Moody Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s get into it.

Look, I’m gonna level with you – the next couple of weeks here at Moody Point (Willamette Valley) are a tough watch. This is a spot that demands a decent swell and the right wind, and for most of this 16-day window, it just ain’t lining up. We’ve got a long stretch of tiny, weak surf with the wrong wind angles, so don’t go getting your hopes up too early.

We’re starting off this Saturday, September 12th, and honestly, it’s a write-off. Swell is a pathetic 0.7 ft out of the ESE with a period of 9 seconds, and the wind is cross-onshore. Combined wave energy is a measly 10, which tells you there’s nothing doing. This junk continues straight through Sunday and into Monday. Monday morning offers a tiny bit of hope with a clean look – the wind goes light and cross-offshore from the N, but the swell is still only 1 ft from the SE with a 9-second period and combined energy of just 25. It’s clean, but you’ll be hunting for ankle-biters. Monday afternoon the wind picks up to 12 mph, still cross-off, swell bumps to 2 ft but with a short 8-second period. It’s not really going to happen.

Tuesday through to the end of that first week is more of the same: small, weak, and cross-onshore or onshore winds. The water temp is about where you’d expect for this time of year, nothing unusual there.

Now, we do get a little pulse of energy toward the end of the second week. On Monday, September 21st, the swell bumps up to 3 ft from the ENE, but with a short 6-second period and combined energy of 73. The wind is light cross-onshore, so conditions are still marginal. By the afternoon, the swell touches 3 ft from the ENE, and the combined energy jumps to 138 (moderate energy) – that’s the first real sign of life. But the wind goes onshore from the SE at 9 mph, so it’ll be lumpy.

The real standout, if you can wait, is Sunday, September 27th. The swell builds to 4 ft out of the ESE with an 11-second period – that’s proper groundswell energy. The combined energy hits 372, which is strong. The wind is a gentle cross-shore from the SW at 9 mph, so it’ll be manageable, if a little side-shore. This is the only day in the whole window where the swell has some push and the period is long enough to shape up. It’s an advanced reef break that’s inconsistent to begin with, so don’t expect it to be pumping all day, but this is your best shot. Crowds are likely here, and with the swell direction from the ESE being pretty much on the money for this exposed spot, the sets should have some bite. Be aware that with a long 11-second period, it might wall up a bit, but at a reef break like this, it could be proper.

So, to sum it up: forget the first ten days. It’s flat, weak, and messy. The Monday the 21st is a maybe for a grovel session. Your only real highlight is that Sunday the 27th – it’s the one day with some swell, decent period, and a chance at clean-ish waves. It’s a long way out, so don’t book the time off just yet, but keep an eye on it.

Rusty.

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