Rancho San Carlos surfForecast / Baja Sur / Mexico

information circle12 Day Weather and Surf, issued 10 am Sunday 08 Feb 2026 MST
Forecast update in hr  min  s Forecast update imminent
Rancho San Carlos surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.
Today's Rancho San Carlos sea temperature is
24.0° C
(Which is 2.0°C warmer than normal for this time of year)


Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Rancho San Carlos this week:

The surf forecast for Rancho San Carlos over the next 12 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Feb 08) at 8PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.4m and 15s period. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Rancho San Carlos in the next 12 days are 0.8m 18s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Feb 11) at 11AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.4m 14s period and expected on Sunday (Feb 08) at 8PM.

Wave TypeTime (MST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 8PM (Sun 8th Feb)1.5ft (0.4m) 15s
Best Surf11AM (Wed 11th Feb)2.5ft (0.8m) 18s
Most Powerful11AM (Wed 11th Feb)2.5ft (0.8m) 18s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Rancho San Carlos over the next 12 days.

Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent

Short Range Forecast Mostly dry. Warm (max 25°C on Sun afternoon, min 18°C on Mon night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 3-6 Weather Summary Mostly dry. Warm (max 26°C on Thu afternoon, min 20°C on Wed morning). Wind will be generally light.

Sunday
08
Monday
09
Tuesday
10
Wednesday
11
Thursday
12
Friday
13
Saturday
14
AMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNight
Rating
(10 max)
0
1
1
1
1
0
2
1
2
3
2
2
2
1
2
2
2
1
0
0
1
Swell
Height Map
Wave Height (m) & direction (?)
0.4
SW
0.4
SSW
0.5
SW
0.6
SSW
0.7
SW
0.5
SW
0.7
SW
0.8
SSW
0.7
SW
0.8
SSW
0.6
SSW
0.8
SSW
0.8
SSW
0.8
SSW
0.9
SSW
0.8
SSW
0.8
SSW
0.7
SSW
0.7
SSW
0.7
SSW
0.4
SSW
Period(s) (?)161615151613141414181816161615141413131312
Wave
Graph
(?)Metric surfscale
Energy kJ (?)661001061462559720826820639920929533027333426826115415115459
Wind
(km/h)
15
SSW
5
SSW
10
WNW
5
WSW
15
W
15
WNW
15
WSW
20
N
5
N
5
SW
5
ENE
5
NW
5
SSE
10
SSW
10
NW
5
S
5
NE
5
NNE
5
SSE
5
SSW
10
NW
Wind State (?)
onshore
cross-onshore
cross-shore
cross-offshore
offshore
glassy
cross-
on
glassoffglasscross-
off
cross-
off
cross-
off
cross-
off
cross-
off
cross-
off
glassglassglasscrossoffglassglasscross-
off
oncrossoff
High Tide
/ height (m)
11:42AM
0.94
12:00AM
1.36
12:38AM
1.30
3:17AM
1.26
9:15PM
1.14
5:08AM
1.34
8:24PM
1.17
6:02AM
1.46
8:19PM
1.22
6:41AM
1.58
8:28PM
1.28
Low Tide
/ height (m)
4:32PM
0.76
9:45AM
0.77
12:21PM
0.62
12:45PM
0.48
11:43PM
1.12
1:08PM
0.35
12:24AM
1.02
1:30PM
0.24
12:52AM
0.92
1:52PM
0.15
1:19AM
0.81
Sunday
08
Monday
09
Tuesday
10
Wednesday
11
Thursday
12
Friday
13
Saturday
14
Sunrise6:54--6:54--6:54--6:54--6:52--6:52--6:52--
Sunset-6:10--6:10--6:12--6:13--6:13--6:14--6:14-
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
Rain (mm)
---------------------
Temp. °C242523212321232520232422252622242421242421
Feels °C (?)232524222220202018232221242423232422232222
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Rancho San Carlos Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Rancho San Carlos provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 12 days. A general guide to surfing at Rancho San Carlos can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Rancho San Carlos surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Rancho San Carlos) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Rancho San Carlos may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Rancho San Carlos is 11 km (7 miles) from Cabo San Lucas. If you plan a holiday in Baja Sur, look for hotels and other accommodation in Cabo San Lucas. Cabo San Lucas has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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