Alexandra Headland Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s get into it. We’re looking at the next couple of weeks, and honestly, it’s a slow start. For the first few days, there’s a bit of energy in the water but it’s pretty weak and messy. We’ve got a long dry spell before anything really worth paddling out for shows up.

The first real window of opportunity comes around Friday, July 31st. The wind settles into a clean cross-off from the SSE, and we start seeing some actual push. Alexandra Headland is the spot to watch. The swell starts to build through the morning, hitting about 5 ft by the afternoon from the ESE with a short period of 6 seconds. The combined energy hits 228 (moderate), but it’s not exactly clean gold. The wind is a solid cross-off, so it’ll be rideable, but that short period means it’ll be a bit lumpy. On Saturday, August 1st, the swell hangs around 3 ft to 5 ft from the E/ESE, energy stays moderate (163-189), but the wind is a bit more onshore and we get some rain showers. Not the best, but you could get a few.

The week ahead starts to look more promising. Monday, August 3rd, the morning has a nice cross-off breeze from the SSE with a 4 ft swell from the east at 7 seconds. The energy is solid (227) and the water is clean. It’s not a massive day, but it’s the first time the forecast feels genuinely good. The water temperature is sitting at 68°F, which is a bit colder than normal for this time of year (about 2°F off the average), so you’ll want a hood or a thicker suit.

The real standout, and the one I’d circle on the calendar, is Saturday, August 8th. The morning session at Alexandra Headland looks sweet. We’ve got a clean cross-off breeze from the SSW, glassy conditions, and a 3 ft swell from the SE. But here’s the kicker – the period stretches to 11 seconds. That’s a proper groundswell. The energy is 247 (moderate), and the direction is a perfect match for the break’s optimum (SE). This is a classic setup for a clean, lined-up point break. It’s not huge, but it’ll be beautiful. The following morning, Sunday, August 9th, is also a gem: glassy, 3 ft from the SE at 11 seconds, energy at 237. It’s going to be a cracking weekend of small, clean waves. Just keep in mind that with clean conditions like that, the crowd at Alex can be there often, so get there early.

After that, the swell fades out fast. By Monday, August 10th, the wind swings around to the NNW and the energy drops right off. Tuesday, August 11th, is small and weak with a 1 ft swell. It’s back to the waiting game.

So, bottom line: don’t bother with the first week. The weekend of August 8th and 9th is your best bet. That’s where the magic is.

Rusty.

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