Surf Forecasts:
Scorpion Bay (San Juanico) surf forecast from 27 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Friday 28 Aug, 2PM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.3m), 17s period, SSW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Friday 28 Aug, 5PM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.4m), 18s period, SSW swell with 1,159 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 27 Aug, 2AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.1m), 10s period with SSW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Scorpion Bay (San Juanico) this week:
The surf forecast for Scorpion Bay (San Juanico) over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Aug 27) at 2AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.1m and 10s period with a secondary swell of 0.6m and 14s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Scorpion Bay (San Juanico) in the next 16 days are 1.4m 18s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Aug 28) at 5PM. Winds are predicted to be offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.8m 5s period and expected on Friday (Aug 28) at 5AM.
| Wave Type | Time (MST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 2AM (Thu 27th Aug) | 3.5ft (1.1m) 10s |
| Best Surf | 2PM (Fri 28th Aug) | 4.5ft (1.3m) 17s |
| Most Powerful | 5PM (Fri 28th Aug) | 4.5ft (1.4m) 18s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Scorpion Bay (San Juanico) over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, let’s talk Scorpion Bay. This is a classic point break that needs the right swell to wake up, and it’s inconsistent, so you gotta be picky. The good news is there’s plenty of clean, offshore wind coming through, especially in the afternoons. Right now the water is sitting at 84°, which is more than 3° warmer than the average for this time of year – feels like the tropics, so you might want to ditch the wetsuit.
The first real standout is Friday afternoon, the 28th of August. The swell is pushing 5ft from the SSW with a super long 18-second period, and combined energy is strong at 1235. Offshore wind from the WNW will have it glassy. For a point break, that long period groundswell is going to wrap in perfect. It’s a bit much for beginners, but experienced surfers will be stoked. Crowds are always heavy here, so get in the water early.
Saturday afternoon, the 29th of August, is also solid – 4ft SSW swell, 16 seconds, light offshore wind, and energy at 983. Clean, lined-up waves.
Monday afternoon, the 31st of August, brings 6ft from the SSW. The period drops to 10 seconds, but the wind is offshore and energy is still decent at 763. That size with clean conditions will have the point running.
Looking further out, Thursday afternoon, the 3rd of September, shows a return of that long-period 18-second SSW swell at 4ft, with light offshore wind and strong energy at 1051. That’s a promising session for the first week of September.
Saturday afternoon, the 5th of September, delivers the biggest swell of the outlook – 7ft from the south, but with a shorter 12-second period and cross-offshore wind. Energy is very strong at 1672. That size is for experts only, and the shorter period might make it a bit lumpy on the point.
The second week, from the 7th onward, settles into smaller, cleaner waves. Tuesday morning, the 8th of September, is glassy with 2ft from the SW at 18 seconds – perfect for a longboard session. Thursday morning, the 10th, also has clean 4ft SW swell at 17 seconds.
For the best waves, I’d focus on Friday afternoon, the 28th of August, and Thursday afternoon, the 3rd of September. They’ve got the size, the long period, and the clean offshore wind. Just remember, Scorpion is a fickle wave – you gotta be there when it’s right.
