Surf Forecasts:
Playa Novillero surf forecast from 31 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Friday 4 Sep, 3AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.0m), 17s period, WSW swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Saturday 5 Sep, 6AM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 16s period, WSW swell with 1,245 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 1 Sep, 3AM (local time) - 2ft (0.6m), 13s period with WSW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Playa Novillero this week:
The surf forecast for Playa Novillero over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Sep 01) at 3AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.6m and 13s period with a secondary swell of 0.6m and 10s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Playa Novillero in the next 16 days are 1.6m 16s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Sep 05) at 6AM. Winds are predicted to be offshore at the time the swell arrives.
| Wave Type | Time (CST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 3AM (Tue 1st Sep) | 2ft (0.6m) 13s |
| Best Surf | 3AM (Fri 4th Sep) | 3.5ft (1.0m) 17s |
| Most Powerful | 6AM (Sat 5th Sep) | 5ft (1.6m) 16s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Playa Novillero over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, mate, Rusty here. Let's get into it for Playa Novillero. The next couple of weeks are a bit of a mixed bag, but there are some real windows of opportunity if you're keen to get wet.
The water here is sitting at a warm 90°, which is much warmer than normal for this time of year, so you can leave the thick wetsuit at home.
The first few days are a bit of a tease. Monday the 31st of August has a clean morning with a 3ft swell from the WSW, but the energy is weak (320). It's surfable, but nothing to get excited about. Tuesday is similar, with a small 2ft swell. The real action doesn't start until Wednesday morning, the 2nd of September. We've got a 4ft SW groundswell with a 12-second period, building moderate energy (555). The wind is a light offshore from the ENE, keeping things clean. This is a solid option for intermediate surfers.
Thursday the 3rd of September morning is a real standout. A 3ft WSW swell with a very long 18-second period and a huge energy reading (707). The wind is a light cross-offshore from the east. That long period will bring some beautiful, well-shaped lines, but it might be a bit too lined-up for the beach break and better if you can find a deeper bank. The morning is the time to go as the afternoon wind turns onshore and messy.
The absolute pick of the whole forecast is Friday the 4th of September morning. The swell is 4ft from the WSW with a 17-second period, and the energy is cranking at a strong 1019. With a light offshore breeze from the ENE, conditions will be glassy and clean. This is excellent surf for experienced surfers, but the size and power will be too much for beginners. The Saturday morning of the 5th is also very good, with similar conditions and a 3ft WSW swell.
After that, we get into a pattern of clean mornings but with smaller swells. The mornings of the 11th, 12th, and 13th of September offer glassy conditions with small 2ft to 3ft WSW swells, perfect for a log or a funboard. The energy drops right off after the first week, and by the 14th and 15th, the surf is tiny and the afternoons are blown out. It's a case of getting in early and being picky.
