
Surf Forecasts:
Rio Nexpa surf forecast from 6 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Friday 7 Aug, 9AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.0m), 18s period, SSW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Saturday 8 Aug, 12AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.1m), 16s period, SSW swell with 627 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 6 Aug, 6AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.7m), 13s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Rio Nexpa this week:
The surf forecast for Rio Nexpa over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Aug 06) at 6AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.7m and 13s period with a secondary swell of 0.6m and 8s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Rio Nexpa in the next 16 days are 1.1m 16s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Aug 08) at 12AM. Winds are predicted to be glassy at the time the swell arrives.
| Wave Type | Time (CST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 6AM (Thu 6th Aug) | 2.5ft (0.7m) 13s |
| Best Surf | 9AM (Fri 7th Aug) | 3.5ft (1.0m) 18s |
| Most Powerful | 12AM (Sat 8th Aug) | 3.5ft (1.1m) 16s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Rio Nexpa over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, let’s have a look at what’s cookin’ for Rio Nexpa.
Alright, the outlook is pretty much all about Rio Nexpa for the next couple of weeks. It’s a point and river mouth setup, so it’s got that classic structure that can really handle a good swell. This stretch is very consistent, so we’re not lookin’ at big gaps of flat water. We’ve got a solid run of surf coming through.
The first decent action kicks off early on Thursday, August 6th. The morning will see a clean 2ft SW swell, with a nice long period of 13 seconds blowin’ in from the NNW. The wind is light and cross-offshore, keepin’ that wave face smooth. It’s not huge, but it’s a fun start. The water temp is about what you’d expect for this time of year, so nothin’ spooky there.
Friday, August 7th, the swell picks up a touch to 3ft from the SSW, with a very long period of 18 seconds. That’s a lot of energy (854) for a modest wave height. The wind is light and cross-off again in the morning, so the surf will be clean. The long period will give you some nice, pushy lines, but you’ll be waitin’ a bit longer between sets – that’s the trade-off.
Saturday, August 8th, is where it starts to get real good. The morning sees a 4ft SSW swell, same long period, but the wind shifts to a glassy offshore from the NNE at just 3 mph. That’s a dream. The wave energy is strong (810), and the river mouth should be groomin’ those waves to perfection. That Saturday morning is the standout for the first week. Afternoons are a write-off with cross-on wind, so get your session in early.
Sunday morning, August 9th, is still clean with a cross-off wind and a 4ft SSW swell, but the wind is a little stronger. Still a good option.
The absolute prize of this whole forecast lands on Friday, August 14th. The morning session is a standout. We’re lookin’ at a 5ft SW swell, with a very impressive 18-second period and a massive 1468 energy reading. That’s a lot of water moving. The wind is glassy off the NE. This is a proper groundswell, and for a point like Rio Nexpa, that’s absolute heaven. The wave faces will be long, the barrels will be there for the takin’. This is for experienced surfers only – that 5ft at a point with that much energy will push right up to the 7ft mark on the sets. If you’re not confident in your abilities, this is a watch-and-learn day.
The weekend after that, August 15th and 16th, still holds good clean morning sessions with solid 4ft to 5ft SW swell, just with a little less period. The pattern of clean mornings and messy afternoons holds all the way through to the end of the forecast window on August 21st, which also has a nice morning increase to 4ft from the SSW.
