Surf Forecasts:
Playa Novillero surf forecast from 14 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Saturday 18 Jul, 6AM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 14s period, WSW swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Monday 20 Jul, 6PM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.0m), 16s period, SW swell with 502 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 14 Jul, 3AM (local time) - 2ft (0.6m), 13s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Playa Novillero this week:
The surf forecast for Playa Novillero over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jul 14) at 3AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.6m and 13s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 19s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Playa Novillero in the next 16 days are 1.0m 16s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Jul 20) at 6PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.5m 3s period and expected on Sunday (Jul 19) at 3PM.
| Wave Type | Time (CST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 3AM (Tue 14th Jul) | 2ft (0.6m) 13s |
| Best Surf | 6AM (Sat 18th Jul) | 3ft (0.9m) 14s |
| Most Powerful | 6PM (Mon 20th Jul) | 3.5ft (1.0m) 16s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Playa Novillero over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, let’s talk about Playa Novillero over the next 16 days. First thing to note: the water is sitting at 90°F right now, which is a full 5°F warmer than normal for this time of year – that’s seriously unusual. You’ll be swimming in bathwater, but don’t expect much surf for the first few days. From Monday afternoon, July 13, through to Friday morning, July 17, the swell is tiny (1.0ft to 2ft) and the wind is mostly onshore or cross‑on, making conditions poor. There’s a real gap there – a solid five days of flat, messy stuff. Hang tight.
The first real chance shows up on Saturday morning, July 18. The swell picks up to 3ft from the WSW, period 13 seconds, and the wind is light cross‑off from the ESE. That’s clean, surfable, and the combined energy hits 564 (moderate). It’s not huge, but it’s the first solid window. Crowds are only “sometimes” an issue, so you might get a few others out, but nothing too crazy.
Now, the real standout is the morning of Wednesday, July 22. Swell is 5ft from the WSW, period 13 seconds, and the wind is glassy – dead calm from the east. That’s about as clean as it gets. The combined energy is 734 (moderate‑strong), so there’s plenty of push. This is a solid intermediate‑level day; beginners might find it a bit much. For the experts, it’s spot on. Thursday morning, July 23, is similar with 4ft and glassy conditions, energy 902 – even more grunt. Both mornings are absolute winners.
Friday morning, July 24, also delivers: 4ft WSW, cross‑off from the ESE, clean, energy 701. Then Saturday morning, July 25, brings a smaller 2ft swell but with a very long period of 21 seconds. That’s groundswell, and it’ll produce some long, clean lines – but at a beach break like Playa Novillero, that long period can make the waves break a bit too straight. Still, with glassy wind and energy 694, it’s worth a paddle. Sunday morning, July 26, has 3ft, cross‑off, and energy 974 – strong.
If you’re chasing the best of the best, lock in Wednesday, July 22 morning, and Thursday, July 23 morning. Those are the true standouts. The rest of the second week has some good mornings, but the afternoons tend to get choppy with onshore winds. Keep an eye on the forecasts – these long‑range calls are promising but not locked in. For now, the next few days are a write‑off, but once we hit Saturday, things start to turn.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastModerate rain (total 15mm), heaviest on Tue night. Warm (max 30°C on Mon afternoon, min 25°C on Tue morning). