Surf Forecasts:
Rio Nexpa surf forecast from 2 Sep 2026:
- Best quality surf: Thursday 3 Sep, 9AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.4m), 18s period, SW swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Friday 4 Sep, 3AM (local time) - 5.5ft (1.7m), 17s period, SSW swell with 1,734 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 2 Sep, 6AM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 16s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Rio Nexpa this week:
The surf forecast for Rio Nexpa over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Sep 02) at 6AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.9m and 16s period with a secondary swell of 1.4m and 9s. Another secondary swell of 1.0m and 12s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Rio Nexpa in the next 16 days are 1.7m 17s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Sep 04) at 3AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.1m 6s period and expected on Tuesday (Sep 08) at 12PM.
| Wave Type | Time (CST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 6AM (Wed 2nd Sep) | 3ft (0.9m) 16s |
| Best Surf | 9AM (Thu 3rd Sep) | 4.5ft (1.4m) 18s |
| Most Powerful | 3AM (Fri 4th Sep) | 5.5ft (1.7m) 17s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Rio Nexpa over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's look at this upcoming window for Rio Nexpa. This is a classic point and river mouth set-up, and we've got a decent run of swell on the way.
The opening days bring in a solid, consistent SW groundswell that peaks mid-week. The combined wave energy is strong, hitting over 1000 on Wednesday morning and building right up. The water temp is sitting about average for this time of year, so no surprises there.
Wednesday the 2nd kicks things off with a 5 ft swell from the SW, a 10-second period, and glassy conditions thanks to a light northerly. The energy is solid, and with the river mouth points, that long period will line up nicely. The morning is the call here; by afternoon the wind switches onshore and messes things up.
Now, the standout window for the experienced crew is Thursday the 3rd through to Saturday the 5th. Thursday morning has 5 ft of SW swell but with an 18-second period—that's proper groundswell, packing a heap of energy. The river mouth will be handling that long period beautifully. Off the charts for shape. Friday morning is even better with a 6 ft SSW swell and a 16-second period, energy going through the roof, and clean glassy conditions. Saturday morning holds similar quality with 5 ft SSW and that offshore breeze. These days are the true highlight of the forecast. For the more confident surfer, this is where it's at. Beginners should note that by Friday, the 6 ft height starts pushing past the comfortable zone.
Over the second week, we see the size drop, but the quality doesn't vanish. Sunday the 6th and Monday the 7th still offer fun, clean 5 ft SSW swell in the mornings. Towards the 10th and 11th, a new pulse of SW groundswell bumps things back up slightly, with clean glassy mornings again. Later on, the 17th of September brings a small but interesting pulse of 2 ft SSW swell with a ridiculously long 22-second period. It won't be big, but on the point, that period will create some beautifully lined-up, long walls for a sneaky session.
