Surf Forecasts:
Scorpion Bay (San Juanico) surf forecast from 17 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Sunday 16 Aug, 8PM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 14s period, SSW swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Monday 17 Aug, 8PM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 16s period, SSW swell with 436 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 16 Aug, 8PM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 14s period with SSW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Scorpion Bay (San Juanico) this week:
The surf forecast for Scorpion Bay (San Juanico) over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Aug 16) at 8PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.9m and 14s period with a secondary swell of 0.2m and 10s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Scorpion Bay (San Juanico) in the next 16 days are 0.9m 16s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 17) at 8PM. Winds are predicted to be offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.0m 6s period and expected on Sunday (Aug 16) at 11PM.
| Wave Type | Time (MST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 8PM (Sun 16th Aug) | 3ft (0.9m) 14s |
| Best Surf | 8PM (Sun 16th Aug) | 3ft (0.9m) 14s |
| Most Powerful | 8PM (Mon 17th Aug) | 3ft (0.9m) 16s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Scorpion Bay (San Juanico) over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's get into it.
We've got a consistent run of surf on the cards here at Scorpion Bay. It's not going to be huge, but the consistency and the quality of the winds are where this forecast shines. The water is a balmy 82°F and that’s about 5°F warmer than usual for this time of year, which is a real treat and means you can get away with a thin suit, or maybe just a rashie.
The best stretch kicks off on the afternoon of Sunday the 16th of August. We're looking at a clean, long-period swell from the SSW pushing in at 3ft with a 14-second period. The wind goes offshore from the WNW at 18 mph, which will groom the point to perfection. The combined energy is a solid moderate 387, and for a setup like Scorpion Bay, that’s a green light. This is a point break, so that longer period groundswell will wrap in beautifully, offering those long, peeling lines. Just know that "always" crowds are a given here, so get out there early.
Monday the 17th holds pretty similar. Morning is clean with a light cross-offshore breeze, and the afternoon kicks up with a moderate offshore from the West at 15 mph and a 3ft SSW swell with a period that stretches to 15 seconds. The energy is up to 434, making it a very solid option for an afternoon session.
After a bit of a choppy Tuesday with onshore winds, things clean up again on Wednesday the 19th through the weekend. The standout of the second half of the first week looks like Thursday afternoon and Friday afternoon. Thursday sees a moderate offshore from the West at 12 mph with a 2-3ft SSW swell. Then Friday afternoon brings a fresh offshore from the West at 18 mph, though the swell drops a bit. It’s still clean and ridable.
Looking further out, there’s a promising pulse coming in. On Friday the 28th of August, the afternoon session looks like the pick of the entire forecast. We’re looking at a 3-4ft SW groundswell with a period of 16 seconds and a gentle offshore from the WNW at 9 mph. The combined energy jumps up to a strong 716. That’s a serious step up in power. That Saturday the 29th of August morning also looks excellent with a 4ft SSW swell and cross-offshore winds. For expert surfers, this is the window to circle. For beginners, the swell is under 5ft through most of the period, so it's manageable, but that last weekend swell gets a bit more size.
The gap between the first week and that last weekend is filled with smaller, but still clean, waist-to-chest high waves. It's a long, drawn-out run of surf, not a flash in the pan.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastModerate rain (total 12mm), heaviest on Tue afternoon. Warm (max 32°C on Mon afternoon, min 25°C on Tue afternoon). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Fri night. Warm (max 29°C on Thu afternoon, min 25°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Sunday 16 | Monday 17 | Tuesday 18 | Wednesday 19 | Thursday 20 | Friday 21 | Saturday 22 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 15 | SW 16 | SSW 14 | SSW 15 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SW 18 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 13 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
437 | 367 | 362 | 357 | 372 | 264 | 243 | 334 | 419 | 344 | 264 | 261 | 217 | 158 | 151 | 113 | 99 | 80 | 188 | 209 | 137 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | off | glassy | cross-off | off | cross-on | cross-on | on | glassy | cross | cross-off | off | cross-off | off | off | cross-off | off | off | cross-off | off | off |
High Tide | 10:57AM1.47m | 11:02PM1.42m | 11:23AM1.37m | 11:31PM1.22m | 11:50AM1.26m | 00:03AM1.02m | 12:24PM1.14m | 1:08AM0.83m | 2:04PM1.03m | 7:15AM0.93m | 5:29PM1.11m | 7:12AM1.06m | 6:23PM1.26m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 4:59PM0.28m | 5:11AM0.29m | 5:33PM0.41m | 5:31AM0.46m | 6:13PM0.55m | 5:46AM0.62m | 7:32PM0.68m | 5:25AM0.78m | 11:54PM0.63m | 11:32AM0.85m | 00:39AM0.47m | 12:27PM0.71m | 1:06AM0.31m | ||||||||
6:01 | — | — | 6:03 | — | — | 6:03 | — | — | 6:03 | — | — | 6:03 | — | — | 6:05 | — | — | 6:05 | — | — | |
— | 7:05 | — | — | 7:04 | — | — | 7:02 | — | — | 7:01 | — | — | 7:00 | — | — | 7:00 | — | — | 7:00 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | — | 9 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 31 | 31 | 30 | 30 | 32 | 28 | 29 | 28 | 26 | 28 | 28 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 27 | 29 | 29 | 26 | 29 | 29 | 27 |
Feels °C | 33 | 30 | 32 | 32 | 31 | 28 | 31 | 28 | 30 | 30 | 29 | 29 | 30 | 30 | 27 | 30 | 28 | 26 | 29 | 28 | 27 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 15 | W 6 | SSW 14 | SSW 15 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 14 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | W 5 |
437 | 367 | 362 | 357 | 372 | 64 | 243 | 334 | 419 | 344 | 264 | 261 | 217 | 158 | 151 | 113 | 93 | 80 | 188 | 209 | 25 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 10 | S 10 | S 9 | S 9 | S 9 | SW 16 | W 6 | W 6 | W 6 | W 6 | W 5 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | S 10 | SW 18 | SW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 12 | WNW 4 | S 10 | SSW 13 |
8 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 264 | 28 | 18 | 24 | 17 | 9 | 24 | 14 | 17 | 84 | 67 | 99 | 56 | 14 | 17 | 137 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 12 | W 13 | W 13 | S 13 | S 13 | SSW 13 | S 8 | W 8 | S 8 | — | S 10 | S 9 | S 10 | SSW 18 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | SW 18 | S 10 | SW 19 | SW 16 |
3 | 13 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 111 | 6 | 1 | 5 | — | 16 | 16 | 16 | 32 | 17 | 17 | 17 | 78 | 18 | 58 | 67 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WNW 5 | WNW 4 | WNW 6 | WNW 5 | WNW 6 | — | — | — | — | — | W 6 | — | — | WNW 8 | W 4 | W 4 | W 4 | W 5 | NW 4 | W 4 | — |
25 | 25 | 88 | 33 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | 17 | — | — | 22 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 23 | 20 | 7 | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 426 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 78 | 810 | 26 | 0 | 455 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 803 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Baja Sur | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Mexico | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Scorpion Bay (San Juanico) Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Scorpion Bay (San Juanico) provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Scorpion Bay (San Juanico) can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Scorpion Bay (San Juanico) surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Scorpion Bay (San Juanico)) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Scorpion Bay (San Juanico) may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Scorpion Bay is 121 km (75 miles) from Adolfo Lopez Mateos. If you plan a holiday in Baja Sur, look for hotels and other accommodation in Adolfo Lopez Mateos. Adolfo Lopez Mateos has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.










