Surf Forecasts:
Scorpion Bay (San Juanico) surf forecast from 18 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Tuesday 18 Aug, 5PM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 15s period, SSW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Tuesday 18 Aug, 11PM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.0m), 15s period, SSW swell with 468 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 18 Aug, 5PM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 15s period with SSW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Scorpion Bay (San Juanico) this week:
The surf forecast for Scorpion Bay (San Juanico) over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Aug 18) at 5PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.9m and 15s period with a secondary swell of 0.5m and 6s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Scorpion Bay (San Juanico) in the next 16 days are 1.0m 15s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Aug 18) at 11PM. Winds are predicted to be glassy at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.9m 5s period and expected on Friday (Aug 21) at 8PM.
| Wave Type | Time (MST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 5PM (Tue 18th Aug) | 3ft (0.9m) 15s |
| Best Surf | 5PM (Tue 18th Aug) | 3ft (0.9m) 15s |
| Most Powerful | 11PM (Tue 18th Aug) | 3.5ft (1.0m) 15s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Scorpion Bay (San Juanico) over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, Rusty here. Let's break down what's coming our way for Scorpion Bay (San Juanico).
To be straight with you, the next week or so is a bit of a slow grind. We've got small SSW swell rolling in, but it's inconsistent and mostly around 2ft to 3ft. The water is absolutely roasting, about 82°, which is much warmer than normal for this time of year. The combined wave energy is weak, sitting in the low to mid 200s. The wind is mostly light and cross-shore, which keeps the surface decently clean, but the waves just don't have the push to get excited about. You could get a slide on Thursday the 20th afternoon when a moderate offshore from the W kicks in with 2ft SSW swell (combined energy 220), or Saturday the 22nd afternoon with a similar setup, but it's all pretty average.
The real standout window starts to show potential on Friday, August 28th. The morning is clean and looking promising with 3ft SSW swell (combined energy 439), and then it builds into the afternoon with 4ft SW swell and a gentle offshore wind. This is where you want to start paying attention.
But the absolute pick of the forecast is Saturday, August 29th. We've got 4ft SSW swell (combined energy 810) hitting the point. The wind is light and variable in the morning, turning into a moderate offshore from the west by the afternoon. This is going to be clean and lined up. With that long 16-second period from the SSW, right in the optimum direction for this spot, Scorpion Bay is going to be running its classic, peeling lines. Keep in mind, this place is inconsistent and always crowded, so when it finally lights up, expect a crew out there.
It stays solid through Sunday and Monday, with 3ft to 4ft swell and clean offshore winds. Then, late in the window on Wednesday, September 2nd, we see another pulse of long-period energy. The afternoon session shows 2ft SSW swell with a very long 19-second period, and combined energy of 682. For a point break like this, that long period means super clean, walled-up waves, but it could be a bit too straight for some. Still, this is a promising one for the long-range, so keep it on your radar.
Bottom line: Don't bother paddling out much before the 28th. Mark your calendar for the 29th and 30th. That's your best bet.
- Rusty
Short Range ForecastModerate rain (total 14mm), heaviest on Tue afternoon. Warm (max 28°C on Tue morning, min 25°C on Tue night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 5mm), mostly falling on Sun afternoon. Warm (max 30°C on Sun afternoon, min 26°C on Fri morning). Mainly fresh winds. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Tuesday 18 | Wednesday 19 | Thursday 20 | Friday 21 | Saturday 22 | Sunday 23 | Monday 24 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 14 | SSW 15 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SW 18 | SSW 14 | SSW 15 | SSW 13 | SSW 14 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SSW 14 | SSW 17 | SW 17 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
299 | 334 | 457 | 344 | 264 | 261 | 217 | 158 | 151 | 113 | 111 | 80 | 186 | 209 | 137 | 229 | 154 | 157 | 213 | 246 | 230 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | glassy | cross-off | off | off | cross-off | off | off | cross-off | off | cross | cross | off | cross-off | cross | off | off |
High Tide | 11:50AM1.26m | 00:03AM1.02m | 12:24PM1.14m | 1:08AM0.83m | 2:04PM1.03m | 7:15AM0.93m | 5:29PM1.11m | 7:12AM1.06m | 6:23PM1.26m | 7:26AM1.19m | 6:56PM1.42m | 7:44AM1.31m | 7:24PM1.57m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 6:13PM0.55m | 5:46AM0.62m | 7:32PM0.68m | 5:25AM0.78m | 11:54PM0.63m | 11:32AM0.85m | 00:39AM0.47m | 12:27PM0.71m | 1:06AM0.31m | 12:57PM0.57m | 1:30AM0.17m | 1:22PM0.42m | 1:53AM0.05m | ||||||||
6:03 | — | — | 6:03 | — | — | 6:03 | — | — | 6:05 | — | — | 6:05 | — | — | 6:05 | — | — | 6:05 | — | — | |
— | 7:02 | — | — | 7:01 | — | — | 7:00 | — | — | 7:00 | — | — | 7:00 | — | — | 6:59 | — | — | 6:58 | — | |
mm | 3 | 7 | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | — | 8 | 3 |
Temp °C | 28 | 28 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 27 | 28 | 28 | 27 | 29 | 29 | 27 | 29 | 29 | 27 | 29 | 30 | 30 | 28 | 29 | 28 |
Feels °C | 30 | 30 | 27 | 29 | 30 | 30 | 30 | 29 | 28 | 30 | 28 | 28 | 30 | 28 | 26 | 31 | 30 | 32 | 31 | 31 | 29 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 14 | SSW 15 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 15 | W 5 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 14 | SSW 17 | SW 17 |
299 | 334 | 457 | 344 | 264 | 261 | 217 | 158 | 151 | 113 | 111 | 80 | 186 | 209 | 27 | 229 | 141 | 139 | 213 | 246 | 230 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 6 | W 6 | W 6 | W 6 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | S 10 | S 10 | SW 18 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SSW 12 | S 10 | S 10 | SSW 13 | WNW 5 | SW 18 | W 5 | SW 17 | SSW 12 | SSW 13 |
20 | 20 | 17 | 16 | 22 | 24 | 16 | 17 | 84 | 67 | 69 | 56 | 17 | 17 | 137 | 8 | 154 | 11 | 145 | 56 | 133 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 8 | W 8 | SW 21 | W 14 | S 10 | S 9 | WNW 8 | SSW 18 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | SW 18 | W 12 | SW 19 | SW 16 | SW 18 | S 9 | SW 18 | S 10 | SSE 10 | S 10 |
6 | 1 | 17 | 4 | 16 | 16 | 14 | 32 | 17 | 17 | 17 | 78 | 11 | 58 | 67 | 114 | 15 | 157 | 17 | 20 | 16 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | WNW 8 | WNW 4 | WNW 4 | W 4 | WNW 5 | WNW 4 | W 4 | — | — | W 4 | — | W 5 | W 3 | W 5 |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | 13 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 35 | 14 | 10 | — | — | 6 | — | 8 | 6 | 19 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 401 | 0 | 0 | 455 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 455 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 26 | 455 | 0 | 0 | 426 | 0 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Baja Sur | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Mexico | |||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Scorpion Bay (San Juanico) Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Scorpion Bay (San Juanico) provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Scorpion Bay (San Juanico) can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Scorpion Bay (San Juanico) surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Scorpion Bay (San Juanico)) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Scorpion Bay (San Juanico) may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Scorpion Bay is 121 km (75 miles) from Adolfo Lopez Mateos. If you plan a holiday in Baja Sur, look for hotels and other accommodation in Adolfo Lopez Mateos. Adolfo Lopez Mateos has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.










