
Surf Forecasts:
Playa Novillero surf forecast from 10 Sep 2026:
- Best quality surf: Thursday 10 Sep, 3AM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 17s period, WSW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Thursday 10 Sep, 9AM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 17s period, WSW swell with 493 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 10 Sep, 12AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.8m), 17s period with WSW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Playa Novillero this week:
The surf forecast for Playa Novillero over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Sep 10) at 12AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.8m and 17s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 9s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Playa Novillero in the next 16 days are 0.9m 17s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Sep 10) at 9AM. Winds are predicted to be glassy at the time the swell arrives.
| Wave Type | Time (CST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 12AM (Thu 10th Sep) | 2.5ft (0.8m) 17s |
| Best Surf | 3AM (Thu 10th Sep) | 3ft (0.9m) 17s |
| Most Powerful | 9AM (Thu 10th Sep) | 3ft (0.9m) 17s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Playa Novillero over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
G’day, Rusty here. Let’s take a look at what’s on the menu for Playa Novillero over the next couple of weeks. It’s an exposed southwest swell spot, and the pattern is all about the mornings—the wind goes onshore every afternoon, so you gotta be an early bird.
The water’s a warm 89°F, which is a solid few degrees warmer than average for this time of year, so it’s a warm one. The first few days are small. Wednesday morning sees a 2ft swell with a long 16-second period, but the energy is weak (274). It’s glassy though, so there’s a few clean rollers to be had if you’re keen.
Thursday morning is the first real standout. The swell pushes to 3ft with a 17-second period, and the energy jumps into the moderate range (538). It’s glassy and running, and that long period groundswell will give it some proper shape. Friday morning is similar, 3ft of swell with a 15-second pulse (314), but it’s a touch less consistent.
The weekend is a bit quieter. Saturday morning has 2ft of swell with a cross-off breeze, keeping things clean. Sunday morning is smaller at 2ft, and there’s a risk of thunderstorms, so it’s not ideal. By Monday the 14th, the swell drops to 1ft, but the period stretches out to a very long 18 seconds. It’ll be tiny and slow, but clean—a longboard sort of day.
Now, the real gems are in the second half of the month. On Wednesday the 16th, we’ve got a 3ft west-southwest swell with a 16-second period and moderate energy (511). The morning has a light cross-off breeze, making for clean, lined-up waves. That’s a good one. Then the 20th of September brings another excellent morning—3ft of swell, a 19-second period, and energy climbing to 522. That long-period groundswell will have some push, but it might straighten out a bit on the beach break. Still, it’ll be fun.
The pick of the bunch looks like Monday the 21st. We’ve got 3ft of swell with a 17-second period and energy at 514. It’s glassy, clean, and the offshore ENE breeze is just right. That’s a morning to make the most of. The mornings through to the 24th continue to offer these clean windows, though the energy fades a little near the end.
So there you have it—nothing big, but a lot of clean, fun waves on offer. The afternoons are mostly blown out, so dawn patrol is your friend. The swell stays under 3ft for the whole run, so it’s fine for intermediates, and the long periods give it a bit of grunt. It’s not a pumping swell, but it’s consistent enough, and when the conditions line up, it’ll be worth it. Keep an eye on Thursday the 10th, Wednesday the 16th, and Monday the 21st.
