Scorpion Bay (San Juanico) Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s on the menu for the next couple of weeks at Scorpion Bay (San Juanico). This is a classic point break that doesn’t just light up for any swell, but when it does, it’s a proper gem. The standout period is centered around the middle of next week, with a seriously punchy south swell that will have the experts grinning.

The first decent action kicks off on Sunday the 12th of July. It’s a modest start with a 3ft SSW swell running at a long 14-second period. The energy is already moderate (383), and with a light cross-off breeze, the morning session will be clean. It’s not huge, but it’s a sign of life. The afternoon sees the wind swing to a clean offshore from the WNW at 12 mph, keeping the 3ft SSW swell smooth and lined up. Crowds are always a factor here, so expect company.

Monday the 13th keeps the same vibe with a 3ft SSW swell, but the period drops slightly to 13 seconds in the afternoon. Still, with a 16 mph offshore wind, it’ll be a clean, rippable wave. Not a standout, but a solid day for logging some turns.

Tuesday the 14th is a bit of a transition. The swell dips to 2ft and 2ft, but the period stretches out to a very long 18 seconds, turning it into a proper groundswell. Energy is moderate (393). The morning is glassy-light, and the afternoon is clean offshore. The wave will be lower energy, but those long-period lines will peel beautifully along the point.

Now, Wednesday the 15th and Thursday the 16th are a mixed bag. Wednesday morning sees a small 2ft SW swell with a 16-second period, but a cross-onshore wind makes it choppy and unappealing. The energy is weak (227). Thursday afternoon looks better – a 3ft S swell with a 16-second period and a clean cross-off breeze, giving you a decent window.

The true standout arrives on Friday the 17th of July. The morning session is absolutely firing. An 8ft S swell with a 15-second period hits the point, and the combined energy is massive (3531). The wind is glassy – absolute zero. This is a big, powerful wave. With that size, it’s strictly for experienced surfers. The sets will be long and lined up, but the power is serious. This is the best wave of the forecast period. The afternoon gets messy with a cross-onshore wind and the swell jumping to 10ft, so get it while it’s clean.

Saturday the 18th is a drop-off. The swell drops to 5ft, the period crashes to 9 seconds, and the wind is onshore. The energy is still moderate (746), but the quality is poor. Best to give it a rest.

The following week settles back into a more mellow rhythm. From Sunday the 19th right through to Thursday the 23rd, you’re looking at 2ft to 3ft SSW swells, with periods between 13 and 17 seconds. The winds are mostly offshore or cross-off, keeping things clean. The energy is moderate (300-547). Not the big stuff, but perfectly surfable, consistent lines for the point. Crowds will be there, but the point will handle it.

The end of the run looks promising again. Friday the 24th of July sees a 2ft SSW swell with a very long 24-second period, but the energy jumps to 776, and the afternoon shows a 4ft S swell with a 13-second period, energy jumping to 1206. It’s marginal in the write-up, but the ingredients are there.

Then, the final wave of the forecast: Saturday the 25th and Sunday the 26th of July. We get a 3ft to 4ft SW swell, with that long period back (18-21 seconds). The energy is strong (1358-1656), and the winds are clean offshore. This is a very good, extended period of quality surf to close out the fortnight. The morning of the 25th with 4ft SW and a 21-second period and a light cross-off wind is a proper treat.

So, to sum it up: the absolute best on offer is the morning of Friday the 17th of July for the big, glassy, expert-only south swell. The next best is the weekend of the 25th and 26th of July for a long-period, clean, and powerful point session. Everything else is fun, small-to-medium, clean waves for the point.

Water temperature is about average for the time of year, nothing unusual.

Rusty.

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