Alexandra Headland Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. I’ve been staring at the charts for Alexandra Headland and I gotta be straight with you – it’s a tough run ahead. For a spot that’s usually consistent, we’re looking at a real lean spell with only a couple of fleeting moments that might get the heart going. The water temp is sitting at 69°, which is about 1° cooler than average for this time of year, so nothing weird there, just your standard early spring chill.

Right from Saturday the 12th, it’s a no-go. Cross-shore winds and dinky, weak swell with combined energy barely scraping 184 (moderate but messy) just aren’t doing it any favours. That sorry pattern keeps up through Sunday and into Monday the 14th, where we finally see a tiny flicker – a clean 3ft swell from the east on Monday morning with a light offshore breeze. The energy’s weak at 65 (barely a pulse), and it’s small, but for a beginner or someone on a log, it’s rideable. Nothing to write home about though.

Tuesday and Wednesday are back to rubbish – small swell, poor conditions, and winds all over the shop. Then Wednesday afternoon we get a spike in wind at 30 km/h from the southeast whipping up a 6ft swell, but its period is only 6 seconds, so it’s just lumpy and cross-off. The energy jumps to 191 (moderate), but it’s still a “poor surf conditions” call. Not worth the paddle out.

Now, here’s where it gets interesting for the brave. Thursday the 17th morning sees a 6ft swell from the southeast with a period of 10 seconds – that’s a proper groundswell pulse. The combined energy hits 645 (strong), and the wind is cross-off and fresh at 30 km/h. It’s still marked as “marginal,” but that’s due to tide or maybe the wind strength. This is one for experienced surfers only; the swell is over 5ft, so beginners stay on the beach. By Friday the 18th morning, we’ve got a clean 7ft southeast swell with a 9-second period and moderate cross-off wind – energy is 679 (strong). That’s a solid offering for the keen crew.

But the true standout, the one that’s got me pacing, is Saturday the 19th morning. Glassy conditions – absolute glass – with a clean 6ft swell from the ESE and a period of 12 seconds. That’s a long-period groundswell, and combined energy is 941 (very strong). This is the best of the whole 16 days. The swell direction (ESE) matches up nicely with the optimum (SE) for Alexandra Headland, which is a beach and point setup. That long period means fat, lined-up waves that’ll peel down the point beautifully, but it can make beach breaks a bit fat and straight. At a point, this is money. Expect good shape, clean faces, and that glassy morning will be pure joy. The crowd profile says “often,” so expect a few locals out, but it’ll be worth jostling for a couple.

After that, it drops off again. Sunday the 20th is weak and onshore, and the rest of the window is a mix of small, choppy, or onshore junk. From the 21st to the 27th of September, it’s a flat, poor-quality run – a solid week of barely surfable waves. You’d be unlucky to score much in that stretch.

So to sum it up: the first week is mostly a write-off with one small clean window on Monday morning the 14th. The real action is Thursday the 17th through Saturday the 19th, with Saturday morning the 19th being the absolute standout – get on it if you can. After that, it’s a long, quiet gap.

Rusty.

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