
Surf Forecasts:
Playa Novillero surf forecast from 4 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Thursday 6 Aug, 9PM (local time) - 1.5ft (0.5m), 18s period, SW swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Saturday 8 Aug, 12PM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.8m), 16s period, WSW swell with 322 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 4 Aug, 9AM (local time) - 1.5ft (0.5m), 12s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Playa Novillero this week:
The surf forecast for Playa Novillero over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Aug 04) at 9AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.5m and 12s period with a secondary swell of 0.3m and 5s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Playa Novillero in the next 16 days are 0.8m 16s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Aug 08) at 12PM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.4m 3s period and expected on Sunday (Aug 09) at 6AM.
| Wave Type | Time (CST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 9AM (Tue 4th Aug) | 1.5ft (0.5m) 12s |
| Best Surf | 9PM (Thu 6th Aug) | 1.5ft (0.5m) 18s |
| Most Powerful | 12PM (Sat 8th Aug) | 2.5ft (0.8m) 16s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Playa Novillero over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s cookin’ for the next couple of weeks.
No point sugar-coatin’ it – the next few days are pretty flat. Tuesday the 4th and Wednesday the 5th are barely a whisper. We’re talkin’ tiny 1.0ft to 2ft swells from the SW with enough afternoon onshore wind to make it a complete write-off. The best you’ll find is a glassy 2ft wave on Tuesday and Thursday mornings at *Playa Novillero*, but it’s weak energy (131) and just ordinary. Not worth wetting the wetsuit for.
The real turning point comes Friday morning, August 7th. That’s when we finally see some life. The swell jumps to 2ft, but the period stretches to 18 seconds – that’s proper groundswell. The energy climbs to 264 (moderate). The wind is glassy from the north, and the forecast says expect good surf conditions. This is the first real standout. The SW direction is exactly what this spot loves, and those long-period lines will have some shape. It’s a small wave, but clean and promising.
That Friday afternoon gets blown out by an onshore WSW wind, but the good news keeps coming. Saturday morning, August 8th, delivers 2ft of SW swell, still with a solid 16-second period, and a clean ESE cross-off breeze. The energy is up to 313. That’s a lovely morning session. Sunday the 9th is another glassy morning, 2ft, 14 seconds, and the energy is 245. Monday the 10th and Tuesday the 11th repeat the pattern: 2ft–2ft, glassy offshore winds, clean conditions. The water temperature is about average for this time of year, nothing unusual.
The next big highlight is Friday, August 14th. The morning brings 2ft of WSW swell, but the period is back to 18 seconds, and the energy jumps to 423 (moderate to strong). The wind is a light cross-off from the SE, and the wave comment says expect good surf conditions. This is a beauty. The swell is a fraction bigger, the energy is pumping, and it’s clean.
Then Saturday, August 15th, is the best of the entire run. The morning is dead calm – zero wind, glassy. The swell is 3ft from the WSW with a 16-second period, and the energy is 448 (strong). The forecast says expect good surf conditions. That’s the pick of the period. It’s still a friendly size for intermediates, but that long-period groundswell will hold up nicely on the points. The crowds here are marked as “sometimes,” so you might have some company, but it’s not a zoo.
The second week starts to fade. Sunday the 16th is a bit mixed, with a cross-shore wind and marginal conditions. The 17th and 18th drop back to 2ft–2ft, with the 18th offering a clean cross-off morning but small surf. The last call is Wednesday, August 19th, with a glassy 2ft, 15-second swell from the WSW, and energy of 254. Another clean morning, but small.
Overall, the standout windows are August 7th–12th for the consistent glassy mornings, and the absolute best is the morning of August 15th. If you can only pick one, aim for that Saturday.
