Scorpion Bay (San Juanico) Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s talk about what’s on the menu at Scorpion Bay.

Right now, the start of the period is a bit of a slow cooker. The waves are small and the conditions are just ordinary, nothing to get excited about yet. But don’t worry, because this setup is building towards a proper run of clean, long-period groundswell that’s going to light up this famous point.

The water is cooking at 82° with a massive anomaly of 6°, so it’s much warmer than normal for this time of year. That’s unusual, but it makes for a comfortable session.

The first real standout lands on Friday, August 7th. The morning kicks off with clean 3ft swell from the SSW, with a period of 18 seconds – that’s proper long-period groundswell. The combined energy hits 429 (moderate), and with light cross-offshore winds, the waves are going to be clean and lined up. By the afternoon, the wind goes offshore and the swell holds, making it a top call for the day.

But the absolute best on offer is Friday, August 14th. The morning shows 4ft of SW groundswell, with a 17-second period, and the combined energy is pumping at 772 (strong). The wind is light and cross-offshore, setting up long, glassy walls. This is expert-level territory – the size is over 5ft, so it’s serious for the average punter, but for those who know this point, it’s going to be a dream. The afternoons hold with offshore wind and the same punchy swell.

Saturday, August 8th is also a solid pick with 3ft SSW swell, a 16-second period, and clean conditions, though the afternoon gets a bit breezier with a moderate offshore from the WNW. Still, crowd levels are always an issue here, so be ready for company.

From the 9th through the 13th, the surf stays good to very good, with consistent 2ft to 3ft SSW and SW swell, periods in the 14-20 second range, and mostly clean conditions. The combined energy stays in the moderate to strong range (274 to 516). The morning sessions are generally the cleanest with light winds.

The 12th and 13th have some morning cross-shore chop, but the afternoons clean up nicely with offshore wind.

The run continues strong through the 15th and 16th with 3ft swell and offshore winds, but by Monday, August 17th, the wind swings cross-onshore and the conditions get choppy and poor. That’s the end of the good run.

So to wrap it up: the first few days are forgettable, but from August 7th through the 16th, Scorpion Bay is going to be firing. The 14th is the best of the bunch – big, clean, long-period groundswell. Keep your eyes on that one.

Rusty.

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