Alexandra Headland Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, it’s Rusty. Let’s look at what’s coming for Alexandra Headland. The 16-day window starts on Saturday the 11th of July with small clean waves. Nothing to get too worked up about early on, but there’s a big swell building around the 16th, and then a real sweet spot from the 20th to the 22nd. The middle of the first week goes flat and forgettable, so don’t bother paddling out from about Wednesday the 15th through Thursday the 16th morning unless you want a beating.

Saturday 11 July – Morning is the pick early. Clear skies, light southerly cross-off breeze, clean 3ft of southeast swell at 11 seconds. Combined energy is 231 (moderate). It’s small, but clean and friendly for beginners at the point. Afternoon gets messy with an east wind pushing on.

Sunday 12 July – Morning again is the go. Cloud cover, a west-north-west cross-off breeze at 9 mph, and another 3ft southeast swell at 11 seconds. Energy drops to 201 (moderate). Clean and rideable for a morning session. Afternoon turns cross-shore and messy.

Monday 13 July – Small drop-off. Morning is clean with a light west-south-west cross-off but only 2ft at 10 seconds. Energy is 62 (weak). It’s surfable if you’re desperate, but it’s ordinary.

Tuesday 14 July to Wednesday 15 July – Tiny. Swell drops to 1ft or less. Combined energy is in the teens or single digits (weak). Not worth a paddle. The offshore winds keep it clean, but there’s nothing to ride.

Thursday 16 July – Big change. A short-period 7ft to 8ft southeast swell rolls in, but it’s blowing 25 mph from the south-south-east. Combined energy jumps to 667–806 (moderate). It’s heavy, blown-out, and honestly looks more like a kite session than a paddle surf. The beach-and-point setup would be wild in this. Only experts should even think about it, and even then, conditions are poor.

Friday 17 July to Saturday 18 July – Still pumping but messy. Swell holds at 8ft–8ft from the south-east, period around 8–10 seconds. Winds are still strong at 19–22 mph from the south-south-east. Energy is massive at 830–1084 (strong). It’s raw and lumpy. Not recommended for beginners, and even for experienced surfers quality is marginal.

Sunday 19 July – Swell drops slightly to 7ft–7ft, but it’s cross-shore with moderate breeze. Energy remains strong at 576–643. Still not great.

Monday 20 July – Now we’re talking. Monday morning is the first real standout. Clear skies, light southerly cross-off breeze, clean 7ft swell from the east-south-east at 9 seconds. Combined energy is 625 (moderate). This is shaping up for a very good session. The wave comment says “expect very good surf conditions.” Alexandra Headland faces the south-east so this swell direction lines up well. Crowds are often here, so expect company, but it’s worth it.

Tuesday 21 July – The best session of the whole window. Morning is clean with a light south-westerly offshore and 6ft at 10 seconds. Afternoon goes glassy with a barely-there east wind and 6ft from the east at 12 seconds. Energy is 993 (moderate). This is beautiful surf. The swell direction matches the optimum south-east well enough, and that glassy afternoon session is pure gold. Water temp is running around 59°F for the area and the anomaly is within a degree of average for this time of year.

Wednesday 22 July to Thursday 23 July – Back to more ordinary conditions. Wednesday morning is clean but only 5ft. Thursday morning is glassy with 5ft from the south-east at 6 seconds. That 6-second period is short and weak, but the glassy conditions make it rideable if you’re keen.

Friday 24 July to Sunday 26 July – Fading swell. Clean offshore winds on Friday morning with 5ft at 8 seconds, but the energy drops from 216 down to 142 by Sunday. Surfable but uninspiring by the weekend.

The real standout is Tuesday 21 July, especially the glassy afternoon. Monday 20 July morning and the 21 July morning are also excellent. Don’t waste your time in the tiny flat spell from the 14th to the 15th, or the windy mess on the 16th.

Rusty.

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