Scorpion Bay (San Juanico) Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let me tell you how things are shaping up here. It’s a quiet start, but there are a couple of windows that could fire if the planets line up.

First up, the main attraction: Scorpion Bay (San Juanico). It’s a point break, rated for advanced surfers, and it's inconsistent, so you have to be patient. The water temp is sitting pretty average for this time of year, nothing unusual. Over the next few days, we’ve got a really long-period groundswell rolling in from the SSW, with periods around 16 to 18 seconds. That means proper energy, but at a beach it might wall up; here on a point, it’ll line up beautifully, if it gets the right wind.

The best early call looks like Tuesday the 7th afternoon. We’ve got a clean 4ft SSW swell with an 18-second period, and the wind is cross-off. The energy is pumping. It’s not a huge wave, but that long period will push through with some real shape. Look out, because the crowds are always thick at Scorpion Bay.

Now, the week gets a bit limp after that. Through Wednesday and Thursday, the swell drops back to 3-4ft. The wind stays cross-off or offshore a lot of the time, so it’ll be clean, but the energy dips off. Saturday the 11th has a nice window in the afternoon with a clean 3ft SSW swell, 14-second period, and proper offshore wind from the west at 12 mph. That’s a solid little session, but nothing to write home about.

We hit a flat spell from about the 14th through to the 18th. The swell gets down to 1ft or 2ft, and even though the wind is often clean, there’s just not enough push. It’s surfable if you’re desperate, but honestly, it’s ordinary. The 16th is particularly poor with a cross-on wind and choppy conditions.

Hold on though, because there’s a promising pulse coming in for Sunday the 19th. The swell kicks up to 6ft from the SSW with a 12-second period. In the afternoon, the wind goes almost glassy with a light cross-off (3 mph), and the energy is massive. That is the standout of the whole forecast. At 6ft, it’s getting solid, but it’s not out of reach for a good intermediate who knows the point. The only catch: it’s a little over a week away, and for an inconsistent spot like this, that makes it promising but not yet certain.

After that, Monday the 20th sees a drop back to 3ft, but with offshore winds and clean conditions, it’s a nice coda. The 22nd adds another kick to 6ft, but with cross-shore wind, so it might be a bit messy.

Overall? The next few days are slow and small, but there’s a real flash of glory on the 19th. If you can wait, that’s the one. For now, enjoy the clean little waves when the wind plays ball, and keep an eye on that long-range pulse.

- Rusty

Read more