
Surf Forecasts:
Rock Island surf forecast from 28 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Tuesday 4 Aug, 3AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.3m), 18s period, SE swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Wednesday 5 Aug, 3AM (local time) - 8ft (2.4m), 18s period, SE swell with 3,471 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 29 Jul, 6AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.7m), 6s period with SSW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Rock Island this week:
The surf forecast for Rock Island over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 29) at 6AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.7m and 6s period with a secondary swell of 0.1m and 10s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Rock Island in the next 16 days are 2.4m 18s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Aug 05) at 3AM. Winds are predicted to be offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.6m 6s period and expected on Monday (Aug 03) at 9PM.
| Wave Type | Time (JST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 6AM (Wed 29th Jul) | 2.5ft (0.7m) 6s |
| Best Surf | 3AM (Tue 4th Aug) | 4.5ft (1.3m) 18s |
| Most Powerful | 3AM (Wed 5th Aug) | 8ft (2.4m) 18s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Rock Island over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, let’s talk about Rock Island. It’s a reef break, fine for beginners, and it breaks pretty regularly. The water temperature is about bang on for this time of year, no big deal. The first bit of surf worth mentioning is Wednesday morning, July 29th. We’ve got a little 2ft SSW swell, glassy, but the energy is weak (55) and the period is short, so it’s just rideable, not exciting.
Thursday and Friday stay tiny, with a few clean moments but the swell is under 2ft and the energy is basically nothing. The whole weekend is a bust, with knee-high waves and onshore or cross-off winds. Sunday the 2nd has a tiny bump in energy (62) but still just surfable, not good.
Now, here’s where it gets good. The real action starts Monday morning, August 3rd. Offshore wind from the NE, a 3ft SE swell, but the period jumps to 17 seconds – that’s real groundswell. The energy is moderate (347) and the conditions are clean. Not huge, but a sign of things to come.
Tuesday, August 4th, is the one. Morning offshore NE wind at 15 mph, swell building to 5ft from the SE, still a very long period of 18 seconds. The energy is strong (1228). This is excellent for experienced surfers. The afternoon is a touch bigger at 5ft, still clean with offshore wind. The crowd factor is “sometimes” at Rock Island, so expect a few heads out, but that’s just part of it.
Wednesday, August 5th, gets bigger – 10ft to 12ft SE swell, but the wind is fresh offshore at 22 mph. That’s a lot of power (energy up to 6461) and it’s a reef break, so it’s getting serious. The period is still very long, so the sets will be well-spaced, but this is for experts only. Anything over 8ft is just for the crew.
Then, Thursday, August 6th, is the absolute standout. Morning session: 13ft of SSE swell, very long period of 16 seconds, and gentle offshore wind from the NNE. The combined energy is enormous (9144). The file says “exceptional surf conditions for expert surfers,” and that’s no lie. This is a major event. The afternoon turns cross-shore and choppier, so get it in the morning.
After that, the quality drops through Friday and into the weekend as the wind goes onshore and cross-onshore, with the swell dropping from 10ft down to 4ft by Sunday. The energy stays moderate to high, but the wind ruins it. From Monday, August 10th, there’s a long gap of nothing but small, onshore slop until Thursday, August 13th, when we get a 1ft SSW swell with a 12-second period, a light offshore, and clean conditions. It’s surfable, but nothing to get excited about.
So, to sum it up: the first week is a build-up, but Tuesday, August 4th, and Thursday morning, August 6th, are the real standouts. The Tuesday is clean, solid, and powerful for experienced surfers. The Thursday is a proper big-wave day for experts only. The rest of the window is mostly poor or flat. Get out there for the Tuesday and Thursday sessions if you’ve got the skills.
