Surf Forecasts:
Scorpion Bay (San Juanico) surf forecast from 31 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Thursday 3 Sep, 5PM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.1m), 18s period, SW swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Saturday 5 Sep, 8PM (local time) - 13ft (4.0m), 14s period, SSW swell with 5,713 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 31 Aug, 5AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.8m), 14s period with SSW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Scorpion Bay (San Juanico) this week:
The surf forecast for Scorpion Bay (San Juanico) over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 31) at 5AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.1m and 10s period with a secondary swell of 0.8m and 14s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Scorpion Bay (San Juanico) in the next 16 days are 4.0m 14s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Sep 05) at 8PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.9m 6s period and expected on Wednesday (Sep 02) at 2AM.
| Wave Type | Time (MST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 5AM (Mon 31st Aug) | 2.5ft (0.8m) 14s |
| Best Surf | 5PM (Thu 3rd Sep) | 3.5ft (1.1m) 18s |
| Most Powerful | 8PM (Sat 5th Sep) | 13ft (4.0m) 14s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Scorpion Bay (San Juanico) over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s cookin’ for Scorpion Bay over the next couple of weeks.
We’ve got a bit of a slow start, but the long-range picture has some serious firepower. The first few days are small and a bit wind-affected, but don’t write it off – there’s some magic in the mail for the first week of September and beyond.
We kick off on Monday, 31 August with a clean little pulse. The morning sees a 5 ft SSW swell at 13 seconds, with a light cross-off breeze. The wave energy is moderate (662), and things are looking clean. It’s a point break and it’s inconsistent, so you’ll be waiting for the sets, but the ones that come through will be worth it. It’s always crowded here, so expect company.
The rest of that first week is a bit of a mixed bag. Tuesday is small, Wednesday is choppy, but by Thursday afternoon, 3 September, things start to get interesting. A solid 5 ft S swell at 14 seconds rolls in, with a clean WNW offshore wind at 12 mph. The combined energy jumps to strong (1541), and the conditions are clean. This is a proper window for the experienced crew.
Now, Friday 4 September brings a big jump in size, but it’s messy. A 8 ft to 10 ft SSW swell shows up, but the wind goes onshore and the conditions are poor. Saturday 5 September is a write-off – 12 ft swell with strong cross-onshore winds at 28 mph. The energy is massive (5243), but that’s a kite-surfing zoo, not a paddle session. Skip it.
The standout of the whole run, and I mean the one you circle on the calendar, is Sunday 13 September. Get ready for it. A 15 ft WNW swell on the morning, with an 8-second period and a light offshore wind. The energy is enormous (3192). This is a big, powerful, clean swell. It’s only for experts at this size – over 8 ft, this is not beginner territory. The period is short, so it’ll be a bit punchy, but at a point break, it should handle well. The morning is glassy, and the afternoon stays clean with a moderate offshore. This is the one.
The days leading up to it are also worth a mention. Monday 7 September has a clean 7 ft WSW swell with a light offshore. Tuesday 8 September stays clean with 4 ft, and Wednesday 9 September is small but clean. None of these are the standout, but they’ll get you wet.
After the big Sunday, things drop off quickly. Monday 14 September sees a 5 ft W swell, and then it’s back to small, clean leftovers for the rest of the run. The water temp is about average for this time of year – nothing crazy.
