Stinson Beach Surf Break

Lat Long: 37.90° N 122.65° W

Stinson Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 4 pm 21 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Stinson Beach sea temperature is
15.8° C
2.4° 

Stinson Beach surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Stinson Beach surf forecast from 22 Jul 2026:

  • Most powerful swell: Tuesday 28 Jul, 8PM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 8s period, WNW swell with 920 kJ wave energy.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Stinson Beach this week:

The most powerful waves expected at Stinson Beach in the next 16 days are 2.5m 8s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jul 28) at 8PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives.

Wave TypeTime (PDT) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)--
Best Surf--
Most Powerful 8PM (Tue 28th Jul)8ft (2.5m) 8s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Stinson Beach over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright, Rusty here, letting you know what's cookin' for Stinson Beach over the next couple of weeks.

It's a tough outlook, I'm not gonna lie. The water is sitting at 60°, which is a solid 4° warmer than usual for this time of year, so that's a nice little bonus if you're just looking for a paddle. But the surf? It's a real struggle. For the entire 16-day window, the conditions are just poor. The wind is almost always coming from the west or west-northwest, which is a cross-onshore or cross-shore breeze for Stinson Beach, and it's keeping the ocean chopped up and messy. The models are showing moments with moderate wave energy, with the combined swell energy hitting values like 509 (on Tuesday the 21st) and even climbing over 1000 on the 25th, 27th, and 28th, but it's all being blown out. There's no day where the wind switches to a clean offshore, so the quality is just not there.

We get a little tease on Tuesday the 21st of July. The afternoon has a gentle 4ft SSW swell with a 14-second period, and the wind is a light onshore breeze from the SSW at 9 mph. The energy is there at 509, but it's still onshore and the report says "poor surf conditions." It's just not a goer.

The whole first week is a write-off. The wind is relentless. Every day is a variation of cross-onshore or cross-shore winds from the WNW, blowing between 9 and 19 mph. The swell period is mostly long, between 11 and 16 seconds, which would normally mean good shape, but the wind is just ruining it. The waves are small, mostly 2ft to 4ft, and it's choppy. There's a period on the 24th of July where the swell period hits 24 seconds, a very long groundswell, but it's only 2ft and the wind is still on it. That's a waste of a good swell.

Moving into the second week, it's more of the same. The wind stays on it. On the morning of the 28th of July, we see a 8ft WNW swell, but it's only an 8-second period, so it's a weak, wind-driven storm chop. The wind is a fresh 22 mph cross-shore, making it lumpy. That's kite surfing territory, not paddle surfing. The energy is 1462, but for a surfer, it's ugly. The 5th of August morning shows a 5ft WNW swell with a 10-second period, but again, the wind is a cross-onshore breeze. It's just a pattern that won't let up.

Honestly, the only real "marginal" window, which is just a 1 out of 10, comes on a few mornings where the wind is a bit lighter, like the 30th of July morning with a gentle 9 mph cross-onshore wind and a 3ft SW swell. But even then, it's still cross-onshore, so it's not clean. The long-range stuff on the 3rd of August morning has a light onshore breeze from the SW at 3 mph with a 2ft SW swell, but it's small and weak with an energy of only 158.

There are no standouts here. This is a blank run. The forecast is locked in on poor conditions, so there's no hope of a sneaky session. The best bet is to keep an eye on it, but for now, the board stays in the bag.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Warm (max 23°C on Tue afternoon, min 12°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 18°C on Fri afternoon, min 12°C on Sat night). Mainly fresh winds.

Tue
21
Wednesday
22
Thursday
23
Friday
24
Saturday
25
Sunday
26
Monday
27
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
1
0
1
1
1
1
1
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.1
SSW
14
1.1
SSW
11
1.4
SSW
9
0.7
SW
14
0.8
SSW
14
0.8
SSW
14
0.8
SSW
13
0.5
SW
26
0.7
SW
24
0.7
SW
24
0.6
SW
22
0.9
SW
21
0.8
SW
21
0.9
SW
20
0.9
SW
19
0.8
SW
19
0.8
SW
18
0.9
SW
18
1.1
SW
19
2.2
WNW
8
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
459
302
287
194
264
257
229
329
546
541
386
763
543
634
627
520
442
534
791
546
Wind (km/h)
15
SSW
10
S
15
SSW
15
WSW
15
WNW
15
WNW
25
WNW
15
WNW
15
WNW
25
WNW
15
WNW
15
WNW
25
WNW
20
WNW
10
WNW
25
WNW
20
WNW
15
WNW
30
WNW
25
NW
Wind State
on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross
cross-on
cross
cross
cross-on
cross-on
cross
cross
cross
cross
cross-on
cross
cross
cross-on
cross
cross
High Tide
6:00PM1.23m
7:47AM0.77m
6:45PM1.23m
9:22AM0.80m
7:32PM1.24m
10:30AM0.86m
8:20PM1.25m
11:18AM0.91m
9:07PM1.26m
11:56AM0.95m
9:52PM1.29m
12:29PM0.98m
10:34PM1.31m
Low Tide
1:50AM0.17m
12:54PM0.49m
2:52AM0.11m
1:58PM0.56m
3:47AM0.05m
3:02PM0.61m
4:34AM0.00m
3:59PM0.62m
5:16AM-0.04m
4:47PM0.61m
5:53AM-0.06m
5:29PM0.60m
clear
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:05
6:05
6:05
6:07
6:07
6:09
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
8:29
8:28
8:27
8:25
8:25
8:24
8:23
 mm
Temp °C
23
18
17
17
15
15
17
15
17
18
15
17
18
15
17
18
15
17
17
15
Feels °C
22
18
16
16
13
12
13
11
14
14
11
13
14
11
15
13
10
15
13
9
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Stinson Beach Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Stinson Beach provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Stinson Beach can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Stinson Beach surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Stinson Beach) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Stinson Beach may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Stinson Beach is 10 km (6 miles) from the city of Corte Madera. If you plan a vacation in Marin County, look for hotels and other accommodation in Corte Madera. Corte Madera has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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