
Surf Forecasts:
Scorpion Bay (San Juanico) surf forecast from 3 Sep 2026:
- Best quality surf: Thursday 3 Sep, 2PM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.1m), 18s period, SW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Saturday 5 Sep, 5PM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 14s period, SSW swell with 2,721 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 3 Sep, 11AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.4m), 12s period with S swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Scorpion Bay (San Juanico) this week:
The surf forecast for Scorpion Bay (San Juanico) over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Sep 03) at 11AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.4m and 12s period with a secondary swell of 0.9m and 18s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Scorpion Bay (San Juanico) in the next 16 days are 2.5m 14s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Sep 05) at 5PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.4m 5s period and expected on Monday (Sep 07) at 8PM.
| Wave Type | Time (MST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 11AM (Thu 3rd Sep) | 4.5ft (1.4m) 12s |
| Best Surf | 2PM (Thu 3rd Sep) | 3.5ft (1.1m) 18s |
| Most Powerful | 5PM (Sat 5th Sep) | 8ft (2.5m) 14s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Scorpion Bay (San Juanico) over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, settle in, it’s Rusty. We’ve got a solid run of swell heading into Scorpion Bay (San Juanico) starting this Thursday, and it’s looking like a serious session for the crew who can handle it. This is a point break, and it’s inconsistent, so you gotta be patient, but the payoff is huge. The water is sitting at a very unusual 86°, which is much warmer than normal for this time of year, so ditch the rubber.
The action kicks off Thursday morning, September 3rd. We’ve got a clean 5ft swell from the south, with a 12-second period, and a light cross-offshore breeze. The combined wave energy is strong at 1202. It’s not huge, but the conditions are clean. Thursday afternoon gets even better for the experienced surfer, with the swell dropping slightly to 4ft but the period jumping to a very long 18 seconds from the southwest, and a moderate offshore wind. The energy jumps to 1412. This is a groundswell that will really wrap into the point, offering long, lined-up walls.
Friday morning, the 4th, sees a jump in size to 7ft from the south, but the wind is light cross-onshore, putting a wrinkle on it. The energy is strong at 1903. Hold out for Friday afternoon – the wind swings to a cross-offshore breeze, and we’ve got a clean 6ft from the south-southwest, with a 12-second period and 1780 in energy. That’s the call for Friday.
Saturday, the 5th, is the standout. The morning session is going to be firing: 7ft of south-southwest swell, 13-second period, a clean cross-offshore breeze, and a massive 2533 in combined energy. The afternoon gets a bit bigger at 8ft, but it’s still clean and cross-offshore. That’s expert territory, but for the big dogs, the 14-second period and 2747 energy will deliver some serious speed and power.
Sunday morning, the 6th, is still excellent with a 8ft southwest swell, 13-second period, and a clean offshore wind. The energy is 1969. Sunday afternoon the wind picks up to 19 mph, but it’s still offshore, keeping it clean. The swell drops to 7ft.
Monday the 7th, the wind is up to 19 mph from the west-northwest and offshore, but the swell drops to 5ft. The energy is 995. It’s still surfable, but the wind is strong. The rest of the week into the 8th and 9th sees the swell drop further, with smaller waves and some tricky winds. There’s a lull of smaller, cleaner swell from the 10th onward, but it’s much smaller, in the 2ft to 3ft range, with the occasional good wind window. The long-period groundswells (16-22 seconds) appear again from the 14th, but the size is tiny. By the 18th of September, the energy bumps back up to 804 with a 3ft swell and a 19-second period and a clean offshore wind, which is promising but a long way out.
