Surf Forecasts:
Scorpion Bay (San Juanico) surf forecast from 18 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Tuesday 18 Aug, 2AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.7m), 16s period, SW swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Wednesday 19 Aug, 2AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.0m), 16s period, SSW swell with 499 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 18 Aug, 2AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.7m), 16s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Scorpion Bay (San Juanico) this week:
The surf forecast for Scorpion Bay (San Juanico) over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Aug 18) at 2AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.7m and 16s period with a secondary swell of 0.8m and 6s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Scorpion Bay (San Juanico) in the next 16 days are 1.0m 16s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Aug 19) at 2AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.0m 5s period and expected on Saturday (Aug 22) at 8PM.
| Wave Type | Time (MST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 2AM (Tue 18th Aug) | 2.5ft (0.7m) 16s |
| Best Surf | 2AM (Tue 18th Aug) | 2.5ft (0.7m) 16s |
| Most Powerful | 2AM (Wed 19th Aug) | 3.5ft (1.0m) 16s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Scorpion Bay (San Juanico) over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, listen up, this is Rusty. We've got a heap of swell coming in for Scorpion Bay (San Juanico). It's not gonna be giant, but there's plenty of clean juice in the water. Water temp is around 83°F, a good few degrees warmer than normal for this time of year, so it'll feel amazing.
Kicking off Monday and Tuesday, it's looking sweet. Got a solid 3ft of SSW swell with a 14-15 second period. The wave energy is moderate, in that 332-421 range, so there’s some power behind it. The point should be running with fun lines. Light cross-offshore winds will keep the face smooth. Monday morning is glassy, and the afternoons get that WNW offshore blow to groom it all up.
We'll see a bit of a lull from Wednesday through Thursday as the wind swings around to the south. It's not going to be pretty – a little cross-onshore chop and the swell sags to about 3ft. Conditions get messy, so you might want to do something else with your time. Friday is a mixed bag, with a clean dawn patrol but a strong 22 mph offshore wind by the afternoon just shredding it.
We're back into it for the weekend. Saturday and Sunday (the 22nd and 23rd) have the swell at 2-3ft with a 15-second interval. Afternoons see a fresh offshore breeze and the waves will cleanse up nicely. Keep an eye out for a possible storm, but the surf looks good.
Next week, starting Monday the 24th, we have a week of surf. It's a little smaller, dropping to 2-2ft but the clean conditions stick around. Tuesday the 25th is a standout with glassy conditions and a 16-second period, so the longboard will be firing. This carries on through Wednesday. The energy is still moderate, so it won’t be dramatic, but the shape should be good.
And now for the money shot. Starting around the 28th and into the 29th, the swell really fills in. Combined energy jumps way up into the strong range, hitting 930 and 980. Swell height builds to a solid 4ft from the SSW, and the period stays a meaty 15-16 seconds. This is the part of the forecast we've all been waiting for. Saturday the 29th looks epic. Around 4ft of clean, long-period groundswell with light offshore winds. This will be the pick of the entire run. Sunday the 30th will have more wind, but still 4ft of swell. This is getting into expert territory, so know your limits.
After that pulse, it starts to back off. Monday the 31st is still fun with 4ft of swell, but the energy is fading. By the 1st of September, we're down to 2ft by the afternoon, but with a super long 18-second period. That’ll give you some long, clean walls to finish on.
