Punta de Lobos Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, this is Rusty. Let’s break down the coming stretch at Punta de Lobos over the next couple of weeks. The early days are pretty tame—small, weak swell—but there’s an absolute beast of a pulse rolling in to kick off the second week that’ll get the blood pumping. Right now, the water’s sitting at 54°, which is a bit colder than normal for the season, so you’ll feel that chill when you’re pulling on the wetsuit.

We’re starting off slow. Friday morning, July 10th, is a write-off with light rain and a messy cross-onshore breeze, swell a mere 4ft from the SW at 13 seconds but the combined energy (908) just isn’t making it happen. Friday afternoon cleans right up though—glassy conditions with a faint NW breeze, 4ft SW swell at 13 seconds, energy dropping to 779. It’s surfable, but nothing exciting. Saturday morning on the 11th is a bit better: clean conditions with a S cross-off breeze, 4ft SW swell, 14 second period, and combined energy of 891. That’s a nice little long-period groundswell, but the size is small, so don’t expect big power. Saturday afternoon gets chopped out by a stronger SSW cross-breeze, same 4ft swell but energy drops to 838 and it’s messy. Sunday the 12th is small and clean in the morning—3ft SW, 13 seconds, combined energy 436—but the afternoon turns average again with a cross-shore chop.

Now, Monday July 13th is where things get real. Monday morning brings glassy conditions and a solid 7ft WSW swell with a very long 18 second period, and the combined energy is a massive 3000. That’s a proper groundswell, and with glassy conditions, Punta de Lobos is going to peel beautifully. This is the standout of the whole outlook. The only caveat—at 7ft it’s getting into expert territory for some, and that long period means it might be a bit straight at certain beach breaks, but on this reef and point setup, it’s going to be incredible. Monday afternoon jumps to 10ft WSW at 16 seconds, with 5141 energy—that’s a serious pulse, but a light cross-breeze creeps in, so it’s not quite as perfect as the morning.

Tuesday the 14th holds solid with 10ft WSW swell, though the period drops to 13 seconds by morning and 12 seconds by afternoon, and the winds stay cross-shore. The energy is still huge (3166 and 2265), but it’s getting ropier and more challenging. This is big, powerful surf for experienced crew only.

Wednesday morning July 15th sees the swell drop to 4ft WSW at 10 seconds, but we get offshore SE winds and clean conditions, combined energy 656. That’s a fun little window for a smaller board. Wednesday afternoon is glassy with a slight air, 4ft W swell at 10 seconds, energy 475.

Then we hit a rough patch. Thursday July 16th is blown out by strong N winds up to 35 mph, lumpy cross-chop, and poor surf. Friday July 17th is the ugliest day of the run: heavy rain, howling NNE winds near gale force—31 mph in the morning, 28 mph in the afternoon—with 7ft to 12ft W swell (1853 to 5255 energy). That’s not surfable for paddling, might be more interesting for the kite crew.

Saturday July 18th is still messy with onshore winds and 10ft to 8ft SW swell, energy over 4000, but it’s lumpy and cross-onshore. Not the one.

The surf starts to clean up again Sunday morning July 19th: light S cross-off breeze, 5ft SW swell at 12 seconds, combined energy 1084. That’s clean, solid, and much more inviting. Monday the 20th also shapes up nicely: 5ft SW swell at 12 seconds, cross-off winds, and clean conditions in the afternoon, energy 1022.

Tuesday July 21st is a glassy gem with no wind at all in the morning—4ft SW, 11 seconds, energy 470. Pure calm. Wednesday the 22nd drops off to 3ft, not much on offer.

By Thursday the 23rd and Friday the 24th, the swell stays small (3ft–4ft) with short periods around 7–9 seconds and clean but weak. Saturday July 25th has glassy conditions and a tiny 2ft W swell at 11 seconds, combined energy 221. Barely worth paddling out for, but if you’re desperate, it’ll be clean.

So the real standouts are Monday morning July 13th with that glassy, long-period 7ft WSW groundswell—that’s the one to circle on the calendar. Tuesday July 21st is a close second for a clean, mellow session on a small day with no crowd worries. The rest of the run is a mix of small clean windows and big blown-out storms.

Stay stoked, Rusty.

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