Scorpion Bay (San Juanico) Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, this is Rusty, checking in from the Scorpion Bay (San Juanico) region. We’ve got a solid run of swell on the way, so let’s get into it.

The week kicks off proper on Monday, July 27th. The morning looks clean with a 4ft SSW swell and a 17-second period making for some long, lined-up waves. The combined energy is strong at 1084, and with a light cross-off breeze, the conditions are going to be glassy. The water is sitting at 80°, which is much warmer than normal for this time of year, so you’ll be comfortable in a spring suit or just a rashie.

The real standout, though, is Tuesday, July 28th. The morning session is the pick of the entire forecast. You’ve got a 5ft SSW groundswell pumping in with an 18-second period and a combined energy of 2278. The wind is light offshore, making for some absolutely clean, peeling waves. This is point-break perfection, but it’s advanced territory at that size. For a spot that’s inconsistent and rarely breaks, this is a serious treat. Crowds are always an issue here, so be prepared to share the lineup.

Wednesday, July 29th, keeps the energy high. The morning is 6ft (SSW) with a 13-second period and a combined energy of 2005. The wind is light cross-off, so it’s still very clean. The afternoon gets a bit chunkier at 8ft with a moderate offshore breeze, but that’s expert-only territory. The swell is powerful but the period drops a bit, so it might get a little walled-off at the ends.

Thursday, July 30th, holds at 7ft in the morning and 7ft in the afternoon, both from the SSW. The wind is moderate and cross-off to offshore, so it’s manageable for the experienced crew. The combined energy is still strong (1879 and 1662), but it’s a bit less refined than the Tuesday peak.

Friday, July 31st, is a step down to 4ft in the morning and 4ft in the afternoon. The morning is clean with a 11-second period, still good for the point, but the energy drops to 701. The afternoon is smaller and more marginal.

After that, from Saturday, August 1st, right through to the end of the first week, the swell fades fast. We’re looking at a long stretch of very small, weak surf from 3ft down to 1ft through Monday, August 3rd, and Tuesday, August 4th. The combined energy drops into the hundreds (128 to 365). There’s a gap of several days here where it’s not really worth paddling out unless you’re desperate. The wind stays light, but the waves just aren’t there.

Things start to look interesting again around Thursday, August 6th. The swell jumps back to 1ft in the morning, but the period is a very long 21 seconds, with a combined energy of 270. The afternoon picks up to 2ft with an 18-second period and a gentle offshore breeze. By Friday, August 7th, the afternoon is your second standout of the window: 4ft SW swell with an 18-second period, a moderate offshore wind, and a combined energy of 851. That’s a very good session for the point, promising clean lines.

The final weekend, August 8th and 9th, holds steady at 3ft to 3ft with good periods (15-16 seconds) and clean conditions. The energy is moderate (380-507). There’s a run of small but clean waves through to Tuesday, August 11th, but nothing that matches the power of the first two days.

So, to sum it up: Tuesday, July 28th morning is the absolute best of the 16 days. Don’t miss it. The Friday, August 7th afternoon is a solid second pick if you’re looking further out, but it’s less certain. The rest of the second week is small but clean, good for a log or a funboard.

Rusty.

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