Rock Island Surf Break

Lat Long: 35.29° N 139.55° E

Rock Island Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 8 am 08 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Rock Island sea temperature is
23.9° C
0.7° 

Rock Island surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Rock Island surf forecast from 8 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Thursday 9 Jul, 6AM (local time) - 4ft (1.2m), 13s period, SSE swell with glassy winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Saturday 11 Jul, 9AM (local time) - 7ft (2.2m), 17s period, SSW swell with 2,842 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 9 Jul, 6AM (local time) - 4ft (1.2m), 13s period with SSE swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Rock Island this week:

The surf forecast for Rock Island over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 09) at 6AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.2m and 13s period with a secondary swell of 0.9m and 15s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Rock Island in the next 16 days are 2.2m 17s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Jul 11) at 9AM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives.

Wave TypeTime (JST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 6AM (Thu 9th Jul)4ft (1.2m) 13s
Best Surf 6AM (Thu 9th Jul)4ft (1.2m) 13s
Most Powerful 9AM (Sat 11th Jul)7ft (2.2m) 17s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Rock Island over the next 16 days.


Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's break down what Rock Island is looking like for the next couple of weeks.

Right up front, it's a bit of a slow-burn forecast. There's an immediate gap of a few poor days before we even get a sniff of something ridable. The main event, and I mean the only real standout, is lining up for the afternoon of Wednesday, July 22nd. We've got a long wait, but it might be worth it.

Let's roll through it.

The first session that looks any good is on Wednesday morning, July 8th. Rock Island is a reef break, so it's got the structure for decent waves. The morning is clean with a light 6 mph cross-offshore ENE breeze. A 5ft swell from the SSE is coming in with a long period of 16 seconds. The water temp is 75°, which is average for this time of year. Wave energy is strong (1094). This is a session for experienced surfers; that 5ft on a reef isn't for learners, but the long periods mean the sets will be clean and the paddle-out easier. It's a solid start, but it's short-lived.

The afternoon of that same day falls apart with onshore winds. From there, it's a long stretch of poor conditions. Thursday the 9th through to the following Tuesday, we're dealing with strong onshore winds and lumpy seas. Saturday, July 11th sees the swell bump up to 7ft, but with a 19 mph onshore wind, it's a complete mess. Anything over 5ft with that wind is just a battle for experts only, and the quality is gone.

We then hit a proper drought from Tuesday, July 14th, through to Friday, July 18th. The swell drops to barely 2ft. Thursday the 16th morning has a clean light easterly breeze, but it's only a 2ft SE swell. It's surfable but very ordinary. Not worth the effort unless you're desperate for a wobbly leg.

The weekend of July 18th stays small. Saturday morning has clean offshore winds, but again only 2ft of swell. You could probably get a few on a longboard, but it's flat by any standard.

Now for the turnaround. Sunday, July 19th morning kicks off with a clean, moderate 12 mph offshore NE wind and a 2ft SE swell with a 12-second period. It's small, but the energy is starting to climb. The afternoon sees the swell build to 3ft with a long 16-second period from the SE, and it's clean. We're getting closer.

The absolute pick of the bunch is Wednesday, July 22nd afternoon. The forecast shows a solid 4ft S swell with a moderate 9 mph offshore NE breeze. The wave energy is moderate at 600, but the conditions are excellent. The long 14-second period will give it good shape, and that offshore wind will have it glassed off. The S swell is right on the money for this break. This is the one to wait for. The following morning, Thursday the 23rd, still looks clean with a 4ft swell and a stiff offshore wind, though the period drops a touch to 12 seconds.

So to sum it up, there's a huge gap. From the afternoon of July 10th all the way to the 19th, it's mostly poor. You've got to be patient. But if you can wait for that Wednesday the 22nd window, it should be the best session of the run by a long shot.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Warm (max 25°C on Wed afternoon, min 23°C on Wed morning). Wind will be generally light.

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Some drizzle, heaviest during Sun night. Warm (max 25°C on Sun afternoon, min 23°C on Sat night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the S on Sat afternoon, light winds from the SSW by Mon morning).

Wednesday
8
Thursday
9
Friday
10
Saturday
11
Sunday
12
Monday
13
Tuesday
14
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
4
2
3
2
1
2
2
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.4
SSE
16
1.5
SSE
16
1.6
SSE
14
1.5
S
14
1.4
SSE
14
1.5
S
15
1.9
S
15
2
S
16
2.2
SSW
16
2.2
SSW
17
2
SSW
16
1.8
SSW
16
1.6
SSW
16
1.3
SSW
15
1
SSW
13
0.9
SSW
12
0.7
SSW
12
0.5
SSW
11
0.5
SSW
11
0.4
SE
11
1.1
SSE
14
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
1094
1055
980
912
788
945
1610
2141
2455
2842
2189
1654
1169
674
336
213
125
70
65
42
465
Wind (km/h)
10
ENE
10
SSW
10
S
10
S
20
SSW
15
SSW
15
SSW
25
S
20
S
20
SSW
30
S
25
S
20
S
25
S
15
SSW
10
SSW
30
S
20
S
15
SSW
25
S
15
S
Wind State
cross-off
on
on
on
on
on
on
on
on
on
cross-on
on
on
on
on
on
on
on
on
on
on
High Tide
11:09AM1.11m
11:00PM1.35m
12:55PM1.10m
11:41PM1.36m
2:42PM1.15m
00:30AM1.37m
4:01PM1.24m
1:22AM1.40m
4:55PM1.32m
2:17AM1.43m
5:37PM1.38m
3:10AM1.46m
6:12PM1.43m
Low Tide
4:34PM0.76m
6:12AM0.50m
5:31PM0.91m
7:19AM0.39m
6:45PM1.02m
8:19AM0.28m
8:06PM1.09m
9:13AM0.17m
9:17PM1.11m
10:01AM0.08m
10:13PM1.10m
10:45AM0.02m
10:59PM1.06m
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
cloud
part cloud
part cloud
rain showers
clear
part cloud
part cloud
clear
part cloud
part cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
4:33
4:33
4:33
4:35
4:35
4:35
4:37
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
6:59
6:59
6:59
6:58
6:58
6:58
6:57
 mm
1
Temp °C
24
25
24
24
25
24
24
25
24
24
24
24
24
25
24
25
25
24
25
25
24
Feels °C
25
25
25
26
25
25
26
25
24
25
23
24
25
25
26
28
24
24
27
24
23
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Rock Island Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Rock Island provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Rock Island can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Rock Island surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Rock Island) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Rock Island may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Rock Island is 3 km (2 miles) from the city of Kamakura. If you plan a holiday in Kanagawa, look for hotels and other accommodation in Kamakura. Kamakura has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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