Matanzas Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Morning, crew. Rusty here, checking the forecast for our stretch of coast over the next couple of weeks. It’s a mixed bag, so let’s get into it.

The opening days are the real deal for clean, lined-up waves. We've got a solid pulse of WSW groundswell running, and the morning sessions are where it's at. The water's sitting around 56°F, which is pretty much bang on normal for this time of year, so no surprises there. The standout is Monday the 14th. We're looking at a 5ft swell with a 14-second period, and the energy is in the moderate range at 971. Clear skies, a light SSE cross-off breeze... it’s going to be glassy and clean. This is the pick of the bunch for sure. Tuesday morning keeps the momentum with a clean 4ft swell, though the energy drops a bit to 544. Still, with a light offshore, it’s a great window.

Now, the rest of that first week is a bit of a write-off for the most part. From Wednesday the 16th through to Saturday the 19th, we've got onshore winds and a dropping, weaker swell. The swell direction stays out of the WSW, but the period drops into the 6-to-13 second range, and with that cross-onshore wind, it’s going to be a choppy mess. Not worth paddling out for anything serious.

Then we get a little blip of hope on Sunday the 20th. The morning sees a clean 4ft swell from the WSW with a light offshore ENE wind. The energy is weak at 254, but it might be worth a look if you're desperate for a slide. That’s it for a few days though. Monday and Tuesday are pretty poor, mostly onshore and messy.

Here's where things get interesting. Wednesday the 23rd is a glassy morning, but the swell is tiny at 2ft. Not worth the hassle. But then, Thursday the 24th and Friday the 25th see a bigger pulse of W swell roll in. Thursday morning brings a 6ft swell with an 11-second period, and the energy jumps up to 879. The wind is a cross-off from the NE, which is clean, even though there's some light rain around. This is a bigger, more powerful swell. The period is moderate, so it should have some push. Friday morning is the biggest of the bunch, pushing 7ft from the W with that same NE cross-off. Energy is way up at 1154. For most of us, this is great, but be aware, at 7ft, it’s starting to get serious for beginners. The afternoon is a different story though, with the wind shifting NW and making things lumpy.

Saturday the 26th has a solid 7ft W swell in the morning, but it’s cross-shore winds, which is a bit messy. The energy is strong at 1384. Still, if you're experienced, there could be some serious power in those sets. The afternoon turns to onshore and choppy, so get out early.

The final stretch, from Sunday the 27th, is a letdown. The swell stays in the 3 to 5ft range, but the winds are all over the place, mostly cross-shore or strong onshore, turning the ocean into lumpy chaos. The period drops too, so it loses all its shape. One thing to note is the very last day, Tuesday the 29th. The morning looks clean with a tiny 2ft swell at a 17-second period. That’s a long-period groundswell, which at a beach break like this might just close out. The afternoon is toast with a 35 km/h fresh breeze making it a total mess.

So, to wrap it up: Monday the 14th is your best bet for clean, fun waves. Friday the 25th morning is the big one for power, but it’s more for the experienced crew. The long-range stuff is promising but has less certainty. Keep an eye on the wind, and make the most of those morning windows when it’s clean.

Rusty out.

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