La Boca Con Con Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, surf’s up... well, mostly. Let’s break down this next stretch for La Boca Con Con. We’ve got a slow start, a few windows of clean fun, and a couple of big, raw days to keep an eye on. This is a long-range look, so keep that in mind.

The water temp is sitting at 57°, which is right around where it should be for this time of year. Not a dramatic shift, just your standard cool water.

The first few days are a bit of a write-off. Friday the 14th has light cross-onshore winds and small, weak surf. The energy is weak, reading 284, and the waves are just messy. Saturday the 15th is a little better, but still marginal with energy climbing to 953, but those light rains aren't helping things.

We get a bit of a reprieve starting Sunday the 16th. It’s not big, but the morning goes glassy with a clean 3ft WSW swell. The energy is moderate at 462. It’s small, but it's clean and that counts for something. Monday the 17th still has some clean morning surf, with a 3ft WSW swell and light offshore winds, energy at 479. It’s an early session, though, because the afternoon goes a bit wonky with a cross-on breeze.

We get another window on Tuesday the 18th morning, with a bump in size to 5ft from the SW. It’s still a bit mixed up with cross-shore winds, but there’s energy there. Then Wednesday the 19th looks like a real standout for the first week. The morning is glassy, with a 4ft WSW groundswell with a 16-second period. That’s some proper long-period energy, and the combined energy reading is strong at 1370. This will have some push and shape to it. This is the pick of the first week for sure.

The surf stays rideable through Thursday the 20th and Friday the 21st, but the wind and quality start to drop off. The energy is moderate, with the wind mostly cross-off.

Now, for the second week, things get a bit wilder and less certain. Saturday the 22nd morning looks messy, with a strong 19 mph cross-on wind blowing over a 7ft swell. It’s going to be lumpy and tough. The energy is high at 814, but the conditions will hurt it.

The real event is shaping up for Tuesday the 25th. Overnight and into the morning, a bigger swell arrives. Expect 8ft waves from the NNW with very long period energy, pushing the combined energy to a strong 990. The wind is forecast to be glassy, which would make this a true standout, but this is far out and this size of swell is only for experienced surfers. By the afternoon, it’s projected to jump up to 10ft from the WNW, with the energy exploding to a 2583 reading. That’s a serious pulse of strong energy.

After that, it seems to fade out quickly. The wind swings onshore again for the 26th and 27th, and things get messy. The final days taper off to small, clean but very ordinary surf that won't be worth paddling out for.

So, to boil it down: the absolute best of this outlook is the glassy Wednesday morning on the 19th. That’s your clean, long-period swell that will have some fun lines. The big one for the experts is that Tuesday the 25th, but it’s a week and a half out, so treat that with caution until we get closer. The rest is a mixture of small windows and blown-out days, so pick your moments.

Rusty

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