Scorpion Bay (San Juanico) Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s talk about what’s shaping up for Scorpion Bay (San Juanico) over the next couple of weeks. This is a spot that doesn’t pump all the time, but when it does, it’s special. We’ve got a pulse of serious size and energy coming in, and then a long, slow fade. Let’s run through it.

The first real standout is the burst from Wednesday the 29th through Thursday the 30th. Wednesday morning, the swell is pumping with a strong 6ft SSW groundswell at a 13-second period. Combined wave energy is a meaty 1867, which is strong, pushing up to 1897 by the afternoon as the swell builds to 7ft with a very long 15-second period. That’s a proper groundswell, perfect for this long right-hand point break. The wind is offshore or cross-off all day, keeping it clean. This is advanced territory – over 5ft and heading toward 8ft means it’s not for beginners. The water is sitting at 81°, a full 5° warmer than normal for this time of year, which is very unusual.

Thursday sees the swell backing off a touch but still solid. Morning has a clean 4ft SSW swell with a 14-second period, energy at 940. Afternoon drops to 4ft but stays clean with offshore wind. The quality is there, but the energy is fading from the peak.

Friday the 31st through the first week of August, things really drop off. We’re looking at knee-to-waist high waves, mostly under 3ft. The energy values fall into the low hundreds, with spots like Saturday morning down to 231. Winds are mixed – some offshore puffs, but the swell just isn’t there to hold your interest. This is a flat patch that lasts a solid 7 to 10 days, with only small, ordinary waves on offer.

There is a flicker of hope for the second week. Around the 11th of August, Tuesday afternoon shows a new pulse: 3ft SW groundswell with an 18-second period, and energy jumping to 812. That’s moderate-strong energy and a very long period, which can be tricky at beach breaks but works a treat on a point like Scorpion Bay. Winds look offshore. It’s a long-range call, so keep your fingers crossed, but it could be worth a look.

If I’m picking the true standout, it’s Wednesday the 29th. That’s the one with the size, the power, and the clean conditions. Thursday morning is also a good bet. The rest of the window is mostly small and flat, with a promising but uncertain possibility around the 11th of August.

Stay sharp, and don’t sleep on that first pulse.

- Rusty

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