The one true standout is the Saturday, September 5th session. It’s got the size, the power, and the clean wind. This is your best bet. Keep in mind this spot is *inconsistent* and the crowds are *always* an issue, so get in early if you can.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 31°C on Thu morning, min 28°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 7mm), mostly falling on Tue afternoon. Warm (max 33°C on Mon morning, min 27°C on Tue morning). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the W on Mon afternoon, calm by Tue night). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Thursday 3 | Friday 4 | Saturday 5 | Sunday 6 | Monday 7 | Tuesday 8 | Wednesday 9 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 12 | SW 18 | S 12 | S 12 | SSW 12 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 11 | SW 11 | WSW 10 | SW 16 | SW 17 | SSW 17 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
600 | 727 | 933 | 1214 | 1012 | 2561 | 1569 | 2721 | 2250 | 1756 | 1220 | 990 | 624 | 551 | 393 | 283 | 273 | 166 | 278 | 302 | 516 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | off | glassy | cross-on | cross-off | glassy | cross-off | cross-off | off | off | off | off | off | off | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-on | cross | cross-off | cross-off |
High Tide | 12:26PM1.32m | 1:54AM0.94m | 2:08PM1.19m | 5:29AM0.98m | 4:42PM1.25m | 6:31AM1.17m | 5:59PM1.44m | 7:07AM1.34m | 6:48PM1.62m | 7:38AM1.48m | 7:28PM1.76m | 8:07AM1.59m | 8:03PM1.84m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 7:31PM0.49m | 7:01AM0.74m | 10:18PM0.48m | 10:25AM0.79m | 11:55PM0.29m | 11:57AM0.62m | 00:44AM0.10m | 12:46PM0.43m | 1:22AM-0.05m | 1:23PM0.26m | 1:55AM-0.14m | 1:57PM0.12m | 2:25AM-0.17m | ||||||||
6:09 | — | — | 6:11 | — | — | 6:11 | — | — | 6:11 | — | — | 6:11 | — | — | 6:11 | — | — | 6:13 | — | — | |
— | 6:46 | — | — | 6:45 | — | — | 6:45 | — | — | 6:44 | — | — | 6:43 | — | — | 6:42 | — | — | 6:40 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | — | 1 | 3 |
Temp °C | 31 | 31 | 30 | 30 | 31 | 30 | 31 | 31 | 30 | 31 | 31 | 29 | 33 | 30 | 30 | 30 | 31 | 31 | 30 | 31 | 30 |
Feels °C | 33 | 32 | 31 | 32 | 34 | 34 | 33 | 33 | 33 | 32 | 30 | 29 | 30 | 28 | 28 | 33 | 30 | 35 | 34 | 33 | 34 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 12 | S 12 | S 12 | S 12 | SSW 12 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 11 | SW 11 | WSW 10 | WSW 10 | SW 17 | SSW 17 |
600 | 657 | 933 | 1214 | 1012 | 2561 | 1569 | 2721 | 2250 | 1756 | 1220 | 990 | 624 | 551 | 393 | 283 | 273 | 166 | 107 | 302 | 516 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 18 | SW 18 | SSW 17 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | WSW 11 | SW 15 | WSW 11 | WNW 12 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | WNW 6 | SW 16 | WSW 9 | WSW 9 |
559 | 727 | 580 | 651 | 721 | 23 | 942 | 23 | 13 | 199 | 344 | 305 | 316 | 307 | 201 | 198 | 151 | 39 | 278 | 71 | 64 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 9 | SW 9 | W 10 | WSW 11 | WSW 12 | — | WSW 11 | S 12 | W 11 | WNW 12 | SW 21 | SSW 19 | SW 19 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 16 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 |
43 | 20 | 52 | 38 | 47 | — | 22 | 3 | 9 | 14 | 18 | 36 | 55 | 52 | 81 | 81 | 133 | 119 | 113 | 81 | 77 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | WNW 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | WNW 4 | WNW 4 | W 5 | WNW 6 | WNW 5 | W 5 | WNW 6 | — | — | S 5 |
— | 8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 15 | 25 | 63 | 74 | 20 | 13 | 71 | — | — | 17 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 810 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 438 | 0 | 0 | 451 | 426 | 420 | 438 | 368 | 0 | 850 | 26 | 640 | 0 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Baja Sur | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Mexico | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Scorpion Bay (San Juanico) Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Scorpion Bay (San Juanico) provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Scorpion Bay (San Juanico) can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Scorpion Bay (San Juanico) surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Scorpion Bay (San Juanico)) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Scorpion Bay (San Juanico) may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Scorpion Bay is 121 km (75 miles) from Adolfo Lopez Mateos. If you plan a holiday in Baja Sur, look for hotels and other accommodation in Adolfo Lopez Mateos. Adolfo Lopez Mateos has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.









