
Surf Forecasts:
Scorpion Bay (San Juanico) surf forecast from 4 Sep 2026:
- Best quality surf: Friday 4 Sep, 2PM (local time) - 5ft (1.5m), 15s period, SSW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Friday 4 Sep, 8PM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 15s period, SSW swell with 3,073 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 4 Sep, 2PM (local time) - 5ft (1.5m), 15s period with SSW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Scorpion Bay (San Juanico) this week:
The surf forecast for Scorpion Bay (San Juanico) over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Sep 04) at 2PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.5m and 15s period with a secondary swell of 1.8m and 12s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Scorpion Bay (San Juanico) in the next 16 days are 2.5m 15s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Sep 04) at 8PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.3m 6s period and expected on Monday (Sep 07) at 11PM.
| Wave Type | Time (MST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 2PM (Fri 4th Sep) | 5ft (1.5m) 15s |
| Best Surf | 2PM (Fri 4th Sep) | 5ft (1.5m) 15s |
| Most Powerful | 8PM (Fri 4th Sep) | 8ft (2.5m) 15s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Scorpion Bay (San Juanico) over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, folks, Rusty here, switching to feet and Fahrenheit.
We’ve got a solid window of fun surf coming up at Scorpion Bay (San Juanico). The water is sitting at 86°, which is a full 7° warmer than usual this time of year – that’s very unusual, and you’ll feel like you’re surfing in a bath.
The real standout kicks off Friday the 4th of September and runs through the weekend. Friday afternoon, you’ve got a clean 7ft swell from the SSW, with a long 12-second period, and a light cross-offshore breeze. The wave energy is strong at 2054, and this is a point break that loves that direction. It’s a little on the bigger side, so best for experienced surfers. Saturday the 5th is the pick of the bunch. Morning sees an 8ft SSW swell, a 14-second period, and light cross-offshore winds. The combined energy is 2216 – that’s a lot of push. This is serious wave size for a point break, so think heavy, pitching walls. Only for the advanced crew, and crowds are always a factor here, so expect company.
Sunday the 6th is still solid, with a 6ft SW swell and offshore winds, but the wind picks up a bit through the afternoon. From Monday the 7th onwards, the swell drops steadily, but the offshore winds hang around, keeping things clean. Monday morning still has 5ft from the SW, but by Tuesday the 8th it’s down to 4ft, and the energy drops to moderate levels (486).
After the 9th of September, the swell goes small. From Thursday the 10th through to Tuesday the 15th, we’re looking at 3ft or less. There are some windows with clean conditions, like Thursday afternoon and Friday afternoon, but the waves are weak. The energy numbers are in the low hundreds, so it’s a gutless affair. On the 12th and 13th, there’s a bit of a cross-onshore kick, making it choppy and poor.
The pattern picks up again slightly around the 16th of September, with a 3ft SSW swell and 16-second period. The wind is offshore, so it’s clean, but the wave height is marginal. It’s more of a longboard or funboard kind of week. The 18th and 19th also show a little bump back to 3ft from the SW with a very long 18-19 second period, and clean cross-offshore winds. The energy is moderate (around 500-550), so there’s a little bit of life, but nothing to get too excited about.
