Surf Forecasts:
Playa Novillero surf forecast from 6 Sep 2026:
- Best quality surf: Thursday 10 Sep, 3AM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 17s period, WSW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Thursday 10 Sep, 9AM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 17s period, WSW swell with 493 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 6 Sep, 9PM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 14s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Playa Novillero this week:
The surf forecast for Playa Novillero over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Sep 06) at 9PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.9m and 14s period with a secondary swell of 0.8m and 11s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Playa Novillero in the next 16 days are 0.9m 17s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Sep 10) at 9AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives.
| Wave Type | Time (CST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 9PM (Sun 6th Sep) | 3ft (0.9m) 14s |
| Best Surf | 3AM (Thu 10th Sep) | 3ft (0.9m) 17s |
| Most Powerful | 9AM (Thu 10th Sep) | 3ft (0.9m) 17s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Playa Novillero over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at the next couple of weeks for Playa Novillero.
It’s gonna be a bit of a mixed bag. The surf is small but persistent, and the real story is the water. The ocean is sitting at 89° – that’s over 5° warmer than normal for this time of year, so it’s gonna feel like a bath out there. The winds are the key. We’ve got a solid run of light, offshore or glassy mornings, which is the only window to get anything decent.
The first real standout for the clean stuff kicks off Sunday, September 6th in the morning. It’s a bit stormy-looking with a risk of thunderstorms, but the wind is a light cross-offshore breeze from the east at 6 mph. You’re looking at 3 ft of swell from the WSW with a period of 14 seconds. The energy in the water is moderate (528) and the conditions are clean. It’s a small wave, but for a fun longboard or a fish, that’s your ticket.
Tuesday, September 8th is another morning to bookmark. The wind drops to glassy—absolute perfection. The swell is a little smaller at 1 ft, but it’s a long-period groundswell from the WSW at 18 seconds. That kind of period means energy and shape, but it’s small. Energy is moderate (309). It’s a morning for the patient surfer.
Wednesday, September 9th is a carbon copy of Tuesday morning: glassy, 2 ft, and a 16-second period from the WSW. Energy is moderate (290). Definitely worth a paddle.
Friday, September 11th morning brings a nice offshore breeze from the ENE at 3 mph. The swell is 3 ft from the WSW at 15 seconds (322 energy). Clean, small, and fun.
Saturday, September 12th morning is another offshore morning (E at 3 mph), with 2 ft of swell and a 14-second period. Energy is a bit lower (193), but it’s clean.
Saturday, September 19th morning is a standout for glassy conditions. The wind is flat calm from the east at 3 mph. The swell is 2 ft with a long 18-second period from the WSW. Energy is moderate (293). It’s a morning session for the soul.
Monday, September 21st morning finishes the run with glassy conditions again. 3 ft of swell from the WSW at 17 seconds (358 energy). Clean as a whistle.
The real dirt here is that every afternoon, the wind swings onshore from the west or WSW, and it chops the place up. The morning windows are the only game in town. There’s no big swell coming, so if you want a wave, you’ve got to be on it early. The exposed beach break here means that the long-period groundswells (over 15 seconds) might feel a bit too straight and fat, but with the glassy mornings, it’ll still be fun.
Keep an eye on the 14th, 15th, 16th, and 17th of September mornings—they offer small, clean surf, but nothing to write home about. The best of the best is the 8th, 19th, and 21st of September mornings for the glass.
