Surf Forecasts:
Scorpion Bay (San Juanico) surf forecast from 25 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Friday 24 Jul, 11PM (local time) - 4ft (1.2m), 21s period, SW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Thursday 30 Jul, 2PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 14s period, SSW swell with 3,035 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 24 Jul, 8PM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.0m), 21s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Scorpion Bay (San Juanico) this week:
The surf forecast for Scorpion Bay (San Juanico) over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 24) at 8PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.0m and 21s period with a secondary swell of 0.8m and 9s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Scorpion Bay (San Juanico) in the next 16 days are 3.0m 14s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 30) at 2PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.7m 4s period and expected on Friday (Jul 31) at 5PM.
| Wave Type | Time (MST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 8PM (Fri 24th Jul) | 3.5ft (1.0m) 21s |
| Best Surf | 11PM (Fri 24th Jul) | 4ft (1.2m) 21s |
| Most Powerful | 2PM (Thu 30th Jul) | 10ft (3.0m) 14s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Scorpion Bay (San Juanico) over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s talk about the forecast for Scorpion Bay (San Juanico). The next 16 days start off with a bit of a wait, with nothing really rideable until Friday the 24th. The early action is small but builds into a proper swell, then it fades away. There’s a solid gap of about 4 or 5 days at the end where things just go flat, which is more normal for this spot.
We kick off on Friday morning the 24th of July. Water temps are sitting at a balmy 80°, which is much warmer than normal for this time of year—a real treat to jump into. The early surf is small, around 2ft from the SW, but it’s got a very long period of 24 seconds, groundswell energy is moderate (621). With a light cross-offshore breeze, it’ll be clean, though that long period means it might be a little straight at the beach, but a point break like Scorpion Bay will handle it well.
Saturday the 25th is where it starts to turn on. Saturday afternoon, the swell bumps up to 4ft from the SW, the period drops slightly to 19 seconds, but the energy jumps to strong (1292) and the wind goes glassy. That’s a huge positive—glassy conditions on a building point wave. Sunday and Monday (26th, 27th) hold similar 3-4ft SW/SSW swell, with consistent offshore and cross-offshore winds, keeping the waves clean and well-shaped.
Now, the standout period is Tuesday the 28th through Thursday the 31st. Tuesday morning brings 5ft from the SSW, with a period of 17 seconds, and combined energy is strong (1547). Winds are light cross-offshore. This is excellent surf for experienced surfers, and it only gets better. By Wednesday the 29th, it’s 7-8ft SSW pushing towards 8ft on Thursday with energy cracking 3009. This is big, powerful point surf. The direction (SSW) aligns near-perfect with the optimum for Scorpion Bay. It’s consistently offshore or cross-offshore throughout. For a surfer, this is the week to be there. The only caveat is the size is well over 8ft on the 30th and 31st, so that’s expert territory. Crowds are listed as “always” here, so expect company, but for waves that good, it’s worth it.
The first week of August sees a serious drop. The morning of August 1st has some leftover 4ft from the SW, but winds get strong and the energy fades fast. From August 2nd through the 8th, we’re looking at tiny, weak swell, mostly between 1ft and 2ft. The energy is weak (in the 80 to 200 range) and conditions are mostly ordinary or poor. A few sessions might be surfable with an offshore breeze, but it’s really not worth paddling out for.
To sum it up: Wait for the end of July. The absolute best will be from Wednesday the 29th through Thursday the 30th for experienced crew in solid, clean SSW groundswell. It’s a classic Baja point break pumping.
