Playa Novillero Surf Break

Playa Novillero Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Lat Long: 22.40° N 105.70° W

Issued: 11 pm 04 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Playa Novillero sea temperature is
31.6° C

2.8°C warmer than normal for this time of year

Playa Novillero surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Playa Novillero surf forecast from 5 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Monday 6 Jul, 12AM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 16s period, SW swell with glassy winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Tuesday 7 Jul, 3PM (local time) - 4ft (1.2m), 18s period, WSW swell with 835 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 5 Jul, 6AM (local time) - 2ft (0.6m), 18s period with WSW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Playa Novillero this week:

The surf forecast for Playa Novillero over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jul 05) at 6AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.6m and 18s period with a secondary swell of 0.6m and 14s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Playa Novillero in the next 16 days are 1.2m 18s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jul 07) at 3PM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives.

Wave TypeTime (CST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 6AM (Sun 5th Jul)2ft (0.6m) 18s
Best Surf12AM (Mon 6th Jul)3ft (0.9m) 16s
Most Powerful 3PM (Tue 7th Jul)4ft (1.2m) 18s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Playa Novillero over the next 16 days.


Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s on the cards for Playa Novillero over the next couple of weeks. It’s a bit of a slow-burner, but there are a few windows where it’ll really turn it on.

The first week kicks off with a classic long-period groundswell from the WSW, and the energy is building nicely. Sunday the 5th starts with a glassy 2ft wave from the WSW with a very long 18-second period – the combined energy is a solid 430 (moderate energy). That long period means it’ll have plenty of push, but at a beach setup, it might run a bit straight. For the first call of the run, it’s a clean start. Monday the 6th morning is even better: glassy conditions again with 3ft from the WSW and 16-second period, and the combined energy jumps to 527 (moderate energy). Tuesday the 7th is the standout of the early week – a clean 3ft from the WSW, 18-second period, and the energy hits 697 (moderate energy). The wind is light and cross-off, so it’ll be clean.

The water temp here is about average for the time of year. No major anomaly to worry about.

Wednesday the 8th morning stays clean with 4ft from the SW and 17-second period, combined energy at 663 (moderate energy). The afternoons this whole week get a bit onshore and messy – they’re not worth your time. Thursday the 9th and Friday the 10th mornings get a bit choppy with cross-shore winds and some risk of thunderstorms, so the quality drops.

Saturday the 11th morning looks promising again – glassy, 3ft from the WSW with 15-second period, energy at 381 (moderate). Sunday the 12th morning is a flat calm with zero wind – glassy 3ft from the SW. This is a good chance for a sneaky session without crowds.

The second week sees the energy drop off a bit. Monday the 14th morning has a tiny 1ft from the SW but with a very long 19-second period – it’ll be weak (181 energy) but clean. Wednesday the 16th morning is a standout for that week – glassy 2ft from the WSW, 16-second period, and a clean 209 energy.

Looking further out, Sunday the 20th morning brings a real spike: 4ft from the WSW, 12-second period, combined energy 526 (moderate) and glassy conditions. That’s the one to circle on the calendar. It’s still a bit far off, so treat it as a promising call rather than a locked-in certainty.

For the true best on offer, I’m calling Tuesday the 7th morning and Monday the 20th morning as the standouts. Both are glassy with that long-period WSW groundswell. The 7th has the extra refinement of the cross-off wind.

If you’re a beginner, most of these waves are under 5ft so you’re fine. The bigger window on the 20th with 4ft is still manageable. For the experts, there’s no real heavy stuff here – it’s all mellow.

Crowds? Playa Novillero can get busy sometimes, but with these mixed conditions, it shouldn’t be too hectic.

Alright, that’s the story. Stay stoked.

Rusty

Short Range Forecast

Some drizzle, heaviest during Mon night. Warm (max 30°C on Sun morning, min 27°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Heavy rain (total 23mm), heaviest during Thu morning. Warm (max 30°C on Wed afternoon, min 26°C on Tue night). Wind will be generally light.

