Surf Forecasts:
Playa Novillero surf forecast from 19 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Thursday 20 Aug, 12AM (local time) - 2ft (0.6m), 14s period, SW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Wednesday 19 Aug, 12PM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.7m), 15s period, SW swell with 229 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 20 Aug, 12AM (local time) - 2ft (0.6m), 14s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Playa Novillero this week:
The surf forecast for Playa Novillero over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Aug 20) at 12AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.6m and 14s period with a secondary swell of 0.2m and 3s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Playa Novillero in the next 16 days are 0.7m 15s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Aug 19) at 12PM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.3m 2s period and expected on Saturday (Aug 22) at 9AM.
| Wave Type | Time (CST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 12AM (Thu 20th Aug) | 2ft (0.6m) 14s |
| Best Surf | 12AM (Thu 20th Aug) | 2ft (0.6m) 14s |
| Most Powerful | 12PM (Wed 19th Aug) | 2.5ft (0.7m) 15s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Playa Novillero over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s see what the next couple of weeks have in store for us.
Straight up, it’s not a huge swell window, but we’ve got some real gems hidden in there if you pick your moments right. The energy is mostly on the weaker side overall, but a few mornings are going to deliver some sweet, clean little waves. There’s a bit of a gap early on, so don’t expect much action until Wednesday morning, 19 August. After that, the real standout windows are for the morning sessions, with the afternoons getting blown out by that classic onshore breeze.
Wednesday morning, 19 August at Playa Novillero is where we kick things off. We’ve got a nice 2ft southwest groundswell rolling in with a very long 16-second period. That’s proper energy for a beach break, and even though the combined swells are moderate at 256, that long period means those waves are going to have some real push and shape. The wind is a glassy 3 mph from the east-northeast, so the surface will be smooth as butter. It’s fairly consistent here, but on a Wednesday, crowds are only sometimes an issue, so you might get some good ones to yourself.
The water temp is about average for this time of year, so nothing crazy to report on that front. You’ll be fine in a spring suit.
Saturday morning, 22 August is another beauty. Same spot, Playa Novillero, with a 2ft southwest swell and that dreamy 16-second period again. The combined energy is a moderate 250. The wind is light offshore from the northeast at 3 mph, keeping those little lines super clean. This is a morning for a longboard or a fish and just having fun.
Sunday morning, 23 August is practically worth a public holiday. The wind drops to zero – total glass – with 2ft of southwest swell at 14 seconds. The energy bumps up to 264. It’s going to be a mirror-like surface. If you’ve been waiting for a relaxing, no-stress paddle out, this is your morning.
Now, for the *real* standout of the whole forecast. Keep your eyes on Saturday morning, 29 August. The swell builds to a clean 3ft from the west-southwest, still a solid 16-second period, and the combined energy jumps up into a strong 543. The wind? Flat calm, glassy, zero from the south-southeast. This is the best-looking window of the whole 16 days. 3ft of clean, long-period groundswell with perfect conditions. It’s intermediate-friendly at that size too. This is the one to circle on the calendar and make plans for.
Tacking on to that, Sunday morning, 30 August keeps the vibes going with a 3ft swell and another glassy morning, though with a risk of thunderstorms, keep an eye on the sky.
The following week runs into September with similar patterns. Thursday morning, 3 September shows another nice spike with a 3ft west-southwest swell and strong energy of 583, with a light cross-offshore wind. That's worth a look if you’ve got the patience.
The afternoons are mostly a write-off, so don't bother. The mornings are where it’s at. Overall, it’s a run of small but clean, high-quality morning sessions, with one standout day on the 29th that has the most potential.
Stay stoked, and I’ll see you out there.
