Rio Nexpa Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. We’ve got a solid run of surf shaping up at Rio Nexpa, starting this Saturday morning and running right through to the end of the month, with only a few iffy afternoons. The water is a touch warmer than normal at 88°, so you’re in for a tropical bath.

Let’s kick off with the standout. Saturday the 15th, first light at Rio Nexpa (Michoacán), it’s looking pure magic. Glassy as a mirror with a 5ft southwest groundswell, a very long 16-second period, and no wind at all. The combined swell energy is pumping at 1156 (moderate to strong), meaning there’s plenty of grunt behind those sets. For a point/river setup like this, that long period is going to groom into some proper, lined-up waves. This is the best on offer early doors.

Sunday the 16th morning is another glassy gem, with a similar southwest swell dropping a touch to 4ft and a still-solid 14-second period (energy 675). We’re on a roll here. The pattern holds through Monday morning with a clean 4ft southwest swell and a light cross-offshore breeze. Tuesday morning, Wednesday morning, and Thursday morning all serve up clean, glassy conditions too, with swells easing from 4ft down to 3ft. Perfect for working on your flow without getting pounded.

Now, a heads-up for the end of the first week. Friday the 21st afternoon sees a jump in size to 6ft from the SSE, but with a cross-shore breeze making it a bit lumpy – not the cleanest window. But hold onto your board, because Saturday the 22nd morning is a big one: a solid 15ft south swell, 13-second period, with a clean cross-offshore breeze. That’s massive, and at over 8ft, this one is strictly for the seasoned crew. Energy is absolutely roaring at 6169 (very strong). The morning is the call, as the afternoon gets messy with rain and a fresh cross-offshore.

Sunday the 23rd morning stays big and clean, with a 10ft southwest swell and a light cross-offshore breeze – another one for experienced surfers only. Things settle down nicely on Monday the 24th: 5ft from the west-southwest, and both morning and afternoon are clean, with the afternoon going glassy. The energy is moderate (880-1023).

The second week keeps offering. Tuesday the 25th morning has a clean 4ft west swell, but the afternoon blows out. Wednesday the 26th afternoon is worth a look, with a clean 3ft west swell and an offshore breeze. Thursday the 27th is a bit smaller at 2ft, but both morning and afternoon are clean and glassy, with a very long 18-second period on the south-southwest swell.

Then we get another big push. Friday the 28th morning is a proper standout for experts: a 8ft south-southwest groundswell (13 seconds), clean with a light cross-offshore breeze, and energy soaring at 3152 (very strong). Saturday the 29th morning keeps the quality high – 5ft southwest swell, 16-second period, clean and cross-offshore, with strong energy (1496). Finally, Sunday the 30th morning wraps it up with a glassy 4ft south-southwest swell and 15-second period.

One thing: crowds are likely at this very consistent break, especially on the best mornings, so get in early. The breaks that really shine are the river mouth points, especially on those long-period swells.

Keep an eye on the forecast – we’ve got some proper late-summer juice coming.

Rusty.

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