Surf Forecasts:
Scorpion Bay (San Juanico) surf forecast from 25 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Monday 24 Aug, 11PM (local time) - 5ft (1.5m), 12s period, S swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Tuesday 25 Aug, 5AM (local time) - 6ft (1.9m), 13s period, SSW swell with 1,139 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 24 Aug, 11PM (local time) - 5ft (1.5m), 12s period with S swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Scorpion Bay (San Juanico) this week:
The surf forecast for Scorpion Bay (San Juanico) over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 24) at 11PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.5m and 12s period with a secondary swell of 0.6m and 17s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Scorpion Bay (San Juanico) in the next 16 days are 1.9m 13s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Aug 25) at 5AM. Winds are predicted to be offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.0m 5s period and expected on Tuesday (Aug 25) at 11PM.
| Wave Type | Time (MST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 11PM (Mon 24th Aug) | 5ft (1.5m) 12s |
| Best Surf | 11PM (Mon 24th Aug) | 5ft (1.5m) 12s |
| Most Powerful | 5AM (Tue 25th Aug) | 6ft (1.9m) 13s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Scorpion Bay (San Juanico) over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, it’s Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s coming up.
We’ve got a solid run of surf on the cards at Scorpion Bay (San Juanico). This is a classic point break that’s known for its long walls, but it’s inconsistent and when it does fire, it’s for the advanced crew. The water is a whopping 84°F right now, which is 6°F warmer than usual – that’s very unusual for this time of year, so you won’t need much more than a spring suit.
The energy kicks off Monday afternoon with a combined swell energy of 756 (moderate) and a 5ft S swell. It’s not the biggest, but with a 12 mph offshore W wind, it’ll be clean and glassy. That’s a solid start.
Tuesday morning is the real standout. The swell jumps to 6ft from the SSW, with a period of 12 seconds and a combined energy of 1068 (strong). The wind is a clean 12 mph offshore from the W. This is the best of the whole run – good size, good direction, and clean. Afternoon gets a bit windier at 19 mph, still offshore, but it’ll be choppier.
Wednesday morning drops to 4ft and 9-second period, but with a light 9 mph WNW offshore, it’ll be fun and clean for the skilled crew. Wednesday afternoon sees a weird one – a tiny 2ft SW swell but with a 15-second period, giving it some push. That long period stuff at a point break like this can be magic.
Thursday stays small with 2ft to 3ft SW swells, but the winds are light and mostly clean. It’s not going to be pumping, but there’ll be the odd set.
Friday afternoon looks good again – 4ft from the SSW, 18-second period, strong energy at 1080, and a gentle offshore breeze. That’s a beauty.
The weekend holds steady with 4ft to 5ft SSW swells, 14-16 second periods, and light offshore winds. Consistent and clean.
Monday 31st August morning is another highlight – 5ft SSW, 13-second period, energy at 890, and a gentle offshore wind. Then we hit a bit of a lull.
Tuesday 1st September and Wednesday 2nd September are poor with strong winds and small surf. Not worth paddling out.
Thursday 3rd September morning picks up with 3ft SSW, 19-second period, and moderate offshore wind – a long period groundswell that’ll peel nicely down the point. Energy is 809.
Friday 4th September and Saturday 5th September are both very good – 4ft to 4ft SSW swells, 16-17 second periods, clean winds. The point will be working.
The last few days of the run (6th to 8th September) are smaller, around 3ft, but with long periods and clean conditions, so there’s still something to ride.
If you’re picking the best of the bunch, it’s Tuesday 25th August morning with that 6ft SSW swell, and Friday 28th August afternoon with the 4ft 18-second groundswell and clean breeze. That’s the cream of the crop.
