
Surf Forecasts:
Playa Novillero surf forecast from 5 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Monday 6 Jul, 12AM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 16s period, SW swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Tuesday 7 Jul, 3PM (local time) - 4ft (1.2m), 18s period, WSW swell with 835 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 5 Jul, 6AM (local time) - 2ft (0.6m), 18s period with WSW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Playa Novillero this week:
The surf forecast for Playa Novillero over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jul 05) at 6AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.6m and 18s period with a secondary swell of 0.6m and 14s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Playa Novillero in the next 16 days are 1.2m 18s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jul 07) at 3PM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives.
| Wave Type | Time (CST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 6AM (Sun 5th Jul) | 2ft (0.6m) 18s |
| Best Surf | 12AM (Mon 6th Jul) | 3ft (0.9m) 16s |
| Most Powerful | 3PM (Tue 7th Jul) | 4ft (1.2m) 18s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Playa Novillero over the next 16 days.
Updates in hr min s Forecast update imminent
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s on the cards for Playa Novillero over the next couple of weeks. It’s a bit of a slow-burner, but there are a few windows where it’ll really turn it on.
The first week kicks off with a classic long-period groundswell from the WSW, and the energy is building nicely. Sunday the 5th starts with a glassy 2ft wave from the WSW with a very long 18-second period – the combined energy is a solid 430 (moderate energy). That long period means it’ll have plenty of push, but at a beach setup, it might run a bit straight. For the first call of the run, it’s a clean start. Monday the 6th morning is even better: glassy conditions again with 3ft from the WSW and 16-second period, and the combined energy jumps to 527 (moderate energy). Tuesday the 7th is the standout of the early week – a clean 3ft from the WSW, 18-second period, and the energy hits 697 (moderate energy). The wind is light and cross-off, so it’ll be clean.
The water temp here is about average for the time of year. No major anomaly to worry about.
Wednesday the 8th morning stays clean with 4ft from the SW and 17-second period, combined energy at 663 (moderate energy). The afternoons this whole week get a bit onshore and messy – they’re not worth your time. Thursday the 9th and Friday the 10th mornings get a bit choppy with cross-shore winds and some risk of thunderstorms, so the quality drops.
Saturday the 11th morning looks promising again – glassy, 3ft from the WSW with 15-second period, energy at 381 (moderate). Sunday the 12th morning is a flat calm with zero wind – glassy 3ft from the SW. This is a good chance for a sneaky session without crowds.
The second week sees the energy drop off a bit. Monday the 14th morning has a tiny 1ft from the SW but with a very long 19-second period – it’ll be weak (181 energy) but clean. Wednesday the 16th morning is a standout for that week – glassy 2ft from the WSW, 16-second period, and a clean 209 energy.
Looking further out, Sunday the 20th morning brings a real spike: 4ft from the WSW, 12-second period, combined energy 526 (moderate) and glassy conditions. That’s the one to circle on the calendar. It’s still a bit far off, so treat it as a promising call rather than a locked-in certainty.
For the true best on offer, I’m calling Tuesday the 7th morning and Monday the 20th morning as the standouts. Both are glassy with that long-period WSW groundswell. The 7th has the extra refinement of the cross-off wind.
If you’re a beginner, most of these waves are under 5ft so you’re fine. The bigger window on the 20th with 4ft is still manageable. For the experts, there’s no real heavy stuff here – it’s all mellow.
Crowds? Playa Novillero can get busy sometimes, but with these mixed conditions, it shouldn’t be too hectic.
Alright, that’s the story. Stay stoked.
