Rio Nexpa Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's get into it.

Well, we’ve got a solid run of surf on the way at Rio Nexpa. It’s a classic point-and-river mouth setup, and it’s known for being very consistent, so we’re in for a treat. The water’s sitting at 88°, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year – nice and tropical.

The action kicks off Tuesday morning, the 21st of July. It’s not the biggest on the run, but the conditions are perfect. We’re looking at 4 ft of swell from the SW, with a long 15-second period, and the wind is glassy from the ENE. The combined energy is moderate at 777, and it’s clean as a whistle. This is a real nice opener.

Wednesday morning, the 22nd, brings a slight drop to 3 ft, but still a solid 14-second period from the SW. The wind is glassy again, ENE at 3 mph. It’s a bit smaller, but still very clean. The energy dips to 465.

Thursday the 23rd is smaller again, with 2 ft swells and a 13-second period. The morning is glassy and clean, but the afternoon turns poor with a cross-onshore breeze.

Now, Friday the 24th morning is a real standout. The swell is only 2 ft, but the period jumps to a massive 24 seconds – that’s a very long-period groundswell. The wind is glassy, ENE at 3 mph. The energy is moderate at 730. This is the kind of swell that will really wrap into the point, giving you long, clean lines. Be aware, that long period can make it a bit shifty on a beach break, but at a point like Nexpa, it’s a dream.

Saturday the 25th morning is another highlight. The swell is back up to 4 ft, with a 20-second period, and it’s glassy. The energy is strong at 1306. The afternoon gets a bit wonky with onshore wind and a jump to 5 ft, which is getting a bit meaty.

Sunday the 26th morning is for the experienced crew. We’ve got 5 ft of SSW swell, with an 18-second period, and glassy conditions. The energy is strong at 1716. This is excellent, powerful surf.

Monday the 27th is a cracker. The morning sees 5 ft of SW swell at 17 seconds, with a clean cross-offshore breeze. The afternoon is even better: 6 ft, SSW, 17 seconds, and glassy. The energy is strong at 2029. That afternoon is the absolute pick of the whole run.

Tuesday the 28th keeps the energy high. 6 ft of SSW swell, 17 seconds, and a clean cross-offshore wind in the morning. The energy is very strong at 2207. This is big, powerful, and clean. It’s over 5 ft, so it’s getting into the intermediate zone, and at 6 ft, it’s for the more experienced surfers. The afternoon turns a bit choppy.

The swell stays solid through Wednesday the 29th and Thursday the 30th, with clean conditions in the mornings and a bit of wind in the afternoons. The size drops through the end of July and into the start of August.

By the 31st of July, the swell is fading to 4 ft, and the run continues to drop off into the first week of August. The first few days of August offer small, clean waves in the mornings, but nothing to get too excited about. The 2nd of August morning has 2 ft and glassy conditions, and the 3rd has 2 ft. The 4th and 5th of August are very small, with weak energy, and not much to write home about.

So, the top pick is Monday the 27th afternoon: 6 ft from the SSW, 17 seconds, and glassy. That’s a dream session. The other standouts are the groundswell on Friday the 24th morning and the big, clean swell on Tuesday the 28th morning. The first week of August will be a bit of a flat spell, but that’s pretty normal for the area.

Rusty.

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