Playa Novillero Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Right, g’day, Rusty here, lookin’ at the surf outlook for the next couple of weeks. The good news is there’s a bit of a pulse coming through, but it’s a waiting game. The first week is a bit of a mixed bag with some clean windows, but the real standout is further out. There’s a big gap of poor conditions after the first couple of days, so don’t get too excited too early.

We kick off on Wednesday the 29th of July with a solid start. Playa Novillero is the only break on the cards, and it’s waking up with a nice 5ft groundswell from the WSW. That’s a long-period swell at 16 seconds, so it’ll have some proper energy behind it – we’re talking moderate wave energy (957). The wind is a light cross-offshore from the SE in the morning, so expect clean conditions. This is your best bet for the near term, but keep in mind, with that long period, the waves might be a bit straight at this beach break, but it’ll still be fun. The water temp is about average for the time of year, no major anomalies.

The next morning, Thursday the 30th, the swell drops to 4ft and the period backs off to 14 seconds, but the wind swings to a cross-shore with a chop, so it’s not looking as appealing. The energy is still moderate (654), but the quality is questionable.

We get a bit of a reprieve on Friday the 31st of July morning. The swell is down to 2ft from the SW, but with a clean cross-offshore breeze from the ESE and only 3 mph, it’ll be small but clean. The energy is weak (275), so it’s a small-wave board kind of morning.

Then things get quiet. From Saturday the 1st of August through to Tuesday the 4th, the swell drops to 2ft or less, with energy dipping below 200. The wind is often glassy or light, but with such little swell, it’s hard to get excited. Wednesday the 5th and Thursday the 6th are similar – tiny waves, clean but small.

Now, the real potential shows up in the second week. Saturday the 8th of August morning, we have a 2ft SW groundswell with a period of 16 seconds, and the wind is glassy from the NE. The energy is moderate (302) and the conditions are clean. That’s a promising morning.

Sunday the 9th of August morning is also a standout. The same 2ft SW swell, but with zero wind – dead calm, glassy conditions. The energy is moderate (235), and it’ll be a peaceful, clean session. This is a great option for a longboard or a fun board.

Monday the 10th of August morning keeps the run going with a 2ft SW swell and a clean cross-offshore breeze. The energy ticks up a bit (288), so it’s still worth a look.

But the pick of the entire forecast, if you can wait for it, is Thursday the 13th of August morning. We’re looking at a 3ft groundswell from the WSW, with a 16-second period and glassy conditions from the south. The combined energy is solid moderate (312). This is the best combination of size, period, and wind we’ve seen. The waves will be clean and have some push. Mark that date, it’s the one to aim for.

Overall, the first few days have some clean windows, but the real quality is in the second week, especially the 9th and 13th of August. The crowds are listed as “sometimes” at Playa Novillero, so you might have some company, but it’s not usually a zoo.

Rusty.

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