Rhosneigr Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Hey, Rusty here. Let’s take a look at what’s cooking for Rhosneigr over the next couple of weeks. I gotta level with you – it’s a rough stretch. Every single report in the whole 16-day window is tagged as poor surf conditions, with a flat zero score. So there’s no time I’d actually tell you to paddle out for a proper session. The first few days are totally flat or tiny, and even when a little swell tries to show later, the wind or the quality ruins it. We’re in for a long, quiet period.

Starting Sunday the 16th, it’s a total dud. The water here is running at 65°F, which is about 5°F warmer than normal for this time of year – that’s a big anomaly, feels like a warm pool. But the surf? Zilch. No swell, combined energy at 0, and a light onshore breeze from the SW at 3 mph just messes the surface. Monday and Tuesday are just as bad – tiny 0.3 ft to 0.6 ft swells from the SW or NW, with short, weak periods of 4 to 6 seconds.

Wednesday the 19th brings the closest thing to size, but it’s ugly. A 2 m (about 5 ft) swell from the WSW in the morning, with a combined energy of 122 – so there’s some moderate power. But the wind is onshore at 19 mph, making it choppy and blown out. By the afternoon, the wind hits 22 mph with light rain. That’s a day for the kite surfers, not for paddle surfing.

From the 20th through the 26th, we’re stuck with tiny stuff – mostly 0.3 ft to 1 ft swells from the SW or WNW, with periods all over the place. There are some cleaner moments, like Thursday and Friday mornings with cross-offshore winds, but the swell is way too small to ride. The 22nd and 23rd have a long-period groundswell of 14 to 15 seconds, but at only 0.3 ft, it’s a ghost. The combined energy is in the single digits – totally weak.

Around the 27th and 28th, another pulse arrives. Thursday afternoon the 27th shows a 2 m (about 7 ft) swell from the SSW at 6 seconds, with a combined energy of 271 – the biggest energy of the whole outlook. But the wind is onshore at 22 mph, making it lumpy and only for experts. The 28th has 1 m (about 5 ft) from the SW, but again, strong onshore winds at 22 mph ruin it. Friday afternoon the 30th sees winds hitting 31 mph – a near-gale – with only 0.7 m (about 2 ft) of weak, short-period swell. No good.

The final days into Monday the 31st are more of the same: moderate onshore winds and poor quality. Honestly, for the full 16 days, there are no standouts. The best you could hope for is a tiny, clean wave on a light-wind day, but it’s not worth the trip. Rhosneigr is usually fairly consistent, so this blank run is a downer, but it happens. Forecasts can change, but for now, leave the board at home.

Rusty.

Read more