Surf Forecasts:
Scorpion Bay (San Juanico) surf forecast from 4 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Thursday 6 Aug, 5PM (local time) - 1.5ft (0.5m), 18s period, SW swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Saturday 8 Aug, 8AM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 16s period, SSW swell with 402 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 4 Aug, 5AM (local time) - 1.5ft (0.4m), 16s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Scorpion Bay (San Juanico) this week:
The surf forecast for Scorpion Bay (San Juanico) over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Aug 04) at 5AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.4m and 16s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 4s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Scorpion Bay (San Juanico) in the next 16 days are 0.9m 16s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Aug 08) at 8AM. Winds are predicted to be glassy at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.7m 4s period and expected on Friday (Aug 07) at 8PM.
| Wave Type | Time (MST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 5AM (Tue 4th Aug) | 1.5ft (0.4m) 16s |
| Best Surf | 5PM (Thu 6th Aug) | 1.5ft (0.5m) 18s |
| Most Powerful | 8AM (Sat 8th Aug) | 3ft (0.9m) 16s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Scorpion Bay (San Juanico) over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, this is Rusty, coming to you from the desert coast. Let's talk about the next couple of weeks at Scorpion Bay.
We're looking at a slow start, but a really promising stretch of classic point surf is lining up. The first few days from the 4th of August onwards are just small, with very ordinary conditions. The waves are there, but they're tiny, around 2 ft to 2 ft from the SSW with a cross-offshore breeze. The energy is weak to moderate, and the truth is, it's not worth paddling out for this. The water temp is about what you'd expect for this time of year.
The real story starts to build on Thursday the 6th in the afternoon. That's when we get a proper offshore wind from the West at 12 mph, and the swell starts to step up. The period stretches out to 18 seconds, and the energy jumps to a solid level. It's a groundswell, and this spot loves that. Friday the 7th and Saturday the 8th are looking like the pick of the first week. The combined energy goes strong, with clean conditions and a consistent 2 ft to 3 ft of SSW groundswell. The crowd factor is a bit of a bummer though – word is out, and this place is *always* packed. Still, when it's this good, you can forgive the lineup.
The real standout, the one that's got me excited, is Friday the 14th of August. The afternoon session is looking like a beauty. The swell jumps up to 4 ft from the SW, with a 17-second period, pumping out a very strong energy reading. The wind is a gentle offshore from the West, 9 mph, and the forecast is for "very good surf conditions." This is the one to circle on the calendar. It's still a bit far out, so keep an eye on the forecasts, but the potential is huge.
The following week continues with clean, fun waves in the 2 ft to 3 ft range, but the real magic fades after that 14th. We get a few more days of clean surf, but by the 18th and 19th, the wind turns onshore and the quality drops right off.
So, for the standouts: the late afternoon of the 6th through the 8th is a solid, reliable bet. But the best on offer is the afternoon of the 14th of August. That's the one you want to be there for.
Rusty, signing off.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 4mm), mostly falling on Mon night. Warm (max 26°C on Wed afternoon, min 22°C on Mon night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 4mm), mostly falling on Thu night. Warm (max 29°C on Sat morning, min 23°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||
Tuesday 4 | Wednesday 5 | Thursday 6 | Friday 7 | Saturday 8 | Sunday 9 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 16 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SW 14 | SSW 12 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 20 | SW 18 | SSW 19 | SSW 18 | SSW 17 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 90 | 95 | 95 | 74 | 82 | 127 | 118 | 142 | 157 | 238 | 270 | 386 | 232 | 402 | 377 | 242 | 297 | 223 | 201 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | off | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off | off | off | cross-off | off | off | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off |
High Tide | 11:48PM1.41m | 12:22PM1.39m | 00:40AM1.23m | 1:18PM1.31m | 2:04AM1.05m | 2:45PM1.26m | 4:30AM1.00m | 4:34PM1.31m | 6:13AM1.12m | 5:55PM1.47m | 7:09AM1.28m | 6:51PM1.64m | |||||||
Low Tide | 6:03AM0.27m | 6:36PM0.41m | 6:47AM0.43m | 7:56PM0.49m | 7:57AM0.59m | 10:01PM0.48m | 9:58AM0.67m | 11:45PM0.32m | 11:40AM0.60m | 00:47AM0.13m | 12:42PM0.46m | 1:34AM-0.04m | |||||||
 |  | |  |  | | | | | |  | | | | | | | | | |
 | — | 5:56 | — | — | 5:56 | — | — | 5:56 | — | — | 5:58 | — | — | 5:58 | — | — | 5:58 | — | — |
 | — | — | 7:14 | — | — | 7:14 | — | — | 7:13 | — | — | 7:12 | — | — | 7:12 | — | — | 7:10 | — |
mm | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1 |
Temp °C | 23 | 24 | 25 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 25 | 26 | 26 | 24 | 26 | 27 | 25 | 29 | 29 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 26 |
Feels °C | 23 | 25 | 26 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 26 | 27 | 26 | 24 | 28 | 27 | 24 | 28 | 27 | 26 | 29 | 28 | 26 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 4 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SSW 13 | SW 13 | SSW 17 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 |
| kJ | 9 | 95 | 95 | 57 | 82 | 127 | 118 | 142 | 109 | 151 | 134 | 386 | 232 | 402 | 377 | 242 | 297 | 223 | 201 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 12 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SSW 12 | SW 20 | SW 20 | SW 18 | SSW 19 | SSW 18 | SW 12 | SSW 12 | SW 12 | SSW 12 | W 5 | SSW 11 | SW 11 | SW 21 |
| kJ | 38 | 77 | 76 | 74 | 73 | 46 | 97 | 100 | 157 | 238 | 270 | 73 | 127 | 69 | 29 | 18 | 47 | 30 | 71 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 16 | W 4 | W 10 | S 9 | W 7 | SW 20 | S 9 | S 9 | S 11 | NW 8 | S 8 | S 10 | S 12 | S 8 | SW 11 | SW 11 | WNW 5 | SSW 22 | W 13 |
| kJ | 90 | 6 | 16 | 6 | 4 | 15 | 16 | 14 | 36 | 3 | 11 | 16 | 3 | 6 | 20 | 30 | 7 | 45 | 3 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 4 | — | — | — | — | W 7 | W 6 | W 6 | W 3 | WNW 4 | W 4 | W 4 | W 5 | W 5 | W 4 | — | — | W 4 | SW 10 |
| kJ | 10 | — | — | — | — | 4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 23 | 15 | 9 | — | — | 3 | 15 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 438 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 803 | 0 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Baja Sur | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Mexico | |||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Scorpion Bay (San Juanico) Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Scorpion Bay (San Juanico) provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Scorpion Bay (San Juanico) can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Scorpion Bay (San Juanico) surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Scorpion Bay (San Juanico)) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Scorpion Bay (San Juanico) may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Scorpion Bay is 121 km (75 miles) from Adolfo Lopez Mateos. If you plan a holiday in Baja Sur, look for hotels and other accommodation in Adolfo Lopez Mateos. Adolfo Lopez Mateos has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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