Rancho San Carlos surfForecast / Baja Sur / Mexico

information circle12 Day Weather and Surf, issued 4 am Wednesday 17 Sep 2025 MST
Forecast update in hr  min  s Forecast update imminent
Rancho San Carlos surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.
Today's Rancho San Carlos sea temperature is
30.5° C
(Which is 2.5°C warmer than normal for this time of year)


Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Rancho San Carlos this week:

The surf forecast for Rancho San Carlos over the next 12 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Sep 17) at 9PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.2m and 14s period with a secondary swell of 0.5m and 8s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Rancho San Carlos in the next 12 days are 1.4m 15s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Sep 17) at 9AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.8m 4s period and expected on Tuesday (Sep 23) at 3AM.

Wave TypeTime (MST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 9PM (Wed 17th Sep)4ft (1.2m) 14s
Best Surf 9PM (Wed 17th Sep)4ft (1.2m) 14s
Most Powerful 9AM (Wed 17th Sep)4.5ft (1.4m) 15s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Rancho San Carlos over the next 12 days.

Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent

Short Range Forecast Light rain (total 7mm), mostly falling on Wed night. Warm (max 30°C on Wed morning, min 27°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 3-6 Weather Summary Some drizzle, heaviest during Sat morning. Warm (max 31°C on Mon morning, min 27°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light.

Wednesday
17
Thursday
18
Friday
19
Saturday
20
Sunday
21
Monday
22
Tuesday
23
AMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNight
Rating
(10 max)
2
2
3
1
1
2
0
0
1
0
1
2
1
1
2
2
2
2
2
2
2
Swell
Height Map
Wave Height (m) & direction (?)
0.9
SSW
1.3
SSW
1.2
SSW
1
SSW
1
SSW
0.9
SSW
0.7
SSW
0.7
S
0.6
S
0.7
SW
1
S
0.6
SSW
0.6
SSW
0.6
SSW
0.4
SW
0.6
SW
0.8
SW
0.8
SW
0.8
SW
0.8
SW
0.8
SW
Period(s) (?)15141414131313131315814131318161616151414
Wave
Graph
(?)Metric surfscale
Energy kJ (?)34464253439037831214916312321712712911811880171310299266251245
Wind
(km/h)
5
SE
10
SW
10
NW
10
ESE
5
SSE
0
S
15
E
15
ESE
5
ESE
10
SE
10
SSE
10
W
10
SSW
15
WSW
15
WNW
0
SSW
5
NNW
15
NW
5
SW
5
W
10
NW
Wind State (?)
onshore
cross-onshore
cross-shore
cross-offshore
offshore
glassy
oncrossoffcross-
on
cross-
on
glasscross-
on
cross-
on
cross-
on
oncross-
on
cross-
off
crosscross-
off
cross-
off
glassoffoffglasscross-
off
off
High Tide
/ height (m)
6:04PM
1.50
7:38AM
1.37
6:46PM
1.58
7:50AM
1.45
7:21PM
1.63
8:04AM
1.52
7:53PM
1.64
8:19AM
1.58
8:22PM
1.61
8:35AM
1.62
8:51PM
1.54
8:51AM
1.65
9:19PM
1.44
Low Tide
/ height (m)
12:29PM
0.89
1:03AM
0.21
12:59PM
0.73
1:29AM
0.20
1:27PM
0.59
1:51AM
0.23
1:53PM
0.48
2:11AM
0.28
2:20PM
0.39
2:29AM
0.35
2:45PM
0.33
2:45AM
0.44
3:11PM
0.30
2:59AM
0.53
Wednesday
17
Thursday
18
Friday
19
Saturday
20
Sunday
21
Monday
22
Tuesday
23
Sunrise6:05--6:05--6:05--6:07--6:07--6:07--6:07--
Sunset-6:20--6:19--6:17--6:16--6:15--6:15--6:14-
clear
part cloud
thunderstorm
clear
thunderstorm
thunderstorm
clear
part cloud
thunderstorm
thunderstorm
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
Rain (mm)
--4-11--11-----------
Temp. °C303028303028303028303028303028313028313129
Feels °C (?)343332333433333333333333343332373632353533
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
Map placeholder

Eyeball surf reportRecent Eyeball Surf Reports for Baja Sur

  1. weather stationWind Update Continuing clean conditions at Rancho San Carlos (calm at Lienzo Charro wx 12 km from Rancho San Carlos). 1.1m 14s groundswell from the SSW with a 0.8m 11s groundswell, also from the SSW and a 0.5m 6s windswell, also from the SSE. 3 swells combining to make bigger set waves.

    Rancho San Carlos
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Actual: 51 min ago

0 km/h
E
Clean
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The surf report / weather widget below is available to embed on third party websites free of charge and provides a summary of our Rancho San Carlos surf forecast. Simply grab the html code snippet that we provide and paste it into your own site. You can choose your preferred language and metric/imperial units for the surf forecast feed to suit users of your site. Click here to get the code.


Information about the Rancho San Carlos Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Rancho San Carlos provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 12 days. A general guide to surfing at Rancho San Carlos can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Rancho San Carlos surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Rancho San Carlos) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Rancho San Carlos may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Rancho San Carlos is 11 km (7 miles) from Cabo San Lucas. If you plan a holiday in Baja Sur, look for hotels and other accommodation in Cabo San Lucas. Cabo San Lucas has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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