Surf Forecasts:
Rancho San Carlos surf forecast from 23 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Monday 27 Jul, 11PM (local time) - 5.5ft (1.7m), 17s period, SSW swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Wednesday 29 Jul, 11PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 14s period, SSW swell with 3,989 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 23 Jul, 8AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.0m), 9s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Rancho San Carlos this week:
The surf forecast for Rancho San Carlos over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 23) at 8AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.0m and 9s period. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Rancho San Carlos in the next 16 days are 3.0m 14s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 29) at 11PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.1m 6s period and expected on Thursday (Jul 23) at 8AM.
| Wave Type | Time (MST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 8AM (Thu 23rd Jul) | 3.5ft (1.0m) 9s |
| Best Surf | 11PM (Mon 27th Jul) | 5.5ft (1.7m) 17s |
| Most Powerful | 11PM (Wed 29th Jul) | 10ft (3.0m) 14s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Rancho San Carlos over the next 16 days.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 6mm), mostly falling on Sat morning. Warm (max 33°C on Thu morning, min 27°C on Sat morning). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummarySome drizzle, heaviest during Sat night. Warm (max 31°C on Sun afternoon, min 28°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||
Thursday 23 | Friday 24 | Saturday 25 | Sunday 26 | Monday 27 | Tuesday 28 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 10 | SW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 24 | SSW 24 | SW 21 | SSW 21 | SSW 20 | SSW 19 | SSW 19 | SSW 18 | SSW 18 | SSW 18 | SSW 17 | SSW 17 | SSW 17 | S 13 | S 13 | S 13 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 213 | 175 | 173 | 964 | 368 | 1051 | 1527 | 1267 | 2044 | 1702 | 1431 | 1431 | 1702 | 1422 | 1543 | 1796 | 1556 | 1568 | 1703 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | glassy | cross-off | cross-off | glassy | cross-off | glassy | on | cross-off | glassy | cross | cross | cross-off | cross-on | cross-on | glassy | on | on | cross |
High Tide | 3:56PM1.37m | 8:28AM1.08m | 5:02PM1.42m | 8:14AM1.13m | 5:53PM1.49m | 8:23AM1.17m | 6:35PM1.57m | 8:39AM1.21m | 7:12PM1.64m | 8:58AM1.25m | 7:45PM1.69m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 11:43PM0.58m | 00:27AM0.46m | 10:46AM1.06m | 1:01AM0.35m | 11:58AM1.02m | 1:30AM0.25m | 12:39PM0.95m | 1:57AM0.18m | 1:12PM0.88m | 2:24AM0.13m | 1:43PM0.81m | 2:49AM0.11m | |||||||
 |  | | | | |  |  |  |  | | | | | | | | | | |
 | — | 5:46 | — | — | 5:46 | — | — | 5:47 | — | — | 5:47 | — | — | 5:48 | — | — | 5:48 | — | — |
 | — | — | 7:05 | — | — | 7:04 | — | — | 7:04 | — | — | 7:02 | — | — | 7:02 | — | — | 7:01 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 14 |
Temp °C | 31 | 33 | 32 | 31 | 32 | 31 | 30 | 28 | 29 | 28 | 30 | 31 | 29 | 31 | 30 | 29 | 30 | 31 | 28 |
Feels °C | 34 | 36 | 35 | 34 | 36 | 34 | 32 | 32 | 31 | 30 | 32 | 33 | 31 | 33 | 31 | 31 | 31 | 33 | 31 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 10 | SW 13 | SW 9 | SSW 24 | SW 9 | SW 21 | SSW 21 | SSW 20 | SSW 19 | SSW 19 | SSW 18 | SSW 18 | SSW 18 | SSW 17 | SSE 13 | SSE 12 | S 13 | S 13 | S 13 |
| kJ | 213 | 175 | 173 | 964 | 67 | 1051 | 1527 | 1267 | 2044 | 1702 | 1431 | 1431 | 1702 | 1422 | 1246 | 1480 | 1556 | 1568 | 1703 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 14 | SW 9 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 24 | S 11 | S 9 | W 8 | S 9 | S 10 | SE 12 | SW 13 | SSE 14 | SE 12 | SSW 17 | SSW 17 | SSW 17 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 |
| kJ | 186 | 78 | 151 | 149 | 368 | 82 | 45 | 29 | 39 | 48 | 51 | 140 | 626 | 558 | 1543 | 1796 | 1508 | 1276 | 915 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSE 12 | WSW 10 | SSE 12 | S 12 | S 11 | SSW 12 | SW 12 | S 9 | W 7 | W 7 | SSE 8 | SE 11 | SW 12 | SSE 14 | W 9 | W 9 | SW 12 | W 8 | W 8 |
| kJ | 160 | 69 | 47 | 101 | 83 | 98 | 71 | 41 | 28 | 25 | 20 | 73 | 37 | 594 | 24 | 23 | 36 | 12 | 5 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WNW 5 | WNW 5 | W 6 | WSW 9 | WNW 7 | WSW 9 | W 8 | — | — | — | — | — | WSW 8 | — | WSW 9 | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | 44 | 46 | 31 | 181 | 38 | 82 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | 19 | — | 25 | — | — | — | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 387 | 0 | 33 | 3 | 0 | 492 | 49 | 0 | 427 | 49 | 0 | 427 | 89 | 3 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Baja Sur | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Mexico | |||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||
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The surf report / weather widget below is available to embed on third party websites free of charge and provides a summary of our Rancho San Carlos surf forecast. Simply grab the html code snippet that we provide and paste it into your own site. You can choose your preferred language and metric/imperial units for the surf forecast feed to suit users of your site. Click here to get the code.
Information about the Rancho San Carlos Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Rancho San Carlos provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Rancho San Carlos can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Rancho San Carlos surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Rancho San Carlos) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Rancho San Carlos may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Rancho San Carlos is 11 km (7 miles) from Cabo San Lucas. If you plan a holiday in Baja Sur, look for hotels and other accommodation in Cabo San Lucas. Cabo San Lucas has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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