Rancho San Carlos Surf Break

Rancho San Carlos Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Lat Long: 22.93° N 109.82° W

Issued: 4 pm 01 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Rancho San Carlos sea temperature is
27.1° C

2.3°C warmer than normal for this time of year

Rancho San Carlos surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Rancho San Carlos surf forecast from 2 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Monday 6 Jul, 5AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.1m), 16s period, SSW swell with offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Tuesday 7 Jul, 2PM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 18s period, SSW swell with 1,488 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 2 Jul, 2AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.8m), 18s period with SSW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Rancho San Carlos this week:

The surf forecast for Rancho San Carlos over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 02) at 2AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.8m and 18s period with a secondary swell of 0.9m and 15s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Rancho San Carlos in the next 16 days are 1.6m 18s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jul 07) at 2PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.2m 5s period and expected on Thursday (Jul 02) at 8AM.

Wave TypeTime (MST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 2AM (Thu 2nd Jul)2.5ft (0.8m) 18s
Best Surf 5AM (Mon 6th Jul)3.5ft (1.1m) 16s
Most Powerful 2PM (Tue 7th Jul)5ft (1.6m) 18s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Rancho San Carlos over the next 16 days.


Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Warm (max 31°C on Thu morning, min 27°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Warm (max 31°C on Sat afternoon, min 26°C on Mon night). Wind will be generally light.

Wed
1
Thursday
2
Friday
3
Saturday
4
Sunday
5
Monday
6
Tuesday
7
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
Rating
(10 max)
3
3
1
3
3
3
3
3
1
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
4
2
2
4
3
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.1
SSW
16
0.8
SSW
18
0.9
SSW
15
1.1
SSW
16
1.1
SSW
16
1
SSW
14
1
SSW
14
1
SSW
14
0.9
SSW
13
0.9
SSW
18
0.8
SSW
18
1.2
SSW
16
1.1
SSW
16
1.1
SSW
16
0.9
SSW
20
0.9
SSW
20
1.2
SSW
18
1.5
SSW
18
1.6
SSW
18
1.4
SSW
17
1.4
SSW
16
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
635
348
382
612
596
437
437
431
282
480
399
779
635
627
596
596
917
1431
1471
1148
1068
Wind (km/h)
5
W
15
WNW
5
SSE
10
W
15
NW
5
S
15
W
10
NNW
5
SW
10
WSW
10
NW
5
SE
10
WSW
10
WNW
10
SE
15
SW
15
W
15
SSW
20
SW
15
W
15
SW
Wind State
cross-off
off
on
cross-off
off
glassy
cross-off
off
cross
cross-off
off
glassy
cross-off
off
on
cross
cross-off
cross-on
cross
cross-off
cross
High Tide
8:52PM1.66m
10:39AM1.21m
9:23PM1.61m
11:08AM1.23m
9:56PM1.53m
11:39AM1.26m
10:33PM1.41m
12:14PM1.30m
11:21PM1.27m
12:55PM1.34m
00:32AM1.11m
1:45PM1.40m
2:35AM0.99m
Low Tide
2:44PM0.83m
4:02AM0.19m
3:19PM0.82m
4:30AM0.25m
3:58PM0.83m
4:58AM0.32m
4:45PM0.84m
5:27AM0.42m
5:45PM0.83m
5:58AM0.53m
7:06PM0.80m
6:35AM0.66m
8:55PM0.71m
7:24AM0.79m
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
5:37
5:37
5:37
5:37
5:39
5:39
5:39
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
7:07
7:07
7:07
7:07
7:07
7:07
7:07
7:07
 mm
Temp °C
30
28
31
30
28
31
31
30
31
31
29
30
29
28
28
28
26
28
28
26
29
Feels °C
32
28
32
31
29
33
30
29
33
31
29
32
31
30
29
30
26
28
28
25
30
Swell 1
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.1
SSW
16
0.9
SW
15
0.9
SSW
15
1.1
SSW
16
1.1
SSW
16
1
SSW
14
1
SSW
14
1
SSW
14
0.9
SSW
13
0.9
SSW
18
0.9
SSW
13
1.2
SSW
16
1.1
SSW
16
1.1
SSW
16
1.1
SSW
16
1
SSW
15
1.2
SSW
18
1.5
SSW
18
1.6
SSW
18
1.4
SSW
17
1.4
SSW
16
Energy kJ
635
318
382
612
596
437
437
431
282
480
282
779
635
627
596
474
917
1431
1471
1148
1068
Swell 2
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.6
SSE
10
0.8
SSW
18
0.7
SSE
10
0.6
SSE
10
0.5
SSE
9
0.6
SSE
9
0.6
SSE
9
0.6
SSW
20
0.5
SSE
9
0.8
SSW
13
0.8
SSW
18
0.8
WNW
7
0.7
WNW
6
0.5
SSE
10
0.9
SSW
20
0.9
SSW
20
0.9
SSW
15
0.7
S
9
0.6
SSE
9
0.6
SSE
9
0.5
SSE
9
Energy kJ
67
348
81
61
47
65
64
253
49
219
399
60
41
52
596
596
372
78
52
52
47
Swell 3
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.3
SSW
11
0.7
SSE
10
0.6
WNW
5
0.3
SSW
10
0.3
S
10
0.6
WNW
5
0.4
SSW
18
0.5
SSE
9
0.5
W
6
0.5
SSE
10
0.5
SSE
10
0.5
SSE
10
0.5
SSE
10
0.5
SSW
21
0.6
WNW
6
0.6
SSE
10
0.6
SSE
9
0.2
WNW
13
0.2
WNW
13
0.2
WNW
13
0.2
WNW
13
Energy kJ
23
85
19
20
17
17
106
47
17
52
55
54
54
260
29
60
56
17
16
17
17
Wind waves
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.6
W
5
0.9
WNW
4
0.5
W
5
0.7
WNW
4
0.9
WNW
5
0.6
W
5
0.9
WNW
5
0.7
WNW
6
0.7
WNW
7
0.6
WNW
6
0.5
W
6
0.7
WNW
4
0.8
W
4
0.7
WNW
4
0.5
WNW
4
Energy kJ
15
34
11
19
38
16
32
33
47
30
18
15
19
16
7
Nearest Offshore or Glassy
Rating
(10 max)
3
3
2
3
3
3
3
3
2
3
3
3
3
3
4
4
4
3
4
4
3
Distance (km)
0
0
4
0
0
0
0
0
4
0
0
0
0
0
4
4
0
427
7
0
427
Best forecast wave conditions in Baja Sur
Rating
(10 max)
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
2
3
3
3
3
3
4
4
4
4
4
Best forecast wave conditions in Mexico
Rating
(10 max)
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
4
3
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
Header Global
Rating
(10 max)
9
7
9
9
5
5
5
7
5
5
9
7
7
7
9
9
7
7
9
9
6
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Rancho San Carlos Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Rancho San Carlos provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Rancho San Carlos can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Rancho San Carlos surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Rancho San Carlos) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Rancho San Carlos may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Rancho San Carlos is 11 km (7 miles) from Cabo San Lucas. If you plan a holiday in Baja Sur, look for hotels and other accommodation in Cabo San Lucas. Cabo San Lucas has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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