Scorpion Bay (San Juanico) Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, this is Rusty checking in from Scorpion Bay (San Juanico). Let's look at what's coming down the pipeline. It's a point break, and it's a fickle one—it's inconsistent, so when it lines up, it's a treat. The water here is running at 83°, which is a seriously warm, much warmer than normal for this time of year.

The week starts off small. Friday morning, the 21st of August, we've got tiny 2ft SSW groundswell with a 13-second period. The combined energy is weak (197), and it's just surfable, but nothing to write home about. The wind is offshore from the west, which is a big positive, but the swell is just too small. That afternoon, the wind picks up to a fresh 22 mph breeze, and conditions get poor.

We roll into Saturday, the 22nd, with a little more push. The morning has 2ft SSW swell, but the period jumps to 15 seconds, which is nice and long. It's clean with light cross-offshore winds. The afternoon sees a bit more energy (285) and the wind stays clean. It's surfable, but we're still waiting for the real juice.

Sunday the 23rd is a bit of a write-off in the morning—cross-onshore winds and choppy conditions. The afternoon cleans up again with a super long 18-second period on 2ft SW swell, but it's marginal.

Monday the 24th is where things start to get interesting. The combined energy jumps to 440, and the swell is 2ft from the SSW at 14 seconds. The wind is light and cross-offshore, so it's clean. The afternoon gets even better: 3ft SSW swell, offshore wind, and energy climbing to 586. This is good, clean surf.

Now, Tuesday the 25th is a standout. The morning swell jumps to 6ft from the SSW, strong energy at 1276, but the wind is light and cross-shore, making it a bit messy. But the afternoon? That's the pick. Offshore wind at 12 mph, 6ft SSW swell, and energy at 1190. The waves are set up for a very good session. This is the one to aim for.

Wednesday the 26th keeps the good times rolling. Morning has 5ft SSW swell, light cross-offshore wind, and energy at 874. The afternoon sees a little drop in size to 5ft but still solid, with a gentle offshore wind. Both sessions are very good. The caveat is that with a long-period groundswell (11-15 seconds) and a point break setup, Scorpion Bay is going to handle that beautifully. It's not a beach break, so it won't break too straight.

Thursday the 27th is a bit smaller again, 3ft, but still clean and fun. The trend continues into Friday the 28th, where the swell drops to 3ft in the morning, but the period is 16 seconds, and the energy is high at 732. The afternoon is a real ripper: 4ft SSW swell, 18-second period, offshore wind, and energy at 1142. That's a very good, clean session.

The weekend of the 29th and 30th is solid. Saturday the 29th has 4ft SSW swell, 16-second period, and offshore wind all day. Energy is high (958 in the morning, 811 in the afternoon). Sunday the 30th drops to 3ft but stays clean with light winds.

Monday the 31st is a bit of a mixed bag. The morning is cross-onshore and poor, but the afternoon cleans up with 4ft SSW swell and cross-offshore wind, making it good again.

Now, here's the kicker. The very start of September. Tuesday the 1st has glassy conditions with 4ft SSW swell. That's a dream. But hold on—Wednesday the 2nd brings a hurricane-force storm. The wind hits 75 mph onshore, and the swell is a messy 2ft. That's a total wipeout. Thursday the 3rd is a recovery day, with strong 18-second period swell but a fresh breeze. The afternoon is clean again.

But the real standout in the long-range is Saturday the 5th of September. We're looking at 6ft SSW swell, 15-second period, and light cross-offshore wind. The energy is massive at 1490. This is excellent surf for experienced surfers. The morning is clean, and the afternoon has a moderate offshore breeze. This is the best of the whole 16-day window, but it's far out, so keep an eye on the forecasts.

So, to sum it up: the best on offer is Tuesday the 25th afternoon and Saturday the 5th of September. The 25th is a solid, clean session with 6ft SSW swell and offshore wind. The 5th is bigger, with 6ft SSW swell, and it's a true standout for experienced surfers. The water is warm, the point break will handle the long-period swell, and the crowds are always a thing here, so expect company.

Rusty out.

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