Scorpion Bay (San Juanico) Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s coming down the line for Scorpion Bay.

We’ve got a long outlook ahead, and the first bit of real action kicks off this Sunday, the 30th of August. The pattern starts with a nice, clean SSW groundswell that’s got some proper energy behind it. The water temperature is sitting about average for the time of year, nothing wild there.

Sunday, 30th August is your first real standout. The morning brings in a clean 3ft SSW swell with a long 14-second period. The combined energy is moderate (683), and with a light cross-offshore breeze, it’s going to be smooth. That afternoon, it builds to 5ft, still from the SSW, period holding at 14 seconds, and the energy jumps up (993). The wind turns offshore, making for some great, clean lines. This is a point break, so that long-period groundswell will wrap in beautifully. It’s a spot for advanced surfers, and it’s inconsistent, so you’ll need to be patient, but it’s always crowded, so expect company.

Monday, 31st August is still fun. The morning has a clean 4ft SSW swell, period dropping to 11 seconds, still with a light cross-offshore breeze. The afternoon stays clean but the energy drops a notch.

Tuesday, 1st September sees the swell fade. The morning is a weak 2ft with a cross-shore wind, so forget it. The afternoon picks up a little with a clean 3ft SSW swell and an offshore wind, but it’s small.

Wednesday, 2nd September is tiny in the morning, just 2ft. The afternoon gets a 2ft SW swell with a very long 16-second period and a gentle offshore breeze. It’s clean but small.

Thursday, 3rd September is where it gets interesting again. The afternoon shows a 4ft SSW swell with a *very* long 18-second period. The energy is strong (1072), and the wind is a clean cross-offshore. This is a standout afternoon session. That long period will groove down the point, but it means long waits between sets.

Friday, 4th September has a 4ft SSW swell in the morning, but with a light cross-onshore wind causing some ripples. The afternoon gets a bump to 5ft from the S, but it’s a bit messy.

Saturday, 5th September – get ready. The afternoon is a standout for experienced surfers. It’s pumping 8ft from the SSW, period at 12 seconds, and the energy is very strong (1619). The wind is a clean cross-offshore. This is big, powerful, and for experts only. The morning has the same size but with a cross-shore wind and a risk of thunderstorms, so wait for the afternoon glass-off.

Sunday, 6th September the swell is still solid at 7ft in the morning, but the wind is onshore, making it choppy. The afternoon drops to 6ft but stays cross-shore, so not the best.

Monday, 7th September is a nice drop in size. The morning has a clean 4ft SW swell, and the afternoon is a clean 3ft with a fresh offshore wind.

Tuesday, 8th September is small and clean, but the wind is fresh offshore, making it a bit tricky. The afternoon gets a 5ft W swell, but the period is short.

Wednesday, 9th September is back to clean small waves. The morning has a 4ft WNW swell, short period, but clean. The afternoon is a tiny 2ft with a very long 17-second period and a gentle offshore.

Thursday, 10th September is small and clean in the afternoon, just 3ft.

Friday, 11th September is small, clean in the morning at 2ft, but the afternoon gets blown out by a fresh offshore.

Saturday, 12th September is a write-off. Tiny and weak.

And then, hold onto your boards, Sunday, 13th September is the biggest event of the whole outlook. The morning shows a massive 16ft WSW swell with a short 10-second period. The combined energy is off the charts (5537). This is a beast, and it’s only for the most experienced. The wind is a light cross-offshore, so it might be clean, but that size and short period will be a washing machine. The afternoon drops to 8ft from the W.

Monday, 14th September is back to small, clean, but weak.

So, the two true standouts are the Sunday afternoon of the 30th of August for a clean, solid session, and the Saturday afternoon of the 5th of September for the big, powerful, expert-only stuff. The long-range Sunday the 13th is massive, but with that short period, it's promising but less certain.

Keep an eye on that Thursday the 3rd of September afternoon too – that long-period clean swell is a gem.

Rusty.

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