Ponta Negra Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s cookin’.

Honestly, mate, it’s a pretty bleak run for Ponta Negra. We’re looking at a full 16-day forecast and I gotta tell ya, there’s not a single standout session in the lot. The wind is just relentless – cross-on from the SSE and SE pretty much the whole way through, and it sits right in that moderate to fresh breeze range, so the surface is going to be choppy and lumpy for the most part. The combined wave energy is weak for much of the first week, only hitting moderate levels on the 16th (412) and 17th (372), but with that onshore wind, it’s just poor conditions. For a beginner-friendly, consistent spot like Ponta Negra, it’s a real shame.

The first few days are a write-off. Wednesday the 12th through to the weekend sees swell around 2ft to 6ft from the ESE, but that period stays short – 6 to 8 seconds – so it’s weak, crumbly, and messy. The wind doesn’t let up. On Saturday the 15th afternoon, a 2ft SE swell with an 11-second period pops up, but it’s still cross-on and the energy is only moderate (224). Not worth paddling out for.

From the 16th through the 22nd, we get some bigger swell, up to 6ft on the 16th and 17th, but the wind stays cross-on and lumpy. The period is short – 6 to 7 seconds – so it’s just a blown-out mess. Even when the wind backs off to "on" on the 21st and 22nd, the swell is tiny, only 3ft to 4ft, and the period is still short. The combined energy dips right down to 93 and 96, so weak as a kitten.

Then on the 23rd, a long-period groundswell shows up: 2ft from the SE with a period of 16 seconds in the morning and 15 seconds in the afternoon. The energy picks up to 219 and 213, which sounds interesting, but the swell is only a foot and a half and the wind is onshore. That long period on such a tiny swell at a beach break like Ponta Negra is going to be fat, wobbly, and barely breaking – not for the average surfer.

The final days from the 24th to the 27th just repeat the pattern: small, short-period swell, and cross-on winds. The water temperature anomaly isn’t given, so I’d say it’s pretty average for this time of year.

So, bottom line: there are no good surf options in this 16-day window. With the consistent onshores and generally weak or messy swell, I’d leave the board at home. It’s a blank run, and for a spot that’s normally consistent, that’s a bit of a surprise, but forecasts can always change.

Rusty.

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