Scorpion Bay (San Juanico) Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let's get into it.

Alright, folks, the next couple of weeks are looking pretty special. We’ve got a solid run of classic Scorpion Bay (San Juanico) conditions on the way. This setup is a point break that’s inconsistent, but when it lines up, it’s magic. The water is sitting at 80° right now, which is much warmer than normal for this time of year, so you can leave the thick wetsuit at home.

Things kick off from Sunday the 26th of July. We’ve got a clean 4ft SSW groundswell rolling in, with a very long 18-second period. It’s a cross-off wind, so the faces will be clean. The energy is moderate (985), and it’s a great sign of things to come.

Monday the 27th builds on that. The swell holds at 4ft from the SSW, but the period stays long at 17 seconds. The energy is climbing (1084). By the afternoon, the wind swings offshore, giving us that classic Scorpion glide. This is the start of the real run.

Tuesday the 28th is where it gets serious. The swell bumps up to 5ft and then 5ft in the afternoon, still from the SSW with a 17-second period. The energy jumps into the strong range (2004 and 2128). This is excellent surf for experienced surfers, with clean conditions and offshore winds. This is a standout.

Wednesday the 29th peak is here. Morning sees 6ft of SSW swell, although the period drops a bit to 13 seconds, but the energy is still pumping at 2310. The afternoon brings a moderate offshore breeze at 16 mph, with a 5ft swell and a longer 15-second period. This is the best on offer, a true standout for the whole period.

Thursday the 30th is still pumping, but the wind freshens. The morning is excellent with 6ft SSW swell and offshore winds, but the afternoon sees it get a bit tricky. The swell hits 7ft from the SSW, but with a 19 mph fresh offshore breeze. That’s big, clean, and only for the experts. The energy is still strong (1722).

Friday the 31st starts to ease off. The morning has a clean 5ft SW swell, but the energy drops to 874. The afternoon drops further to 4ft, but it’s still clean with offshore winds. The quality is still there, just smaller.

After that, we hit a dry spell. From Saturday the 1st of August through to about Thursday the 6th, the swell drops right off, with heights under 3ft and low energy. It’s a gap of nearly a week where the surf is small and ordinary. Not worth paddling out for.

Then we get a little pulse of life around Friday the 7th and Saturday the 8th of August. The swell comes back up to 3ft to 3ft from the SSW with a very long 18- to 16-second period. The energy is moderate (up to 655). It’s clean and surfable, but nothing like the big run earlier. This is a promising late addition, but it’s a long way out, so don’t bank on it.

From Sunday the 9th onwards, it fades again into small, windy conditions. The wind picks up to 19 to 22 mph, making it more of a kite session than a paddle session.

So, the standout is Wednesday the 29th of July. The morning has the biggest, cleanest sets of the run, and the afternoon is clean with a long period. Tuesday the 28th is also a top-tier day. Get on it while it’s here.

Rusty.

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