Rancho San Carlos surfForecast / Baja Sur / Mexico

information circle16 Day Weather and Surf, issued 10 pm Saturday 28 Mar 2026 MST
Forecast update in hr  min  s Forecast update imminent
Rancho San Carlos surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.
Today's Rancho San Carlos sea temperature is
24.0° C
(Which is 2.5°C warmer than normal for this time of year)

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Rancho San Carlos this week:

The surf forecast for Rancho San Carlos over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Mar 29) at 5AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.6m and 12s period with a secondary swell of 0.5m and 10s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Rancho San Carlos in the next 16 days are 1.4m 16s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Apr 03) at 11PM. Winds are predicted to be offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.4m 7s period and expected on Saturday (Apr 04) at 5AM.

Wave TypeTime (MST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 5AM (Sun 29th Mar)2ft (0.6m) 12s
Best Surf11PM (Fri 3rd Apr)4.5ft (1.4m) 16s
Most Powerful11PM (Fri 3rd Apr)4.5ft (1.4m) 16s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Rancho San Carlos over the next 16 days.


Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent

Short Range Forecast Mostly dry. Warm (max 28°C on Mon afternoon, min 22°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 3-6 Weather Summary Mostly dry. Warm (max 27°C on Wed morning, min 22°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light.

Sunday
29
Monday
30
Tuesday
31
Wednesday
01
Thursday
02
Friday
03
Sat
04
NightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPM
Rating
(10 max)
1
0
0
1
0
2
2
2
2
2
2
1
2
1
1
3
3
3
4
2
2
Swell
Height Map
Wave Height (m) & direction (?)
0.6
SSW
0.5
S
0.5
S
0.5
S
0.4
SSE
0.4
SSE
0.6
SSE
0.6
S
0.7
S
0.7
S
0.7
S
0.6
S
0.7
S
0.7
S
0.4
S
0.7
S
1.1
S
1.2
S
1.4
S
1.4
S
1.4
S
Period(s) (?)121010101818161616161514141321201818161615
Wave
Graph
(?)Metric surfscale
Energy kJ (?)985555561041042081882392422151461871661333737608751014964858
Wind
(km/h)
5
NW
15
SW
25
W
10
NW
10
SSW
15
NW
10
NW
5
S
10
WNW
15
NW
5
SW
20
WNW
15
NW
10
SSW
15
WSW
10
NNW
5
S
10
SW
10
NNW
10
ESE
10
SSW
Wind State (?)
onshore
cross-onshore
cross-shore
cross-offshore
offshore
glassy
offcrosscross-
off
offcrossoffoffglassoffoffcross-
off
cross-
off
offcrosscross-
off
offglasscross-
off
offoncross
High Tide
/ height (m)
6:32AM
1.52
7:32PM
1.47
7:11AM
1.58
7:47PM
1.56
7:46AM
1.60
8:03PM
1.63
8:18AM
1.58
8:20PM
1.68
8:48AM
1.52
8:38PM
1.71
9:18AM
1.44
8:55PM
1.71
9:46AM
1.33
Low Tide
/ height (m)
12:48AM
0.74
1:10PM
0.25
1:18AM
0.57
1:34PM
0.27
1:46AM
0.43
1:56PM
0.33
2:14AM
0.32
2:16PM
0.40
2:40AM
0.25
2:33PM
0.48
3:07AM
0.22
2:49PM
0.56
3:33AM
0.23
3:02PM
0.64
Sunday
29
Monday
30
Tuesday
31
Wednesday
01
Thursday
02
Friday
03
Sat
04
Sunrise-6:13--6:13--6:11--6:11--6:11--6:09--6:09-
Sunset--6:32--6:32--6:34--6:34--6:35--6:35--6:35
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
Rain (mm)
---------------------
Temp. °C232526242628242727242727232627242626252726
Feels °C (?)242523222626232727222626212525222625242726
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Rancho San Carlos Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Rancho San Carlos provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Rancho San Carlos can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Rancho San Carlos surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Rancho San Carlos) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Rancho San Carlos may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Rancho San Carlos is 11 km (7 miles) from Cabo San Lucas. If you plan a holiday in Baja Sur, look for hotels and other accommodation in Cabo San Lucas. Cabo San Lucas has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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