Scorpion Bay (San Juanico) Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here with a look at the next couple of weeks for our little slice of Baja. We’ve got one main break on the radar, and it’s a classic.

The overall pattern is a drawn-out, very promising run of SSW groundswell, but with a slow start. The first couple of days are just a tease, with small, clean lines but nothing to write home about. We're looking at a solid stretch of clean, offshore conditions kicking in, but the juice really starts building as we head into the second week.

Right, first up, for Wednesday the 9th of September, we’ve got Scorpion Bay (San Juanico). Don’t let the initial size fool you; the water is sitting at a very unusual 86°F, which is way warmer than normal. The swell is a small 3 ft from the SW, but the period is a long 17 seconds. The energy is already moderate, reading 483. It's a bit of a waiting game with the cross-off wind. The real action starts Thursday morning. The wind swings offshore from the WNW later on Thursday, and we get 3 ft of SSW swell at a long 16 seconds—that’s when the points start to wake up. This run of knee-to-waist high, clean lines continues through the weekend with light offshore winds, keeping things tidy.

Now, we hit a bit of a lull in the size early next week. Monday and Tuesday the 14th and 15th of September see the swell drop to a tiny 2 ft to 2 ft, but the period stays long. It’s ordinary, but still clean. That’s the calm before the storm.

Here’s where it gets good. The standout window for this whole outlook is from Wednesday the 16th of September right through to Monday the 21st of September. Scorpion Bay will consistently see 3 ft of clean SSW swell, with periods staying strong at 14 to 19 seconds. Wind is forecast to be either light or offshore for most of those sessions. The energy is on the rise, hitting 565 on the 17th and a very healthy 682 on the 21st. For a point break like this that prefers the SSW direction, this is about as good as a long-range call gets. The consistency will be a factor, as Scorpion is famously inconsistent, but when it runs like this, the walls will peel for days. Expect offshores and clean conditions, making for some ridiculously fun waves. Just be aware, it gets crowded out there.

After that peak, the size backs off a little into the final week. From the 22nd of September, we’re still looking at clean, 2 ft to 3 ft waves with offshore winds in the afternoons, but the energy fades to moderate levels around 200-300. It stays surfable through to the 24th, but the magic of that mid-September blast will be the one to circle.

This is Rusty, signing off.

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