Scorpion Bay (San Juanico) Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s talk about what’s on offer in San Juanico.

Alright, so we’ve got a mixed bag coming up at Scorpion Bay (San Juanico). The first few days are a bit of a write-off, with only small, weak swell and poor conditions. But don’t write it off just yet, because the second half of the weekend and into the following week looks like it’s gonna be the real deal. The water temp is sitting about a touch warmer than normal for this time of year, so you’ll be comfortable.

For Thursday the 16th, it’s honestly a bit of a dud. We’re looking at tiny 1ft to 2ft swell from the SW with a long period, but the wave energy is weak (144 to 202) and the conditions are just poor. Not worth paddling out.

Friday the 17th starts to build a little. Morning is still marginal, but by Friday afternoon, the wind shifts offshore at 15 mph from the WNW, and the swell picks up to 3ft from the S. It’s a short period, but the clean offshore breeze will make it look a lot better than it sounds. This is the first sign of life.

Now, here’s where it gets good. Saturday the 18th is the standout. The morning brings a solid 5ft SSW groundswell with a 13-second period, and the wave energy jumps right up (1071). The wind is offshore from the W at 12 mph, keeping things clean. This is the best of the first week. The afternoon gets a bit bigger at 6ft, but the wind freshens to 19 mph, which makes it a bit harder to paddle into, and the quality drops off a little. Still, that Saturday morning session is the one to aim for.

Sunday the 19th is still pretty good, with 5ft to 5ft of SSW swell, but the wind is a bit cross-off in the morning and fresh offshore in the afternoon. Decent, but not as clean as Saturday.

The start of the next week, Monday the 20th, is a treat. The swell drops to 3ft to 4ft, but it’s a long-period SW groundswell (16 seconds) and the energy is strong (736 to 781). The wind is offshore all day, keeping it clean. This is a classic Scorpion Bay day – long, lined-up waves for the point break.

Tuesday the 21st sees the wind pick up strong, with 25 mph offshore in the afternoon. That’s a lot of wind. The swell is 3ft to 4ft, but the wind makes it a battle to get out. Skip it.

Wednesday the 22nd is another big day. The swell jumps to 6ft to 6ft from the SSW with a 13 to 14-second period, and the wave energy is massive (1093 to 1373). The morning is glassy with a gentle offshore breeze. This is a proper day for advanced surfers. The afternoon is still good, but the wind picks up a bit.

Thursday the 23rd holds strong at 6ft SSW swell, with light cross-off winds. The morning is a standout with very clean conditions. Lots of energy in the water (1226).

Friday the 24th is a solid day to finish the working week. The swell is 5ft to 5ft, and the wind is light and clean. The afternoon has a gentle offshore that will keep the waves lined up.

The second week is a bit more of a slow burner, but it has some gems. Saturday the 25th is a real standout. The morning is glassy with 3ft swell, but it’s a very long period (21 seconds) from the SW, and the energy is still high (936). This is a classic groundswell setup for the point, and with zero wind, it’ll be pure glass. The afternoon picks up to 4ft with a 19-second period and moderate offshore wind. This is a day for the purists.

Sunday the 26th is similar, with 4ft SW swell at 18 seconds and clean conditions. Good, consistent waves.

From Monday the 27th through Wednesday the 29th, the swell mixes up a bit, but the conditions are still clean for most of the afternoons. It’s a bit smaller, but the long period will still give you some nice, racey lines.

The real final treat is Thursday the 30th. The morning is glassy – literally glassy – with 3ft of SSW swell at 15 seconds. This is as good as it gets for a small day. The wave energy is still solid (773). The afternoon is clean too.

Friday the 31st ends the forecast with a bang, with 5ft SSW swell and light, clean cross-off winds. A great way to close out the month.

So, the two standouts? *Saturday the 18th morning* for the size and clean offshore wind, and *Saturday the 25th morning* for the glassy, long-period groundswell perfection. The point break at Scorpion Bay is made for these long-period swells, so it’ll be epic.

Remember, this is an inconsistent spot, so when it comes together like this, it’s worth the wait. Expect crowds, as it’s a well-known wave.

Rusty.

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