Alexandra Headland Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. Let’s be straight with you—this stretch of coast isn’t firing for the next couple of weeks. We’ve got a long, flat, and frustrating run ahead, but there’s a glimmer of hope if you’re patient.

Right off the bat, Sunday the 13th and Monday the 14th are write-offs. Small, weak windswell around `3 ft` to `4 ft` with a short period of `6 seconds`. Add in a cross-shore breeze and some cross-chop, and you’re looking at mush, not surf. Combined energy is weak—`134` and `108` on Sunday, dropping to `65` and `64` on Monday. Not worth paddling out.

Tuesday the 15th morning gets close to something, but “close” doesn’t cut it. We’ve got a glassy `3 ft` at `6 seconds`, energy down at `56`. It’s surfable, but honestly, it’s ordinary. Tuesday afternoon turns onshore and dies.

Wednesday the 16th morning picks up a clean cross-off wind, but the swell is still only `2 ft` and weak. Then Wednesday afternoon things get interesting but messy—the swell jumps to `7 ft` from the SE, period `6 seconds`, but with a fresh `30 km/h` cross-shore wind. Energy climbs to `393`, but that’s lumpy, chopped-up power, not clean waves. This is not the one.

Thursday the 17th and Friday the 18th have some size—`5 ft` to `7 ft` with `7-8 second` periods. The winds are clean and cross-off, which is a good sign, and energy is moderate at `308` and `373`. But the quality is only marginal. It’s there, but it’s not singing. Thursday morning is the better of the two, but I wouldn’t call it a standout.

Then we hit the real gem. Saturday the 19th morning—that’s your window. We’ve got a glassy, `3 ft` swell from the ESE with a long `12 second` period. Combined energy is `289`, which is moderate, but that long-period groundswell brings real shape and push. The break at Alexandra Headland (Sunshine Coast) will actually have some lines to it. This is the best of the bunch, no question. The morning is clean, the swell direction matches the optimum SE, and the period is solid. For a beach-and-point setup, that long period can sometimes make things a bit straight, but I’d take it over anything else in this window. Saturday afternoon gets onshore, so get in early.

After that, it’s a sad slide into nothing. Sunday the 20th through Wednesday the 24th—swell drops to `1 ft` to `2 ft`, onshore winds, energy in the low double digits (`9` to `89`). It’s flat, mate. Thursday the 25th and Friday the 26th aren’t any better, with onshore breezes and weak, short-period junk around `3 ft` to `3 ft`. Energy bumps up a little to `118` and `147`, but it’s not quality.

The last couple of days, Saturday the 27th and Monday the 28th, are weak and onshore too. Nothing worth jumping out of bed for.

So here’s the deal: your only real chance is Saturday the 19th morning. It’s the one day where glass, period, and direction line up. It’s not big, but it’ll be clean and fun. Everything else is either too small, too chopped, or just plain flat. Hold tight, and save your energy for that Saturday dawn patrol.

For what it’s worth, the water temp is sitting at `69°F`, which is about average for this time of year—not warm, not cold, just normal.

Stay patient, and I’ll see you out there when it turns on.

Rusty.

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