Surf Forecasts:
Playa Novillero surf forecast from 16 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Monday 17 Aug, 12AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.8m), 14s period, WSW swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Wednesday 19 Aug, 3AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.8m), 16s period, WSW swell with 318 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 17 Aug, 12AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.8m), 14s period with WSW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Playa Novillero this week:
The surf forecast for Playa Novillero over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 17) at 12AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.8m and 14s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 4s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Playa Novillero in the next 16 days are 0.8m 16s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Aug 19) at 3AM. Winds are predicted to be offshore at the time the swell arrives.
| Wave Type | Time (CST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 12AM (Mon 17th Aug) | 2.5ft (0.8m) 14s |
| Best Surf | 12AM (Mon 17th Aug) | 2.5ft (0.8m) 14s |
| Most Powerful | 3AM (Wed 19th Aug) | 2.5ft (0.8m) 16s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Playa Novillero over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what's cooking.
We've got a solid run of surf on the way at Playa Novillero. The water is sitting at a very unusual 90°, which is much warmer than normal for this time of year – feels like a bath out there. The pattern is clear: the mornings are where the magic happens, with light winds and nice clean conditions, while the afternoons get blown out by onshore breezes.
First up, this Sunday morning, August 16th. It's not big, but with a 3ft swell out of the WSW and a 15-second period, there's some nice long-period groundswell energy backing it up. The combined energy is moderate (274), and with the wind dead glassy from the East, the surface will be perfect. The longer period means the waves will have shape and power, but it could get a bit straight at a beach break like this. Still, for a clean, glassy morning, it's a really nice start.
The pattern holds through Monday, August 17th, and Tuesday, August 18th, with similar 2ft-3ft swells and glassy mornings. The standout window, however, looks to be Wednesday morning, August 19th. The swell drops to 2ft, but the period stretches to 16 seconds, a very long groundswell. The energy is still moderate at 256, but the wind flips offshore from the East. That offshore wind will groom the swell into clean walls. The longer period also suggests better-shaped waves with more energy on the face, though at a beach break it might be a bit straight. For a surfer looking for quality over quantity, this is your morning.
There’s a bit of a lull on the 20th and 21st with smaller, less exciting surf, and then a stormy risk on Saturday the 22nd with messy winds.
The next real highlight rolls around on Sunday morning, August 23rd. Swell picks back up to 2ft with a 15-second period, and the combined energy is back up to 268. With cross-offshore winds from the NNE, the conditions will be clean again. It’s not a huge day, but the consistency and wind alignment are excellent.
Looking into the last week of August, things start to build again. The morning of Wednesday, August 26th, sees a 2ft swell with a 16-second period and an offshore wind from the ENE. It's a smaller day, but that offshore wind makes it worthwhile for a smaller board or a longboard.
The true standout of the entire period is the final few days. Friday morning, August 28th, sees the swell lift to 2ft, with the period holding at 16 seconds. The combined energy jumps to a solid 298, and the wind is a light cross-offshore breeze. It's clean and there's some real push in the water.
But the best is saved for the end. On Saturday morning, August 29th, the swell hits 3ft out of the WSW with a 16-second period. The combined energy is a strong 448, the highest of the whole forecast. With light cross-offshore winds from the East, the waves will be clean, powerful, and have good shape. This is the day to circle. It's just over a week away, so while it looks promising, keep an eye on it.
Another great one lands on Monday morning, August 31st, with a 3ft swell, 14-second period, and glassy conditions from the NE. The energy is again strong at 439. Another cracker to finish the month.
So, the standout windows without a doubt are the mornings of August 29th and August 31st. If you can only get in the water once, aim for that Saturday, August 29th. The swell is the biggest, the energy is the strongest, and the winds are clean. It's going to be a fun one.
Rusty out.
