Surf Forecasts:
Playa Novillero surf forecast from 25 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Saturday 29 Aug, 3AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.1m), 16s period, SW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Saturday 29 Aug, 12AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.1m), 17s period, SW swell with 679 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 25 Aug, 9PM (local time) - 1.5ft (0.5m), 16s period with WSW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Playa Novillero this week:
The surf forecast for Playa Novillero over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Aug 25) at 9PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.5m and 16s period with a secondary swell of 0.7m and 11s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Playa Novillero in the next 16 days are 1.1m 17s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Aug 29) at 12AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives.
| Wave Type | Time (CST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 9PM (Tue 25th Aug) | 1.5ft (0.5m) 16s |
| Best Surf | 3AM (Sat 29th Aug) | 3.5ft (1.1m) 16s |
| Most Powerful | 12AM (Sat 29th Aug) | 3.5ft (1.1m) 17s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Playa Novillero over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s on the menu for Playa Novillero over the next couple of weeks.
The overall picture is a classic summer run: clean, small mornings with a solid SW groundswell, but the afternoons get ruined by a strong onshore W wind. You’ll be surfing the early sessions and that’s where the real magic is. The water is a stinking hot 90°, which is much warmer than normal for this time of year, so you can ditch the wetsuit for sure.
The best window kicks off right away. Tuesday morning the 25th of August, we’ve got a clean 2ft SW swell riding a nice 12-second period, combined wave energy is moderate at 288. The wind is a light 3 mph offshore from the NE, setting up smooth lines. It’s not huge, but it’s clean and fun. By Tuesday afternoon, it’s dead: the wind swings onshore and kills it.
Wednesday morning the 26th of August drops a little to 2ft, but the period stretches to 16 seconds, giving it some real groundswell push. The wind is a light cross-offshore from the N. It’s surfable but ordinary. The energy is moderate at 180.
Thursday morning the 27th of August is a standout. We’re looking at a glassy 2ft WSW swell with a 15-second period. The combined energy climbs to 260 (moderate), and with that glassy wind, the surface will be like a mirror. This is a proper dawn patrol session.
Friday morning the 28th of August is another good one – 2ft of clean, cross-offshore swell, with moderate energy at 260. There’s a risk of thunderstorms, but the wind is light and offshore.
Now, the real highlight of the whole forecast is Saturday morning, the 29th of August. The swell jumps to 3ft from the WSW, 16-second period, and the combined energy is a solid 636 (strong wave energy). The wind is glassy from the ENE. This is the best session on offer – clean, solid, long-period groundswell. It’s still a manageable size for intermediates, but with that long period, it’s going to reel off nicely. Crowds are ‘sometimes’ a thing here, so you might have some company, but it’s worth it.
Sunday morning the 30th of August is still very good: 3ft, glassy, 14-second period, with moderate energy at 302. Another great morning.
The pattern continues through the week. Monday morning the 31st of August is clean at 2ft, and Tuesday the 1st of September is similar. The standout second week is Saturday morning the 5th of September: 4ft of SW swell, 16-second period, strong energy at 592, with a light cross-offshore wind. That’s a ripper, but it’s a week away, so keep an eye on it.
There’s a gap in the afternoons from Monday the 25th of August through to Monday the 7th of September – every single afternoon is blown out by a 9 mph onshore W wind. Don’t bother.
The real wildcard is the morning of the 9th of September. Wednesday morning, 3ft of WSW swell, 18-second period, and a glassy ENE wind. The combined energy is a strong 518. That’s a very long-period groundswell, so it’ll be lined up and powerful, but at a beach break it might be a bit too straight. Still, if it’s glassy, it’s worth a paddle.
