Alexandra Headland Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. Look, I’m not gonna sugarcoat it – this next stretch is a real mixed bag for Alexandra Headland. We’ve got a bit of a slow start, a couple of days where things might just come together, and then a whole lot of nothing to see out the window. Let’s walk through it.

The overall pattern is pretty flat and unfriendly. The first few days are a write-off, with poor surf conditions and not much to get excited about. We’ve got a gap from the start of the period right through until the morning of Tuesday the 15th, with no surf worth paddling out for. The water temp is sitting at 69°, which is about 1° cooler than normal for this time of year – nothing too crazy, just a touch of autumn chill hanging on.

Alright, Tuesday the 15th morning is where we see a little glimmer. It’s glassy, with a slight air, and the swell is a tiny 3 ft from the east at 6 seconds. The combined energy is weak, just 55. It’s surfable, but very ordinary. The wind is light and offshore from the northeast, so it’ll be clean, but you’ll be hunting for waist-high lumps. This is the best we get for a while, and honestly, it’s not saying much.

Then we go into another lull. Wednesday the 16th morning has a clean cross-off breeze but the swell is still tiny at 2 ft. The afternoon gets ugly – a fresh 22 mph cross-shore from the SE whips up a 7 ft lump, but the energy jumps to moderate (346) with a lumpy cross-chop. That’s not surfable, it’s a washing machine. Thursday the 17th morning has a cleaner look with 6 ft from the SE at 7 seconds, and a moderate cross-off breeze, but the score is marginal at best. The energy is moderate at 309, but it’s still a messy offering.

Now, here’s the one that might have you setting an alarm. Friday the 18th morning. The swell picks up to 6 ft from the SE, with a period stretching out to 9 seconds – that’s a proper groundswell. The combined energy is strong at 710. The wind is a light cross-off from the SSE, so it’s clean. This is the standout of the whole forecast. For a point break setup, that longer period should give some nice lines, though it might be a bit straight for the beach. It’s still only a marginal call for quality, but it’s the best we’ve got. Expect crowds to be possible here.

After that, it’s a long, slow fade. Saturday the 19th drops off with tiny onshore slop, and from there it’s pretty much all poor surf conditions right through to the end of the period. Monday the 21st afternoon sees another spike – 8 ft from the SE at 8 seconds with a fresh cross-off, energy hitting a strong 800 – but it’s still rated as marginal and messy. That kind of size, with that wind, might actually be more fun for a kite surfer than a paddle surfer at a beach-and-point setup. By the time we hit the 28th, we’re back to weak, cross-shore junk.

So, if you’re keen, pencil in Friday the 18th morning. It’s your best shot for something with a bit of push and clean faces. Everything else is a struggle.

Rusty.

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