Scorpion Bay (San Juanico) Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright crew, Rusty here. Let’s break down what’s brewing for Scorpion Bay over the next couple of weeks.

This is a classic point break, and it’s inconsistent, so when it’s good, you gotta be on it. The water is hangin’ at about 76°, which is a degree warmer than usual – a nice little treat. The first few days are pretty average, with tiny, weak energy, but from Friday the 17th onward, the juice starts to come on.

Wednesday the 15th is a total no-go for a paddle – a 2ft swell with a crosswind making a mess of the surface. Thursday isn’t much better. Friday morning the 17th shows a bump to 3ft with a clean offshore wind from the west, and the energy is climbing. It’s rideable, but not the highlight.

The real highlight arrives Saturday morning the 18th. We’ve got a solid 4ft of SSW swell with a 13-second period, and the wind is a gentle offshore from the west. The energy reading is 821 – a big jump. The point should be peeling off with clean, lined-up waves. This is the pick of the first week. Saturday afternoon jumps to 6ft, but the wind freshens to 35 km/h, making it a wrestling match.

Sunday the 19th through to Tuesday the 22nd morning gives a mix of solid 3ft to 5ft swell with good offshore winds. The energy stays high (between 663 and 910). The 21st looks sweet: 4ft to 5ft with gentle offshore winds and very good conditions. That’s a nice run.

Now, look at Wednesday the 22nd morning. The swell jumps to 7ft with a 14-second period, and the energy is massive at 1450. The wind is cross-shore, so it’ll be a bit bumpy. That’s a big, powerful wave for experienced hands only. If you’re advanced, you’ll be watching that one.

The second big highlight is Thursday the 23rd morning. We’ve got 7ft of SSW swell, a light offshore wind, and the energy is still massive at 1376. The text says “excellent surf conditions for experienced surfers.” That’s your best bet for a proper session. After that, the swell slowly drops through the rest of the week, but the winds stay clean.

Friday the 24th and Saturday the 25th are still chunky, but the energy drops a bit. Saturday the 25th has a 21-second period from the SW – that’s a very long period groundswell. For a point break like Scorpion Bay, that’s a dream. The wind is fresh offshore, so it’ll be clean, but the 8ft+ size on the Saturday afternoon will be big and powerful.

Into the final week (26th to 30th), the swell settles back to 4ft to 3ft with clean winds and good energy (789 to 353). It’s consistent, good surf, but nothing to get crazy about. The 26th morning has a lovely 4ft with a gentle cross-offshore breeze – a nice, mellow finish to the run.

So to wrap it: the first few days are flat and poor. The best windows are Saturday morning the 18th and Thursday morning the 23rd. For a serious, raw wave, the 22nd morning is for the big dogs. Keep an eye on that long period groundswell on the 25th – that’s what this point loves to eat.

Rusty.

Read more