Rancho San Carlos Surf Break

Rancho San Carlos Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Lat Long: 22.93° N 109.82° W

Issued: 10 am 25 Jun 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Rancho San Carlos sea temperature is
27.6° C

3.5°C warmer than normal for this time of year

Rancho San Carlos surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Rancho San Carlos surf forecast from 25 Jun 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Friday 26 Jun, 5AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.4m), 17s period, SSW swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Friday 26 Jun, 5AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.4m), 17s period, SSW swell with 1,146 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 25 Jun, 11PM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.1m), 15s period with SSW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Rancho San Carlos this week:

The surf forecast for Rancho San Carlos over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jun 25) at 11PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.1m and 15s period with a secondary swell of 0.7m and 19s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Rancho San Carlos in the next 16 days are 1.4m 17s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Jun 26) at 5AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.4m 6s period and expected on Wednesday (Jul 01) at 11AM.

Wave TypeTime (MST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)11PM (Thu 25th Jun)3.5ft (1.1m) 15s
Best Surf 5AM (Fri 26th Jun)4.5ft (1.4m) 17s
Most Powerful 5AM (Fri 26th Jun)4.5ft (1.4m) 17s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Rancho San Carlos over the next 16 days.


Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent

Short Range Forecast

Some drizzle, heaviest during Thu morning. Warm (max 31°C on Thu afternoon, min 27°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Warm (max 31°C on Sun afternoon, min 27°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light.

Thursday
25
Friday
26
Saturday
27
Sunday
28
Monday
29
Tuesday
30
Wednesday
1
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
2
2
3
2
2
2
3
1
3
1
2
1
3
2
3
2
3
3
3
3
3
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.3
SSW
14
1.2
SSW
15
0.9
SSW
17
1
SSW
18
1.3
SSW
17
1.3
SSW
16
1.3
SSW
16
1.2
SSW
16
1.1
SSW
15
1
SSW
15
1
SSW
16
0.9
SSW
16
0.9
SSW
15
0.8
SSW
15
0.7
SW
18
0.7
SW
18
1
SSW
18
0.9
SSW
16
0.9
SSW
16
1.1
SSW
16
0.9
SSW
18
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
638
610
475
637
921
818
778
666
551
417
463
387
344
275
323
319
637
458
447
635
438
Wind (km/h)
10
SW
20
W
15
WNW
10
SW
20
W
20
WNW
15
WSW
25
W
20
WNW
5
SW
15
W
20
WNW
5
WSW
15
W
15
WNW
5
SW
10
W
20
WNW
5
SSW
10
WSW
15
WNW
Wind State
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
off
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
off
cross
cross-off
off
glassy
cross-off
off
High Tide
5:30PM1.52m
7:46AM1.14m
6:06PM1.57m
8:16AM1.18m
6:41PM1.62m
8:44AM1.19m
7:16PM1.66m
9:13AM1.20m
7:49PM1.68m
9:41AM1.20m
8:21PM1.69m
10:10AM1.20m
8:52PM1.66m
Low Tide
11:19AM0.94m
1:02AM0.31m
12:02PM0.94m
1:33AM0.23m
12:38PM0.91m
2:03AM0.17m
1:11PM0.89m
2:34AM0.14m
1:42PM0.86m
3:04AM0.13m
2:12PM0.84m
3:33AM0.15m
2:44PM0.83m
4:02AM0.19m
rain showers
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
5:35
5:35
5:35
5:35
5:35
5:37
5:37
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
7:07
7:07
7:07
7:07
7:07
7:07
7:07
 mm
1
Temp °C
30
31
29
30
31
28
30
31
29
30
31
29
30
30
29
30
30
28
30
30
28
Feels °C
32
31
29
31
30
26
30
28
26
31
30
29
32
31
28
32
30
28
32
31
28
Swell 1
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.3
SSW
14
1.2
SSW
15
1
SSW
14
1
SSW
18
1.3
SSW
17
1.3
SSW
16
1.3
SSW
16
1.2
SSW
16
1.1
SSW
15
1
SSW
15
1
SSW
16
0.9
SSW
16
0.9
SSW
15
0.8
SSW
15
0.8
SSW
14
0.9
WNW
5
1
SSW
18
0.9
SSW
16
0.9
SSW
16
1.1
SSW
16
0.9
SSW
18
Energy kJ
638
610
425
637
921
818
778
666
551
417
463
387
344
275
233
39
637
458
447
635
438
Swell 2
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.7
SSW
19
0.7
SSW
19
0.9
SSW
17
0.9
SSW
14
0.4
SSE
8
0.4
SSE
8
0.4
SSE
8
0.5
SSE
8
0.6
SSE
8
0.7
SSE
8
0.6
SSE
8
0.4
SSE
8
0.5
SSE
11
0.6
SSE
10
0.7
SW
18
0.7
SW
18
0.6
SSE
10
0.6
SSE
10
0.9
WNW
5
0.6
SSE
10
0.8
SSW
15
Energy kJ
329
332
475
325
22
24
25
37
47
59
44
24
68
73
323
319
68
68
51
65
279
Swell 3
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.4
SSE
9
0.4
SSE
9
0.5
S
9
0.4
SSE
8
0.1
S
13
0.1
S
13
0.2
SSW
7
0.1
SW
6
0.4
S
9
0.1
SW
24
0.2
SSW
22
0.2
SSW
21
0.5
SW
20
0.5
SW
20
0.7
SSE
10
0.8
SSW
14
0.2
S
21
0.5
SSW
13
0.6
SSE
10
0.3
S
11
0.7
SSE
10
Energy kJ
28
27
40
24
4
3
4
2
26
22
45
45
186
186
90
229
35
98
68
20
83
Wind waves
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.4
WNW
4
0.6
WNW
4
0.6
WNW
4
0.6
W
4
0.6
W
3
0.7
WNW
4
0.6
W
4
0.9
WNW
4
1
WNW
4
0.5
WNW
4
0.7
WNW
4
1
WNW
5
0.9
WNW
5
1
WNW
5
0.9
WNW
5
1.3
WNW
6
0.7
WNW
5
1.1
WNW
5
1.4
WNW
6
0.7
WNW
6
0.9
WNW
5
Energy kJ
5
11
11
9
8
14
10
29
39
10
17
47
34
49
41
93
29
57
123
31
50
Nearest Offshore or Glassy
Rating
(10 max)
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
2
3
2
3
2
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
Distance (km)
4
457
0
4
1257
4
0
70
0
4
1
4
0
3
0
4
0
0
0
0
0
Best forecast wave conditions in Baja Sur
Rating
(10 max)
3
3
3
3
3
3
2
3
2
3
2
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
Best forecast wave conditions in Mexico
Rating
(10 max)
4
3
4
4
3
4
4
2
4
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
4
Header Global
Rating
(10 max)
5
6
7
5
6
5
5
7
5
8
6
8
6
5
5
4
5
5
5
4
5
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Rancho San Carlos Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Rancho San Carlos provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Rancho San Carlos can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Rancho San Carlos surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Rancho San Carlos) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Rancho San Carlos may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Rancho San Carlos is 11 km (7 miles) from Cabo San Lucas. If you plan a holiday in Baja Sur, look for hotels and other accommodation in Cabo San Lucas. Cabo San Lucas has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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