Overall, the best is Saturday morning the 29th of August, with Saturday morning the 5th of September as a promising long-range runner-up. The mornings are where it’s at – don’t sleep in.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastModerate rain (total 11mm), heaviest on Tue night. Warm (max 31°C on Wed afternoon, min 26°C on Tue morning). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryHeavy rain (total 24mm), heaviest during Sat night. Warm (max 31°C on Fri afternoon, min 26°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Tuesday 25 | Wednesday 26 | Thursday 27 | Friday 28 | Saturday 29 | Sunday 30 | Monday 31 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 12 | SW 12 | WSW 16 | WSW 16 | WSW 15 | WSW 15 | WSW 15 | WSW 18 | WSW 16 | WSW 16 | WSW 17 | SW 17 | WSW 16 | WSW 16 | WSW 15 | WSW 14 | WSW 14 | WSW 14 | SW 14 | WSW 13 | SW 13 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
114 | 140 | 169 | 144 | 93 | 121 | 121 | 123 | 237 | 173 | 377 | 679 | 532 | 436 | 398 | 268 | 268 | 261 | 186 | 229 | 183 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | off | on | cross | cross-off | cross-on | glassy | glassy | on | glassy | cross-off | on | cross | glassy | on | on | glassy | on | cross-off | cross-off | on | glassy |
High Tide | 9:15AM1.43m | 8:09PM1.70m | 9:28AM1.49m | 8:41PM1.77m | 9:44AM1.56m | 9:12PM1.80m | 10:01AM1.62m | 9:44PM1.78m | 10:20AM1.68m | 10:16PM1.71m | 10:39AM1.71m | 10:49PM1.59m | 11:00AM1.73m | 11:25PM1.44m | |||||||
Low Tide | 2:23PM0.86m | 3:00AM0.17m | 2:47PM0.74m | 3:22AM0.16m | 3:14PM0.63m | 3:43AM0.19m | 3:43PM0.53m | 4:05AM0.25m | 4:13PM0.46m | 4:26AM0.35m | 4:47PM0.42m | 4:47AM0.47m | 5:23PM0.42m | ||||||||
6:43 | — | — | 6:43 | — | — | 6:43 | — | — | 6:43 | — | — | 6:43 | — | — | 6:43 | — | — | 6:45 | — | — | |
— | 7:25 | — | — | 7:24 | — | — | 7:23 | — | — | 7:22 | — | — | 7:22 | — | — | 7:21 | — | — | 7:20 | — | |
mm | — | — | 9 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 2 | — | — | 19 | 1 | — | 1 | — | — | 7 |
Temp °C | 29 | 30 | 29 | 30 | 31 | 30 | 31 | 31 | 30 | 30 | 31 | 30 | 30 | 31 | 30 | 29 | 30 | 29 | 29 | 30 | 29 |
Feels °C | 32 | 33 | 35 | 34 | 33 | 34 | 35 | 34 | 35 | 34 | 34 | 34 | 35 | 35 | 34 | 33 | 32 | 33 | 32 | 33 | 34 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 12 | SW 12 | WSW 10 | WSW 16 | WSW 8 | WSW 15 | WSW 10 | WSW 9 | WSW 16 | WSW 16 | WSW 17 | SW 17 | WSW 16 | WSW 16 | WSW 15 | WSW 14 | WSW 14 | WSW 14 | SW 14 | WSW 13 | SW 13 |
114 | 140 | 88 | 144 | 25 | 121 | 59 | 48 | 237 | 173 | 377 | 679 | 532 | 436 | 398 | 268 | 268 | 261 | 186 | 229 | 183 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 16 | WSW 16 | WSW 16 | SW 8 | WSW 15 | W 7 | WSW 15 | WSW 14 | WSW 8 | WSW 13 | WSW 13 | WSW 7 | SW 11 | SW 11 | SW 10 | SW 9 | SSW 8 | SW 8 | SW 8 | WSW 19 | WNW 3 |
105 | 102 | 169 | 35 | 93 | 28 | 121 | 120 | 38 | 68 | 102 | 15 | 97 | 125 | 65 | 29 | 39 | 17 | 14 | 36 | 1 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 12 | W 22 | SW 11 | W 4 | SW 11 | WSW 19 | SW 18 | WSW 18 | WSW 13 | WSW 8 | WSW 7 | — | W 6 | — | W 5 | W 5 | W 5 | — | WSW 19 | SW 19 | WSW 19 |
69 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 72 | 80 | 123 | 17 | 19 | 10 | — | 7 | — | 4 | 2 | 2 | — | 37 | 57 | 36 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | W 3 | — | — | W 7 | — | S 3 | — | — | — | W 6 | — |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | 9 | — | 3 | — | — | — | 1 | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 182 | 19 | 0 | 182 | 0 | 0 | 182 | 0 | 0 | 182 | 19 | 0 | 395 | 106 | 0 | 182 | 0 | 0 | 182 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Nayarit | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Mexico | |||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Playa Novillero Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Playa Novillero provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Playa Novillero can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Playa Novillero surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Playa Novillero) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Playa Novillero may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Nayarit? If you are looking for accommodation near Playa Novillero, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Nayarit, consider staying in Acaponeta which is 37 km (23 miles) away. Other places in and around Nayarit where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Escuinapa de Hidalgo which is 51 km (32 miles) away and Santiago Ixcuintla, 81 km (50 miles) away.











