
Surf Forecasts:
Playa Novillero surf forecast from 26 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Monday 27 Jul, 3AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.3m), 18s period, WSW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Tuesday 28 Jul, 6AM (local time) - 5.5ft (1.7m), 17s period, WSW swell with 1,626 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 26 Jul, 6AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.1m), 19s period with WSW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Playa Novillero this week:
The surf forecast for Playa Novillero over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jul 26) at 6AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.1m and 19s period with a secondary swell of 0.3m and 15s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Playa Novillero in the next 16 days are 1.7m 17s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jul 28) at 6AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives.
| Wave Type | Time (CST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 6AM (Sun 26th Jul) | 3.5ft (1.1m) 19s |
| Best Surf | 3AM (Mon 27th Jul) | 4.5ft (1.3m) 18s |
| Most Powerful | 6AM (Tue 28th Jul) | 5.5ft (1.7m) 17s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Playa Novillero over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. We’ve got a look at the upcoming stretch for Playa Novillero. It starts off with some real promise before fading into a long lull, so let’s get straight into it.
We kick things off on Sunday, July 26th with a lovely glassy morning. There’s a 3ft swell rolling in from the WSW with a very long 19-second period – that's proper groundswell energy. The combined energy is sitting at a solid 780 (moderate wave energy). That long period stuff will wrap nicely into a point or reef setup, but at a beach, it can make things a bit too straight. Still, with glassy conditions and scores suggesting it’s top quality, this morning is a standout. The water temp is about average for this time of year, nothing weird going on. Come afternoon, the wind swings onshore from the WSW and the conditions go to custard – so get out early.
Monday the 27th has another excellent morning for experienced surfers. Clean surf with a 4ft WSW swell, 18-second period, and cross-off winds from the SSE giving you nice lines. Combined energy jumps up to 1076 (moderate wave energy). This is the best on offer for the first week. If you’re intermediate or above, this is your window. Afternoons get ruined by onshore winds again.
Tuesday the 28th morning is clean again with a 5ft WSW swell, 17-second period, cross-off SE winds, and energy at 1365 (moderate wave energy). Excellent conditions for experienced surfers. Another ripper morning. Wednesday and Thursday mornings keep the good trend going – clean, chest-high waves around 4-5ft from the WSW with decent energy and cross-off winds. Consistency is fairly good through this whole first run.
Now, into Friday the 31st, the swell starts to drop. Friday morning is still clean with 3ft and cross-off wind, but the energy is down to 414 (moderate wave energy). It’s surfable, just not special.
After that, it gets quiet. Really quiet. From Saturday August 1st all the way through to Monday August 10th, we’re looking at tiny leftovers – mostly under 2ft, with combined energy dropping down into the double digits (low wave energy). There are a few glassy or clean mornings in there, like August 3rd morning with a 2ft swell and glass, and August 9th morning with 2ft and glass, but it’s just too small to get excited about. That’s a solid 10-day gap of poor-to-ordinary conditions. No standouts in that stretch.
So overall: the first few days (Sunday through Thursday) have some cracking clean mornings with solid groundswell. The real standout is Sunday the 26th morning – glassy, long-period swell, and clean. After Thursday, pack the longboard or take a break because it goes flat for a long stretch.
