
Surf Forecasts:
Scorpion Bay (San Juanico) surf forecast from 11 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Friday 17 Jul, 2PM (local time) - 6ft (1.8m), 16s period, S swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Saturday 18 Jul, 2AM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 15s period, S swell with 2,932 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 11 Jul, 11AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.1m), 14s period with SSW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Scorpion Bay (San Juanico) this week:
The surf forecast for Scorpion Bay (San Juanico) over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Jul 11) at 11AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.1m and 14s period with a secondary swell of 0.3m and 4s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Scorpion Bay (San Juanico) in the next 16 days are 2.5m 15s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Jul 18) at 2AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.9m 5s period and expected on Tuesday (Jul 14) at 11PM.
| Wave Type | Time (MST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 11AM (Sat 11th Jul) | 3.5ft (1.1m) 14s |
| Best Surf | 2PM (Fri 17th Jul) | 6ft (1.8m) 16s |
| Most Powerful | 2AM (Sat 18th Jul) | 8ft (2.5m) 15s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Scorpion Bay (San Juanico) over the next 16 days.
Alright folks, Rusty here with a look at the next couple of weeks down at Scorpion Bay.
Well, we’ve got a bit of a slow start, but don’t let that fool you – there’s some serious firepower brewing for the end of next week and into the weekend. For the first few days, we’ve got some clean, rideable little lines, but the real magic is lurking just out of sight.
Saturday, July 11th kicks things off with a clean 4 ft SSW swell and light cross-off breezes. It’s not huge, but it’s a fun size with a nice 14-second period, making for some real quality. The water is right on the money at 73 °F, feeling normal for this time of year. The combined energy is solid (490), so there’s plenty of push for the point. That afternoon the wind goes fully offshore, keeping it glassy. Sunday is similar, a touch smaller at 3 ft, but still clean and fun under offshore winds. The energy dips a bit (383-387) but it’s still plenty workable. Monday holds 3 ft, and while the morning is a little marginal with a cross-off breeze, the afternoon turns offshore again. Tuesday sees the swell drop to 2-2 ft but the period goes very long, hitting 18 seconds. That’s proper groundswell, perfect for this point. The energy is moderate (296-392), but with that much period, the sets will be lined up and clean.
Then we hit a bit of a flat spot from Wednesday the 15th through Thursday the 16th. Swell drops to knee-waist high and the wind gets a bit messy. A bit of a lull.
Friday the 17th is where things get very interesting. The swell jumps up to 5 ft in the morning, but it’s a bit jumbled. Keep your eyes on that afternoon session: a 7 ft S swell at 18 seconds, with clean offshore winds from the WNW. The energy is a massive 2813, which is strong. This is a standout for experienced surfers – it’s got the power and the shape. That continues into Saturday the 18th with an 8 ft SSW swell, but the period drops to 12 seconds, making it a bit more unruly. It’s still big and clean for the morning, but this is expert territory now. The energy remains high (1861-1245).
The surf settles a bit into the following week, with Sunday the 19th offering clean 3 ft SSW swell with a nice 17-second period. Monday the 20th brings consistent 3 ft SW swell under clean conditions, great for a fun session. Another standout window appears on Saturday, July 25th. We see a 3 ft SSW swell at 20 seconds (long!) with clean cross-off winds, giving an energy of 1006. The afternoon is even better with offshore wind and a 5 ft S swell. Sunday the 26th wraps it up with clean, offshore winds and 3 ft SSW swell, though the wind gets fresher by the afternoon.
Crowds at Scorpion Bay are always to be expected, it’s a world-class point. For the big days on the 17th and 18th, the size will keep the crowds thinner, but it’s only for the experienced crew. For the cleaner, smaller days, expect a lineup.
