Rhosneigr Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Gotta be straight with you – the outlook for the next couple of weeks is a tough one to swallow. We’re looking at a long, dry spell with barely a ripple worth paddling for.

Let’s start with the overall pattern. The forecast shows a few pulses of energy pushing through, but the wind is just relentless. It’s either cross-onshore or onshore, and it’s chopping everything to bits. The water is sitting at 63° right now, which is a touch warmer than normal for early September, but that’s little comfort when the surf is this ugly.

We kick off Saturday, September 5th, with a tiny 3ft WSW swell, but it’s a short-period 5 seconds and a moderate cross-onshore from the west at 12 mph. The combined energy is weak (44), and it’s just a choppy mess. Not worth a second look. Sunday the 6th brings a bit more size – 5ft to 5ft from the SSW – but that’s with a fresh breeze at 19-22 mph. The energy jumps into the moderate range (122-156), but the wind is destroying any chance of a clean wave. The onshore wind is just too strong. Into Monday the 7th, we get a tiny 1ft swell with a very long 14-second period in the morning, which is a tease, but it’s onshore and the energy is only 61. The afternoon picks up to 5ft but again, it’s onshore and messy.

The middle of the week doesn’t get any better. Tuesday the 8th has a 6ft WSW swell (energy 199) but it’s cross-onshore with a fresh breeze, and lumpy. The same story continues through Wednesday, Thursday, and Friday – we see moderate energy in the 100-200 range, but the wind is fresh cross-onshore, and the wave comment is constantly “poor surf conditions.”

Things go completely flat by Saturday the 12th. The swell drops to 1ft and 0.7ft, and while the wind finally goes cross-offshore and then glassy offshore, it’s just too small to ride. The combined energy is down to single digits (5 and 1). There’s a glimmer of hope on Sunday the 13th with a glassy 0.3ft, but again, it’s nothing. The 14th through the 17th are more of the same – tiny swells, onshore or cross-onshore winds, and nothing but choppy or lumpy conditions.

Even into the second week, the story doesn’t change. We see a tiny 2ft on the 16th, but it’s onshore with a 4-second period. The energy is never above 17. The last few days of the forecast, from the 18th to the 20th, are essentially flat, with no swell recorded at all.

If you’re looking for a standout, there isn’t one. The best we can say is that the wind does go light and glassy for a very brief window on the 13th and 16th, but there’s no swell to go with it. Honestly, this setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing, given the consistent wind and lumpy water.

For a beginner, be aware that any of the swells over 5ft (like the 5ft and 6ft ones) are going to be too big for you, and the wind will make them even more challenging. The long-period swell on the 7th (14 seconds) and the 20th (14 seconds) could have been good at a point or reef, but the onshore wind ruins it, and the 20th has no swell height anyway.

It’s a blank run, folks. A 16-day gap in quality surf. Sometimes that’s how it goes in this area. Forecasts can change, but for now, the board stays in the car.

Rusty.

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