Moreton Island - East Coast Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here again, dialing in the same outlook but in the old-school numbers. Let’s talk about what’s coming.

The water is sitting right on 72°, which is dead average for this time of year – no surprises there.

Gotta be straight with you: the next 16 days are a mixed bag, with plenty of flat spells and blown-out slop. The first real chance for a decent paddle is Saturday the 11th. The morning is the pick, with a clean 4ft swell from the SE at a 10-second interval. The wind is a light offshore from the SSW, keeping the surface clean. The combined energy is weak though, only 380, so expect fun little waves, not barrels. The afternoon drops off.

Sunday the 12th is another solid option. The morning has a clean 4ft SE swell (11 seconds) with a solid offshore wind from the W. The wave energy is even weaker at 289, but with that offshore wind, it’ll be clean and workable. The afternoon gets lumpy.

After that, the surf just dies. Monday the 13th gives you a tiny 2ft, and then it’s flat for days. From Tuesday the 14th through Wednesday the 22nd, it’s mostly small, weak junk under 3ft, with a lot of poor conditions and onshore breezes. There’s a moment on the 22nd with a 3ft SSE swell and an offshore wind, but the period is a short 7 seconds, so it’ll be weak and crumbly.

The only true standout is the morning of Saturday the 11th. Moreton Island - East Coast is the spot. The swell is a clean 4ft from the SE, and with that light offshore SW wind, the lineup will be glassy. The 10-second period gives it a bit of push. Just know that the crowds can be *often*, so you won’t be alone, but for a clean, fun winter wave, it’s the best on offer.

The rest of the 16 days is a long, flat, and windy road. The 17th through the 19th see a massive spike in swell energy, with a 13ft SSE swell on the 17th morning (energy of 6651!) and 10ft on the 18th, but it’s all accompanied by howling gale-force winds (37-40 mph) from the SSE. That’s not surf, that’s a survival mission. For a beach break like this, that setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing.

So, bottom line: get out on Saturday morning the 11th for the cleanest, most fun waves of the run. Sunday morning the 12th is a solid backup. Then the taps get turned off for a while before getting blown out. That’s the story.

Rusty.

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