Scorpion Bay (San Juanico) Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, folks, Rusty here. Let’s talk about this stretch of water.

We’ve got a solid run of surf coming up at Scorpion Bay (San Juanico). This is a classic point break that doesn’t break all that often, so when it lines up, you pay attention. The water is sitting at 79°, which is much warmer than usual for this time of year – that’s a real treat.

The action kicks off from Tuesday afternoon, the 21st of July. The first pulse is a clean 3ft SSW swell with a 14-second period, wrapping in with a moderate 16 mph offshore wind. The combined energy is a solid 526 (moderate), and the waves should be clean and lined up. Not huge, but a beautiful start.

Wednesday morning on the 22nd pushes up to 6ft from the SSW, with a 12-second period and a fresh 19 mph offshore wind. The energy jumps to 936 (moderate). It’s a bit beefier, but the tide might be a factor. Wednesday afternoon settles slightly to 5ft, still clean.

The standout window starts to build from Thursday afternoon, the 23rd. You’ve got a 4ft SSW swell, 13-second period, gentle 9 mph cross-offshore wind, and an energy reading of 816 (moderate). The quality is very good.

Then we hit the sweet spot. From Friday morning, the 24th, through to Wednesday, the 29th, this place is going to be pumping. The swell holds steady between 4ft and 6ft, with periods stretching from a very long 24 seconds down to a still-meaty 15 seconds. The winds are light to moderate and mostly offshore or clean cross-offshore. The combined energy readings are big – between 786 and 1488. That’s moderate to strong wave energy. The best of the best? I’d point you to Saturday the 25th afternoon with a 4ft SW swell at 19 seconds and a gentle offshore breeze, and Tuesday the 28th morning with a 5ft SSW swell, 17-second period, light offshore wind, and an energy reading of 1438. That’s excellent surf for experienced surfers. The long period on these swells (over 15 seconds) means the waves will have real power and shape, but at a point break like Scorpion Bay, that’s exactly what you want. It’s an advanced wave, so beginners should sit this one out – some of these days push over 5ft and up to 6ft.

Be aware, this spot is *always* crowded, so expect plenty of company in the lineup. But when it’s this good, it’s worth fighting for a wave.

Unfortunately, the fun runs out. Thursday the 30th of July turns ugly. The swell jumps to 8ft to 10ft, but the wind swings onshore, and the energy hits a massive 2626 to 3566 (very strong). The surf will be big, messy, and choppy. This is more for the kite crew than paddle surfers.

Friday the 31st gets back to clean 7ft SSW swell, then it drops off a cliff. From Saturday the 1st of August onwards, we’re looking at a long stretch of tiny, weak surf. The swell drops to 1ft to 3ft, and the energy readings fall to 112 to 319 (weak). There’s a gap of several days with nothing worthwhile. A few sessions on the 5th of August show a small 3ft SSW swell coming back with clean wind, but it’s a shadow of what’s on offer earlier.

So, to sum it up: the window from the 21st of July to the 29th of July is the one to chase. The absolute best days are the 25th and 28th. Don’t sleep on it.

Rusty.

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