Scorpion Bay (San Juanico) Surf Break

Lat Long: 26.23° N 112.50° W

Scorpion Bay (San Juanico) Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 10 am 16 Aug 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Scorpion Bay (San Juanico) sea temperature is
28.0° C
2.8° 

Scorpion Bay (San Juanico) surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Scorpion Bay (San Juanico) surf forecast from 17 Aug 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Sunday 16 Aug, 8PM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 14s period, SSW swell with offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Monday 17 Aug, 8PM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 16s period, SSW swell with 436 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 16 Aug, 8PM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 14s period with SSW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Scorpion Bay (San Juanico) this week:

The surf forecast for Scorpion Bay (San Juanico) over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Aug 16) at 8PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.9m and 14s period with a secondary swell of 0.2m and 10s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Scorpion Bay (San Juanico) in the next 16 days are 0.9m 16s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 17) at 8PM. Winds are predicted to be offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.0m 6s period and expected on Sunday (Aug 16) at 11PM.

Wave TypeTime (MST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 8PM (Sun 16th Aug)3ft (0.9m) 14s
Best Surf 8PM (Sun 16th Aug)3ft (0.9m) 14s
Most Powerful 8PM (Mon 17th Aug)3ft (0.9m) 16s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Scorpion Bay (San Juanico) over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's get into it.

We've got a consistent run of surf on the cards here at Scorpion Bay. It's not going to be huge, but the consistency and the quality of the winds are where this forecast shines. The water is a balmy 82°F and that’s about 5°F warmer than usual for this time of year, which is a real treat and means you can get away with a thin suit, or maybe just a rashie.

The best stretch kicks off on the afternoon of Sunday the 16th of August. We're looking at a clean, long-period swell from the SSW pushing in at 3ft with a 14-second period. The wind goes offshore from the WNW at 18 mph, which will groom the point to perfection. The combined energy is a solid moderate 387, and for a setup like Scorpion Bay, that’s a green light. This is a point break, so that longer period groundswell will wrap in beautifully, offering those long, peeling lines. Just know that "always" crowds are a given here, so get out there early.

Monday the 17th holds pretty similar. Morning is clean with a light cross-offshore breeze, and the afternoon kicks up with a moderate offshore from the West at 15 mph and a 3ft SSW swell with a period that stretches to 15 seconds. The energy is up to 434, making it a very solid option for an afternoon session.

After a bit of a choppy Tuesday with onshore winds, things clean up again on Wednesday the 19th through the weekend. The standout of the second half of the first week looks like Thursday afternoon and Friday afternoon. Thursday sees a moderate offshore from the West at 12 mph with a 2-3ft SSW swell. Then Friday afternoon brings a fresh offshore from the West at 18 mph, though the swell drops a bit. It’s still clean and ridable.

Looking further out, there’s a promising pulse coming in. On Friday the 28th of August, the afternoon session looks like the pick of the entire forecast. We’re looking at a 3-4ft SW groundswell with a period of 16 seconds and a gentle offshore from the WNW at 9 mph. The combined energy jumps up to a strong 716. That’s a serious step up in power. That Saturday the 29th of August morning also looks excellent with a 4ft SSW swell and cross-offshore winds. For expert surfers, this is the window to circle. For beginners, the swell is under 5ft through most of the period, so it's manageable, but that last weekend swell gets a bit more size.

The gap between the first week and that last weekend is filled with smaller, but still clean, waist-to-chest high waves. It's a long, drawn-out run of surf, not a flash in the pan.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Moderate rain (total 12mm), heaviest on Tue afternoon. Warm (max 32°C on Mon afternoon, min 25°C on Tue afternoon). Wind will be generally light.

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Light rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Fri night. Warm (max 29°C on Thu afternoon, min 25°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light.

Sunday
16
Monday
17
Tuesday
18
Wednesday
19
Thursday
20
Friday
21
Saturday
22
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
2
1
2
2
2
1
0
0
2
1
2
2
1
1
1
1
0
1
1
2
1
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1
SSW
14
0.9
SSW
14
0.9
SSW
14
0.9
SSW
14
0.9
SSW
15
0.7
SW
16
0.8
SSW
14
0.9
SSW
15
0.9
SSW
16
0.9
SSW
15
0.8
SSW
14
0.8
SSW
14
0.8
SSW
14
0.7
SSW
13
0.7
SSW
13
0.6
SSW
13
0.5
SSW
13
0.4
SW
18
0.7
SSW
15
0.7
SSW
15
0.6
SSW
13
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
437
367
362
357
372
264
243
334
419
344
264
261
217
158
151
113
99
80
188
209
137
Wind (km/h)
10
WSW
30
WNW
5
NW
10
WSW
25
W
10
SSE
15
S
20
ESE
5
W
10
SSW
15
WSW
5
W
10
SW
20
W
15
WNW
10
W
30
W
10
WNW
10
WSW
20
WNW
5
W
Wind State
cross-off
off
glassy
cross-off
off
cross-on
cross-on
on
glassy
cross
cross-off
off
cross-off
off
off
cross-off
off
off
cross-off
off
off
High Tide
10:57AM1.47m
11:02PM1.42m
11:23AM1.37m
11:31PM1.22m
11:50AM1.26m
00:03AM1.02m
12:24PM1.14m
1:08AM0.83m
2:04PM1.03m
7:15AM0.93m
5:29PM1.11m
7:12AM1.06m
6:23PM1.26m
Low Tide
4:59PM0.28m
5:11AM0.29m
5:33PM0.41m
5:31AM0.46m
6:13PM0.55m
5:46AM0.62m
7:32PM0.68m
5:25AM0.78m
11:54PM0.63m
11:32AM0.85m
00:39AM0.47m
12:27PM0.71m
1:06AM0.31m
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
rain showers
clear
thunderstorm
rain showers
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
rain showers
clear
clear
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:01
6:03
6:03
6:03
6:03
6:05
6:05
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
7:05
7:04
7:02
7:01
7:00
7:00
7:00
 mm
2
9
1
2
Temp °C
31
31
30
30
32
28
29
28
26
28
28
27
28
29
27
29
29
26
29
29
27
Feels °C
33
30
32
32
31
28
31
28
30
30
29
29
30
30
27
30
28
26
29
28
27
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Scorpion Bay (San Juanico) Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Scorpion Bay (San Juanico) provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Scorpion Bay (San Juanico) can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Scorpion Bay (San Juanico) surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Scorpion Bay (San Juanico)) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Scorpion Bay (San Juanico) may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Scorpion Bay is 121 km (75 miles) from Adolfo Lopez Mateos. If you plan a holiday in Baja Sur, look for hotels and other accommodation in Adolfo Lopez Mateos. Adolfo Lopez Mateos has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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