Scorpion Bay (San Juanico) Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s coming down the line for Scorpion Bay (San Juanico). The water is sitting at a warm 79°, which is a solid 5° warmer than usual for this time of year – that’s much warmer than normal, so you can leave the thick rubber at home.

The next couple of weeks kick off with a lovely pulse of long-period groundswell. Monday the 20th rolls in with clean, cross-off winds and a 4ft SSW swell riding a 16-second period. The combined energy is sitting at 795 (moderate), but those long lines from a 16-second period are going to be a dream at this point break. The swell is a bit small, but the quality is there. That trend holds into Tuesday the 21st morning with a similar 3ft SSW swell.

Wednesday the 22nd is where things get real interesting. The swell jumps to 6ft from the SSW, with a 13-second period, and the combined energy is a solid 1335 (moderate). The wind is clean offshore from the W at 12 mph. This is an excellent window for experienced surfers. The waves are getting a bit of size, and the offshore wind is going to keep them lined up perfectly for those long, reeling walls. Wednesday afternoon is still fun, but a fresh breeze picks up for the afternoon session.

We get a bit of a lull on Thursday the 23rd morning with lighter cross-shore winds, but Thursday afternoon cleans right back up. By the weekend, Saturday the 25th afternoon delivers a sweet 4ft, 19-second SSW swell. That is a very long period, which at Scorpion Bay is a beautiful thing. The combined energy is 1352 (moderate), and the wind is gentle and cross-off – it’s going to be clean.

The standout of the entire forecast, though, is the last week of July. The stretch from Tuesday the 28th through to Friday the 31st is firing. Tuesday the 28th has a 5ft SSW swell, then Wednesday the 29th holds around 5-5ft, but the real beast is Thursday the 30th. The swell hits 10ft from the S with a 14-second period. The combined energy is a massive 3306 (strong) in the morning. This is expert territory only – that’s big, powerful, lines of swell. The wind is light and cross-off, so the faces will be clean. Friday the 31st stays big, starting at 10ft and backing off to 8ft by the afternoon with fresh offshore wind. This is the best run of solid, clean swell on offer.

After that, the swell drops quickly. The first few days of August see fading size and a drop in period, with winds turning more cross or cross-on. Things get a bit ordinary from the 2nd of August onwards, with a gap in quality surf appearing through the 3rd and 4th where the waves get small and the conditions are rough.

The best of the best: Wednesday the 29th and Thursday the 30th of July. Wednesday has a clean 5ft ride from the SSW with light winds, and Thursday is the big one – 10ft of S swell with clean conditions. That’s the one for the experienced crew. The crowd factor is always a concern here, so be ready for company.

Stay stoked.
Rusty.

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