Surf Forecasts:
Rio Nexpa surf forecast from 30 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Thursday 3 Sep, 9AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.4m), 18s period, SW swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Friday 4 Sep, 6AM (local time) - 5.5ft (1.7m), 17s period, SSW swell with 1,734 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 30 Aug, 6AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.4m), 14s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Rio Nexpa this week:
The surf forecast for Rio Nexpa over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Aug 30) at 6AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.4m and 14s period with a secondary swell of 0.6m and 8s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Rio Nexpa in the next 16 days are 1.7m 17s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Sep 04) at 6AM. Winds are predicted to be offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.4m 3s period and expected on Monday (Aug 31) at 9PM.
| Wave Type | Time (CST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 6AM (Sun 30th Aug) | 4.5ft (1.4m) 14s |
| Best Surf | 9AM (Thu 3rd Sep) | 4.5ft (1.4m) 18s |
| Most Powerful | 6AM (Fri 4th Sep) | 5.5ft (1.7m) 17s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Rio Nexpa over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, let’s talk about Rio Nexpa. This spot's been cooking up a real mixed bag across the next couple of weeks, but there's some absolute gems in there for those who pick their moments. It's a classic point and river setup, and when it turns on, it's a damn treat. The water temp is hanging right about average for this time of year, nothing weird going on there.
First up, we're looking at a bit of a slow start for the weekend of the 30th. Sunday morning delivers some clean potential with a 5ft SW swell, period around 14 seconds, and a light cross-offshore wind from the NW (6 mph). The wave energy is sitting at a solid moderate (918). That's a good session right there. But the arvo gets chopped up. Monday the 31st is a washout in the morning with a bit of rain and cross-on wind, though that arvo shows a glimmer with a little 3ft swell going glassy with an offshore breeze. It’s small but damn clean.
Then we hit a real good stretch. Tuesday the 1st of September, the morning is *glassy*. Dead calm with a 3ft SSW swell and a 13 second period. The energy (474) is far from flat. This is the kind of morning you paddle out and the place is all yours, clean as a whistle. The arvo goes a bit messy again, but that's standard.
Now, here's the standout that's got me fired up. Wednesday the 2nd of September is a beauty. It’s glassy again in the morning, with a 5ft SW swell, and a moderate 10 second period. The energy jumps to a strong 1042. This is a proper, clean, punchy point.
But if you want the real highlight of this entire forecast, you’re looking at Thursday the 3rd of September and Friday the 4th of September. Thursday morning is glassy with a 5ft SW swell, but the period hits a very long 18 seconds, and the combined energy is a whopping 1407. That’s groundswell energy, and it’s gonna draw some seriously long, powerful lines down the point. Then Friday morning the swell bumps up to 6ft from the SSW, still a long 17 second period, with a clean cross-offshore breeze from the NE (6 mph). The energy levels are near 1790. This is excellent, experienced surfer territory. The sets are gonna be thick and walled up. The crowds are a factor here, they’re *often* around, but for that quality? It’s worth sharing the water.
The mornings on Saturday the 5th keep the quality high too: a 5ft SSW swell, 16 second period, with that nice cross-off shore. It’s a clean, consistent run.
After that first week, the consistency holds but drops in size. Sunday the 6th, Monday the 7th, Tuesday the 8th all have clean early sessions with 4ft down to 3ft swell. Still fun, but smaller.
Now, look ahead. Wednesday the 9th of September and Thursday the 10th of September throw in a warning. We get a jump to 8ft on Wednesday morning from the SSE, but with a short 8 second period (energy 1618). That’s a lot of bumpy water. And on Thursday the 10th, it’s a 8ft SSW swell, still a short period but powerful (2472 energy). This is strictly for the expert crew, and the river mouth might be the only place to find a clean bowl. After that, things settle right down into some smaller, cleaner waves again through the second week, with mornings on the 11th and 12th offering 3ft to 3ft SW swells with good periods and glassy conditions. It’s a promising, but long-range, look.
So, the game plan? The highlights are the mornings from 2nd September through to 5th September. If you can only go once, Thursday the 3rd and Friday the 4th mornings are the sessions I’d be chasing. That's where the magic is.
