Scorpion Bay (San Juanico) Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let's get into it. This is Scorpion Bay (San Juanico) – a classic point break that needs a specific swell window to really fire. It's inconsistent, so when it's on, it's magic, but there are big gaps.

Right off the bat, the water is sitting at a very warm 83°, which is a good 6° above the norm for this time of year. That's a seriously warm anomaly, so you're in for a tropical bath.

The first few days are small but clean. Wednesday morning, the 12th, sees a small 2ft SW groundswell with a long 16-second period. The wind is light and cross-off, so it's clean. The energy is weak (343). It's not a standout, but it's a promising start.

The real ramp-up begins Thursday the 14th. The swell ticks up from the SSW, and by Friday morning the 15th we're looking at 3ft of SSW groundswell at 18 seconds. The wind is a clean offshore from the WNW, and the energy is getting into the moderate zone (725). By Friday afternoon, the swell hits 4ft at 17 seconds, and the energy jumps to 842. This is the best run of the forecast. Saturday morning the 15th holds similar 4ft SSW swell with a gentle offshore, and the energy is still solid at 697. A bit of a crowd is likely here, but it's a classic point, and this is the window to be in the water.

There's a bit of a drop-off after Sunday the 16th, with the swell back to 3ft and the period dropping to 14 seconds. The energy falls to 378. The wind stays clean, but the quality drops. From Monday the 17th through to the 22nd, it's a mix of small, clean waves and days with rain showers. The energy stays weak, under 400, and the period hovers around 14 seconds. Nothing to write home about.

Then, on the 26th, we see a marked jump in swell energy. Wednesday morning the 26th has a 5ft SSW swell pushing through, with energy at 1127 (strong). The wind is a light cross-onshore, so it's a bit bumpy. The real standout that day is the afternoon: the wind switches to a clean offshore from the WNW, the swell settles to 5ft, but the energy is still huge at 1164. This is a big, powerful swell. The period is 14 seconds, so it'll have some punch. This is an expert-only window; it's too big for beginners.

The last day of the forecast, Thursday the 27th, starts with a clean 4ft SSW swell (energy 927) and light cross-off winds. The afternoon remains clean with a 3ft SW swell. It's a great finish to the run.

The standout: Without a doubt, the window from Friday afternoon the 14th through Saturday morning the 15th is the best of the first week. Clean, offshore winds, building SSW groundswell, and good energy. Further out, the big swell on the afternoon of the 26th is a serious proposition for those who can handle it.

Keep in mind, this is a low-tide spot, so check the local charts. The long period swells (15-18 seconds) will wrap nicely into the point, but can make the inside sections a bit shifty.

Rusty.

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