Scorpion Bay (San Juanico) Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, listen up, crew. Rusty here. We got a solid run ahead, but you gotta be patient. We’re looking at a stretch of small, clean, long-period groundswell at Scorpion Bay, and it ain’t for the faint of heart. This spot is a point break, it’s inconsistent, and it’s always packed. But when it lines up, it’s magic.

The first few days are a tease. Tuesday the 8th and Wednesday the 9th are small, with waves around 2 ft to 3 ft. The water is a balmy 87 °F, which is much warmer than normal for this time of year. The real story starts brewing Thursday morning the 10th. We got a 3 ft SSW swell with a 16-second period, light offshore wind from the W, and the combined energy is pumping at 490 (moderate). That’s the first real standout. The morning is glassy and clean – a proper window. The afternoon picks up a bit, but the wind builds to 16 mph, so the morning session is the one.

Over the weekend, the swell stays in the 2 ft to 3 ft range, with the best combo being Saturday afternoon the 12th and Sunday afternoon the 13th. Expect clean, moderate offshore winds, and the swell is still a tidy SSW groundswell. The crowds will be there, but that’s Scorpion Bay for you.

Now, the real gem: the second week. From Monday the 16th through Wednesday the 23rd, the consistency picks up. The standout is Wednesday afternoon the 16th: a 3 ft SSW swell, moderate offshore breeze, and the energy hits 609 (moderate to strong). That’s the pick of the whole forecast. The following days, Thursday the 17th and Friday the 18th, are also very good, but the wind gets a bit friskier – those fresh offshore breezes will groom the faces, but it’s a bit more of a battle to get out. The swell direction stays perfect for the point, with a long period that will wrap in beautifully.

Keep in mind, this is a point break. That long-period swell (15-19 seconds) is a blessing here – it’ll draw lines around the headland, but at a beach break it would just close out. We’re in the sweet spot.

The only downside is the crowds. You’ll be sharing the water, especially on the weekends. But for the patient surfer who knows the lineup, this is a killer run. Don’t expect a huge wall of whitewater; it’s about the glide and the line. The second week, especially the 16th and 17th, is the one to circle on the calendar. Promising, but keep an eye on the forecasts.

Stay stoked, Rusty.

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