Surf Forecasts:
The Groin (Noosa) surf forecast from 14 Jul 2026:
- Most powerful swell: Tuesday 21 Jul, 10AM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 11s period, ESE swell with 1,628 kJ wave energy.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for The Groin (Noosa) this week:
The most powerful waves expected at The Groin (Noosa) in the next 16 days are 2.5m 11s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jul 21) at 10AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 4.0m 10s period and expected on Saturday (Jul 18) at 4PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | - | - |
| Best Surf | - | - |
| Most Powerful | 10AM (Tue 21st Jul) | 8ft (2.5m) 11s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for The Groin (Noosa) over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
G’day, Rusty here. Look, I’ll be straight with you – the next week and a half is a bit of a write-off for decent waves at The Groin (Noosa). We’ve got a long stretch of nothing really worth paddling out for, starting from Wednesday the 15th right through to Tuesday the 21st. The swell is tiny, mostly under 2ft, with short, weak periods and next to no energy. The wind is howling from the south quarter, making things messy even if there was any size. It’s a bleak run.
Things finally start to stir on Tuesday the 21st of July. We see a solid pulse of swell arriving – 8ft from the ESE with a 11-second period, pumping out a strong 1628 units of energy. That’s a proper groundswell. But here’s the catch: the wind is cross-off from the SE at 16 mph, and while the surf looks clean, the report flags it as marginal due to tide. This is a big swell for The Groin, and for a beginner-friendly breakwater, 8ft is going to be a handful. It’s more of an expert session. The crowd factor is often a thing here, so expect company.
The best of the lot comes in a little later. Wednesday the 23rd of July is the standout. The swell drops to a much more manageable 5ft from the E, still with a 10-second period, and the energy is moderate at 432. The wind is a gentle 9 mph from the S, staying cross-off, keeping the faces clean. The surf report says “expect good surf conditions.” This is the sweet spot – not too big, not too small, clean lines. The Groin will be offering up some fun, shapely waves that a beginner can handle and a regular will enjoy. The water temp is about average for the time of year, nothing unusual.
After that, the swell fades again through the end of the month, with smaller, weaker waves and onshore winds returning. Thursday the 30th of July is another quiet day, with 3ft and a fresh breeze.
So, if you’re picking a day, lock in Wednesday the 23rd. It’s the only real window of goodness in this outlook. The rest is either flat, blown out, or too big for the setup.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastHeavy rain (total 50mm), heaviest during Thu morning. Very mild (max 18°C on Tue night, min 13°C on Tue night). Winds increasing (light winds from the SW on Tue night, fresh winds from the SSE by Thu morning). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryHeavy rain (total 25mm), heaviest during Sat night. Warm (max 20°C on Sat morning, min 16°C on Fri night). Mainly strong winds. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wednesday 15 | Thursday 16 | Friday 17 | Saturday 18 | Sunday 19 | Monday 20 | Tue 21 | |||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | NE 10 | NE 8 | NE 9 | NE 8 | NE 8 | E 7 | SE 7 | NE 8 | E 21 | E 20 | E 18 | ESE 12 | SE 9 | ESE 10 | SE 10 | ESE 11 | ESE 10 | ESE 11 | ESE 10 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 19 | 18 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 23 | 45 | 0 | 11 | 9 | 8 | 26 | 113 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1628 | 1234 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | off | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off |
High Tide | 8:32AM1.44m | 9:07PM2.14m | 9:21AM1.46m | 9:51PM2.06m | 10:10AM1.46m | 10:34PM1.94m | 10:58AM1.44m | 11:15PM1.79m | 11:49AM1.43m | 11:56PM1.63m | 12:44PM1.41m | 00:36AM1.48m | 1:45PM1.42m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 2:55AM0.33m | 2:24PM0.15m | 3:40AM0.29m | 3:13PM0.19m | 4:24AM0.29m | 4:01PM0.26m | 5:05AM0.32m | 4:48PM0.38m | 5:47AM0.36m | 5:38PM0.52m | 6:28AM0.42m | 6:32PM0.67m | 7:10AM0.47m | ||||||||
 |  | |  |  |  | | | |  |  |  | |  | | | |  | | | | |
 | — | 6:33 | — | — | 6:33 | — | — | 6:33 | — | — | 6:33 | — | — | 6:33 | — | — | 6:33 | — | — | 6:33 | — |
 | — | — | 5:12 | — | — | 5:12 | — | — | 5:13 | — | — | 5:13 | — | — | 5:14 | — | — | 5:14 | — | — | 5:15 |
mm | — | — | — | 8 | 13 | 9 | 14 | 3 | 3 | 2 | — | 1 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 3 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — |
Temp °C | 18 | 17 | 17 | 14 | 16 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 18 | 17 | 20 | 17 | 19 | 19 | 19 | 19 | 20 | 19 | 19 | 19 | 20 |
Feels °C | 15 | 12 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 14 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 15 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | ESE 9 | NE 8 | NE 9 | NE 8 | NE 8 | E 7 | — | NE 8 | E 21 | SE 10 | SE 10 | ESE 12 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | 19 | 18 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 23 | 45 | — | 11 | 9 | 1887 | 2074 | 113 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | NE 10 | NE 10 | — | — | — | — | ENE 7 | — | — | E 21 | E 20 | E 18 | NE 8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | 4 | 4 | — | — | — | — | 37 | — | — | 9 | 8 | 26 | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 9 | SE 7 | N 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | E 18 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | 3 | 2 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 25 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 3 | S 3 | SSE 5 | SSE 8 | SSE 8 | SSE 7 | SE 7 | SE 7 | SE 7 | SE 8 | SE 9 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SE 10 | SE 9 | ESE 10 | SE 10 | ESE 11 | ESE 10 | ESE 11 | ESE 10 |
| kJ | 2 | 6 | 44 | 680 | 661 | 458 | 543 | 623 | 661 | 916 | 1312 | 3469 | 3421 | 1150 | 1660 | 2042 | 2898 | 3228 | 2058 | 1628 | 1234 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 127 | 472 | 244 | 244 | 627 | 746 | 203 | 584 | 826 | 458 | 918 | 954 | 847 | 873 | 779 | 519 | 340 | 340 | 203 | 2 | 203 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Sunshine Coast | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the The Groin (Noosa) Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for The Groin (Noosa) provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at The Groin (Noosa) can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our The Groin (Noosa) surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (The Groin (Noosa)) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for The Groin (Noosa) may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
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