Tenexpa Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright surfers, Rusty here with a look at the next couple of weeks for Tenexpa.

It’s a mixed bag, but don’t let the first few days fool you. We’ve got some absolute gems hiding in the second half, and one late-month hammer that might be too much of a good thing. The water temp is sitting pretty normal for this time of year, so no need to dig out the 5/4 just yet.

We start off Monday morning the 14th with small knee-to-waist high swell around 3ft from the SW. The period is a very long 18 seconds, so there’s some deep ocean energy in the water, but it’s weak at the break with a little cross-shore breeze. Not the best. But Monday afternoon turns *glassy*. The wind drops to just 6 mph and it’s dead flat calm. That 3ft SW swell will be silky smooth but still pretty small. This is the kind of session where a log will be your best mate.

Tuesday the 15th morning sees a bump up to 3ft from the SSW with a light NNW breeze keeping it clean. The energy jumps up too (831). That’s a moderate amount of grunt for a waist-high wave. Tuesday afternoon is a write-off with a choppy cross-onshore, but Wednesday the 16th and Thursday the 17th mornings are back to those beautiful glassy conditions. Swell holds at 4-4ft from the SSW, with plenty of power (945 and 936 energy). These are the kind of clean, chest-to-shoulder high waves that make you want to call in sick.

Friday the 18th morning is another glassy winner, though the swell drops back to 3ft. The period is a very long 20 seconds, meaning it’s a pure groundswell. It’ll be clean and peel-y, but you’ll be scratching for the little ones. Saturday the 19th morning offers a clean 3ft from the SW with a proper offshore breeze. It won’t be big, but it’ll be fun.

Now, Sunday the 20th and Monday the 21st are where it gets good. Sunday morning is a standout. We’re looking at an excellent forecast: glassy conditions, a 4ft SW swell, an 18-second period, and a combined energy of 1079. That is *chef’s kiss* for a quality, powerful, shoulder-high wave at a spot that is consistent. It’s clean as a whistle. Expect a few people out there with crowds being described as 'sometimes', but those dawn-patrol dawnies will be rewarded.

Monday the 21st morning is even better on the energy front with 1156, with a 4ft SW swell and glassy conditions again. If you can only go out once in this whole outlook, that’s the session. The following Tuesday and Wednesday mornings (22nd and 23rd) hold clean with a slight cross-offshore breeze and swell holding around 4-4ft.

As we slide into the second week (24th-26th), things settle into a nice routine of small but clean. The morning glass-offs on the 25th and 26th are just perfect for a longboard or a fish. The swell hangs around 4ft with a moderate period. It’s not pumping, but it’ll be fun and uncrowded.

Then we hit the last days. Sunday the 27th morning is the big wild card. The swell jumps to 6ft, but it’s from the SE with a moderate 14-second period and a whopping 1798 energy. It’s predicted to be excellent for experienced surfers, and with a light offshore breeze, it could be firing. But be warned: at 6ft this is getting on the bigger side for intermediate paddlers.

Monday the 28th? That’s where we say “no thanks.” The forecast is calling for a massive 13ft swell from the SSE. The energy reading is a staggering 6975, which is way too much for this break. The forecast itself says it’s too big. Unless you’re a pro on a gun and have a death wish, stay on the beach that day. It’ll probably be more of a show for the kite surfers.

Tuesday the 29th is the same story: a 15ft SSW swell with 9020 energy. Simply too huge for Tenexpa.

So, to boil it down: the absolute best windows for a clean, fun, and powerful wave are Sunday morning the 20th and Monday morning the 21st. For the smaller, glassy sessions, any morning from the 16th to the 26th will treat you right. Stay safe and catch a few for me.

Rusty.

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