Surf Forecasts:
Scorpion Bay (San Juanico) surf forecast from 11 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Friday 14 Aug, 8AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.8m), 18s period, SSW swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Friday 14 Aug, 2PM (local time) - 4ft (1.2m), 18s period, SSW swell with 817 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 10 Aug, 11PM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.8m), 13s period with SSW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Scorpion Bay (San Juanico) this week:
The surf forecast for Scorpion Bay (San Juanico) over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 10) at 11PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.8m and 13s period with a secondary swell of 0.5m and 19s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Scorpion Bay (San Juanico) in the next 16 days are 1.2m 18s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Aug 14) at 2PM. Winds are predicted to be offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.1m 6s period and expected on Sunday (Aug 16) at 11PM.
| Wave Type | Time (MST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 11PM (Mon 10th Aug) | 2.5ft (0.8m) 13s |
| Best Surf | 8AM (Fri 14th Aug) | 2.5ft (0.8m) 18s |
| Most Powerful | 2PM (Fri 14th Aug) | 4ft (1.2m) 18s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Scorpion Bay (San Juanico) over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, let’s break it down for y’all in feet and miles.
We’re talking about Scorpion Bay (San Juanico) again—a classic point break that can serve up long, dreamy rides, but it doesn’t break all that often.
Right from Monday afternoon, we see some small but clean pulses starting to show. Swell is coming from the SSW with a period of 19 seconds—that’s real long-period groundswell. The energy is decent, sitting at 481. Water temp is a very unusual 82°, a lot warmer than normal, which feels nice. Conditions are clean and offshore.
The big highlight is Friday the 14th and Saturday the 15th of August. On Friday morning, there’s a clean 3ft swell from the SSW at 18 seconds with a moderate offshore wind. The combined energy goes up to 723. That’s the top of the heap. Saturday morning bumps up to about 4ft with light cross-offshore winds from the WSW at around 6 mph. Real clean, almost glassy. Perfect.
Saturday afternoon stays around 4ft with offshore breezes. But this spot gets *always* crowded, so be ready for a crowd—it’s a rare wave when it works, and it’s best for advanced riders because those long walls require some skill.
Sunday the 16th drops to about 3ft, still clean. After that, from the 18th onward it gets pretty ordinary—smaller, weaker, and some onshore days. By late August, it’s down to around 2-2ft with low energy, nothing worth paddling out for.
Bottom line: the window from the 14th to the 16th is your shot. Clean, long-period swell with good wind. Don’t sleep on it.
- Rusty
Short Range ForecastSome drizzle, heaviest during Mon night. Warm (max 28°C on Mon afternoon, min 24°C on Mon night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 30°C on Fri afternoon, min 24°C on Thu night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the WNW on Thu afternoon, calm by Sat night). | |||||||||||||||||||
Mon 10 | Tuesday 11 | Wednesday 12 | Thursday 13 | Friday 14 | Saturday 15 | Sunday 16 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 19 | SW 19 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SSW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SSW 19 | SSW 18 | SSW 17 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 |
Wave Graph  | ||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 251 | 115 | 319 | 316 | 195 | 264 | 206 | 280 | 291 | 248 | 251 | 404 | 798 | 691 | 674 | 666 | 523 | 367 | 367 | 362 |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | off | off | cross-off | off | off | cross-off | off | off | off | off | off | off | off | off | cross-off | off | glassy | cross-off | off | glassy |
High Tide | 7:37PM1.78m | 8:27AM1.51m | 8:17PM1.88m | 9:01AM1.57m | 8:54PM1.91m | 9:32AM1.60m | 9:29PM1.86m | 10:02AM1.58m | 10:02PM1.76m | 10:30AM1.54m | 10:33PM1.60m | 10:57AM1.47m | 11:02PM1.42m | |||||||
Low Tide | 2:13AM-0.16m | 2:09PM0.21m | 2:50AM-0.21m | 2:46PM0.13m | 3:23AM-0.20m | 3:21PM0.10m | 3:53AM-0.13m | 3:54PM0.12m | 4:22AM-0.02m | 4:27PM0.18m | 4:48AM0.13m | 4:59PM0.28m | ||||||||
 |  | | |  | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
 | — | — | 6:00 | — | — | 6:00 | — | — | 6:01 | — | — | 6:01 | — | — | 6:01 | — | — | 6:01 | — | — |
 | 7:09 | — | — | 7:08 | — | — | 7:07 | — | — | 7:07 | — | — | 7:07 | — | — | 7:06 | — | — | 7:05 | — |
mm | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 28 | 26 | 27 | 27 | 25 | 28 | 27 | 25 | 28 | 27 | 26 | 29 | 30 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 26 | 28 | 30 | 29 |
Feels °C | 29 | 27 | 29 | 28 | 26 | 28 | 26 | 24 | 27 | 25 | 27 | 26 | 26 | 25 | 27 | 26 | 26 | 29 | 28 | 30 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 13 | SSW 12 | SW 18 | SW 13 | SSW 13 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 14 | SSW 15 | SSW 17 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 |
| kJ | 219 | 115 | 319 | 202 | 135 | 264 | 206 | 280 | 291 | 248 | 251 | 275 | 798 | 691 | 674 | 666 | 523 | 367 | 367 | 362 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 19 | SW 19 | SSW 12 | SW 18 | SSW 17 | SSW 10 | SSW 10 | S 12 | SSW 11 | S 13 | SSW 19 | SSW 18 | S 12 | S 11 | S 11 | S 10 | W 6 | WSW 11 | WSW 12 | WSW 12 |
| kJ | 251 | 95 | 127 | 316 | 195 | 32 | 33 | 45 | 40 | 86 | 236 | 404 | 24 | 21 | 20 | 19 | 40 | 25 | 28 | 27 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 12 | SW 14 | SW 14 | S 13 | S 13 | S 12 | S 12 | SSW 9 | SW 21 | SW 20 | S 12 | S 12 | SW 7 | SW 7 | W 12 | W 12 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | S 9 |
| kJ | 11 | 54 | 33 | 13 | 29 | 47 | 46 | 29 | 69 | 186 | 75 | 44 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 7 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WNW 5 | W 3 | — | — | W 4 | W 4 | W 4 | W 5 | WNW 4 | W 4 | WNW 5 | WNW 4 | WNW 4 | WNW 6 | WNW 5 | W 4 | — | WNW 5 | WNW 4 | WNW 6 |
| kJ | 5 | 2 | — | — | 15 | 9 | 6 | 32 | 16 | 22 | 46 | 32 | 34 | 67 | 19 | 10 | — | 20 | 15 | 68 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 455 | 0 | 0 | 455 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 455 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Baja Sur | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Mexico | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Scorpion Bay (San Juanico) Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Scorpion Bay (San Juanico) provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Scorpion Bay (San Juanico) can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Scorpion Bay (San Juanico) surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Scorpion Bay (San Juanico)) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Scorpion Bay (San Juanico) may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Scorpion Bay is 121 km (75 miles) from Adolfo Lopez Mateos. If you plan a holiday in Baja Sur, look for hotels and other accommodation in Adolfo Lopez Mateos. Adolfo Lopez Mateos has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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