The Groin (Noosa) Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, mates, Rusty here. Let’s cut to the chase. The next couple of weeks are looking pretty bleak for waves, with only a couple of small windows that might be worth your time.

The water’s at 69°, about normal for this time of year. The wave energy is mostly weak to start, sitting in the double digits (80-93) for the first few days. It’s not going to be a classic run.

Thursday afternoon at The Groin (Noosa) is tiny at 2ft of ESE swell, with the cross-on breeze making it a grovelly, bumpy mess. Not worth it.

Friday morning gets a little better. The swell comes up to 3ft from the E with a light cross-off wind, and it’s clean. It’s surfable, but nothing special. The energy is still weak (93). Friday afternoon falls off again with a cross-shore breeze.

The first real highlight is Saturday morning. Small 3ft swell from the ENE, but the wind goes glassy. That’s the key – it’ll be clean and lined up. The energy bumps into the moderate range (112). It’s still small, but this is the best we’ve got in the first week.

Sunday morning is much the same, with a slightly bigger 3ft+ E swell and those same clean, glassy conditions. The energy is building (210). Along with Saturday morning, this is the pick of the first week. It’s not powerful, but it will be the most fun you’ll have.

After that, it fades fast. Sunday afternoon gets onshore, and by Monday we’ve got a strong WSW cross-off wind ruining things. The swell drops, and we’re stuck in weak energy (100-138) with poor conditions through Wednesday morning. By Wednesday afternoon, the wind is howling from the N at 22 mph, bumping the swell up to a messy 5ft. It’s lumpy and blown out. Not pretty.

From Thursday the 13th through Monday the 17th, it goes flat but clean. Swell heights of 2ft with energy levels down to (30-48). There’s nothing to get excited about.

Then, on Tuesday the 18th afternoon, the swell jumps to a solid 6ft from the ESE, with the energy rocketing up to a strong 419. But it’s accompanied by a fresh SSE cross-off wind and rain. This is more power, but the quality will be poor. This looks like a day for the kite surfers, not us. Same for Wednesday the 19th – still a solid 4ft swell, but it’s rough, windy, and rainy. Messy.

After that, it drops off again. Thursday the 20th and Friday the 21st see the swell fade back to under 3ft, with more rain and onshore wind. Back to the poor stuff.

So, the bottom line is this: don’t get your hopes up. The only real standouts in this 16-day window are the Saturday morning (8th) and Sunday morning (9th) sessions. Both have clean, glassy conditions with a 3ft+ ENE/E swell. They won’t be big, but they’ll be the most fun you’ll have this fortnight. Everything else is either too small, too windy, or too messy. Keep the board in the car, but maybe stay home for a bit.

Rusty.

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