Ponta Negra Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let's get straight into it. This is for Ponta Negra.

Honestly, looking at the whole run, I'm a bit bummed out for you. For the entire sixteen days, there isn't a single session that gets a green light. The winds are just a mess, and the conditions never clean up. We've got a long wait on our hands.

Starting right now, on Sunday the 13th, it's a no-go. We've got a 5ft swell coming from the ESE, but it's getting hammered by a 16 mph cross-onshore wind out of the southeast. The combined wave energy is weak (277), and the period is a short 7 seconds. It's all chop and no shape. This same pattern of moderate cross-onshore wind and poor surf sticks with us all the way through the end of the week.

Moving into Monday the 14th and Tuesday the 15th, the story doesn't change. The swell hangs around the 4ft to 5ft mark from the ESE, but that damn cross-onshore wind keeps it messy. The energy is still low, between 204 and 220. The water temp is about average for this time of year, so no surprises there, but you wouldn't want to be out in this anyway.

Wednesday the 16th and Thursday the 17th are more of the same. The swell is still there, but the wind is either onshore or cross-onshore. It's just not fun. We're looking at a solid week of poor conditions, through to about Friday the 18th, when the wind picks up to a fresh 19 mph breeze, making it lumpy as well. Saturday the 19th brings some rain showers, but even the cleaner onshore wind can't save the 5ft, short-period slop.

This whole stretch, from now until the start of the second week, is a write-off. You're looking at nine days straight of nothing worth paddling out for.

Now, heading into the second week, the energy starts to climb a little, but the wind remains the problem. On Sunday the 21st, we've got a 5ft swell, but with a 16 mph cross-onshore wind, it's still messy. The energy creeps up to 245, but it's not enough to make up for the conditions.

By Wednesday the 23rd, the swell period jumps to 13 seconds, which is a proper groundswell. The combined energy hits 391, which is still on the low end of moderate. But the wind stays a problem. On Wednesday afternoon, it's cross-onshore and choppy again.

Thursday the 24th sees the best energy of the whole run. The combined energy reaches 635, which is a solid moderate pulse. The swell is 4ft from the ESE with a 12-second period. But that wind... it's still a moderate 12 mph breeze from the ESE. In the morning it's onshore, and in the afternoon it's cross-onshore. This is the most frustrating part of the forecast. There's real energy in the water, but the wind is just not cooperating to give us a clean wave. This is about as close as we get to something, and it's still a miss.

Friday the 25th brings a risk of thunderstorms and a bit less wind, but the swell has dropped back to 4ft with an 11-second period. The energy is 454. The wind is onshore from the east. It's still not the one.

We finish the run on Monday the 28th with a 4ft ENE swell and a 7-second period. The energy is 235. And, you guessed it, the wind is onshore. There is no stand-out session in this entire forecast.

Rusty.

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