Rancho San Carlos surfForecast / Baja Sur / Mexico

information circle12 Day Weather and Surf, issued 4 am Thursday 12 Feb 2026 MST
Forecast update in hr  min  s Forecast update imminent
Rancho San Carlos surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.
Today's Rancho San Carlos sea temperature is
23.4° C
(Which is 1.5°C warmer than normal for this time of year)


Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Rancho San Carlos this week:

The surf forecast for Rancho San Carlos over the next 12 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Feb 12) at 8AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.8m and 16s period. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Rancho San Carlos in the next 12 days are 0.9m 15s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Feb 13) at 2AM. Winds are predicted to be offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.0m 6s period and expected on Wednesday (Feb 18) at 5PM.

Wave TypeTime (MST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 8AM (Thu 12th Feb)2.5ft (0.8m) 16s
Best Surf 8AM (Thu 12th Feb)2.5ft (0.8m) 16s
Most Powerful 2AM (Fri 13th Feb)3ft (0.9m) 15s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Rancho San Carlos over the next 12 days.

Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent

Short Range Forecast Mostly dry. Warm (max 24°C on Thu morning, min 19°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 3-6 Weather Summary Mostly dry. Warm (max 23°C on Sun morning, min 19°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light.

Thursday
12
Friday
13
Saturday
14
Sunday
15
Monday
16
Tuesday
17
Wednesday
18
AMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNight
Rating
(10 max)
2
2
2
2
2
1
1
0
1
0
0
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
0
1
Swell
Height Map
Wave Height (m) & direction (?)
0.8
SSW
0.8
SSW
0.9
SSW
0.8
SSW
0.8
SSW
0.7
SSW
0.7
SSW
0.7
SSW
0.4
SSW
0.4
SSW
0.4
SSW
0.6
SSW
0.4
SW
0.5
SW
0.6
SSW
0.4
SSW
0.5
SW
0.5
SW
0.4
SW
0.4
SW
0.5
SW
Period(s) (?)161615141413131312121214141313131312151215
Wave
Graph
(?)Metric surfscale
Energy kJ (?)32627333426826115415115459575713653871166779735839106
Wind
(km/h)
5
SSW
0
SSE
5
NW
5
W
5
E
15
NW
5
SE
15
SW
5
N
5
SSE
15
WSW
5
NNW
5
SSW
15
WSW
10
NW
5
SE
5
SSW
10
N
5
SSW
0
NE
5
NNW
Wind State (?)
onshore
cross-onshore
cross-shore
cross-offshore
offshore
glassy
glassglassoffoffglassoffglasscrossglassoncross-
off
cross-
off
glasscross-
off
offglassglasscross-
off
glassglassoff
High Tide
/ height (m)
8:24PM
1.17
6:02AM
1.46
8:19PM
1.22
6:41AM
1.58
8:28PM
1.28
7:16AM
1.68
8:42PM
1.35
7:48AM
1.75
8:59PM
1.42
8:21AM
1.78
9:18PM
1.49
8:53AM
1.75
9:38PM
1.55
Low Tide
/ height (m)
1:08PM
0.35
12:24AM
1.02
1:30PM
0.24
12:52AM
0.92
1:52PM
0.15
1:19AM
0.81
2:15PM
0.09
1:48AM
0.70
2:37PM
0.07
2:19AM
0.60
3:00PM
0.09
2:51AM
0.51
3:23PM
0.16
3:25AM
0.45
Thursday
12
Friday
13
Saturday
14
Sunday
15
Monday
16
Tuesday
17
Wednesday
18
Sunrise6:52--6:52--6:52--6:50--6:50--6:50--6:48--
Sunset-6:13--6:14--6:14--6:15--6:15--6:15--6:16-
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
Rain (mm)
---------------------
Temp. °C242421242421232321232321222321232321242421
Feels °C (?)242422242522232221222120222220232222242520
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Rancho San Carlos Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Rancho San Carlos provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 12 days. A general guide to surfing at Rancho San Carlos can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Rancho San Carlos surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Rancho San Carlos) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Rancho San Carlos may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Rancho San Carlos is 11 km (7 miles) from Cabo San Lucas. If you plan a holiday in Baja Sur, look for hotels and other accommodation in Cabo San Lucas. Cabo San Lucas has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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