Surf Forecasts:
Papa Tangaroa surf forecast from 25 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Friday 24 Jul, 9PM (local time) - 16ft (5.0m), 16s period, SW swell with cross-shore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Friday 24 Jul, 9PM (local time) - 16ft (5.0m), 16s period, SW swell with 10,764 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 24 Jul, 9PM (local time) - 16ft (5.0m), 16s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Papa Tangaroa this week:
The surf forecast for Papa Tangaroa over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 24) at 9PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 5.0m and 16s period with a secondary swell of 4.5m and 16s. Another secondary swell of 0.4m and 11s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-shore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Papa Tangaroa in the next 16 days are 5.0m 16s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 24) at 9PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.1m 4s period and expected on Monday (Jul 27) at 6PM.
| Wave Type | Time (-06) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 9PM (Fri 24th Jul) | 16ft (5.0m) 16s |
| Best Surf | 9PM (Fri 24th Jul) | 16ft (5.0m) 16s |
| Most Powerful | 9PM (Fri 24th Jul) | 16ft (5.0m) 16s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Papa Tangaroa over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what's coming our way for Papa Tangaroa. It's a reef set-up that needs a good S swell, and we've got plenty of that, but the wind is going to be the main character in this story.
Right off the bat, the first few days are a write-off. We've got a powerful, heavy SW groundswell running on Friday and Saturday (24th-25th July), with the wave energy sitting at a massive 9005, but it's completely trashed. Winds are howling from the west and southwest at 30 to 45 km/h, creating horrible cross-shore and cross-onshore chop. The water temp is 20.8°, which is about average for this time of year, so not a factor.
The real window of opportunity opens up on Sunday, 26th of July. That's our standout. The swell drops to a manageable 3.0m from the SW with a good 12-second period, and more importantly, the wind goes glassy in the morning and offshore from the N in the afternoon. This is the classic, clean Papa Tangaroa we dream about. The energy is still very strong at 2443, so this is for experienced surfers only. After that, Monday (27th) has decent 2.0m waves with a clean cross-off wind, but it's a step down.
Then we hit a bit of a lull. From Tuesday (28th) through to Saturday (1st August), conditions are marginal at best. Swell heights bounce around between 1.2m and 2.5m, but the wind is never quite right, mostly cross or onshore. The wave energy also drops into the moderate range (900-1000s), showing things have settled down.
Now, for a promising but less certain call, keep an eye on Monday, 3rd of August. We see another solid pulse of SW groundswell, 2.2m, with a moderate offshore wind from the NNW. The energy is back up to a strong 2246, and it’s clean. The following Tuesday (4th) also has some size (2.5m) but with a stronger offshore wind, which will make it more challenging. The long 11-12 second period here at a reef break is a good thing, setting up proper lines.
The last few days of the forecast, from the 6th of August onwards, look pretty grim again with strong onshore winds and lumpy conditions, so get your sessions in before that.
The clear standout is Sunday, 26th of July. Get it while the wind is sweet. The Monday (3rd August) is a good backup option, but keep an eye on those long-range forecasts.
Short Range ForecastSome drizzle, heaviest during Fri afternoon. Warm (max 20°C on Fri morning, min 18°C on Fri afternoon). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the W on Fri afternoon, calm by Sun morning). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryModerate rain (total 11mm), heaviest on Mon night. Warm (max 20°C on Mon afternoon, min 18°C on Tue night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the WNW on Mon night, light winds from the WSW by Wed afternoon). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Friday 24 | Saturday 25 | Sunday 26 | Monday 27 | Tuesday 28 | Wednesday 29 | Thursday 30 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 12 | W 6 | WSW 10 | WSW 10 | SW 13 | SSW 13 | WSW 13 | WSW 13 | WSW 13 | SW 13 | WSW 12 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 8888 | 10038 | 8621 | 6776 | 5095 | 3399 | 2418 | 2044 | 1764 | 1150 | 855 | 325 | 454 | 492 | 451 | 555 | 724 | 604 | 484 | 517 | 237 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | glassy | off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | on | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off |
High Tide | 3:00PM0.56m | 3:34AM0.81m | 3:28PM0.54m | 4:03AM0.80m | 3:55PM0.52m | 4:33AM0.79m | 4:25PM0.50m | 5:06AM0.77m | 5:01PM0.48m | 5:44AM0.73m | 5:49PM0.46m | 6:30AM0.70m | 6:58PM0.45m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 9:35AM0.24m | 8:47PM0.18m | 10:09AM0.26m | 9:11PM0.20m | 10:43AM0.27m | 9:36PM0.21m | 11:18AM0.29m | 10:03PM0.23m | 11:59AM0.30m | 10:34PM0.26m | 12:47PM0.32m | 11:14PM0.29m | 1:46PM0.33m | 00:08AM0.33m | |||||||
 |  |  |  |  |  | | | | | |  | | | | | | | | | | |
 | 8:02 | — | — | 8:02 | — | — | 8:00 | — | — | 8:00 | — | — | 8:00 | — | — | 7:58 | — | — | 7:58 | — | — |
 | — | 6:45 | — | — | 6:45 | — | — | 6:45 | — | — | 6:46 | — | — | 6:46 | — | — | 6:47 | — | — | 6:47 | — |
mm | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 11 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 20 | 19 | 19 | 19 | 18 | 18 | 18 | 18 | 19 | 19 | 20 | 20 | 19 | 19 | 19 | 19 | 19 | 19 | 19 | 20 | 21 |
Feels °C | 13 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 14 | 16 | 17 | 17 | 17 | 15 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 17 | 17 | 17 | 17 | 18 | 16 | 15 | 19 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SSW 11 | WSW 10 | WSW 10 | SW 13 | SSW 13 | WSW 13 | WSW 13 | WSW 13 | SW 13 | WSW 12 |
| kJ | 8888 | 10038 | 8621 | 6776 | 5095 | 3399 | 2418 | 2044 | 1764 | 1150 | 855 | 145 | 454 | 492 | 451 | 555 | 724 | 604 | 484 | 517 | 237 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSE 11 | SSE 10 | SSE 11 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 11 | SE 10 | SE 10 | SE 9 | SE 12 | SE 11 | SE 12 | SW 12 | SW 12 | W 10 | WSW 14 | SSW 13 | SSW 12 | SW 12 | WSW 12 | SSW 11 |
| kJ | 117 | 80 | 39 | 20 | 19 | 12 | 25 | 24 | 22 | 21 | 31 | 73 | 355 | 278 | 240 | 439 | 529 | 410 | 421 | 380 | 157 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | SSE 9 | N 10 | N 10 | N 10 | SE 9 | SSE 14 | NE 9 | SSE 12 | WSW 16 | WSW 15 | W 10 | SE 10 | SW 16 | SE 10 | SE 10 | SE 9 |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 3 | 93 | 146 | 387 | 225 | 50 | 208 | 100 | 96 | 67 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | NNW 3 | NW 4 | W 6 | S 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | NW 3 | W 5 |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 4 | 13 | 325 | 20 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 5 | 48 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 3588 | 3602 | 3602 | 3588 | 12 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3541 | 3541 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3637 | 3566 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Easter Island | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Chile | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Papa Tangaroa Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Papa Tangaroa provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Papa Tangaroa can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Papa Tangaroa surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Papa Tangaroa) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Papa Tangaroa may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
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