So, the call is simple: Saturday morning, August 8th, is the best bet for the first week – clean, fun, and accessible. But the absolute red-letter day is Friday morning, August 14th. That’s the one to circle on the calendar. Get your board ready, because that’s goin’ to be magic.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastHeavy rain (total 38mm), heaviest during Thu night. Warm (max 31°C on Thu morning, min 25°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 9mm), mostly falling on Sun night. Warm (max 30°C on Sun morning, min 25°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||
Thursday 6 | Friday 7 | Saturday 8 | Sunday 9 | Monday 10 | Tuesday 11 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 14 | SW 13 | SSW 18 | SSW 18 | SSW 18 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SW 19 | SSW 14 | SSW 18 | SSW 18 | SW 17 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||
119 | 173 | 216 | 214 | 582 | 566 | 627 | 589 | 530 | 508 | 487 | 373 | 326 | 331 | 384 | 236 | 547 | 395 | 330 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | off | cross-off | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | glassy | off | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | on | cross-off | glassy | cross-on | cross-off | glassy | cross-on | cross-off |
High Tide | 9:32AM0.72m | 9:32AM0.75m | 6:11PM0.56m | 9:43AM0.78m | 6:57PM0.63m | 10:00AM0.78m | 7:38PM0.69m | 10:21AM0.76m | 8:16PM0.74m | 10:43AM0.73m | 8:52PM0.75m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 1:16AM0.22m | 1:30AM0.11m | 3:15PM0.53m | 1:56AM0.01m | 3:03PM0.53m | 2:26AM-0.06m | 3:08PM0.51m | 2:59AM-0.09m | 3:22PM0.49m | 3:31AM-0.07m | 3:41PM0.46m | ||||||||
— | 6:30 | — | — | 6:31 | — | — | 6:31 | — | — | 6:31 | — | — | 6:31 | — | — | 6:31 | — | — | |
— | — | 7:22 | — | — | 7:22 | — | — | 7:22 | — | — | 7:21 | — | — | 7:20 | — | — | 7:20 | — | |
mm | 5 | — | — | 21 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 1 | — | 1 | — | 1 | 6 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1 |
Temp °C | 28 | 31 | 31 | 28 | 29 | 28 | 27 | 30 | 31 | 28 | 30 | 30 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 28 | 30 | 30 | 28 |
Feels °C | 33 | 33 | 33 | 32 | 33 | 31 | 32 | 33 | 34 | 32 | 34 | 34 | 34 | 33 | 34 | 33 | 33 | 33 | 32 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 9 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SSW 18 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 14 | SSW 18 | SSW 18 | SW 17 |
73 | 173 | 208 | 196 | 582 | 566 | 627 | 589 | 530 | 508 | 487 | 373 | 326 | 331 | 273 | 236 | 547 | 395 | 330 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 14 | S 8 | S 8 | SSW 18 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SSE 12 | SSE 8 | SSE 8 | SSE 8 | SSE 8 | SSE 8 | SSE 8 | SSE 8 | SSE 7 | SSW 14 | SW 13 | S 12 |
119 | 51 | 68 | 214 | 181 | 116 | 144 | 107 | 37 | 64 | 68 | 48 | 33 | 64 | 70 | 29 | 250 | 175 | 108 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 11 | SSW 19 | SSW 18 | S 8 | SSE 13 | SSE 12 | SSE 12 | SW 12 | SW 11 | W 4 | SSW 22 | SSE 11 | SW 16 | SW 20 | SW 19 | SW 19 | S 10 | S 12 | W 4 |
48 | 136 | 216 | 50 | 32 | 50 | 152 | 114 | 42 | 8 | 45 | 22 | 66 | 186 | 384 | 183 | 70 | 27 | 7 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | SW 3 | W 4 | SSE 8 | SSE 8 | — | — | W 4 | WNW 4 | — | — | — | — | — | W 3 | — | S 8 | — |
— | — | 4 | 6 | 59 | 50 | — | — | 9 | 13 | — | — | — | — | — | 3 | — | 31 | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 0 | 407 | 0 | 0 | 411 | 0 | 0 | 119 | 0 | 0 | 411 | 0 | 0 | 50 | 0 | 0 | 406 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Michoacan | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Mexico | |||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Rio Nexpa Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Rio Nexpa provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Rio Nexpa can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Rio Nexpa surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Rio Nexpa) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Rio Nexpa may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Rio Nexpa is 60 km (37 miles) from La Orilla. If you plan a holiday in Michoacan, look for hotels and other accommodation in La Orilla. La Orilla has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.