So, to sum it up: the first week is for the patient crowd. The real standout is Sunday 13 September – that’s your best chance for a proper, heavy, clean session. Everything else is a warm-up or a cool-down.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastSome drizzle, heaviest during Wed afternoon. Warm (max 30°C on Tue afternoon, min 26°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryHeavy rain (total 23mm), heaviest during Wed night. Warm (max 31°C on Sat morning, min 26°C on Fri morning). Winds increasing (calm on Thu night, strong winds from the SSE by Sat afternoon). | ||||||||||||||||||
Monday 31 | Tuesday 1 | Wednesday 2 | Thursday 3 | Friday 4 | Saturday 5 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 10 | SSW 13 | SSW 11 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 18 | SW 18 | S 13 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||
331 | 623 | 297 | 156 | 142 | 202 | 147 | 211 | 271 | 191 | 628 | 753 | 1218 | 2659 | 3062 | 3198 | 4159 | 5243 | 5247 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | off | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross | cross-off | glassy | cross-on | cross-off | glassy | cross | off | glassy | cross-on | on | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on |
High Tide | 10:10PM1.71m | 10:29AM1.65m | 10:44PM1.56m | 11:00AM1.58m | 11:22PM1.36m | 11:36AM1.46m | 00:12AM1.14m | 12:26PM1.32m | 1:54AM0.94m | 2:08PM1.19m | 5:29AM0.98m | 4:42PM1.25m | |||||||
Low Tide | 4:20AM0.01m | 4:38PM0.08m | 4:49AM0.15m | 5:16PM0.19m | 5:19AM0.33m | 6:07PM0.34m | 5:55AM0.53m | 7:31PM0.49m | 7:01AM0.74m | 10:18PM0.48m | 10:25AM0.79m | 11:55PM0.29m | |||||||
— | 6:09 | — | — | 6:09 | — | — | 6:09 | — | — | 6:09 | — | — | 6:11 | — | — | 6:11 | — | — | |
— | — | 6:50 | — | — | 6:49 | — | — | 6:47 | — | — | 6:46 | — | — | 6:45 | — | — | 6:45 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 4 | — | — | — | 2 | 5 | 10 | — | 2 | 11 |
Temp °C | 28 | 28 | 29 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 28 | 30 | 30 | 28 | 30 | 30 | 29 | 28 | 27 | 30 | 31 | 31 | 29 |
Feels °C | 30 | 30 | 31 | 29 | 31 | 30 | 28 | 31 | 30 | 30 | 31 | 31 | 32 | 32 | 31 | 29 | 27 | 28 | 27 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 10 | SSW 13 | SSW 11 | SSW 9 | SSW 8 | SSW 13 | WNW 5 | SSW 13 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 18 | S 14 | S 13 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 |
331 | 623 | 297 | 156 | 73 | 202 | 30 | 181 | 271 | 191 | 628 | 753 | 1218 | 2659 | 3062 | 3198 | 4159 | 5243 | 5247 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 14 | W 4 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | S 8 | SSW 13 | SW 10 | SSW 12 | SW 11 | S 12 | SW 18 | SSW 17 | W 9 | W 10 | W 10 | — | — | — |
168 | 3 | 121 | 151 | 142 | 33 | 147 | 104 | 125 | 92 | 232 | 727 | 780 | 25 | 17 | 17 | — | — | — | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 10 | SSW 19 | SSW 19 | W 4 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 11 | SW 16 | SW 10 | SSW 12 | SW 10 | SW 10 | SW 10 | WSW 10 | WSW 10 | — | — | — | — |
8 | 36 | 36 | 10 | 80 | 152 | 71 | 211 | 59 | 82 | 60 | 46 | 23 | 18 | 20 | — | — | — | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WNW 4 | — | W 4 | — | WNW 4 | W 3 | WNW 6 | — | — | — | — | WNW 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
4 | — | 4 | — | 12 | 5 | 47 | — | — | — | — | 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 0 | 420 | 0 | 622 | 801 | 0 | 165 | 0 | 0 | 622 | 0 | 0 | 801 | 850 | 420 | 480 | 480 | 550 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Baja Sur | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Mexico | |||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Scorpion Bay (San Juanico) Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Scorpion Bay (San Juanico) provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Scorpion Bay (San Juanico) can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Scorpion Bay (San Juanico) surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Scorpion Bay (San Juanico)) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Scorpion Bay (San Juanico) may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Scorpion Bay is 121 km (75 miles) from Adolfo Lopez Mateos. If you plan a holiday in Baja Sur, look for hotels and other accommodation in Adolfo Lopez Mateos. Adolfo Lopez Mateos has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.










