Surf Forecasts:
Scorpion Bay (San Juanico) surf forecast from 29 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Wednesday 29 Jul, 2AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.4m), 16s period, SSW swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Wednesday 29 Jul, 5PM (local time) - 7ft (2.1m), 15s period, SSW swell with 1,976 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 29 Jul, 2AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.4m), 16s period with SSW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Scorpion Bay (San Juanico) this week:
The surf forecast for Scorpion Bay (San Juanico) over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 29) at 2AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.4m and 16s period with a secondary swell of 1.5m and 13s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Scorpion Bay (San Juanico) in the next 16 days are 2.1m 15s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 29) at 5PM. Winds are predicted to be offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.9m 5s period and expected on Thursday (Jul 30) at 11PM.
| Wave Type | Time (MST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 2AM (Wed 29th Jul) | 4.5ft (1.4m) 16s |
| Best Surf | 2AM (Wed 29th Jul) | 4.5ft (1.4m) 16s |
| Most Powerful | 5PM (Wed 29th Jul) | 7ft (2.1m) 15s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Scorpion Bay (San Juanico) over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what's cookin' for the next couple of weeks at Scorpion Bay.
The big news is a solid pulse of long-period SSW groundswell rolling in right off the bat. This is a spot that loves that direction, and we’re looking at some real quality. That water is also running about 80°, which is much warmer than normal for late July, so you can leave the steamers at home.
The standout window kicks off on Tuesday the 28th of July. Tuesday afternoon is the pick of the entire forecast. We've got a solid 7ft SSW groundswell with a very long 17-second period pumping in. The wave energy is strong, coming in at 3742, and with a clean 20 km/h offshore breeze, Scorpion Bay is going to be absolutely firing. This is serious, advanced-level surf; not for the faint of heart or the under-skilled. Even though it's an inconsistent break, when it turns on like this, it's magic. It’ll be a lineup of local chargers, but the waves will be worth the crowd.
Wednesday the 29th keeps the fun going. The morning session is still excellent, with 6ft SSW groundswell and a 13-second period, but the breeze is a light cross-off. It's still clean and quality. By Wednesday afternoon, the wind picks up to a solid offshore again at 25 km/h, with the swell jumping back to 7ft. A touch more wind, but still on the cards. Thursday the 30th drops off a notch, with the swell backing down, but you’ll still find clean 6ft waves in the afternoon with solid offshore winds.
After that, the surf dwindles. Friday the 31st through the middle of the first week of August drops down to small, weak waves under 3ft and low energy. We're looking at a stretch of small, unremarkable conditions for about a week. There's not much to get excited about.
The second week shows a flicker of life. Around Friday the 7th of August, we see a new little bump of 2ft SSW groundswell coming in, but with a very long 18-second period, it'll be more for the patient ones. The following days from the 8th to the 12th of August see small, clean, but ultimately weak, surf in the 2ft to 3ft range. It's surfable for a log or a funboard, but nothing like that first blast of energy. This spot is often inconsistent, so a blank run like this is pretty normal.
Do not miss that Tuesday the 28th of July. That’s the one.
