Scorpion Bay (San Juanico) Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s coming down the line for Scorpion Bay (San Juanico). This is a special point break that’s inconsistent, but when it lines up, it’s magic. The water right now is 82°, which is much warmer than normal for this time of year – you’ll be leaving the wetsuit at home for sure.

The first few days are a bit of a slow burn. Monday the 3rd and Tuesday the 4th have tiny swell around 1ft to 2ft from the SSW with light cross-offshore winds. The combined energy is weak (102 to 187), and the surf is pretty ordinary. It’s surfable if you’re desperate, but honestly, it’s not worth the drive.

Wednesday the 5th is still small, but by the afternoon we see a shift. A 2ft SW swell with a 14-second period starts to build some shape, and we get a clean offshore wind. The energy climbs to 192. It’s still small, but it’s a sign of life.

Now, Thursday the 6th afternoon is where things start to get interesting. The swell jumps to 2ft but the period hits 18 seconds, and the energy is moderate at 326. With a clean offshore WNW wind at 20 km/h, the point starts to look good. This is a long-period groundswell, so it’ll wrap nicely into the point, but at a beach break it might be too straight. Here, it’s perfect.

The standout window opens Friday the 7th and runs through the weekend. Friday morning has 2ft SSW swell at 18 seconds, light offshore winds, and the energy is up to 416. By Friday afternoon, we’re looking at 3ft from the SSW, 17-second period, and a solid 20 km/h offshore wind. The energy is strong at 475. This is clean, lined-up, and will be a joy on the point.

Saturday the 8th is the absolute pick of the bunch. Morning sees 3ft SSW swell, 16-second period, light offshore breeze, and the energy hits 502. The afternoon is similar with a 25 km/h offshore wind and energy at 439. This is the best on offer – consistent, clean, and the swell direction matches the optimum. The only downside is that crowds are always an issue here, so get there early.

Sunday the 9th is a step down. The morning has a cross-shore wind making it a bit average, but the afternoon cleans up again with a cross-offshore breeze. Still, it’s not as good as Saturday.

The following week still has some solid pulses. Monday the 10th afternoon brings a 2ft SW swell with a 20-second period – very long period groundswell – and offshore wind. The energy is 357. Tuesday the 11th is another strong day with 2ft SW, 18-second period, and energy hitting 477. Light offshore winds in the morning, moderate offshore in the afternoon.

Thursday the 14th is a standout in the second week. The afternoon has 3ft from the SSW at 17 seconds, a 20 km/h offshore wind, and the energy is 651 – strong and punchy. This is one for the experienced crew; over 5ft on a point like this can get a bit much for beginners.

Friday the 15th afternoon is also good with 3ft, offshore wind, and energy at 545, though the morning is a bit messy with cross-shore wind.

Towards the end of the run, Sunday the 17th has a nice clean morning with 3ft SSW swell, light winds, and energy at 311. A solid option for a last session.

Overall, the best surf on offer is Saturday the 8th and Thursday the 14th. Both have clean offshore winds, solid swell from the right direction, and strong energy. Get in the water.

Rusty.

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