Scorpion Bay (San Juanico) Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s get into it.

We’re looking at a solid run of surf coming up at Scorpion Bay (San Juanico). This place is a classic point break that needs a specific swell angle, and it looks like we’re about to get it. The water temp is about average for this time of year, so nothing unusual there.

The pattern starts Saturday, August 8th, with a bit of a mixed bag. Saturday morning is a write-off – cross-onshore wind and small, messy waves. But hold on, because Saturday afternoon the wind swings offshore and we get a clean 3ft SSW groundswell with a long 16-second period. That’s the kind of energy that makes a point break like this one sing. The combined energy is moderate (439), and the conditions are clean. This is a good start, but it’s just the warm-up.

Sunday is a bit of a dud with some rain and a storm risk, so we’ll skip that.

Monday, August 10th, is where it starts to get interesting. Monday morning is clean with a 3ft SSW swell, 13-second period, and light cross-offshore winds. The energy is moderate (335). Monday afternoon gets even better: the wind goes fully offshore at 12 mph, the swell stays at 3ft, and the energy jumps to 414. This is clean, fun, and very surfable.

Tuesday and Wednesday keep the good times rolling with consistent offshore winds, clean conditions, and a steady 2–3ft SSW swell. The period stays around 16 seconds, which is prime for this point. The energy is in the moderate range (300–480). It’s not huge, but it’s quality. Crowds are a given here – it’s always busy, so be prepared to share the waves.

Now, the real standout. Friday, August 14th, and Saturday, August 15th. This is the best on offer. Friday afternoon sees the swell jump to 4ft from the SSW, with a 17-second period and a moderate offshore wind. The combined energy is strong at 855. That’s a lot of power for a point break. Saturday morning holds that 4ft swell with clean conditions and a gentle breeze. The energy is still high at 699. This is the sweet spot – solid, clean, groundswell pushing in with that long period. It’s not too big for experienced surfers, but beginners might find it a bit much at 4ft.

After that, the swell backs off a touch into the following week, but the wind stays favorable through most of it. From August 17th to the 20th, we’re looking at 3ft to 3ft SSW swell with mostly offshore or cross-offshore winds. The energy drops back to the moderate range (250–460). It’s still good, clean surf, just not as punchy as that Friday and Saturday peak.

By the time we get to August 21st and 22nd, the waves are still there, but the quality drops a bit. The comment says "surfable waves but very ordinary conditions." The energy is getting lower (210–250). It’s still ridable, but it’s not the highlight.

So, to wrap it up: the first few days are a mixed bag, but the clear standouts are Friday, August 14th, and Saturday, August 15th. That’s the window for the best of this swell. It’s a point break, so that long-period groundswell will wrap in beautifully. Just expect the usual crowd at Scorpion Bay.

Rusty.

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