Matanzas Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s look at what’s shaping up for Matanzas.

Overall, the first week is a bit of a mixed bag, with some clean windows but nothing to get too excited about until we hit Thursday morning the 13th. That’s the first real standout—a little pocket of glassy, perfect conditions. The swell is rolling in from the WSW, around 4ft, with a period of 16 seconds. That’s proper groundswell, long lines, and the combined wave energy is a solid 689 (moderate energy). That kind of period loves a reef setup like Matanzas, so expect some good shape, but those long gaps between sets will make you wait. The wind is dead calm—glassy—so the surface is gonna be like a mirror. This is the pick of the first week.

Saturday morning the 15th, you get another good one. Swell picks up to about 7ft from the WNW, 11-second period, and the wind is a light cross-offshore breeze, keeping it clean. The combined energy jumps up to 1228 (strong wave energy). That’s got some punch, but it's still in the intermediate-friendly zone, good for experienced surfers. This morning session is worth dragging yourself out of bed for.

Now, for the second week. Sunday the 22nd in the morning, the swell cranks up to a solid 12ft from the WSW, 13-second period. The combined energy is massive—3605 (very strong wave energy). That’s expert-only territory. The wind is a fresh cross-shore, so it’s going to be lumpy and gnarly. Not for the faint-hearted or beginners.

But if you can hold out, Monday the 23rd morning is where it all comes together. Swell is still a solid 10ft from the WSW, 12-second period, and the wind turns cross-offshore with a gentle breeze, cleaning the face right up. The energy is still huge at 2657. This is a big-wave day for experienced surfers only, but if you’ve got the skill and the nerve, this is the absolute highlight of the whole outlook. It won’t be crazy crowded—crowds are only "sometimes" a thing here, so you might have a bit more room to breathe on those big sets.

Water temp is about average for this time of year, so no wetsuit hassles.

After that, the swell backs off through the 24th and really drops by the 25th. There’s a bit of a gap with no real recommendations after the 23rd.

So, bottom line: first week, Thursday morning the 13th and Saturday morning the 15th are your best bets. Second week, if you’re experienced, Sunday the 22nd is big and messy, but Monday the 23rd morning is the gold mine.

Rusty.

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