Surf Forecasts:
Rio Nexpa surf forecast from 28 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Tuesday 28 Jul, 12AM (local time) - 6ft (1.9m), 17s period, SSW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Tuesday 28 Jul, 3AM (local time) - 6.5ft (2.0m), 17s period, SSW swell with 2,309 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 28 Jul, 12AM (local time) - 6ft (1.9m), 17s period with SSW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Rio Nexpa this week:
The surf forecast for Rio Nexpa over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jul 28) at 12AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.9m and 17s period with a secondary swell of 1.2m and 10s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Rio Nexpa in the next 16 days are 2.0m 17s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jul 28) at 3AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.4m 3s period and expected on Friday (Jul 31) at 3AM.
| Wave Type | Time (CST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 12AM (Tue 28th Jul) | 6ft (1.9m) 17s |
| Best Surf | 12AM (Tue 28th Jul) | 6ft (1.9m) 17s |
| Most Powerful | 3AM (Tue 28th Jul) | 6.5ft (2.0m) 17s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Rio Nexpa over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s get into it.
The first few days are a bit of a mixed bag, but the window is about to open up. We’ve got a solid run of groundswell from the SSW, with some serious energy behind it. The water is sitting at 88°F, which is a touch warmer than normal for the time of year, so you can leave the booties at home.
The standout action kicks off on the morning of Monday, July 28th. Rio Nexpa (point/river) goes glassy, with a 7ft SSW groundswell pumping in at a very long 17 seconds. The combined energy is a massive 2628, which is a lot of power. That’s your top pick right there – clean, offshore conditions, and a swell that’s got plenty of grunt. It’s a bit on the bigger side, so this one is for the experienced crew; beginners should sit this one out. The long period means it’ll wrap nicely into the point, with long, clean lines and those nice gaps between sets.
Tuesday, July 29th morning, is also a beauty. The swell drops a touch to 6ft from the SSW, still a solid 16 seconds, but the wind goes cross-off and clean. Combined energy is still very strong at 1722. Another excellent morning for the experienced surfer. Sweeps through the week, the mornings hold the best chances with glassy or clean conditions, like Thursday, July 30th morning with 5ft SSW swell (958 energy) and glassy wind. Consistency is very consistent here, so you’ve got a good chance of scoring.
The size drops off towards the end of the week and into the weekend, with smaller swells around 3ft to 2ft. The afternoons get blown out with a cross-onshore breeze. The mornings on Saturday, August 1st and Sunday, August 2nd are glassy and small, but still surfable for a longboard or a funboard.
There’s a gap of a few smaller days, but then the swell builds again. The morning of Friday, August 7th, is looking promising with a 3ft SSW groundswell, 17 seconds, and a gentle offshore breeze. The combined energy is 812, solid for the size. The best of the longer-range call is the morning of Tuesday, August 11th. That morning brings a 4ft SSW groundswell at a very long 19 seconds, with a clean cross-off breeze. The combined energy is 1089, which is strong for that height. The long period will make it a bit walled at the beach, but at this point break, it’ll be a dream. It’s over a week out, so don’t book the trip just yet, but it’s one to watch.