Rusty
Short Range ForecastSome drizzle, heaviest during Fri afternoon. Warm (max 29°C on Wed afternoon, min 26°C on Tue night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 30°C on Mon afternoon, min 24°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||
Wednesday 29 | Thursday 30 | Friday 31 | Saturday 1 | Sunday 2 | Monday 3 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 5 | SSW 6 | SSW 7 | SSW 7 | SSW 7 | S 7 | SSW 7 | S 7 | S 7 | SSW 7 | SSW 7 | SE 15 | SSE 9 | SE 15 | ESE 14 | SE 15 | SE 17 | SE 17 | SE 18 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||
44 | 44 | 41 | 29 | 18 | 27 | 17 | 23 | 22 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 8 | 57 | 81 | 116 | 346 | 505 | 871 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | off | glassy | on | off | glassy | on | glassy | off | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | glassy | cross-off | cross-off | on | cross-off | off | cross-off | off |
High Tide | 3:36AM1.48m | 6:14PM1.45m | 4:28AM1.51m | 6:41PM1.46m | 5:16AM1.53m | 7:07PM1.47m | 6:03AM1.53m | 7:32PM1.46m | 6:50AM1.50m | 7:56PM1.45m | 7:38AM1.44m | 8:21PM1.45m | |||||||
Low Tide | 10:34PM1.08m | 11:00AM0.06m | 11:15PM1.00m | 11:39AM0.07m | 11:52PM0.91m | 12:16PM0.11m | 00:29AM0.82m | 12:51PM0.19m | 1:07AM0.73m | 1:26PM0.30m | 1:46AM0.65m | 1:59PM0.44m | 2:29AM0.59m | ||||||
— | 4:47 | — | — | 4:48 | — | — | 4:48 | — | — | 4:48 | — | — | 4:50 | — | — | 4:50 | — | — | |
6:49 | — | 6:47 | — | — | 6:46 | — | — | 6:45 | — | — | 6:45 | — | — | 6:45 | — | — | 6:44 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 26 | 28 | 29 | 29 | 29 | 29 | 28 | 29 | 29 | 26 | 25 | 27 | 26 | 26 | 27 | 26 | 28 | 30 | 25 |
Feels °C | 30 | 31 | 30 | 31 | 32 | 32 | 31 | 31 | 32 | 29 | 27 | 31 | 28 | 30 | 29 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 24 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 4 | SSW 6 | SE 9 | SSW 7 | SSW 7 | SE 10 | SSW 7 | S 7 | SE 10 | SSW 7 | SSW 7 | S 7 | SSE 4 | SE 15 | ESE 14 | SE 15 | SE 17 | SE 17 | SE 18 |
9 | 44 | 3 | 29 | 18 | 4 | 17 | 23 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 57 | 81 | 116 | 346 | 505 | 871 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 8 | SE 10 | SE 12 | SE 9 | SE 9 | SE 12 | SE 9 | SE 10 | S 8 | SE 11 | SE 10 | SE 15 | SSE 9 | SSE 4 | SSE 7 | SSE 9 | S 8 | S 8 | E 14 |
14 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 15 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 10 | SE 13 | — | SE 12 | SE 12 | S 8 | S 8 | SE 12 | S 11 | — | SE 5 | SE 10 | SE 14 | SE 9 | SE 9 | SE 19 | — | — | — |
4 | 7 | — | 6 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 | — | 1 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 57 | — | — | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 5 | — | SSW 7 | N 2 | — | S 7 | — | — | S 7 | SSE 3 | E 3 | — | SE 4 | — | — | — | — | ESE 5 | — |
44 | — | 41 | 1 | — | 27 | — | — | 22 | 1 | 1 | — | 5 | — | — | — | — | 9 | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 0 | 55 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 51 | 16 | 74 | 122 | 61 | 51 | 38 | 0 | 38 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Kanagawa | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Japan | |||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Rock Island Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Rock Island provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Rock Island can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Rock Island surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Rock Island) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Rock Island may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Rock Island is 3 km (2 miles) from the city of Kamakura. If you plan a holiday in Kanagawa, look for hotels and other accommodation in Kamakura. Kamakura has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.










