Surf Forecasts:
Playa Novillero surf forecast from 23 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Saturday 25 Jul, 12AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.1m), 21s period, WSW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Tuesday 28 Jul, 12PM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 17s period, SW swell with 1,450 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 24 Jul, 12AM (local time) - 2ft (0.6m), 10s period with WSW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Playa Novillero this week:
The surf forecast for Playa Novillero over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 24) at 12AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.4m and 13s period with a secondary swell of 0.6m and 10s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Playa Novillero in the next 16 days are 1.6m 17s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jul 28) at 12PM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives.
| Wave Type | Time (CST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 12AM (Fri 24th Jul) | 2ft (0.6m) 10s |
| Best Surf | 12AM (Sat 25th Jul) | 3.5ft (1.1m) 21s |
| Most Powerful | 12PM (Tue 28th Jul) | 5ft (1.6m) 17s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Playa Novillero over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
### 2. Imperial Units
Alright, let's talk about Playa Novillero, mates. We've got a bit of a slow start, so don't rush out just yet.
The first sign of life is on the morning of Saturday, July 25th. We're looking at a small 3ft swell from the WSW, but the wind is a clean cross-offshore breeze. It's small, but it's clean. The wave energy is moderate (641).
Forget Sunday, July 26th – there's a risk of thunderstorms and messy wind.
Now, here's the one you've been waiting for. Monday, July 27th, in the morning is the clear winner. The swell is a solid 5ft from the WSW with a 18-second period – that's a beautiful, long-period groundswell. The wind is glassy. Absolutely flat calm. The combined wave energy is strong (1205). This is going to be pristine, lined-up surf. It's a bit of a bigger swell, so it's not for the groms, but for the experienced surfer, this is the session.
Tuesday, July 28th, in the morning is also a top contender. The swell is 5ft from the SW, with a 17-second period, and a clean offshore wind from the ENE. This is powerful and fast. The wave energy is very strong (1325). A close second to the glassy conditions on Monday.
The rest of the week offers some clean, but smaller, waves. The mornings of Wednesday and Thursday, July 29th and 30th, give you a chance at a few 4ft to 5ft waves, but the magic is gone.
Then the surf just goes quiet. By the time we get to Thursday, August 6th, there's a tiny 2ft pulse with glassy conditions, but it's a weak signal.
So, the bottom line is: make your move on the morning of Monday, July 27th. That glassy, long-period swell from the WSW is going to serve up some of the best waves we've seen in the forecast. The 28th is a solid backup. After that, the board is going back in the car for a while.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 4mm), mostly falling on Fri night. Warm (max 31°C on Thu morning, min 27°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryHeavy rain (total 22mm), heaviest during Sun night. Warm (max 30°C on Sun morning, min 27°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||
Thursday 23 | Friday 24 | Saturday 25 | Sunday 26 | Monday 27 | Tuesday 28 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 13 | WSW 13 | SW 26 | WSW 10 | WSW 24 | WSW 24 | WSW 21 | WSW 21 | WSW 20 | WSW 19 | WSW 19 | WSW 18 | WSW 18 | WSW 18 | WSW 17 | SW 17 | SW 17 | SW 17 | WSW 16 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 222 | 108 | 171 | 67 | 628 | 217 | 1122 | 578 | 790 | 1159 | 750 | 768 | 954 | 1199 | 941 | 1235 | 1320 | 1433 | 691 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | glassy | cross-on | on | glassy | cross | on | cross-off | cross-off | on | glassy | cross | on | cross-on | glassy | on | cross-on | off | on | cross-off |
High Tide | 5:04PM1.41m | 9:19AM1.22m | 6:09PM1.47m | 9:14AM1.27m | 7:00PM1.55m | 9:25AM1.32m | 7:41PM1.64m | 9:42AM1.36m | 8:17PM1.71m | 10:02AM1.40m | 8:50PM1.77m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 00:48AM0.61m | 1:29AM0.48m | 12:43PM1.15m | 2:01AM0.37m | 1:28PM1.09m | 2:30AM0.27m | 2:00PM1.02m | 2:58AM0.19m | 2:28PM0.94m | 3:24AM0.14m | 2:56PM0.88m | ||||||||
 |  |  |  | | | | | |  |  | | | | | | | | | |
 | — | 6:30 | — | — | 6:31 | — | — | 6:31 | — | — | 6:31 | — | — | 6:31 | — | — | 6:31 | — | — |
 | — | — | 7:46 | — | — | 7:46 | — | — | 7:45 | — | — | 7:45 | — | — | 7:45 | — | — | 7:45 | — |
mm | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | 3 | — | — | 3 | 2 | — | 11 | — | — | 6 | — | — | 7 |
Temp °C | 30 | 31 | 31 | 30 | 30 | 31 | 28 | 30 | 30 | 29 | 30 | 30 | 29 | 29 | 29 | 29 | 30 | 30 | 28 |
Feels °C | 36 | 35 | 34 | 35 | 34 | 34 | 32 | 33 | 31 | 33 | 34 | 33 | 33 | 33 | 31 | 32 | 34 | 31 | 31 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 13 | SW 10 | SW 10 | WSW 10 | WSW 24 | WSW 24 | WSW 21 | WSW 21 | WSW 20 | WSW 19 | WSW 19 | WSW 18 | WSW 18 | WSW 18 | WSW 17 | SW 17 | SW 17 | SW 17 | WSW 16 |
| kJ | 222 | 46 | 45 | 65 | 628 | 217 | 1122 | 578 | 790 | 1159 | 750 | 768 | 954 | 1199 | 941 | 1235 | 1320 | 1433 | 691 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 6 | WSW 13 | WSW 13 | WSW 13 | WSW 9 | SW 13 | WSW 12 | SW 12 | SW 12 | WSW 15 | SW 11 | SW 11 | WSW 7 | WSW 8 | WSW 8 | SSW 11 | W 8 | W 8 | SW 12 |
| kJ | 16 | 108 | 65 | 67 | 64 | 80 | 98 | 37 | 36 | 84 | 19 | 19 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 130 | 5 | 5 | 314 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 19 | W 5 | SW 26 | W 6 | SW 13 | WSW 10 | WSW 16 | WSW 9 | SW 15 | WSW 8 | WSW 7 | — | — | — | — | W 8 | — | — | W 8 |
| kJ | 37 | 9 | 171 | 7 | 42 | 37 | 51 | 26 | 8 | 12 | 11 | — | — | — | — | 5 | — | — | 1 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | W 5 | — | — | — | — | — | WSW 8 | — | — | WSW 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | 8 | — | — | — | — | — | 22 | — | — | 10 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 106 | 183 | 0 | 106 | 61 | 0 | 0 | 183 | 0 | 106 | 182 | 124 | 0 | 182 | 106 | 0 | 212 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Nayarit | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Mexico | |||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Playa Novillero Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Playa Novillero provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Playa Novillero can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Playa Novillero surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Playa Novillero) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Playa Novillero may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Nayarit? If you are looking for accommodation near Playa Novillero, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Nayarit, consider staying in Acaponeta which is 37 km (23 miles) away. Other places in and around Nayarit where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Escuinapa de Hidalgo which is 51 km (32 miles) away and Santiago Ixcuintla, 81 km (50 miles) away.
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