Rio Nexpa Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s get into it. Over the next 16 days, this stretch of coast is looking at a solid run of surf, with a real standout stretch in the middle that’s got my heart thumping.

We’re starting off with a bit of a tease. Saturday the 18th, the morning session at Rio Nexpa is your best bet early on. We’ve got a clean 2ft southwest groundswell with a very long period of 16 seconds, and the wind is glassy. The water is a balmy 88°, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year. The combined energy is moderate (307). It’s small, but it’s clean and fun. The afternoon goes to crap with a cross-onshore wind, so make it a dawn patrol.

Sunday the 19th and Monday the 20th are both looking tasty. The swell picks up to 4ft to 4ft from the southwest, still with that long-period groundswell. The mornings are clean, with glassy conditions and a slight cross-off wind. The combined energy jumps to a strong 1027 and then 1101. This is where it starts to get good.

Now, the real standout. The morning of Tuesday the 22nd through to Thursday the 24th is a bit of a lull in size, but the quality is still there with glassy conditions. But hold onto your board, because from Friday the 25th morning, we’re into a proper pulse. The swell builds to 4ft with a very long period of 20 seconds, and the combined energy is a strong 1207. The wind is a clean cross-off. This is the start of the main event.

The absolute best on offer is the Sunday the 26th, Monday the 27th, and Tuesday the 28th mornings. This is for the experienced crew. Swell heights are going from 5ft to 6ft, all from the southwest, with periods of 16-18 seconds. The energy is very strong, with readings like 1541, 2038, and 2379. The wind is glassy. This is a powerful, long-period groundswell hitting a point break, so it’s going to reel off those long, walled-up lines. It’s a setup that rewards the guys who know how to handle a fast, hollow wave. This is not a beginner wave—over 5ft, and you’ll be in for a fight. For the experts, this is as good as it gets.

Wednesday the 29th morning is another excellent call, with 6ft and glassy conditions. The energy is still strong at 1600.

The second week tails off a bit. Through the end of July and into the first of August, the swell drops back to 2ft to 4ft. The mornings are generally clean, but the energy drops to moderate levels. It’s still surfable, with a few good windows on the 31st and 1st of August, but nothing compared to that late-July fire. The run ends on a quiet note on the 2nd of August with small, clean swell.

Rusty.

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