Moody Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Right, gather 'round. Rusty here.

Honestly, looking at this whole outlook for Moody Point (regional sub-region) is a bit of a heartbreaker. We’ve got a solid 16-day window ahead of us starting now on Thursday, the 2nd of July, but the forecast is basically a flat spell with a side of ordinary conditions. There are no standout days worth paddling out for, not a single one. The first week is a write-off, and the second week offers a few moments of “surfable but very ordinary” which is just not worth getting wet for unless you’re desperate for a paddle.

Let’s walk through it. Thursday morning, 2nd July, we have a tiny 2ft swell out of the SSE with a short 6-second period. The combined wave energy is weak at 46. It’s cross-off wind, but the waves are just too weak to do anything with. That’s the case right through the whole first week. Friday and Saturday see the swell drop even further to 0.7ft with periods around 9 seconds – a bit longer period, but the size is non-existent. Sunday the 5th has a glassy morning with the tiniest 1.0ft SE swell, but it’s so small it’s barely a ripple. The water temp is sitting at 64°, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year.

We get a slight bump on the 8th of July with a 5ft SE swell, but the period is a short 6 seconds, and the wind is cross-off. The energy is moderate (155), but the poor surf conditions tag is attached. It’s a no-go.

Then we have a real gap. From the 9th of July through the 14th of July, the swell stays below 3ft for the most part, and the winds are all cross-on or onshore, making for choppy, messy conditions. Not a single recommendation.

The only glimmer comes on Wednesday the 15th of July. Morning sees a 4ft SE swell with a 7-second period, cross-off wind from the WSW, and it’s clean. The wave energy is moderate at 103. This is the best the whole outlook gets, which is “surfable but very ordinary.” For a reef break that’s inconsistent and for advanced surfers only, a 4ft SE swell with a short 7-second period is just not going to provide any memorable rides. It’s a low-energy, weak bump. The crowds are listed as “often,” which means you’ll likely have company for these mediocre waves.

The rest of the second week following that just fades back into tiny surf and onshore slop. Honestly, if you’re a paddle surfer, this is a 16-day period to find something else to do. The setup with these poor-quality, short-period swells and strong, often onshore winds at a beach-and-reef setup like Moody Point looks far more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing.

Keep the board in the bag. The forecasts can change, but this run is looking pretty bleak for the area.

Rusty.

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