Overall, the best bet is Saturday the 5th of September. That’s the one to circle on the calendar. After that, the first week is your window, and then it’s a waiting game.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 31°C on Fri afternoon, min 28°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryHeavy rain (total 28mm), heaviest during Tue afternoon. Warm (max 32°C on Mon morning, min 27°C on Wed night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the W on Mon afternoon, calm by Wed morning). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Friday 4 | Saturday 5 | Sunday 6 | Monday 7 | Tuesday 8 | Wednesday 9 | Thursday 10 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | SSW 13 | SSW 14 | SSW 12 | SW 12 | SW 11 | SW 12 | SW 11 | SW 12 | SW 12 | W 11 | WSW 11 | WSW 11 | W 10 | SW 16 | SW 17 | SW 17 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
1155 | 1108 | 2440 | 2194 | 1735 | 1299 | 821 | 840 | 553 | 657 | 597 | 663 | 275 | 234 | 296 | 278 | 302 | 429 | 441 | 436 | 430 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross-off | glassy | cross-off | cross-off | off | off | off | off | off | off | cross-off | cross-off | off | off | cross-off | off | glassy | cross-on | off | cross-on |
High Tide | 2:08PM1.19m | 5:29AM0.98m | 4:42PM1.25m | 6:31AM1.17m | 5:59PM1.44m | 7:07AM1.34m | 6:48PM1.62m | 7:38AM1.48m | 7:28PM1.76m | 8:07AM1.59m | 8:03PM1.84m | 8:34AM1.66m | 8:36PM1.84m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 10:18PM0.48m | 10:25AM0.79m | 11:55PM0.29m | 11:57AM0.62m | 00:44AM0.10m | 12:46PM0.43m | 1:22AM-0.05m | 1:23PM0.26m | 1:55AM-0.14m | 1:57PM0.12m | 2:25AM-0.17m | 2:29PM0.04m | 2:52AM-0.14m | ||||||||
6:11 | — | — | 6:11 | — | — | 6:11 | — | — | 6:11 | — | — | 6:11 | — | — | 6:13 | — | — | 6:13 | — | — | |
— | 6:45 | — | — | 6:45 | — | — | 6:44 | — | — | 6:43 | — | — | 6:42 | — | — | 6:40 | — | — | 6:39 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1 | 9 | 1 | — | 6 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 11 |
Temp °C | 30 | 31 | 30 | 30 | 31 | 30 | 30 | 31 | 29 | 32 | 31 | 30 | 30 | 29 | 29 | 30 | 29 | 27 | 29 | 28 | 28 |
Feels °C | 32 | 33 | 33 | 33 | 33 | 33 | 31 | 31 | 30 | 30 | 29 | 29 | 33 | 31 | 31 | 32 | 31 | 31 | 31 | 31 | 32 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | SSW 13 | SSW 14 | SSW 12 | SW 12 | SW 11 | SW 12 | SW 11 | SW 12 | SW 12 | W 11 | WSW 11 | WSW 11 | W 10 | WSW 10 | WSW 10 | W 9 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 |
1155 | 1108 | 2440 | 2194 | 1735 | 1299 | 821 | 840 | 553 | 657 | 597 | 663 | 275 | 234 | 296 | 137 | 120 | 160 | 441 | 436 | 430 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | WSW 11 | WSW 11 | WSW 11 | SSW 15 | SW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 12 | SW 16 | SW 17 | SW 17 | W 8 | SSW 11 | W 8 |
700 | 897 | 23 | 22 | 23 | 344 | 489 | 334 | 413 | 389 | 373 | 253 | 198 | 195 | 119 | 278 | 302 | 429 | 113 | 37 | 43 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 11 | WSW 12 | — | — | WNW 11 | WNW 12 | — | SW 22 | SW 19 | SW 19 | SW 18 | SW 18 | W 5 | SW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | SSW 11 | W 13 | WSW 12 |
22 | 49 | — | — | 12 | 13 | — | 18 | 15 | 55 | 52 | 81 | 13 | 133 | 175 | 82 | 81 | 53 | 39 | 30 | 27 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | W 3 | WNW 4 | WNW 4 | W 5 | WNW 6 | WNW 5 | W 4 | WNW 6 | — | WNW 5 | — | — | W 8 | WNW 6 |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | 8 | 24 | 16 | 42 | 105 | 23 | 7 | 79 | — | 17 | — | — | 86 | 123 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 78 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 455 | 0 | 0 | 368 | 0 | 0 | 368 | 373 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 646 | 0 | 420 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Baja Sur | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Mexico | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Scorpion Bay (San Juanico) Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Scorpion Bay (San Juanico) provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Scorpion Bay (San Juanico) can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Scorpion Bay (San Juanico) surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Scorpion Bay (San Juanico)) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Scorpion Bay (San Juanico) may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Scorpion Bay is 121 km (75 miles) from Adolfo Lopez Mateos. If you plan a holiday in Baja Sur, look for hotels and other accommodation in Adolfo Lopez Mateos. Adolfo Lopez Mateos has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.









