Rancho San Carlos surfForecast / Baja Sur / Mexico

information circle12 Day Weather and Surf, issued 4 pm Sunday 19 Oct 2025 MST
Forecast update in hr  min  s Forecast update imminent
Rancho San Carlos surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.
Today's Rancho San Carlos sea temperature is
29.4° C
(Which is 2.0°C warmer than normal for this time of year)


Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Rancho San Carlos this week:

The surf forecast for Rancho San Carlos over the next 12 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Oct 19) at 9PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.8m and 14s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 16s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Rancho San Carlos in the next 12 days are 0.9m 15s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Oct 21) at 6AM. Winds are predicted to be offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.1m 7s period and expected on Thursday (Oct 23) at 3AM.

Wave TypeTime (MST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 9PM (Sun 19th Oct)2.5ft (0.8m) 14s
Best Surf 9PM (Sun 19th Oct)2.5ft (0.8m) 14s
Most Powerful 6AM (Tue 21st Oct)3ft (0.9m) 15s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Rancho San Carlos over the next 12 days.

Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent

Short Range Forecast Mostly dry. Warm (max 30°C on Tue afternoon, min 25°C on Mon night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 3-6 Weather Summary Mostly dry. Warm (max 30°C on Wed afternoon, min 25°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light.

Sun
19
Monday
20
Tuesday
21
Wednesday
22
Thursday
23
Friday
24
Saturday
25
PMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAM
Rating
(10 max)
2
2
1
2
2
2
2
2
1
1
2
1
1
2
0
1
0
1
2
2
2
Swell
Height Map
Wave Height (m) & direction (?)
0.9
SSW
0.7
SW
0.6
SSW
0.7
SW
0.9
SSW
0.7
SW
0.7
SW
0.8
SSW
0.7
SW
0.7
SSW
0.7
SW
0.6
SSW
0.5
SW
0.5
SW
0.4
SW
0.4
SSW
0.4
SW
0.6
SSW
0.5
SW
0.5
SW
0.6
SSW
Period(s) (?)141616141415151314141414132020141318181818
Wave
Graph
(?)Metric surfscale
Energy kJ (?)33726417318636722621720618617321413487186977144211155157209
Wind
(km/h)
5
SW
5
NW
5
SSE
10
WSW
10
NW
5
SSW
5
NNW
10
NW
5
SSW
5
NW
5
WNW
5
SSE
5
WSW
5
N
5
ESE
5
SW
5
NW
10
SE
10
WSW
10
NNW
5
S
Wind State (?)
onshore
cross-onshore
cross-shore
cross-offshore
offshore
glassy
cross-
off
offcross-
on
cross-
off
offglassoffoffglassoffoffglassglassglassonglassglassoncross-
off
offglass
High Tide
/ height (m)
7:41PM
1.49
7:33AM
1.66
8:11PM
1.47
7:50AM
1.70
8:39PM
1.42
8:07AM
1.72
9:07PM
1.35
8:25AM
1.71
9:35PM
1.26
8:43AM
1.68
10:03PM
1.15
9:01AM
1.63
10:35PM
1.03
9:19AM
1.56
Low Tide
/ height (m)
1:30AM
0.49
2:00PM
0.24
1:48AM
0.55
2:25PM
0.18
2:04AM
0.61
2:50PM
0.17
2:20AM
0.67
3:16PM
0.19
2:34AM
0.72
3:44PM
0.25
2:45AM
0.77
4:15PM
0.34
2:50AM
0.82
Sun
19
Monday
20
Tuesday
21
Wednesday
22
Thursday
23
Friday
24
Saturday
25
Sunrise--6:18--6:18--6:18--6:18--6:18--6:20--6:20
Sunset5:50--5:49--5:49--5:47--5:46--5:45--5:45--
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
Rain (mm)
---------------------
Temp. °C292629292629302729302729292728282627272527
Feels °C (?)313032312932333032332932313031312930302731
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
Map placeholder

Eyeball surf reportRecent Eyeball Surf Reports for Baja Sur

  1. weather stationWind Update Continuing clean conditions at Rancho San Carlos (calm at Lienzo Charro wx 12 km from Rancho San Carlos). 0.6m 14s groundswell from the SSW with a 0.5m 10s swell from the S. 2 swells combining to make bigger set waves.

    Rancho San Carlos
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Actual: 29 min ago

5 km/h
WSW
Clean
Please reload the page to see if there are any updates.

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The surf report / weather widget below is available to embed on third party websites free of charge and provides a summary of our Rancho San Carlos surf forecast. Simply grab the html code snippet that we provide and paste it into your own site. You can choose your preferred language and metric/imperial units for the surf forecast feed to suit users of your site. Click here to get the code.


Information about the Rancho San Carlos Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Rancho San Carlos provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 12 days. A general guide to surfing at Rancho San Carlos can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Rancho San Carlos surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Rancho San Carlos) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Rancho San Carlos may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Rancho San Carlos is 11 km (7 miles) from Cabo San Lucas. If you plan a holiday in Baja Sur, look for hotels and other accommodation in Cabo San Lucas. Cabo San Lucas has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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