Alexandra Headland Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, I’m Rusty, and I’ve been watching this stretch of coast like a hawk. Alright, let’s be honest from the start: the next week is a bit of a write-off for anything decent. We’ve got a long gap of poor conditions before things start to look promising in the second week. The standout window is right at the end of the forecast, and it’s worth sticking around for.

The first real chance to get wet is this Friday morning, the 24th of July, at Alexandra Headland. It’s a beach and point break, exposed to the swell. We’re looking at ankle-to-knee high waves at 3ft coming from the east, with a short period of 8 seconds – so it’s weak and won't have much push. The combined swell energy is a weak 106. The wind is from the south at 15 km/h, blowing cross-offshore, which keeps the surface clean. The water temperature is sitting at 69°, which is about 2° cooler than average for this time of year, so it’s pretty normal. This is a beginner-friendly spot, but honestly, the surf is very ordinary. It’s surfable, but nothing to get excited about.

After that, we hit a rough patch. From Friday afternoon right through to the end of July, the conditions are poor or marginal. The swell stays tiny, often under 3ft, or when it does bump up a bit, like on the 31st of July with 4ft from the southeast, the wind is strong at 25 km/h, and the quality is just not there. It’s a long stretch of days with scores of 0 or 1 – nothing worth paddling out for. The second week of August starts to show some life, but it’s still a waiting game.

Now, the real standout arrives on the 7th of August, a Friday morning. This is the one to circle on the calendar. Alex Headland will see a solid 7ft swell from the east-southeast, with a very long period of 14 seconds. That’s proper groundswell energy, and the combined energy reading is a massive 1600, indicating strong wave energy. The wind is from the south at 20 km/h, blowing cross-offshore, keeping the waves clean. This is a jump in size, so it’s for the more experienced crew – over 5ft can be too much for beginners. The long period means the waves will have real shape and power, perfect for the point break setup here. The morning looks the best, as the afternoon shifts to a cross-shore wind. The 8th of August, Saturday morning, is also a decent follow-up with 5ft from the east-southeast and a 13-second period, though the energy drops to 623. It’s still clean with cross-offshore winds.

The only other period of note is the 3rd and 4th of August, where we see swell building to 5ft and then 8ft, but the wind is strong and the conditions are still marginal. It’s not the best.

So, the summary: don’t waste your energy this week. The real standout is the 7th of August, Friday morning, at Alexandra Headland. It’s a long way off, so the forecast is promising but not set in stone. Still, if it holds, it’ll be the best session in the whole 16-day window. Keep an eye on it.

Rusty.

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