Rio Nexpa Surf Break

Lat Long: 18.09° N 102.79° W

Rio Nexpa Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 11 pm 11 Aug 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Rio Nexpa sea temperature is
31.4° C
1.9° 

Rio Nexpa surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Rio Nexpa surf forecast from 12 Aug 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Friday 14 Aug, 12AM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 18s period, SW swell with offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Friday 14 Aug, 12PM (local time) - 5ft (1.5m), 18s period, SW swell with 1,351 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 12 Aug, 12PM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 16s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Rio Nexpa this week:

The surf forecast for Rio Nexpa over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Aug 12) at 12PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.9m and 16s period with a secondary swell of 0.5m and 8s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Rio Nexpa in the next 16 days are 1.5m 18s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Aug 14) at 12PM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives.

Wave TypeTime (CST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)12PM (Wed 12th Aug)3ft (0.9m) 16s
Best Surf12AM (Fri 14th Aug)3ft (0.9m) 18s
Most Powerful12PM (Fri 14th Aug)5ft (1.5m) 18s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Rio Nexpa over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Hey, let me break down what’s cooking at Rio Nexpa. This is a proper point-and-river-mouth wave, and it’s a classic. The water’s about normal for this time of year, nothing wild.

The first few days are a little slow. Wednesday morning the 12th has a 3ft SW groundswell with a super long period of 16 seconds, but the wind is cross-off and there’s storm clouds. The energy is moderate (628). You can surf it, but it’s not clean.

Thursday morning the 13th is better. The swell is a touch smaller at 3ft, but the wind turns light and cross-off from the ENE, cleaning the surface right up. Energy is still solid (585).

Now, the real magic is Friday the 14th and Saturday the 15th. Friday morning, the swell is 4ft from the SW, period jumps to a very long 18 seconds, and the wind is dead calm. Glassy. The energy is pumping (1131). This is the best session of the forecast. Saturday morning the 15th is the next standout – 5ft from the SW, 16 seconds, and again, flat calm, glassy. Energy is huge (1156). These two mornings are the ones to plan for. With that long period, it’s a proper groundswell; the river mouth and the point will be the ticket, but it might be a little straight for the beach breaks. For the experts, it’s heaven.

Sunday the 16th is good early – 4ft, glassy, energy moderate (662), but the afternoon turns ugly with a strong westerly cross-on. The energy drops after that. We get a string of clean mornings from Monday the 17th through Wednesday the 19th, the swell holding around 3ft to 4ft, with off or glassy winds. The energy is there (around 500-700). The morning of the 23rd of August is a late sleeper – 3ft, very long period, and glassy, with energy jumping to 678. That’s a sneaky good one.

There’s a lull in the second week, but the 27th of August morning brings a nice 4ft SW swell, clean offshore wind, and solid energy (677). It’s a long way out, so temper the hope, but it’s a promising sign.

The spot is very consistent, there’s always something to ride. Crowds are a thing here – it’s a pick, so expect to share the lineup, especially on the good days. The swell is coming from the SW, which is exactly what this point was built for.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Moderate rain (total 13mm), heaviest on Wed morning. Warm (max 31°C on Wed afternoon, min 26°C on Tue night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Heavy rain (total 65mm), heaviest during Sun night. Warm (max 31°C on Sun morning, min 23°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light.

Wednesday
12
Thursday
13
Friday
14
Saturday
15
Sunday
16
Monday
17
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
2
1
0
2
2
2
3
3
2
3
3
3
3
2
0
2
2
1
2
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.9
SW
17
1
SW
16
0.8
SW
16
0.9
SW
15
0.9
SW
16
0.9
SW
16
0.9
SW
18
1.1
SW
18
1.5
SW
17
1.5
SW
16
1.5
SW
16
1.5
SW
16
1.4
SW
15
1.2
SW
14
1.2
SW
14
1.1
SW
14
1.1
SW
14
1.1
SW
16
0.9
SW
14
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
400
508
302
385
416
416
497
790
1320
1129
1101
1101
784
614
614
469
476
558
291
Wind (km/h)
10
N
15
NE
10
SW
10
N
5
ENE
10
SW
10
N
0
NE
10
SW
10
N
5
NE
5
SW
10
NNW
0
E
20
W
5
NW
10
NNW
10
SW
10
NW
Wind State
cross-off
cross-off
cross-on
off
cross-off
on
off
glassy
cross-on
cross-off
glassy
glassy
cross-off
glassy
cross-on
cross-off
cross-off
cross-on
cross-off
High Tide
11:03AM0.68m
9:26PM0.73m
11:18AM0.64m
9:56PM0.67m
11:22AM0.60m
10:18PM0.60m
11:05AM0.57m
10:12PM0.51m
10:03AM0.58m
8:35PM0.45m
9:00AM0.63m
7:34PM0.45m
Low Tide
4:02AM-0.01m
4:03PM0.44m
4:28AM0.09m
4:26PM0.42m
4:47AM0.21m
4:46PM0.41m
4:42AM0.33m
4:57PM0.41m
3:38AM0.40m
4:43PM0.42m
1:51AM0.38m
4:09PM0.42m
1:20AM0.31m
thunderstorm
thunderstorm
part cloud
thunderstorm
thunderstorm
part cloud
clear
clear
thunderstorm
thunderstorm
thunderstorm
thunderstorm
thunderstorm
clear
thunderstorm
thunderstorm
rain showers
part cloud
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:31
6:31
6:33
6:33
6:33
6:33
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
7:19
7:19
7:17
7:16
7:16
7:15
 mm
3
3
5
1
1
2
1
1
1
1
53
6
Temp °C
28
29
31
29
30
31
29
31
31
28
30
30
28
31
31
29
29
30
28
Feels °C
31
33
34
33
34
36
34
35
35
33
33
36
33
36
34
33
32
33
32
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Rio Nexpa Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Rio Nexpa provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Rio Nexpa can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Rio Nexpa surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Rio Nexpa) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Rio Nexpa may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Rio Nexpa is 60 km (37 miles) from La Orilla. If you plan a holiday in Michoacan, look for hotels and other accommodation in La Orilla. La Orilla has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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