Surf Forecasts:
Rancho San Carlos surf forecast from 10 Sep 2026:
- Best quality surf: Thursday 10 Sep, 2AM (local time) - 4ft (1.2m), 17s period, SW swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Thursday 10 Sep, 2AM (local time) - 4ft (1.2m), 17s period, SW swell with 854 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 10 Sep, 2AM (local time) - 4ft (1.2m), 17s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Rancho San Carlos this week:
The surf forecast for Rancho San Carlos over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Sep 10) at 2AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.2m and 17s period with a secondary swell of 0.6m and 8s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Rancho San Carlos in the next 16 days are 1.2m 17s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Sep 10) at 2AM. Winds are predicted to be offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.1m 5s period and expected on Saturday (Sep 12) at 5AM.
| Wave Type | Time (MST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 2AM (Thu 10th Sep) | 4ft (1.2m) 17s |
| Best Surf | 2AM (Thu 10th Sep) | 4ft (1.2m) 17s |
| Most Powerful | 2AM (Thu 10th Sep) | 4ft (1.2m) 17s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Rancho San Carlos over the next 16 days.
Short Range ForecastModerate rain (total 11mm), heaviest on Fri night. Warm (max 31°C on Wed afternoon, min 27°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 8mm), mostly falling on Sun night. Warm (max 31°C on Sat afternoon, min 27°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light. | |||||||||||||||||||
Wed 9 | Thursday 10 | Friday 11 | Saturday 12 | Sunday 13 | Monday 14 | Tuesday 15 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 17 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SSW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SSW 16 | SSW 18 | SW 16 | SSW 16 |
Wave Graph  | ||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 687 | 854 | 739 | 729 | 612 | 489 | 412 | 362 | 293 | 264 | 180 | 175 | 175 | 154 | 312 | 249 | 310 | 249 | 258 | 627 |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | off | glassy | cross-off | off | glassy | off | off | cross-off | off | off | glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off |
High Tide | 7:32PM1.74m | 8:21AM1.56m | 8:09PM1.72m | 8:42AM1.62m | 8:44PM1.65m | 9:02AM1.66m | 9:18PM1.54m | 9:22AM1.67m | 9:49PM1.39m | 9:40AM1.64m | 10:18PM1.24m | 9:57AM1.60m | 10:46PM1.08m | |||||||
Low Tide | 2:06AM0.12m | 2:08PM0.44m | 2:31AM0.20m | 2:41PM0.36m | 2:53AM0.31m | 3:13PM0.32m | 3:11AM0.43m | 3:45PM0.33m | 3:26AM0.55m | 4:15PM0.38m | 3:35AM0.65m | 4:48PM0.46m | 3:37AM0.74m | |||||||
 |  |  |  | | |  | | | | | | | | | |  | | |  | |
 | — | — | 6:03 | — | — | 6:03 | — | — | 6:03 | — | — | 6:05 | — | — | 6:05 | — | — | 6:05 | — | — |
 | 6:29 | — | — | 6:28 | — | — | 6:27 | — | — | 6:24 | — | — | 6:23 | — | — | 6:22 | — | — | 6:22 | — |
mm | — | 2 | — | — | 3 | — | 2 | 4 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 31 | 29 | 29 | 31 | 29 | 31 | 31 | 29 | 31 | 31 | 28 | 31 | 30 | 28 | 30 | 30 | 28 | 29 | 31 | 28 |
Feels °C | 34 | 33 | 33 | 35 | 33 | 35 | 34 | 32 | 35 | 35 | 31 | 36 | 34 | 31 | 33 | 32 | 31 | 32 | 33 | 30 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 17 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SSW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SSW 12 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SSW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SSW 16 |
| kJ | 687 | 854 | 739 | 729 | 612 | 489 | 412 | 362 | 293 | 264 | 180 | 175 | 175 | 103 | 312 | 249 | 310 | 201 | 258 | 627 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 8 | S 8 | S 8 | S 8 | S 8 | S 7 | S 8 | S 8 | WNW 5 | S 8 | S 8 | SW 16 | SW 19 | SW 18 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SSW 18 | S 9 | SSE 9 |
| kJ | 57 | 41 | 64 | 61 | 55 | 36 | 33 | 43 | 28 | 33 | 28 | 90 | 133 | 154 | 71 | 71 | 69 | 249 | 76 | 45 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 8 | W 8 | W 8 | W 8 | WNW 8 | W 11 | W 11 | W 18 | S 8 | SE 7 | W 12 | SW 19 | S 8 | S 9 | S 9 | S 9 | S 9 | SW 13 | SSW 18 | SW 23 |
| kJ | 35 | 33 | 20 | 19 | 11 | 22 | 22 | 6 | 33 | 13 | 26 | 133 | 22 | 39 | 38 | 41 | 40 | 82 | 246 | 86 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | WNW 4 | W 3 | WNW 4 | — | W 5 | WNW 4 | W 5 | W 4 | W 4 | WNW 6 | W 5 | WNW 3 | — | WNW 6 | WNW 3 |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | 6 | 8 | 16 | — | 18 | 28 | 16 | 12 | 6 | 21 | 9 | 3 | — | 7 | 5 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 417 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 56 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Baja Sur | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Mexico | ||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | ||||||||||||||||||||
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The surf report / weather widget below is available to embed on third party websites free of charge and provides a summary of our Rancho San Carlos surf forecast. Simply grab the html code snippet that we provide and paste it into your own site. You can choose your preferred language and metric/imperial units for the surf forecast feed to suit users of your site. Click here to get the code.
Information about the Rancho San Carlos Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Rancho San Carlos provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Rancho San Carlos can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Rancho San Carlos surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Rancho San Carlos) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Rancho San Carlos may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Rancho San Carlos is 11 km (7 miles) from Cabo San Lucas. If you plan a holiday in Baja Sur, look for hotels and other accommodation in Cabo San Lucas. Cabo San Lucas has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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