Surf Forecasts:
Scorpion Bay (San Juanico) surf forecast from 3 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Sunday 5 Jul, 8PM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.0m), 16s period, SSW swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Tuesday 7 Jul, 8PM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.3m), 17s period, SSW swell with 932 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 2 Jul, 8PM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 16s period with SSW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Scorpion Bay (San Juanico) this week:
The surf forecast for Scorpion Bay (San Juanico) over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 02) at 8PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.9m and 16s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 10s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Scorpion Bay (San Juanico) in the next 16 days are 1.3m 17s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jul 07) at 8PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.4m 6s period and expected on Friday (Jul 03) at 8PM.
| Wave Type | Time (MST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 8PM (Thu 2nd Jul) | 3ft (0.9m) 16s |
| Best Surf | 8PM (Sun 5th Jul) | 3.5ft (1.0m) 16s |
| Most Powerful | 8PM (Tue 7th Jul) | 4.5ft (1.3m) 17s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Scorpion Bay (San Juanico) over the next 16 days.
Updates in hr min s Forecast update imminent
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's talk about Scorpion Bay.
We’ve got a long run of surf coming our way, starting right from Thursday the 2nd of July. The pattern is a steady pulse of SSW groundswell, and for a place that’s known to be inconsistent, this is a solid stretch. The water temp is sitting at 71°F, which is pretty spot on for the time of year, nothing unusual there.
The standout window kicks off on Monday the 6th of July. The swell energy is building nicely, you’re looking at moderate to strong energy readings (787 and 881). We’ve got a clean 3ft SSW swell with a long period, 16 to 20 seconds. That long period is a big plus for a point break like Scorpion Bay – it’ll push through nice and lined up. The wind is light to moderate and either cross-off or offshore, meaning clean faces all day.
Another real highlight is Wednesday the 8th of July afternoon. It’s showing 4ft of SSW swell with a 16-second period, and the combined energy is a solid 790. What makes this one special is light WSW cross-off winds under a rain shower sky – that’s the kind of glassy, clean setup that’ll have the bay turning on. Just keep in mind this spot is inconsistent, so these long-period groundswell pulses are the ones to circle on the calendar.
Early on, from Thursday the 2nd through to Saturday the 4th of July, the swell is a bit smaller, around 2ft to 3ft, but the winds are offshore and the energy is moderate (472 to 483). Worth a paddle for sure, especially Friday morning. The weekend picks up in energy but Saturday afternoon gets a strong offshore breeze, which can make it tough to get out.
Overall, the best bet is Monday the 6th of July and Wednesday the 8th of July. The first week is your best chance, because the second week drops off noticeably. By the 15th of July, we’re down to 2ft to 2ft and the energy drops to weak levels (195 to 250). Still surfable on the long period, but it’s ordinary. That said, for Scorpion Bay, this is a pretty optimistic run – it doesn’t stay flat for long when the pattern looks like this.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 33°C on Sat morning, min 21°C on Thu night). Winds increasing (calm on Thu night, strong winds from the WNW by Sat afternoon). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 31°C on Sun morning, min 21°C on Mon night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the W on Sun afternoon, calm by Mon morning). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Thursday 2 | Friday 3 | Saturday 4 | Sunday 5 | Monday 6 | Tuesday 7 | Wednesday 8 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 18 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 17 | SSW 18 | SSW 18 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 20 | SSW 18 | SSW 18 | SSW 18 | SSW 17 | SSW 17 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 226 | 387 | 519 | 353 | 330 | 325 | 321 | 243 | 395 | 390 | 545 | 326 | 397 | 485 | 565 | 659 | 826 | 700 | 675 | 779 | 627 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | off | off | off | off | off | off | off | off | off | off | off | cross-off | off | on | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | cross | cross-off | cross |
