Tenexpa Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. Let’s take a look at what’s on the cards over the next couple of weeks. It’s a slow start, but there’s a proper pulse building further out, so keep the faith.

We get things rolling on Sunday the 16th with some leftover southwest groundswell. Waves are around 4ft with a long 15-second period. The morning session is clean with a light cross-offshore breeze, and the water is a touch warmer than usual for this time of year, about 88°. The ocean’s got a bit of push to it, with combined energy in the moderate range. The afternoon’s a write-off with the onshore wind, so get in early.

Monday the 17th is much the same story—clean in the morning, but the swell drops a notch. Tuesday the 18th is the pick of the early week. The morning is glassy, with waves holding at 4ft and that long 14-second period pushing through. The energy is still moderate, but it’s clean and workable. That’s your window. Afternoons are all choppy and junk.

The swell fades through the middle of the week. Wednesday and Thursday the 19th and 20th see wave heights drop to around 3ft and then 3ft. The mornings stay clean, but the size just isn’t there.

Friday the 21st and into the weekend we hit a proper lull. Waves are down in the 2ft range. There are some glassy mornings, but honestly, it’s log territory unless you’re just keen for a paddle. The energy is weak.

Now, for the good stuff. We’ve got a long-period pulse arriving around Sunday the 23rd. Wave heights are small, but the period jumps to 18 seconds—that’s proper groundswell. The energy bumps back up. It’s a sign of things to come, but the size is still a bit small to get excited about.

The standout day is Saturday the 29th of August. We’re looking at 5ft of southwest swell with a 16-second period, and the combined energy is strong. It’s glassy, dead calm, and pushing well overhead. That’s the one. It’s the best session of the whole window. The Sunday after is still okay, but the wind gets a bit messy.

So, the plan: don’t stress about the small stuff this week. The 18th is fine for a quickie. But the 29th is the one you want to be free for. It’s a long-range call, so treat it as promising rather than locked in, but the signs are looking very good. Mornings are your friend; the afternoons are a no-go.

Rusty.

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