Ann Street Peaks Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. Let’s be straight with you about the next couple of weeks. It’s a bit of a rough stretch for paddling, no two ways about it. The forecast is pretty ordinary for most of the run, with a whole lot of lumpy, cross-onshore slop and only one real window that’s gonna get the heart rate up. We’ve got a long gap of nothing happening early, then a solid pulse of energy, but it’s coming with messy wind. Stick with me, I’ll walk you through it.

The first week is basically a write-off. From Wednesday the 12th through to about Sunday the 16th, it’s all small and blown out. We’re looking at ankle to waist-high dribble, with the swell hanging around 1.6ft to 4.9ft, mostly from the southeast. The wind is onshore or cross-onshore for most of it, so it’s choppy and ugly. The energy is weak too, with the combined swell energy sitting between 48 and 185 – that’s barely a ripple. Water temp at Ann Street Peaks (Big Island) is 67.6°F, which is a bit colder than normal for this time of year, so you’ll want the hood if you’re even thinking about it.

Then things start to get bigger, but not better. From Monday the 17th into Tuesday the 18th, the swell pushes up to 6.9ft to 7.5ft from the east-southeast, with periods around 8 seconds. The energy jumps right up into the 500s and 600s, which is moderate to strong, but the wind is still howling out of the southeast at 15-18 mph, making it a proper mess. That’s not surfable for most – it’s blown-out, lumpy, and just ugly. For a beach and reef setup like this, that kind of size and wind is more of a kite-surfing day than a paddle day. I’d give it a miss.

The middle of the week doesn’t offer much relief. Wednesday the 19th and Thursday the 20th see the swell stay around 5.6ft to 7.2ft, but the wind is still cross-onshore, so it’s just more of the same chop. The energy is there – over 1000 at one point on Wednesday morning – but it’s not doing anyone any favours.

Now, here’s the one bright spot. Saturday the 22nd, in the early morning. The swell drops to a clean 5.2ft from the east with a 10-second period. The wind goes dead calm – glassy. That’s the one window where it’s actually going to look like a proper surf break. The energy is moderate at 466, and with zero wind, it should be clean and lined up. That’s the standout of the whole run. It’s still only 5.2ft, so it’s not huge, but it’ll be the best quality you’ll see. Get on it early because the afternoon goes back to cross-onshore and choppy.

After that, it fades again. Sunday the 23rd has some cross-off wind and a bit of shape, but the swell drops back to 3.6ft to 3.9ft. The energy is still moderate, but it’s just not doing it. From Monday the 24th onwards, it’s all downhill – small, weak, and mostly onshore. The last few days of the month are a write-off, with 1.6ft dribble and no energy to speak of.

So, bottom line: there’s a long dry spell at the start, then a big, messy swell that’s no good for paddling, and just that one glassy morning on Saturday the 22nd that’s worth getting out of bed for. It’s not a classic forecast, but if you’re patient, you’ll get one clean session out of it.

Catch ya on the beach.

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