
Surf Forecasts:
Rock Island surf forecast from 3 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Wednesday 5 Aug, 12PM (local time) - 7.5ft (2.3m), 15s period, SSE swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Wednesday 5 Aug, 6PM (local time) - 8ft (2.4m), 15s period, SSE swell with 2,576 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 5 Aug, 12PM (local time) - 7.5ft (2.3m), 15s period with SSE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Rock Island this week:
The surf forecast for Rock Island over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Aug 05) at 12PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.3m and 15s period. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Rock Island in the next 16 days are 2.4m 15s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Aug 05) at 6PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.9m 4s period and expected on Wednesday (Aug 05) at 3AM.
| Wave Type | Time (JST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 12PM (Wed 5th Aug) | 7.5ft (2.3m) 15s |
| Best Surf | 12PM (Wed 5th Aug) | 7.5ft (2.3m) 15s |
| Most Powerful | 6PM (Wed 5th Aug) | 8ft (2.4m) 15s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Rock Island over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, Rusty here. Let’s take a look at what’s on the table for Rock Island over the next couple of weeks.
Alright, we’ve got a run of surf coming up, but it’s not all clean sailing. The first few days look promising, but we’ll need to pick our windows carefully. The best of the swell is Tuesday, August 5th through Thursday, August 6th, with some solid, long-period groundswell rolling in. After that, the energy slowly fades and we’re looking at a real drop-off toward the end of the second week.
The water’s sitting at 83°F with a 3°F anomaly, so it’s a touch warmer than normal for this time of year on the first mention.
Tuesday, August 4th – We kick off with a clean morning. Swell is 5ft from the SE, with a period of 17 seconds – that’s proper long-period groundswell, which means it’ll be a bit more lined up at a reef like Rock Island. Combined energy is strong (1098). Wind is a fresh offshore from the NE at 19 mph, so it’s gonna be clean. The afternoon sees the swell bump up to 6ft (SE, 16s) and the energy jumps to 1467, but the wind goes cross-off, so it’s still okay but not quite as pristine.
Wednesday, August 5th – This is the standout. Morning has 7ft from the SSE (15s) with a big energy reading of 2228, and a fresh NNE offshore at 19 mph. That’s clean, powerful, and lined up. The afternoon holds 8ft (SSE, 15s) and even higher energy at 2479, with a moderate cross-off. This is a solid day for experienced surfers – the size is getting up there, so beginners might find it a bit much.
Thursday, August 6th – Another good morning. 7ft from the SSE (14s), energy at 1623, and a moderate offshore from the NE at 12 mph. It’s clean and the swell is still solid. The afternoon gets a bit messy with a light cross-onshore from the SE and the swell shifts to 7ft from the S (14s), energy at 2047, but it’s not as clean.
Friday, August 7th – Swell drops a touch to 7ft (S, 14s) in the morning, with a gentle cross-off from the E (9 mph). It’s rideable, but energy is still high (2091). The afternoon gets cross-shore and choppy with rain showers, so not ideal.
Saturday, August 8th – Morning is the pick of the weekend. Swell drops to 5ft (S, 14s) with a light cross-off from the E (6 mph). Clean enough, and energy is 1193. The afternoon turns cross-onshore and choppy, so definitely a morning session.
Sunday, August 9th to Monday, August 11th – Swell continues to drop. Sunday morning has 4ft (SSW, 14s) with a gentle cross-off, energy 862. It’s okay but nothing special. Monday has a fresh offshore but the swell is only 3ft (SSW, 16s) and fading. The energy is down to 538. Tuesday morning, August 11th, is still surfable with 3ft (SSW, 14s) and a moderate offshore, but it’s small.
Wednesday, August 12th onward – This is where it gets rough. From Wednesday morning, the swell drops below 3ft, winds go onshore, and the energy readings fall into the double digits and low hundreds. August 12th and 13th are poor, with onshore winds and tiny swell. From August 14th through to the 19th, it’s a real struggle – waves are below 3ft, mostly onshore or cross-shore, and the combined energy is between 67 and 244. That’s a big gap with no real recommendations. The shape is gone, and the conditions are just messy.
The standout: Without a doubt, Wednesday, August 5th morning is the best on offer. That 7ft SSE swell with a 15-second period, fresh offshore wind, and huge energy (2228) is gonna be firing at Rock Island. It’s a reef break, so that long period will work well. Just be aware it’s a bit of a crowd magnet – it’s listed as “sometimes” busy, so get in early.
