Rhosneigr Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s be straight with you – the outlook for Rhosneigr over the next 16 days is a tough one to write. Honestly, it’s mostly a write-off for quality surfing. The first real shot at anything rideable doesn’t pop up until late in the period, with a whole lot of poor surf conditions and gnarly wind in between.

The problem straight out of the gate is a messy combination of strong winds and onshore or cross-onshore flow. We get a burst of energy on the 10th with a 7ft swell from the SSW and moderate wave energy (437), but it’s being absolutely hammered by a 22 mph onshore wind. That’s just ugly, churned-up slop, not what you’re paddling out for. That same pattern repeats on the 12th with another 7ft SSW swell (447 energy units), again ruined by strong onshore wind.

There’s a brief lull into the middle of the month with knee-to-waist high mush and manageable wind, but the quality is still poor. The water temp on the 10th is 63°, which is a touch warmer than normal for the time of year – a small silver lining, but it doesn’t help the wave face.

Then we grind through a long spell of nothing worth mentioning. Thursday the 17th through Sunday the 20th is a dead zone with tiny waves and onshore junk. Monday the 21st is the only blip worth flagging, and that’s only for the glassiest of conditions. The morning sees 6ft of SW swell with 177 units of energy and... a glassy sea. Calm wind. That’s your standout – the only window in the whole run where the conditions line up for a clean surf. It's a small window though, because by the afternoon the wind swings and it’s messy again.

After that, it’s back to tiny, weak chop and cross-off breezes through to the 25th, with another small flurry of energy on the 24th (7ft swell, 307 energy units) but again, the wind is on it. For this spot, the swell direction is SW which is the ideal, but the wind just won't play ball.

Best Bet: If you’re desperate for a paddle, the Monday morning of the 21st is your only real shot. The glassy surface will make that 6ft SW swell look as good as it’s going to get, even if the period is short. For beginners, that 6ft on a glassy day might be manageable, but the afternoon onshore will make it a battle. For the rest of the run, save your wax. The setup here is more interesting for a kite session than a paddle in these conditions.

Rusty, out.

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