Playa Novillero Surf Break

Lat Long: 22.40° N 105.70° W

Playa Novillero Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 5 am 28 Aug 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Playa Novillero sea temperature is
32.0°C
2.5° 

Playa Novillero surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Playa Novillero surf forecast from 28 Aug 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Saturday 29 Aug, 3AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.1m), 16s period, SW swell with glassy winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Saturday 29 Aug, 12PM (local time) - 4ft (1.2m), 16s period, SW swell with 739 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 29 Aug, 3AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.1m), 16s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Playa Novillero this week:

The surf forecast for Playa Novillero over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Aug 29) at 3AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.1m and 16s period with a secondary swell of 0.3m and 7s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Playa Novillero in the next 16 days are 1.2m 16s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Aug 29) at 12PM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives.

Wave TypeTime (CST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 3AM (Sat 29th Aug)3.5ft (1.1m) 16s
Best Surf 3AM (Sat 29th Aug)3.5ft (1.1m) 16s
Most Powerful12PM (Sat 29th Aug)4ft (1.2m) 16s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Playa Novillero over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright, this is Rusty. Let’s talk about what’s on offer for Playa Novillero.

Right, we’ve got a solid looking run of surf stretching from Friday the 28th of August through to the end of the second week. The pattern is clean mornings giving way to messy afternoons, so it’s all about getting out there early. The swell is consistent, coming in from the WSW to SW, and the water is sitting at a remarkable 90°, which is 5° warmer than normal for this time of year – that’s a real treat.

Friday 28th August kicks things off with a glassy, 2ft swell from the WSW, period a deep 16 seconds (262 combined energy). That’s a long-period groundswell, so at a beach setup it might stand up a bit straight, but the clean conditions could make it work. The morning is your only shot, as the afternoon gets ruined by a westerly onshore wind.

Saturday 29th August morning looks excellent. We’re looking at 4ft from the WSW, still 16 seconds of period, and the energy is building (692). The wind is a cross-off from the ESE, grooming the face clean. This is a standout window.

Sunday 30th August morning has a similar vibe: 4ft from the SW, period down slightly to 14 seconds (486 combined energy), and glassy conditions under some clouds. The swell energy is moderate, but the clean surface will make it feel better than it looks.

From Monday 31st August through Wednesday 2nd September, mornings stay clean with offshores or glasses, but the swell drops back to 2ft-3ft. The period stays long at 13-16 seconds, so you’ll be scratching for the better set waves, but it’s still surfable.

Now, Thursday 3rd September morning is another standout. 3ft from the WSW, but the period jumps to 18 seconds (587 combined energy) and the wind is a light cross-off from the NNE. That’s a gorgeous looking morning for a longboard or a bigger craft to chase those long-period lines.

Friday 4th September morning is a ripper too: 4ft from the WSW, 17 seconds (826 combined energy), with a light cross-off from the NE. This is a fantastic window for clean, powerful surf.

Saturday 5th September morning keeps the run going: 3ft from the WSW, 16 seconds, cross-off wind. From here the swell holds steady around 3ft-3ft through to Monday 7th September, with clean mornings every day.

Tuesday 8th September morning drops off to a tiny 1ft, but then we build again. Wednesday 9th September morning is a beauty: 4ft from the SW, period 12 seconds (737 combined energy), glassy and clean. That’s another top pick. Thursday 10th and Friday 11th September mornings are almost identical, with 4ft from the SW, clean winds, and moderate wave energy (637 and 625 respectively).

The run finishes on Saturday 12th September with 5ft from the SW, period dropping to 9 seconds (465 combined energy). The period is short, so it will be a bit bumpy and less powerful, but the morning is still glassy.

Best of the forecast: The standout mornings are Saturday 3rd September for the sheer long-period cleanliness, and Friday 4th September for the size and power. Also, Wednesday 9th September morning is a cracker. Get down for dawn. Crowds are listed as “sometimes”, so you might have some company, but the quality on those days is worth it.

This is a beach break, so when the wind swings onshore in the afternoons, the place gets choppy and ugly. Forget it then. Mornings are where the magic is.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Heavy rain (total 38mm), heaviest during Sat night. Warm (max 31°C on Fri afternoon, min 25°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Moderate rain (total 10mm), heaviest on Mon night. Warm (max 31°C on Wed afternoon, min 26°C on Mon morning). Wind will be generally light.

Friday
28
Saturday
29
Sunday
30
Monday
31
Tuesday
1
Wednesday
2
Thursday
3
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
2
0
2
3
0
3
2
0
1
2
0
1
2
0
2
2
0
2
3
1
3
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.6
WSW
16
0.8
WSW
17
1
WSW
17
1.2
WSW
16
1.2
SW
16
1.1
SW
15
1.1
SW
14
1.1
SW
14
0.8
WSW
14
0.9
WSW
13
0.9
SW
13
0.6
WSW
13
0.6
WSW
13
0.6
WSW
13
0.6
WSW
13
0.6
WSW
16
0.7
WSW
16
0.7
WSW
16
0.8
WSW
18
1
WSW
18
1
WSW
17
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
173
377
615
683
729
523
476
476
257
313
257
118
113
111
120
177
232
240
395
644
601
Wind (km/h)
5
NNE
15
W
10
SW
5
ESE
20
W
5
E
5
E
20
WNW
10
NW
5
ENE
15
WNW
10
E
5
E
15
W
5
NNE
5
E
15
W
10
ENE
5
NNE
15
W
5
NNE
Wind State
glassy
on
on
cross-off
on
off
glassy
cross-on
cross
glassy
cross-on
off
off
cross-on
glassy
off
cross-on
off
cross-off
cross-on
cross-off
High Tide
10:01AM1.62m
9:44PM1.78m
10:20AM1.68m
10:16PM1.71m
10:39AM1.71m
10:49PM1.59m
11:00AM1.73m
11:25PM1.44m
11:24AM1.71m
00:08AM1.25m
11:50AM1.66m
1:13AM1.04m
12:22PM1.58m
Low Tide
3:43PM0.53m
4:05AM0.25m
4:13PM0.46m
4:26AM0.35m
4:47PM0.42m
4:47AM0.47m
5:23PM0.42m
5:06AM0.61m
6:06PM0.46m
5:21AM0.75m
7:03PM0.54m
5:20AM0.89m
8:50PM0.62m
clear
part cloud
thunderstorm
clear
clear
thunderstorm
part cloud
part cloud
thunderstorm
part cloud
part cloud
thunderstorm
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
rain showers
clear
clear
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:43
6:43
6:43
6:45
6:45
6:45
6:46
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
7:22
7:22
7:21
7:20
7:19
7:19
7:17
 mm
15
12
11
6
4
Temp °C
30
31
29
30
31
27
30
30
29
29
30
29
29
30
29
30
31
30
30
30
29
Feels °C
34
34
34
35
33
31
33
30
31
33
32
34
32
32
33
33
32
34
32
31
31
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Playa Novillero Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Playa Novillero provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Playa Novillero can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Playa Novillero surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Playa Novillero) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Playa Novillero may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Are you planning a holiday in Nayarit? If you are looking for accommodation near Playa Novillero, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Nayarit, consider staying in Acaponeta which is 37 km (23 miles) away. Other places in and around Nayarit where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Escuinapa de Hidalgo which is 51 km (32 miles) away and Santiago Ixcuintla, 81 km (50 miles) away.

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