Surf Break

Lat Long: 22.93° N 109.82° W

Rancho San Carlos Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 4 pm 25 Sep 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Rancho San Carlos sea temperature is
31.1°C
3.2° 

Rancho San Carlos surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Rancho San Carlos surf forecast from 26 Sep 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Friday 25 Sep, 11PM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 13s period, SSE swell with glassy winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Sunday 27 Sep, 2PM (local time) - 13ft (4.0m), 14s period, SW swell with 6,201 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 25 Sep, 11PM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 13s period with SSE swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Rancho San Carlos this week:

The surf forecast for Rancho San Carlos over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Sep 25) at 11PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.5m and 13s period with a secondary swell of 1.4m and 15s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Rancho San Carlos in the next 16 days are 4.0m 14s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Sep 27) at 2PM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 3.0m 12s period and expected on Monday (Sep 28) at 8PM.

Wave TypeTime (MST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)11PM (Fri 25th Sep)8ft (2.5m) 13s
Best Surf11PM (Fri 25th Sep)8ft (2.5m) 13s
Most Powerful 2PM (Sun 27th Sep)13ft (4.0m) 14s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Rancho San Carlos over the next 16 days.


Short Range Forecast

Light rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Sun afternoon. Warm (max 31°C on Fri afternoon, min 28°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Warm (max 32°C on Tue afternoon, min 26°C on Tue night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the SW on Mon afternoon, calm by Wed morning).

Fri
25
Saturday
26
Sunday
27
Monday
28
Tuesday
29
Wednesday
30
Thursday
1
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
2
5
0
1
3
0
3
3
3
3
2
3
1
4
4
3
3
1
1
3
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
2.5
SE
13
3
SSE
13
2.3
SSE
11
2.5
S
12
3
SSW
13
4
SSW
13
4
SW
13
3.5
SW
13
3
WSW
12
3
WSW
12
0.8
SW
18
1.8
WSW
9
0.8
SW
16
1.3
SE
14
1.6
SE
13
2.2
SE
14
2.4
SSE
14
2.5
SSE
13
2.5
SSE
13
3
SSE
13
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
2241
2893
1265
1768
3449
4975
5251
3727
2852
2513
366
577
302
623
933
1918
2064
2369
2310
3301
Wind (km/h)
10
SSE
0
NNE
20
ESE
20
ESE
15
SE
25
SSE
20
SSE
15
SW
25
SW
25
WSW
25
WSW
20
WSW
25
WSW
15
NW
0
NNW
5
ENE
5
E
15
E
20
E
15
E
Wind State
on
glassy
on
on
on
on
cross-on
cross
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
off
glassy
cross
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
High Tide
7:52PM1.64m
8:08AM1.66m
8:25PM1.61m
8:28AM1.74m
9:00PM1.53m
8:51AM1.78m
9:37PM1.41m
9:16AM1.78m
10:17PM1.25m
9:43AM1.74m
11:05PM1.07m
10:12AM1.65m
00:38AM0.90m
Low Tide
2:00AM0.30m
2:18PM0.26m
2:22AM0.37m
2:51PM0.18m
2:44AM0.46m
3:27PM0.16m
3:05AM0.56m
4:06PM0.19m
3:23AM0.67m
4:52PM0.29m
3:34AM0.78m
5:54PM0.41m
3:10AM0.87m
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
thunderstorm
thunderstorm
clear
part cloud
part cloud
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
part cloud
thunderstorm
thunderstorm
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
—
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6:09
—
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6:09
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6:09
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6:09
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6:09
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6:09
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<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
6:12
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6:10
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6:09
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6:08
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6:07
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6:07
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6:06
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 mm
—
—
—
—
—
—
1
1
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
3
10
Temp °C
31
29
30
30
29
30
30
29
31
31
29
31
32
27
31
30
28
30
30
28
Feels °C
34
35
32
33
33
31
31
32
32
31
31
33
33
30
36
35
32
32
32
31
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
Map placeholder
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Information about the Rancho San Carlos Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Rancho San Carlos provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Rancho San Carlos can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Rancho San Carlos surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Rancho San Carlos) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Rancho San Carlos may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Rancho San Carlos is 11 km (7 miles) from Cabo San Lucas. If you plan a holiday in Baja Sur, look for hotels and other accommodation in Cabo San Lucas. Cabo San Lucas has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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