Stinson Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s get into it. We’ve got a 16-day window for Stinson Beach, and I’ll be straight with you: it’s a pretty lean stretch. The first solid bit of action is a long way off, and even then, it’s not going to be firing.

The overall pattern is one of small, messy waves with a lot of cross-onshore wind. The water temp is sitting at 65°F - that’s a whopping 7°F warmer than normal for this time of year. That’s seriously unusual, like the ocean forgot what season it is.

For the first eleven days, from Friday the 11th through to Monday the 21st, it’s a real grind. The swell is tiny and the wind is constantly onshore or cross-onshore, making it choppy and blown-out. There’s really nothing to get out of bed for. The combined wave energy is moderate at best, hovering between 250 and 500 (moderate energy), but it’s all just messy, wind-affected slop. You’ll want to sit this one out.

Now, the one true standout, and I mean the *only* one that makes me smile, is the morning of Wednesday the 23rd of September. It’s still a week and a half away, so don’t book the day off just yet, but the model is showing some promise. We’re looking at a clean 5ft swell out of the west-northwest with a period of 8 seconds. The kicker? The wind is dead calm - glassy conditions. That’s a major win. The combined energy hits 553 (moderate energy), and for Stinson, that’s as good as it’s going to get this month. It’s not going to be a monster day, but that glassy morning with some waist-to-chest high sets could offer up some clean walls for a beginner-to-intermediate surf. Just keep in mind, crowds are *sometimes* a thing here, so you might have some company.

Sadly, that’s your lot. The rest of the month just fades back into tiny, wind-blown dribble. Honestly, it’s a stretch where the beach setup, with the constant cross-shore winds on the bigger days, looks more interesting for a kite than a paddle.

Keep your chin up, the forecasts can always change.

Rusty.

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