Alexandra Headland Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, I’m Rusty. Let’s talk about what’s happening at Alexandra Headland. Right now, we’ve got a solid pulse of swell rolling in, but it’s a tricky one. The first few days are going to be a battle with strong winds and a lot of water moving around. The water temp is sitting at 69°, which is about average for this time of year, nothing unusual there.

The surf kicks off from Sunday the 19th of July, but it’s not a pretty picture. We’ve got a 13ft swell from the SE, with a period of 11 seconds, which is a nice long groundswell, and the combined energy is thumping at 3525 – that’s very strong. But the wind is howling from the SSE at 25 mph, a cross-off breeze. It’s clean, but that’s about the only positive. With that much size and power, this is for experts only, and the rain showers won’t make it any more pleasant. The wind stays strong into Monday the 20th, with a 13ft swell from the ESE and 22 mph cross-shore wind, making for lumpy, choppy conditions. Not worth paddling out. The swells are just too big and the wind is messy.

The real turning point comes on Thursday the 23rd of July. The morning glass-off with a WSW wind at 3 mph is a dream. The swell has dropped to a much more manageable 4ft from the E, period of 8 seconds, and combined energy is 216 – moderate wave energy. The conditions are glassy, clean, and the break is a beach and point setup, so it should offer some fun, friendly waves for beginners and intermediate surfers. The wind is light, the water is calm, and this is the standout session of the whole outlook. The afternoon builds a bit of a cross-on breeze, so get out early.

Saturday the 25th of July morning also looks promising. Another glassy morning with a SW wind at 3 mph, and a 5ft swell from the SE, period of 7 seconds, and combined energy of 394. It’s a smaller, short-period swell, so it’s a bit weaker, but the extremely clean conditions and the fact it’s a consistent, beginner-friendly break make it a solid option. The afternoon turns onshore, so again, get there early.

After that, the surf tapers off into very small, ordinary waves from the 26th of July onwards. We’re looking at a long stretch of poor conditions with tiny swells, some cross-off winds, and very little energy – the combined energy drops to double digits and then just single digits. There’s a long gap from the 26th all the way through to the end of the outlook on the 3rd of August, with no worthwhile surf. The consistent nature of this spot usually means it won’t stay dead for long, but this run looks like a proper flat spell.

So, the best bet is the morning of Thursday the 23rd of July – glassy, clean, and a fun size that should suit everyone. And the morning of Saturday the 25th of July is a decent backup. Otherwise, the next two weeks are a write-off.

Rusty.

Read more