Surf Forecasts:
Rio Nexpa surf forecast from 5 Sep 2026:
- Best quality surf: Saturday 5 Sep, 9AM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 16s period, SSW swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Saturday 5 Sep, 9AM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 16s period, SSW swell with 1,257 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 5 Sep, 9AM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 16s period with SSW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Rio Nexpa this week:
The surf forecast for Rio Nexpa over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Sep 05) at 9AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.6m and 16s period with a secondary swell of 0.9m and 10s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Rio Nexpa in the next 16 days are 1.6m 16s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Sep 05) at 9AM. Winds are predicted to be glassy at the time the swell arrives.
| Wave Type | Time (CST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 9AM (Sat 5th Sep) | 5ft (1.6m) 16s |
| Best Surf | 9AM (Sat 5th Sep) | 5ft (1.6m) 16s |
| Most Powerful | 9AM (Sat 5th Sep) | 5ft (1.6m) 16s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Rio Nexpa over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s get into it for Rio Nexpa. We’ve got a solid run of southwest groundswell rolling in over the next couple of weeks, and this point break setup is primed to handle it. The water temp is about average for this time of year, nothing weird going on there.
First up, the standout is Saturday the 5th morning. The swell is a solid 5 ft from the SSW with a long 16-second period, giving us a combined energy of 1445 – that’s a strong, powerful pulse. The wind is glassy from the ENE, so the face will be clean and smooth. This is prime for experienced surfers and the point break will love that long period. It’s a very consistent wave here, but crowds are likely, so get there early. The morning is magic, but the arvo goes cross-on and gets choppy.
Sunday the 6th morning is still a good call. Swell drops a touch to 5 ft, 15-second period (1095 energy), with a clean cross-off breeze from the NE. That’s a nice, rideable wave, though the afternoon gets blown out as the wind swings onshore.
Monday the 7th morning sees the swell ease to 4 ft, 14-second period (602 energy), but the glassy ENE wind again makes it a clean, fun session for the point. The morning windows on Tuesday the 8th and Wednesday the 9th are also worth a look, with glassy and clean conditions on smaller, longer-period swell.
The second week brings a bit of a lull mid-week, but keep an eye on Tuesday the 15th morning. The swell bumps back up to 4 ft from the SW with a 17-second period (678 energy) and glassy winds. That’s a promising session, though it’s a week and a half out, so we’ll see how it firms up. The mornings of Thursday the 17th and Friday the 18th also show clean, long-period groundswell in the 3 ft range, with light cross-off winds, but with a risk of thunderstorms.
Overall, the best bet is that Saturday the 5th morning – it’s the biggest, cleanest, and most powerful of the lot. After that, aim for the glassy morning windows.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastModerate rain (total 12mm), heaviest on Sat afternoon. Warm (max 30°C on Sat morning, min 26°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryModerate rain (total 11mm), heaviest on Wed morning. Warm (max 31°C on Tue morning, min 26°C on Tue night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Saturday 5 | Sunday 6 | Monday 7 | Tuesday 8 | Wednesday 9 | Thursday 10 | Friday 11 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 17 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 1257 | 1209 | 911 | 911 | 701 | 687 | 487 | 373 | 362 | 269 | 278 | 381 | 454 | 580 | 510 | 813 | 803 | 964 | 551 | 412 | 407 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | glassy | cross-on | cross-off | glassy | on | cross-off | cross-off | on | off | off | cross-on | off | cross-off | on | glassy | glassy | cross-on | cross-off | glassy | cross-on | cross-off |
High Tide | 6:46PM0.57m | 9:07AM0.80m | 7:18PM0.65m | 9:20AM0.78m | 7:50PM0.71m | 9:33AM0.75m | 8:22PM0.74m | 9:45AM0.72m | 8:54PM0.74m | 9:51AM0.69m | 9:24PM0.71m | 9:51AM0.66m | 9:51PM0.65m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 2:45PM0.46m | 1:45AM-0.01m | 2:39PM0.44m | 2:13AM-0.04m | 2:46PM0.41m | 2:41AM-0.02m | 2:59PM0.37m | 3:07AM0.03m | 3:16PM0.34m | 3:29AM0.12m | 3:34PM0.31m | 3:45AM0.23m | 3:51PM0.29m | ||||||||
 |  |  | | |  |  | | | |  |  | | |  | | | | | | | |
 | 6:37 | — | — | 6:37 | — | — | 6:37 | — | — | 6:37 | — | — | 6:37 | — | — | 6:37 | — | — | 6:37 | — | — |
 | — | 7:01 | — | — | 7:00 | — | — | 7:00 | — | — | 6:59 | — | — | 6:58 | — | — | 6:57 | — | — | 6:57 | — |
mm | — | 3 | 5 | — | 1 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | 1 | 2 | 5 | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 |
Temp °C | 30 | 30 | 28 | 30 | 30 | 28 | 30 | 30 | 28 | 31 | 31 | 28 | 27 | 29 | 28 | 31 | 31 | 28 | 30 | 30 | 28 |
Feels °C | 34 | 33 | 33 | 34 | 33 | 33 | 34 | 34 | 33 | 34 | 34 | 32 | 31 | 33 | 32 | 34 | 34 | 31 | 33 | 32 | 31 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 12 | SW 16 | SW 17 | SW 15 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 |
| kJ | 1257 | 1209 | 911 | 911 | 701 | 687 | 487 | 373 | 362 | 269 | 209 | 267 | 454 | 580 | 509 | 813 | 803 | 964 | 551 | 412 | 407 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 10 | W 11 | W 11 | W 10 | W 10 | W 10 | W 10 | W 10 | W 10 | S 7 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | SW 18 | S 11 | SSE 7 | SSE 7 | S 8 | S 8 | W 4 |
| kJ | 177 | 184 | 178 | 133 | 133 | 100 | 98 | 98 | 69 | 38 | 278 | 381 | 129 | 189 | 510 | 114 | 47 | 18 | 48 | 48 | 8 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 12 | S 12 | S 12 | SSW 20 | SSE 7 | SSW 20 | S 8 | S 8 | S 8 | SSW 18 | S 7 | W 10 | S 7 | W 10 | WNW 10 | WNW 10 | SSW 11 | WNW 9 | SW 19 | WNW 9 | S 8 |
| kJ | 11 | 10 | 10 | 38 | 18 | 37 | 29 | 43 | 41 | 204 | 35 | 55 | 24 | 52 | 33 | 32 | 66 | 17 | 96 | 16 | 20 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | SW 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | WNW 4 | — | SSW 8 | W 4 |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 14 | — | 38 | 17 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 0 | 406 | 0 | 0 | 411 | 0 | 0 | 406 | 0 | 0 | 99 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 384 | 0 | 0 | 413 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Michoacan | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Mexico | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Rio Nexpa Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Rio Nexpa provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Rio Nexpa can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Rio Nexpa surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Rio Nexpa) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Rio Nexpa may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Rio Nexpa is 60 km (37 miles) from La Orilla. If you plan a holiday in Michoacan, look for hotels and other accommodation in La Orilla. La Orilla has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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