Surf Forecasts:
Playa Novillero surf forecast from 13 Sep 2026:
- Best quality surf: Wednesday 16 Sep, 9AM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 16s period, WSW swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Wednesday 16 Sep, 9AM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 16s period, WSW swell with 447 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 12 Sep, 9PM (local time) - 2ft (0.6m), 14s period with WSW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Playa Novillero this week:
The surf forecast for Playa Novillero over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Sep 12) at 9PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.6m and 14s period with a secondary swell of 0.2m and 18s. Another secondary swell of 0.4m and 3s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Playa Novillero in the next 16 days are 0.9m 16s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Sep 16) at 9AM. Winds are predicted to be glassy at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.3m 2s period and expected on Monday (Sep 14) at 3AM.
| Wave Type | Time (CST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 9PM (Sat 12th Sep) | 2ft (0.6m) 14s |
| Best Surf | 9AM (Wed 16th Sep) | 3ft (0.9m) 16s |
| Most Powerful | 9AM (Wed 16th Sep) | 3ft (0.9m) 16s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Playa Novillero over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's talk about what's on the menu for Playa Novillero over the next couple of weeks. It's a bit of a mixed bag, but there are definitely some windows where you'll want to have your board ready.
Right now, we're looking at a bit of a slow start. The surf is small and the conditions are pretty ordinary through Saturday afternoon. The real story starts to shape up from Sunday morning the 13th onwards. We've got a consistent run of small, long-period groundswell from the WSW, with the period hanging around 13 to 20 seconds. This kind of long-period swell means better shaped waves, but it can make a beach break like this close out a bit, so keep your eyes open.
The standout period is definitely from Wednesday morning the 16th through to Monday morning the 21st. The water is sitting at a balmy 90°F, which is much warmer than normal for this time of year. You won't need a wetsuit, that's for sure.
For the best of the best, I'm looking at Wednesday morning the 16th. The swell is pushing about 3ft from the WSW, with a period of 16 seconds. The combined energy is strong at 505, and we've got glassy conditions with a light breeze from the ENE. It's going to be clean, lined up, and beautiful. This is a morning for the experienced surfer, as the long period will produce some nice, powerful waves.
Another absolute gem is Sunday morning the 20th. Again, about 3ft of WSW groundswell with a 19-second period, and the energy is even stronger at 526. The wind is light and cross-offshore from the SE, so the face will be clean. This is another session for those who know their way around a long-period swell at a beach break.
A few other mornings are worth setting the alarm for. Monday morning the 14th has about 1ft of 18-second swell, clean with a light offshore breeze. Tuesday morning the 15th has 2ft of 16-second swell, clean with a light offshore. Thursday morning the 17th has 2ft of 14-second swell and glassy conditions. Friday morning the 18th has 2ft of 20-second swell, clean with a cross-offshore breeze. Saturday morning the 19th has 2ft of 18-second swell, glassy with a light breeze.
After that, things start to taper off a little. Monday morning the 21st still looks okay, with about 3ft of 17-second swell and glassy conditions, but the quality is a step down. Tuesday and Wednesday mornings the 22nd and 23rd have clean conditions with a cross-offshore breeze, but the swell is a touch smaller. From Thursday the 24th onward, the energy drops off and the conditions become more ordinary. There's a gap from Thursday afternoon right through until Sunday morning the 27th, where the surf is either small, onshore, or just not worth the paddle. Sunday morning the 27th might offer a small, glassy window, but it's a long way out and not something to bank on.