Rusty
Short Range ForecastHeavy rain (total 38mm), heaviest during Fri night. Warm (max 31°C on Wed afternoon, min 23°C on Fri night). Winds increasing (calm on Thu morning, fresh winds from the SE by Fri night). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 3mm), mostly falling on Mon night. Warm (max 30°C on Sat afternoon, min 25°C on Sat morning). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wednesday 19 | Thursday 20 | Friday 21 | Saturday 22 | Sunday 23 | Monday 24 | Tuesday 25 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | WSW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 14 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | WSW 18 | SW 13 | SW 13 | WSW 17 | WSW 16 | WSW 16 | WSW 16 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
248 | 217 | 167 | 160 | 123 | 87 | 83 | 83 | 96 | 201 | 65 | 155 | 169 | 164 | 182 | 126 | 112 | 193 | 105 | 102 | 144 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-on | cross-off | glassy | cross-on | on | cross-off | on | cross-on | cross-off | on | glassy | glassy | on | glassy | glassy | cross-on | cross-on | off | on | glassy |
High Tide | 12:34PM1.45m | 12:47PM1.37m | 11:26AM1.29m | 3:46PM1.30m | 9:46AM1.27m | 5:59PM1.36m | 9:11AM1.31m | 6:56PM1.48m | 9:07AM1.36m | 7:35PM1.60m | 9:15AM1.43m | 8:09PM1.70m | |||||||||
Low Tide | 9:27PM0.79m | 00:52AM0.67m | 1:20PM1.28m | 1:28AM0.53m | 1:25PM1.19m | 1:54AM0.41m | 1:42PM1.08m | 2:17AM0.30m | 2:01PM0.97m | 2:39AM0.22m | 2:23PM0.86m | 3:00AM0.17m | |||||||||
6:41 | — | — | 6:41 | — | — | 6:41 | — | — | 6:41 | — | — | 6:41 | — | — | 6:41 | — | — | 6:43 | — | — | |
— | 7:30 | — | — | 7:30 | — | — | 7:29 | — | — | 7:28 | — | — | 7:28 | — | — | 7:27 | — | — | 7:25 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 3 | 6 | — | — |
Temp °C | 30 | 31 | 29 | 30 | 31 | 30 | 30 | 31 | 30 | 29 | 30 | 28 | 30 | 30 | 29 | 30 | 30 | 29 | 28 | 30 | 29 |
Feels °C | 34 | 34 | 32 | 34 | 34 | 35 | 34 | 34 | 35 | 32 | 32 | 33 | 34 | 33 | 33 | 34 | 32 | 32 | 33 | 34 | 33 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | WSW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 14 | SW 16 | SW 13 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | WSW 17 | WSW 16 | WSW 16 | WSW 16 |
248 | 217 | 167 | 160 | 123 | 87 | 83 | 83 | 96 | 201 | 61 | 155 | 169 | 164 | 140 | 109 | 104 | 193 | 105 | 102 | 144 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 20 | W 8 | WNW 3 | W 3 | WSW 18 | WSW 19 | SW 16 | SW 16 | WSW 18 | W 5 | SW 16 | WSW 20 | SW 19 | WSW 18 | WSW 18 | WSW 18 | WSW 17 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 11 |
8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 31 | 72 | 69 | 68 | 61 | 4 | 65 | 75 | 93 | 124 | 182 | 126 | 112 | 53 | 37 | 35 | 46 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | W 20 | WSW 21 | WSW 19 | W 7 | WNW 3 | W 3 | — | W 4 | WSW 21 | WSW 20 | W 5 | W 5 | — | W 3 | — | — | WNW 3 | W 4 | SSW 6 | W 3 |
— | 7 | 44 | 37 | 1 | 2 | 1 | — | 1 | 44 | 37 | 2 | 2 | — | 1 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 4 | 1 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | W 4 | — | SE 2 | W 5 | — | — | W 5 | — | — | — | — | — | W 4 | — |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | 3 | — | 1 | 4 | — | — | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 182 | 0 | 0 | 397 | 19 | 0 | 414 | 106 | 0 | 19 | 0 | 0 | 182 | 0 | 0 | 182 | 19 | 0 | 182 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Nayarit | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Mexico | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Playa Novillero Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Playa Novillero provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Playa Novillero can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Playa Novillero surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Playa Novillero) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Playa Novillero may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Nayarit? If you are looking for accommodation near Playa Novillero, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Nayarit, consider staying in Acaponeta which is 37 km (23 miles) away. Other places in and around Nayarit where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Escuinapa de Hidalgo which is 51 km (32 miles) away and Santiago Ixcuintla, 81 km (50 miles) away.