It's a cracking 16 days ahead. The clear standout is that push on the 29th and 30th. Don't miss it.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 9mm), mostly falling on Tue afternoon. Warm (max 31°C on Mon afternoon, min 26°C on Mon night). Winds increasing (calm on Tue night, fresh winds from the SSE by Wed afternoon). | Days 5-7 Weather SummarySome drizzle, heaviest during Sat afternoon. Warm (max 30°C on Sat morning, min 26°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light. | |||||||||||||||||||
Mon 17 | Tuesday 18 | Wednesday 19 | Thursday 20 | Friday 21 | Saturday 22 | Sunday 23 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 15 | SW 16 | SSW 14 | SSW 15 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SW 18 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 13 | SSW 14 | SW 18 | SW 18 |
Wave Graph | ||||||||||||||||||||
372 | 264 | 299 | 334 | 499 | 344 | 264 | 261 | 217 | 158 | 151 | 113 | 111 | 80 | 188 | 209 | 137 | 229 | 154 | 157 | |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | off | glassy | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-on | cross-on | glassy | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off | off | off | off | off | glassy | cross | cross-off | glassy |
High Tide | 11:31PM1.22m | 11:50AM1.26m | 00:03AM1.02m | 12:24PM1.14m | 1:08AM0.83m | 2:04PM1.03m | 7:15AM0.93m | 5:29PM1.11m | 7:12AM1.06m | 6:23PM1.26m | 7:26AM1.19m | 6:56PM1.42m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 5:33PM0.41m | 5:31AM0.46m | 6:13PM0.55m | 5:46AM0.62m | 7:32PM0.68m | 5:25AM0.78m | 11:54PM0.63m | 11:32AM0.85m | 00:39AM0.47m | 12:27PM0.71m | 1:06AM0.31m | 12:57PM0.57m | 1:30AM0.17m | |||||||
— | — | 6:03 | — | — | 6:03 | — | — | 6:03 | — | — | 6:05 | — | — | 6:05 | — | — | 6:05 | — | — | |
7:04 | — | — | 7:02 | — | — | 7:01 | — | — | 7:00 | — | — | 7:00 | — | — | 7:00 | — | — | 6:59 | — | |
mm | — | 2 | — | 3 | 3 | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | 2 | 1 |
Temp °C | 31 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 27 | 28 | 28 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 28 | 30 | 29 | 27 | 29 | 30 | 27 |
Feels °C | 30 | 29 | 32 | 31 | 30 | 31 | 25 | 28 | 29 | 29 | 29 | 29 | 29 | 29 | 30 | 28 | 28 | 32 | 32 | 29 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 15 | W 6 | SSW 14 | SSW 15 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 14 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 13 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 |
372 | 43 | 299 | 334 | 499 | 344 | 264 | 261 | 217 | 158 | 151 | 113 | 111 | 80 | 188 | 209 | 137 | 229 | 141 | 139 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 9 | SW 16 | W 6 | W 6 | W 5 | W 6 | S 10 | W 8 | S 10 | S 10 | SW 18 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SSW 12 | S 10 | S 10 | SW 16 | W 5 | SW 18 | W 5 |
6 | 264 | 28 | 18 | 20 | 17 | 16 | 22 | 16 | 17 | 84 | 67 | 69 | 56 | 18 | 17 | 67 | 12 | 154 | 20 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 13 | SSW 13 | S 8 | W 8 | S 8 | — | WNW 8 | S 9 | WNW 8 | SSW 18 | S 10 | WNW 13 | S 10 | SW 18 | W 12 | SW 19 | S 10 | SW 18 | S 9 | SW 18 |
3 | 111 | 6 | 1 | 11 | — | 7 | 16 | 14 | 32 | 17 | 33 | 17 | 78 | 11 | 58 | 16 | 114 | 15 | 157 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 6 | — | — | WNW 6 | — | — | WSW 6 | — | — | W 8 | WNW 3 | W 3 | W 4 | WNW 5 | WNW 4 | WNW 4 | WNW 6 | WNW 5 | W 4 | — |
40 | — | — | 45 | — | — | 10 | — | — | 12 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 32 | 14 | 24 | 53 | 22 | 8 | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 810 | 455 | 0 | 0 | 720 | 0 | 0 | 801 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 406 | 0 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Baja Sur | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Mexico | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Scorpion Bay (San Juanico) Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Scorpion Bay (San Juanico) provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Scorpion Bay (San Juanico) can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Scorpion Bay (San Juanico) surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Scorpion Bay (San Juanico)) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Scorpion Bay (San Juanico) may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Scorpion Bay is 121 km (75 miles) from Adolfo Lopez Mateos. If you plan a holiday in Baja Sur, look for hotels and other accommodation in Adolfo Lopez Mateos. Adolfo Lopez Mateos has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.










