Moody Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, mates, Rusty here. Let’s be straight with you. The next couple of weeks are looking pretty bleak for a proper paddle. We’ve got one spot on the radar, Moody Point, but it’s a reef setup that’s usually inconsistent and it’s gonna be a tough watch for most of this stretch. The water temp is sitting at a touch warmer than normal for this time of year, so that’s one small plus.

For the first several days, from the 17th through the 20th, it’s just not happening. We're looking at tiny, weak swell – nothing over 3ft – with cross and cross-on winds chopping everything up. The energy is weak too, with values mostly in the 20s to 70s. It’s gonna be a frustrating paddle-out for nothing. You’d be better off doing something else.

Friday the 21st gives us the first hint of something cleanable. A light cross-off breeze from the NNE sets up, and the swell drops to a knee-high 2ft from the ESE. It’s surfable, but only just. The energy is still weak at 56. By Sunday afternoon the 23rd, we finally get a bit of glass. The wind goes slight air, and it’s looking clean, but the swell is still that same small 2ft. Again, it’s surfable, but you’ll be fighting for every wave on a longboard.

Monday the 24th is the first real standout of the period. The wind goes glassy in the morning and offshore in the afternoon, and the swell, though smaller at 1ft, picks up some proper period – 12 seconds in the morning and 11 in the arvo. That’s real groundswell energy. It’s still small, but the clean conditions will make it feel like the best wave you’ve had in a week. A bit of a tease, really. That long period might cause it to wall up a bit at a reef like this, but it’ll be the cleanest it gets for a while.

After that, it’s a mess again. From the 25th through the 27th, the wind picks up, and conditions get choppy and poor. The swell stays tiny. Then on Thursday the 27th afternoon, the energy starts to jump up to 157, and a 4ft swell shows up from the SE, but it’s still messy with a light cross-on.

Now, here’s the one for the real crew. Friday the 28th. There’s a pulse of energy coming in – the combined energy jumps way up to 309 – and the swell pushes to 5ft from the SE with a 7-second period. The wind is a cross-off from the NNE at 12 mph, which will keep it clean. This is a proper winter swell for the experts. At 5ft, it’s pushing past the beginner zone, and on a reef like Moody Point, you’ll need to know what you’re doing. It’s still over a week out, so don’t book your flights yet, but this is the one to keep an eye on.

After that, it just fades away. The swell drops back down and the wind turns onshore again for the rest of the window. The last days of August and into September look flat and choppy. The energy just dies.

So, to sum it up: the first week is mostly a write-off. The standout is Monday the 24th if you want clean, glassy small waves. But the real swell – the one with some push – looks like it’s arriving on Friday the 28th. It’s a long way out, so don’t get too excited yet, but that's your best shot. It’s been a flat spell, but it looks like it’s trying to break.

Stay stoked.

Rusty.

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