
Surf Forecasts:
Playa Novillero surf forecast from 20 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Saturday 25 Jul, 3AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.1m), 21s period, WSW swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Saturday 25 Jul, 9PM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.3m), 19s period, WSW swell with 1,159 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 20 Jul, 3AM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 17s period with WSW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Playa Novillero this week:
The surf forecast for Playa Novillero over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Jul 20) at 3AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.9m and 17s period with a secondary swell of 0.6m and 9s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Playa Novillero in the next 16 days are 1.3m 19s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Jul 25) at 9PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives.
| Wave Type | Time (CST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 3AM (Mon 20th Jul) | 3ft (0.9m) 17s |
| Best Surf | 3AM (Sat 25th Jul) | 3.5ft (1.1m) 21s |
| Most Powerful | 9PM (Sat 25th Jul) | 4.5ft (1.3m) 19s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Playa Novillero over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here, let’s take a look at what’s shaping up for Playa Novillero over the next couple of weeks.
First up, the water here is running much warmer than normal for this time of year, sitting at 90°F, which is a solid 5°F above average – that’s notable.
The overall pattern shows a bit of a slow start, but there are some promising windows of clean, glassy conditions. The real standout looks to be the morning of Friday, July 24th. We’ve got a long-period groundswell rolling in from the WSW with a period of 24 seconds, pushing combined energy up to 754 – moderate wave energy, but that period is very long. The swell is only 2ft, so it’s not big, but with glassy, offshore wind from the ESE, it’ll be clean. Keep in mind, a period that long can cause waves to break a bit too straight at a beach break like this, but for a smallish swell, it could produce some fun, lined-up waves with long lulls between sets making paddling out easier. Crowds are only sometimes an issue here, so a morning session could be a treat.
Saturday, July 25th morning is another beauty. The wind is dead calm, glassy conditions, with a 3ft swell from the WSW at 21 seconds. Combined energy is 691, still moderate. This is a classic, get-out-there-early session.
The following Sunday, July 26th morning, sees another glassy morning with a 3ft swell from the WSW at 19 seconds. Combined energy hits 828, which is getting into that moderate-strong range. There’s a risk of thunderstorms, but if you’re out before they hit, it’ll be clean.
Looking further out, the morning of Tuesday, July 28th looks promising for more experienced surfers. The swell bumps up to 4ft from the WSW with a 17-second period and the combined energy is strong at 1027. With a light offshore breeze from the E, conditions will be clean. This is a solid step up in power and size, so best left to those with a bit more time in the water.
Wednesday, July 29th morning returns to glassy conditions with a 4ft swell from the WSW at 16 seconds. A solid, clean morning on offer.
After that, the size drops off gradually into early August, with clean mornings on the 30th and into August 1st, 2nd, and 3rd, but the swell gets smaller, around 1ft to 2ft. The very last morning on August 3rd is worth a mention – dead calm, glassy, with a 1ft groundswell from the WSW at 18 seconds.