So, to sum it up: the first week has a few clean, small windows. The absolute best is Wednesday the 16th and Sunday the 20th. After that, it gets pretty quiet. Get on it while you can.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastModerate rain (total 11mm), heaviest on Sun night. Warm (max 31°C on Sun afternoon, min 25°C on Mon morning). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Tue night. Warm (max 31°C on Thu afternoon, min 26°C on Tue night). Wind will be generally light. | |||||||||||||||||||
Sat 12 | Sunday 13 | Monday 14 | Tuesday 15 | Wednesday 16 | Thursday 17 | Friday 18 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 14 | WSW 13 | WSW 13 | WSW 13 | WSW 19 | WSW 18 | WSW 18 | WSW 18 | WSW 16 | SW 16 | WSW 16 | WSW 16 | WSW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | WSW 20 | WSW 20 | WSW 19 | WSW 19 |
Wave Graph  | ||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 178 | 102 | 118 | 98 | 145 | 121 | 204 | 273 | 220 | 274 | 343 | 447 | 322 | 217 | 214 | 211 | 234 | 216 | 332 | 246 |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | glassy | off | on | cross | off | cross-on | glassy | off | on | off | glassy | cross-on | cross | glassy | cross-on | cross | cross-off | cross-on | cross-on |
High Tide | 10:24PM1.64m | 10:27AM1.75m | 10:55PM1.50m | 10:43AM1.72m | 11:24PM1.34m | 10:58AM1.67m | 11:52PM1.18m | 11:09AM1.59m | 00:21AM1.02m | 11:14AM1.51m | 11:04AM1.42m | |||||||||
Low Tide | 4:19PM0.35m | 4:18AM0.48m | 4:48PM0.36m | 4:32AM0.61m | 5:16PM0.41m | 4:41AM0.72m | 5:45PM0.49m | 4:42AM0.82m | 6:17PM0.60m | 4:25AM0.88m | 7:06PM0.72m | 00:41AM0.71m | ||||||||
 |  | | |  |  |  |  | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
 | — | — | 6:48 | — | — | 6:48 | — | — | 6:48 | — | — | 6:48 | — | — | 6:50 | — | — | 6:50 | — | — |
 | 7:08 | — | — | 7:07 | — | — | 7:07 | — | — | 7:06 | — | — | 7:05 | — | — | 7:04 | — | — | 7:02 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | 11 | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 73 |
Temp °C | 30 | 29 | 30 | 31 | 30 | 29 | 31 | 29 | 30 | 30 | 28 | 30 | 30 | 29 | 30 | 31 | 29 | 30 | 31 | 28 |
Feels °C | 32 | 32 | 33 | 34 | 36 | 32 | 33 | 33 | 33 | 32 | 32 | 33 | 31 | 32 | 34 | 33 | 32 | 34 | 34 | 31 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 14 | WSW 13 | WSW 13 | WSW 13 | SW 13 | WSW 18 | WSW 18 | WSW 18 | WSW 16 | SW 16 | WSW 16 | WSW 16 | WSW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | WSW 13 | WSW 13 | WSW 19 |
| kJ | 178 | 102 | 118 | 98 | 83 | 121 | 204 | 273 | 220 | 274 | 343 | 447 | 322 | 217 | 214 | 211 | 147 | 116 | 154 | 246 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 18 | WNW 4 | W 4 | WSW 19 | WSW 19 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 11 | WSW 6 | WSW 24 | SW 11 | WSW 23 | WSW 21 | WSW 21 | WSW 20 | WSW 20 | WSW 19 | SW 13 |
| kJ | 61 | 4 | 3 | 74 | 145 | 75 | 37 | 36 | 21 | 4 | 4 | 54 | 19 | 101 | 180 | 180 | 234 | 216 | 332 | 83 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 9 | WSW 21 | WSW 20 | WSW 16 | W 5 | W 5 | W 12 | W 5 | SW 19 | SW 6 | W 26 | WSW 6 | WSW 24 | SW 6 | WNW 4 | — | NW 4 | WNW 4 | — | WNW 4 |
| kJ | 8 | 45 | 37 | 51 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 2 | 58 | 1 | 13 | 4 | 54 | 1 | 1 | — | 3 | 3 | — | 3 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WNW 2 | — | — | W 4 | — | S 3 | W 4 | — | — | WNW 2 | — | — | W 6 | NW 4 | — | W 6 | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | 1 | — | — | 3 | — | 2 | 2 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 7 | 3 | — | 6 | — | — | — | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 182 | 0 | 0 | 182 | 19 | 0 | 106 | 0 | 0 | 182 | 0 | 0 | 182 | 19 | 0 | 398 | 19 | 0 | 182 | 19 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Nayarit | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Mexico | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Playa Novillero Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Playa Novillero provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Playa Novillero can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Playa Novillero surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Playa Novillero) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Playa Novillero may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Nayarit? If you are looking for accommodation near Playa Novillero, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Nayarit, consider staying in Acaponeta which is 37 km (23 miles) away. Other places in and around Nayarit where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Escuinapa de Hidalgo which is 51 km (32 miles) away and Santiago Ixcuintla, 81 km (50 miles) away.
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