Surf Forecasts:
Rio Nexpa surf forecast from 12 Sep 2026:
- Best quality surf: Monday 14 Sep, 6PM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 18s period, SW swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Tuesday 15 Sep, 12AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.3m), 19s period, SSW swell with 1,153 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 12 Sep, 12AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.0m), 14s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Rio Nexpa this week:
The surf forecast for Rio Nexpa over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Sep 12) at 12AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.0m and 14s period with a secondary swell of 0.5m and 7s. Another secondary swell of 0.5m and 4s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Rio Nexpa in the next 16 days are 1.3m 19s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Sep 15) at 12AM. Winds are predicted to be offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.6m 3s period and expected on Monday (Sep 14) at 9AM.
| Wave Type | Time (CST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 12AM (Sat 12th Sep) | 3.5ft (1.0m) 14s |
| Best Surf | 6PM (Mon 14th Sep) | 3ft (0.9m) 18s |
| Most Powerful | 12AM (Tue 15th Sep) | 4.5ft (1.3m) 19s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Rio Nexpa over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Hey, it’s Rusty again, giving you the same look in the old measurements. Rio Nexpa is the spot, and the water’s a touch warmer than average at 88°, so you’ll notice that when you drop in.
Friday the 11th starts us off with a clean 4ft SW groundswell with a 15-second period, combined energy of 605, and a light cross-off breeze. The period is long, so those waves will have plenty of punch and shape. Afternoons get a messy cross-on, so mornings are the call.
Saturday morning the 12th is glassy with 3ft of SW swell – dead flat wind, just you and the ocean. Sunday the 13th is smaller but still clean in the a.m.
Now focus on Tuesday the 15th morning: 4ft SW swell, 17-second period, offshore NNE wind at 6 mph. Combined energy is 875. That’s beautiful. But the real gem is Wednesday the 16th morning. Glassy conditions, 5ft of SSW swell with a 16-second period, combined energy of 1101. That’s as good as it gets – big, clean, and for experts only at that size.
Thursday the 17th morning stays clean with offshore wind and 4ft SSW swell. Friday the 18th morning brings a 20-second period groundswell at 3ft – long, drawn-out lines perfect for the point.
The second week stays strong. Saturday the 21st morning is glassy again with a solid 4ft SW swell and energy at 1101. Tuesday the 22nd morning has offshore winds and 4ft SW swell. Mornings are where it’s at right through to Saturday the 26th, which is smaller at 2ft but glassy – ideal for cruising.
Crowds are “often” here, but with a point break this good, there’s plenty of waves to go around. Get the early session.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 5mm), mostly falling on Fri afternoon. Warm (max 31°C on Sun morning, min 26°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 9mm), mostly falling on Mon night. Warm (max 31°C on Mon morning, min 26°C on Mon night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Friday 11 | Saturday 12 | Sunday 13 | Monday 14 | Tuesday 15 | Wednesday 16 | Thursday 17 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 19 | SW 19 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SSW 19 | SW 17 | SSW 17 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SW 20 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 551 | 466 | 407 | 341 | 268 | 212 | 175 | 184 | 287 | 366 | 316 | 1153 | 663 | 780 | 788 | 957 | 537 | 561 | 553 | 530 | 396 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-on | cross-off | glassy | cross | glassy | cross-off | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | off | off | cross-on | cross-off | glassy | cross-on | cross-off | off | cross-on | cross-off |
High Tide | 9:51AM0.66m | 9:51PM0.65m | 9:39AM0.64m | 10:11PM0.57m | 9:13AM0.65m | 10:11PM0.49m | 8:38AM0.67m | 9:16PM0.42m | 8:17AM0.72m | 8:09PM0.41m | 8:15AM0.75m | 7:44PM0.42m | 8:24AM0.77m | 7:37PM0.45m | |||||||
Low Tide | 3:51PM0.29m | 3:48AM0.33m | 4:04PM0.28m | 3:21AM0.41m | 4:09PM0.29m | 2:10AM0.43m | 4:01PM0.30m | 1:04AM0.38m | 3:47PM0.32m | 00:49AM0.30m | 3:33PM0.33m | 00:58AM0.24m | 3:20PM0.34m | 1:13AM0.18m | |||||||
 |  |  | | | |  | |  | | | | | | | | |  | | | | |
 | 6:37 | — | — | 6:37 | — | — | 6:37 | — | — | 6:37 | — | — | 6:37 | — | — | 6:39 | — | — | 6:39 | — | — |
 | — | 6:57 | — | — | 6:55 | — | — | 6:54 | — | — | 6:53 | — | — | 6:52 | — | — | 6:52 | — | — | 6:51 | — |
mm | — | 1 | 1 | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | 6 | — | 1 | — | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1 |
Temp °C | 30 | 30 | 28 | 30 | 29 | 28 | 31 | 30 | 28 | 31 | 30 | 28 | 31 | 30 | 28 | 30 | 30 | 28 | 31 | 31 | 28 |
Feels °C | 34 | 33 | 32 | 34 | 34 | 33 | 32 | 32 | 32 | 33 | 33 | 34 | 34 | 33 | 32 | 33 | 33 | 32 | 35 | 35 | 33 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 19 | SW 18 | SSE 9 | SSW 19 | SW 17 | SSW 17 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 |
| kJ | 551 | 466 | 407 | 341 | 268 | 212 | 175 | 136 | 287 | 366 | 82 | 1153 | 663 | 780 | 788 | 957 | 537 | 561 | 553 | 530 | 304 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSE 7 | S 7 | S 7 | W 5 | W 5 | W 6 | SSE 9 | SSE 9 | SW 12 | SSE 9 | SW 18 | SSE 9 | SSW 13 | SW 13 | SSW 12 | SSE 8 | SSE 9 | S 9 | SSE 9 | S 9 | SW 20 |
| kJ | 26 | 36 | 28 | 12 | 14 | 21 | 58 | 62 | 124 | 103 | 316 | 61 | 151 | 162 | 96 | 57 | 77 | 97 | 80 | 74 | 396 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 8 | SSW 19 | W 12 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SSE 10 | W 6 | SW 19 | SSE 8 | SW 12 | SSW 15 | W 12 | SSE 9 | SSE 9 | SSE 9 | SW 24 | SW 11 | SW 22 | SW 21 | SW 21 | SSE 9 |
| kJ | 28 | 37 | 11 | 80 | 79 | 38 | 10 | 184 | 38 | 71 | 146 | 11 | 61 | 61 | 59 | 87 | 58 | 229 | 224 | 365 | 42 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | SSW 8 | W 4 | W 5 | W 5 | — | ESE 8 | — | — | E 3 | — | — | — | WSW 7 | WNW 6 | — | W 6 | W 4 | — | S 9 | WNW 4 |
| kJ | — | 50 | 7 | 23 | 27 | — | 6 | — | — | 8 | — | — | — | 9 | 13 | — | 10 | 11 | — | 74 | 18 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 406 | 0 | 0 | 413 | 0 | 0 | 150 | 0 | 0 | 411 | 0 | 0 | 83 | 0 | 0 | 413 | 0 | 0 | 407 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Michoacan | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Mexico | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Rio Nexpa Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Rio Nexpa provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Rio Nexpa can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Rio Nexpa surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Rio Nexpa) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Rio Nexpa may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Rio Nexpa is 60 km (37 miles) from La Orilla. If you plan a holiday in Michoacan, look for hotels and other accommodation in La Orilla. La Orilla has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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