
Surf Forecasts:
Scorpion Bay (San Juanico) surf forecast from 18 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Friday 24 Jul, 8PM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.0m), 21s period, SW swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Friday 24 Jul, 11PM (local time) - 4ft (1.2m), 21s period, SW swell with 1,338 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 18 Jul, 11AM (local time) - 2ft (0.6m), 18s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Scorpion Bay (San Juanico) this week:
The surf forecast for Scorpion Bay (San Juanico) over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Jul 18) at 11AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.6m and 18s period with a secondary swell of 1.0m and 10s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Scorpion Bay (San Juanico) in the next 16 days are 1.2m 21s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 24) at 11PM. Winds are predicted to be offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.1m 6s period and expected on Wednesday (Jul 22) at 2AM.
| Wave Type | Time (MST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 11AM (Sat 18th Jul) | 2ft (0.6m) 18s |
| Best Surf | 8PM (Fri 24th Jul) | 3.5ft (1.0m) 21s |
| Most Powerful | 11PM (Fri 24th Jul) | 4ft (1.2m) 21s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Scorpion Bay (San Juanico) over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
G'day, this is Rusty. Let’s talk about what’s cooking at Scorpion Bay over the next couple of weeks. This is a classic point break, set up for a SSW groundswell, and it's an inconsistent spot, so when it lines up, you’ve got to be on it. The water temperature is 77.0°F, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year, so you’ll be comfortable in a spring suit or even just boardshorts.
We’ve got a slow start, but things kick off this Saturday morning, the 18th of July. We’re looking at a 2.0ft SSW swell with a very long period of 18 seconds, and the combined energy is moderate (531). The wind is light offshore from the west, glassy and clean. It’s not big, but that long period will put some real shape into the point. Crows are listed as always, so expect company at this classic wave.
Saturday afternoon steps it up a bit. The swell pushes to 4.6ft from the SSW, period drops to 13 seconds, and the energy jumps to 778. The wind is still offshore from the west, but it’s a fresh breeze at 18.6 mph, so it’s clean but a bit of a battle to hold your line. The conditions are marginal, but for a point break, that offshore wind will keep it tidy.
Sunday morning, the 19th, sees a 3.0ft SW swell (17 seconds, 843 energy) with a light cross-shore from the south, so there’s a slight cross-chop. It’s not the best window. But Sunday afternoon is a standout. The swell is 4.3ft from the SSW, 10-second period, 681 energy, and the wind swings to a light cross-offshore from the WSW. It’s clean, with a “very good” call. This is a solid session for a surfer who knows the point.
Monday the 20th has a couple of options. The morning is a 3.6ft SW swell (16 seconds, 799 energy) with a light cross-shore, so a bit of ripple. The afternoon is better: same 3.6ft SW swell, but the wind turns offshore from the WNW, light breeze, and it’s clean. That’s a good call.
Tuesday the 21st: morning is a 3.3ft SW swell (15 seconds, 564 energy) with a gentle offshore from the west, clean and good. The afternoon drops to 3.0ft (14 seconds, 492 energy) with a moderate offshore, still clean but a bit more wind.
Wednesday the 22nd: morning is a 3.3ft S swell (11 seconds, 508 energy) with a light cross-offshore, clean. The afternoon is a 3.0ft SSW swell (14 seconds, 449 energy) with a moderate cross-offshore, still clean.
Thursday the 23rd: morning shows a 4.9ft SSW swell (12 seconds, 901 energy) with a gentle cross-shore, so there’s some chop. The afternoon is where it’s at: 4.6ft SSW swell (12 seconds, 854 energy) with a light cross-offshore from the SW, clean and very good. This is a prime window.
Friday the 24th: both morning and afternoon are strong. The morning is 4.3ft SSW (12 seconds, 928 energy) with a light cross-offshore. The afternoon is 4.3ft SSW (12 seconds, 913 energy) with a gentle offshore from the WNW. Both are very good, clean conditions.
