Rancho San Carlos surfForecast / Baja Sur / Mexico

information circle12 Day Weather and Surf, issued 4 pm Tuesday 15 Jul 2025 MST
Forecast update in hr  min  s Forecast update imminent
Rancho San Carlos surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.
Today's Rancho San Carlos sea temperature is
28.4° C
(Which is 2.4°C warmer than normal for this time of year)


Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Rancho San Carlos this week:

The surf forecast for Rancho San Carlos over the next 12 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jul 15) at 9PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.1m and 17s period with a secondary swell of 0.9m and 13s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Rancho San Carlos in the next 12 days are 1.1m 17s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jul 15) at 9PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.1m 5s period and expected on Friday (Jul 18) at 12PM.

Wave TypeTime (MST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 9PM (Tue 15th Jul)3.5ft (1.1m) 17s
Best Surf 9PM (Tue 15th Jul)3.5ft (1.1m) 17s
Most Powerful 9PM (Tue 15th Jul)3.5ft (1.1m) 17s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Rancho San Carlos over the next 12 days.

Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent
Tue
15
Wednesday
16
Thursday
17
Friday
18
Saturday
19
Sunday
20
Monday
21
Tuesday
22
Wednesday
23
Thursday
24
Friday
25
Saturday
26
Sun
27
PMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAM
Rating
(10 max)
Swell
Height Map
Wave Height (m) & direction (?)
1.1
SSW
1.1
SSW
1.1
SSW
1.2
SSW
0.9
SSW
1.1
SSW
1.1
SSW
1
SSW
0.9
SSW
0.9
SSW
0.9
SSW
0.8
SSW
0.8
SSW
0.7
SSW
0.7
SSW
0.6
SSW
0.6
SSW
0.5
S
0.6
S
0.8
SSW
0.7
S
0.7
SSW
0.8
SSW
0.9
SSW
0.7
SSW
0.9
SSW
0.8
SSW
0.8
S
0.8
S
0.7
S
0.7
S
0.5
S
0.5
S
0.7
S
0.6
S
0.4
SW
Period(s) (?)171616161515161514151314141313131217171616151516141414141313131212131319
Wave
Graph
(?)Metric surfscale
Energy (?)979775648736638577622537419437397287290244213211245288348443332372366450317409344332284209294170105304228213
Wind
(km/h)
10
SW
10
WNW
5
ESE
10
WSW
15
WNW
10
SE
10
W
20
WNW
5
S
10
WSW
10
NW
5
ESE
5
SE
5
WNW
5
S
20
WSW
10
WNW
10
SSW
20
WSW
15
WNW
5
S
15
WSW
10
WNW
10
SE
15
WSW
15
WNW
10
ESE
10
WSW
15
NW
10
ESE
15
WSW
5
WNW
5
E
15
WSW
5
NW
5
S
Wind State (?)
onshore
cross-onshore
cross-shore
cross-offshore
offshore
glassy
cross-
off
offglasscross-
off
offglasscross-
off
offglasscross-
off
offglassglassoffcrosscross-
off
cross-
off
crosscross-
off
offglasscross-
off
offoncross-
off
offcross-
on
cross-
off
offoncross-
off
offglasscross-
off
offcross
High Tide
/ height (m)
11:18PM
1.34
12:35PM
1.41
12:25AM
1.15
1:23PM
1.44
2:18AM
0.99
2:23PM
1.48
5:14AM
0.97
3:33PM
1.53
7:01AM
1.07
4:43PM
1.60
7:46AM
1.16
5:44PM
1.68
8:19AM
1.22
6:38PM
1.75
8:50AM
1.27
7:24PM
1.79
9:19AM
1.30
8:07PM
1.80
9:46AM
1.32
8:46PM
1.76
10:12AM
1.34
9:22PM
1.67
10:38AM
1.36
Low Tide
/ height (m)
5:34PM
0.76
5:47AM
0.49
6:50PM
0.74
6:20AM
0.64
8:34PM
0.68
6:59AM
0.80
10:26PM
0.53
8:05AM
0.94
11:43PM
0.35
10:09AM
1.01
12:38AM
0.19
11:37AM
0.99
1:24AM
0.07
12:37PM
0.94
2:04AM
-0.00
1:24PM
0.87
2:41AM
-0.02
2:05PM
0.80
3:15AM
0.02
2:43PM
0.75
3:45AM
0.09
3:21PM
0.72
4:12AM
0.20
Tue
15
Wednesday
16
Thursday
17
Friday
18
Saturday
19
Sunday
20
Monday
21
Tuesday
22
Wednesday
23
Thursday
24
Friday
25
Saturday
26
Sun
27
Sunrise--5:43--5:43--5:43--5:43--5:43--5:45--5:45--5:46--5:46--5:47--5:47--5:48
Sunset7:07--7:07--7:07--7:06--7:06--7:06--7:05--7:05--7:05--7:04--7:04--7:02--
clearclearclearclearclearclearclearclearclearclearclearcloudthunderstorm thunderstorm clearclearclearclearclearpart cloudclearclearclearclearclearclearclearpart cloudpart cloudclearclearclearpart cloudclearpart cloudpart cloud
Rain (mm)
------------12----------------------
Temp. °C302930292830302930302929292829292830312930313031313032313031313031312931
Feels °C (?)333133323033323133333132323132302833323033323233343034343133343134323034

Short Range Forecast: Mostly dry. Warm (max 30°C on Tue afternoon, min 27°C on Tue night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 3-6 Weather Summary Light rain (total 3mm), mostly falling on Sat afternoon. Warm (max 30°C on Fri afternoon, min 27°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 6-9 Weather Summary Mostly dry. Warm (max 32°C on Thu morning, min 28°C on Mon night). Wind will be generally light.

Long Range Forecast: Mostly dry. Warm (max 31°C on Thu afternoon, min 28°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light.

  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
Map placeholder

Eyeball surf reportRecent Eyeball Surf Reports for Baja Sur

  1. weather stationWind Update Continuing clean conditions at Rancho San Carlos (calm at Lienzo Charro wx 12 km from Rancho San Carlos). 0.9m 13s groundswell from the S with a 0.9m 13s groundswell from the S and a 0.7m 17s long period groundswell from the SSW. Swells combining to make to make bigger set waves.

    Rancho San Carlos
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The surf report / weather widget below is available to embed on third party websites free of charge and provides a summary of our Rancho San Carlos surf forecast. Simply grab the html code snippet that we provide and paste it into your own site. You can choose your preferred language and metric/imperial units for the surf forecast feed to suit users of your site. Click here to get the code.


Information about the Rancho San Carlos Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Rancho San Carlos provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 12 days. A general guide to surfing at Rancho San Carlos can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Rancho San Carlos surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Rancho San Carlos) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Rancho San Carlos may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Rancho San Carlos is 11 km (7 miles) from Cabo San Lucas. If you plan a holiday in Baja Sur, look for hotels and other accommodation in Cabo San Lucas. Cabo San Lucas has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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