Rio Nexpa Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Righto, grab a cold one and settle in. Rusty here, giving you the straight-up word on the surf ahead. We’ve got a cracking run of clean conditions on the cards, so let’s dive in.

The real standout is Rio Nexpa – a classic point and rivermouth setup that’s very consistent and handles a good south-west swell. The water is sitting at a warm 87°, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year – a real treat.

We kick off Friday morning, July 3rd, with a clean 4ft of SSW groundswell (14-second period) and a light east cross-off breeze. The combined energy is a solid moderate (689). It’s a great start, but the afternoon turns to mush with onshore wind, so make the most of that early session.

Saturday morning, July 4th, flips the script with glassy conditions and a clean 3ft of long-period SSW groundswell (16 seconds). The energy is still moderate (585), but it’ll be super clean for a fun session.

Now, Sunday morning, July 5th, is where it starts to get serious. There’s no wind – total glass – and the swell pulses up to 4ft of that same lovely SSW groundswell (16 seconds). The combined energy jumps into the strong range (1139), and conditions are looking very good. This is a morning to circle.

Monday morning, July 6th, is the absolute standout of the whole run. Glassy conditions again, a clean 3ft of SSW groundswell, but the period stretches out to a very long 20 seconds. The energy is very strong (1576), and the call is excellent for experienced surfers. This is a proper, long-period groundswell, and at a point/river break like Rio Nexpa, it’ll set up perfectly. The afternoon stays clean but the wind swings onshore, so the early session is the one.

Tuesday, July 7th, is a double-whammy of excellence. Morning brings a clean 6ft with a long 18-second period and a light cross-off breeze, pushing the energy to a very strong (1824). The afternoon is even better – glassy, 5ft, and still that long period. Excellent conditions both sessions for experienced surfers.

Wednesday, July 8th, still has plenty of punch. The morning session offers a clean 5ft of SSW groundswell (16 seconds) with a cross-off breeze and strong energy (1223), which is very good.

Things remain solid through Thursday and Friday, with 4ft swell and glassy conditions each morning, making for some lovely, clean waves. The energy sits in the moderate-to-strong range.

The final big highlight to keep an eye on is Saturday morning, July 18th. After a few days of small swell, we get a glassy 2ft from the SW with a very long 18-second period. The combined energy is moderate (325), but the conditions are good. It won’t be big, but it’ll be clean.

Keep in mind, when the swell is over 5ft, it gets a bit much for beginners, and over 8ft it’s for experts only. That Tuesday morning of the 7th is right on the edge, so know your limits.

This place is often crowded, so expect a few other keen souls for those primo glassy mornings. But with a run of surf this good, it’s worth it.

Rusty.

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