Now, the standout. Saturday the 25th is a ripper. The afternoon is the best of
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 6mm), mostly falling on Sun afternoon. Warm (max 34°C on Sat morning, min 25°C on Sun night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the W on Sat afternoon, calm by Sun night). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 3mm), mostly falling on Thu afternoon. Warm (max 30°C on Tue morning, min 23°C on Wed night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the W on Tue afternoon, calm by Wed morning). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Saturday 18 | Sunday 19 | Monday 20 | Tuesday 21 | Wednesday 22 | Thursday 23 | Friday 24 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 18 | SSW 13 | SSW 11 | SW 17 | SSW 10 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | SW 24 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | SW 21 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
249 | 623 | 560 | 429 | 314 | 358 | 580 | 580 | 516 | 429 | 328 | 563 | 253 | 307 | 614 | 699 | 589 | 451 | 472 | 472 | 1338 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | off | off | glassy | cross | cross-off | glassy | cross | off | off | off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | cross | cross-off | glassy | cross-off | off | off |
High Tide | 11:49AM1.33m | 11:42PM1.42m | 12:28PM1.25m | 00:23AM1.23m | 1:14PM1.18m | 1:18AM1.04m | 2:23PM1.12m | 3:21AM0.90m | 4:09PM1.12m | 6:00AM0.94m | 5:35PM1.20m | 7:00AM1.04m | 6:28PM1.32m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 5:36PM0.42m | 6:10AM0.28m | 6:23PM0.53m | 6:46AM0.45m | 7:27PM0.63m | 7:31AM0.60m | 9:23PM0.68m | 8:59AM0.72m | 11:37PM0.59m | 11:07AM0.73m | 00:39AM0.45m | 12:17PM0.67m | 1:17AM0.31m | ||||||||
5:48 | — | — | 5:48 | — | — | 5:48 | — | — | 5:48 | — | — | 5:50 | — | — | 5:50 | — | — | 5:50 | — | — | |
— | 7:22 | — | — | 7:22 | — | — | 7:22 | — | — | 7:22 | — | — | 7:22 | — | — | 7:21 | — | — | 7:21 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | 4 | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 2 | — | 1 | — |
Temp °C | 34 | 33 | 30 | 29 | 30 | 25 | 28 | 27 | 26 | 30 | 30 | 28 | 27 | 27 | 24 | 25 | 25 | 24 | 27 | 28 | 25 |
Feels °C | 32 | 28 | 30 | 30 | 30 | 27 | 29 | 27 | 27 | 27 | 25 | 25 | 27 | 26 | 25 | 26 | 26 | 26 | 29 | 28 | 25 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 10 | SSW 13 | SSW 11 | SSW 11 | SSW 10 | SW 10 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 | S 11 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | SSW 11 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | SW 12 |
196 | 623 | 560 | 404 | 314 | 220 | 580 | 580 | 516 | 429 | 328 | 563 | 253 | 307 | 614 | 699 | 589 | 451 | 472 | 472 | 561 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 18 | W 18 | SW 17 | SW 17 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SSW 9 | SW 9 | SW 8 | S 12 | S 12 | SW 7 | SSW 14 | S 10 | W 6 | W 6 | W 6 | SW 24 | SW 24 | SW 22 | SW 21 |
249 | 96 | 230 | 429 | 288 | 358 | 145 | 112 | 69 | 107 | 129 | 25 | 246 | 125 | 18 | 31 | 28 | 448 | 444 | 389 | 1338 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 12 | SW 19 | WSW 16 | WNW 4 | W 16 | WNW 4 | W 15 | W 15 | W 15 | SW 8 | SW 8 | W 14 | WSW 7 | W 6 | WSW 7 | SW 26 | SW 26 | W 6 | WNW 6 | SW 16 | WNW 12 |
86 | 59 | 89 | 10 | 79 | 6 | 74 | 72 | 39 | 28 | 35 | 37 | 9 | 17 | 5 | 171 | 237 | 19 | 12 | 40 | 27 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WNW 3 | W 4 | WNW 4 | — | WNW 4 | — | — | WNW 5 | WNW 4 | WNW 3 | W 4 | WNW 6 | W 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | WNW 6 | — |
4 | 10 | 18 | — | 3 | — | — | 4 | 4 | 7 | 22 | 71 | 18 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 12 | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 801 | 0 | 622 | 0 | 0 | 426 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 849 | 0 | 0 | 455 | 26 | 455 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Baja Sur | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Mexico | |||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Scorpion Bay (San Juanico) Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Scorpion Bay (San Juanico) provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Scorpion Bay (San Juanico) can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Scorpion Bay (San Juanico) surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Scorpion Bay (San Juanico)) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Scorpion Bay (San Juanico) may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Scorpion Bay is 121 km (75 miles) from Adolfo Lopez Mateos. If you plan a holiday in Baja Sur, look for hotels and other accommodation in Adolfo Lopez Mateos. Adolfo Lopez Mateos has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.









