
Surf Forecasts:
Scorpion Bay (San Juanico) surf forecast from 16 Sep 2026:
- Best quality surf: Tuesday 15 Sep, 11PM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.8m), 17s period, SSW swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Monday 21 Sep, 2PM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 17s period, SW swell with 493 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 15 Sep, 11PM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.8m), 17s period with SSW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Scorpion Bay (San Juanico) this week:
The surf forecast for Scorpion Bay (San Juanico) over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Sep 15) at 11PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.8m and 17s period with a secondary swell of 0.6m and 7s. Another secondary swell of 0.5m and 10s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Scorpion Bay (San Juanico) in the next 16 days are 0.9m 17s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Sep 21) at 2PM. Winds are predicted to be offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.4m 5s period and expected on Friday (Sep 18) at 5AM.
| Wave Type | Time (MST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 11PM (Tue 15th Sep) | 2.5ft (0.8m) 17s |
| Best Surf | 11PM (Tue 15th Sep) | 2.5ft (0.8m) 17s |
| Most Powerful | 2PM (Mon 21st Sep) | 3ft (0.9m) 17s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Scorpion Bay (San Juanico) over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, gang, Rusty here with the lowdown on Scorpion Bay. The water temp is a toasty 86°, running a solid 7° warmer than usual for this time of year.
We’ve got a bit of a slow start, but then a nice, long grind of clean, rideable waves for the first week. A proper SSW groundswell sets in from Tuesday the 15th and holds through most of the following week. It’s not big, but it’s consistent and has that long period you need for a point. We’re talking waist to chest-high surf, 3 to 3 ft, with period hanging between 14 and 17 seconds. The swell energy is moderate, mostly in the 400s to 500s. Every morning from Wednesday the 16th through to the following Monday the 23rd is glassy or running under a light wind. Even the afternoons are mostly clean offshore breezes. The pick of the first week is definitely the mornings; Wednesday the 16th with 3 ft of SSW and light air, or Monday the 21st morning. This spot is *always* crowded, but with this run, it’ll be worth it.
After the 23rd, the size drops and the period backs off, and wind gets stronger, making it less fun. Friday the 25th afternoon looks poor.
Now, for the real highlight. Starting Tuesday the 29th, a much bigger S swell arrives. Tuesday morning brings 5 ft under glassy conditions. By Tuesday afternoon it’s 7 ft with an offshore wind – excellent, but experts only. The peak is Wednesday the 30th with a solid 10 ft swell and clean offshore wind. The energy numbers are massive (over 3000). This is a serious swell for experienced surfers only. Circle that date; it’s a ways out, but it’s looking like the session of the month. You heard it here first.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 32°C on Thu afternoon, min 26°C on Tue night). Winds increasing (light winds from the WNW on Wed morning, fresh winds from the WNW by Thu afternoon). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 34°C on Fri afternoon, min 27°C on Sun night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the WNW on Fri afternoon, calm by Sat morning). | |||||||||||||||||||
Tue 15 | Wednesday 16 | Thursday 17 | Friday 18 | Saturday 19 | Sunday 20 | Monday 21 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 17 | SSW 17 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SW 20 | SW 19 | SW 19 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 19 | SW 17 | SW 17 | SW 17 | SW 17 | SW 16 |
Wave Graph | ||||||||||||||||||||
373 | 453 | 402 | 397 | 334 | 400 | 301 | 306 | 303 | 236 | 260 | 319 | 252 | 370 | 423 | 334 | 414 | 429 | 419 | 302 | |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | off | cross-off | off | off | cross-off | off | off | cross-off | off | off | cross-off | off | off | cross-off | off | off | off | off | off |
High Tide | 10:53PM1.19m | 10:52AM1.35m | 11:18PM1.00m | 11:12AM1.20m | 11:50PM0.82m | 11:29AM1.05m | 7:31AM0.97m | 5:05PM1.05m | 6:51AM1.09m | 5:56PM1.23m | 6:56AM1.23m | 6:28PM1.40m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 4:54PM0.32m | 4:35AM0.48m | 5:26PM0.47m | 4:40AM0.63m | 6:18PM0.64m | 3:49AM0.76m | 11:41PM0.64m | 11:55AM0.89m | 00:11AM0.47m | 12:13PM0.72m | 00:34AM0.32m | 12:33PM0.55m | 00:55AM0.17m | |||||||
— | — | 6:15 | — | — | 6:16 | — | — | 6:16 | — | — | 6:16 | — | — | 6:16 | — | — | 6:16 | — | — | |
6:34 | — | — | 6:32 | — | — | 6:31 | — | — | 6:30 | — | — | 6:30 | — | — | 6:28 | — | — | 6:27 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 28 | 27 | 27 | 28 | 27 | 30 | 32 | 31 | 31 | 34 | 32 | 31 | 33 | 30 | 30 | 32 | 29 | 30 | 30 | 27 |
Feels °C | 29 | 29 | 29 | 29 | 30 | 32 | 30 | 27 | 32 | 31 | 28 | 32 | 33 | 29 | 30 | 28 | 28 | 26 | 24 | 26 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 17 | SSW 17 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 19 | SW 17 | SW 17 | SW 17 | SW 17 | SW 16 |
373 | 453 | 402 | 397 | 334 | 400 | 301 | 207 | 154 | 137 | 260 | 319 | 252 | 370 | 423 | 334 | 414 | 429 | 419 | 302 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 8 | S 7 | S 12 | SSW 12 | SW 21 | SW 21 | SW 21 | SW 20 | SW 19 | SW 19 | SSW 13 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | S 11 | SSW 11 | S 11 |
30 | 16 | 72 | 77 | 117 | 162 | 160 | 306 | 303 | 236 | 131 | 119 | 115 | 83 | 82 | 81 | 79 | 63 | 40 | 63 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 11 | SW 12 | SSW 24 | SSW 24 | SSW 11 | SSW 6 | SW 6 | S 10 | W 12 | SW 24 | W 11 | SSW 21 | SSW 21 | — | W 10 | SW 12 | W 10 | — | SSW 7 | SSW 11 |
32 | 35 | 54 | 54 | 23 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 3 | 22 | 2 | 45 | 45 | — | 2 | 5 | 2 | — | 5 | 23 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WNW 9 | W 4 | WNW 5 | W 7 | WNW 5 | WNW 5 | WNW 4 | WNW 6 | WNW 6 | WNW 5 | WNW 6 | WNW 5 | WNW 4 | WNW 6 | WNW 5 | WNW 4 | WNW 6 | WNW 5 | WNW 5 | WNW 6 |
28 | 5 | 7 | 27 | 23 | 27 | 29 | 107 | 58 | 45 | 160 | 53 | 33 | 103 | 33 | 33 | 74 | 37 | 45 | 74 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 455 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 438 | 0 | 0 | 426 | 0 | 0 | 401 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 455 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Baja Sur | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Mexico | ||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Scorpion Bay (San Juanico) Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Scorpion Bay (San Juanico) provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Scorpion Bay (San Juanico) can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Scorpion Bay (San Juanico) surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Scorpion Bay (San Juanico)) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Scorpion Bay (San Juanico) may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Scorpion Bay is 121 km (75 miles) from Adolfo Lopez Mateos. If you plan a holiday in Baja Sur, look for hotels and other accommodation in Adolfo Lopez Mateos. Adolfo Lopez Mateos has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.