This spot is often crowded, so expect company when the surf is good.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastHeavy rain (total 21mm), heaviest during Tue afternoon. Warm (max 30°C on Mon afternoon, min 25°C on Tue night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 31°C on Fri morning, min 26°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light. | |||||||||||||||||||
Mon 27 | Tuesday 28 | Wednesday 29 | Thursday 30 | Friday 31 | Saturday 1 | Sunday 2 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 17 | SSW 17 | SSW 17 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 12 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SSW 13 |
Wave Graph  | ||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 1570 | 2113 | 2256 | 1734 | 1671 | 1460 | 1309 | 911 | 774 | 702 | 595 | 427 | 351 | 307 | 257 | 257 | 192 | 147 | 147 | 209 |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | cross-off | glassy | cross-on | off | cross-off | cross-on | off | glassy | cross-on | cross-off | glassy | cross-on | cross-off | glassy | cross-on | cross-off | glassy | cross-on | cross |
High Tide | 8:09PM0.65m | 11:12AM0.63m | 8:28PM0.67m | 11:19AM0.60m | 8:45PM0.68m | 11:23AM0.58m | 9:01PM0.67m | 11:20AM0.57m | 9:14PM0.65m | 11:09AM0.57m | 9:26PM0.61m | 10:48AM0.58m | 9:31PM0.55m | |||||||
Low Tide | 3:39PM0.52m | 3:45AM0.05m | 3:36PM0.52m | 4:00AM0.07m | 3:33PM0.51m | 4:12AM0.11m | 3:34PM0.49m | 4:19AM0.17m | 3:44PM0.46m | 4:22AM0.23m | 4:02PM0.44m | 4:17AM0.29m | 4:27PM0.42m | |||||||
 |  |  |  |  | | |  | |  | | | |  | | | | | | | |
 | — | — | 6:28 | — | — | 6:28 | — | — | 6:28 | — | — | 6:28 | — | — | 6:28 | — | — | 6:28 | — | — |
 | 7:27 | — | — | 7:27 | — | — | 7:25 | — | — | 7:25 | — | — | 7:24 | — | — | 7:24 | — | — | 7:24 | — |
mm | — | 2 | 3 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 11 |
Temp °C | 30 | 28 | 29 | 28 | 27 | 29 | 28 | 27 | 30 | 30 | 28 | 31 | 31 | 28 | 30 | 31 | 28 | 30 | 31 | 29 |
Feels °C | 33 | 32 | 33 | 32 | 32 | 31 | 31 | 31 | 33 | 32 | 31 | 34 | 34 | 32 | 33 | 33 | 31 | 33 | 34 | 32 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 17 | SSW 17 | SSW 17 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 12 | W 6 | SSW 12 | SSW 13 |
| kJ | 1570 | 2113 | 2256 | 1734 | 1671 | 1460 | 1309 | 911 | 774 | 702 | 595 | 427 | 351 | 307 | 257 | 257 | 192 | 30 | 109 | 209 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 10 | SW 10 | SW 12 | WSW 11 | WSW 11 | WSW 11 | WSW 10 | W 10 | W 11 | W 10 | W 10 | W 10 | W 10 | W 10 | W 10 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SSW 12 | SW 14 | W 5 |
| kJ | 471 | 322 | 361 | 161 | 202 | 198 | 144 | 141 | 146 | 127 | 96 | 72 | 94 | 69 | 49 | 136 | 128 | 147 | 147 | 23 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 13 | S 13 | S 12 | S 7 | S 7 | S 11 | SSE 9 | SSE 9 | SSE 11 | SSE 8 | SSE 8 | SSE 8 | SSE 8 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SSE 8 | W 10 | SW 14 | W 9 | SW 18 |
| kJ | 3 | 3 | 11 | 35 | 24 | 64 | 30 | 26 | 38 | 22 | 22 | 13 | 12 | 90 | 78 | 20 | 30 | 114 | 15 | 108 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | WNW 3 | — | SW 3 | W 4 | — | W 10 | W 5 | — | W 6 | W 5 |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 3 | — | 2 | 7 | — | 69 | 67 | — | 23 | 53 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 407 | 0 | 0 | 83 | 0 | 0 | 411 | 0 | 0 | 384 | 0 | 0 | 407 | 0 | 0 | 407 | 0 | 0 | 607 | 99 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Michoacan | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Mexico | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Rio Nexpa Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Rio Nexpa provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Rio Nexpa can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Rio Nexpa surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Rio Nexpa) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Rio Nexpa may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Rio Nexpa is 60 km (37 miles) from La Orilla. If you plan a holiday in Michoacan, look for hotels and other accommodation in La Orilla. La Orilla has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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