Rancho San Carlos surfForecast / Baja Sur / Mexico

information circle12 Day Weather and Surf, issued 4 pm Tuesday 03 Mar 2026 MST
Forecast update in hr  min  s Forecast update imminent
Rancho San Carlos surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.
Today's Rancho San Carlos sea temperature is
22.8° C
(Which is 1.0°C warmer than normal for this time of year)

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Rancho San Carlos this week:

The surf forecast for Rancho San Carlos over the next 12 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Mar 03) at 11PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.7m and 16s period with a secondary swell of 0.3m and 11s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Rancho San Carlos in the next 12 days are 1.1m 20s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Mar 10) at 2PM. Winds are predicted to be glassy at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.2m 6s period and expected on Friday (Mar 06) at 8AM.

Wave TypeTime (MST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)11PM (Tue 3rd Mar)2.5ft (0.7m) 16s
Best Surf11AM (Tue 10th Mar)3.5ft (1.0m) 20s
Most Powerful 2PM (Tue 10th Mar)3.5ft (1.1m) 20s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Rancho San Carlos over the next 12 days.


Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent

Short Range Forecast Mostly dry. Warm (max 27°C on Thu afternoon, min 22°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 3-6 Weather Summary Mostly dry. Warm (max 25°C on Fri afternoon, min 18°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light.

Tue
03
Wednesday
04
Thursday
05
Friday
06
Saturday
07
Sunday
08
Monday
09
PMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAM
Rating
(10 max)
1
2
1
1
2
1
1
1
1
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
1
1
0
3
4
Swell
Height Map
Wave Height (m) & direction (?)
0.7
SSW
0.6
S
0.7
SSW
0.8
SSW
0.5
S
0.6
SSW
0.6
SSW
0.5
S
0.6
SSW
0.6
SSW
0.5
S
0.5
S
0.4
SW
0.4
SW
0.4
SW
0.4
SW
0.4
SW
0.5
S
0.3
SSW
0.6
S
1
S
Period(s) (?)151614141513131313131212151515151613242220
Wave
Graph
(?)Metric surfscale
Energy kJ (?)196193175236113141139921311257573735554556582109345808
Wind
(km/h)
15
SW
5
NNE
10
ESE
5
SW
5
NNW
5
S
10
WNW
15
NW
5
ESE
20
WSW
15
WNW
10
SW
25
W
10
NW
10
SSW
15
WSW
15
NW
5
SSW
20
WSW
15
NW
5
SW
Wind State (?)
onshore
cross-onshore
cross-shore
cross-offshore
offshore
glassy
cross-
off
cross-
off
oncrossoffglasscross-
off
offglasscross-
off
offcrosscross-
off
offcrosscross-
off
offglasscross-
off
offglass
High Tide
/ height (m)
9:06PM
1.57
9:01AM
1.66
9:25PM
1.61
9:31AM
1.55
9:43PM
1.62
10:00AM
1.41
9:59PM
1.60
10:26AM
1.26
10:15PM
1.57
10:50AM
1.11
10:29PM
1.51
11:11AM
0.95
10:40PM
1.44
11:14AM
0.80
Low Tide
/ height (m)
2:55PM
0.18
2:59AM
0.41
3:15PM
0.29
3:28AM
0.38
3:31PM
0.40
3:57AM
0.38
3:45PM
0.52
4:26AM
0.42
3:53PM
0.62
4:56AM
0.49
3:55PM
0.70
5:32AM
0.59
3:43PM
0.77
6:27AM
0.69
Tue
03
Wednesday
04
Thursday
05
Friday
06
Saturday
07
Sunday
08
Monday
09
Sunrise--6:37--6:37--6:35--6:35--6:33--6:33--6:33
Sunset6:22--6:22--6:23--6:23--6:24--6:24--6:24--
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
Rain (mm)
---------------------
Temp. °C262426252426272326252023241922231921221922
Feels °C (?)262426262426262126211722201721221721211721
  • Map Icons:
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Rancho San Carlos Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Rancho San Carlos provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 12 days. A general guide to surfing at Rancho San Carlos can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Rancho San Carlos surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Rancho San Carlos) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Rancho San Carlos may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Rancho San Carlos is 11 km (7 miles) from Cabo San Lucas. If you plan a holiday in Baja Sur, look for hotels and other accommodation in Cabo San Lucas. Cabo San Lucas has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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