Alexandra Headland Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s get stuck into the outlook for Alexandra Headland. The forecast window gives us a bit of a mixed bag, but we’ve got a few windows where it’s worth paddling out.

The overall pattern kicks off with a bit of promise on the morning of Thursday, 23 July. We’ve got a 4ft easterly swell pulsing in with a period of 8 seconds, and the wind is glassy – dead calm from the SSW. That’s a major plus, mate. The water temp is about average for this time of year, nothing weird going on there. The combined energy is moderate (208), so there’s enough push to get a few fun ones. This is our first standout: the morning session is the best on offer early on, with clean conditions and a longboard or funboard vibe.

The good news doesn’t hold into the afternoon though. The wind swings onshore, the quality drops, and we’re back to waiting. Friday, 24 July, sees a jump in size – up to 6ft by the afternoon – but the wind is howling from the SSE at 25 km/h, making it a cross-off mess. The energy is solid (307) but the wind is just too strong for a good paddle. No go.

Saturday, 25 July, is a bit more promising. The morning is clean, but the swell is a touch smaller at 4ft and the period is short (7 seconds). The afternoon though, that’s where the real gem sits. We’ve got 4ft easterly swell, light winds from the SSE at 10 km/h, and the wave comment says “expect good surf conditions.” The energy is moderate (200), and the wind is cross-off, so the waves should be clean. If you can get out for the afternoon, that’s your second true standout – a solid, fun session.

Now, from Sunday, 26 July, onwards, we hit a dry spell. The swell drops right off – under 3ft, sometimes down to 0.7ft – and the wind is either cross or cross-off, but the energy is weak (down to 21-57). This gap lasts for a good stretch. There’s a few days where the energy is pathetically low, and the period is long (12 seconds on the 28th) but the swell height is a tiny 0.7ft – not worth a paddle. That dead run continues through the end of July and into early August.

We do get a spike of energy on the morning of Sunday, 2 August. There’s a 4ft SE swell with a very long period of 12 seconds, and the energy is strong (519). But the wind is cross-shore from the SE at 20 km/h, and the wave comment calls it “marginal.” That long period groundswell at a beach-and-point break like Alex can be tricky – the waves might be a bit too straight for a fun session. Only for the experienced crew who know the bank.

The final note is for the morning of Friday, 7 August – now that’s over a week out. We’ve got a solid 10ft swell from the ESE, an 8-second period, and strong energy (978). But the wind is fresh from the SSE at 30 km/h, making it a cross-off. That’s a big swell, over 8ft, so it’s strictly for experts. The wind is strong, and the setup might be more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing, honestly. Keep an eye on it, but it’s a long-range call.

Bottom line: your best bets are the Thursday morning (23 July) and Saturday afternoon (25 July). Everything else is either flat, blown out, or too big and messy. Get out there when you can.

Rusty.

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