Scorpion Bay (San Juanico) Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's take a look at what Scorpion Bay (San Juanico) has in store for us over the next couple of weeks. This is a classic setup—a point break that needs the right swell and wind. We’ve got a solid run of surf coming, so don't be put off by a slow start. The water is sitting at 72°, which is pretty much bang on average for this time of year, so no surprises there.

Right now, the first bit of action is on the afternoon of Saturday the 4th. It's small, with waves around 2ft from the SSW, and the wind is a fresh 22 mph offshore. The energy is moderate, sitting at 408, but the conditions are clean. It's just a little undersized to get truly excited about.

Sunday the 5th sees a pick-up. The morning has a clean 3ft SSW swell with a light cross-off breeze, but the real standout of the whole week kicks off on Sunday afternoon. We get a clean 3ft SSW swell, wind turns offshore at 16 mph, and the energy climbs to a solid 676. This is the sweet spot. The point will be lining up nicely.

Monday the 6th keeps the quality high. The morning has a 3ft SSW swell with an incredible 20-second period—that’s proper groundswell energy (906). That long period means the waves will be fat and have plenty of push, perfect for a point break like this. The wind is light and cross-off. Afternoon is similar, just as good.

Tuesday the 7th remains strong. The morning gets a bit of cross-shore wind and the score drops, it's still surfable but not as clean. Don't sweat it, because Tuesday afternoon fires up again with a 4ft SSW swell, offshore wind, and energy of 967. That’s the biggest swell of the week, and it will be absolutely pumping. Keep an eye on the tide.

Wednesday the 8th through Friday the 10th stays consistent. Expect clean 3ft to 4ft SSW swells with light to moderate offshore or cross-off winds. The energy stays well into the 600s and 700s. It’s a solid run of fun, clean waves. Every afternoon looks excellent.

The weekend of the 11th and 12th sees the swell start to back off a touch, but don't write it off. Saturday morning is clean with a 4ft SSW swell. The period drops to 14 seconds, so it’s a wind swell, but still very rideable. Sunday, both sessions are clean with 3ft SSW swells. The energy is waning, but the quality is still there.

From Monday the 13th through to Thursday the 16th, the swell drops further. We're looking at 2ft to 3ft SSW and SW swells. The wind is still mostly offshore or cross-off, so the surface will be clean, but it's small. Energy dips to around 200-400. You can still get a log out or a fun little rippable wave, but it’s nothing to write home about.

Friday the 17th is a bit of a mess. The morning is tiny at 2ft, but the afternoon is a disaster with a 1ft W swell and a howling 19 mph offshore wind. It's clean but so small it's barely an option.

Saturday the 18th has a morning bump up to 3ft, but it's a choppy, cross-onshore wind. Pass. The afternoon cleans up nicely with a 2ft clean W swell.

Now, the long-range highlight. Sunday the 19th of July is worth marking on your calendar. The morning shows a promising 5ft SSW swell with light wind and clean conditions, and energy of 809. That's the biggest pulse we've seen in a while, and the wind looks perfect. It's a week and a half out, so keep an eye on the forecasts, but this one has all the ingredients to be a fantastic session at Scorpion Bay. The afternoon fades a bit.

All in all, the best days are the afternoon of the 5th, all day the 6th, the afternoon of the 7th, and pretty much every afternoon from the 5th to the 9th. Keep an eye on that Sunday the 19th as a potential long-range treat.

Rusty.

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