Rusty
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 3mm), mostly falling on Fri afternoon. Warm (max 31°C on Thu afternoon, min 27°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummarySome drizzle, heaviest during Sat afternoon. Warm (max 29°C on Sat afternoon, min 26°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light. | |||||||||||||||||||
Wed 26 | Thursday 27 | Friday 28 | Saturday 29 | Sunday 30 | Monday 31 | Tuesday 1 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 12 | SSW 10 | SW 14 | SSW 18 | SSW 19 | SSW 17 | SSW 18 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 11 | SSW 11 | SSW 10 | SSW 11 | SW 10 | SW 11 | SW 10 |
Wave Graph  | ||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 209 | 240 | 169 | 207 | 329 | 481 | 1159 | 886 | 957 | 822 | 496 | 501 | 939 | 716 | 476 | 717 | 672 | 341 | 319 | 246 |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | off | cross-off | cross-off | off | off | cross-off | off | glassy | cross | off | glassy | cross | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off | off | off |
High Tide | 8:17PM1.79m | 8:47AM1.60m | 8:44PM1.84m | 9:10AM1.66m | 9:11PM1.85m | 9:35AM1.69m | 9:40PM1.81m | 10:01AM1.69m | 10:10PM1.71m | 10:29AM1.65m | 10:44PM1.56m | 11:00AM1.58m | 11:22PM1.36m | |||||||
Low Tide | 2:12PM0.18m | 2:39AM-0.12m | 2:37PM0.09m | 3:03AM-0.15m | 3:04PM0.03m | 3:28AM-0.14m | 3:33PM0.00m | 3:54AM-0.09m | 4:04PM0.02m | 4:20AM0.01m | 4:38PM0.08m | 4:49AM0.15m | 5:16PM0.19m | |||||||
 |  | | | | |  |  | |  | |  | | | | | | | | | |
 | — | — | 6:07 | — | — | 6:07 | — | — | 6:07 | — | — | 6:07 | — | — | 6:09 | — | — | 6:09 | — | — |
 | 6:55 | — | — | 6:54 | — | — | 6:53 | — | — | 6:52 | — | — | 6:52 | — | — | 6:50 | — | — | 6:49 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 2 | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 30 | 27 | 29 | 31 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 28 | 29 | 29 | 28 | 28 | 29 | 28 | 28 | 29 | 28 | 28 | 29 | 28 |
Feels °C | 30 | 27 | 32 | 31 | 28 | 32 | 31 | 30 | 31 | 30 | 30 | 31 | 31 | 30 | 30 | 31 | 31 | 31 | 30 | 29 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 8 | SSW 10 | SSW 9 | SW 8 | SSW 19 | SSW 17 | SSW 18 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SW 15 | S 12 | SSW 14 | SSW 11 | SSW 11 | SSW 10 | SSW 11 | SW 10 | SW 11 | SW 10 |
| kJ | 101 | 240 | 127 | 102 | 329 | 481 | 1159 | 886 | 957 | 822 | 496 | 330 | 939 | 716 | 476 | 717 | 672 | 341 | 319 | 246 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 12 | SSW 14 | SW 14 | SSW 18 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 7 | W 4 | S 13 | S 12 | S 12 | SSW 14 | WNW 10 | WNW 10 | SSW 13 | SSW 19 | SW 18 | S 8 | S 8 | S 8 |
| kJ | 209 | 140 | 169 | 207 | 147 | 87 | 26 | 9 | 117 | 141 | 292 | 501 | 9 | 9 | 295 | 37 | 51 | 177 | 140 | 76 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 15 | W 4 | SW 18 | SW 14 | SSW 8 | SSW 7 | S 10 | SSW 7 | SW 7 | SW 8 | SW 7 | WSW 7 | WSW 7 | W 7 | SW 19 | WNW 10 | WNW 9 | SW 18 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 |
| kJ | 107 | 9 | 81 | 164 | 35 | 21 | 8 | 17 | 12 | 20 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 15 | 9 | 9 | 80 | 106 | 95 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WNW 4 | WNW 4 | — | W 3 | W 5 | W 4 | WSW 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | 6 | 15 | — | 5 | 15 | 10 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 426 | 0 | 0 | 801 | 420 | 0 | 0 | 610 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Baja Sur | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Mexico | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Scorpion Bay (San Juanico) Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Scorpion Bay (San Juanico) provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Scorpion Bay (San Juanico) can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Scorpion Bay (San Juanico) surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Scorpion Bay (San Juanico)) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Scorpion Bay (San Juanico) may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Scorpion Bay is 121 km (75 miles) from Adolfo Lopez Mateos. If you plan a holiday in Baja Sur, look for hotels and other accommodation in Adolfo Lopez Mateos. Adolfo Lopez Mateos has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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