Surf Forecasts:
The Groin (Noosa) surf forecast from 16 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Wednesday 22 Jul, 7AM (local time) - 6.5ft (2.0m), 9s period, E swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Monday 20 Jul, 7PM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 10s period, ESE swell with 2,245 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 22 Jul, 7AM (local time) - 6.5ft (2.0m), 9s period with E swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for The Groin (Noosa) this week:
The surf forecast for The Groin (Noosa) over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 22) at 7AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.0m and 9s period. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at The Groin (Noosa) in the next 16 days are 3.5m 10s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Jul 20) at 7PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 4.5m 12s period and expected on Sunday (Jul 19) at 1AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 7AM (Wed 22nd Jul) | 6.5ft (2.0m) 9s |
| Best Surf | 7AM (Wed 22nd Jul) | 6.5ft (2.0m) 9s |
| Most Powerful | 7PM (Mon 20th Jul) | 11ft (3.5m) 10s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for The Groin (Noosa) over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
G’day, Rusty here. I’ve run the numbers for The Groin (Noosa) and the next week and a bit is looking like a bust. We’ve got a big dry spell from Thursday the 16th through Monday the 20th — tiny, messy swell and strong cross-off winds. Nothing worth getting wet for. Water temp is around 69°, which is dead normal for the season.
A proper pulse shows up on Tuesday the 21st, but it’s a heavy one. The swell hits 8ft from the ESE at 10 seconds, with a combined swell energy of 1365 — that’s serious power. That’s expert-only territory, and the cross-off SE wind at 19 mph keeps it clean but challenging. It’s a marginal session at best. Wednesday the 22nd morning still has 6ft of E swell and 601 energy, but the wind backs off a touch.
The real highlight is the afternoon of Wednesday the 22nd and the morning of Thursday the 23rd. Wednesday arvo delivers 6ft from the E at 9 seconds, 459 energy, with a gentle SE breeze making it clean. Thursday morning on the 23rd is the gem: 5ft of E swell at 9 seconds, 338 energy, and a near-calm 3 mph S wind. That’s glassy, clean, and solid — the session to circle. It’s too big for beginners, but for everyone else, it’s the best on offer.
After that, it drops off fast. Friday the 24th morning has a light offshore SSW wind at 9 mph, but with only 4ft of ENE swell and 209 energy, it’s ordinary. From Saturday the 25th, we’re looking at flat to tiny junk for days, with nothing worth mentioning until the 31st, when a faint 3ft ENE swell appears but still feels more like a tease. There’s a long quiet spell in there.
Bottom line: aim for Thursday the 23rd morning. That’s your window for a proper, clean surf. The rest is either too big and gnarly, or flat. Keep the board waxed for that one.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastHeavy rain (total 31mm), heaviest during Thu night. Very mild (max 19°C on Sat night, min 15°C on Fri night). Mainly strong winds. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 7mm), mostly falling on Sun night. Warm (max 20°C on Mon morning, min 18°C on Tue night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the SE on Mon morning, light winds from the SE by Wed afternoon). | ||||||||||||||||||
Friday 17 | Saturday 18 | Sunday 19 | Monday 20 | Tuesday 21 | Wednesday 22 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 8 | NE 7 | NE 8 | ENE 8 | E 21 | E 20 | SE 12 | E 18 | E 9 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 | E 9 | E 9 | E 9 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 23 | 14 | 17 | 6 | 9 | 8 | 0 | 25 | 577 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1739 | 1199 | 1092 | 804 | 515 | 399 | 311 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | glassy |
High Tide | 10:10AM1.46m | 10:34PM1.94m | 10:58AM1.44m | 11:15PM1.79m | 11:49AM1.43m | 11:56PM1.63m | 12:44PM1.41m | 00:36AM1.48m | 1:45PM1.42m | 1:19AM1.35m | 2:53PM1.45m | 2:12AM1.25m | |||||||
Low Tide | 4:24AM0.29m | 4:01PM0.26m | 5:05AM0.32m | 4:48PM0.38m | 5:47AM0.36m | 5:38PM0.52m | 6:28AM0.42m | 6:32PM0.67m | 7:10AM0.47m | 7:38PM0.80m | 7:56AM0.52m | 8:58PM0.88m | |||||||
 |  | |  |  |  | |  | | | |  |  | | | | |  |  | |
 | — | 6:33 | — | — | 6:33 | — | — | 6:33 | — | — | 6:33 | — | — | 6:33 | — | — | 6:31 | — | — |
 | — | — | 5:13 | — | — | 5:13 | — | — | 5:14 | — | — | 5:14 | — | — | 5:15 | — | — | 5:15 | — |
mm | 7 | 4 | 4 | 4 | — | 1 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 18 | 18 | 18 | 17 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 19 | 19 | 19 | 20 | 20 | 19 | 19 | 19 | 19 | 20 | 19 | 18 |
Feels °C | 14 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 14 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 18 | 17 | 17 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 8 | NE 7 | NE 8 | ENE 8 | NE 8 | E 20 | — | E 18 | E 9 | — | — | — | — | S 12 | S 12 | S 10 | E 9 | E 9 | E 9 |
| kJ | 23 | 14 | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | — | 25 | 577 | — | — | — | — | 3 | 3 | 2 | 515 | 399 | 311 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | E 21 | E 20 | — | S 25 | S 23 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | S 10 | S 10 | E 12 |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | 9 | 7 | — | 12 | 11 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 8 | 7 | 3 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | E 21 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | S 9 |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | 9 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 7 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 7 | SE 7 | SE 7 | SE 8 | SE 8 | SE 9 | SE 12 | ESE 10 | SSE 9 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | E 10 | E 10 | E 10 | — | — | — |
| kJ | 467 | 371 | 360 | 721 | 650 | 853 | 5357 | 1447 | 244 | 1354 | 1908 | 2179 | 1739 | 1199 | 1092 | 804 | — | — | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 627 | 737 | 779 | 198 | 198 | 824 | 830 | 814 | 781 | 519 | 340 | 256 | 203 | 198 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Sunshine Coast | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the The Groin (Noosa) Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for The Groin (Noosa) provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at The Groin (Noosa) can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our The Groin (Noosa) surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (The Groin (Noosa)) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for The Groin (Noosa) may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
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