Surf Forecasts:
Rock Island surf forecast from 25 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Tuesday 1 Sep, 12PM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.8m), 15s period, S swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Wednesday 26 Aug, 12AM (local time) - 4ft (1.2m), 12s period, S swell with 407 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 27 Aug, 9AM (local time) - 1.5ft (0.4m), 9s period with SSE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Rock Island this week:
The surf forecast for Rock Island over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Aug 27) at 9AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.4m and 9s period with a secondary swell of 0.5m and 6s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Rock Island in the next 16 days are 1.2m 12s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Aug 26) at 12AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.4m 2s period and expected on Saturday (Aug 29) at 6AM.
| Wave Type | Time (JST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 9AM (Thu 27th Aug) | 1.5ft (0.4m) 9s |
| Best Surf | 12PM (Tue 1st Sep) | 2.5ft (0.8m) 15s |
| Most Powerful | 12AM (Wed 26th Aug) | 4ft (1.2m) 12s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Rock Island over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, Rusty here. Let’s get the lowdown on Rock Island.
First off, it’s a quiet start. We’re looking at a long dry patch with no real surf to speak of. The first time you’ll want to wet a line isn’t until Tuesday the 1st of September. That’s nearly a week of nothing worth chasing. The early days are all onshore wind and puny, messy energy. There’s a little blip on the 27th of August where the wind goes glassy with a clean 0.5 ft wave, but it’s small and ordinary. Not worth the drive.
Things finally start to cook as we hit September. The real gold is the window from the afternoon of Monday the 7th of September into Tuesday the 8th, and the morning of Wednesday the 9th. The best of the bunch is Monday the 7th afternoon. You’ve got a clean 4-5 ft SSE groundswell with a nice long 12-second pulse, and the wind is blowing offshore from the NE. That’s the recipe for clean, lined-up waves. The combined energy is solid at 565 (moderate wave energy), and the forecast is for very good surf. That’s your standout session.
As we roll into Tuesday the 8th, the morning swell hits around 5 ft. That’s starting to get serious. The wind stays offshore but it’s a stronger 16 mph breeze. The swell period holds at 12 seconds, so it’s got plenty of punch. For an exposed reef like this, that SSE direction works, but that size is for the seasoned surfers only. The afternoon settles back to a very clean 4 ft.
Then Wednesday the 9th morning is the biggest push of the run, with a 5-6 ft south swell and a longer 13-second period. The combined energy jumps to 1038 (strong wave energy). This is big, heavy groundswell. It’s going to be a serious day at the reef—experts only. There’s some rain showers around, but the offshore wind keeps it from getting ugly. It’s a marginal call due to the size, but the quality is there for the brave.
Water temp is around 82°F, which is normal for the season, so it’s comfortable without a suit.
Keep in mind, Rock Island is a reef break that breaks fairly consistently, but it can get crowded sometimes. With this quality, you’ll have company.
