Playa Novillero Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, this is Rusty, and I’m looking at what’s coming up for us here at Playa Novillero. The water’s sitting at a balmy 90°, which is much warmer than usual for this time of year—so you’ll be in for a proper warm bath if you’re paddling out.

We’ve got a bit of a slow start, but things really start cooking by Sunday the 19th. The first few days are small but clean, so let’s walk through it.

Friday the 17th, the morning kicks off with a tiny 1ft southwest swell, period a super long 19 seconds, and light cross-offshore winds. The energy is weak right now (200), but the waves are clean. It’s a gentle intro, nothing to get excited about, but the conditions are right for a log.

Saturday the 18th morning sees a little bump to 2ft, still from the WSW, with a long 18-second period and light offshore winds. The energy ticks up to moderate (328), and the surf is clean. It’s still small, but the shape will be there.

Now, Sunday the 19th morning is where we start to see some life. Swell bumps to 3ft, still WSW, period 17 seconds, and cross-offshore winds. The combined energy jumps to 533 (moderate), and the report says expect very good surf conditions. There’s a risk of thunderstorms, but that’s the price for a bit of push.

Monday the 20th morning is the first real standout. A 3ft WSW swell with a 16-second period, light offshore winds from the NE, and strong moderate energy at 572. The surf is clean, and the conditions are very good. This is a solid morning for an intermediate surfer—not too big, but enough to get a proper wave.

Tuesday the 21st and Wednesday the 22nd mornings both offer clean, glassy conditions with 3ft swell, light winds, and moderate energy. The swell period drops a bit, but the glassy mornings will make for some silky sessions.

The next big highlight lands on Friday the 24th morning. Swell is 2ft, but the period is a very long 24 seconds, and the combined energy is strong at 694. The wind is glassy, and the surf is expected to be very good. That long period groundswell will wrap in nicely, but it might be a bit straight for the beach break—best for the points or reef if there’s one, but still a treat.

Saturday the 25th and Sunday the 26th mornings keep the good run going with 3ft to 3ft swell, cross-offshore winds, and energy building into the 800s. The surf is very good, and the wind keeps it clean.

Now, the absolute best on offer is Monday the 27th morning. Swell hits 4ft from the WSW, period 18 seconds, and it’s glassy. The combined energy is a strong 1127, and the report says excellent surf conditions for experienced surfers. This is the one to circle on the calendar. That’s a proper size, clean, and powerful. It’s going to be a standout.

Tuesday the 28th morning is also a ripper: 4ft, glassy, energy at 987, and very good surf. Another morning for the better board.

After that, the surf slowly fades through the end of the month and into August, with smaller swells and more onshore wind in the afternoons. The mornings still offer clean, surfable waves, but nothing will match that Monday the 27th.

So, if you’re picking one day, get out there on Monday the 27th. That’s the call.

- Rusty

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