Stay stoked, and get out there before the wind ruins it.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastModerate rain (total 18mm), heaviest on Sun night. Warm (max 31°C on Sun afternoon, min 25°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 9mm), mostly falling on Wed night. Warm (max 31°C on Wed afternoon, min 25°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Sunday 6 | Monday 7 | Tuesday 8 | Wednesday 9 | Thursday 10 | Friday 11 | Saturday 12 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 14 | WSW 15 | WSW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | WSW 13 | SW 18 | SW 13 | WSW 16 | WSW 17 | WSW 17 | WSW 17 | WSW 16 | WSW 16 | WSW 15 | WSW 15 | WSW 14 | WSW 14 | WSW 14 | WSW 13 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 367 | 372 | 264 | 208 | 206 | 144 | 123 | 84 | 103 | 175 | 246 | 386 | 493 | 397 | 436 | 298 | 246 | 186 | 183 | 134 | 102 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | on | glassy | cross-off | cross-on | glassy | glassy | on | off | glassy | cross-on | off | cross | cross-on | cross-off | off | cross-on | cross | off | cross-on | glassy |
High Tide | 6:14PM1.53m | 8:37AM1.45m | 7:14PM1.67m | 8:52AM1.54m | 8:01PM1.77m | 9:10AM1.62m | 8:41PM1.83m | 9:30AM1.69m | 9:18PM1.82m | 9:49AM1.73m | 9:52PM1.75m | 10:08AM1.76m | 10:24PM1.64m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 1:01PM1.12m | 1:40AM0.21m | 1:40PM0.94m | 2:15AM0.12m | 2:14PM0.76m | 2:45AM0.10m | 2:47PM0.61m | 3:13AM0.14m | 3:18PM0.48m | 3:38AM0.23m | 3:49PM0.39m | 4:00AM0.35m | 4:19PM0.35m | ||||||||
 |  |  | |  |  | | | | | | | | | | | |  | | | | |
 | 6:46 | — | — | 6:47 | — | — | 6:47 | — | — | 6:47 | — | — | 6:48 | — | — | 6:48 | — | — | 6:48 | — | — |
 | — | 7:15 | — | — | 7:14 | — | — | 7:13 | — | — | 7:12 | — | — | 7:10 | — | — | 7:09 | — | — | 7:08 | — |
mm | 1 | — | 11 | — | — | — | — | — | 6 | — | — | 5 | — | — | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 30 | 31 | 30 | 29 | 30 | 29 | 29 | 30 | 29 | 30 | 31 | 27 | 28 | 30 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 29 | 29 | 30 | 29 |
Feels °C | 34 | 33 | 35 | 33 | 32 | 34 | 33 | 32 | 33 | 33 | 33 | 30 | 31 | 32 | 31 | 33 | 32 | 32 | 32 | 32 | 33 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 14 | WSW 15 | WSW 14 | W 10 | W 11 | W 10 | W 10 | W 10 | SW 13 | WSW 16 | WSW 17 | WSW 17 | WSW 17 | WSW 16 | WSW 16 | WSW 15 | WSW 15 | WSW 14 | WSW 14 | WSW 14 | WSW 13 |
| kJ | 367 | 372 | 264 | 130 | 143 | 100 | 70 | 66 | 79 | 175 | 246 | 386 | 493 | 397 | 436 | 298 | 246 | 186 | 183 | 134 | 102 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 11 | WSW 11 | WSW 10 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | WSW 13 | SW 13 | W 9 | W 9 | SW 12 | SW 12 | W 9 | W 8 | W 8 | W 8 | SW 8 | SSW 7 | W 8 | WSW 18 | W 7 |
| kJ | 153 | 153 | 147 | 208 | 206 | 144 | 116 | 84 | 43 | 41 | 52 | 50 | 24 | 23 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 5 | 5 | 61 | 4 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 20 | SW 20 | SW 20 | WSW 19 | WSW 18 | WSW 18 | WSW 18 | SW 18 | WSW 16 | SW 12 | W 9 | W 9 | SSW 11 | SW 11 | — | SW 9 | WSW 19 | W 8 | SSW 7 | SSW 9 | SSW 9 |
| kJ | 8 | 15 | 15 | 72 | 67 | 62 | 123 | 78 | 103 | 74 | 26 | 25 | 46 | 31 | — | 13 | 37 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 7 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | NW 5 | — | — | — | — | WNW 8 | — | — | W 8 | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 6 | — | — | — | — | 12 | — | — | 10 | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 183 | 0 | 0 | 182 | 0 | 0 | 182 | 0 | 0 | 182 | 0 | 61 | 182 | 0 | 0 | 182 | 19 | 0 | 182 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Nayarit | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Mexico | |||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Playa Novillero Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Playa Novillero provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Playa Novillero can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Playa Novillero surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Playa Novillero) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Playa Novillero may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Nayarit? If you are looking for accommodation near Playa Novillero, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Nayarit, consider staying in Acaponeta which is 37 km (23 miles) away. Other places in and around Nayarit where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Escuinapa de Hidalgo which is 51 km (32 miles) away and Santiago Ixcuintla, 81 km (50 miles) away.
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