
Surf Forecasts:
Papa Tangaroa surf forecast from 23 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Saturday 25 Jul, 12AM (local time) - 15ft (4.5m), 15s period, SW swell with cross-shore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Friday 24 Jul, 6PM (local time) - 15ft (4.5m), 16s period, SW swell with 9,565 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 25 Jul, 12AM (local time) - 15ft (4.5m), 15s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Papa Tangaroa this week:
The surf forecast for Papa Tangaroa over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Jul 25) at 12AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 4.5m and 15s period with a secondary swell of 4.5m and 15s. Another secondary swell of 0.4m and 11s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-shore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Papa Tangaroa in the next 16 days are 4.5m 16s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 24) at 6PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.4m 5s period and expected on Monday (Jul 27) at 3PM.
| Wave Type | Time (-06) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 12AM (Sat 25th Jul) | 15ft (4.5m) 15s |
| Best Surf | 12AM (Sat 25th Jul) | 15ft (4.5m) 15s |
| Most Powerful | 6PM (Fri 24th Jul) | 15ft (4.5m) 16s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Papa Tangaroa over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, it’s your boy Rusty. Let’s get into it. We’ve got a solid block of surf coming our way, but you’ll need to pick your moments carefully because the wind is gonna be a real chatterbox for the first few days.
The main event is a series of powerful SW groundswells, but the wind is mostly cross or onshore early on, making things messy. Things clean up nicely for a session on Sunday the 26th though, and that’s where the real standout is.
Papa Tangaroa is an advanced reef break, and it’s exposed to the south swell. It’s fairly consistent, but it’s a rare spot and crowds are likely. The water temp is sitting at 70°, which is pretty normal for this time of year.
The first few days are a write-off for any decent waves. Thursday morning, the 23rd, we’ve got a 10ft SW swell (16s period) with a cross-shore wind. The combined energy is massive at 4825, but it’s lumpy and cross-chop. Not worth it. Friday and Saturday are bigger, with 13ft to 15ft SW swells, but the wind is all over the place, making it rough and choppy. That’s expert territory for size, but the quality is poor.
Now, here’s the good news. Sunday morning, the 26th, the wind turns light southerly, straight onshore, but the swell drops to 10ft from the SW (12s period, 2404 energy). It’s still a bit of a paddle. But Sunday afternoon is the pick of the first week. The swell settles to 8ft from the SW, the period is still a juicy 12 seconds, and the wind swings to a light NE cross-off. The water goes glassy. The energy is 1921, and it’s clean. For experienced surfers, this is a window. That long period will make the sets a bit spaced out, but it’ll be well-shaped at this reef.
Monday and Tuesday drop off significantly in size and quality. Not much to get excited about. Then Wednesday afternoon, the 29th, we get a little burst of magic. The swell is only 5ft from the SSW (12s period, 1174 energy), but the wind is glassy, straight out of the south. It’s silky clean. A great session for a smaller board.
The second week has a couple of blips. Friday the 31st of July morning offers a 7ft WSW swell with a cross breeze, but it’s not great. The real long-range standout is a late one. Friday, August 7th afternoon. The swell is small, just 3ft from the SW, but the period is a very long 21 seconds. The wind is glassy from the NNE. The energy is 1512. For a reef like this, that long period will produce some beautiful, grinding lines. It’s one for the patient crew.