Stay stoked,
Rusty
Short Range ForecastHeavy rain (total 35mm), heaviest during Sun night. Warm (max 30°C on Sat night, min 26°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryHeavy rain (total 22mm), heaviest during Wed night. Warm (max 31°C on Fri afternoon, min 27°C on Wed morning). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||
Sunday 26 | Monday 27 | Tuesday 28 | Wednesday 29 | Thursday 30 | Friday 31 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 19 | WSW 19 | WSW 18 | WSW 18 | WSW 18 | SW 16 | SW 17 | WSW 17 | WSW 17 | WSW 16 | WSW 16 | WSW 16 | WSW 15 | WSW 14 | WSW 14 | WSW 14 | SW 14 | WSW 13 | SW 13 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||
1159 | 750 | 835 | 1033 | 1056 | 1097 | 1450 | 1133 | 975 | 1170 | 957 | 933 | 693 | 638 | 678 | 561 | 205 | 269 | 175 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | glassy | glassy | on | cross-on | cross-off | on | glassy | cross-off | on | cross-on | cross-off | on | cross | cross-off | on | glassy | cross-off | on | glassy |
High Tide | 9:25AM1.32m | 7:41PM1.64m | 9:42AM1.36m | 8:17PM1.71m | 10:02AM1.40m | 8:50PM1.77m | 10:22AM1.43m | 9:21PM1.79m | 10:43AM1.47m | 9:52PM1.77m | 11:04AM1.50m | 10:23PM1.71m | |||||||
Low Tide | 2:30AM0.27m | 2:00PM1.02m | 2:58AM0.19m | 2:28PM0.94m | 3:24AM0.14m | 2:56PM0.88m | 3:49AM0.13m | 3:24PM0.81m | 4:13AM0.14m | 3:54PM0.76m | 4:36AM0.19m | 4:26PM0.71m | |||||||
— | 6:31 | — | — | 6:31 | — | — | 6:31 | — | — | 6:33 | — | — | 6:33 | — | — | 6:33 | — | — | |
— | — | 7:45 | — | — | 7:45 | — | — | 7:45 | — | — | 7:45 | — | — | 7:44 | — | — | 7:44 | — | |
mm | 2 | 1 | 1 | 17 | — | — | 14 | — | — | 11 | — | — | 11 | — | — | — | — | — | 5 |
Temp °C | 30 | 30 | 30 | 30 | 29 | 30 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 29 | 29 | 30 | 30 | 30 | 30 | 30 | 30 | 31 | 29 |
Feels °C | 34 | 34 | 32 | 33 | 32 | 33 | 32 | 33 | 32 | 31 | 32 | 33 | 33 | 34 | 32 | 34 | 33 | 34 | 33 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 19 | WSW 19 | WSW 18 | WSW 18 | WSW 18 | SW 16 | SW 17 | WSW 17 | WSW 17 | WSW 16 | WSW 16 | WSW 16 | WSW 15 | WSW 14 | WSW 14 | WSW 14 | WSW 12 | WSW 13 | WSW 11 |
1159 | 750 | 835 | 1033 | 1056 | 1097 | 1450 | 1133 | 975 | 1170 | 957 | 933 | 693 | 638 | 678 | 561 | 205 | 269 | 121 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 15 | WSW 7 | SW 11 | WSW 7 | SW 7 | W 7 | W 7 | SW 12 | WSW 12 | SW 11 | W 5 | WSW 11 | W 5 | W 5 | WSW 11 | WSW 11 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 |
84 | 11 | 19 | 9 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 232 | 239 | 159 | 10 | 23 | 8 | 11 | 156 | 164 | 200 | 140 | 175 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 8 | SW 11 | — | — | SW 7 | — | — | — | — | — | W 5 | — | — | — | — | — | W 22 | W 21 | W 21 |
12 | 19 | — | — | 8 | — | — | — | — | — | 11 | — | — | — | — | — | 9 | 9 | 9 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | WSW 7 | — | — | WSW 7 | — | — | — | W 4 | — | W 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
— | — | 10 | — | — | 10 | — | — | — | 6 | — | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 0 | 183 | 19 | 0 | 183 | 0 | 0 | 182 | 19 | 0 | 182 | 106 | 0 | 182 | 0 | 0 | 212 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Nayarit | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Mexico | |||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Playa Novillero Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Playa Novillero provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Playa Novillero can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Playa Novillero surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Playa Novillero) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Playa Novillero may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Nayarit? If you are looking for accommodation near Playa Novillero, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Nayarit, consider staying in Acaponeta which is 37 km (23 miles) away. Other places in and around Nayarit where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Escuinapa de Hidalgo which is 51 km (32 miles) away and Santiago Ixcuintla, 81 km (50 miles) away.










