Surf Forecasts:
Rio Nexpa surf forecast from 24 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Saturday 29 Aug, 3AM (local time) - 5ft (1.5m), 16s period, SSW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Friday 28 Aug, 12PM (local time) - 5ft (1.5m), 18s period, SW swell with 1,351 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 24 Aug, 6AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.8m), 13s period with SSW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Rio Nexpa this week:
The surf forecast for Rio Nexpa over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 24) at 6AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.8m and 13s period with a secondary swell of 0.7m and 10s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Rio Nexpa in the next 16 days are 1.5m 18s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Aug 28) at 12PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.3m 4s period and expected on Tuesday (Aug 25) at 3AM.
| Wave Type | Time (CST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 6AM (Mon 24th Aug) | 2.5ft (0.8m) 13s |
| Best Surf | 3AM (Sat 29th Aug) | 5ft (1.5m) 16s |
| Most Powerful | 12PM (Fri 28th Aug) | 5ft (1.5m) 18s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Rio Nexpa over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Yo, what’s up, it’s Rusty. Let’s talk about what’s cooking at Rio Nexpa. This is a point-and-river setup that’s super consistent, facing SW, so when the swell lines up, it’s a magic machine. The water temp is about average for this time of year, nothing wild.
The first real surf we’re looking at is the morning of Monday, August 24th. It’s not huge but it’s clean, with a 2ft SW swell running at 17 seconds — that’s a long-period groundswell, proper energy. Wind is glassy from the ENE, so the surface will be butter. The combined energy is moderate (581). It’s a nice start, but the standout window is shaping up later.
Tuesday morning the 25th is small again, 2ft SW, but with a cross-off breeze keeping it clean. Glassy mornings keep coming through Wednesday and Thursday the 27th, with a little bump in period to 18 seconds on Thursday morning, giving you 2ft of long-period SW swell. Still modest, but the consistency is there.
Now, Friday morning August 28th is where things start to get interesting. Swell jumps to 4ft from the SW, period 17 seconds, and the wind is dead glass from the north. The energy is solid (935). That’s a very good morning.
Saturday morning the 29th is the first real standout. We’ve got 5ft of SW groundswell, 16 seconds, and a light cross-off breeze from the east. The energy is strong (1571). This is excellent for experienced surfers — the size is over 5ft, so it’s a bit much for beginners, but the point break will handle that long-period swell well. Clean, powerful, and lined up.
Sunday morning the 30th drops back a touch to 4ft, still glassy, with a SSW swell. Good fun.
The next big standout is Thursday morning, September 3rd. Swell is 5ft from the SW, period stretching to 19 seconds — that’s very long-period groundswell, and the energy is strong (1578). With glassy conditions from the NW, this is excellent for experienced surfers. The point will turn those long lines into walls.
Friday morning September 4th pushes into bigger territory: 7ft SSW swell, but the wind is a light cross-shore, so it’s a bit messy. That size is expert-only, and the conditions aren’t perfect. The combined energy is very strong (2403), but the wind state is only marginal.
Saturday morning September 5th is another standout. 5ft SSW swell, glassy from the north, and the energy is strong (1770). This is excellent for experienced surfers — clean, powerful, and consistent.
The following week keeps a solid rhythm of chest-to-head-high waves, with glassy or clean mornings. The swell is mostly from the SSW, with periods around 14-15 seconds. Nothing as big as the first week, but still plenty of fun. The morning of Monday, September 7th has 5ft from the SSW with a cross-off breeze, very good.
Overall, the best on offer is Saturday morning August 29th and Thursday morning September 3rd—both have clean conditions, solid groundswell, and real power. The point break will handle the long periods well. Crowds are often here, so expect company, but the waves are worth it.
