Scorpion Bay (San Juanico) Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G'day, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what's coming up at Scorpion Bay (San Juanico) over the next couple of weeks. This is a long, consistent point break that really needs the right swell direction to light up – and that's SSW, which is exactly what we've got lined up. The water is sitting at 80°F, a full 5°F warmer than normal for this time of year, so it's like surfing in a bath. But don't let that fool you – this place is advanced only, it's inconsistent, and it's always packed. You'll be sharing the line-up.

We kick off Thursday the 23rd with a clean cross-off breeze and a nice 3 to 4 ft SSW groundswell. The period is 13 seconds, so there's some real energy behind it – combined energy of 461 to 761 (moderate to moderate-strong). It's a solid start, but not the best of the run.

Friday the 24th is smaller – 2 ft SW groundswell with a long 24-second period. That's a very long swell, which can make it tricky here – it might get a bit too straight for a point break, but the cross-off wind keeps it clean. Worth a look if you're keen on long walls.

Saturday the 25th is a write-off – cross-onshore winds and choppy. Sunday the 26th improves in the afternoon with a clean cross-off, 4 ft SW at 18 seconds. By Monday the 27th we're into the good stuff: morning cross-off, then afternoon offshore wind from the west at 16 mph, 4 ft SSW at 17 seconds. The energy is strong (1100+). That's a proper session.

Now, the standout. Tuesday the 28th – both morning and afternoon deliver 5 ft SSW at 17 seconds, with light offshore or cross-off winds. The combined energy jumps to 1452–1491 (strong). This is excellent for experienced surfers. The waves will have shape, power, and clean faces. Crowds are inevitable, but that's the price you pay.

Wednesday the 29th is nearly as good – glassy in the morning, light cross-off in the afternoon, 4 to 4 ft SSW at 16 seconds. The energy is still strong (1129–1076). If you can get out mid-week, do it.

Thursday the 30th gets big – 8 to 10 ft S swell, but it's cross-shore and messy. The energy is huge (2614–3436), but the conditions are marginal. Only for the brave and experienced.

Friday the 31st sees the swell drop to 8 ft in the morning, still marginal, but the afternoon turns it on: 8 ft SSW at 12 seconds with offshore wind at 16 mph. The combined energy is 1465 (strong) and the wind is clean. That's another excellent session for experts.

After that, the first week of August fades fast. Saturday the 1st has strong offshore winds (19–22 mph) but only 4 to 3 ft – the wind is too strong for the size. Sunday the 2nd is small and weak. From Monday the 3rd to the end of the forecast (August 7th) we're looking at tiny waves – 1 to 2 ft – with occasional clean moments but nothing worth paddling out for. The combined energy drops below 300 (weak). So after that Friday the 31st, there's a long gap of about a week with no real surf.

To wrap it up: the best days are Tuesday the 28th and Wednesday the 29th, with Friday the 31st afternoon as a close second. Get in before the crowds and the drop-off.

Rusty

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