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Surf Forecasts:
Rancho San Carlos surfForecast / Baja Sur / Mexico
16 Day Weather and Surf, issued 4 am Sunday 03 May 2026 MSTForecast update in hr min s Forecast update imminent
Rancho San Carlos surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.
Today's Rancho San Carlos sea temperature is
25.9° C
(Which is 3.7°C warmer than normal for this time of year)Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Rancho San Carlos this week:
The surf forecast for Rancho San Carlos over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (May 03) at 11AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.6m and 14s period with a secondary swell of 0.5m and 10s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Rancho San Carlos in the next 16 days are 1.3m 18s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (May 09) at 11PM. Winds are predicted to be offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.4m 6s period and expected on Wednesday (May 06) at 8AM.
| Wave Type | Time (MST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 11AM (Sun 3rd May) | 2ft (0.6m) 14s |
| Best Surf | 11PM (Sat 9th May) | 4.5ft (1.3m) 18s |
| Most Powerful | 11PM (Sat 9th May) | 4.5ft (1.3m) 18s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Rancho San Carlos over the next 16 days.
Updates in hr min s Forecast update imminent
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 28°C on Mon afternoon, min 21°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 27°C on Thu afternoon, min 23°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Sunday 3 | Monday 4 | Tuesday 5 | Wednesday 6 | Thursday 7 | Friday 8 | Saturday 9 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SW 14 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SSW 14 | SW 13 | S 16 | SSW 18 | SSW 20 | SSW 16 | SSW 19 | SSW 18 | SSW 17 | |
140 | 133 | 121 | 173 | 322 | 214 | 217 | 314 | 331 | 200 | 155 | 160 | 133 | 88 | 125 | 211 | 349 | 412 | 665 | 589 | 1069 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
glassy | cross-off | off | cross-off | off | off | cross-off | glassy | off | cross-off | off | off | cross-off | off | off | cross | cross-off | off | cross | cross-off | off | |
High Tide | 9:40AM1.24m | 8:39PM1.69m | 10:11AM1.15m | 9:00PM1.64m | 10:48AM1.06m | 9:22PM1.57m | 11:39AM0.97m | 9:44PM1.49m | 10:08PM1.38m | 10:42PM1.26m | 5:36PM1.15m | 2:07AM1.14m | |||||||||
Low Tide | 2:29PM0.76m | 3:45AM0.21m | 2:44PM0.80m | 4:17AM0.30m | 2:56PM0.85m | 4:54AM0.39m | 3:01PM0.89m | 5:42AM0.49m | 6:55AM0.57m | 8:42AM0.60m | 10:12PM1.09m | ||||||||||
 | |  | | | | | | | | |  |  | | | | | | | | | |
 | 5:45 | — | — | 5:43 | — | — | 5:43 | — | — | 5:43 | — | — | 5:41 | — | — | 5:41 | — | — | 5:41 | — | — |
 | — | 6:46 | — | — | 6:46 | — | — | 6:47 | — | — | 6:47 | — | — | 6:49 | — | — | 6:49 | — | — | 6:50 | — |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Temp °C | 26 | 26 | 22 | 26 | 28 | 23 | 26 | 26 | 23 | 26 | 26 | 23 | 26 | 27 | 23 | 26 | 26 | 24 | 27 | 28 | 24 |
26 | 24 | 19 | 26 | 26 | 22 | 26 | 26 | 25 | 26 | 26 | 24 | 25 | 25 | 24 | 26 | 25 | 23 | 26 | 26 | 22 | |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 | SSW 16 | SW 14 | WNW 6 | SW 15 | SW 15 | WNW 6 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SSW 14 | SW 13 | S 16 | WNW 6 | SSW 20 | SSW 16 | SSW 19 | SSW 18 | SSW 17 |
 kJ | 55 | 56 | 121 | 120 | 322 | 214 | 31 | 314 | 331 | 53 | 155 | 160 | 133 | 88 | 125 | 35 | 349 | 412 | 665 | 589 | 1069 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SW 15 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SW 14 | SSE 10 | SSE 9 | SE 9 | S 16 | SSW 13 | SSW 18 | S 14 | S 14 | WNW 13 | S 13 | SSE 12 |
| kJ | 140 | 133 | 55 | 56 | 77 | 85 | 217 | 58 | 56 | 200 | 37 | 34 | 21 | 83 | 66 | 211 | 103 | 89 | 127 | 84 | 49 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 18 | SSW 18 | SW 17 | SSW 16 | NW 12 | SW 17 | SSE 10 | NW 16 | NW 15 | SSE 10 | NW 14 | NW 13 | S 18 | SE 9 | SSW 17 | S 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 21 | S 13 | SW 13 | S 14 |
| kJ | 80 | 121 | 75 | 173 | 23 | 145 | 59 | 40 | 33 | 38 | 49 | 44 | 97 | 21 | 111 | 106 | 79 | 244 | 85 | 44 | 36 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 4 | W 4 | WNW 5 | WNW 5 | WNW 5 | WNW 6 | WNW 6 | WNW 5 | WNW 5 | WNW 6 | WNW 6 | WNW 6 | WNW 6 | WNW 6 | WNW 5 | WNW 6 | W 6 | WNW 4 | — | WNW 12 | WNW 12 |
| kJ | 9 | 21 | 46 | 23 | 51 | 53 | 84 | 39 | 66 | 114 | 55 | 85 | 51 | 56 | 48 | 72 | 24 | 26 | — | 111 | 203 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 457 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 457 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Baja Sur | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Mexico | |||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||||
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FREE! Surf-Forecast.com widget for your website
The surf report / weather widget below is available to embed on third party websites free of charge and provides a summary of our Rancho San Carlos surf forecast. Simply grab the html code snippet that we provide and paste it into your own site. You can choose your preferred language and metric/imperial units for the surf forecast feed to suit users of your site. Click here to get the code.
Information about the Rancho San Carlos Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Rancho San Carlos provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Rancho San Carlos can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Rancho San Carlos surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Rancho San Carlos) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Rancho San Carlos may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Rancho San Carlos is 11 km (7 miles) from Cabo San Lucas. If you plan a holiday in Baja Sur, look for hotels and other accommodation in Cabo San Lucas. Cabo San Lucas has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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