Rancho San Carlos surfForecast / Baja Sur / Mexico

information circle12 Day Weather and Surf, issued 4 pm Monday 19 Jan 2026 MST
Forecast update in hr  min  s Forecast update imminent
Rancho San Carlos surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.
Today's Rancho San Carlos sea temperature is
25.8° C
(Which is 3.2°C warmer than normal for this time of year)


Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Rancho San Carlos this week:

The surf forecast for Rancho San Carlos over the next 12 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jan 20) at 5AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.5m and 14s period. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Rancho San Carlos in the next 12 days are 0.7m 14s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jan 21) at 8PM. Winds are predicted to be glassy at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.0m 5s period and expected on Saturday (Jan 24) at 2AM.

Wave TypeTime (MST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 5AM (Tue 20th Jan)1.5ft (0.5m) 14s
Best Surf 2AM (Wed 21st Jan)2ft (0.6m) 16s
Most Powerful 8PM (Wed 21st Jan)2.5ft (0.7m) 14s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Rancho San Carlos over the next 12 days.

Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent

Short Range Forecast Mostly dry. Warm (max 27°C on Tue afternoon, min 22°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 3-6 Weather Summary Heavy rain (total 38mm), heaviest during Sun morning. Warm (max 25°C on Thu afternoon, min 19°C on Sat night). Winds increasing (calm on Fri afternoon, fresh winds from the SSW by Sun morning).

Mon
19
Tuesday
20
Wednesday
21
Thursday
22
Friday
23
Saturday
24
Sunday
25
PMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAM
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
1
1
2
0
1
1
1
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
Swell
Height Map
Wave Height (m) & direction (?)
0.4
SW
0.4
SSW
0.6
SSW
0.4
SSW
0.6
SSW
0.4
SSW
0.6
SSW
0.5
SW
0.6
SSW
0.6
SSW
0.5
SSW
0.5
SW
0.4
SSW
0.4
SW
0.4
SW
0.4
SW
0.4
SW
0.4
SW
0.3
SSW
0.5
S
0.4
SSW
Period(s) (?)111114141614141514131313131212121214141413
Wave
Graph
(?)Metric surfscale
Energy kJ (?)3038158791737114010412911899846537373737474110366
Wind
(km/h)
5
SSE
5
WNW
10
ENE
5
SSW
5
N
10
S
5
ESE
5
NW
5
S
10
SW
10
NW
10
ENE
5
ESE
10
N
10
NE
20
ENE
15
NE
30
SSW
25
SSW
10
W
5
SE
Wind State (?)
onshore
cross-onshore
cross-shore
cross-offshore
offshore
glassy
glasscross-
off
crossglassglasscross-
on
glassoffglasscross-
off
offcrossglasscross-
off
crosscrosscrosscross-
on
crosscross-
off
glass
High Tide
/ height (m)
9:55PM
1.31
8:57AM
1.74
10:19PM
1.35
9:30AM
1.68
10:44PM
1.38
10:04AM
1.56
11:11PM
1.42
10:42AM
1.40
11:42PM
1.44
11:29AM
1.21
12:20AM
1.46
12:42PM
1.00
1:14AM
1.46
Low Tide
/ height (m)
3:27PM
0.07
2:54AM
0.72
3:52PM
0.11
3:29AM
0.69
4:17PM
0.19
4:09AM
0.68
4:42PM
0.30
4:54AM
0.68
5:07PM
0.44
5:51AM
0.69
5:30PM
0.59
7:12AM
0.69
5:49PM
0.74
9:28AM
0.63
Mon
19
Tuesday
20
Wednesday
21
Thursday
22
Friday
23
Saturday
24
Sunday
25
Sunrise--7:01--7:01--7:01--7:01--7:01--7:01--7:00
Sunset5:57--5:58--5:59--6:00--6:00--6:00--6:01--
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
light rain
light rain
heavy rain
heavy rain
thunderstorm
thunderstorm
clear
Rain (mm)
--------------1211241310-
Temp. °C262425272325262324252225252320212022232224
Feels °C (?)252524262525252324252224232218212020212226
  • Map Icons:
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Rancho San Carlos Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Rancho San Carlos provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 12 days. A general guide to surfing at Rancho San Carlos can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Rancho San Carlos surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Rancho San Carlos) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Rancho San Carlos may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Rancho San Carlos is 11 km (7 miles) from Cabo San Lucas. If you plan a holiday in Baja Sur, look for hotels and other accommodation in Cabo San Lucas. Cabo San Lucas has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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