The Groin (Noosa) Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s have a close look at what’s on offer for the Noosa area over the next couple of weeks.

Short story: it’s a lean stretch. The Groin (Noosa) is the only spot in the mix and it’s a pretty inconsistent run for the next 16 days. The best chances are early on but even then it’s marginal. If you’re hoping for a proper session, you’ll need to pick your moment and keep expectations low.

The first bit of surf shows up Friday morning, July 3rd. The swell is 3 ft coming from ENE, period around 8 seconds – that’s short-period stuff, not much grunt. The combined energy is 103 (moderate). Wind is NW at 6 mph, cross-on, which is messy. Water temp is 69°F, about 2° colder than average for this time of year – feels a bit nippy. Conditions are rated poor, really not worth a paddle.

Friday afternoon sees the swell back to 3 ft but shifting around to ESE, still 8 second period. Combined energy bumps to 162 (moderate). But the wind goes glassy– that’s the highlight: NNE light air at 3 mph. It’s surfable but very ordinary overall. If you’re desperate, this is probably the best window for the whole outlook. Scores are borderline but the glassy wind is rare. Still, the wave quality is not there. Crowds are likely at The Groin – it gets busy, and with very little swell, it’ll be a fight for scraps.

Saturday morning July 4th: swell drops to 3 ft, ESE, 9 seconds. Wind offshore from S at 12 mph – clean wave faces. Combined energy 162 (moderate). It’s surfable but ordinary. The offshore wind is a nice plus but the swell is tiny. Saturday afternoon and Sunday go downhill fast: stronger wind, cross-off, and swell shrinking to 2 ft then 2 ft. By Monday July 6th we’re looking at 1 ft to 2 ft with 19-22 mph SE winds – that’s more kite‑surfing weather than paddle surfing. Combined energy drops to 126 then 90 (weak to moderate). Avoid.

From Tuesday July 7th onward it’s mostly flat. There’s a trickle of 0.7 ft on Wednesday July 8th afternoon with a 15-second period – long period but no height. Combined energy 17 (weak). After that, most days show zero swell or just 0.3 ft. The longest gap is from Tuesday July 14th through to Saturday July 18th – nearly a week of nothing worthwhile. On Saturday July 18th there’s a tiny blip: 0.7 ft, E swell, 13 seconds, combined energy 17 (weak) – still not enough to get excited about. Winds are strong cross-off, not clean.

So honestly, the only times you might get wet are Friday afternoon July 3rd with that rare glassy moment, or maybe Saturday morning July 4th with offshore wind. But the swell is super small, short-period, and the wave quality is just ordinary. If you’re a beginner those under 5 ft are fine, but the 2-3 ft range is tiny. For experts, nothing even close to 8 ft here.

The Groin is a breakwater setup, fairly exposed to swell but only consistent when there’s proper ENE energy. This forecast doesn’t deliver that. It’s a patchy run; could change but right now it’s poor. I’d say sharpen your kite if you’ve got one, or cook a BBQ.

Rusty.

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