Stay wet,
Rusty
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 28°C on Wed afternoon, min 23°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 5mm), mostly falling on Sat night. Warm (max 28°C on Fri afternoon, min 23°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light. | |||||||||||||||||||
Tue 28 | Wednesday 29 | Thursday 30 | Friday 31 | Saturday 1 | Sunday 2 | Monday 3 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 17 | SSW 16 | SSW 13 | SSW 15 | SSW 13 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 11 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SW 14 | SSW 12 | SSW 13 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 16 | SW 12 |
Wave Graph  | ||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 2442 | 1016 | 1127 | 1976 | 938 | 630 | 1295 | 373 | 331 | 273 | 242 | 209 | 201 | 92 | 81 | 116 | 46 | 39 | 71 | 40 |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | off | off | cross-off | off | off | cross-off | off | off | cross-off | off | cross-on | cross | off | cross-off | cross-off | off | off | cross-off | cross-off | off |
High Tide | 8:39PM1.73m | 9:17AM1.45m | 9:07PM1.77m | 9:42AM1.49m | 9:35PM1.78m | 10:09AM1.51m | 10:04PM1.75m | 10:37AM1.51m | 10:35PM1.68m | 11:07AM1.49m | 11:09PM1.57m | 11:41AM1.45m | 11:48PM1.41m | |||||||
Low Tide | 2:31PM0.30m | 3:09AM-0.05m | 2:59PM0.24m | 3:35AM-0.08m | 3:27PM0.20m | 4:01AM-0.08m | 3:56PM0.19m | 4:28AM-0.04m | 4:28PM0.20m | 4:57AM0.03m | 5:02PM0.24m | 5:28AM0.13m | 5:44PM0.31m | |||||||
 |  | | | | | | | | |  |  | |  | | | | | | | |
 | — | — | 5:52 | — | — | 5:54 | — | — | 5:54 | — | — | 5:54 | — | — | 5:54 | — | — | 5:56 | — | — |
 | 7:19 | — | — | 7:17 | — | — | 7:17 | — | — | 7:16 | — | — | 7:15 | — | — | 7:15 | — | — | 7:15 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 4 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 27 | 25 | 27 | 28 | 26 | 28 | 27 | 25 | 27 | 28 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 25 | 26 | 26 | 25 | 25 | 26 | 25 |
Feels °C | 27 | 25 | 29 | 28 | 24 | 25 | 25 | 24 | 27 | 27 | 25 | 28 | 27 | 25 | 28 | 27 | 26 | 26 | 27 | 26 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 17 | S 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 15 | SSW 13 | SSW 12 | SSW 14 | SSW 11 | SSW 13 | SW 9 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | SSW 13 | W 4 | SW 12 | SSW 14 | W 4 |
| kJ | 2442 | 759 | 1127 | 1976 | 938 | 560 | 1295 | 317 | 331 | 135 | 242 | 209 | 201 | 82 | 81 | 116 | 10 | 39 | 71 | 5 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 17 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | — | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | — | SSW 13 | SW 10 | SSW 13 | SW 10 | SW 10 | SW 9 | WSW 9 | WSW 8 | WSW 8 | SSW 12 | SSW 11 | WSW 7 | SW 12 |
| kJ | 1279 | 1016 | 733 | — | 627 | 630 | — | 373 | 181 | 273 | 133 | 77 | 70 | 50 | 26 | 24 | 46 | 38 | 18 | 39 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | WNW 8 | — | — | — | S 12 | — | W 10 | W 5 | S 21 | W 5 | WNW 5 | SW 19 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SSW 12 | SW 13 | W 4 | SW 16 | SW 16 |
| kJ | — | 6 | — | — | — | 3 | — | 2 | 17 | 9 | 27 | 9 | 15 | 92 | 63 | 46 | 42 | 6 | 66 | 40 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 8 | W 4 | WNW 4 | WNW 4 | W 5 | W 4 | W 4 | WNW 5 | WNW 5 | W 4 | — | — | W 5 | WNW 4 | — | W 3 | — | — | WNW 10 | — |
| kJ | 21 | 9 | 7 | 13 | 22 | 9 | 16 | 43 | 30 | 9 | — | — | 8 | 10 | — | 3 | — | — | 55 | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 455 | 0 | 455 | 455 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 373 | 456 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Baja Sur | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Mexico | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Scorpion Bay (San Juanico) Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Scorpion Bay (San Juanico) provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Scorpion Bay (San Juanico) can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Scorpion Bay (San Juanico) surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Scorpion Bay (San Juanico)) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Scorpion Bay (San Juanico) may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Scorpion Bay is 121 km (75 miles) from Adolfo Lopez Mateos. If you plan a holiday in Baja Sur, look for hotels and other accommodation in Adolfo Lopez Mateos. Adolfo Lopez Mateos has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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