Scorpion Bay (San Juanico) Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s get into it.

We’re looking at Scorpion Bay, and the next couple of weeks have a bit of a slow start, but there’s some serious firepower waiting for us down the line. The first week is all about small, clean, and consistent waves, perfect for getting the rust off the longboard. Then, we’ve got a real standout window that’s going to have the experienced crew frothing. The water is sitting at 84° right now, which is much warmer than normal for this time of year – you won’t need a wetsuit, that’s for sure.

The story starts Sunday afternoon, the 23rd of August. It’s pretty small, with a 2 ft swell running from the SW, but the period is a massive 18 seconds. That long-period groundswell will be wrapping into the point perfectly. The wind is a light cross-off, so it’ll be clean. The energy is weak (304), but don’t let that fool you; those long-period lines will have some shape. Monday morning builds to 3 ft from the S, still clean. The real pick of the first few days is Monday afternoon, the 24th, with a 5 ft SSW swell, period dropping to 12 seconds, and proper offshore wind from the W. That’ll be clean and fun. The energy is picking up into the moderate range (736). Tuesday the 25th holds similar conditions, 5 ft to 6 ft with offshore wind, but it’s right on the edge of being too big for beginners. Wednesday and Thursday are smaller again, but still clean with offshore winds. The energy dips back down to the 200-300 range.

Friday the 28th of August afternoon is a nice little standout. The swell jumps to 4 ft from the SSW, period is a very long 18 seconds, and we’ve got moderate offshore wind. The combined energy is strong (1133), meaning those waves will have some push. It’s a good one for the experienced surfer.

Saturday the 29th is a bit of a write-off in the morning with cross-onshore wind, but it cleans up in the afternoon. Sunday the 30th is marginal, with light cross-onshore winds and tricky conditions. Monday the 31st morning has a 5 ft S swell and clean, cross-off wind, but the energy is still moderate (719).

Now, here’s the big one. Mark your calendars for the 3rd of September, Thursday. That’s the absolute standout session. The morning has a 4 ft SSW swell, but the period is a massive 19 seconds, and the combined energy is a very strong 1343. The wind is light and cross-off. The afternoon is even better, with 4 ft and an energy of 1473. The water is still clean, the conditions are rated as excellent. This is a session for the experienced crew – the long-period groundswell will be a dream on that point. Remember, it’s inconsistent here, so you’ll be waiting for the sets, but the ones that come through will be gold.

After that, the 4th of September is a no-go. Strong onshore winds from the SE with a 6 ft to 7 ft S swell makes for poor, choppy conditions. The energy is massive (up to 2544), but it’s a mess. The 5th of September starts messy, but Saturday afternoon cleans up beautifully with a 8 ft SSW swell, light cross-off wind, and strong energy (2794). That’s a big, powerful swell for experts only. The 6th and 7th of September have more clean, solid swell in the 4 ft to 7 ft range, though the 7th afternoon has a big 13 ft S swell with offshore wind, pushing the energy to a massive 3343. That is a serious, serious swell, and it’s only for the most experienced.

So, to wrap it up: the first week is small, clean, and fun. The standout is Thursday the 3rd of September for its quality and shape. The big, powerful swells on the 5th and 7th are for experts only. This is a spot that rewards patience, and we’ve got some real gems coming.

Rusty, signing off.

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