’s still offshore, so it’s workable.

Tuesday the 18th sees a small bump of 3-3ft, with a better window in the afternoon as the wind goes cross-off from the WSW. The energy is moderate (420).

Wednesday the 19th afternoon is worth a mention – a clean 3ft SSW swell with a moderate offshore breeze from the WNW. It’s small, but clean.

We hit a bit of a lull from Thursday the 20th through to Saturday the 22nd. The swell drops to 2-2ft. The wind is mostly offshore, but with such small waves, it’s flat to weak. The energy is on the low side (193-284). Good for a log, but not much else.

Then Sunday the 23rd afternoon gets interesting again. The swell picks up to 3ft, but the period jumps to a very long 19 seconds from the S. The energy is moderate to strong (656), and it’s clean with a cross-off wind. This could be a sneaky good session.

Now, hold onto your board. Monday the 24th sees a massive spike. The swell jumps to 8ft from the S on Monday morning, with a 16-second period. The energy is very strong (3836). By the afternoon, it’s up to 10ft. This is big, hefty, and serious. The wind is cross-shore, so it won’t be perfect. At this size, this is for experts only. It’s going to be a beast.

Tuesday the 25th stays big (8-10ft), but the wind is onshore from the SSE, making it lumpy and choppy. This is a pass for paddle surfing; it looks more interesting for kite surfing.

The size drops back to a more manageable 7ft on Wednesday the 26th. The afternoon is the pick, with a clean offshore wind from the W and a 12-second period. The energy is still strong (1437). This is excellent for experienced surfers.

Thursday the 27th is still solid (5-5ft) but the wind is howling offshore at 35 km/h. It’ll be clean, but hard to paddle into.

The tail end of the run, Friday the 28th and Saturday the 29th, looks promising. Friday afternoon has a 4ft SSW swell with a very long 18-second period and a moderate offshore wind. Energy is strong (1147). Then Saturday the 29th afternoon, we get a 7ft S swell with a cross-off wind and clean conditions. That’s another one for the experienced crew.

Overall, the best bet is undeniably Saturday the 15th. The combination of clean, long-period groundswell and light offshore wind is a gift. The other standout is the Monday the 24th big swell, but that’s for the brave and the experienced only.

Rusty.

Read more