Scorpion Bay (San Juanico) Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s cooking for Scorpion Bay (San Juanico) over the next couple of weeks.

Right off the bat, it’s a bit of a slow start. The first few days are pretty weak, with tiny waves and messy conditions. We’re looking at small, long-period groundswells (18 seconds!) coming from the SW, but they’re only pushing 2ft to 2ft. The wind is all over the place, and the wave energy is modest (303 to 391). Not worth paddling out for. The real action doesn’t kick in until the weekend.

The first standout window is Saturday the 18th through Sunday the 19th. Saturday morning sees a bump in size to 3ft from the SW, with a moderate offshore wind. The energy jumps up to a solid 708. By Sunday morning, the swell is 5ft from the SSW, still clean with offshore winds, and the energy is pumping (1129). This is when Scorpion Bay starts to show its true colors. The water temp is about average for the time of year, so no surprises there.

But the real highlight, the one you’ve been waiting for, is the following week. Tuesday the 21st afternoon through Friday the 24th is where it gets serious. Tuesday afternoon serves up a 8ft SSW swell with a 15-second period and clean cross-offshore winds. The energy is massive (2755). This is expert territory, but for those who can handle it, the waves will be long, fast, and lined up perfectly for the point. The water is warm enough for a spring suit, maybe a light wetsuit top.

Wednesday the 22nd holds that 8ft size, but the wind gets messy with a cross-onshore chop. Wait for Thursday the 23rd. The morning is glassy, with a light easterly breeze and a 8ft SSW swell that’s still packing a wallop (2452). That’s the best morning of the whole run. The afternoon cleans up too, with light cross-offshore winds. Friday the 24th keeps the quality high, with 7ft to 7ft SW swell and solid offshore winds. Crowds are a given here – it’s Scorpion Bay, everyone knows it’s on.

After that, the swell backs off into the last week of July. We’re still getting shoulder-high waves (3ft to 3ft) from the SSW with long periods (18-19 seconds), and the winds stay light to moderate. The energy remains healthy (500 to 700), so it’ll be clean and fun for the longboard or a step-up mid-length. Not the highlight, but a solid way to end the run.

So, bottom line: skip the first few days, get ready for the 18th, and circle the 23rd and 24th on your calendar. That’s the best of the best.

Rusty.

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