
Surf Forecasts:
Scorpion Bay (San Juanico) surf forecast from 9 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Friday 14 Aug, 11AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.8m), 18s period, SSW swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Friday 14 Aug, 2PM (local time) - 4ft (1.2m), 18s period, SSW swell with 817 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 9 Aug, 5PM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.8m), 14s period with SSW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Scorpion Bay (San Juanico) this week:
The surf forecast for Scorpion Bay (San Juanico) over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Aug 09) at 5PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.8m and 14s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 11s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Scorpion Bay (San Juanico) in the next 16 days are 1.2m 18s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Aug 14) at 2PM. Winds are predicted to be offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.1m 5s period and expected on Thursday (Aug 13) at 11PM.
| Wave Type | Time (MST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 5PM (Sun 9th Aug) | 2.5ft (0.8m) 14s |
| Best Surf | 11AM (Fri 14th Aug) | 2.5ft (0.8m) 18s |
| Most Powerful | 2PM (Fri 14th Aug) | 4ft (1.2m) 18s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Scorpion Bay (San Juanico) over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, let’s get the rundown for you. The next couple of days are going to be a bit of a tug-of-war between the swell and the wind. Sunday looks pretty average, with some light sideshore breezes messing with the surface. It's not terrible, but it's not gonna get the heart pumping either. The water's sitting at a balmy 82°F, which is a good few degrees warmer than we usually get around here, so that's a bonus.
Monday picks up. There's a clean little SSW swell running at about 3 to 3 feet, and the breeze is starting to swing offshore. That’s when Scorpion Bay starts to wake up. It’s building, and it’s looking a whole lot better.
Tuesday is where things get real. The swell drops a touch to around 3 feet, but the period stretches out to 18 seconds. That’s proper groundswell, the kind that wraps around the points and draws those long lines. The morning wind is light and cross-off, perfect for a clean surface. The afternoon gets a bit more blowy, but you can still find some fun ones.
Wednesday and Thursday keep that same rhythm. The offshore winds are solid, keeping the faces glassy out at Scorpion Bay (San Juanico). You’re going to be trading a little bit of size for shape, but with that consistency, I’d call it a fair deal.
Now, Friday the 14th. That’s the one. Circle it. The morning is looking spot-on for a solid 4-foot SSW groundswell with a 17-second period. The wind is light offshore, and the energy is humming at a 723. That's where it all comes together. The Bay will be lit up. Expect a few people out, but with that light wind and long, peeling waves, it’ll be worth every minute of the paddle. The afternoon breeze gets a bit stronger, but the morning is a gift.
Saturday is still holding on. Similar size with clean conditions first thing, another strong contender. Just watch for that wind to pick up later in the day.
After that, the ocean takes a little nap for a few days. The waves stay ridable, but the spark is gone. From Monday the 17th through Thursday the 20th, we're looking at a lull. There’s still some energy, but it gets weak, and those side-shore winds start messing with the texture. It's not flat, but it's not exactly calling your name.
Then, from Friday the 21st to the end of the forecast, we get another push. It's not as big as that Friday the 14th swell, but those longer periods are back (13-19 seconds), which is a good sign. The winds favor us more often than not, so there should be some clean, rippable waves to close out the window.
