Surf Forecasts:
Scorpion Bay (San Juanico) surf forecast from 26 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Monday 27 Jul, 11PM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.4m), 18s period, SSW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Thursday 30 Jul, 2AM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 14s period, SSW swell with 2,460 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 26 Jul, 2AM (local time) - 4ft (1.2m), 19s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Scorpion Bay (San Juanico) this week:
The surf forecast for Scorpion Bay (San Juanico) over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jul 26) at 2AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.2m and 19s period with a secondary swell of 0.5m and 8s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Scorpion Bay (San Juanico) in the next 16 days are 2.5m 14s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 30) at 2AM. Winds are predicted to be offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.1m 5s period and expected on Thursday (Jul 30) at 11PM.
| Wave Type | Time (MST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 2AM (Sun 26th Jul) | 4ft (1.2m) 19s |
| Best Surf | 11PM (Mon 27th Jul) | 4.5ft (1.4m) 18s |
| Most Powerful | 2AM (Thu 30th Jul) | 8ft (2.5m) 14s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Scorpion Bay (San Juanico) over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, Rusty here. Let's have a look at Baja. Scorpion Bay is the one and only spot on the menu, so we're going all in on that classic point break.
We've got a serious run of swell hitting Scorpion Bay (San Juanico) starting this Saturday, the 25th of July, and it's going to be a wild ride for those who know what they're doing. The water is much warmer than normal for this time of year, coming in at 26°.
The week kicks off on Saturday with a solid SSW groundswell rolling in at 4ft, with a very long 19-second period. That energy is pumping strong, with a combined energy reading of 1292. The wind is a light cross-off, so the sets will be peeling nicely down the point. Sunday builds on that, with a similar 3-4ft swell from the SW. The standouts here are Sunday afternoon and into Monday, when the wind swings to a light offshore. That'll be pure glass, with clean, long-running lines.
Tuesday the 28th is where it gets serious for the experienced crew. The swell pushes up to 5ft from the SSW, still with a long 17-second period. The wave energy is ramping up to over 2000, and with offshore winds straight down the point, this is going to be world-class. This run of quality holds through Wednesday and into Thursday morning, with the swell peaking at 8ft on Thursday. That's big, powerful, and only for experts. The energy is huge, reading 2280. The wind stays offshore, but by Thursday afternoon it picks up to a fresh breeze, so the morning will be the call for the best shape.
A word of caution: Scorpion Bay is an inconsistent break, and right now it's on fire. For the second week, things do wind down. The swell drops below 3ft from the 1st of August onwards, and the energy drops off significantly. The wind stays mostly clean or light, but you'll be scratching for anything rideable through the 5th, 6th, and 7th. By the 9th of August, it's very small, with combined energy under 300, so expect a real lull.