Be mindful of the crowds here though, Rio Nexpa is consistent and can draw folks. The early mornings are your best bet for a peak to yourself. So, if you're looking for the best on offer, set your alarm for Thursday, Friday, or Saturday morning this week—it's going to be firing.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 6mm), mostly falling on Thu night. Warm (max 30°C on Wed morning, min 26°C on Tue night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 4mm), mostly falling on Sat night. Warm (max 31°C on Sun morning, min 26°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||
Wednesday 2 | Thursday 3 | Friday 4 | Saturday 5 | Sunday 6 | Monday 7 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 10 | SW 10 | SW 10 | WSW 10 | SW 18 | SW 17 | SSW 17 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 269 | 425 | 456 | 301 | 1124 | 1086 | 1570 | 1633 | 1517 | 1498 | 1257 | 1209 | 807 | 869 | 742 | 553 | 577 | 482 | 396 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | off | glassy | cross-on | cross-off | glassy | cross-on | cross-off | glassy | on | glassy | cross-off | cross-on | off | cross-off | cross-on | off | cross-off | on | cross-off |
High Tide | 9:19PM0.40m | 8:57AM0.73m | 7:39PM0.36m | 8:49AM0.77m | 5:46PM0.41m | 8:49AM0.79m | 6:14PM0.49m | 8:55AM0.80m | 6:46PM0.57m | 9:07AM0.80m | 7:18PM0.65m | 9:20AM0.78m | 7:50PM0.71m | ||||||
Low Tide | 1:09AM0.35m | 5:16PM0.35m | 00:41AM0.25m | 4:58PM0.41m | 00:54AM0.15m | 3:15PM0.46m | 1:17AM0.06m | 2:45PM0.46m | 1:45AM-0.01m | 2:39PM0.44m | 2:13AM-0.04m | 2:46PM0.41m | 2:41AM-0.02m | ||||||
 |  |  |  | |  |  |  | | | | | | | | | | |  | |
 | — | 6:35 | — | — | 6:37 | — | — | 6:37 | — | — | 6:37 | — | — | 6:37 | — | — | 6:37 | — | — |
 | — | — | 7:04 | — | — | 7:02 | — | — | 7:01 | — | — | 7:01 | — | — | 7:00 | — | — | 7:00 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 4 | — | 1 | — | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 28 | 30 | 30 | 28 | 30 | 30 | 27 | 30 | 30 | 28 | 30 | 30 | 28 | 31 | 30 | 28 | 30 | 30 | 28 |
Feels °C | 33 | 33 | 33 | 32 | 34 | 34 | 30 | 34 | 34 | 33 | 34 | 34 | 33 | 34 | 34 | 34 | 34 | 34 | 33 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 10 | SW 10 | SW 10 | WSW 10 | SW 18 | SW 17 | SSW 17 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 |
| kJ | 269 | 425 | 456 | 301 | 1124 | 1086 | 1570 | 1633 | 1517 | 1498 | 1257 | 1209 | 807 | 869 | 742 | 553 | 577 | 482 | 396 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 13 | SSW 12 | SW 16 | SSW 12 | WSW 9 | SW 8 | WSW 10 | W 10 | W 10 | W 11 | W 11 | W 11 | W 10 | W 10 | W 10 | W 10 | W 10 | W 10 | W 12 |
| kJ | 261 | 226 | 376 | 250 | 176 | 100 | 193 | 225 | 198 | 235 | 182 | 184 | 168 | 125 | 141 | 94 | 92 | 102 | 137 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 11 | SW 16 | SSW 12 | SW 16 | SSW 11 | SSW 12 | SSE 7 | SSE 7 | S 12 | — | S 12 | S 12 | S 12 | SSW 20 | S 11 | SSE 8 | SW 19 | SW 18 | SSW 18 |
| kJ | 104 | 386 | 222 | 295 | 113 | 183 | 5 | 5 | 11 | — | 11 | 10 | 10 | 38 | 10 | 21 | 91 | 85 | 209 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | SW 3 | — | — | — | W 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | 3 | — | — | — | 20 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 0 | 411 | 0 | 0 | 407 | 0 | 0 | 289 | 0 | 0 | 413 | 0 | 0 | 384 | 0 | 0 | 411 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Michoacan | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Mexico | |||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||
- Map Icons:
Break
Live Wave Height (m)
Live Wind Speed (km/h)
Surf Rating (10 Max)
Ocean Swells (m)- Wind Speed (km/h)
FREE! Surf-Forecast.com widget for your website
The surf report / weather widget below is available to embed on third party websites free of charge and provides a summary of our Rio Nexpa surf forecast. Simply grab the html code snippet that we provide and paste it into your own site. You can choose your preferred language and metric/imperial units for the surf forecast feed to suit users of your site. Click here to get the code.
Information about the Rio Nexpa Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Rio Nexpa provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Rio Nexpa can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Rio Nexpa surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Rio Nexpa) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Rio Nexpa may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Rio Nexpa is 60 km (37 miles) from La Orilla. If you plan a holiday in Michoacan, look for hotels and other accommodation in La Orilla. La Orilla has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
Nearest