Short Range ForecastHeavy rain (total 41mm), heaviest during Mon night. Warm (max 32°C on Mon afternoon, min 25°C on Mon night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 6mm), mostly falling on Wed night. Warm (max 31°C on Wed afternoon, min 26°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Sunday 16 | Monday 17 | Tuesday 18 | Wednesday 19 | Thursday 20 | Friday 21 | Saturday 22 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 15 | WSW 14 | WSW 14 | WSW 14 | WSW 14 | WSW 16 | WSW 14 | SW 14 | WSW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | WSW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 14 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 14 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
272 | 268 | 268 | 261 | 264 | 181 | 168 | 214 | 314 | 248 | 217 | 167 | 160 | 123 | 87 | 83 | 83 | 97 | 201 | 65 | 160 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | glassy | on | glassy | glassy | on | cross-off | glassy | on | cross-off | off | on | off | cross-off | cross-on | glassy | cross-off | on | glassy | cross | on | glassy |
High Tide | 11:42AM1.61m | 11:49PM1.36m | 12:01PM1.57m | 00:24AM1.17m | 12:19PM1.52m | 1:10AM1.00m | 12:34PM1.45m | 12:47PM1.37m | 11:26AM1.29m | 3:46PM1.30m | 9:46AM1.27m | 5:59PM1.36m | |||||||||
Low Tide | 5:53PM0.61m | 5:31AM0.65m | 6:32PM0.66m | 5:33AM0.78m | 7:20PM0.73m | 5:14AM0.88m | 9:27PM0.79m | 00:52AM0.67m | 1:20PM1.28m | 1:28AM0.53m | 1:25PM1.19m | 1:54AM0.41m | |||||||||
6:39 | — | — | 6:39 | — | — | 6:39 | — | — | 6:41 | — | — | 6:41 | — | — | 6:41 | — | — | 6:41 | — | — | |
— | 7:32 | — | — | 7:31 | — | — | 7:31 | — | — | 7:30 | — | — | 7:30 | — | — | 7:29 | — | — | 7:28 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | 1 | 37 | — | — | 3 | — | — | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | 3 | 1 | — | 14 |
Temp °C | 31 | 31 | 30 | 31 | 32 | 27 | 30 | 30 | 30 | 30 | 31 | 30 | 30 | 31 | 30 | 30 | 31 | 30 | 30 | 30 | 29 |
Feels °C | 36 | 34 | 35 | 36 | 36 | 31 | 33 | 32 | 36 | 34 | 34 | 35 | 33 | 33 | 35 | 33 | 34 | 35 | 33 | 31 | 33 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 15 | WSW 14 | WSW 14 | WSW 14 | WSW 14 | WSW 13 | WSW 14 | SW 14 | WSW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | WSW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 14 | SW 16 | SW 13 | SW 14 |
272 | 268 | 268 | 261 | 264 | 116 | 168 | 214 | 314 | 248 | 217 | 167 | 160 | 123 | 87 | 83 | 83 | 97 | 201 | 61 | 160 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 5 | — | WNW 4 | W 4 | — | WSW 16 | SSW 5 | SSW 5 | W 4 | — | W 20 | WNW 3 | W 4 | WSW 18 | W 3 | SW 16 | SW 16 | W 4 | W 5 | SW 16 | WSW 5 |
2 | — | 4 | 2 | — | 181 | 8 | 4 | 1 | — | 7 | 2 | 1 | 31 | 2 | 69 | 68 | 3 | 4 | 65 | 7 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | W 3 | SW 18 | — | — | W 20 | — | WSW 21 | WSW 19 | W 7 | WSW 19 | W 4 | — | WSW 18 | WSW 21 | WSW 20 | WSW 20 |
— | — | — | — | — | 1 | 79 | — | — | 8 | — | 43 | 37 | 1 | 72 | 1 | — | 61 | 44 | 37 | 75 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | W 5 | — | — | W 2 | — | — | W 5 | — | — | — | — | — | WNW 2 | — | — | W 4 | — | — | WSW 4 | — |
— | 4 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | 3 | — | — | 4 | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 397 | 0 | 0 | 124 | 19 | 0 | 128 | 0 | 0 | 182 | 0 | 0 | 424 | 0 | 0 | 184 | 0 | 171 | 212 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Nayarit | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Mexico | |||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||||
- Map Icons:
Break
Live Wave Height (m)
Live Wind Speed (km/h)
Surf Rating (10 Max)
Ocean Swells (m)
Wind Speed (km/h)
Information about the Playa Novillero Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Playa Novillero provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Playa Novillero can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Playa Novillero surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Playa Novillero) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Playa Novillero may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Nayarit? If you are looking for accommodation near Playa Novillero, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Nayarit, consider staying in Acaponeta which is 37 km (23 miles) away. Other places in and around Nayarit where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Escuinapa de Hidalgo which is 51 km (32 miles) away and Santiago Ixcuintla, 81 km (50 miles) away.











