
Surf Forecasts:
Scorpion Bay (San Juanico) surf forecast from 5 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Thursday 6 Aug, 5PM (local time) - 1.5ft (0.5m), 18s period, SW swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Saturday 8 Aug, 8AM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 16s period, SSW swell with 402 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 5 Aug, 8AM (local time) - 1.5ft (0.5m), 12s period with SSW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Scorpion Bay (San Juanico) this week:
The surf forecast for Scorpion Bay (San Juanico) over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Aug 05) at 8AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.5m and 12s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 14s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Scorpion Bay (San Juanico) in the next 16 days are 0.9m 16s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Aug 08) at 8AM. Winds are predicted to be glassy at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.9m 5s period and expected on Saturday (Aug 08) at 5AM.
| Wave Type | Time (MST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 8AM (Wed 5th Aug) | 1.5ft (0.5m) 12s |
| Best Surf | 5PM (Thu 6th Aug) | 1.5ft (0.5m) 18s |
| Most Powerful | 8AM (Sat 8th Aug) | 3ft (0.9m) 16s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Scorpion Bay (San Juanico) over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, mates, Rusty here. Let’s break down the next couple of weeks at Scorpion Bay (San Juanico). It’s going to be a bit of a slow grind, but there are a couple of windows where it might just turn on. This is an inconsistent wave, so you can’t be picky. The first few days are pretty small, so don’t get too excited.
We start off on Wednesday the 5th with clean, tiny surf. Early morning, it’s a weak 2ft SSW swell, with a touch of cross-off wind. The energy is in the weak zone, reading 159. It’s rideable, but you’ll be scratching for scraps. In the afternoon, the wind goes proper offshore, cleaning it up, but the swell is still only 2ft, with a long 14-second period. Energy reading is 196, still weak. Thursday the 6th is more of the same—a light cross-off morning, then a moderate offshore in the afternoon with a 2ft SW groundswell. The period stretches out to 18 seconds, but the size is still small. Energy sits at 278.
Now, here’s the first real standout: Saturday the 8th. The morning is dead glassy, with a little light rain, and a clean 3ft SSW swell. The period is a solid 16 seconds, and the energy jumps to 477. That’s moderate energy, and with zero wind, it’s going to be as smooth as a lake. This is the pick of the first week. Saturday afternoon stays clean with a moderate offshore, though the swell backs off slightly to 3ft.
Sunday the 9th gets a bit messy in the morning thanks to a cross-onshore breeze. The swell is still around 3ft, but the energy drops to 275. Skip that session. Wait for the afternoon when the offshore wind returns and cleans it all up again. We’ll see another 274 on the energy scale there.
From Monday the 10th through Wednesday the 12th, we settle into a routine. Mornings are clean with light cross-offshore winds and small SW swells between 2ft and 2ft. Afternoons are always the better call, with moderate offshore winds and the swell holding. Energy readings bounce around the 300 to 500 mark. It’s nothing to write home about, but it’s surfable.
Then, things start to build. Friday the 14th is where the magic happens. The morning has a clean 3ft SSW swell, and the energy climbs to 663. But the afternoon is the best session of the whole forecast. The swell bumps up to 4ft, the period is a juicy 17 seconds, and the energy rockets to 816. That’s strong wave energy, and with a moderate offshore wind, this is the one to circle on the calendar. It’s not massive, but for this spot, it’s as good as it gets.
The weekend of the 15th and 16th holds onto some size with 4ft swells on Saturday, but the energy drops back a bit. Sunday the 16th we’re back down to 3ft with a shorter 15-second period. The morning has a cross-shore breeze, but the afternoon turns offshore and cleans up.
The second week starts to fade. From the 17th through the 20th, we see consistent 3ft SSW swells, with periods hanging between 13 and 15 seconds. Mornings are often clean with light winds, and afternoons bring a moderate offshore. Energy readings stay in the 270 to 340 range, so it’s weak to moderate. It’s not going to be epic, but the consistency of the afternoon offshore winds means there will be something to surf most days.
So, the bottom line. The standout sessions are clearly Saturday morning the 8th for that dead flat calm, and definitely Friday afternoon the 14th when the swell and energy peak together. That Friday is the one to be out there for. For the second week, it’s all about smaller, cleaner afternoon waves. Just remember, this spot is inconsistent, so you gotta be ready to go when it’s good.
Until next time, this is Rusty, signing off.
