Playa Novillero Surf Break

Lat Long: 22.40° N 105.70° W

Playa Novillero Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 11 pm 31 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Playa Novillero sea temperature is
32.0° C
2.3° 

Playa Novillero surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Playa Novillero surf forecast from 1 Aug 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Friday 7 Aug, 12AM (local time) - 2ft (0.6m), 19s period, WSW swell with glassy winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Friday 7 Aug, 3PM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.7m), 18s period, SW swell with 312 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 1 Aug, 6AM (local time) - 2ft (0.6m), 13s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Playa Novillero this week:

The surf forecast for Playa Novillero over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Aug 01) at 6AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.6m and 13s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 9s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Playa Novillero in the next 16 days are 0.7m 18s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Aug 07) at 3PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives.

Wave TypeTime (CST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 6AM (Sat 1st Aug)2ft (0.6m) 13s
Best Surf12AM (Fri 7th Aug)2ft (0.6m) 19s
Most Powerful 3PM (Fri 7th Aug)2.5ft (0.7m) 18s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Playa Novillero over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's break down what's on the menu for Playa Novillero over the next couple of weeks.

Don't expect any fireworks. We're looking at a run of small, clean waves that will appeal mostly to longboarders and those on a mid-length. The swell is tiny, around 1 ft to 2 ft, and it's coming from the SW. The combined wave energy is weak, hovering around the 100-170 mark most days. The water temp is about average for this time of year, so nothing to worry about on that front.

The first week is a real grind. From Saturday the 1st right through to Wednesday the 6th, the mornings are the only real window. You'll find glassy or clean conditions with light offshore breezes, but the waves are small and ordinary. The afternoons get blown out by westerly winds, making for poor surf. It's a classic case of "set the alarm early or don't bother."

Now, things start to get interesting from Friday the 7th. The swell ticks up just a little, but the big news is the period. We're seeing long-period groundswell from the SW, with periods hitting 18 seconds on Friday and 16 seconds over the weekend. That's a groundswell with some real energy behind it, even though the wave height is still only 2 ft to 2 ft. The combined energy readings jump up to 235-399, which is solid moderate energy. Because it's a long-period swell, the sets will be more defined and powerful, but it might break a bit straight on the beach. For a point or a river mouth, this would be a dream, but here it's just a welcome change.

The standout mornings are Friday the 7th, Saturday the 8th, and Sunday the 9th of August. All three mornings are glassy with light airs, and the swell is clean and lined up. The waves are still small, but the quality is a big step up from the week prior. Saturday the 8th is probably the pick of that bunch, with a 2 ft, 16-second SW swell and glassy conditions.

The following week repeats the pattern. The mornings from Monday the 10th through to the end of the run are the go. The swell direction shifts a touch to the WSW, and the period stays solid. The morning of Saturday the 15th looks promising with a 3 ft, 16-second WSW swell and clean cross-off winds, pushing the combined energy to 430. That's the biggest wave of the outlook, and it's a promising one, though it's still a long way out. The final morning on Sunday the 16th has zero wind and glassy conditions with a 3 ft, 15-second WSW swell. That's a good way to end the run.

The afternoons are consistently a write-off due to onshore wind, so don't bother paddling out after lunch. This is a small-wave period, so it's not a beginner's nightmare, but it's not a barrel-fest either. For the most part, it's a longboarder's paradise with clean, small waves. The groundswell days are the real highlight.

Rusty

Short Range Forecast

Moderate rain (total 17mm), heaviest on Sun night. Warm (max 30°C on Fri night, min 24°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Moderate rain (total 11mm), heaviest on Tue morning. Warm (max 30°C on Tue morning, min 26°C on Thu morning). Wind will be generally light.

Saturday
1
Sunday
2
Monday
3
Tuesday
4
Wednesday
5
Thursday
6
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
2
1
0
0
1
0
1
1
0
1
1
0
1
1
0
1
1
0
2
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.7
SW
13
0.6
SW
13
0.6
WSW
13
0.6
WSW
14
0.5
SW
13
0.5
SW
13
0.5
SW
13
0.5
SW
13
0.5
SW
13
0.4
WSW
13
0.4
SW
12
0.4
SW
12
0.4
SW
12
0.5
SW
14
0.4
WSW
14
0.4
SW
14
0.5
SW
13
0.4
SW
18
0.6
WSW
19
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
175
128
108
121
88
87
87
83
83
65
54
45
42
103
81
51
88
87
233
Wind (km/h)
0
WNW
5
ESE
20
W
5
NW
5
ENE
15
WSW
5
ESE
5
E
10
SW
5
E
5
ESE
15
WSW
0
S
5
NNE
15
WSW
0
NNW
5
NE
15
W
5
SW
Wind State
glassy
cross-off
cross-on
cross
glassy
on
cross-off
glassy
cross-on
off
glassy
on
glassy
glassy
on
glassy
cross-off
cross-on
glassy
High Tide
10:23PM1.71m
11:26AM1.53m
10:56PM1.61m
11:49AM1.55m
11:32PM1.47m
12:14PM1.57m
00:17AM1.30m
12:46PM1.57m
1:23AM1.11m
1:29PM1.54m
4:14AM0.98m
2:39PM1.51m
Low Tide
4:59AM0.27m
5:02PM0.68m
5:22AM0.38m
5:41PM0.67m
5:45AM0.51m
6:29PM0.67m
6:07AM0.66m
7:33PM0.68m
6:26AM0.81m
9:18PM0.67m
6:18AM0.97m
11:39PM0.54m
part cloud
clear
part cloud
rain showers
clear
clear
rain showers
thunderstorm
clear
thunderstorm
thunderstorm
part cloud
part cloud
thunderstorm
clear
thunderstorm
part cloud
clear
rain showers
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:33
6:33
6:35
6:35
6:35
6:35
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
7:43
7:43
7:42
7:40
7:40
7:39
 mm
6
10
1
3
3
4
1
2
Temp °C
30
30
30
29
30
30
26
28
30
29
30
30
29
30
30
29
29
30
29
Feels °C
36
34
32
33
35
33
29
32
34
34
34
33
33
35
32
34
33
33
33
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Playa Novillero Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Playa Novillero provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Playa Novillero can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Playa Novillero surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Playa Novillero) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Playa Novillero may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Are you planning a holiday in Nayarit? If you are looking for accommodation near Playa Novillero, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Nayarit, consider staying in Acaponeta which is 37 km (23 miles) away. Other places in and around Nayarit where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Escuinapa de Hidalgo which is 51 km (32 miles) away and Santiago Ixcuintla, 81 km (50 miles) away.

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