Rusty
Short Range ForecastModerate rain (total 17mm), heaviest on Tue night. Warm (max 31°C on Tue afternoon, min 26°C on Tue night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryHeavy rain (total 41mm), heaviest during Sat night. Warm (max 31°C on Thu afternoon, min 26°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Monday 31 | Tuesday 1 | Wednesday 2 | Thursday 3 | Friday 4 | Saturday 5 | Sunday 6 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 14 | SW 13 | WSW 13 | WSW 13 | SW 18 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 11 | WSW 18 | WSW 18 | WSW 17 | WSW 17 | WSW 16 | WSW 16 | WSW 16 | WSW 16 | WSW 13 | WSW 12 | W 12 | W 12 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 232 | 180 | 118 | 114 | 82 | 228 | 386 | 520 | 573 | 399 | 491 | 453 | 675 | 651 | 612 | 519 | 512 | 444 | 392 | 365 | 341 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | on | cross | cross-off | on | glassy | off | cross-on | off | cross-off | on | cross-off | off | cross-on | cross | off | cross-on | cross | cross-off | on | off |
High Tide | 11:00AM1.73m | 11:25PM1.44m | 11:24AM1.71m | 00:08AM1.25m | 11:50AM1.66m | 1:13AM1.04m | 12:22PM1.58m | 1:20PM1.46m | 10:26AM1.28m | 4:25PM1.41m | 8:34AM1.35m | 6:14PM1.53m | |||||||||
Low Tide | 5:23PM0.42m | 5:06AM0.61m | 6:06PM0.46m | 5:21AM0.75m | 7:03PM0.54m | 5:20AM0.89m | 8:50PM0.62m | 11:53PM0.52m | 11:08AM1.28m | 00:59AM0.35m | 1:01PM1.12m | 1:40AM0.21m | |||||||||
 | |  |  | | | | |  | | | | | | | | | |  | | | |
 | 6:45 | — | — | 6:45 | — | — | 6:45 | — | — | 6:46 | — | — | 6:46 | — | — | 6:46 | — | — | 6:46 | — | — |
 | — | 7:20 | — | — | 7:19 | — | — | 7:19 | — | — | 7:17 | — | — | 7:16 | — | — | 7:15 | — | — | 7:15 | — |
mm | — | — | 10 | — | — | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | 4 | — | — | 16 | — | — | 21 | 5 | — | 6 |
Temp °C | 30 | 30 | 29 | 30 | 31 | 30 | 28 | 30 | 29 | 30 | 31 | 29 | 30 | 31 | 30 | 29 | 30 | 29 | 28 | 29 | 26 |
Feels °C | 33 | 33 | 33 | 34 | 32 | 34 | 31 | 33 | 33 | 33 | 33 | 32 | 33 | 33 | 33 | 32 | 31 | 32 | 32 | 32 | 28 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 14 | SW 13 | SW 10 | WSW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 11 | SW 10 | SW 11 | SW 11 | WSW 17 | WSW 16 | WSW 16 | WSW 13 | WSW 12 | WSW 13 | WSW 12 | W 12 | W 12 |
| kJ | 232 | 180 | 76 | 114 | 82 | 228 | 386 | 520 | 573 | 308 | 308 | 347 | 675 | 651 | 612 | 447 | 400 | 444 | 392 | 365 | 341 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 9 | SW 9 | WSW 13 | SW 9 | SW 9 | WSW 18 | WSW 16 | WSW 16 | SW 15 | WSW 18 | WSW 18 | WSW 17 | SW 11 | WSW 10 | WSW 10 | WSW 16 | WSW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 |
| kJ | 51 | 41 | 118 | 40 | 41 | 121 | 153 | 151 | 284 | 399 | 491 | 453 | 258 | 200 | 237 | 519 | 512 | 326 | 255 | 258 | 211 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 19 | WSW 19 | WSW 19 | SW 18 | SW 18 | WSW 9 | WSW 9 | WSW 11 | — | — | — | WSW 14 | WSW 12 | WSW 12 | WSW 12 | — | — | WNW 4 | NW 4 | WSW 20 | SW 20 |
| kJ | 37 | 36 | 36 | 81 | 80 | 16 | 16 | 23 | — | — | — | 61 | 86 | 109 | 29 | — | — | 7 | 1 | 38 | 15 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | WNW 3 | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 183 | 19 | 0 | 183 | 0 | 0 | 183 | 0 | 0 | 183 | 0 | 0 | 182 | 19 | 0 | 182 | 106 | 0 | 182 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Nayarit | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Mexico | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Playa Novillero Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Playa Novillero provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Playa Novillero can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Playa Novillero surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Playa Novillero) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Playa Novillero may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Nayarit? If you are looking for accommodation near Playa Novillero, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Nayarit, consider staying in Acaponeta which is 37 km (23 miles) away. Other places in and around Nayarit where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Escuinapa de Hidalgo which is 51 km (32 miles) away and Santiago Ixcuintla, 81 km (50 miles) away.
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