Sunday
5
Monday
6
Tuesday
7
Wednesday
8
Thursday
9
Friday
10
Sat
11
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Rating
(10 max)
1
2
0
3
3
0
3
3
0
3
3
0
2
1
1
2
1
0
2
2
1
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.7
SW
18
0.6
WSW
18
0.9
SW
17
0.9
SW
16
0.8
WSW
16
0.7
SW
20
0.8
WSW
19
0.9
WSW
18
1.2
WSW
18
1.1
SW
17
1.1
SW
17
1.1
SW
16
0.9
WSW
16
0.9
WSW
16
0.9
SW
16
0.9
SW
15
0.9
SW
15
0.9
SW
15
0.9
SW
15
0.8
WSW
15
0.9
SW
14
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
316
209
405
376
322
388
470
553
835
695
663
610
447
441
353
322
314
314
331
272
305
Wind (km/h)
5
WSW
5
ESE
15
WSW
5
ENE
5
S
15
W
10
ENE
5
ESE
20
WSW
10
ENE
10
SE
15
WSW
5
WNW
10
S
10
SSW
5
E
10
NNW
25
W
5
NE
5
E
10
NW
Wind State
on
glassy
on
glassy
glassy
on
off
cross-off
on
off
cross-off
on
glassy
cross
cross-on
glassy
cross
on
cross-off
glassy
cross
High Tide
11:35PM1.47m
1:16PM1.39m
00:27AM1.32m
1:59PM1.42m
1:50AM1.16m
2:52PM1.47m
4:11AM1.07m
3:56PM1.52m
6:32AM1.12m
5:02PM1.60m
7:51AM1.24m
6:04PM1.70m
8:41AM1.34m
Low Tide
6:25AM0.48m
6:51PM0.89m
6:58AM0.62m
8:15PM0.86m
7:39AM0.76m
10:10PM0.75m
8:38AM0.91m
11:46PM0.56m
10:21AM1.02m
00:50AM0.34m
12:00PM1.05m
1:42AM0.15m
1:08PM1.02m
part cloud
cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
part cloud
thunderstorm
part cloud
clear
thunderstorm
part cloud
part cloud
thunderstorm
thunderstorm
cloud
thunderstorm
thunderstorm
rain showers
thunderstorm
thunderstorm
part cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:22
6:22
6:24
6:24
6:24
6:24
6:24
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
7:51
7:51
7:51
7:51
7:50
7:50
7:50
 mm
1
3
6
7
5
1
1
15
5
Temp °C
29
30
30
29
30
30
29
29
30
28
29
30
29
27
27
27
29
29
25
27
28
Feels °C
33
33
32
33
33
31
34
31
31
33
31
31
32
29
30
31
31
29
30
31
31
Swell 1
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.7
SW
18
0.6
SW
14
0.9
SW
17
0.9
SW
16
0.8
WSW
16
0.8
WSW
16
0.8
WSW
19
0.9
WSW
18
1.2
WSW
18
1.1
SW
17
1.1
SW
17
1.1
SW
16
0.9
WSW
16
0.9
WSW
16
0.9
SW
16
0.9
SW
15
0.9
SW
15
0.9
SW
15
0.9
SW
15
0.8
WSW
15
0.9
SW
14
Energy kJ
316
167
405
376
322
314
470
553
835
695
663
610
447
441
353
322
314
314
331
272
305
Swell 2
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.5
SW
13
0.6
WSW
18
0.2
WSW
23
0.4
WSW
21
0.5
SW
20
0.7
SW
20
0.6
WSW
14
0.6
WSW
14
0.2
W
6
0.2
W
4
0.4
SW
18
Energy kJ
85
209
54
180
200
388
140
140
3
1
109
Swell 3
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.3
W
3
0.2
WSW
24
0.2
WSW
8
0.3
WSW
8
0.2
WSW
7
0.3
WSW
7
0.2
W
7
Energy kJ
2
54
6
11
5
9
4
Wind waves
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.3
WSW
2
0.3
WSW
7
0.2
W
4
0.3
WNW
2
Energy kJ
1
9
1
1
Nearest Offshore or Glassy
Rating
(10 max)
2
2
1
3
3
2
3
3
2
3
3
3
2
1
2
2
2
3
2
2
1
Distance (km)
19
0
182
0
0
182
0
0
183
0
0
167
0
184
106
0
106
212
0
0
182
Best forecast wave conditions in Nayarit
Rating
(10 max)
3
3
1
3
3
2
3
3
2
3
3
1
3
1
2
2
2
2
2
1
Best forecast wave conditions in Mexico
Rating
(10 max)
3
4
3
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
3
4
3
3
3
3
3
4
3
2
Header Global
Rating
(10 max)
9
7
5
6
8
7
5
5
9
8
9
9
5
6
6
5
8
7
4
9
9
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Playa Novillero Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Playa Novillero provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Playa Novillero can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Playa Novillero surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Playa Novillero) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Playa Novillero may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Are you planning a holiday in Nayarit? If you are looking for accommodation near Playa Novillero, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Nayarit, consider staying in Acaponeta which is 37 km (23 miles) away. Other places in and around Nayarit where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Escuinapa de Hidalgo which is 51 km (32 miles) away and Santiago Ixcuintla, 81 km (50 miles) away.

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