Rio Nexpa Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s look at what’s on the cards for the next couple of weeks.

The pattern is a slow burner. The first few days are pretty ordinary – small waves, tricky winds, and the odd storm risk. But hang in there, because the second half of the first week and into the second week is where things start to get properly interesting. The swell builds, the winds clean up, and we get some real windows of opportunity. There’s a bit of a gap at the start with no real recommendations, but once it kicks off, it stays on.

The water here is sitting at 88°, which is a touch warmer than normal for the time of year – that’s a couple of degrees above average, so expect a proper warm bath.

Rio Nexpa (point/river) is the only game in town, and it’s a consistent one. The first real standout comes on the morning of Thursday, 6th August. The swell is 2 ft from the SSW with a 13-second period, and the wind is glassy from the north, giving us clean, smooth conditions. The combined energy is moderate at 360, and it’s the first time it really says “good surf.” The water is still that warm 88°.

Then, the morning of Friday, 7th August is a proper highlight. The swell jumps to 3 ft from the SSW with a very long period of 18 seconds, and we get offshore winds from the NE at 6 mph. The energy is strong at 811, and the wave comment says “very good surf conditions.” That long-period groundswell will really wrap into the point, giving it shape and power. The only thing to watch – with a long period like that, the sets will be a bit spread out, which makes paddling out easier, but at a point break like this, it’s pure magic.

The morning of Saturday, 8th August is another cracker. Similar 4 ft SSW swell, 16-second period, glassy north wind at 3 mph. Energy is still strong at 737. Clean, glassy, and running – this is the kind of morning you wake up early for.

The Monday morning, 11th August session is also a standout. 3 ft from the SW, 18-second period, glassy NE wind at 3 mph. Energy is 747, and the comment is “very good surf conditions.” That’s a long-period groundswell again, perfect for the point.

The biggest and best of the whole run is the morning of Friday, 14th August. The swell hits 5 ft from the SW with a 18-second period, and the wind is glassy from the NE at 3 mph. The combined energy is a massive 1285 – that’s strong to very strong wave energy. The comment says “very good surf conditions,” and with that size and period, it’s going to be pumping. At 5 ft, it’s still manageable for a confident intermediate, but the power is real. The morning of Saturday, 15th August is almost as good – 4 ft from the SW, 16-second period, glassy NE wind, energy at 987. Another top-tier morning.

The morning of Sunday, 16th August rounds it out nicely with 3 ft from the SSW, 15-second period, and offshore NNE wind at 3 mph. Clean, lined-up, and good energy at 544.

Crowds at Rio Nexpa can be an issue – it’s marked as “often” crowded, so especially on the standout mornings, expect a few other locals and travellers in the water. The break is very consistent, so you won’t be waiting long for waves, but you’ll be sharing them.

The afternoon winds are a real problem across the whole forecast. They swing onshore or cross-onshore from the WSW or SW, and when they’re up around 9 mph, it chops things up. The morning sessions are the only game in town for clean surf.

Rusty.

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