Matanzas Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s break down what’s cookin’ over the next couple of weeks.

The first real swell we see hits on Monday, July 20th. The water temp is about normal for the time of year, no big deal. The morning delivers a clean 4ft W swell at 11 seconds, with light east offshore winds, and the combined energy is a solid moderate 422. That’s a nice, clean start. Monday afternoon drops a little to 3ft, but it’s still clean and offshore.

Tuesday the 21st is a total blowout. The wind is howling from the north-northeast at 31 mph, way too strong for any decent paddle surfing. The swell drops off too. Stay home.

Now, Wednesday the 22nd is where we get a proper standout. The morning session at Matanzas is looking prime. We’ve got a 6ft swell from the west-northwest, still with that 11-second period, and the combined energy is a strong 918. The wind is a light, clean offshore breeze from the northeast. This is the pick of the first week, no question. The afternoon has a touch more size at 7ft, but the wind swings cross-shore, so the morning is the winner.

Thursday the 23rd offers a brief, glassy moment in the morning. The swell is a clean 4ft from the west, but the period is a shorter 9 seconds, and the energy is moderate (357). The glassy conditions make it worth a look, but it’s not a standout. The afternoon gets grubby with onshore wind.

Friday the 24th sees the swell jump back up to 7ft, but the wind is a cross-shore mess, so the quality is marginal. Saturday the 25th is a better bet with a clean 5ft swell from the west and light offshore winds, energy is a strong 883 – that’s a fun, clean day.

Sunday the 26th is a special one. The swell is smaller, around 2ft to 3ft, but it’s a very long-period groundswell from the west, hitting 20 seconds in the morning (energy 866) and 18 seconds in the afternoon (energy 987). It’s dead glassy all day. This is a reef break, so that long period will make for some lined-up, juicy waves. Perfect for a longboard.

Then we get to Monday the 27th of July. The morning is absolutely firing for experienced surfers. The data shows the combined energy is a strong 1038, with a 5ft swell from the west-southwest at 15 seconds. The wind is a clean cross-offshore breeze. That’s a top-tier call. The afternoon gets a bit bigger but messier.

The following week has some promise. Tuesday the 28th has a glassy start with a 6ft W swell, but the period is short at 9 seconds. Wednesday the 29th and Thursday the 30th are a bit mixed, but Thursday afternoon looks good again with a glassy 5ft W swell. The real standout in the second week is Monday the 3rd of August. Monday afternoon is the pick: glassy conditions, 5ft W swell at 10 seconds, and a strong combined energy of 584. Clean, fun, and likely uncrowded.

Overall, the first week is the safer bet, with Wednesday the 22nd and Sunday the 27th being the real highlights. The second week is promising but less certain, with a potential gem on the 3rd of August. Keep an eye on the wind.

Rusty.

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