So, if you’re looking for the best of the best, hit Sunday afternoon, July 26th for the biggest clean swell, or Wednesday afternoon, July 29th for a smaller, glassy session. The late call on Friday, August 7th afternoon is a promising dark horse, but it’s a long way out.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 8mm), mostly falling on Fri morning. Warm (max 20°C on Thu morning, min 18°C on Thu night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the WSW on Fri afternoon, calm by Sat night). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryModerate rain (total 16mm), heaviest on Mon night. Warm (max 20°C on Mon morning, min 17°C on Mon night). Winds increasing (calm on Sun morning, fresh winds from the WNW by Mon morning). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Thursday 23 | Friday 24 | Saturday 25 | Sunday 26 | Monday 27 | Tuesday 28 | Wednesday 29 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 16 | WSW 15 | WSW 14 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 12 | WSW 11 | WSW 10 | SSW 12 | SW 12 | SW 13 | WSW 13 | WSW 13 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
3986 | 3750 | 3480 | 8803 | 9344 | 9428 | 6319 | 4718 | 3357 | 2379 | 1897 | 1626 | 993 | 558 | 1326 | 510 | 384 | 456 | 658 | 554 | 506 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross-on | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross-on | cross-on | on | on | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | on | on | on | on | glassy | cross-off |
High Tide | 2:30PM0.59m | 3:04AM0.82m | 3:00PM0.56m | 3:34AM0.81m | 3:28PM0.54m | 4:03AM0.80m | 3:55PM0.52m | 4:33AM0.79m | 4:25PM0.50m | 5:06AM0.77m | 5:01PM0.48m | 5:44AM0.73m | 5:49PM0.46m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 8:22PM0.17m | 9:35AM0.24m | 8:47PM0.18m | 10:09AM0.26m | 9:11PM0.20m | 10:43AM0.27m | 9:36PM0.21m | 11:18AM0.29m | 10:03PM0.23m | 11:59AM0.30m | 10:34PM0.26m | 12:47PM0.32m | 11:14PM0.29m | ||||||||
8:03 | — | — | 8:02 | — | — | 8:02 | — | — | 8:00 | — | — | 8:00 | — | — | 8:00 | — | — | 7:58 | — | — | |
— | 6:45 | — | — | 6:45 | — | — | 6:45 | — | — | 6:45 | — | — | 6:46 | — | — | 6:46 | — | — | 6:47 | — | |
mm | 2 | — | 1 | 3 | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 16 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 20 | 20 | 20 | 19 | 19 | 19 | 19 | 18 | 18 | 18 | 19 | 19 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 18 | 19 | 19 | 18 | 18 | 19 |
Feels °C | 15 | 15 | 14 | 14 | 12 | 11 | 14 | 14 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 17 | 16 | 15 | 18 | 17 | 16 | 15 | 16 | 18 | 14 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 16 | WSW 15 | WSW 14 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 12 | WSW 11 | WSW 10 | WSW 10 | SW 12 | SW 13 | SSW 12 | WSW 13 |
3986 | 3750 | 3480 | 8803 | 9344 | 8427 | 6319 | 4718 | 3357 | 2379 | 1897 | 1626 | 993 | 558 | 1326 | 510 | 356 | 456 | 658 | 554 | 506 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 21 | SW 20 | SW 18 | SSE 11 | SSE 10 | SSE 11 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 11 | SE 10 | SE 10 | SE 9 | SE 11 | SE 11 | SE 12 | SW 12 | SSW 12 | W 10 | WSW 14 | WSW 13 | SSW 12 |
735 | 1092 | 2448 | 117 | 58 | 39 | 20 | 19 | 12 | 25 | 24 | 21 | 33 | 30 | 73 | 355 | 384 | 204 | 452 | 547 | 378 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 10 | SSE 12 | SSE 11 | — | — | — | — | — | SSE 9 | N 10 | N 10 | N 10 | N 10 | SE 14 | NE 7 | SSE 12 | SSE 12 | WSW 15 | W 10 | W 9 | SSE 10 |
104 | 252 | 176 | — | — | — | — | — | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 94 | 91 | 318 | 117 | 73 | 71 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | SW 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — | WNW 4 | WNW 5 | — | — | — | SSW 6 | — | — | — |
— | — | — | — | — | 9428 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 16 | 98 | — | — | — | 30 | — | — | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 3664 | 3635 | 3577 | 3577 | 3610 | 3602 | 3602 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3525 | 3541 | 3525 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 2 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Easter Island | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Chile | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Papa Tangaroa Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Papa Tangaroa provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Papa Tangaroa can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Papa Tangaroa surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Papa Tangaroa) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Papa Tangaroa may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Easter Island? If you are looking for accommodation near Tanga Roa, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Easter Island, consider staying in Caleton which is 7 km (4 miles) away. Alternatively, find information about places to stay and car hire in Easter Island which is 11 km (7 miles) away