Rusty
Short Range ForecastModerate rain (total 11mm), heaviest on Sat night. Warm (max 31°C on Sun morning, min 25°C on Mon morning). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryModerate rain (total 10mm), heaviest on Thu night. Warm (max 31°C on Thu afternoon, min 25°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||
Sunday 30 | Monday 31 | Tuesday 1 | Wednesday 2 | Thursday 3 | Friday 4 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 15 | SW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 12 | SW 12 | SW 10 | SW 16 | WSW 10 | SW 18 | SW 17 | SSW 17 | SSW 17 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||
869 | 846 | 682 | 493 | 406 | 368 | 299 | 290 | 582 | 341 | 478 | 376 | 295 | 1124 | 1086 | 1570 | 1653 | 1517 | 1498 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | cross-off | cross-on | off | cross-off | glassy | cross-on | cross-off | glassy | cross-on | cross | glassy | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | cross-off |
High Tide | 9:34PM0.64m | 9:44AM0.64m | 9:51PM0.57m | 9:29AM0.66m | 9:56PM0.49m | 9:12AM0.70m | 9:19PM0.40m | 8:57AM0.73m | 7:39PM0.36m | 8:49AM0.77m | 5:46PM0.41m | 8:49AM0.79m | 6:14PM0.49m | ||||||
Low Tide | 3:39AM0.30m | 4:00PM0.30m | 3:25AM0.36m | 4:23PM0.30m | 2:37AM0.40m | 4:48PM0.31m | 1:09AM0.35m | 5:16PM0.35m | 00:41AM0.25m | 4:58PM0.41m | 00:54AM0.15m | 3:15PM0.46m | 1:17AM0.06m | ||||||
— | 6:35 | — | — | 6:35 | — | — | 6:35 | — | — | 6:35 | — | — | 6:37 | — | — | 6:37 | — | — | |
— | — | 7:07 | — | — | 7:06 | — | — | 7:05 | — | — | 7:04 | — | — | 7:02 | — | — | 7:01 | — | |
mm | 4 | — | 1 | — | 5 | 1 | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 5 | 1 | 2 | — |
Temp °C | 29 | 31 | 30 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 27 | 30 | 30 | 28 | 30 | 30 | 28 | 30 | 31 | 28 | 30 | 30 | 28 |
Feels °C | 35 | 33 | 31 | 31 | 31 | 32 | 30 | 32 | 32 | 32 | 33 | 33 | 32 | 33 | 34 | 32 | 34 | 34 | 32 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 15 | SW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 12 | SW 10 | SW 10 | SW 16 | WSW 10 | SW 18 | SW 17 | SSW 17 | SSW 17 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 |
869 | 846 | 682 | 493 | 406 | 368 | 299 | 290 | 582 | 269 | 478 | 376 | 278 | 1124 | 1086 | 1570 | 1653 | 1517 | 1498 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 9 | SW 8 | SW 8 | SW 10 | WSW 9 | WSW 9 | WSW 9 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 12 | SW 16 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | WSW 8 | SSW 12 | WSW 9 | WSW 9 | WSW 9 | WSW 9 |
83 | 43 | 44 | 76 | 76 | 76 | 75 | 154 | 154 | 341 | 381 | 222 | 254 | 150 | 183 | 203 | 137 | 116 | 101 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSE 8 | S 8 | SSE 7 | W 4 | SSE 8 | SSE 7 | SSE 7 | WSW 9 | S 7 | SW 17 | SSW 11 | W 10 | SW 16 | SSW 11 | W 10 | SSE 7 | — | S 12 | S 11 |
34 | 29 | 21 | 7 | 37 | 21 | 17 | 30 | 22 | 241 | 183 | 17 | 295 | 133 | 18 | 5 | — | 11 | 88 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | WNW 4 | S 8 | SW 4 | NW 3 | — | WSW 8 | W 3 | — | SW 9 | W 4 | — | WSW 9 | W 9 | — | — | — |
— | — | — | 17 | 29 | 3 | 2 | — | 24 | 5 | — | 347 | 27 | — | 138 | 299 | — | — | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 0 | 384 | 0 | 34 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 407 | 0 | 0 | 411 | 34 | 0 | 411 | 0 | 0 | 62 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Michoacan | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Mexico | |||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||
- Map Icons:
Break
Live Wave Height (m)
Live Wind Speed (km/h)
Surf Rating (10 Max)
Ocean Swells (m)
Wind Speed (km/h)
Information about the Rio Nexpa Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Rio Nexpa provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Rio Nexpa can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Rio Nexpa surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Rio Nexpa) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Rio Nexpa may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Rio Nexpa is 60 km (37 miles) from La Orilla. If you plan a holiday in Michoacan, look for hotels and other accommodation in La Orilla. La Orilla has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.











