Alexandra Headland Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s get into it. This is Rusty.

Right off the bat, we’ve got a bit of a mixed bag ahead. For most of the next week, the surf is small and the wind is making things tricky. The main action doesn't really kick off until mid-next week, with a solid run of clean conditions from July 21st onward.

The first standout, and really the only one worth getting excited about in the early going, comes in on the morning of Saturday July 11th at Alexandra Headland. We’re looking at a clean 3 ft swell, coming out of the southeast, with a period of 10 seconds. The wind is light offshore from the SSW at just 6 mph, which means the waves will be glassy and well-shaped. The combined energy is a weak 226, so it’s not a big day, but for a small-break session, it’s about as good as it gets. The water is sitting at 69°, which is about a degree and a half colder than average for this time of year, so not a shock but you’ll want a spring suit.

Unfortunately, that Saturday is the peak of a very short-lived pulse. By Saturday afternoon, the wind swings onshore from the northeast and the swell drops. From Sunday July 12th right through to the end of the week, it’s a sad story – waves barely reach 2 ft, the energy is anemic, and it’s all pretty ordinary. There’s a glassy moment on Sunday afternoon, but with only 3 ft on offer, it’s still a flat spell. That gap of poor-to-no surf runs straight through until July 20th.

Now, here’s where it gets interesting. The forecast is pointing toward a proper round of groundswell arriving on July 21st. Starting that Tuesday morning, the swell jumps to 4 ft from the ESE with a 13-second period, and clean offshore winds from the WSW at 16 mph. The energy hits a moderate 553, and it’s only going to build. By Wednesday July 22nd, the swell is 4 ft to 4 ft, still with a long 12-13 second period, and the wind stays clean offshore or cross-off. The combined energy then sits around the 600-675 range, and the forecast notes are very good surf conditions. This is the real highlight of the outlook – clean, long-period groundswell slotted into a point-and-beach set-up. The swell direction is matching what the break wants (SE optimum), so expect proper lines. The morning of Wednesday the 22nd is the pick of the bunch. Just keep in mind, with that long-period swell of 13 seconds, it might be a little too lined-up for the beach sections, but the point at Alex will handle it beautifully. Crowds can get busy here, especially when it’s clean.

From the 23rd, the energy drops off quickly, and the wind goes light and variable again, so that window is narrow. Two to three days of good, then it’s back to small stuff.

So, truth be told, the next 10 days are mostly a no-go, but if you can hold out until the 21st and 22nd, that’s the window. Light offshore, long-period groundswell, clean conditions – that’s as good as it gets in this stretch.

Stay patient and keep your eye on that mid-next-week pulse.

This is Rusty. Signing off.

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