So, there you have it. A slow start, a couple of killer days around the 14th and 15th, a bit of a pause, then a solid finish. Choose your days wisely.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Sun morning. Warm (max 27°C on Sun afternoon, min 24°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 30°C on Fri morning, min 24°C on Wed night). Mainly fresh winds. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Sunday 9 | Monday 10 | Tuesday 11 | Wednesday 12 | Thursday 13 | Friday 14 | Saturday 15 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 19 | SW 19 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SSW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SSW 19 | SSW 18 | SSW 17 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SW 15 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
236 | 223 | 201 | 198 | 251 | 115 | 319 | 316 | 195 | 264 | 206 | 242 | 295 | 248 | 236 | 404 | 798 | 691 | 674 | 666 | 516 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | off | cross-off | cross-off | off | off | off | off | off | off | off | off | off | off | off | off | off |
High Tide | 6:51PM1.64m | 7:51AM1.41m | 7:37PM1.78m | 8:27AM1.51m | 8:17PM1.88m | 9:01AM1.57m | 8:54PM1.91m | 9:32AM1.60m | 9:29PM1.86m | 10:02AM1.58m | 10:02PM1.76m | 10:30AM1.54m | 10:33PM1.60m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 12:42PM0.46m | 1:34AM-0.04m | 1:29PM0.32m | 2:13AM-0.16m | 2:09PM0.21m | 2:50AM-0.21m | 2:46PM0.13m | 3:23AM-0.20m | 3:21PM0.10m | 3:53AM-0.13m | 3:54PM0.12m | 4:22AM-0.02m | 4:27PM0.18m | 4:48AM0.13m | |||||||
5:58 | — | — | 5:58 | — | — | 6:00 | — | — | 6:00 | — | — | 6:01 | — | — | 6:01 | — | — | 6:01 | — | — | |
— | 7:10 | — | — | 7:09 | — | — | 7:08 | — | — | 7:07 | — | — | 7:07 | — | — | 7:07 | — | — | 7:06 | — | |
mm | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 26 | 27 | 26 | 26 | 27 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 25 | 28 | 27 | 25 | 28 | 27 | 26 | 30 | 28 | 28 | 30 | 31 | 30 |
Feels °C | 28 | 29 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 26 | 26 | 27 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 24 | 25 | 24 | 23 | 28 | 25 | 27 | 29 | 28 | 28 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 12 | SW 18 | SW 13 | SSW 13 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 14 | SSW 15 | SSW 17 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SW 15 |
236 | 223 | 201 | 198 | 219 | 115 | 319 | 199 | 135 | 264 | 206 | 242 | 295 | 248 | 214 | 275 | 798 | 691 | 674 | 666 | 516 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 5 | SW 11 | SW 21 | SW 20 | SSW 19 | SW 19 | SSW 12 | SW 18 | SSW 17 | S 12 | SSW 10 | SSW 9 | SSW 10 | SW 20 | SSW 19 | SSW 18 | S 12 | S 11 | S 11 | S 10 | S 10 |
8 | 30 | 71 | 186 | 251 | 95 | 127 | 316 | 195 | 101 | 33 | 28 | 31 | 186 | 236 | 404 | 24 | 21 | 9 | 8 | 8 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 11 | W 5 | S 10 | SSW 8 | W 12 | SW 14 | SW 14 | S 13 | S 13 | SW 13 | S 12 | S 12 | S 13 | SSW 9 | S 12 | S 12 | SW 8 | SW 8 | W 12 | WSW 10 | WSW 14 |
31 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 54 | 33 | 30 | 29 | 27 | 46 | 48 | 30 | 28 | 46 | 44 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 19 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | W 5 | — | WNW 5 | W 3 | — | W 3 | W 4 | WNW 4 | WNW 4 | WNW 5 | WNW 4 | WNW 4 | WNW 5 | WNW 4 | WNW 4 | WNW 6 | WNW 5 | WNW 4 | WNW 6 |
— | — | 4 | — | 5 | 2 | — | 5 | 14 | 10 | 31 | 43 | 20 | 31 | 44 | 29 | 24 | 53 | 33 | 25 | 69 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 455 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 455 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 455 | 0 | 0 | 455 | 0 | 0 | 849 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Baja Sur | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Mexico | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Scorpion Bay (San Juanico) Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Scorpion Bay (San Juanico) provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Scorpion Bay (San Juanico) can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Scorpion Bay (San Juanico) surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Scorpion Bay (San Juanico)) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Scorpion Bay (San Juanico) may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Scorpion Bay is 121 km (75 miles) from Adolfo Lopez Mateos. If you plan a holiday in Baja Sur, look for hotels and other accommodation in Adolfo Lopez Mateos. Adolfo Lopez Mateos has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.










