Surf Forecasts:
Playa Novillero surf forecast from 10 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Saturday 15 Aug, 12AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.0m), 16s period, WSW swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Friday 14 Aug, 6PM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.0m), 18s period, WSW swell with 637 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 10 Aug, 9AM (local time) - 1.5ft (0.4m), 20s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Playa Novillero this week:
The surf forecast for Playa Novillero over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 10) at 9AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.6m and 13s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 20s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Playa Novillero in the next 16 days are 1.0m 18s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Aug 14) at 6PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives.
| Wave Type | Time (CST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 9AM (Mon 10th Aug) | 1.5ft (0.4m) 20s |
| Best Surf | 12AM (Sat 15th Aug) | 3.5ft (1.0m) 16s |
| Most Powerful | 6PM (Fri 14th Aug) | 3.5ft (1.0m) 18s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Playa Novillero over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s talk about the surf at Playa Novillero. Overall, we’re looking at a persistent, small but workable SW groundswell over the next couple of weeks. It’s not going to be a huge swell window, but the consistency of the swell and the good morning winds will make this a spot for a quiet, clean session. The water temp is about average for this time of year, so no need to dig out the thickest wetsuit.
The first action kicks off Monday morning, August 10th. We’ve got a clean 2ft SW groundswell with a period of 13 seconds. The wind is glassy from the NNW, so it’s going to be smooth. The wave energy is moderate (265), so you’ll feel the push. That morning is the pick of the first day. Tuesday morning, August 11th, is similar, with 2ft from the WSW and a 14-second period. The wind is a light cross-offshore from the N, keeping it clean. Wednesday morning, August 12th, brings 2ft from the WSW with a 16-second period. The wind is a light cross-off from the ESE. That longer period will give the waves some shape, but it’s still small. Thursday morning, August 13th, is a real treat. Glassy conditions with that 2ft SW swell at 16 seconds. The energy is moderate (293). This is a true standout for the early part of the outlook. Friday morning, August 14th, sees a bit more energy (471) with 2ft from the WSW at 18 seconds. The wind is a light cross-off from the ESE. The bigger period is notable, but at this size, it’ll be fun.
The real highlight of the whole forecast lands on Saturday morning, August 15th. The swell bumps up to 3ft from the WSW with a 16-second period, and the combined energy is strong (536). The wind is a light cross-off from the ESE. That’s the best wave size and quality on offer, and for a spot that’s fairly consistent, this is the session to aim for. Sunday morning, August 16th, drops back to 3ft from the WSW at 15 seconds, still clean with a light cross-off from the E. The pattern continues through the next week. Monday, August 17th, Tuesday, August 18th, and Wednesday, August 19th all have clean morning windows with small 2ft to 3ft SW swell. Winds are light and favorable. The best morning of this second week is Thursday, August 20th, with a true offshore wind from the NE and 2ft from the SW at 14 seconds. That’s your other standout. The rest of the period into the 25th offers similar small, clean conditions, but nothing beats that Saturday on the 15th.