- Rusty
Short Range ForecastModerate rain (total 11mm), heaviest on Sat afternoon. Warm (max 27°C on Fri morning, min 23°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummarySome drizzle, heaviest during Tue night. Warm (max 28°C on Wed afternoon, min 23°C on Mon night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Friday 24 | Saturday 25 | Sunday 26 | Monday 27 | Tuesday 28 | Wednesday 29 | Thursday 30 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 24 | SW 22 | SW 21 | SW 21 | SW 19 | SW 19 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SSW 18 | SSW 17 | SSW 17 | SSW 17 | SSW 17 | SSW 17 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 444 | 389 | 1338 | 622 | 1100 | 1100 | 808 | 915 | 1044 | 735 | 963 | 1294 | 1265 | 1265 | 1029 | 2429 | 2546 | 2725 | 3009 | 2713 | 1935 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross | glassy | off | cross-off | off | off | cross-off | off | off | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off | off | off | cross-off | off | off |
High Tide | 6:28PM1.32m | 7:34AM1.15m | 7:07PM1.44m | 8:01AM1.25m | 7:40PM1.55m | 8:27AM1.33m | 8:10PM1.65m | 8:52AM1.40m | 8:39PM1.73m | 9:17AM1.45m | 9:07PM1.77m | 9:42AM1.49m | 9:35PM1.78m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 12:17PM0.67m | 1:17AM0.31m | 1:00PM0.57m | 1:48AM0.19m | 1:34PM0.47m | 2:16AM0.09m | 2:03PM0.38m | 2:43AM0.01m | 2:31PM0.30m | 3:09AM-0.05m | 2:59PM0.24m | 3:35AM-0.08m | 3:27PM0.20m | 4:01AM-0.08m | |||||||
 | |  |  |  | | | |  | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
 | 5:50 | — | — | 5:50 | — | — | 5:52 | — | — | 5:52 | — | — | 5:52 | — | — | 5:52 | — | — | 5:54 | — | — |
 | — | 7:21 | — | — | 7:20 | — | — | 7:20 | — | — | 7:19 | — | — | 7:19 | — | — | 7:17 | — | — | 7:17 | — |
mm | — | — | 3 | — | 6 | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 27 | 27 | 26 | 25 | 24 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 25 | 25 | 27 | 25 | 27 | 28 | 27 | 28 | 28 | 27 |
Feels °C | 28 | 27 | 26 | 27 | 25 | 28 | 26 | 27 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 26 | 26 | 27 | 26 | 28 | 29 | 28 | 29 | 28 | 28 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 10 | SW 9 | SW 21 | SW 21 | SW 19 | SW 19 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SSW 18 | SSW 17 | SSW 17 | SSW 17 | SSW 17 | SSW 17 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 |
| kJ | 154 | 88 | 1338 | 622 | 1100 | 1100 | 808 | 915 | 1044 | 735 | 963 | 1294 | 1265 | 1265 | 1029 | 2429 | 2546 | 2725 | 3009 | 2713 | 1935 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 24 | SW 22 | SW 8 | SSW 12 | SW 12 | WSW 8 | S 11 | SW 11 | SW 12 | SW 20 | SSW 12 | S 14 | S 14 | S 14 | S 14 | NW 8 | NW 8 | — | — | — | NW 8 |
| kJ | 444 | 389 | 74 | 56 | 137 | 22 | 62 | 31 | 50 | 309 | 55 | 98 | 261 | 320 | 361 | 16 | 15 | — | — | — | 11 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 7 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | W 5 | SW 15 | SSW 11 | WSW 7 | SW 22 | S 10 | SW 12 | S 15 | NW 8 | W 8 | WSW 8 | W 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | 23 | 58 | 111 | 13 | 55 | 49 | 20 | 118 | 7 | 68 | 17 | 11 | 21 | 6 | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | W 7 | — | — | — | — | — | W 7 | WSW 7 | — | WSW 9 | W 9 | — | W 8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | 23 | — | — | — | — | — | 24 | 15 | — | 28 | 37 | — | 20 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 455 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Baja Sur | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Mexico | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Scorpion Bay (San Juanico) Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Scorpion Bay (San Juanico) provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Scorpion Bay (San Juanico) can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Scorpion Bay (San Juanico) surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Scorpion Bay (San Juanico)) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Scorpion Bay (San Juanico) may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Scorpion Bay is 121 km (75 miles) from Adolfo Lopez Mateos. If you plan a holiday in Baja Sur, look for hotels and other accommodation in Adolfo Lopez Mateos. Adolfo Lopez Mateos has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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