Surf Forecasts:
Rio Nexpa surf forecast from 24 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Friday 24 Jul, 9PM (local time) - 5ft (1.5m), 21s period, SSW swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Tuesday 28 Jul, 6AM (local time) - 6.5ft (2.0m), 17s period, SSW swell with 2,309 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 24 Jul, 9PM (local time) - 5ft (1.5m), 21s period with SSW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Rio Nexpa this week:
The surf forecast for Rio Nexpa over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 24) at 9PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.5m and 21s period with a secondary swell of 0.6m and 12s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Rio Nexpa in the next 16 days are 2.0m 17s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jul 28) at 6AM. Winds are predicted to be offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.5m 8s period and expected on Saturday (Jul 25) at 9AM.
| Wave Type | Time (CST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 9PM (Fri 24th Jul) | 5ft (1.5m) 21s |
| Best Surf | 9PM (Fri 24th Jul) | 5ft (1.5m) 21s |
| Most Powerful | 6AM (Tue 28th Jul) | 6.5ft (2.0m) 17s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Rio Nexpa over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, Rusty here again. Let’s get into what’s on offer for Rio Nexpa.
We’ve got a solid stretch of surf starting Friday morning, July 24th. The river mouth point is glassy with a 2ft SW swell, light offshore NNE breeze, and water temp sitting at 88°, a touch warmer than usual for this time of year. Combined wave energy is moderate at 732. Friday afternoon gets messy with thunderstorms and a cross-on breeze – forget it.
Saturday morning, July 25th, cleans up with a cross-off breeze and the swell bumps to 4ft from the SW, period around 20 seconds – that’s long-period groundswell. Energy hits 1058. Perfect for the point. Saturday afternoon gets choppy with a southerly wind.
Sunday morning, July 26th, is a big one. Offshore NE wind, clean 5ft SW swell with wave energy at 1706. Excellent for experienced surfers. Sunday afternoon the wind turns onshore.
Monday through Wednesday mornings, July 27-29, are glassy with offshore breezes and solid 5ft to 6ft SSW groundswell, peaking Tuesday at 2312 energy. Long-period swells at 15-17 seconds – made for a point break. These are expert-level sessions due to size, but the quality is as good as it gets. Afternoons get cross-on chop.
Thursday July 30th and Friday July 31st mornings are smaller but clean – 5ft to 4ft SSW with cross-off breezes and energy dropping from 1203 to 750.
By the weekend of August 1st, the swell drops under 3ft – glassy mornings with mellow waves for beginners or longboards. Early next week stays small and clean but fading.
From August 5th onward, it’s tiny – 1ft to 2ft swell with energy under 300. The odd glassy morning gives you something to ride, but it’s mostly flat.
The best sessions are Tuesday July 28th and Wednesday July 29th mornings – clear 6ft to 6ft SSW groundswell, glassy offshore winds, and strong energy (2312 and 1953). That’s the pick of the forecast for experienced surfers on the point.
Crowds can be an issue here – expect company.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastModerate rain (total 10mm), heaviest on Sat night. Warm (max 30°C on Fri morning, min 25°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 8mm), mostly falling on Tue night. Warm (max 30°C on Mon morning, min 26°C on Mon night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Friday 24 | Saturday 25 | Sunday 26 | Monday 27 | Tuesday 28 | Wednesday 29 | Thursday 30 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 24 | SW 22 | SW 21 | SW 20 | SW 19 | SSW 19 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SSW 18 | SW 16 | SSW 17 | SW 17 | SSW 17 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 563 | 485 | 1868 | 964 | 1845 | 1702 | 1278 | 1263 | 1663 | 940 | 1570 | 2238 | 2065 | 1734 | 1834 | 1608 | 1309 | 911 | 774 | 702 | 595 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | glassy | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | cross-off | off | on | off | glassy | cross-on | cross-off | glassy | cross-on | cross | glassy | cross-on | cross | cross-off | cross-on | cross-off |
