
Surf Forecasts:
Rancho San Carlos surf forecast from 1 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Thursday 6 Aug, 11PM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.7m), 18s period, SSW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Saturday 8 Aug, 5AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.1m), 16s period, SSW swell with 582 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 1 Aug, 8PM (local time) - 2ft (0.6m), 14s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Rancho San Carlos this week:
The surf forecast for Rancho San Carlos over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Aug 01) at 8PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.6m and 14s period with a secondary swell of 0.6m and 12s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Rancho San Carlos in the next 16 days are 1.1m 16s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Aug 08) at 5AM. Winds are predicted to be offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.1m 5s period and expected on Sunday (Aug 02) at 8AM.
| Wave Type | Time (MST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 8PM (Sat 1st Aug) | 2ft (0.6m) 14s |
| Best Surf | 11PM (Thu 6th Aug) | 2.5ft (0.7m) 18s |
| Most Powerful | 5AM (Sat 8th Aug) | 3.5ft (1.1m) 16s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Rancho San Carlos over the next 16 days.
Short Range ForecastModerate rain (total 17mm), heaviest on Sat night. Warm (max 32°C on Sat morning, min 27°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 6mm), mostly falling on Tue afternoon. Warm (max 30°C on Tue morning, min 26°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Saturday 1 | Sunday 2 | Monday 3 | Tuesday 4 | Wednesday 5 | Thursday 6 | Friday 7 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 12 | SW 14 | S 12 | SSW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 20 | SW 13 | SSW 18 | SSW 18 | SSW 17 | SSW 17 | SSW 16 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
155 | 152 | 103 | 195 | 140 | 83 | 79 | 73 | 90 | 69 | 54 | 132 | 99 | 102 | 144 | 140 | 286 | 216 | 475 | 448 | 487 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross-off | off | glassy | cross-off | cross-off | glassy | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | off |
High Tide | 10:22AM1.41m | 9:51PM1.54m | 10:45AM1.45m | 10:26PM1.40m | 11:11AM1.48m | 11:08PM1.23m | 11:43AM1.49m | 00:06AM1.05m | 12:27PM1.49m | 2:20AM0.89m | 1:33PM1.47m | 3:13PM1.48m | |||||||||
Low Tide | 3:55PM0.64m | 4:20AM0.33m | 4:36PM0.62m | 4:42AM0.45m | 5:24PM0.62m | 5:03AM0.58m | 6:29PM0.64m | 5:22AM0.71m | 8:11PM0.62m | 5:23AM0.84m | 10:30PM0.51m | 11:51PM0.32m | |||||||||
5:50 | — | — | 5:50 | — | — | 5:50 | — | — | 5:50 | — | — | 5:50 | — | — | 5:52 | — | — | 5:52 | — | — | |
— | 7:00 | — | — | 7:00 | — | — | 6:59 | — | — | 6:59 | — | — | 6:58 | — | — | 6:57 | — | — | 6:57 | — | |
mm | — | 1 | 6 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | — | 1 | 2 | — | 1 | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | 1 |
Temp °C | 32 | 32 | 29 | 31 | 31 | 29 | 31 | 31 | 29 | 30 | 30 | 28 | 30 | 30 | 28 | 30 | 30 | 27 | 31 | 30 | 28 |
Feels °C | 36 | 34 | 30 | 34 | 33 | 31 | 34 | 35 | 32 | 32 | 31 | 30 | 34 | 32 | 31 | 34 | 31 | 29 | 34 | 32 | 30 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | S 12 | SSW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 14 | SW 14 | S 8 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SSW 18 | SW 13 | SSW 17 | SSW 17 | SSW 16 |
155 | 152 | 103 | 195 | 140 | 83 | 79 | 73 | 51 | 69 | 50 | 132 | 99 | 36 | 144 | 140 | 286 | 172 | 475 | 448 | 487 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | WNW 5 | S 11 | S 11 | S 9 | S 11 | SSE 9 | SW 15 | SW 15 | S 11 | S 8 | SW 14 | S 9 | S 9 | SW 13 | SSE 8 | SW 12 | S 8 | SW 12 |
102 | 127 | 92 | 23 | 64 | 57 | 24 | 58 | 25 | 57 | 54 | 59 | 37 | 102 | 56 | 55 | 138 | 57 | 126 | 50 | 114 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 8 | SSE 8 | W 8 | WSW 8 | WSW 18 | SSW 18 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 | SW 16 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SW 11 | SW 11 | SW 11 | SW 20 | SSW 18 | SSE 9 | SSW 18 | S 8 | SW 12 | SSE 8 |
19 | 6 | 35 | 22 | 31 | 30 | 37 | 35 | 90 | 33 | 32 | 31 | 31 | 32 | 97 | 127 | 58 | 216 | 51 | 87 | 40 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WNW 3 | W 9 | WNW 4 | WNW 5 | W 8 | W 4 | W 4 | W 4 | W 4 | W 3 | W 4 | W 3 | W 3 | WSW 3 | W 2 | NW 9 | WSW 3 | WNW 3 | NW 4 | WNW 3 | WNW 4 |
2 | 102 | 23 | 48 | 44 | 15 | 16 | 28 | 13 | 6 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 21 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 11 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 4 | 457 | 0 | 0 | 315 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 457 | 0 | 7 | 457 | 0 | 7 | 79 | 0 | 4 | 457 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Baja Sur | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Mexico | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Rancho San Carlos Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Rancho San Carlos provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Rancho San Carlos can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Rancho San Carlos surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Rancho San Carlos) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Rancho San Carlos may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Rancho San Carlos is 11 km (7 miles) from Cabo San Lucas. If you plan a holiday in Baja Sur, look for hotels and other accommodation in Cabo San Lucas. Cabo San Lucas has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.