Rusty
Short Range ForecastSome drizzle, heaviest during Mon night. Warm (max 30°C on Sun morning, min 27°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryHeavy rain (total 23mm), heaviest during Thu morning. Warm (max 30°C on Wed afternoon, min 26°C on Tue night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Sunday 5 | Monday 6 | Tuesday 7 | Wednesday 8 | Thursday 9 | Friday 10 | Sat 11 | |||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 18 | WSW 18 | SW 17 | SW 16 | WSW 16 | SW 20 | WSW 19 | WSW 18 | WSW 18 | SW 17 | SW 17 | SW 16 | WSW 16 | WSW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | WSW 15 | SW 14 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
316 | 209 | 405 | 376 | 322 | 388 | 470 | 553 | 835 | 695 | 663 | 610 | 447 | 441 | 353 | 322 | 314 | 314 | 331 | 272 | 305 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | on | glassy | on | glassy | glassy | on | off | cross-off | on | off | cross-off | on | glassy | cross | cross-on | glassy | cross | on | cross-off | glassy | cross |
High Tide | 11:35PM1.47m | 1:16PM1.39m | 00:27AM1.32m | 1:59PM1.42m | 1:50AM1.16m | 2:52PM1.47m | 4:11AM1.07m | 3:56PM1.52m | 6:32AM1.12m | 5:02PM1.60m | 7:51AM1.24m | 6:04PM1.70m | 8:41AM1.34m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 6:25AM0.48m | 6:51PM0.89m | 6:58AM0.62m | 8:15PM0.86m | 7:39AM0.76m | 10:10PM0.75m | 8:38AM0.91m | 11:46PM0.56m | 10:21AM1.02m | 00:50AM0.34m | 12:00PM1.05m | 1:42AM0.15m | 1:08PM1.02m | ||||||||
— | 6:22 | — | — | 6:22 | — | — | 6:24 | — | — | 6:24 | — | — | 6:24 | — | — | 6:24 | — | — | 6:24 | — | |
— | — | 7:51 | — | — | 7:51 | — | — | 7:51 | — | — | 7:51 | — | — | 7:50 | — | — | 7:50 | — | — | 7:50 | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | 3 | — | — | 6 | 7 | — | 5 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 5 | — |
Temp °C | 29 | 30 | 30 | 29 | 30 | 30 | 29 | 29 | 30 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 29 | 27 | 27 | 27 | 29 | 29 | 25 | 27 | 28 |
Feels °C | 33 | 33 | 32 | 33 | 33 | 31 | 34 | 31 | 31 | 33 | 31 | 31 | 32 | 29 | 30 | 31 | 31 | 29 | 30 | 31 | 31 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 18 | SW 14 | SW 17 | SW 16 | WSW 16 | WSW 16 | WSW 19 | WSW 18 | WSW 18 | SW 17 | SW 17 | SW 16 | WSW 16 | WSW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | WSW 15 | SW 14 |
316 | 167 | 405 | 376 | 322 | 314 | 470 | 553 | 835 | 695 | 663 | 610 | 447 | 441 | 353 | 322 | 314 | 314 | 331 | 272 | 305 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 13 | WSW 18 | WSW 23 | WSW 21 | SW 20 | SW 20 | WSW 14 | WSW 14 | — | W 6 | — | — | — | W 4 | — | — | — | — | — | SW 18 | — |
85 | 209 | 54 | 180 | 200 | 388 | 140 | 140 | — | 3 | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | 109 | — | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 3 | WSW 24 | WSW 8 | WSW 8 | WSW 7 | — | WSW 7 | W 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
2 | 54 | 6 | 11 | 5 | — | 9 | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | WSW 2 | — | — | WSW 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | W 4 | — | — | — | — | — | WNW 2 |
— | — | 1 | — | — | 9 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 19 | 0 | 182 | 0 | 0 | 182 | 0 | 0 | 183 | 0 | 0 | 167 | 0 | 184 | 106 | 0 | 106 | 212 | 0 | 0 | 182 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Nayarit | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Mexico | |||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Playa Novillero Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Playa Novillero provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Playa Novillero can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Playa Novillero surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Playa Novillero) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Playa Novillero may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Nayarit? If you are looking for accommodation near Playa Novillero, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Nayarit, consider staying in Acaponeta which is 37 km (23 miles) away. Other places in and around Nayarit where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Escuinapa de Hidalgo which is 51 km (32 miles) away and Santiago Ixcuintla, 81 km (50 miles) away.