So, if you can only pick one session, make it the morning of Friday, July 24th for that rare, very long-period, glassy goodness. The mornings of July 25th and 26th are also top-tier calls. Just about every afternoon gets chopped up by a strong onshore westerly, so mornings are the only game in town here.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastSome drizzle, heaviest during Wed afternoon. Warm (max 30°C on Mon morning, min 27°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 4mm), mostly falling on Wed night. Warm (max 31°C on Thu morning, min 28°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||
Monday 20 | Tuesday 21 | Wednesday 22 | Thursday 23 | Friday 24 | Saturday 25 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 17 | WSW 16 | WSW 16 | WSW 16 | WSW 15 | WSW 15 | SW 14 | WSW 13 | WSW 14 | SW 12 | WSW 12 | SW 26 | WSW 13 | WSW 24 | WSW 12 | WSW 21 | WSW 21 | WSW 20 | WSW 19 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||
258 | 407 | 407 | 387 | 294 | 279 | 272 | 362 | 168 | 202 | 233 | 204 | 96 | 487 | 217 | 1122 | 578 | 723 | 1159 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | glassy | cross-on | cross | cross | cross-on | cross | glassy | on | glassy | cross-off | on | glassy | cross-off | on | cross-on | glassy | cross-on | cross |
High Tide | 1:07AM1.17m | 1:56PM1.43m | 2:38AM1.01m | 2:41PM1.41m | 3:46PM1.39m | 5:04PM1.41m | 9:19AM1.22m | 6:09PM1.47m | 9:14AM1.27m | 7:00PM1.55m | |||||||||
Low Tide | 6:45AM0.77m | 9:14PM0.84m | 6:38AM0.91m | 11:38PM0.75m | 00:48AM0.61m | 1:29AM0.48m | 12:43PM1.15m | 2:01AM0.37m | 1:28PM1.09m | 2:30AM0.27m | |||||||||
— | 6:28 | — | — | 6:28 | — | — | 6:30 | — | — | 6:30 | — | — | 6:31 | — | — | 6:31 | — | — | |
— | — | 7:47 | — | — | 7:47 | — | — | 7:47 | — | — | 7:46 | — | — | 7:46 | — | — | 7:45 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
Temp °C | 29 | 30 | 30 | 29 | 29 | 30 | 29 | 30 | 30 | 29 | 31 | 31 | 30 | 31 | 31 | 30 | 30 | 30 | 29 |
Feels °C | 32 | 33 | 31 | 31 | 32 | 32 | 32 | 34 | 32 | 34 | 34 | 33 | 35 | 35 | 33 | 35 | 34 | 33 | 33 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 17 | WSW 16 | WSW 16 | WSW 16 | WSW 15 | WSW 15 | SW 14 | WSW 13 | WSW 11 | SW 12 | WSW 12 | WSW 11 | WSW 10 | WSW 12 | WSW 12 | WSW 21 | WSW 21 | WSW 20 | WSW 19 |
258 | 407 | 407 | 387 | 294 | 279 | 272 | 362 | 157 | 202 | 233 | 204 | 65 | 210 | 150 | 1122 | 578 | 723 | 1159 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 9 | SW 9 | WSW 9 | SW 8 | WSW 8 | WSW 8 | WNW 3 | W 4 | WSW 14 | W 14 | W 5 | SW 26 | WSW 13 | WSW 24 | WSW 24 | WSW 12 | WSW 12 | SW 12 | WSW 11 |
58 | 41 | 54 | 35 | 13 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 168 | 104 | 5 | 171 | 96 | 487 | 217 | 153 | 123 | 22 | 95 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 13 | — | SSW 9 | W 23 | SSW 7 | SSW 7 | WSW 8 | W 8 | WSW 19 | W 6 | WSW 19 | WSW 18 | W 5 | WSW 17 | WSW 16 | WSW 16 | WSW 16 | SW 15 | WSW 15 |
70 | — | 16 | 11 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 37 | 10 | 35 | 31 | 9 | 27 | 51 | 50 | 25 | 8 | 42 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | NW 3 | — | WNW 3 | — | — | W 4 | — | — | WSW 5 | — | — | W 6 | — | — | W 12 | — |
— | — | — | 3 | — | 1 | — | — | 2 | — | — | 9 | — | — | 11 | — | — | 130 | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 182 | 19 | 0 | 182 | 19 | 0 | 182 | 19 | 0 | 182 | 19 | 0 | 182 | 0 | 0 | 183 | 0 | 0 | 182 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Nayarit | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Mexico | |||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Playa Novillero Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Playa Novillero provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Playa Novillero can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Playa Novillero surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Playa Novillero) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Playa Novillero may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Nayarit? If you are looking for accommodation near Playa Novillero, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Nayarit, consider staying in Acaponeta which is 37 km (23 miles) away. Other places in and around Nayarit where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Escuinapa de Hidalgo which is 51 km (32 miles) away and Santiago Ixcuintla, 81 km (50 miles) away.










