Mooloolaba Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. Let’s be straight up—Mooloolaba is looking at a pretty ordinary stretch ahead. There’s no standout session in the whole 16-day run, just a few windows where you might get a wet sock if you’re desperate. The first real chance isn’t until Saturday the 4th of July, and even then it’s nowhere near prime.

Saturday 4th July – Sunday 5th July (First Weekend)

Saturday morning at Mooloolaba is the pick of the whole outlook, which tells you a lot. You’ve got a small 2ft easterly swell at 9 seconds, with clean conditions thanks to a gentle 9 mph offshore breeze from the south. Combined energy is weak at (121). It’s surfable but very ordinary. The break is a beach and reef setup, inconsistent, and often crowded—so expect a few bodies for tiny, weak waves. By Saturday afternoon the swell jumps to 5ft from the southeast but period drops to 6 seconds (short-period wind slop) and the wind swings cross-offshore, making it messy. Sunday is worse: 2ft in the morning, 6ft in the afternoon but both with strong cross-off winds and poor conditions. Not worth paddling out.

Monday 6th July – Thursday 9th July

Monday brings a building swell—7ft to 8ft from the southeast, but that’s mixed with 16-19 mph cross-off winds, heavy rain, and combined energy ramping from (626) to (664). It’s too big for beginners (over 5ft) and the short 7-second period means ugly, lumpy waves. Tuesday and Wednesday see similar energy levels (403–897) with 6ft to 7ft swell, but cross-off winds and marginal conditions keep scores low. Thursday morning drops to 5ft with a longer 11-second period, but still cross-off. The combined energy hits (1047) Thursday afternoon with 6ft swell—moderate to strong energy—but the wind and quality aren’t there for a proper session.

Friday 10th July – Sunday 12th July

Friday fades fast: 3ft to 3ft southeast swell with gentle winds, but poor conditions. Saturday 11th July morning is tiny (2ft) with a light offshore—surfable but ordinary. Sunday 12th July morning is the only moment that feels different: glassy (NW 3 mph), 2ft southeast swell at 11 seconds, combined energy (127). That’s clean but tiny. Afternoon gets light cross-onshore and spoils it.

Monday 13th July – Friday 17th July

A long flat spell here. Monday 13th has 2-2ft swell with glassy spells, but it’s basically knee-high and weak. From Tuesday 14th through to Friday 17th morning the swell barely tops 2ft, with zero energy (35–75). Thursday 16th has 0.7ft and driving rain. Friday 17th afternoon there’s a sudden spike—6ft southeast swell at only 6 seconds—but with strong cross-off winds and poor conditions. That’s a kite-surfing setup, not a paddle one.

Saturday 18th July – Sunday 19th July (Final Days)

Saturday 18th morning: 6ft east-southeast swell, 7 seconds, moderate energy (363), cross-off winds. Sunday 19th morning: 7ft east swell, 8 seconds, combined energy (486). Both are marginal and over 5ft, so only for experienced surfers—and still with that cross-off wind. Quality is low.

The only half-decent call: If you’re itching, Saturday 4th July morning is your best bet—small, clean, offshore breeze, but don’t expect much. Otherwise, this is a long 16-day grind with lots of 2-3 day gaps where you’d be better off doing something else. Mooloolaba is inconsistent at the best of times, and this run is no different.

Rusty.

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