Rancho San Carlos surfForecast / Baja Sur / Mexico

information circle16 Day Weather and Surf, issued 4 pm Wednesday 25 Mar 2026 MST
Forecast update in hr  min  s Forecast update imminent
Rancho San Carlos surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.
Today's Rancho San Carlos sea temperature is
23.5° C
(Which is 1.9°C warmer than normal for this time of year)

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Rancho San Carlos this week:

The surf forecast for Rancho San Carlos over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Mar 26) at 2AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.7m and 15s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 11s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Rancho San Carlos in the next 16 days are 0.7m 16s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Mar 31) at 2PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.9m 4s period and expected on Sunday (Mar 29) at 8PM.

Wave TypeTime (MST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 2AM (Thu 26th Mar)2.5ft (0.7m) 15s
Best Surf 2AM (Thu 26th Mar)2.5ft (0.7m) 15s
Most Powerful 2PM (Tue 31st Mar)2.5ft (0.7m) 16s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Rancho San Carlos over the next 16 days.


Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent

Short Range Forecast Mostly dry. Warm (max 28°C on Thu afternoon, min 22°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 3-6 Weather Summary Mostly dry. Warm (max 28°C on Mon afternoon, min 23°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light.

Wed
25
Thursday
26
Friday
27
Saturday
28
Sunday
29
Monday
30
Tuesday
31
PMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAM
Rating
(10 max)
1
2
1
1
2
1
1
1
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
1
2
2
0
2
2
Swell
Height Map
Wave Height (m) & direction (?)
0.9
SW
0.7
SW
0.7
SW
0.7
SW
0.7
SW
0.7
SW
0.7
SW
0.6
SSW
0.6
SSW
0.6
SSW
0.6
SSW
0.5
S
0.5
S
0.5
S
0.4
SSE
0.4
SSE
0.6
SSE
0.6
S
0.7
S
0.7
S
0.7
S
Period(s) (?)161514141413131312121210101018181616161615
Wave
Graph
(?)Metric surfscale
Energy kJ (?)34921721421121118318011410310198555556104104208188239242215
Wind
(km/h)
15
WSW
10
WNW
10
SE
25
WSW
15
WNW
10
SSW
25
WSW
15
WNW
10
S
20
WSW
10
WNW
15
SW
25
W
15
WNW
10
SSE
15
WSW
10
NNW
5
S
25
W
15
WNW
5
SSW
Wind State (?)
onshore
cross-onshore
cross-shore
cross-offshore
offshore
glassy
cross-
off
offcross-
on
cross-
off
cross-
off
crosscross-
off
cross-
off
cross-
on
cross-
off
cross-
off
crosscross-
off
offcross-
on
cross-
off
offglasscross-
off
offglass
High Tide
/ height (m)
12:39AM
1.32
7:40PM
1.22
4:22AM
1.31
7:15PM
1.29
5:42AM
1.42
7:20PM
1.38
6:32AM
1.52
7:32PM
1.47
7:11AM
1.58
7:47PM
1.56
7:46AM
1.60
8:03PM
1.63
8:18AM
1.58
Low Tide
/ height (m)
11:18AM
0.43
11:36PM
1.12
12:07PM
0.33
12:17AM
0.92
12:41PM
0.27
12:48AM
0.74
1:10PM
0.25
1:18AM
0.57
1:34PM
0.27
1:46AM
0.43
1:56PM
0.33
2:14AM
0.32
Wed
25
Thursday
26
Friday
27
Saturday
28
Sunday
29
Monday
30
Tuesday
31
Sunrise--6:16--6:16--6:15--6:13--6:13--6:11--6:11
Sunset6:31--6:31--6:31--6:32--6:32--6:32--6:34--
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
Rain (mm)
---------------------
Temp. °C262527282426272426272427272527282527282527
Feels °C (?)272628252226252327262226242327252227262127
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Rancho San Carlos Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Rancho San Carlos provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Rancho San Carlos can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Rancho San Carlos surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Rancho San Carlos) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Rancho San Carlos may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Rancho San Carlos is 11 km (7 miles) from Cabo San Lucas. If you plan a holiday in Baja Sur, look for hotels and other accommodation in Cabo San Lucas. Cabo San Lucas has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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