For the second week, there’s nothing that stands out. The swell is too small, and the wind is mostly onshore. It’s a quiet period.
Stay safe, pick your windows, and I’ll be back with the next one.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastSome drizzle, heaviest during Thu night. Warm (max 30°C on Thu morning, min 23°C on Tue night). Mainly fresh winds. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryModerate rain (total 15mm), heaviest on Fri morning. Warm (max 29°C on Fri afternoon, min 24°C on Sun night). Mainly fresh winds. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Tuesday 4 | Wednesday 5 | Thursday 6 | Friday 7 | Saturday 8 | Sunday 9 | Monday 10 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 17 | SE 16 | SE 16 | SSE 15 | SSE 15 | SSE 14 | SSE 14 | S 14 | S 14 | S 14 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | S 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 15 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SW 15 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
1094 | 1464 | 2241 | 2228 | 2479 | 2228 | 1519 | 1929 | 1999 | 1855 | 1635 | 1143 | 971 | 1121 | 1007 | 732 | 693 | 657 | 499 | 436 | 218 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | off | cross-off | off | off | cross-off | off | off | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | off | cross-off | off |
High Tide | 8:48PM1.44m | 9:29AM1.26m | 9:16PM1.43m | 10:48AM1.17m | 9:49PM1.41m | 12:41PM1.13m | 10:30PM1.40m | 2:57PM1.19m | 11:28PM1.38m | 4:09PM1.28m | 00:45AM1.38m | 4:47PM1.36m | 2:03AM1.40m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 2:32PM0.59m | 3:17AM0.54m | 3:04PM0.75m | 4:14AM0.50m | 3:39PM0.90m | 5:21AM0.46m | 4:23PM1.04m | 6:37AM0.41m | 5:47PM1.15m | 7:52AM0.33m | 7:53PM1.19m | 8:54AM0.25m | 9:16PM1.16m | ||||||||
4:52 | — | — | 4:52 | — | — | 4:52 | — | — | 4:54 | — | — | 4:54 | — | — | 4:54 | — | — | 4:56 | — | — | |
— | 6:43 | — | — | 6:42 | — | — | 6:40 | — | — | 6:39 | — | — | 6:38 | — | — | 6:37 | — | — | 6:37 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 26 | 28 | 24 | 26 | 28 | 26 | 30 | 30 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 26 | 29 | 29 | 26 | 28 | 28 | 25 | 27 | 28 | 24 |
Feels °C | 23 | 25 | 22 | 25 | 28 | 27 | 32 | 32 | 30 | 29 | 30 | 28 | 31 | 30 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 25 | 24 | 25 | 21 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 17 | SE 16 | SE 16 | SSE 15 | SSE 15 | SSE 14 | SSE 14 | S 14 | S 14 | S 14 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | S 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 15 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SW 15 |
1094 | 1464 | 2241 | 2228 | 2479 | 2228 | 1519 | 1929 | 1999 | 1855 | 1635 | 1143 | 971 | 1121 | 1007 | 732 | 693 | 657 | 499 | 436 | 218 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 14 | E 13 | — | — | — | — | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | ESE 9 | SE 10 | SE 9 | SW 16 | ESE 12 | ESE 12 | SSE 9 | SE 9 | SE 8 | SE 8 | SSW 13 | S 12 |
4 | 3 | — | — | — | — | 104 | 118 | 111 | 236 | 47 | 78 | 216 | 14 | 29 | 101 | 77 | 33 | 22 | 35 | 106 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | SE 12 | ESE 12 | — | ESE 12 | ESE 14 | ESE 13 | ESE 13 | ESE 12 | ESE 12 |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 6 | 113 | — | 29 | 41 | 18 | 17 | 29 | 28 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NNE 3 | — | — | NNE 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | SE 9 | ENE 3 | NNE 4 | NNE 4 | NNE 4 |
8 | — | — | 24 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 164 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 14 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 145 | 38 | 8 | 552 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 38 | 0 | 54 | 54 | 0 | 0 | 54 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 1030 | 54 | 1030 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Kanagawa | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Japan | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Rock Island Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Rock Island provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Rock Island can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Rock Island surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Rock Island) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Rock Island may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Rock Island is 3 km (2 miles) from the city of Kamakura. If you plan a holiday in Kanagawa, look for hotels and other accommodation in Kamakura. Kamakura has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.