Remember, this is an advanced, inconsistent spot, and crowds are always an issue here. Get there early.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 6mm), mostly falling on Mon afternoon. Warm (max 30°C on Mon afternoon, min 26°C on Tue night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummarySome drizzle, heaviest during Thu afternoon. Warm (max 30°C on Thu afternoon, min 26°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light. | |||||||||||||||||||
Mon 24 | Tuesday 25 | Wednesday 26 | Thursday 27 | Friday 28 | Saturday 29 | Sunday 30 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 12 | S 11 | SSW 12 | SSW 11 | SSW 10 | SSW 9 | SSW 9 | SSW 10 | SW 15 | SSW 18 | SSW 19 | SSW 17 | SSW 18 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 |
Wave Graph | ||||||||||||||||||||
593 | 396 | 1000 | 680 | 442 | 253 | 174 | 250 | 171 | 207 | 329 | 481 | 1021 | 709 | 957 | 822 | 711 | 778 | 362 | 476 | |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | off | off | off | off | off | off | off | glassy | cross-off | off | cross | cross | off | cross-off | cross-off | off | off | off | cross-off | off |
High Tide | 7:24PM1.57m | 8:03AM1.42m | 7:51PM1.70m | 8:24AM1.52m | 8:17PM1.79m | 8:47AM1.60m | 8:44PM1.84m | 9:10AM1.66m | 9:11PM1.85m | 9:35AM1.69m | 9:40PM1.81m | 10:01AM1.69m | 10:10PM1.71m | |||||||
Low Tide | 1:53AM0.05m | 1:47PM0.29m | 2:16AM-0.05m | 2:12PM0.18m | 2:39AM-0.12m | 2:37PM0.09m | 3:03AM-0.15m | 3:04PM0.03m | 3:28AM-0.14m | 3:33PM0.00m | 3:54AM-0.09m | 4:04PM0.02m | 4:20AM0.01m | |||||||
— | — | 6:05 | — | — | 6:07 | — | — | 6:07 | — | — | 6:07 | — | — | 6:07 | — | — | 6:07 | — | — | |
6:58 | — | — | 6:57 | — | — | 6:55 | — | — | 6:54 | — | — | 6:53 | — | — | 6:52 | — | — | 6:52 | — | |
mm | 3 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 30 | 29 | 29 | 29 | 27 | 30 | 30 | 27 | 29 | 30 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 28 | 29 | 29 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 27 |
Feels °C | 32 | 30 | 30 | 29 | 27 | 28 | 28 | 26 | 31 | 29 | 29 | 32 | 32 | 30 | 31 | 30 | 28 | 30 | 29 | 28 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 12 | S 11 | SSW 12 | SSW 11 | SSW 10 | SSW 9 | SSW 9 | SSW 10 | SSW 9 | SSW 8 | SSW 19 | SSW 17 | SSW 18 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 |
593 | 396 | 1000 | 680 | 442 | 253 | 151 | 250 | 127 | 90 | 329 | 481 | 1021 | 709 | 957 | 822 | 711 | 778 | 362 | 476 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 17 | SSW 13 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SW 12 | W 5 | SW 15 | SSW 18 | W 5 | SW 13 | SW 8 | W 6 | WSW 7 | SW 7 | S 12 | SW 8 | S 11 | SW 11 |
143 | 307 | 66 | 67 | 171 | 162 | 154 | 33 | 171 | 207 | 16 | 87 | 28 | 13 | 17 | 13 | 100 | 16 | 152 | 30 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 12 | SW 17 | W 9 | W 11 | W 11 | S 12 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 18 | SW 14 | SSW 8 | SSW 8 | W 7 | SSW 7 | S 10 | S 13 | W 11 | W 10 | SW 7 | WNW 10 |
11 | 298 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 174 | 169 | 81 | 164 | 58 | 35 | 8 | 10 | 7 | 52 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 9 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WNW 10 | W 4 | W 4 | W 4 | WNW 5 | WNW 4 | W 3 | WNW 5 | WNW 5 | W 4 | — | — | W 7 | — | — | WSW 7 | — | — | — | W 3 |
9 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 48 | 15 | 6 | 46 | 7 | 6 | — | — | 23 | — | — | 18 | — | — | — | 3 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 455 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 26 | 801 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 455 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Baja Sur | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Mexico | ||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Scorpion Bay (San Juanico) Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Scorpion Bay (San Juanico) provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Scorpion Bay (San Juanico) can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Scorpion Bay (San Juanico) surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Scorpion Bay (San Juanico)) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Scorpion Bay (San Juanico) may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Scorpion Bay is 121 km (75 miles) from Adolfo Lopez Mateos. If you plan a holiday in Baja Sur, look for hotels and other accommodation in Adolfo Lopez Mateos. Adolfo Lopez Mateos has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.










