Rock Island Surf Break

Lat Long: 35.29° N 139.55° E

Rock Island Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 2 pm 09 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Rock Island sea temperature is
23.7° C
1.1° 

Rock Island surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Rock Island surf forecast from 9 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Sunday 12 Jul, 6PM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.3m), 15s period, SSW swell with offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Saturday 11 Jul, 12PM (local time) - 7ft (2.1m), 17s period, SSW swell with 2,426 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 12 Jul, 6PM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.3m), 15s period with SSW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Rock Island this week:

The surf forecast for Rock Island over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jul 12) at 6PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.3m and 15s period with a secondary swell of 0.2m and 10s. Another secondary swell of 0.5m and 4s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Rock Island in the next 16 days are 2.1m 17s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Jul 11) at 12PM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives.

Wave TypeTime (JST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 6PM (Sun 12th Jul)4.5ft (1.3m) 15s
Best Surf 6PM (Sun 12th Jul)4.5ft (1.3m) 15s
Most Powerful12PM (Sat 11th Jul)7ft (2.1m) 17s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Rock Island over the next 16 days.


Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s comin’ down the pipe for Rock Island. It’s a bit of a mixed bag, but we’ve got a couple of windows that are worth getting excited about.

The water is sitting at 75°, which is a touch colder than normal for this time of year. Not a shocker, but you’ll want a decent spring suit or maybe a thin bootie if you’re sensitive to it.

The first real action kicks off Thursday the 9th of July. We’ve got a solid 5 ft south-southeast swell rollin’ in with a 14-second period, and the energy is pumped up at 1088 (moderate to strong). The wind is straight onshore from the south at 12 mph though, so it’s gonna be a bit of a messy, choppy battle. The report calls it marginal, and I’d agree – not a total write-off, but you’ll be workin’ for it.

Friday the 10th of July sees the swell bump up to 6 ft from the south, period stretching to 15 seconds. That’s a proper groundswell, and the energy jumps to 1410. The morning has a gentler 9 mph south-southwest wind, still onshore, but it might be doable for a seasoned surfer. The afternoon though, freshens up to 16 mph from the south, and the model says poor conditions – that’s a no-go.

Saturday the 11th of July is the biggest pulse of the run. Swell hits 7 ft from the south-southwest, 16-second period, and the energy is cookin’ at 2368. That’s strong. But the wind is a moderate breeze onshore at 12 mph in the morning, and crankin’ up to 19 mph in the afternoon. With that onshore wind and a beach/reef setup, this is lookin’ more like a kite surfer’s dream than a paddle surfer’s. It’s right on the edge of being too big for beginners, and only experts should even consider it.

Sunday the 12th of July, the swell eases back to 6 ft from the south-southwest, 16-second period, energy at 1661. Morning wind is back to a gentle 9 mph onshore. The afternoon turns cross-onshore and choppy. Still marginal.

Now, here’s the standout. Monday the 13th of July. The swell drops right back to 3 ft from the south-southwest, but the period holds at 13 seconds – that’s a nice, long groundswell. The energy is a modest 222. But the wind? Glassy. Absolutely flat calm. Both morning and afternoon are glassy. That’s a major positive. The report says “expect good surf conditions.” For a south swell hitting a reef that likes south swell, this is your cleanest, most fun window of the whole forecast. The waves will be small, clean, and lined up. Crowds are possible here, so get in early.

After Monday, the surf goes quiet. Tuesday the 14th of July has tiny 2 ft and 1 ft waves with cross-offshore winds, but they’re too small to get excited about. From Wednesday the 15th of July right through to the end of the forecast on Thursday the 24th of July, it’s mostly flat or near-flat, with weak energy (often under 100) and onshore or poor winds. There are a few glassy mornings on the 18th and 24th, but the swell is only 2 ft or 1.0 ft – not enough to push a proper wave.

So, to wrap it up: if you’re a beginner, stick to the small, clean Monday the 13th. If you’re an expert and want power, the Saturday the 11th has size but you’ll be battling strong onshore wind – it’s more of a tow or kite day. The real gem is that Monday morning glass-off.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Light rain (total 5mm), mostly falling on Sat night. Warm (max 26°C on Fri afternoon, min 23°C on Thu night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the S on Sat afternoon, light winds from the SW by Sat night).

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Light rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Sun afternoon. Warm (max 28°C on Tue afternoon, min 23°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light.

Thu
9
Friday
10
Saturday
11
Sunday
12
Monday
13
Tuesday
14
Wednesday
15
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
Rating
(10 max)
1
1
2
0
0
1
0
1
1
1
2
2
2
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.4
SSE
14
1.6
S
15
1.8
S
15
2
S
16
2.1
SSW
16
2.1
SSW
16
2
SSW
17
1.9
SSW
16
1.8
SSW
16
1.4
SSW
16
1
SSW
14
0.8
SSW
13
0.8
SSW
12
0.6
SSW
11
0.6
SSW
11
0.4
SSW
10
0.4
SSW
10
0.4
SSW
10
0.3
SSW
9
0.3
SSW
9
0.3
SE
8
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
788
1070
1371
2105
2133
2368
2269
1816
1626
966
390
192
161
100
93
43
39
31
17
16
9
Wind (km/h)
20
SSW
15
S
15
SSW
25
S
25
SSW
20
SSW
35
S
15
SW
15
SSW
15
SW
10
NE
5
WNW
5
SSW
5
ENE
20
NE
15
E
10
SSE
5
S
20
SSW
20
SSW
25
SSW
Wind State
on
on
on
on
on
on
on
on
on
cross-on
cross-off
glassy
glassy
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-on
glassy
on
on
on
High Tide
11:41PM1.36m
2:42PM1.15m
00:30AM1.37m
4:01PM1.24m
1:22AM1.40m
4:55PM1.32m
2:17AM1.43m
5:37PM1.38m
3:10AM1.46m
6:12PM1.43m
4:01AM1.49m
6:44PM1.45m
4:50AM1.51m
Low Tide
5:31PM0.91m
7:19AM0.39m
6:45PM1.02m
8:19AM0.28m
8:06PM1.09m
9:13AM0.17m
9:17PM1.11m
10:01AM0.08m
10:13PM1.10m
10:45AM0.02m
10:59PM1.06m
11:27AM-0.00m
11:40PM1.01m
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
thunderstorm
thunderstorm
thunderstorm
cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
part cloud
rain showers
clear
clear
clear
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
4:33
4:35
4:35
4:35
4:37
4:37
4:37
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
6:59
6:59
6:58
6:58
6:58
6:57
6:57
6:55
 mm
4
1
1
1
Temp °C
25
24
25
26
24
25
25
25
25
25
24
26
27
25
26
28
25
26
26
25
27
Feels °C
25
25
25
26
24
24
24
25
26
27
25
30
30
28
26
29
27
28
26
26
26
  • Map Icons:
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Rock Island Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Rock Island provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Rock Island can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Rock Island surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Rock Island) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Rock Island may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Rock Island is 3 km (2 miles) from the city of Kamakura. If you plan a holiday in Kanagawa, look for hotels and other accommodation in Kamakura. Kamakura has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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