Scorpion Bay (San Juanico) Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s talk about this 16-day window we’ve got coming up for Scorpion Bay. It’s a bit of a slow burner, but the second week is shaping up to be something special.

The water out here at Scorpion Bay (San Juanico) is running at 83°F right now, which is a whopping 5°F warmer than usual for this time of year. That’s very unusual, and it makes for some seriously pleasant sessions.

We’ve got a few days of small, building surf to kick things off. Saturday the 22nd starts with a weak 2ft SSW swell (216 combined energy), and conditions are just okay with a light cross-offshore breeze. Sunday the 23rd is a bit of a mixed bag, but the afternoon sees a glassy 2ft SW groundswell with an 18-second period and offshore wind. It’s small, but the quality will be there for a longboard.

Monday the 24th has a cleaner 3ft S swell with moderate energy (535) and light winds, and then Tuesday the 25th is where it starts to get interesting. The morning delivers a solid 6ft SSW swell with strong energy (1090) and clean conditions. That’s getting into the territory where beginners might find it a bit much, but for the advanced crew, it’s a go.

The standout window, without a doubt, is the first week of September. Thursday the 3rd of September brings a very long-period SSW groundswell arriving at 4ft, but the energy is already pumping (1322). By the afternoon, it builds to 4ft with a 19-second period and a light offshore wind, pushing the energy to 1542. That’s excellent quality for experienced surfers.

But the absolute highlight is Friday the 4th of September. The morning goes glassy, with a 5ft SSW swell, a 17-second period, and a phenomenal 1982 combined energy. The wind is dead calm – glassy. This is the best on offer. The afternoon keeps it going with a gentle offshore and 2034 energy. This is a point break, so that long period will wrap in beautifully, offering long, lined-up walls. It’s a bit too big for beginners at 5ft, but for the advanced crew, this is the session to circle. Just be aware, crowds are inevitable here, so get down early.

The weekend of the 5th and 6th of September sees the swell ease off a bit, with some cross-shore winds and a drop in quality, so it’s back to more ordinary conditions.

Overall, keep your eyes on that first week of September. The long-range call for the 3rd and 4th is promising, but we’ll want to lock it in closer to the date. The forecast can change, but the potential is there for some absolute magic.

Rusty.

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