Scorpion Bay (San Juanico) Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Right, grab a coffee, this is Scorpion Bay we're talkin' about. This spot's a fickle one, but when it lines up, it's pure magic. We're lookin' at a bit of a slow start, but there's some serious potential buildin' for the patient surfer.

The water is absolutely cookin' right now – we're talkin' 86°, which is a solid 7° warmer than normal for this time of year. That's very unusual, so you can leave the steamer at home.

For the first few days, through Sunday the 13th and Monday the 14th, it's pretty flat and weak. We've got tiny 2ft to 2ft SW swell creepin' in, but the combined energy is still low to moderate (around 156 to 241). The wind is a light cross-offshore, so the surface will be clean, but there's just no power behind it. Not worth paddlin' out for.

Things start to get a bit more interestin' from Tuesday the 15th. The swell builds to 2ft - 3ft from the SSW, and the energy starts to climb into a solid moderate range (351 to 471). The wind stays light and cross-off, keepin' it clean. It's still small, but you can start to see a pulse comin'.

Then we hit the sweet spot. From Wednesday the 16th right through to Tuesday the 22nd, Scorpion Bay (San Juanico) is where it's at. The swell settles in at a consistent 3ft to 3ft from the SSW. That's your optimum direction for this point break. The period hangs around 14 to 19 seconds, so it's proper long-period groundswell with heaps of push and shape. The combined energy is strong, readin' between 390 and 507. That's some proper juice for a point. Mornings are the go with light offshore or cross-off winds. Afternoons can get a bit of a seabreeze, but it's often offshore too, just a bit stronger. This spot is inconsistent and can be picky, but when it's on, it's a world-class right-hander. Be warned, the crowds are *always* there when it's good.

The standout is definitely Thursday the 19th through Tuesday the 22nd. The swell is consistently 3ft - 3ft from the SSW, the periods are in the 16-19 second sweet spot, and we're seein' gentle to moderate offshore winds in the mornings. Clean, lined-up, long walls. For an advanced surfer, this is as good as it gets around here. The wave energy is pumpin' (464 - 507). For the best of it, I'd be lookin' at Sunday the 20th morning and Monday the 21st morning.

Now, after the 22nd, it starts to fade. From Wednesday the 23rd to Saturday the 26th, the swell drops to 2ft - 3ft, the period shortens to 12-14 seconds, and the energy drops back to a moderate range (206 - 334). It's still surfable and clean, but it loses that punch. There's a few glassy mornings in there on the 25th and 26th if you're desperate for a tiny, clean wave.

Then we hit another flat spell. Sunday the 27th is a write-off with onshore wind and a tiny 2ft swell. The last few days of the month, Monday the 28th, have a tiny 2ft - 2ft pulse comin' back, but the wind is strong offshore, which will just blow it flat. It's a no-go.

Bottom line: wait for the pulse to arrive around the 16th, and be ready for the prime window from the 19th to the 22nd. That's your window for the classic Scorpion Bay experience.

Rusty.

Read more