Alexandra Headland Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. Let’s be straight—this 16-day outlook for Alexandra Headland is a tough one to write. We’ve got a long stretch ahead, so buckle up.

Right now, we’re looking at a rough start. The first surf worth paddling out for is from the morning of Thursday, September 10, but it’s not for the faint-hearted. We’ve got a solid 8ft swell from the SE with a short period of 6 seconds, and a squally 19 mph cross-off wind. The combined energy is moderate (422), but the “poor surf conditions” tag says it all. The water temp sits at 69°, which is about normal for this time of year—nothing unusual there. This one’s messy, choppy, and only for the keen.

Friday morning, September 11, sees the swell dropping to 6ft from the ESE, period still short at 7 seconds, with a 12 mph cross wind. Combined energy is 339, still moderate, but again, it’s marked as poor. The wind creates a moderate cross-shore chop. Not a classic. Friday afternoon is similar at 5ft (260 energy).

Saturday, September 12, holds at 5ft in the morning (175 energy) and 4ft in the afternoon (164 energy), both with cross winds and rain showers. The swell direction is mostly ESE, which isn’t the optimum SE this spot likes. Still poor conditions.

Sunday, September 13, the swell drops to 3ft from the E (106 energy in the morning), and by Monday, September 14, we’re down to 3ft (68 energy). It’s small, weak, and unexciting.

Here’s the one little highlight. On Tuesday morning, September 15, the wind goes glassy—SE at 3 mph—and we get a 3ft E swell with a combined energy of only 54 (weak). The wave comment says “surfable but very ordinary.” It’s clean, but tiny. Probably the best you’ll get for a quiet session, but not worth writing home about.

From Wednesday, September 16, through to the end of the forecast on Friday, September 25, it’s mostly flat or marginal. There’s a small bump on Thursday, September 17, with 4ft ESE swell (145 energy), but the wind is on it. The last decent spike shows up on Saturday afternoon, September 19, with a 7ft SE swell (302 energy), but it’s blown out with an onshore NE wind. Another one on Sunday morning, September 20, with 6ft SE (348 energy) but cross-onshore wind. Not clean.

Toward the very end, Thursday morning, September 24, we get a 3ft ESE swell with a long period of 12 seconds (205 energy) and light cross wind. That’s a groundswell signal, but it’s small. For a spot like Alexandra Headland—a beach and point break—a long period like that tends to wrap in better, but with only 3ft, it’s not doing much.

Overall, there’s no standout session here. The best of a weak bunch is that glassy Tuesday morning, September 15. It’s clean, small, and okay for a beginner-friendly paddle. After that, it’s mostly poor or marginal. Crowds can be an issue here (often busy), but with conditions this ordinary, you might have it to yourself.

Stay patient. A blank run like this is normal for the area. Forecasts can change.

Rusty.

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