Scorpion Bay (San Juanico) Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, grab your stick and listen up. Rusty here, and I’ve got the lowdown on Scorpion Bay for the next couple of weeks. It’s gonna be a slow burner, but there’s some real magic waiting if you’re patient.

Right off the bat, the water is running way warmer than normal for this time of year—over three degrees hotter. That’s unusual, but it feels nice, especially on a point break like this that needs a bit of patience.

We start off Friday morning with a clean 3 ft swell from the SSW, period a solid 15 seconds, and a gentle offshore breeze from the WNW. It’s not big, but it’s a proper long-period groundswell, and at a point break like Scorpion Bay, that translates to long, lined-up walls. The wave energy is moderate (354), and with offshore winds, this is a solid session for the advanced crew. That Friday afternoon stays clean with a moderate offshore, so you can surf through the day. Saturday holds similar conditions, with clean lines on a 2 ft to 2 ft SSW swell. It’s small but workable, especially Saturday morning when it’s clean.

Sunday and Monday drop off. We’re looking at 2 ft to 2 ft swell, and while the water stays clean, the energy is low. Monday’s period jumps to 18 seconds—very long—but at that size, you’re just waiting for the one set. It’s still surfable but ordinary.

Now, here’s where it starts to build. Tuesday the 15th is the first standout. Morning has a 2 ft SSW swell with a 16-second period, clean conditions, and a light breeze. But the real fire comes in the afternoon: 2 ft SW, period 17 seconds, with offshore wind. The wave energy jumps to 419 (moderate). That combination of long-period groundswell and offshore wind on a point break like Scorpion Bay is a recipe for smooth, rideable walls. This is the session to circle.

Wednesday the 16th is also looking prime. Morning has 3 ft from the SSW, 16 seconds, clean, and the energy is strong (526). It’s still manageable for advanced surfers, but the quality is there. The standouts keep rolling into Thursday the 17th: morning has a clean 3 ft SSW swell, 14 seconds, and a gentle offshore. Energy is strong (565). This is the biggest, cleanest morning of the run so far. The afternoon picks up a fresh offshore breeze, so it’ll be a bit more textured but still good.

After that, the swell dips again on Friday the 18th and Saturday the 19th, dropping to 2 ft with very long periods (18-19 seconds). Clean, but you’re hunting for the sets. Not a total loss, but not the main event.

The second week opens strong. Sunday the 20th morning is another highlight: 3 ft SW, 19 seconds, light breeze, energy very strong (616). Then Monday the 21st morning might be the best of the entire outlook: 3 ft SW, 17 seconds, glassy conditions with a light breeze, and the energy is 652. That’s the strongest, cleanest combo in the whole forecast. This is the one to aim for if you can wait.

Tuesday the 22nd and Wednesday the 23rd drop off a bit—still surfable, but the conditions get a little cross or cross-off, and the energy is moderate. Thursday the 24th picks back up with a clean 3 ft SSW, 14 seconds, and a light offshore in the morning. Friday the 25th is small but clean again.

The final Saturday, the 26th, sees a 2 ft SW swell with offshore winds, wrapping up the period with clean, small waves.

Overall, the pattern is clear: small to moderate groundswell all the way, but with some standout days where the energy, period, and wind all line up. The point break at Scorpion Bay will handle the longer periods well, giving you those long, drawn-out rides. Just remember, this spot is inconsistent and always crowded, so expect company. For beginners, the swell stays under 5 ft, so it’s manageable, but the long period can make it tricky. This is a break for the advanced surfer who knows the lineup.

Best bets: Tuesday afternoon the 15th, Thursday morning the 17th, and the absolute winner—Monday morning the 21st. Mark it.

Rusty.

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