
Surf Forecasts:
Playa Novillero surf forecast from 11 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Friday 17 Jul, 6AM (local time) - 5.5ft (1.7m), 14s period, SW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Friday 17 Jul, 3AM (local time) - 5.5ft (1.7m), 14s period, SW swell with 1,147 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 12 Jul, 3AM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 16s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Playa Novillero this week:
The surf forecast for Playa Novillero over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jul 12) at 3AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.9m and 16s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 4s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Playa Novillero in the next 16 days are 1.7m 14s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 17) at 3AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives.
| Wave Type | Time (CST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 3AM (Sun 12th Jul) | 3ft (0.9m) 16s |
| Best Surf | 6AM (Fri 17th Jul) | 5.5ft (1.7m) 14s |
| Most Powerful | 3AM (Fri 17th Jul) | 5.5ft (1.7m) 14s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Playa Novillero over the next 16 days.
G’day, I’m Rusty. Let’s look at what Playa Novillero has cookin’ over the next couple of weeks.
Right off the bat, Saturday morning July 11th is a sweet little window. The water’s sitting at 90° – that’s about 6° warmer than usual for this time of year, so it’s much warmer than normal. You’ve got a clean 3ft swell from the WSW with a 14-second period, and the wind is glassy out of the NNE at just 3 mph. Combined swell energy is moderate at 377. It’s not a big day, but for a morning paddle that’s clean and user-friendly, it’s a nice start. The afternoon goes cross-on and choppy though, so get out early.
Sunday morning July 12th is similar – 3ft from the SW, 14 seconds, and clean with cross-off wind. Not a standout, but a solid option.
Monday morning July 13th drops to 2ft – still clean but small. The real energy starts building toward the end of the week. Thursday morning July 16th shows a nice pulse: 3ft from the SW at 16 seconds, clean cross-off breeze, and combined energy of 435 (moderate). That’s a fun little swell.
Friday July 17th morning bumps up to 4ft from the WSW at 15 seconds, with a cross breeze and combined energy of 984 (moderate-strong). It’s a bit marginal with tide concerns, but there’s push.
Saturday July 18th morning sees the swell hit 5ft from the WSW at 13 seconds, and combined energy jumps to 1236 – that’s strong energy. The wind is cross and light, so it’s rideable, but the afternoon gets cross-on and choppy. This is a decent option for intermediate surfers, but it’s not a clean standout.
Now, the real standout is Tuesday July 21st morning. This is the best on offer. You’ve got 5ft of SW swell at 11 seconds, with a clean offshore wind from the NE at just 3 mph. Combined energy is 839 (strong). The water is still warm, the wind is off, and the waves have some push. That’s a solid morning session for intermediates and above.
Wednesday July 22nd morning is also clean at 3ft from the SW, 10 seconds, with cross-off wind. Good for a longboard or funboard.
Then we get to Friday July 24th morning – this one is for the experienced crew. 7ft from the SW at 12 seconds, glassy wind out of the NNE at 3 mph, and combined energy of 1258 (very strong). That’s a powerful swell, too big for beginners, but for the seasoned surfer it’s excellent. The afternoon goes onshore and messy.
Saturday July 25th morning drops to 4ft, glassy, clean – a nice recovery day.
Sunday July 26th morning wraps it up with 3ft from the WSW, 18 seconds, clean cross-off breeze. Combined energy 582 (moderate). Long period, so it’ll be better shaped at the point or reef sections, but Playa Novillero is an exposed beach setup, so it might break a bit straight. Still, it’s clean and worth a look.
There’s a bit of a gap in the middle of the first week where afternoons are mostly blown out, but the mornings keep delivering. Overall, the pattern is optimistic – consistent swell with clean windows most mornings. No huge gaps.
