Kawana Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, I’m Rusty. Let’s talk about the surf outlook for the next couple of weeks at Kawana Beach. This is a beginner-friendly spot, fairly consistent, exposed to swell, but we’ve got a bit of a slow start ahead.

Right now, the water is sitting at 69°, which is about a degree colder than usual for this time of year – a bit nippy, but nothing too wild.

The first few days are pretty grim. Thursday morning, July 9, sees a 4ft swell from the southeast, but with a strong 31 mph southerly wind blowing cross-on, it’s going to be choppy and messy. The combined swell energy is moderate at 423, but it’s just poor surf. That continues through Friday and into Saturday morning, July 11, where we get a small 3ft SE swell, but still cross-on wind. The energy drops to 231, and it’s only marginal.

There’s a little window of hope on Sunday, July 12. The morning brings a 3ft ESE swell with a period of 11 seconds, and light WNW offshore wind around 10 mph. That’s clean, surfable, but ordinary – the energy is low at 199. The afternoon is similar with a light cross-off breeze. It’s not a standout, but it’s the best we’ve seen so far.

After that, Monday through to the following Wednesday, July 15, the swell drops right off – we’re talking 0.7ft to 2ft. The energy is weak, under 100. The winds are light, and there’s even a glassy morning on Tuesday, July 14, but there’s just no push in the water. This is a real flat spell.

Then, from Thursday, July 16, through to Sunday, July 19, the wind picks up strong, with gusts up to 40 mph from the south, bringing in some rain and stormy conditions. The swell bumps up to 5ft by Saturday, July 18, with a long 12-second period, and the energy jumps to 623. But the strong cross-shore wind makes it messy and lumpy – not for the faint-hearted, and definitely not for beginners.

Now, the standout opportunity comes in the second week. On Thursday, July 23, we see a 6ft SE swell building by morning, with a period of 10 seconds, and a clean cross-off breeze from the west at 30 mph. The energy is a strong 589. By the afternoon, it’s up to 7ft with 1066 energy. The winds stay offshore, so it’s clean, but the swell is starting to get big.

The real highlight is Friday, July 24, morning. A 10ft ESE swell with an 11-second period, and WSW wind at just 10 mph, blowing cross-off and clean. That’s a powerful 1796 combined energy. The forecast says it might be too big for this break, and honestly, at 10ft, this is for experts only. The crowd factor is “sometimes” busy, so you might get a few out, but it’s a heavy day. The period is moderate, so it’ll have some punch, but for a beach break, it could be a bit straight. Still, if you’ve got the skill, that’s the morning to aim for. The afternoon drops to 8ft with a light cross-shore breeze, still decent but less clean.

So, overall, the first week is a write-off with a few small, clean windows. The second week looks promising, with Thursday and Friday, July 23 and 24, being the best on offer – especially Friday morning for the big, clean swell. But it’s a long-range call, so keep an eye on it.

Rusty.

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