Alexandra Headland Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, this is Rusty. Let’s have a look at what’s coming up for Alexandra Headland.

We’ve got a bit of a slow start this week, but don’t write it off just yet. The real story here is a big pulse of swell that rolls in later, and a couple of standout sessions that are gonna be worth circling on the calendar.

First up, the coming weekend. Saturday 11 July morning is where you wanna be. The water’s sitting at 69°F, which is a bit colder than normal for this time of year – about 2°F off, so you’ll feel that little nip. We’ve got a clean 3 ft swell from the SE, period a solid 11 seconds, and the wind is a light S cross-off at 3 mph. That’s gonna be clean and fun for the beginners and cruisers. The combined energy is moderate (231). Afternoon’s a bit ordinary with an onshore breeze, so make the most of the morning.

Sunday 12 July morning is also pretty tidy – 3 ft from the ESE, period 11 seconds again, and a WNW cross-off at 9 mph. Clean, but the swell’s a bit small. The combined energy is moderate (204). Afternoon’s similar but weaker.

Monday 13 July morning drops off to 2 ft and the energy’s weak (62). Not much to get excited about. From Monday afternoon through to Wednesday 15 July, it’s flat and poor – a real quiet spell. Swell drops to 0.6 ft, energy down to single digits. That’s a few days with nothing worth paddling out for.

Then things get interesting. Thursday 16 July sees a big jump – 8 ft to 11 ft SE swell, but it’s gonna be howling with S and SSE winds at 25 mph. The combined energy shoots up to 1387 and 2720 – that’s strong, serious energy. But the wind is strong too, so it’s gonna be messy. This is more for the experienced crew, and even then, it’s marginal. If you’re a kite surfer, this setup might be more your thing.

Friday 17 July through to Monday 20 July keeps the size up – 10 ft to 11 ft, with periods around 9-11 seconds. The wind is still strong from the SSE, 15-25 mph, so it’s clean but powerful. The combined energy is in the thousands (1364 to 3915), which is very strong. This is expert-only territory, and the conditions are still marginal. Not the best combination of size and wind.

Now, the real standout. Tuesday 21 July morning and afternoon. This is the one. The swell drops to a more manageable 7 ft to 7 ft from the ESE, period a lovely 12 seconds, and the wind turns offshore from the SW at 9 mph. That’s gentle offshore and clean. The combined energy is strong (1235 and 1122). This is excellent surf for experienced surfers. The break is a beach and point, so with that long period (12 seconds), the point will be reeling. The optimum swell direction from the guidance is SE, and we’re getting ESE, which is close enough to work well. It’s consistent and the crowds are often there, so expect company.

Wednesday 22 July morning is still good – 5 ft, ESE, 12 seconds, offshore wind from the SSW – but the energy drops to moderate (692). Still a good session, but the 21st is the one to chase.

After that, the swell slowly fades through the rest of the week. Thursday 23 and Friday 24 are smaller and the wind is more cross-off. Saturday 25 July morning goes glassy with a 5 ft SE swell, period only 8 seconds (short period), so it’ll be a bit weaker and less organised. The combined energy is moderate (323).

Finally, Sunday 26 July morning is another standout. The swell is 7 ft from the SE, period 11 seconds, and the wind is glassy – WNW at 3 mph. The combined energy is very strong (1704). This is excellent surf for experienced surfers, but it’s a week and a half away, so keep an eye on it. The afternoon gets a cross-onshore, so morning is the call.

So, to wrap it up: the best on offer is Tuesday 21 July at Alexandra Headland – clean, offshore, solid 7 ft swell with long period. The other one to watch is Sunday 26 July morning, but that’s further out. Don’t bother with the mid-week flat spell or the windy, oversized days unless you’re an expert or on a kite.

Rusty

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