For the best of it, don't miss the window from late Sunday the 26th through to Thursday the 30th. The real standout is Tuesday the 28th through Thursday the 30th – that's when the combination of a good-sized SSW groundswell (5ft to 8ft), long period, and consistent offshore winds makes for some of the best point-break surfing you'll get. Just remember, when it gets over 8ft, it's expert-only territory.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Mon afternoon. Warm (max 26°C on Sat afternoon, min 23°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummarySome drizzle, heaviest during Tue afternoon. Warm (max 31°C on Fri morning, min 23°C on Tue night). Wind will be generally light. | |||||||||||||||||||
Sat 25 | Sunday 26 | Monday 27 | Tuesday 28 | Wednesday 29 | Thursday 30 | Friday 31 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 19 | SW 19 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SSW 18 | SSW 17 | SSW 17 | SSW 17 | SSW 17 | SSW 17 | S 13 | SSW 16 | SSW 13 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 | SW 12 | SW 11 | SW 11 |
Wave Graph  | ||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 1100 | 1100 | 727 | 915 | 1044 | 744 | 986 | 1294 | 1294 | 1250 | 1049 | 1136 | 1175 | 2460 | 2280 | 1852 | 1380 | 666 | 461 | 254 |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | glassy | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-off | off | off | cross-off | off | off | cross-off | off | off | off | off | off | off | off | glassy |
High Tide | 7:07PM1.44m | 8:01AM1.25m | 7:40PM1.55m | 8:27AM1.33m | 8:10PM1.65m | 8:52AM1.40m | 8:39PM1.73m | 9:17AM1.45m | 9:07PM1.77m | 9:42AM1.49m | 9:35PM1.78m | 10:09AM1.51m | 10:04PM1.75m | |||||||
Low Tide | 1:48AM0.19m | 1:34PM0.47m | 2:16AM0.09m | 2:03PM0.38m | 2:43AM0.01m | 2:31PM0.30m | 3:09AM-0.05m | 2:59PM0.24m | 3:35AM-0.08m | 3:27PM0.20m | 4:01AM-0.08m | 3:56PM0.19m | 4:28AM-0.04m | |||||||
 |  |  | | | |  |  | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
 | — | — | 5:52 | — | — | 5:52 | — | — | 5:52 | — | — | 5:52 | — | — | 5:54 | — | — | 5:54 | — | — |
 | 7:20 | — | — | 7:20 | — | — | 7:19 | — | — | 7:19 | — | — | 7:17 | — | — | 7:17 | — | — | 7:16 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 26 | 24 | 26 | 26 | 24 | 26 | 26 | 24 | 26 | 26 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 25 | 27 | 28 | 27 | 31 | 28 | 25 |
Feels °C | 28 | 26 | 28 | 27 | 25 | 27 | 26 | 24 | 26 | 25 | 25 | 26 | 26 | 25 | 26 | 25 | 22 | 27 | 24 | 27 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 19 | SW 19 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SSW 18 | SSW 17 | SSW 17 | SSW 17 | SSW 17 | S 14 | S 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 | SW 12 | SW 11 | SW 11 |
| kJ | 1100 | 1100 | 727 | 915 | 1044 | 744 | 986 | 1294 | 1294 | 906 | 1049 | 1127 | 1175 | 2460 | 2280 | 1852 | 1380 | 666 | 461 | 254 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 12 | W 8 | SSW 11 | WSW 7 | WSW 7 | SW 20 | S 17 | S 14 | S 14 | SSW 17 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SW 15 | — | — | SSW 13 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 |
| kJ | 137 | 29 | 69 | 16 | 15 | 309 | 199 | 192 | 697 | 1250 | 915 | 1136 | 929 | 1059 | — | — | 257 | 210 | 277 | 189 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 15 | SSW 11 | WSW 7 | SW 11 | SW 12 | SSW 12 | WSW 9 | W 8 | W 9 | WSW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | — | — | — | — | — | NW 10 | S 21 | W 5 |
| kJ | 55 | 49 | 17 | 31 | 50 | 47 | 26 | 22 | 23 | 7 | 17 | 16 | — | — | — | — | — | 4 | 9 | 28 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | W 7 | — | — | WNW 9 | — | — | W 8 | — | — | NW 8 | — | NW 4 | W 4 | WNW 5 | WNW 4 | W 4 | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | 23 | — | — | 31 | — | — | 23 | — | — | 15 | — | 6 | 15 | 56 | 14 | 24 | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 455 | 0 | 0 | 455 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Baja Sur | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Mexico | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Scorpion Bay (San Juanico) Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Scorpion Bay (San Juanico) provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Scorpion Bay (San Juanico) can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Scorpion Bay (San Juanico) surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Scorpion Bay (San Juanico)) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Scorpion Bay (San Juanico) may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Scorpion Bay is 121 km (75 miles) from Adolfo Lopez Mateos. If you plan a holiday in Baja Sur, look for hotels and other accommodation in Adolfo Lopez Mateos. Adolfo Lopez Mateos has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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