Scorpion Bay (San Juanico) Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here, let's talk about what's on the menu for Scorpion Bay.

The next 16 days are looking pretty good for the long, rifling point break at Scorpion Bay (San Juanico). We’ve got a nice, consistent run of clean, rideable waves coming in, but the real standout action is definitely in the second week. The water is a surprising 81°F right now – that’s much warmer than usual for this time of year, so you might not even need a spring suit.

We kick off Friday the 31st with some fun swell. It’s a clean 3ft SSW groundswell with a 13-second period, blowing straight offshore from the west. The ocean’s got a moderate amount of energy humming (336), and it’s going to be a beautiful afternoon. Saturday the 1st is a bit smaller at 3ft, but still clean in the morning with a light cross-offshore breeze. The swell stays in the 2ft to 3ft range through the first week. The wind is mostly offshore or cross-offshore, keeping things tidy. It’s not huge, but it’s consistent and clean for a classic point break roll.

Now, let’s talk about the real standout. The best window is from Friday, August 7th, through to the end of the run. The swell picks up in energy, and the period gets long. On Friday the 7th, we’ve got 2ft to 3ft SSW swell, but the period jumps to 17-18 seconds. That’s proper groundswell, and you can feel it in the energy readings – 453 (moderate) on Friday morning, jumping to a strong 524 (moderate) in the afternoon. The wind is offshore from the west, so you’re looking at absolute perfection. The long period will make the waves at Scorpion Bay stand up and reel off beautifully, though it’s an inconsistent break, so you’ll be waiting for those sets. Keep in mind the crowd situation: it’s “always” crowded here, so get there early or be ready to share.

Saturday the 8th is almost a carbon copy, with 3ft SSW swell at 16 seconds and offshore winds. The energy is still strong (478). The best of the best might be Tuesday the 11th afternoon. The swell is 3ft from the SSW, but the period is a very long 18 seconds, and the combined energy is a powerful 562 (strong). The wind is offshore, and the conditions are perfect. That’s the session to circle on your calendar. Even into the second week, the 14th and 15th keep the energy up with more long-period SSW groundswell and offshore winds. The 15th afternoon looks clean again.

The only real hiccup is Monday the 3rd, which is small and sloppy, and Saturday the 15th morning sees a cross-onshore wind that makes things messy. But overall, this is a solid run for the point. The long period swells are perfect for a reef and point setup like this, but remember, with the long gap between sets, be patient. The consistency is low, but the quality is high.

Signing off, Rusty.

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