Crowds at Playa Novillero can be around sometimes, so expect a few other heads out, but with these small, clean conditions, it’ll be a mellow vibe.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Mon night. Warm (max 30°C on Mon afternoon, min 26°C on Mon night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 8mm), mostly falling on Sat night. Warm (max 31°C on Fri afternoon, min 27°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Monday 10 | Tuesday 11 | Wednesday 12 | Thursday 13 | Friday 14 | Saturday 15 | Sunday 16 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 20 | WSW 20 | WSW 13 | WSW 14 | WSW 18 | WSW 18 | WSW 16 | WSW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | WSW 16 | WSW 15 | WSW 18 | WSW 18 | WSW 16 | WSW 16 | WSW 16 | WSW 16 | WSW 15 | WSW 15 | WSW 14 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 140 | 149 | 148 | 134 | 276 | 176 | 229 | 291 | 251 | 245 | 220 | 199 | 280 | 395 | 566 | 532 | 525 | 425 | 334 | 272 | 268 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | glassy | cross-on | off | cross-off | cross-on | cross | glassy | cross-on | glassy | glassy | on | cross-off | cross-off | on | glassy | cross-off | on | cross | on | on | cross-off |
High Tide | 9:18AM1.46m | 7:57PM1.84m | 9:44AM1.53m | 8:43PM1.90m | 10:09AM1.58m | 9:24PM1.90m | 10:34AM1.61m | 10:03PM1.83m | 10:58AM1.63m | 10:40PM1.70m | 11:21AM1.63m | 11:15PM1.54m | 11:42AM1.61m | 11:49PM1.36m | |||||||
Low Tide | 2:11PM0.92m | 3:04AM-0.03m | 2:52PM0.80m | 3:39AM-0.03m | 3:30PM0.70m | 4:10AM0.05m | 4:06PM0.62m | 4:37AM0.17m | 4:42PM0.58m | 5:01AM0.33m | 5:18PM0.58m | 5:19AM0.50m | 5:53PM0.61m | ||||||||
 |  |  | | |  | | | | | |  | | |  | | | |  | | | |
 | 6:37 | — | — | 6:37 | — | — | 6:37 | — | — | 6:39 | — | — | 6:39 | — | — | 6:39 | — | — | 6:39 | — | — |
 | — | 7:37 | — | — | 7:37 | — | — | 7:36 | — | — | 7:35 | — | — | 7:35 | — | — | 7:34 | — | — | 7:32 | — |
mm | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | 6 | 30 | — | 1 |
Temp °C | 29 | 30 | 29 | 29 | 30 | 29 | 30 | 30 | 29 | 30 | 30 | 30 | 30 | 31 | 29 | 30 | 31 | 30 | 26 | 29 | 28 |
Feels °C | 32 | 32 | 33 | 32 | 32 | 32 | 34 | 32 | 33 | 34 | 32 | 34 | 34 | 34 | 33 | 35 | 34 | 34 | 29 | 33 | 30 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 13 | WSW 13 | WSW 13 | WSW 14 | WSW 18 | WSW 18 | WSW 16 | WSW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | WSW 16 | WSW 15 | WSW 18 | WSW 18 | WSW 16 | WSW 16 | WSW 16 | WSW 16 | WSW 15 | WSW 15 | WSW 14 |
| kJ | 140 | 116 | 120 | 134 | 276 | 176 | 229 | 291 | 251 | 245 | 220 | 199 | 280 | 395 | 566 | 532 | 525 | 425 | 334 | 272 | 268 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 20 | WSW 20 | WSW 19 | WSW 18 | WSW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | W 24 | W 3 | W 5 | SW 20 | WSW 19 | WSW 14 | WSW 14 | W 5 | W 6 | — | W 3 | — | — | W 3 |
| kJ | 100 | 149 | 148 | 124 | 114 | 82 | 82 | 11 | 2 | 4 | 99 | 148 | 186 | 186 | 2 | 2 | — | 1 | — | — | 2 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 16 | — | — | — | — | WNW 3 | — | — | SW 22 | WSW 21 | — | W 5 | W 5 | — | SW 7 | — | — | W 7 | — | — | — |
| kJ | 25 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | 18 | 44 | — | 2 | 5 | — | 2 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | W 6 | — | — | W 5 | — | — | W 5 | — | — | W 5 | — | — | W 2 | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 3 | — | — | 4 | — | — | 4 | — | — | 5 | — | — | 1 | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 182 | 0 | 0 | 182 | 19 | 0 | 182 | 0 | 0 | 190 | 0 | 0 | 182 | 0 | 0 | 184 | 19 | 19 | 182 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Nayarit | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Mexico | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Playa Novillero Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Playa Novillero provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Playa Novillero can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Playa Novillero surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Playa Novillero) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Playa Novillero may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Nayarit? If you are looking for accommodation near Playa Novillero, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Nayarit, consider staying in Acaponeta which is 37 km (23 miles) away. Other places in and around Nayarit where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Escuinapa de Hidalgo which is 51 km (32 miles) away and Santiago Ixcuintla, 81 km (50 miles) away.
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