Surf Forecasts:
Rancho San Carlos surf forecast from 16 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Sunday 16 Aug, 5PM (local time) - 4ft (1.2m), 14s period, SSW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Monday 17 Aug, 5PM (local time) - 4ft (1.2m), 16s period, SSW swell with 674 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 16 Aug, 5PM (local time) - 4ft (1.2m), 14s period with SSW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Rancho San Carlos this week:
The surf forecast for Rancho San Carlos over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Aug 16) at 5PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.2m and 14s period with a secondary swell of 0.5m and 8s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Rancho San Carlos in the next 16 days are 1.2m 16s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 17) at 5PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.9m 4s period and expected on Saturday (Aug 22) at 2AM.
| Wave Type | Time (MST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 5PM (Sun 16th Aug) | 4ft (1.2m) 14s |
| Best Surf | 5PM (Sun 16th Aug) | 4ft (1.2m) 14s |
| Most Powerful | 5PM (Mon 17th Aug) | 4ft (1.2m) 16s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Rancho San Carlos over the next 16 days.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 5mm), mostly falling on Tue night. Warm (max 33°C on Sun morning, min 28°C on Tue night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 3mm), mostly falling on Wed night. Warm (max 33°C on Thu morning, min 28°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Sunday 16 | Monday 17 | Tuesday 18 | Wednesday 19 | Thursday 20 | Friday 21 | Saturday 22 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SSW 16 | SSW 13 | SSW 14 | SSW 15 | SSW 16 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 14 | SSW 16 | SSW 13 | SSW 14 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 561 | 561 | 476 | 482 | 674 | 229 | 437 | 544 | 604 | 325 | 321 | 316 | 236 | 225 | 151 | 111 | 151 | 217 | 288 | 154 | 297 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | glassy | cross-off | off | glassy | cross | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | off | cross-on | cross-off | off | cross-on | cross-off | off | on | cross | cross |
High Tide | 10:39AM1.53m | 10:43PM1.28m | 11:00AM1.50m | 11:16PM1.10m | 11:22AM1.46m | 11:56PM0.92m | 11:45AM1.39m | 12:18PM1.32m | 2:45PM1.26m | 9:01AM1.15m | 4:50PM1.32m | ||||||||||
Low Tide | 4:51PM0.55m | 4:29AM0.57m | 5:33PM0.61m | 4:33AM0.69m | 6:26PM0.68m | 4:17AM0.78m | 8:35PM0.73m | 11:51PM0.61m | 00:27AM0.49m | 11:39AM1.12m | 00:52AM0.37m | ||||||||||
 | |  | | |  |  | | | | | | |  | | | | | | | | |
 | 5:56 | — | — | 5:56 | — | — | 5:56 | — | — | 5:56 | — | — | 5:56 | — | — | 5:56 | — | — | 5:58 | — | — |
 | — | 6:50 | — | — | 6:50 | — | — | 6:49 | — | — | 6:47 | — | — | 6:46 | — | — | 6:45 | — | — | 6:45 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | 3 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
Temp °C | 33 | 32 | 30 | 33 | 32 | 30 | 32 | 32 | 29 | 32 | 32 | 28 | 33 | 32 | 29 | 33 | 32 | 29 | 32 | 32 | 29 |
Feels °C | 37 | 36 | 34 | 37 | 36 | 34 | 35 | 35 | 33 | 36 | 35 | 31 | 37 | 35 | 32 | 36 | 36 | 31 | 35 | 35 | 34 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SSW 16 | SSW 13 | SSW 14 | SSW 15 | SSW 16 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SSE 9 | SSE 10 | SSW 14 | SSE 10 | SSE 9 | SSE 9 |
| kJ | 561 | 561 | 476 | 482 | 674 | 229 | 437 | 544 | 604 | 325 | 321 | 316 | 236 | 225 | 151 | 69 | 100 | 217 | 129 | 121 | 119 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSE 9 | SSE 8 | SSE 8 | WNW 4 | SE 8 | SSW 17 | WNW 7 | SSE 8 | SE 7 | SSE 9 | SSE 9 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | S 10 | SSW 16 | SSW 13 | SSW 14 |
| kJ | 42 | 40 | 26 | 9 | 17 | 190 | 15 | 27 | 27 | 61 | 59 | 74 | 74 | 72 | 72 | 111 | 151 | 96 | 288 | 154 | 297 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 6 | W 11 | SSE 13 | SE 8 | S 9 | W 7 | SE 8 | S 10 | S 9 | WNW 7 | WNW 7 | SW 20 | WNW 7 | SW 19 | SW 18 | SSW 16 | SW 18 | SW 17 | W 5 | WNW 5 | SW 19 |
| kJ | 17 | 3 | 17 | 17 | 6 | 25 | 17 | 9 | 27 | 15 | 4 | 61 | 9 | 92 | 83 | 100 | 80 | 75 | 12 | 8 | 183 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | W 6 | WNW 4 | WNW 6 | W 7 | — | W 7 | WNW 7 | WNW 7 | — | W 3 | WNW 3 | WNW 7 | W 3 | WNW 4 | — | WNW 3 | WNW 4 | — | — | WNW 5 |
| kJ | — | 16 | 11 | 46 | 22 | — | 14 | 15 | 15 | — | 6 | 5 | 32 | 3 | 15 | — | 3 | 26 | — | — | 5 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 457 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 4 | 72 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Baja Sur | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Mexico | |||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||||
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The surf report / weather widget below is available to embed on third party websites free of charge and provides a summary of our Rancho San Carlos surf forecast. Simply grab the html code snippet that we provide and paste it into your own site. You can choose your preferred language and metric/imperial units for the surf forecast feed to suit users of your site. Click here to get the code.
Information about the Rancho San Carlos Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Rancho San Carlos provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Rancho San Carlos can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Rancho San Carlos surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Rancho San Carlos) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Rancho San Carlos may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Rancho San Carlos is 11 km (7 miles) from Cabo San Lucas. If you plan a holiday in Baja Sur, look for hotels and other accommodation in Cabo San Lucas. Cabo San Lucas has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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