Rancho San Carlos surfForecast / Baja Sur / Mexico

information circle16 Day Weather and Surf, issued 4 am Friday 01 May 2026 MST
Forecast update in hr  min  s Forecast update imminent
Rancho San Carlos surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.
Today's Rancho San Carlos sea temperature is
24.6° C
(Which is 2.5°C warmer than normal for this time of year)

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Rancho San Carlos this week:

The surf forecast for Rancho San Carlos over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (May 01) at 8AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.6m and 10s period. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Rancho San Carlos in the next 16 days are 0.8m 16s and forecast to arrive on Monday (May 04) at 5PM. Winds are predicted to be offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.7m 7s period and expected on Friday (May 01) at 8AM.

Wave TypeTime (MST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 8AM (Fri 1st May)2ft (0.6m) 10s
Best Surf11AM (Sun 3rd May)2ft (0.6m) 14s
Most Powerful 5PM (Mon 4th May)2.5ft (0.8m) 16s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Rancho San Carlos over the next 16 days.


Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Warm (max 27°C on Fri morning, min 21°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Warm (max 27°C on Wed morning, min 20°C on Mon night). Wind will be generally light.

Friday
1
Saturday
2
Sunday
3
Monday
4
Tuesday
5
Wednesday
6
Thursday
7
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
1
1
1
0
1
1
2
0
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
1
1
1
0
1
2
Swell
Height Map
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.components.forecast-table.maps.snow_map">Snow Map</span>
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.components.forecast-table.maps.snow_map">Snow Map</span>
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.components.forecast-table.maps.snow_map">Snow Map</span>
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.components.forecast-table.maps.snow_map">Snow Map</span>
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.components.forecast-table.maps.snow_map">Snow Map</span>
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.components.forecast-table.maps.snow_map">Snow Map</span>
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.components.forecast-table.maps.snow_map">Snow Map</span>
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.6
S
10
0.5
S
9
0.4
SW
16
0.4
SSW
16
0.4
SW
16
0.4
SSW
15
0.6
SSW
14
0.6
SSW
14
0.6
SSW
14
0.5
SW
16
0.8
SSW
16
0.7
SW
14
0.8
SSW
15
0.9
SW
15
0.8
SSW
15
0.7
SW
14
0.6
SW
14
0.6
SW
14
0.6
SSW
14
0.5
SW
13
0.5
S
16
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
67
42
69
100
64
85
140
133
121
127
322
214
272
314
291
203
158
160
133
88
125
Wind (km/h)
5
SSW
5
NW
10
NW
10
SW
15
WSW
10
NW
5
SSW
25
W
15
NW
10
WSW
5
NW
15
NW
5
W
0
NNW
10
NW
10
SW
0
NW
5
NW
10
SW
5
W
15
NW
glassy
off
off
cross
cross-off
off
glassy
cross-off
off
cross-off
off
off
cross-off
glassy
off
cross
glassy
off
cross
cross-off
off
High Tide
8:39AM1.37m
7:57PM1.73m
9:09AM1.32m
8:18PM1.72m
9:40AM1.24m
8:39PM1.69m
10:11AM1.15m
9:00PM1.64m
10:48AM1.06m
9:22PM1.57m
11:39AM0.97m
9:44PM1.49m
10:08PM1.38m
Low Tide
1:54PM0.67m
2:48AM0.14m
2:12PM0.72m
3:16AM0.16m
2:29PM0.76m
3:45AM0.21m
2:44PM0.80m
4:17AM0.30m
2:56PM0.85m
4:54AM0.39m
3:01PM0.89m
5:42AM0.49m
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
cloud
part cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
5:46
5:45
5:45
5:43
5:43
5:43
5:41
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
6:45
6:45
6:46
6:46
6:47
6:47
6:49
Temp °C
27
27
23
26
26
23
26
26
22
26
26
23
26
26
23
27
26
23
27
26
24
28
27
24
26
24
21
27
24
20
25
25
23
26
27
24
27
26
24
27
25
23
Swell 1
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1
WNW
7
0.5
S
9
0.9
WNW
6
0.7
WNW
6
0.5
SSE
10
0.5
SSE
10
0.5
SSE
10
0.5
SSE
10
0.6
SSW
14
0.6
SSW
13
0.8
SSW
16
0.7
SW
14
0.8
SSW
15
0.9
SW
15
0.9
WNW
6
0.9
WNW
7
0.6
SW
14
0.9
WNW
6
0.7
WNW
6
0.5
SW
13
0.5
S
16
Energy kJ
102
42
68
40
56
56
55
56
121
120
322
214
272
314
68
86
158
53
40
88
125
Swell 2
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.6
S
10
0.3
SW
13
0.5
SSE
9
0.5
SSE
10
0.4
SW
16
0.4
SSW
15
0.6
SSW
14
0.6
SSW
14
0.5
SSE
10
0.5
SSE
10
0.6
SSE
10
0.6
SSE
10
0.5
SSE
10
0.5
SSE
10
0.8
SSW
15
0.7
SW
14
0.4
SSE
10
0.6
SW
14
0.6
SSW
14
0.4
S
16
0.4
SSW
13
Energy kJ
67
28
47
55
64
85
140
133
55
56
77
86
59
58
291
203
37
160
133
83
66
Swell 3
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.2
WSW
13
0.2
SSW
18
0.4
SW
16
0.4
SSW
16
0.2
WSW
12
0.2
WNW
13
0.4
SW
18
0.4
SSW
18
0.4
SW
17
0.5
SW
16
0.3
NW
12
0.5
SW
17
0.2
WNW
16
0.3
NW
16
0.5
SSE
10
0.4
SSE
10
0.4
NW
14
0.4
SSE
9
0.4
SE
9
0.4
SE
9
0.4
SSW
17
Energy kJ
17
31
69
100
14
17
80
121
75
127
23
145
25
40
56
38
49
35
21
21
111
Wind waves
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.6
WNW
7
1.1
WNW
6
1.4
WNW
6
1
WNW
6
0.7
WNW
6
0.9
WNW
4
0.6
W
4
1
W
4
1
WNW
5
0.9
WNW
5
0.9
WNW
5
1.2
WNW
6
0.7
WNW
6
1
WNW
5
1.5
WNW
6
0.9
WNW
7
1.3
WNW
6
0.7
WNW
6
1
WNW
5
Energy kJ
229
104
141
80
39
24
13
38
42
44
48
87
34
56
181
84
118
44
46
Nearest Offshore or Glassy
Rating
(10 max)
1
1
1
1
1
1
2
1
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
1
1
1
1
2
Distance (km)
0
0
0
4
0
0
0
457
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
4
0
0
4
0
0
Best forecast wave conditions in Baja Sur
Rating
(10 max)
1
1
1
1
1
1
2
1
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
1
2
1
1
2
Best forecast wave conditions in Mexico
Rating
(10 max)
1
1
1
2
1
2
2
1
2
2
2
2
3
2
3
3
1
3
2
1
3
Header Global
Rating
(10 max)
6
5
5
4
4
4
4
4
4
5
5
5
5
7
7
8
5
5
5
6
5
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Rancho San Carlos Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Rancho San Carlos provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Rancho San Carlos can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Rancho San Carlos surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Rancho San Carlos) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Rancho San Carlos may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Rancho San Carlos is 11 km (7 miles) from Cabo San Lucas. If you plan a holiday in Baja Sur, look for hotels and other accommodation in Cabo San Lucas. Cabo San Lucas has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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