Scorpion Bay (San Juanico) Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's talk about what's shaping up for Scorpion Bay. This is a desert jewel, a point break that needs a specific angle, and we've got a window of opportunity coming up, but you've got to be patient.

We kick off with a solid pulse on Tuesday, August 25th. The afternoon brings a clean 6ft SSW swell with a moderate period of 11 seconds, and a moderate offshore wind from the west. The combined wave energy is decent at 792, and the water is a balmy 84°, which is a whopping 6° warmer than usual for this time of year – that's a seriously unusual warm spell you'll be paddling in. This is your first real standout. It's a clean, punchy point break setup, but remember, this spot is inconsistent and best for advanced surfers. Crowds are inevitable here, so get your share early.

Wednesday the 26th sees the swell drop off fast. The morning has a clean 2ft SW groundswell with a long 15-second period, but the energy is much lower at 386. It's a clean, glassy wave, but small. The afternoon gets windier with a 16 mph offshore, and the model flags it as marginal. Thursday the 27th is a write-off with cross-shore winds and a risk of thunderstorms. Friday the 28th improves slightly, with a 5ft SSW swell arriving in the afternoon, packing a much stronger 1200 energy. The wind is a clean cross-offshore, but the model still calls it marginal.

Now, here's where it gets good. Saturday, August 29th, is another standout. The morning has a clean 5ft SSW swell with a long 16-second period, light cross-offshore winds, and a solid 1083 energy. The afternoon is just as good with a 4ft swell and clean offshore winds. This is prime Scorpion Bay. Sunday the 30th continues the trend with a 5ft SSW swell in the morning, again with clean winds and 848 energy. The window from Saturday morning through Sunday morning is your best bet for the first week. The swell dips a bit through Monday and Tuesday, with smaller, cleaner waves in the 2ft to 3ft range.

After a brief lull, we start looking at a more powerful, longer-range pulse. The morning of Tuesday, September 8th, shows a 6ft SSW swell with 1726 energy, but it's flagged as marginal. The big news is Tuesday afternoon: a 8ft S swell with a period of 15 seconds and a massive 2971 energy. The wind is clean cross-offshore. This is pushing into expert-only territory due to the size.

And then... Wednesday, September 9th. This is the one. The morning is absolutely glassy – a 3 mph wind from the WSW, making it dead calm. A 13ft SSW swell with a 16-second period, and an energy reading of 8965. That's a massive groundswell. The afternoon gets even bigger, with a 15ft SSW swell and a staggering 10633 energy. This is for expert surfers only, at a world-class point break. The long period (16 seconds) means this will be a powerful, lined-up wave, but it might be a bit too straight for the beach sections, making the point itself the only game in town. It's a very promising outlook, but it's over two weeks away, so the details could shift.

Remember, there are a few days with no real recommendations, like the 27th and 28th, and a small gap around the 6th and 7th of September. But overall, there's plenty to be stoked about.

Rusty.

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