Surf Break

Lat Long: 22.93° N 109.82° W

Rancho San Carlos Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 10 pm 19 Oct 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Rancho San Carlos sea temperature is
31.2°C
3.8° 

Rancho San Carlos surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Rancho San Carlos surf forecast from 20 Oct 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Sunday 25 Oct, 5AM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 14s period, SE swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Sunday 25 Oct, 5PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 15s period, SE swell with 4,076 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 20 Oct, 8AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.3m), 15s period with SSW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Rancho San Carlos this week:

The surf forecast for Rancho San Carlos over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Oct 20) at 8AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.3m and 15s period with a secondary swell of 0.6m and 7s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Rancho San Carlos in the next 16 days are 3.0m 15s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Oct 25) at 5PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.8m 4s period and expected on Thursday (Oct 22) at 8PM.

Wave TypeTime (MST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 8AM (Tue 20th Oct)4.5ft (1.3m) 15s
Best Surf 5AM (Sun 25th Oct)8ft (2.5m) 14s
Most Powerful 5PM (Sun 25th Oct)10ft (3.0m) 15s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Rancho San Carlos over the next 16 days.


Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Warm (max 31°C on Tue morning, min 27°C on Mon night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Warm (max 29°C on Fri morning, min 26°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light.

Tuesday
20
Wednesday
21
Thursday
22
Friday
23
Saturday
24
Sunday
25
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
3
3
3
4
3
4
4
3
3
3
3
3
3
1
4
4
5
5
5
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.4
SSW
14
1.3
SSW
14
1.3
SSW
14
1.3
SSW
14
1.2
SSW
14
1
SSW
18
1.1
SSW
18
1
SSW
17
1.2
SSW
16
1.3
SSW
16
1.2
SSW
15
1.1
SSW
15
1.1
SSW
14
1
SSW
14
1.4
SE
14
2.4
SSE
14
3
SE
15
3
SE
15
3
SE
14
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
845
697
678
678
534
609
759
524
742
838
644
522
515
394
763
2033
3477
4076
3710
Wind (km/h)
5
NW
5
ESE
5
W
10
NW
5
SW
5
W
10
NW
0
SW
10
NW
10
NW
5
SE
10
W
15
NW
5
E
5
NW
10
NNW
5
W
10
WSW
10
NNW
Wind State
off
glassy
cross-off
off
glassy
cross-off
off
glassy
off
off
glassy
cross-off
off
cross-on
glassy
cross-off
glassy
cross-off
off
High Tide
6:26AM1.24m
4:59PM1.23m
6:20AM1.34m
5:46PM1.34m
6:28AM1.46m
6:25PM1.43m
6:42AM1.58m
7:03PM1.49m
7:01AM1.70m
7:41PM1.52m
7:24AM1.80m
8:19PM1.49m
Low Tide
11:20PM0.54m
11:54AM0.93m
11:44PM0.48m
12:08PM0.75m
00:07AM0.45m
12:31PM0.56m
00:30AM0.44m
12:58PM0.37m
00:54AM0.46m
1:29PM0.19m
1:20AM0.50m
2:03PM0.06m
1:46AM0.55m
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
clear
part cloud
part cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
—
6:18
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6:18
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6:18
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6:18
—
—
6:18
—
—
6:20
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<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
—
—
5:49
—
—
5:49
—
—
5:47
—
—
5:46
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—
5:45
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5:45
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 mm
—
—
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—
—
—
—
—
—
—
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—
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Temp °C
28
31
30
28
30
30
28
30
30
27
29
29
28
29
28
27
29
29
27
Feels °C
33
35
34
33
35
34
32
35
34
30
33
34
32
33
32
31
33
32
31
  • Map Icons:
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Rancho San Carlos Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Rancho San Carlos provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Rancho San Carlos can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Rancho San Carlos surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Rancho San Carlos) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Rancho San Carlos may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Rancho San Carlos is 11 km (7 miles) from Cabo San Lucas. If you plan a holiday in Baja Sur, look for hotels and other accommodation in Cabo San Lucas. Cabo San Lucas has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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