Stinson Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, this is Rusty, and I’m looking at the next 16 days for Stinson Beach. Honestly, it’s a pretty grim run. The water temp is sitting at 61°, which is a touch warmer than we usually see this time of year, so that’s a nice little bonus for the body, but the surf just isn’t giving us much to work with.

We’ve got a small window of possibility on the morning of Saturday, 1st August. Swell is running 7 ft from the WNW, with a period of 8 seconds, and the combined energy is moderate at 952. It’s a bit of a short-period windswell, so it’ll be a bit wonky. The wind is light out of the WNW, but it’s a cross-onshore, so there’s going to be some texture on the surface. Not a standout, but it’s the closest thing to a go.

The next morning, Sunday, 2nd August, is probably the best of the whole outlook. The swell is still a solid 6 ft from the WNW, and the period has stretched to 9 seconds, giving it a bit more push. The combined energy is still moderate at 779, but the real story is the wind. We’ve got a 3 mph westerly, blowing straight offshore. That’s a major positive. The surf will be clean, with that offshore wind grooming the faces. This is the one to set the alarm for.

The rest of the run is a slow fade. The swells drop from 6 ft down to 2 ft by the second week, and the winds are almost always cross-onshore or onshore, just chopping it up. The period on the 12th of August jumps to 18 seconds from the SW, but the height is only 2 ft, so that long-period groundswell will just be a slow, weak roll. Combined energy is weak at 314. Not worth the paddle.

From the 10th of August onwards, the swell is consistently under 4 ft, and the combined energy stays below 500. The 15th of August has a 2 ft, 18-second swell from the SW, but with a cross-onshore wind, it’s just a tease. There’s a long gap of days with no real recommendations from the 4th of August right through to the 15th, with only marginal or poor conditions.

Bottom line: If you’re a beginner, the 7 ft on Saturday morning might be a bit much, but the Sunday morning (2nd August) with the offshore wind and 6 ft swell is your best bet. For everyone else, it’s mostly a kite surfing kind of stretch with the onshore winds and choppy conditions. The waves just aren’t interested in cooperating.

Rusty.

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