So, the standout calls are Friday afternoon, July 17th for that big, powerful groundswell under offshore wind, and Saturday, July 25th for the combination of long-period groundswell and clean glass. The rest of the period has plenty of clean, fun waves, so keep your board waxed.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 27°C on Mon morning, min 20°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 28°C on Tue morning, min 22°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Saturday 11 | Sunday 12 | Monday 13 | Tuesday 14 | Wednesday 15 | Thursday 16 | Friday 17 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | S 13 | S 17 | S 16 | S 17 | S 18 | S 15 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
478 | 394 | 400 | 357 | 342 | 356 | 289 | 253 | 198 | 154 | 249 | 152 | 130 | 163 | 206 | 88 | 92 | 234 | 1116 | 2734 | 2932 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | off | off | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-off | off | glassy | cross-off | off | cross-on | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-on | cross | off | cross-off |
High Tide | 6:50PM1.68m | 7:50AM1.39m | 7:39PM1.80m | 8:35AM1.46m | 8:24PM1.87m | 9:17AM1.49m | 9:06PM1.89m | 9:57AM1.49m | 9:47PM1.86m | 10:35AM1.45m | 10:26PM1.76m | 11:12AM1.40m | 11:04PM1.61m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 12:36PM0.40m | 1:33AM-0.04m | 1:27PM0.33m | 2:20AM-0.15m | 2:13PM0.27m | 3:03AM-0.21m | 2:56PM0.23m | 3:44AM-0.20m | 3:36PM0.23m | 4:23AM-0.14m | 4:15PM0.26m | 5:00AM-0.03m | 4:55PM0.33m | ||||||||
5:45 | — | — | 5:45 | — | — | 5:46 | — | — | 5:46 | — | — | 5:47 | — | — | 5:47 | — | — | 5:48 | — | — | |
— | 7:24 | — | — | 7:24 | — | — | 7:24 | — | — | 7:24 | — | — | 7:23 | — | — | 7:23 | — | — | 7:23 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 23 | 24 | 21 | 24 | 25 | 23 | 27 | 26 | 23 | 28 | 28 | 23 | 26 | 27 | 23 | 25 | 26 | 23 | 27 | 29 | 28 |
Feels °C | 23 | 22 | 20 | 25 | 24 | 21 | 25 | 24 | 22 | 28 | 25 | 23 | 26 | 26 | 23 | 25 | 25 | 24 | 26 | 28 | 30 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | W 5 | SSW 12 | SW 16 | SW 16 | S 13 | SW 15 | S 16 | S 17 | S 18 | S 15 |
478 | 394 | 400 | 357 | 342 | 356 | 289 | 253 | 198 | 137 | 135 | 27 | 83 | 163 | 206 | 86 | 77 | 234 | 1116 | 2734 | 2932 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 4 | SSW 18 | WNW 10 | WNW 10 | SSW 21 | SSW 21 | SW 19 | SW 19 | SW 19 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SSW 12 | W 5 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | SW 16 | S 17 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | WSW 13 |
3 | 61 | 9 | 9 | 45 | 45 | 96 | 184 | 59 | 154 | 249 | 119 | 14 | 83 | 47 | 88 | 92 | 104 | 74 | 51 | 70 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WNW 10 | S 11 | SW 24 | SW 21 | NW 10 | SSW 21 | W 10 | W 18 | WNW 9 | W 15 | WNW 9 | SW 18 | SW 16 | W 5 | W 6 | WNW 6 | SSW 13 | SW 19 | WNW 8 | W 19 | NW 9 |
9 | 2 | 22 | 17 | 4 | 45 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 152 | 130 | 8 | 11 | 7 | 57 | 183 | 13 | 28 | 20 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | WNW 10 | WNW 4 | WNW 4 | W 3 | W 5 | WNW 4 | WNW 4 | WNW 5 | WNW 4 | W 4 | — | — | — | — | — | WNW 6 | — | — | — | — |
— | 30 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 22 | 13 | 22 | 35 | 16 | 13 | — | — | — | — | — | 7 | — | — | — | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 455 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 26 | 455 | 0 | 0 | 810 | 0 | 78 | 300 | 0 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Baja Sur | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Mexico | |||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Scorpion Bay (San Juanico) Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Scorpion Bay (San Juanico) provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Scorpion Bay (San Juanico) can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Scorpion Bay (San Juanico) surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Scorpion Bay (San Juanico)) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Scorpion Bay (San Juanico) may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Scorpion Bay is 121 km (75 miles) from Adolfo Lopez Mateos. If you plan a holiday in Baja Sur, look for hotels and other accommodation in Adolfo Lopez Mateos. Adolfo Lopez Mateos has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.









