Scorpion Bay (San Juanico) Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here with a look at what's on the menu at Scorpion Bay (San Juanico) over the next couple of weeks. We've got a classic Baja setup cooking, but it's a waiting game for the real magic.

The overall pattern is pretty steady – we’re looking at a solid run of SSW groundswell that builds through the period. The water temp is about average for this time of year, nothing crazy there. Biggest thing to keep in mind? Scorpion Bay is a point break that's rarely breaking, so when it does, you pay attention. And when it comes alive with the right direction, it’s one of the best point waves on the planet.

Right from the start, Thursday the 6th of August, we’ve got clean, surfable waves. It's small, around 2 ft from the SSW with a very long 18-second period on Friday morning. That long-period groundswell is a big deal for a point like this – it means proper lines, but also longer waits between sets. The wind is cross-offshore on Thursday morning and goes fully offshore by Thursday afternoon with a moderate breeze. Wave energy is moderate at 257. It’s not huge, but it’s clean.

Friday the 7th sees the swell nudge up a touch to 2 ft – 3 ft with that same long-period energy. The wind stays offshore or cross-offshore, keeping the wave faces clean. Energy ticks up into the 400s on Friday afternoon, which feels more substantial. This is a good, surfable window.

The standout window, without a doubt, is the stretch from Saturday morning the 15th of August all the way through to Tuesday the 18th of August. We see the SSW swell really fill in, hitting 4 ft with a 16-second period. Wave energy jumps into the 700s, which is strong – you'll feel that power. The big one for me is Saturday morning the 15th: it’s glassy, with a 4 ft SSW swell and basically no wind. That is prime Scorpion Bay – clean, long lines, and very few people. It’s an advanced wave at this size, but for those who know, it’s a dream.

After that, the swell holds around 3 ft – 3 ft through the following week with a nice cross-offshore flow. Crowds are always an issue here because it’s one of the best points in the world, but on those glassy, bigger mornings, it's worth every bit of the paddle.

So to sum it up: don't sleep on the first week if you want clean but smaller waves. But the absolute gem is that Saturday the 15th – the glassy, 4 ft SSW goodness. Be ready.

Rusty.

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