Alexandra Headland Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here.

Look, I’ll be straight with you – the next two weeks are a bit of a mixed bag at Alexandra Headland. We’ve got a pretty long stretch of small, weak, and messy surf to start, but the second half of the forecast is where things get interesting. The pattern flips around Wednesday, September 9th, and from there we get some proper energy and cleaner conditions.

Saturday, August 29 kicks it off with tiny, weak swell. Morning sees a 2ft from the east at a very average 8 seconds, and it’s cross-off but the wave energy is barely there (70). Afternoon isn’t any better – 3ft from the east-southeast but with a short 6-second period, and it goes cross-shore. It’s poor. Sunday, August 30 brings a bit more height – 6ft in the morning from the southeast – but the period is still short (7 seconds) and the cross-off wind doesn’t help much with quality. The combined energy is moderate (334), but the tide and conditions are marginal. Not one to get excited about.

Monday, August 31 through to Saturday, September 5 is a flat spell. Swell height mostly sits below 3ft, periods are short to moderate, and winds are mostly cross-on or onshore. The energy values are all under 100 – weak stuff. A couple of mornings look clean, but there’s simply no push. There’s a slight flicker on Tuesday, September 1 morning with a 2ft easterly swell and a 10-second period, cross-off light breeze, but the energy is weak (120), and it’s barely surfable. This blank run lasts a full six days.

Sunday, September 6 and Monday, September 7 bring a spike in wind but it’s mostly cross-on or onshore and the swell is poor quality. A 4ft north-northeast windswell on Sunday afternoon with a 5-second period and fresh cross-on breeze – that’s no good for paddling, but if you’ve got a kite, the setup might be worth a look.

Now, here’s where it turns. Tuesday, September 8 starts to show a change. Morning has a clean, offshore SW breeze at 10 km/h with a 3ft northeast swell (6 seconds) – it’s small but clean, and the energy is weak (54). Not a standout, but a sign.

Wednesday, September 9 morning is our first real standout. We get a 5ft south-southeast swell with an 8-second period and a clean, moderate offshore wind from the west-southwest at 25 km/h. The combined energy is moderate (279) and for the first time in over a week, the conditions are labelled “expect good surf conditions.” That south-southeast direction is close to the optimum southeast swell direction for the point. The waves will be lined up, the wind will groom them, and the crowd is often here – expect some company, but the quality will be worth it. If you’re a beginner, this 5ft is right at your limit, so be careful.

Thursday, September 10 morning pushes up to 8ft from the southeast with a 7-second period and a clean cross-off breeze from the south-southwest. Energy is strong (484), but at that height, this is expert territory – too big for most. The period is short for the size, so it could be a bit lumpy. Afternoon has a cross-on element and similar size, so the morning window is the go.

Friday, September 11 morning offers another clean option: 6ft from the east-southeast, 7-second period, cross-off breeze, strong energy (418). That’s solid and rideable for intermediate to advanced surfers. Saturday, September 12 morning is glassy as it gets – no wind, just a slight air, with a 5ft east-southeast swell and moderate energy (234). That glassy surface will make for some silky smooth waves, but the period is only 7 seconds, so the wave quality will be more about the clean face than any deep power.

Sunday, September 13 morning rounds it out with another clean 5ft from the east-southeast, cross-off breeze, and moderate energy (214). A consistent end to a much better second week.

Overall, the first eight days are a write-off – you’re better off doing maintenance or going for a paddle. The second week, from September 9 onward, delivers cleaner, bigger, and more consistent surf. The best day on offer is Wednesday, September 9 morning – the first proper pulse with good offshore wind and a swell angle that suits the headland. It’s not huge, but it’s quality. The glassy Saturday morning on the 12th is also a beauty if you can get out early.

Water temp at Alexandra Headland is around average for this time of year – nothing unusual.

Rusty.

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