High Tide | 10:17AM0.71m | 7:22PM0.56m | 10:35AM0.70m | 7:34PM0.59m | 10:49AM0.68m | 7:50PM0.62m | 11:02AM0.65m | 8:09PM0.65m | 11:12AM0.63m | 8:28PM0.67m | 11:19AM0.60m | 8:45PM0.68m | 11:23AM0.58m | 9:01PM0.67m | |||||||
Low Tide | 3:40PM0.50m | 2:50AM0.07m | 3:41PM0.51m | 3:08AM0.05m | 3:40PM0.52m | 3:27AM0.04m | 3:39PM0.52m | 3:45AM0.05m | 3:36PM0.52m | 4:00AM0.07m | 3:33PM0.51m | 4:12AM0.11m | 3:34PM0.49m | ||||||||
 |  |  | | | | |  | |  | |  | | | | | | | | | | |
 | 6:26 | — | — | 6:26 | — | — | 6:26 | — | — | 6:26 | — | — | 6:28 | — | — | 6:28 | — | — | 6:28 | — | — |
 | — | 7:28 | — | — | 7:28 | — | — | 7:27 | — | — | 7:27 | — | — | 7:27 | — | — | 7:25 | — | — | 7:25 | — |
mm | — | 2 | 1 | — | 1 | 3 | — | 1 | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | — | 2 | 4 | 5 | 5 | — |
Temp °C | 30 | 30 | 27 | 30 | 30 | 27 | 30 | 30 | 27 | 30 | 30 | 27 | 29 | 30 | 28 | 30 | 29 | 28 | 29 | 29 | 27 |
Feels °C | 33 | 33 | 32 | 32 | 32 | 31 | 34 | 33 | 31 | 32 | 30 | 29 | 32 | 32 | 30 | 33 | 32 | 31 | 31 | 32 | 30 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 24 | SW 22 | SW 21 | SW 20 | SW 19 | SSW 19 | SSE 9 | SW 18 | SSW 18 | SSW 12 | SSW 17 | SW 17 | SSW 17 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | W 12 |
| kJ | 563 | 485 | 1868 | 964 | 1845 | 1702 | 418 | 1263 | 1663 | 660 | 1570 | 2238 | 2065 | 1734 | 1834 | 1608 | 1309 | 911 | 774 | 702 | 404 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 13 | SW 12 | SSW 12 | SSE 9 | SSE 9 | SSE 8 | SW 18 | S 9 | S 11 | SW 16 | SSW 10 | SSW 9 | WSW 11 | SW 10 | WSW 11 | WSW 12 | WSW 12 | W 12 | W 12 | WSW 12 | SSW 14 |
| kJ | 132 | 72 | 96 | 70 | 165 | 136 | 1278 | 281 | 498 | 940 | 483 | 168 | 196 | 235 | 206 | 303 | 355 | 397 | 384 | 494 | 595 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 8 | S 9 | W 8 | W 9 | SW 15 | S 11 | W 8 | SSW 11 | W 7 | SSW 19 | S 13 | S 13 | S 7 | WSW 13 | SSE 9 | SSE 11 | SSW 7 | SSE 9 | SSE 11 | SSE 8 | SSE 8 |
| kJ | 37 | 38 | 36 | 24 | 54 | 127 | 10 | 167 | 4 | 637 | 3 | 3 | 51 | 59 | 28 | 42 | 15 | 30 | 45 | 22 | 13 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | E 8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | SSW 6 | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | 33 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 4 | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 384 | 0 | 0 | 384 | 0 | 0 | 378 | 0 | 0 | 111 | 0 | 0 | 197 | 99 | 0 | 34 | 34 | 0 | 413 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Michoacan | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Mexico | |||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||||
- Map Icons:
Break
Live Wave Height (m)
Live Wind Speed (km/h)
Surf Rating (10 Max)
Ocean Swells (m)- Wind Speed (km/h)
FREE! Surf-Forecast.com widget for your website
The surf report / weather widget below is available to embed on third party websites free of charge and provides a summary of our Rio Nexpa surf forecast. Simply grab the html code snippet that we provide and paste it into your own site. You can choose your preferred language and metric/imperial units for the surf forecast feed to suit users of your site. Click here to get the code.
Information about the Rio Nexpa Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Rio Nexpa provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Rio Nexpa can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Rio Nexpa surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Rio Nexpa) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Rio Nexpa may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Rio Nexpa is 60 km (37 miles) from La Orilla. If you plan a holiday in Michoacan, look for hotels and other accommodation in La Orilla. La Orilla has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
Nearest