Rio Nexpa Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s talk about what’s ahead for Rio Nexpa.

Right off the bat, we’ve got a nice, clean little run of surf kicking off Thursday morning, July 9th. The water is a warm 88°F, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year, so you’ll be comfortable without a wetsuit. The combo energy is solid, sitting at 882 – that’s moderate energy, with a nice 4ft SSW groundswell pumping in with a 15-second period. That long period means proper, lined-up waves with some push, perfect for this point/river setup. Winds are light and cross-offshore from the NNW, keeping it clean. This is a strong contender for the best on offer.

Friday morning, July 10th, glassy conditions, flat calm with 0 mph winds from the ENE. The swell holds at a consistent 4ft from the SSW, period still 15 seconds, combined energy at 747. It’s going to be absolutely pristine. This is one of the true standouts – you’ll be surfing smooth, peeling walls with no wind to mess them up.

Saturday morning, July 11th, stays clean with glassy conditions again, light air from the east, 3 mph. Same size, 4ft SSW with a 15-second period, combined energy at 695. Solid, consistent, and clean. You’ll want to be out early.

Sunday morning, July 12th, another glassy morning, ESE at 3 mph, surfing 4ft SSW swell with a 14-second period, combined energy at 668. The pattern of clean mornings is holding strong.

Now, Monday through Wednesday see a bit of variability with storms possible in the afternoons, but the mornings generally offer clean to cross-off wind. Monday morning, July 13th, has a 3ft SSW swell, period drops to 13 seconds, still clean with cross-off winds – worth a paddle. Tuesday morning, July 14th, sees a shift in swell direction to the SE, 4ft, period 12 seconds, combined energy jumps to 956 – that’s the strongest moderate energy we’ve seen, and the cross-off breeze from the NE keeps it clean. Wednesday morning, July 15th, drops a little to 3ft from the S, period 12 seconds, still clean with an ENE breeze.

Thursday morning, July 16th, is another strong morning: 5ft swell from the S, 12-second period, combined energy 763, and cross-off wind from the east at 6 mph. That 5ft mark is just below the threshold where it gets heavy for beginners, so intermediates will love it.

The following weekend, Saturday and Sunday, July 18th and 19th, bring glassy mornings again. Saturday morning sees 5ft from the SW, 10-second period, combined energy 593, clean. But Sunday morning, July 19th, is the standout of the second week: glassy conditions with a NNE breeze, 4ft from the WSW, 12-second period, and combined energy jumps to 1157 – that’s moderate to strong energy. This is a powerful, clean swell that will have the river mouth really working. This is your top pick for the long-range, promising but worth keeping an eye on.

The final days from July 21st to 24th see the swell begin to taper off. The mornings remain mostly clean, with a nice 4ft SSW swell on Tuesday, July 21st (combined energy 991, cross-off winds), and a glassy 3ft SSW on Wednesday morning, July 22nd. By Thursday, July 23rd, you’re down to 2ft – surfable but small. After that, the energy fades further.

Bottom line: Rio Nexpa is on a good run. The best windows are Friday, July 10th morning and Sunday, July 19th morning – both glassy, solid swell, and the river mouth should be dishing out some beautiful long waves. Crowds are often here, so expect some company, but with this consistency, everyone’s gonna be smiling.

Rusty.

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