Scorpion Bay (San Juanico) Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a proper look at what’s coming down the line for Scorpion Bay (San Juanico). We’ve got a solid run of surf ahead, but you gotta pick your moments.

The good news is that this setup keeps delivering, especially for those who can handle a point break that likes to hold its energy. Scorpion Bay is a point break that’s fairly exposed to the swell, but it’s inconsistent, so you can’t just rock up anytime and expect perfection. When it’s on, though, it’s special.

We kick things off on Friday, August 28th. Morning sees some clouds and a light cross-offshore breeze with a 3ft SSW swell running at a very long 17 seconds. The combined energy is moderate (589), but that period is pure groundswell – that’s the kind of juice that makes a point like this sing. It’s clean and sets up nicely. The afternoon steps it up: a 5ft SSW swell, 18 seconds, and a clean offshore wind from the W at 12 mph. The energy jumps to strong (1214). This is proper. The water temp is about average for this time of year.

Saturday the 29th is a mixed bag. The morning has a cross-on breeze and a 5ft SSW swell (16 sec) that’s a bit messy, but the afternoon turns it right around with a cross-offshore breeze and 4ft SSW swell (16 sec) – clean again, with strong energy (929). Good conditions return.

Sunday the 30th stays in the game. A light cross-shore morning with 4ft SSW swell (14 sec) is alright, but the afternoon cleans up nicely with a cross-offshore wind and a 5ft S swell (12 sec). That’s moderate energy (923), but it’s clean. Monday the 31st is smaller, with 4ft to 4ft SSW swell and a dropping period down to 10 seconds. Still clean in the afternoon.

Tuesday, September 1st and Wednesday, September 2nd keep the 3ft to 4ft SW swell (11-12 sec) coming with clean conditions and offshore or cross-off winds. Energy stays moderate (492-788). Solid, repeatable waves for a session.

Now, Thursday, the 3rd, and Friday, the 4th of September, bring back that long-period magic. Thursday morning has a 3ft SW swell at 18 seconds with a slight air – that’s practically glassy. The energy is strong (982). Friday morning is similar: 4ft SSW at 16 seconds, slight air, clean, with strong energy (847). This is where you want to be. Saturday the 5th and Sunday the 6th taper off a bit, with 3ft to 3ft SSW swell (15 sec). Still clean, but smaller.

Then, hold onto your board. Monday, September 7th and Tuesday, September 8th are the true standouts. Monday morning sees a 7ft SSW swell at 12 seconds with a light offshore breeze. The energy is strong (1105). By Monday afternoon, it pumps up to a 8ft SSW swell, 13 seconds, and a clean, moderate offshore wind from the W at 16 mph. Energy is very strong (1816). This is excellent for experienced surfers – it’s big, powerful, and clean. Tuesday morning holds 8ft SSW swell at 11 seconds with a fresh offshore wind (19 mph), but the shorter period makes it more critical. The point will handle these sizes beautifully, but it’s not one for beginners. Over 8ft, that’s expert-only territory, so this is right on the edge.

Wednesday the 9th drops to 5ft SW swell (9 sec) with a strong offshore wind (25 mph). The period is short, so it’ll be a bit bumpy and harder to paddle into despite the offshore wind. Thursday the 10th is back to clean, smaller 3ft SSW swell (16 sec) with a moderate energy (603). Nice.

We end the run on Friday the 11th and Saturday the 12th of September with smaller, less appealing conditions. Friday morning has a cross-on breeze messing up a 3ft SW swell (16 sec) – poor. Saturday morning is similar with a 4ft S swell (10 sec) and cross-on wind. The best windows are clearly behind us.

Highlight: Without a doubt, Monday, September 7th afternoon and Tuesday, September 8th morning are the best on offer. That 8ft SSW swell with clean, offshore wind at Scorpion Bay is a rare treat. It’ll be powerful, long walls, and with the point setup, those long-period waves will have plenty of shape. Expect crowds – this spot is always busy when it’s this good.

Rusty.

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