Rusty
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 6mm), mostly falling on Sun night. Warm (max 33°C on Tue afternoon, min 25°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 6mm), mostly falling on Thu night. Warm (max 31°C on Thu morning, min 26°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||
Monday 24 | Tuesday 25 | Wednesday 26 | Thursday 27 | Friday 28 | Saturday 29 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 18 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SSW 18 | SW 14 | SSW 16 | SW 17 | SW 18 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SSW 15 | SW 15 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||
327 | 291 | 395 | 400 | 208 | 258 | 302 | 193 | 176 | 171 | 273 | 251 | 334 | 671 | 1351 | 1057 | 1224 | 1069 | 869 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | glassy | cross | off | cross-off | on | cross-off | glassy | glassy | off | glassy | cross-on | off | glassy | cross-on | cross | cross-off | cross-on | glassy |
High Tide | 9:57AM0.70m | 7:54PM0.64m | 10:00AM0.68m | 8:10PM0.68m | 10:01AM0.66m | 8:30PM0.70m | 10:01AM0.64m | 8:51PM0.70m | 10:00AM0.63m | 9:13PM0.68m | 9:55AM0.63m | 9:34PM0.64m | |||||||
Low Tide | 2:44AM0.04m | 3:11PM0.45m | 2:59AM0.05m | 3:09PM0.44m | 3:12AM0.07m | 3:09PM0.42m | 3:24AM0.11m | 3:14PM0.39m | 3:34AM0.16m | 3:24PM0.36m | 3:39AM0.23m | 3:40PM0.33m | |||||||
— | 6:35 | — | — | 6:35 | — | — | 6:35 | — | — | 6:35 | — | — | 6:35 | — | — | 6:35 | — | — | |
— | — | 7:10 | — | — | 7:09 | — | — | 7:09 | — | — | 7:08 | — | — | 7:07 | — | — | 7:07 | — | |
mm | 5 | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 |
Temp °C | 27 | 28 | 27 | 28 | 30 | 33 | 29 | 30 | 29 | 29 | 31 | 31 | 27 | 30 | 30 | 28 | 30 | 30 | 28 |
Feels °C | 29 | 31 | 29 | 30 | 32 | 35 | 32 | 31 | 33 | 34 | 35 | 34 | 31 | 33 | 33 | 31 | 34 | 34 | 34 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSE 10 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SSW 16 | SW 17 | SW 18 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SSW 15 | SW 15 |
147 | 291 | 395 | 400 | 208 | 258 | 302 | 193 | 176 | 171 | 251 | 251 | 334 | 671 | 1351 | 1057 | 1224 | 1069 | 869 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 12 | SSE 10 | SSE 9 | SSE 9 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 9 | SSE 9 | SSW 18 | SSW 18 | SW 13 | S 8 | S 8 | SSW 12 | SSW 10 | SSW 9 | SW 8 |
242 | 186 | 172 | 83 | 59 | 49 | 54 | 63 | 59 | 47 | 273 | 209 | 142 | 88 | 144 | 367 | 331 | 199 | 82 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 18 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | SSW 11 | WSW 7 | WSW 7 | SSW 18 | SSE 9 | SSE 9 | SW 20 | SW 13 | S 13 | W 11 | W 9 | SW 11 | SE 9 |
327 | 104 | 75 | 113 | 81 | 78 | 47 | 21 | 20 | 126 | 53 | 45 | 186 | 176 | 3 | 20 | 16 | 19 | 27 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 4 | — | SE 3 | — | NE 8 | — | W 7 | — | S 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | W 4 | — | — | — |
22 | — | 2 | — | 3 | — | 25 | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 25 | — | — | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 34 | 0 | 128 | 0 | 0 | 34 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 83 | 0 | 0 | 384 | 106 | 0 | 407 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Michoacan | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Mexico | |||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Rio Nexpa Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Rio Nexpa provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Rio Nexpa can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Rio Nexpa surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Rio Nexpa) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Rio Nexpa may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Rio Nexpa is 60 km (37 miles) from La Orilla. If you plan a holiday in Michoacan, look for hotels and other accommodation in La Orilla. La Orilla has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.