So, the plan is simple: sit tight through the first week, then lock in on the afternoon of the 7th through the morning of the 9th of September. The 7th arvo is your top pick.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastModerate rain (total 16mm), heaviest on Thu morning. Warm (max 30°C on Tue afternoon, min 24°C on Thu afternoon). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the SSW on Tue afternoon, calm by Thu afternoon). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 7mm), mostly falling on Sat morning. Warm (max 28°C on Fri afternoon, min 23°C on Sat morning). Wind will be generally light. | |||||||||||||||||||
Tue 25 | Wednesday 26 | Thursday 27 | Friday 28 | Saturday 29 | Sunday 30 | Monday 31 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSE 12 | S 12 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | SSW 5 | SW 10 | S 11 | S 10 | SSW 5 | SSW 5 | SSW 6 | S 7 | SSW 8 | SSW 8 | SSW 7 | SSW 7 | SSW 7 | S 13 | S 12 | S 11 |
Wave Graph | ||||||||||||||||||||
298 | 407 | 183 | 137 | 53 | 28 | 55 | 45 | 21 | 50 | 44 | 27 | 19 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 28 | 68 | 82 | |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | on | cross-on | on | on | on | off | glassy | on | on | on | off | off | off | off | off | off | off | off | on | cross-off |
High Tide | 4:45PM1.39m | 2:39AM1.41m | 5:10PM1.43m | 3:40AM1.47m | 5:33PM1.46m | 4:32AM1.53m | 5:56PM1.47m | 5:19AM1.57m | 6:18PM1.49m | 6:04AM1.58m | 6:41PM1.49m | 6:48AM1.55m | 7:03PM1.50m | |||||||
Low Tide | 9:41PM1.08m | 10:00AM0.23m | 10:21PM0.97m | 10:42AM0.22m | 10:57PM0.85m | 11:20AM0.24m | 11:30PM0.73m | 11:54AM0.30m | 00:05AM0.62m | 12:27PM0.39m | 00:39AM0.52m | 12:58PM0.50m | 1:16AM0.45m | |||||||
— | — | 5:07 | — | — | 5:09 | — | — | 5:09 | — | — | 5:11 | — | — | 5:11 | — | — | 5:11 | — | — | |
6:19 | — | — | 6:17 | — | — | 6:15 | — | — | 6:15 | — | — | 6:14 | — | — | 6:12 | — | — | 6:10 | — | |
mm | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | 9 | 4 | 1 | — | — | 2 | 4 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 30 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 28 | 25 | 24 | 25 | 27 | 28 | 28 | 23 | 23 | 23 | 23 | 24 | 24 | 27 | 27 | 26 |
Feels °C | 30 | 29 | 32 | 31 | 29 | 26 | 27 | 25 | 28 | 30 | 32 | 23 | 23 | 24 | 24 | 25 | 25 | 30 | 29 | 30 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSE 12 | S 12 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | SSW 11 | S 6 | S 6 | S 10 | S 9 | SSE 9 | SSW 6 | S 7 | SSW 8 | SSW 8 | SSW 7 | SSW 7 | SSW 7 | S 13 | S 12 | S 11 |
298 | 407 | 183 | 137 | 47 | 15 | 16 | 45 | 14 | 8 | 44 | 27 | 19 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 28 | 68 | 82 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 14 | E 13 | SSE 9 | SSE 9 | SSE 9 | SSE 9 | S 11 | SSE 10 | SSE 9 | SE 15 | SSE 10 | SSE 11 | SSE 11 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SSW 13 | SSW 12 |
243 | 3 | 48 | 47 | 31 | 28 | 55 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 16 | 28 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 13 | ESE 13 | SSW 5 | E 12 | S 10 | SW 10 | SSE 10 | SW 9 | SW 9 | E 12 | SE 13 | — | SSW 8 | SSW 8 | SSW 7 | — | SW 10 | SSW 14 | SSE 10 | S 16 |
3 | 33 | 9 | 3 | 19 | 25 | 18 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 7 | — | 12 | 11 | 11 | — | 4 | 19 | 9 | 20 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 4 | SSW 5 | SW 4 | SSW 4 | SSW 5 | — | — | S 6 | SSW 5 | SSW 5 | — | NE 3 | NNE 3 | — | — | — | — | SSW 8 | SSW 4 | S 4 |
43 | 29 | 15 | 29 | 53 | — | — | 16 | 21 | 50 | — | 2 | 1 | — | — | — | — | 13 | 13 | 8 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 249 | 12 | 18 | 534 | 27 | 0 | 0 | 77 | 16 | 76 | 0 | 38 | 51 | 51 | 74 | 54 | 54 | 0 | 18 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Kanagawa | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Japan | ||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Rock Island Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Rock Island provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Rock Island can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Rock Island surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Rock Island) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Rock Island may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Rock Island is 3 km (2 miles) from the city of Kamakura. If you plan a holiday in Kanagawa, look for hotels and other accommodation in Kamakura. Kamakura has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.











