Alexandra Headland Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s on the cards for Alexandra Headland over the next couple of weeks.

The first real surf that’s worth paddling out for doesn’t show up until Thursday the 16th of July, and honestly, it’s a messy start. We’ve got a 8 ft swell from the SE with a short, weak 8-second period. The combined energy is moderate (714), but that wind is a solid 19 mph from the south, cross-offshore, so the surface will be chopped up. Thursday afternoon gets even nastier with 10 ft SE swell and 25 mph winds – that’s expert-only, and frankly, it looks more like a day to stay on the beach or rig up a kite. Conditions stay poor through Friday and Saturday, with fresh to strong southerly winds and lumpy cross-offshore chop. The swell hangs around 7 ft to 8 ft, but with period still short and energy moderate to strong (473 to 888), it’s not going to offer much for a paddle surfer.

Sunday the 19th brings a big jump in size – 13 ft from the ESE with a longer 10 to 11-second period. The energy is massive (3387 to 4071), but the wind stays strong from the SSE, up to 25 mph. That’s big, raw, and wild. Only for the experienced and even then, it’s marginal. This big energy continues into Monday the 20th, with 12 ft swell and cross-shore winds that’ll leave a lumpy, cross-chop mess. Not the kind of conditions you want to paddle into.

Now, here’s where it gets interesting. The standout window opens on Saturday the 25th of July. We’ve got a solid 8 ft to 7 ft ESE swell with a very long 12-second period, which means real groundswell energy. The combined energy is very strong (1630 to 1428), but the kicker is the wind: light to moderate offshore from the SSW to SW, and from the SW at 12 mph. That’s clean, lined-up waves. This is excellent for experienced surfers – the swell size is over 5 ft, so it’s a bit much for beginners, but for anyone who knows what they’re doing, it’s going to be pure gold. The long period groundswell will really suit Alexandra Headland’s point and reef setup, offering proper shape and longer set waves. Crowds can be an issue here ‘often’, so get on it early.

Sunday the 26th keeps the quality high with 6 ft to 5 ft ESE swell, still with that 12-second period, and the wind flips to light offshore from the SW on Sunday morning and glassy conditions on Monday the 27th – glassy with 5 ft E swell. That is a dream window. The water temp is about 69°F, which is normal for this time of year. The 28th and 29th see the swell dropping to 5 ft to 3 ft, but the period stays long and the wind is glassy again on Wednesday morning the 29th. That last session on the 29th will be clean and fun for everyone, even beginners, with 3 ft E swell.

So, the honest truth: the first week is a write-off unless you’re looking for a beating. The real standout is the weekend of the 25th and 26th of July, with Saturday morning being the absolute pick – offshore wind, very long period groundswell, and 8 ft ESE swell. That’s the one to circle on the calendar. The glassy mornings on the 27th and 29th are also worth a mention as the swell winds down.

Rusty.

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