Rusty
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 30°C on Tue morning, min 26°C on Mon night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryModerate rain (total 15mm), heaviest on Fri night. Warm (max 30°C on Fri morning, min 24°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||
Tuesday 4 | Wednesday 5 | Thursday 6 | Friday 7 | Saturday 8 | Sunday 9 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 13 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 12 | WSW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 18 | WSW 19 | SW 18 | SW 18 | WSW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||
65 | 75 | 45 | 42 | 42 | 81 | 51 | 88 | 87 | 233 | 154 | 312 | 175 | 261 | 255 | 217 | 214 | 208 | 142 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | glassy | glassy | on | glassy | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | glassy | on | off | glassy | on | glassy | cross-off | on | glassy | glassy | on | glassy |
High Tide | 00:17AM1.30m | 12:46PM1.57m | 1:23AM1.11m | 1:29PM1.54m | 4:14AM0.98m | 2:39PM1.51m | 4:25PM1.52m | 8:40AM1.26m | 5:58PM1.61m | 8:55AM1.37m | 7:04PM1.73m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 6:07AM0.66m | 7:33PM0.68m | 6:26AM0.81m | 9:18PM0.67m | 6:18AM0.97m | 11:39PM0.54m | 00:55AM0.34m | 12:14PM1.16m | 1:45AM0.16m | 1:24PM1.05m | 2:27AM0.03m | ||||||||
— | 6:35 | — | — | 6:35 | — | — | 6:35 | — | — | 6:35 | — | — | 6:37 | — | — | 6:37 | — | — | |
— | — | 7:40 | — | — | 7:40 | — | — | 7:39 | — | — | 7:39 | — | — | 7:38 | — | — | 7:37 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | 10 | — | — | 3 | — | — | 2 |
Temp °C | 29 | 30 | 30 | 29 | 30 | 30 | 29 | 30 | 30 | 27 | 30 | 30 | 29 | 29 | 29 | 26 | 29 | 30 | 29 |
Feels °C | 33 | 34 | 32 | 33 | 34 | 32 | 33 | 34 | 32 | 31 | 33 | 32 | 33 | 33 | 31 | 29 | 32 | 31 | 33 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 13 | SW 12 | SW 12 | WSW 15 | SW 12 | WSW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | WSW 19 | WSW 13 | SW 18 | WSW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 |
65 | 75 | 37 | 42 | 37 | 81 | 51 | 88 | 87 | 233 | 109 | 312 | 175 | 261 | 255 | 217 | 214 | 208 | 142 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 7 | W 5 | WSW 15 | SW 12 | WSW 15 | SW 11 | W 3 | W 4 | SW 18 | WSW 13 | SW 18 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 11 | SW 11 | WSW 21 | WSW 21 |
18 | 5 | 45 | 37 | 42 | 18 | 2 | 1 | 83 | 67 | 154 | 75 | 72 | 50 | 36 | 18 | 31 | 45 | 45 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 16 | WSW 16 | W 7 | W 5 | W 4 | W 21 | SW 11 | WSW 20 | — | W 3 | W 4 | — | W 4 | W 5 | W 23 | W 4 | — | W 18 | — |
51 | 51 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 20 | 38 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1 | 2 | 11 | 2 | — | 6 | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | W 5 | — | — | WNW 2 | — | — | W 2 | — | — | W 2 | — | — | W 4 | — | ESE 3 | W 4 | NW 3 |
— | — | 4 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 4 | — | 2 | 2 | 3 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 0 | 182 | 0 | 106 | 399 | 19 | 0 | 424 | 0 | 0 | 183 | 0 | 0 | 113 | 0 | 0 | 182 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Nayarit | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Mexico | |||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Playa Novillero Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Playa Novillero provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Playa Novillero can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Playa Novillero surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Playa Novillero) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Playa Novillero may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Nayarit? If you are looking for accommodation near Playa Novillero, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Nayarit, consider staying in Acaponeta which is 37 km (23 miles) away. Other places in and around Nayarit where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Escuinapa de Hidalgo which is 51 km (32 miles) away and Santiago Ixcuintla, 81 km (50 miles) away.











