Rio Nexpa Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s on offer for Rio Nexpa over this forecast period.

We’ve got a classic long-period SSW groundswell building in, and the setup is a point river mouth, so that long-period energy should wrap in nicely. The water is sitting at a warm 88°, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year, so you’ll be sweating in your wetsuit top, if you even bother wearing one.

The week kicks off on Monday the 6th with a bit of a messy cross-on breeze and a storm threat, so we’ll let that one go. The real standout window opens Tuesday the 7th morning. We’re looking at a solid 6 ft of SSW swell, with a very long period of 18 seconds, and it’s glassy. That’s your best bet early doors – clean, powerful lines peeling down the point. The energy’s pumping at 1819 (moderate to strong), and this is for experienced surfers given the size and power. Crowds are often, so expect company.

Tuesday afternoon and Wednesday look clean with offshore and cross-off winds, holding the 5 ft swell, but the quality drops a notch. The long period (16-18 seconds) still means long lulls between sets, so pick your moment.

Thursday the 9th and Friday the 10th see the swell dropping to 4 ft, and the wind gets messy on the afternoons, turning choppy. Not worth the paddle on those arvos. Early Friday morning is glassy again with 4 ft swell though – a nice, smaller morning session.

We’ve got a few more glassy mornings over the weekend (Saturday 11th and Sunday 12th) with clean, smaller surf around 4 ft. Consistent conditions but nothing epic. Then a lull hits early next week, with surf dropping to 3-3 ft and a glassy Tuesday morning the 14th still offering clean little waves for a longboard.

Now, the next true standout is a solid pulse arriving Wednesday the 15th morning. The swell jumps to 7 ft from the SSE, period is short at 10 seconds, but the wind is cross-off and clean. This is a bigger, punchier system with combined energy at 1153 (moderate-strong). However, at 7 ft, this is pushing into expert territory at the point, especially with a shorter period and that cross-off wind holding the face up. Thursday the 16th sees it even bigger at 8 ft, but with lumpy cross-shore winds and a storm threat, making it less appealing. That setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing.

The swell eases again for the weekend of the 18th and 19th, with clean, glassy mornings and 3-4 ft surf on offer. The energy’s weaker here (369-800), but the clean conditions at the point make for fun, cruisy waves.

So, the pick of the litter is Tuesday morning the 7th for the best combination of size, power, and glassy conditions. The second shout-out is Wednesday the 15th morning for experienced crew wanting a bigger, punchier wave, but keep an eye on that wind. The rest of the period has plenty of clean smaller windows for a comfortable paddle.

Stay stoked,
Rusty.

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