Rio Nexpa Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s cooking at Rio Nexpa over the next couple of weeks.

First up, the water is sitting at a balmy 88° – that’s a touch warmer than normal for this time of year, so you’ll be comfortable in boardshorts or a spring suit at most.

The pattern starts off with a bit of a wait. The first real surf worth talking about kicks off Sunday morning, July 12th. It’s not huge, but there’s a clean 4ft swell from the SSW with a light east cross-off breeze. The wave energy is moderate (665), and it’s a river mouth point break that handles this direction well. Not a standout, but a nice, easy start.

Monday the 13th is where things get interesting. The morning holds a clean 3ft SSW swell, but the real gem is the afternoon. The wind drops to glass – dead calm – and the swell holds at 3ft from the SSW with moderate energy (716). That glassy surface is a major positive; the wave faces will be smooth as silk. This is one of the best windows in the near term.

Tuesday the 14th morning is also sweet: 5ft from the SE, light east cross-off, clean, and the energy is building (879). The wind stays light and favourable. By Tuesday afternoon, the wind swings onshore and the quality drops fast.

Wednesday the 15th through Friday the 17th offer a mix of small, clean mornings with glassy or light offshore winds, but the swell drops to 2ft–3ft. The energy is moderate (276–549). Good for a longboard or a fun fish, but not a standout. The afternoons get choppy and cross-onshore, so make the most of the early hours.

The next proper standout is Sunday, July 19th. The morning delivers a solid 3ft SW swell (17 second period – that’s proper groundswell) with a light east cross-off breeze. The wave energy jumps to strong (1227). This is a very good day for the point break. The long period means the waves will have shape and power, but at a river mouth, the long intervals can sometimes make it a bit too straight – still, with that wind, it’s a top pick.

Monday the 20th morning is another highlight: 4ft SW swell, 16 second period, glassy conditions, and energy near 1000 (998). The waves will be clean, lined up, and have some punch. This is a serious contender for the best on offer in the whole forecast.

The week after that has a mix of smaller, clean mornings and lumpy afternoons. Then, Saturday, July 26th, is a big one. The morning brings a 6ft swell from the SSE, period 11 seconds, and light east cross-off wind. The energy is very strong (1384). This is the biggest swell of the period. At 6ft, it’s pushing into expert territory at the point, especially if the current pushes it. The afternoon jumps to 8ft and gets messy with onshore wind. If you’re experienced, that morning session on the 26th is the one to circle.

Over the full 16 days, Rio Nexpa is very consistent. The standout windows are the glassy afternoons on July 13th, and the mornings of July 19th, 20th, and 26th. If you’re going to pick one, make it Monday the 20th morning – it’s got the size, the period, the glass, and the crowd is only “often” there, so you won’t be fighting for waves.

No other breaks in this region are recommended, so this is your only option. But it’s a good one.

Rusty.

Read more