If you’re a beginner, stick to the sub-5ft mornings. If you’re intermediate or better, circle Tuesday July 21st and Friday July 24th as your best bets.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastModerate rain (total 11mm), heaviest on Mon night. Warm (max 31°C on Sat afternoon, min 26°C on Mon night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 9mm), mostly falling on Tue night. Warm (max 31°C on Thu afternoon, min 27°C on Tue morning). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Saturday 11 | Sunday 12 | Monday 13 | Tuesday 14 | Wednesday 15 | Thursday 16 | Friday 17 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 14 | SW 14 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | WSW 20 | SW 19 | WSW 18 | WSW 18 | SW 15 | WSW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 14 | SW 15 | WSW 15 | SW 12 | SW 11 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
268 | 305 | 335 | 268 | 231 | 211 | 160 | 148 | 149 | 92 | 207 | 178 | 61 | 173 | 306 | 416 | 361 | 1108 | 568 | 624 | 398 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | glassy | cross-on | cross-on | cross-off | cross-on | cross | cross-off | on | glassy | glassy | on | glassy | cross-off | on | glassy | cross-off | on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross-on |
High Tide | 7:01PM1.81m | 9:22AM1.42m | 7:52PM1.89m | 10:00AM1.46m | 8:40PM1.94m | 10:36AM1.49m | 9:25PM1.93m | 11:11AM1.49m | 10:09PM1.86m | 11:45AM1.49m | 10:51PM1.73m | 12:17PM1.48m | 11:32PM1.56m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 1:08PM1.02m | 2:28AM-0.00m | 2:01PM0.97m | 3:12AM-0.09m | 2:47PM0.91m | 3:53AM-0.10m | 3:31PM0.86m | 4:32AM-0.05m | 4:13PM0.82m | 5:08AM0.07m | 4:56PM0.80m | 5:41AM0.23m | 5:41PM0.81m | ||||||||
6:24 | — | — | 6:26 | — | — | 6:26 | — | — | 6:26 | — | — | 6:26 | — | — | 6:26 | — | — | 6:28 | — | — | |
— | 7:50 | — | — | 7:50 | — | — | 7:50 | — | — | 7:50 | — | — | 7:50 | — | — | 7:49 | — | — | 7:49 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 10 | — | — | 3 | 1 | — | 1 | — | — | 4 | — | — | 12 |
Temp °C | 30 | 31 | 29 | 30 | 31 | 29 | 30 | 31 | 28 | 30 | 30 | 29 | 30 | 30 | 29 | 30 | 31 | 29 | 30 | 30 | 29 |
Feels °C | 32 | 32 | 32 | 32 | 33 | 32 | 33 | 33 | 34 | 34 | 32 | 33 | 34 | 32 | 34 | 33 | 33 | 33 | 31 | 31 | 31 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 14 | SW 14 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | WSW 18 | SW 13 | SW 15 | WSW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 14 | SW 15 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 11 |
268 | 305 | 335 | 268 | 231 | 211 | 160 | 147 | 142 | 84 | 207 | 83 | 54 | 173 | 306 | 416 | 361 | 1108 | 416 | 624 | 398 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 18 | — | W 23 | WNW 4 | WSW 21 | W 4 | W 4 | WSW 19 | W 5 | SW 19 | SW 13 | WSW 18 | SW 12 | SW 12 | W 3 | W 3 | WSW 16 | — | WSW 15 | WSW 15 | WSW 14 |
109 | — | 11 | 3 | 43 | 8 | 3 | 148 | 8 | 92 | 84 | 178 | 37 | 52 | 3 | 1 | 51 | — | 568 | 305 | 210 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | W 24 | — | WSW 21 | WSW 18 | — | WSW 20 | W 5 | SSW 5 | W 5 | WSW 18 | W 24 | WSW 21 | SW 21 | W 21 | — | — | SW 21 | SW 18 |
— | — | — | 11 | — | 45 | 31 | — | 149 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 61 | 11 | 45 | 18 | 9 | — | — | 18 | 79 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | WNW 2 | WNW 4 | — | W 3 | — | — | W 4 | — | — | W 5 | — | W 5 | W 5 | — | — | W 2 | — | — | — | — |
— | 1 | 5 | — | 5 | — | — | 5 | — | — | 4 | — | 2 | 2 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 182 | 19 | 0 | 182 | 19 | 0 | 212 | 0 | 0 | 182 | 0 | 0 | 182 | 0 | 0 | 183 | 99 | 106 | 182 | 99 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Nayarit | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Mexico | |||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Playa Novillero Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Playa Novillero provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Playa Novillero can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Playa Novillero surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Playa Novillero) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Playa Novillero may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Nayarit? If you are looking for accommodation near Playa Novillero, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Nayarit, consider staying in Acaponeta which is 37 km (23 miles) away. Other places in and around Nayarit where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Escuinapa de Hidalgo which is 51 km (32 miles) away and Santiago Ixcuintla, 81 km (50 miles) away.