High Tide | 10:37AM1.33m | 10:23PM1.64m | 11:10AM1.32m | 10:57PM1.58m | 11:47AM1.30m | 11:36PM1.49m | 12:29PM1.28m | 00:22AM1.38m | 1:21PM1.27m | 1:23AM1.26m | 2:25PM1.28m | 2:47AM1.16m | 3:40PM1.32m | 4:27AM1.13m | |||||||
Low Tide | 4:13PM0.37m | 4:59AM0.07m | 4:48PM0.40m | 5:33AM0.12m | 5:28PM0.43m | 6:11AM0.19m | 6:17PM0.48m | 6:55AM0.28m | 7:20PM0.52m | 7:51AM0.38m | 8:44PM0.52m | 9:01AM0.46m | 10:19PM0.44m | ||||||||
 |  |  | | | | | |  | | | | | | | | | | |  | | |
 | 5:41 | — | — | 5:41 | — | — | 5:41 | — | — | 5:41 | — | — | 5:43 | — | — | 5:43 | — | — | 5:43 | — | — |
 | — | 7:25 | — | — | 7:25 | — | — | 7:25 | — | — | 7:25 | — | — | 7:25 | — | — | 7:25 | — | — | 7:25 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
Temp °C | 25 | 29 | 25 | 31 | 27 | 28 | 33 | 32 | 28 | 31 | 28 | 26 | 27 | 27 | 22 | 25 | 26 | 22 | 24 | 25 | 23 |
Feels °C | 23 | 24 | 24 | 27 | 21 | 23 | 28 | 25 | 24 | 28 | 23 | 23 | 25 | 24 | 21 | 25 | 24 | 22 | 24 | 26 | 23 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 15 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 17 | SSW 18 | SSW 18 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 18 | SSW 18 | SSW 18 | SSW 17 | SSW 17 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 |
| kJ | 226 | 387 | 519 | 353 | 330 | 325 | 321 | 243 | 395 | 390 | 545 | 326 | 397 | 382 | 565 | 659 | 826 | 700 | 675 | 779 | 627 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 18 | S 11 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | SSW 19 | SSW 19 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SW 22 | SW 21 | SW 20 | SSW 20 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | W 13 | W 6 | W 6 | W 12 | W 6 |
| kJ | 207 | 35 | 30 | 30 | 17 | 146 | 148 | 154 | 151 | 149 | 122 | 224 | 388 | 485 | 275 | 186 | 13 | 76 | 23 | 11 | 43 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 11 | WNW 11 | NW 11 | SSW 21 | SSW 21 | S 10 | S 9 | SW 8 | SW 8 | SW 24 | SW 8 | SW 12 | SW 7 | W 13 | W 13 | W 13 | S 9 | SSW 13 | W 12 | — | WNW 12 |
| kJ | 39 | 11 | 4 | 44 | 45 | 16 | 14 | 11 | 10 | 87 | 9 | 35 | 2 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 6 | 70 | 11 | — | 13 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WNW 5 | W 4 | WNW 5 | WNW 5 | W 5 | WNW 6 | WNW 4 | WNW 5 | WNW 6 | WNW 5 | W 5 | WNW 6 | WNW 5 | WNW 4 | WNW 6 | WNW 5 | W 4 | — | — | W 6 | — |
| kJ | 19 | 13 | 46 | 50 | 45 | 115 | 34 | 62 | 87 | 50 | 49 | 92 | 33 | 34 | 82 | 36 | 26 | — | — | 23 | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 455 | 0 | 0 | 455 | 0 | 0 | 455 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 26 | 0 | 646 | 26 | 455 | 0 | 385 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Baja Sur | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Mexico | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Scorpion Bay (San Juanico) Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Scorpion Bay (San Juanico) provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Scorpion Bay (San Juanico) can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Scorpion Bay (San Juanico) surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Scorpion Bay (San Juanico)) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Scorpion Bay (San Juanico) may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Scorpion Bay is 121 km (75 miles) from Adolfo Lopez Mateos. If you plan a holiday in Baja Sur, look for hotels and other accommodation in Adolfo Lopez Mateos. Adolfo Lopez Mateos has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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