Stay stoked.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 3mm), mostly falling on Wed night. Warm (max 32°C on Wed afternoon, min 26°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryModerate rain (total 11mm), heaviest on Sun night. Warm (max 31°C on Sun afternoon, min 25°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wednesday 9 | Thursday 10 | Friday 11 | Saturday 12 | Sunday 13 | Monday 14 | Tuesday 15 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 16 | WSW 17 | WSW 17 | WSW 17 | WSW 16 | WSW 16 | WSW 15 | WSW 15 | SW 14 | WSW 14 | WSW 14 | WSW 13 | WSW 13 | WSW 13 | WSW 19 | WSW 18 | WSW 18 | WSW 18 | WSW 16 | WSW 16 | WSW 16 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
175 | 246 | 386 | 493 | 397 | 436 | 298 | 246 | 214 | 183 | 178 | 102 | 118 | 114 | 145 | 121 | 174 | 273 | 220 | 343 | 417 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | glassy | cross-on | cross-off | glassy | cross-on | off | glassy | on | glassy | cross-off | on | glassy | off | on | off | off | cross-on | cross-off | off | cross-on | off |
High Tide | 9:10AM1.62m | 8:41PM1.83m | 9:30AM1.69m | 9:18PM1.82m | 9:49AM1.73m | 9:52PM1.75m | 10:08AM1.76m | 10:24PM1.64m | 10:27AM1.75m | 10:55PM1.50m | 10:43AM1.72m | 11:24PM1.34m | 10:58AM1.67m | 11:52PM1.18m | |||||||
Low Tide | 2:47PM0.61m | 3:13AM0.14m | 3:18PM0.48m | 3:38AM0.23m | 3:49PM0.39m | 4:00AM0.35m | 4:19PM0.35m | 4:18AM0.48m | 4:48PM0.36m | 4:32AM0.61m | 5:16PM0.41m | 4:41AM0.72m | 5:45PM0.49m | ||||||||
6:47 | — | — | 6:48 | — | — | 6:48 | — | — | 6:48 | — | — | 6:48 | — | — | 6:48 | — | — | 6:48 | — | — | |
— | 7:12 | — | — | 7:10 | — | — | 7:09 | — | — | 7:08 | — | — | 7:07 | — | — | 7:07 | — | — | 7:06 | — | |
mm | — | — | 1 | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | 8 | — | — | — | — | — | 3 |
Temp °C | 31 | 32 | 30 | 29 | 30 | 29 | 29 | 30 | 29 | 30 | 30 | 29 | 30 | 31 | 29 | 30 | 30 | 29 | 30 | 30 | 29 |
Feels °C | 33 | 32 | 33 | 33 | 33 | 33 | 32 | 33 | 32 | 33 | 32 | 34 | 34 | 33 | 33 | 33 | 30 | 32 | 33 | 31 | 32 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 16 | WSW 17 | WSW 17 | WSW 17 | WSW 16 | WSW 16 | WSW 15 | WSW 15 | SW 14 | WSW 14 | WSW 14 | WSW 13 | WSW 13 | WSW 13 | SW 13 | WSW 18 | WSW 18 | WSW 18 | WSW 16 | WSW 16 | WSW 16 |
175 | 246 | 386 | 493 | 397 | 436 | 298 | 246 | 214 | 183 | 178 | 102 | 118 | 114 | 83 | 121 | 174 | 273 | 220 | 343 | 417 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 12 | W 9 | WNW 9 | W 8 | SW 11 | WNW 8 | W 8 | SW 10 | W 7 | W 5 | WSW 18 | W 5 | W 6 | WSW 19 | WSW 19 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 12 | W 11 | W 26 |
73 | 25 | 26 | 22 | 31 | 13 | 11 | 15 | 4 | 4 | 31 | 5 | 11 | 74 | 145 | 75 | 51 | 36 | 21 | 2 | 13 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 9 | SW 12 | SW 12 | W 8 | W 8 | WNW 8 | SSW 7 | W 8 | W 20 | WSW 18 | SW 6 | WSW 21 | WSW 20 | WSW 16 | W 5 | W 5 | W 5 | W 5 | SW 19 | W 26 | — |
26 | 52 | 50 | 23 | 21 | 13 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 31 | 1 | 45 | 37 | 51 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 58 | 13 | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | W 5 | — | — | W 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | NW 10 |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 4 | — | — | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 4 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 141 | 0 | 0 | 182 | 0 | 0 | 182 | 0 | 0 | 182 | 0 | 0 | 144 | 0 | 0 | 182 | 0 | 0 | 182 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Nayarit | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Mexico | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Playa Novillero Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Playa Novillero provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Playa Novillero can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Playa Novillero surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Playa Novillero) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Playa Novillero may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Nayarit? If you are looking for accommodation near Playa Novillero, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Nayarit, consider staying in Acaponeta which is 37 km (23 miles) away. Other places in and around Nayarit where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Escuinapa de Hidalgo which is 51 km (32 miles) away and Santiago Ixcuintla, 81 km (50 miles) away.










