Scorpion Bay (San Juanico) Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, grab your board and let’s talk about what’s coming up. We’re looking at Scorpion Bay (San Juanico) – a point break that’s rated for advanced surfers and can be inconsistent, but when it lines up, it’s special. Right now we’ve got some decent swell rolling in and the water is sitting at about 78°, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year – nice for a long session without a wetsuit.

The swell is coming from the SSW, which is the optimum direction for this spot, and the early period has some solid groundswell. Sunday morning starts a little messy with light cross-shore wind and surf around 3 ft, but the afternoon cleans up with a WSW cross-off breeze and 4 ft swell. Not huge, but clean.

Monday and Tuesday keep things fun. Monday has 4 ft SW groundswell with 16 second periods and clean conditions. Tuesday morning brings WNW offshore wind at 12 mph and a 3 ft SW swell, making for clean, lined-up waves. The energy is moderate – around 487 to 799 range. Afternoon Tuesday sees the wind pick up to 19 mph offshore, but the swell drops a touch to 3 ft.

Wednesday morning stays clean with 3 ft SSW swell, and Wednesday afternoon has a bit more juice: 3 ft and offshore wind, but the energy dips. Thursday afternoon is a real highlight – 5 ft SSW swell, light WSW cross-off breeze, clean conditions, and moderate energy (740). That’s one of the better windows early on.

Now, the real standout arrives on Saturday, July 25th. Morning has 3 ft SW swell with a 21 second period – that’s very long period groundswell, bringing heaps of energy (904) and perfect for the point. By the afternoon, the swell bumps to 4 ft, but the wind cranks up to 16 mph offshore. The combined energy jumps to 1486, so expect some power. This is the best combination of size, direction, and conditions in the first week.

The following week kicks off with some clean conditions on Monday, July 27th afternoon – 4 ft SSW, light cross-off wind. Then Tuesday, July 28th morning fires up: 5 ft SSW swell, light SW wind, and clean lines. The combined energy is 1510 – solid and punchy. That morning and the afternoon session (5 ft, 1398 energy) are excellent for experienced surfers. Crowds are always an issue at Scorpion Bay, so expect company.

Thursday, July 30th brings big swell – 10 ft to 12 ft S swell, with 15 second periods. That’s for experts only. Energy is off the charts – 4749 to 5906. But the wind is cross or cross-on, so it’s going to be lumpy and choppy. Not ideal for a clean wave, but if you’re after raw power, it’s there. Friday, July 31st looks cleaner: 10 ft SSW in the morning with light cross-off wind, then 8 ft in the afternoon with 12 mph offshore wind. That’s still expert territory, but the energy is slightly lower (around 1598-2981) and the conditions are way better.

From Saturday, August 1st onwards, the swell drops fast. Offshore winds turn fresh, but waves are down to 4 ft or less. By Sunday and Monday, it’s small – 1 ft to 2 ft – and the energy fizzles out. Not much to chase there.

Overall, if you’re an experienced surfer who knows the point, the standout is Saturday, July 25th afternoon and Tuesday, July 28th morning. For raw size, the 30th and 31st have power, but conditions are trickier. Don’t sleep on Thursday, July 24th – that long period Friday morning swell with 2 ft and 24 second period is a gem for a clean, glassy session. Just remember crowds are part of the deal here.

Rusty

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