Surf Forecasts:
Scorpion Bay (San Juanico) surf forecast from 29 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Saturday 29 Aug, 5AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.3m), 16s period, SSW swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Saturday 29 Aug, 11AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.4m), 16s period, SSW swell with 1,016 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 29 Aug, 5AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.3m), 16s period with SSW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Scorpion Bay (San Juanico) this week:
The surf forecast for Scorpion Bay (San Juanico) over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Aug 29) at 5AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.3m and 16s period with a secondary swell of 0.5m and 5s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Scorpion Bay (San Juanico) in the next 16 days are 1.4m 16s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Aug 29) at 11AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.6m 4s period and expected on Monday (Aug 31) at 2AM.
| Wave Type | Time (MST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 5AM (Sat 29th Aug) | 4.5ft (1.3m) 16s |
| Best Surf | 5AM (Sat 29th Aug) | 4.5ft (1.3m) 16s |
| Most Powerful | 11AM (Sat 29th Aug) | 4.5ft (1.4m) 16s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Scorpion Bay (San Juanico) over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Gather 'round, surf rats. Rusty here, and I've got the skinny on Scorpion Bay (San Juanico). This is a spot that doesn't fire often, but when it does, it's a classic point break that can serve up some real gems. The water's sitting about average for this time of year, so no need to stress about a wetsuit, just your usual boardshorts or springy.
The pattern starts off a bit slow, but there's a real window of opportunity lighting up the end of the month. The standout is Sunday, August 30th. The morning will be clean with a light cross-offshore breeze and a 3 ft SSW swell ticking all the right boxes. Then the afternoon turns it up a notch with a solid 5 ft SSW groundswell and a proper offshore wind, making for clean, lined-up waves. The combined energy is pumping at a moderate 1003, and with that long 14-second period, you're looking at proper groundswell that will wrap beautifully around the point. This is the session to carve out for.
Leading up to that, Saturday the 29th is a bit of a mixed bag. The morning is choppy with a cross-on breeze, but it cleans up nicely in the afternoon as the wind shifts cross-offshore. The 4 ft SSW swell is there, but it's not quite the standout.
After Sunday, the surf drops off a touch. Monday the 31st offers clean, smaller waves, and the afternoons with offshore winds from the 1st to the 3rd of September will be worth a paddle. The 18-second period on the 3rd is a real treat for the point, giving you long, powerful lines.
Things take a turn for the worse from the 5th of September, with stormy weather and onshore winds building a messy 7 ft swell that's blown out and ugly. That stretch is a write-off. We then hit a dry spell from the 7th through the 12th, with small, weak surf, though the offshore winds on the 8th and 9th keep the conditions clean. There's a final glimmer on the 13th of September with a promising 4 ft S swell and light winds, which is on the radar for the long-range.
So, the best bet is locked in for Sunday the 30th. Keep the rest of the week in mind for some fun, smaller waves, but be ready to bail on the stormy stretch. This is Rusty, signing off.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 30°C on Sat afternoon, min 26°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 30°C on Tue afternoon, min 26°C on Mon night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||
Saturday 29 | Sunday 30 | Monday 31 | Tuesday 1 | Wednesday 2 | Thursday 3 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 11 | SSW 13 | SSW 11 | SSW 10 | SSW 12 | SSW 10 | SW 11 | SW 10 | SW 16 | SW 19 | SW 18 | SSW 18 | SSW 17 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 886 | 1016 | 749 | 568 | 425 | 975 | 376 | 317 | 337 | 248 | 199 | 367 | 293 | 211 | 268 | 524 | 628 | 845 | 879 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-on | cross-off | off | cross-off | off | off | cross-off | off | off | cross-off | cross-off | glassy | cross-off | off | cross | cross | cross-off | glassy |
High Tide | 9:11PM1.85m | 9:35AM1.69m | 9:40PM1.81m | 10:01AM1.69m | 10:10PM1.71m | 10:29AM1.65m | 10:44PM1.56m | 11:00AM1.58m | 11:22PM1.36m | 11:36AM1.46m | 00:12AM1.14m | 12:26PM1.32m | 1:54AM0.94m | ||||||
Low Tide | 3:28AM-0.14m | 3:33PM0.00m | 3:54AM-0.09m | 4:04PM0.02m | 4:20AM0.01m | 4:38PM0.08m | 4:49AM0.15m | 5:16PM0.19m | 5:19AM0.33m | 6:07PM0.34m | 5:55AM0.53m | 7:31PM0.49m | |||||||
 |  | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
 | — | 6:07 | — | — | 6:07 | — | — | 6:09 | — | — | 6:09 | — | — | 6:09 | — | — | 6:09 | — | — |
 | — | — | 6:52 | — | — | 6:52 | — | — | 6:50 | — | — | 6:49 | — | — | 6:47 | — | — | 6:46 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 28 | 29 | 30 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 27 | 29 | 28 | 27 | 29 | 30 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 29 |
Feels °C | 29 | 32 | 31 | 30 | 30 | 29 | 27 | 29 | 27 | 25 | 28 | 27 | 27 | 30 | 28 | 27 | 30 | 31 | 30 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 11 | S 10 | SSW 11 | SSW 10 | SW 11 | SSW 10 | SW 11 | SW 10 | SW 10 | SW 11 | SW 18 | SSW 18 | SSW 17 |
| kJ | 886 | 1016 | 749 | 568 | 425 | 975 | 376 | 196 | 337 | 248 | 137 | 367 | 293 | 204 | 185 | 194 | 628 | 845 | 879 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 4 | SW 7 | S 12 | S 11 | S 12 | W 10 | SW 14 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 12 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 19 | SW 10 | SW 10 | WSW 11 |
| kJ | 10 | 12 | 134 | 110 | 266 | 8 | 191 | 317 | 156 | 120 | 199 | 147 | 147 | 211 | 268 | 524 | 156 | 124 | 133 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 7 | W 8 | SW 8 | WSW 7 | WSW 7 | SW 20 | W 10 | SSW 19 | SSW 19 | SW 18 | SSW 8 | SW 18 | SW 17 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 |
| kJ | 17 | 12 | 14 | 18 | 10 | 16 | 8 | 36 | 36 | 51 | 92 | 152 | 138 | 104 | 94 | 96 | 82 | 19 | 35 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | W 7 | W 4 | WNW 4 | W 3 | W 4 | WNW 4 | WNW 3 | W 4 | — | WNW 3 | — | — | W 6 | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | 4 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 3 | 3 | 9 | — | 2 | — | — | 6 | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 426 | 420 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 451 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 434 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 165 | 406 | 0 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Baja Sur | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Mexico | |||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Scorpion Bay (San Juanico) Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Scorpion Bay (San Juanico) provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Scorpion Bay (San Juanico) can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Scorpion Bay (San Juanico) surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Scorpion Bay (San Juanico)) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Scorpion Bay (San Juanico) may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Scorpion Bay is 121 km (75 miles) from Adolfo Lopez Mateos. If you plan a holiday in Baja Sur, look for hotels and other accommodation in Adolfo Lopez Mateos. Adolfo Lopez Mateos has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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