Short Range ForecastSome drizzle, heaviest during Fri afternoon. Warm (max 28°C on Fri morning, min 23°C on Wed morning). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 7mm), mostly falling on Sat morning. Warm (max 28°C on Sat morning, min 24°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wednesday 5 | Thursday 6 | Friday 7 | Saturday 8 | Sunday 9 | Monday 10 | Tuesday 11 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 12 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 20 | SW 18 | SSW 19 | SSW 18 | SSW 17 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SW 19 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SSW 17 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
82 | 127 | 118 | 142 | 157 | 238 | 270 | 386 | 232 | 402 | 377 | 242 | 236 | 223 | 201 | 198 | 219 | 123 | 319 | 316 | 195 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off | off | off | cross-off | off | off | cross-off | off | glassy | cross-on | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off | off | off |
High Tide | 1:18PM1.31m | 2:04AM1.05m | 2:45PM1.26m | 4:30AM1.00m | 4:34PM1.31m | 6:13AM1.12m | 5:55PM1.47m | 7:09AM1.28m | 6:51PM1.64m | 7:51AM1.41m | 7:37PM1.78m | 8:27AM1.51m | 8:17PM1.88m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 7:56PM0.49m | 7:57AM0.59m | 10:01PM0.48m | 9:58AM0.67m | 11:45PM0.32m | 11:40AM0.60m | 00:47AM0.13m | 12:42PM0.46m | 1:34AM-0.04m | 1:29PM0.32m | 2:13AM-0.16m | 2:09PM0.21m | 2:50AM-0.21m | ||||||||
5:56 | — | — | 5:56 | — | — | 5:58 | — | — | 5:58 | — | — | 5:58 | — | — | 5:58 | — | — | 6:00 | — | — | |
— | 7:14 | — | — | 7:13 | — | — | 7:12 | — | — | 7:12 | — | — | 7:10 | — | — | 7:09 | — | — | 7:08 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 25 | 25 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 24 | 28 | 27 | 26 | 28 | 28 | 25 | 27 | 27 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 26 | 26 | 27 | 26 |
Feels °C | 26 | 25 | 24 | 26 | 26 | 24 | 28 | 26 | 28 | 29 | 27 | 25 | 28 | 27 | 25 | 27 | 27 | 26 | 26 | 27 | 25 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 12 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SSW 13 | SW 13 | SSW 17 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | W 6 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 12 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SSW 13 |
82 | 127 | 118 | 142 | 85 | 151 | 134 | 386 | 232 | 402 | 377 | 40 | 236 | 223 | 201 | 198 | 219 | 123 | 319 | 316 | 98 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 14 | SSW 12 | SW 20 | SW 20 | SW 18 | SSW 19 | SSW 18 | SW 12 | SSW 12 | SW 12 | SSW 12 | SSW 15 | W 5 | SSW 22 | W 4 | SW 20 | SW 19 | SW 19 | SSW 12 | SSW 13 | SSW 17 |
73 | 46 | 97 | 100 | 157 | 238 | 270 | 74 | 127 | 69 | 56 | 242 | 12 | 45 | 5 | 134 | 184 | 95 | 113 | 149 | 195 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 7 | SW 20 | S 9 | S 9 | S 11 | S 9 | S 8 | S 10 | S 12 | S 8 | S 9 | SW 11 | SW 11 | SSW 11 | SW 21 | W 4 | W 12 | SSW 15 | SW 14 | S 13 | S 13 |
4 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 36 | 13 | 11 | 17 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 30 | 31 | 12 | 71 | 3 | 11 | 21 | 32 | 30 | 30 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | W 7 | W 3 | W 6 | WNW 3 | W 4 | WNW 4 | W 4 | WNW 5 | WNW 5 | W 4 | — | — | W 5 | WNW 4 | — | WNW 4 | W 3 | — | — | W 4 |
— | 4 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 15 | 35 | 17 | 16 | — | — | 7 | 6 | — | 4 | 2 | — | — | 3 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 455 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 455 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Baja Sur | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Mexico | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Scorpion Bay (San Juanico) Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Scorpion Bay (San Juanico) provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Scorpion Bay (San Juanico) can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Scorpion Bay (San Juanico) surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Scorpion Bay (San Juanico)) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Scorpion Bay (San Juanico) may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Scorpion Bay is 121 km (75 miles) from Adolfo Lopez Mateos. If you plan a holiday in Baja Sur, look for hotels and other accommodation in Adolfo Lopez Mateos. Adolfo Lopez Mateos has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.