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryHeavy rain (total 40mm), heaviest during Sat night. Warm (max 31°C on Thu afternoon, min 25°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Mon 13 | Tuesday 14 | Wednesday 15 | Thursday 16 | Friday 17 | Saturday 18 | Sunday 19 | |||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 13 | WSW 20 | SW 19 | WSW 18 | SW 13 | WSW 18 | WSW 16 | WSW 16 | WSW 16 | WSW 16 | WSW 19 | WSW 15 | WSW 15 | WSW 17 | WSW 13 | WSW 13 | WSW 13 | WSW 17 | WSW 17 | WSW 17 | WSW 16 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 148 | 149 | 92 | 207 | 123 | 61 | 173 | 147 | 102 | 164 | 146 | 84 | 84 | 267 | 373 | 408 | 346 | 381 | 377 | 258 | 330 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | on | cross-off | cross-off | on | glassy | cross-off | cross-on | glassy | glassy | cross-on | glassy | glassy | on | cross | cross-off | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off |
High Tide | 8:40PM1.94m | 10:36AM1.49m | 9:25PM1.93m | 11:11AM1.49m | 10:09PM1.86m | 11:45AM1.49m | 10:51PM1.73m | 12:17PM1.48m | 11:32PM1.56m | 12:48PM1.47m | 00:15AM1.37m | 1:20PM1.45m | 1:07AM1.17m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 3:53AM-0.10m | 3:31PM0.86m | 4:32AM-0.05m | 4:13PM0.82m | 5:08AM0.07m | 4:56PM0.80m | 5:41AM0.23m | 5:41PM0.81m | 6:09AM0.42m | 6:31PM0.83m | 6:31AM0.60m | 7:33PM0.85m | 6:45AM0.77m | ||||||||
 |  |  |  | | | |  | | |  | | | | | | |  | |  | | |
 | — | — | 6:26 | — | — | 6:26 | — | — | 6:26 | — | — | 6:28 | — | — | 6:28 | — | — | 6:28 | — | — | 6:28 |
 | 7:50 | — | — | 7:50 | — | — | 7:50 | — | — | 7:49 | — | — | 7:49 | — | — | 7:49 | — | — | 7:49 | — | 7:47 |
mm | — | 4 | 2 | — | 6 | 3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | 6 | 2 | 6 | 17 | 8 | 19 | 10 | — |
Temp °C | 30 | 29 | 27 | 29 | 29 | 29 | 30 | 29 | 30 | 31 | 29 | 30 | 30 | 29 | 29 | 30 | 26 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 29 |
Feels °C | 31 | 33 | 32 | 32 | 34 | 32 | 32 | 33 | 33 | 33 | 32 | 34 | 32 | 32 | 33 | 33 | 29 | 28 | 29 | 28 | 32 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | WSW 18 | SW 13 | SW 12 | WSW 16 | WSW 16 | WSW 16 | WSW 16 | WSW 15 | WSW 15 | WSW 15 | WSW 17 | WSW 13 | WSW 13 | WSW 13 | WSW 17 | WSW 17 | WSW 17 | WSW 16 |
| kJ | 144 | 142 | 84 | 207 | 103 | 52 | 173 | 147 | 102 | 164 | 85 | 84 | 84 | 267 | 373 | 408 | 346 | 381 | 377 | 258 | 330 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 19 | WSW 20 | SW 19 | SW 13 | WSW 18 | WSW 18 | SW 12 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 7 | WSW 19 | WSW 19 | SW 11 | SW 11 | WSW 18 | WSW 19 | WNW 4 | WSW 10 | WSW 9 | SW 9 | SW 9 |
| kJ | 148 | 149 | 92 | 84 | 123 | 61 | 50 | 59 | 61 | 11 | 146 | 72 | 44 | 75 | 176 | 142 | 7 | 125 | 78 | 65 | 61 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | W 3 | W 5 | SW 3 | SW 24 | SW 15 | W 24 | SW 7 | SSW 7 | SW 9 | SW 8 | SW 7 | WSW 18 | SW 21 | WNW 5 | WSW 16 | WSW 16 | NW 5 | WNW 5 | SW 13 | NW 5 |
| kJ | — | 2 | 2 | 2 | 22 | 34 | 11 | 18 | 9 | 3 | 15 | 12 | 66 | 18 | 15 | 25 | 100 | 6 | 3 | 82 | 1 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 2 | — | SSW 2 | — | — | — | WNW 2 | — | — | WNW 3 | NW 4 | — | W 2 | WNW 4 | — | W 5 | — | — | SE 3 | — | ESE 3 |
| kJ | 1 | — | 1 | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | 3 | 3 | — | 1 | 16 | — | 13 | — | — | 5 | — | 1 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 183 | 0 | 0 | 182 | 0 | 0 | 182 | 0 | 0 | 395 | 0 | 0 | 182 | 19 | 0 | 19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Nayarit | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Mexico | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Playa Novillero Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Playa Novillero provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Playa Novillero can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Playa Novillero surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Playa Novillero) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Playa Novillero may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Nayarit? If you are looking for accommodation near Playa Novillero, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Nayarit, consider staying in Acaponeta which is 37 km (23 miles) away. Other places in and around Nayarit where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Escuinapa de Hidalgo which is 51 km (32 miles) away and Santiago Ixcuintla, 81 km (50 miles) away.
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