Surf Forecasts:
Papa Tangaroa surf forecast from 11 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Tuesday 11 Aug, 12PM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 15s period, SW swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Tuesday 11 Aug, 6AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 15s period, SW swell with 3,456 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 11 Aug, 12PM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 15s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Papa Tangaroa this week:
The surf forecast for Papa Tangaroa over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Aug 11) at 12PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.5m and 15s period with a secondary swell of 0.8m and 8s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Papa Tangaroa in the next 16 days are 3.0m 15s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Aug 11) at 6AM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 4.5m 9s period and expected on Sunday (Aug 16) at 6PM.
| Wave Type | Time (-06) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 12PM (Tue 11th Aug) | 8ft (2.5m) 15s |
| Best Surf | 12PM (Tue 11th Aug) | 8ft (2.5m) 15s |
| Most Powerful | 6AM (Tue 11th Aug) | 10ft (3.0m) 15s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Papa Tangaroa over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, let’s talk about Papa Tangaroa. This is a serious reef, for advanced surfers only, and it’s wide open to a south swell. Water temp is about 69°, so pretty standard for this time of year.
We’ve got a bit of a dry spell right at the start. Nothing really worth looking at until around the 13th, and even then it’s touch and go. The real magic is further out.
The standout is shaping up for Sunday the 23rd and Monday the 24th of August. Sunday morning is looking clean: 5ft of SW groundswell with a very long 19-second period, a light offshore breeze from the north, and a combined energy reading of 1858 (moderate). That long period means power and shape, with nice long lulls between sets. The afternoon gets a little bigger at 6ft, still clean. Then Monday the 24th is the one to circle: a solid 10ft SW groundswell with a 17-second period, light cross-offshore wind, and a combined energy of 5488 (strong). This is big, powerful, and exceptional for experts. The swell direction matches this break perfectly, so expect the reef to be working at its best.
There’s a smaller, cleaner window on Saturday the 15th of August. The morning shows a 7ft SW swell with a fresh 18 mph offshore breeze. It’s clean, but the period is 13 seconds, so not as much grunt as the later stuff.
Crowds? They’re a real possibility here, so be ready to share the peak.
After that Monday, the wind turns against us on the 25th, so the window is tight. Get on it that weekend.
Rusty
Short Range ForecastModerate rain (total 16mm), heaviest on Tue afternoon. Very mild (max 18°C on Tue night, min 14°C on Tue afternoon). Winds increasing (calm on Tue morning, fresh winds from the S by Wed morning). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 21°C on Sat night, min 17°C on Thu night). Winds increasing (light winds from the ESE on Fri afternoon, strong winds from the N by Sat night). | ||||||||||||||||||
Tuesday 11 | Wednesday 12 | Thursday 13 | Friday 14 | Saturday 15 | Sunday 16 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 14 | W 12 | SW 14 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 4518 | 3307 | 2483 | 1812 | 1496 | 1387 | 1776 | 2053 | 1875 | 1977 | 2902 | 3126 | 2703 | 1220 | 1092 | 535 | 518 | 1111 | 1318 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | on | on | off | off | on | on | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | on | cross | cross-off | cross-off | off | off | off | off | off |
High Tide | 4:28AM0.90m | 4:38PM0.59m | 5:20AM0.85m | 5:39PM0.56m | 6:21AM0.78m | 6:58PM0.55m | 7:34AM0.71m | 8:34PM0.57m | 8:59AM0.66m | 10:04PM0.62m | 10:20AM0.64m | 11:13PM0.68m | |||||||
Low Tide | 9:39PM0.09m | 11:06AM0.19m | 10:30PM0.13m | 12:02PM0.22m | 11:30PM0.19m | 1:08PM0.24m | 00:48AM0.26m | 2:24PM0.25m | 2:29AM0.29m | 3:40PM0.24m | 4:10AM0.28m | 4:44PM0.21m | |||||||
 |  |  |  |  | |  | |  |  | | | | | | | | |  | |
 | — | 7:50 | — | — | 7:50 | — | — | 7:48 | — | — | 7:48 | — | — | 7:47 | — | — | 7:46 | — | — |
 | — | — | 6:53 | — | — | 6:54 | — | — | 6:54 | — | — | 6:55 | — | — | 6:55 | — | — | 6:57 | — |
mm | — | — | 11 | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 18 |
Temp °C | 17 | 17 | 15 | 18 | 17 | 18 | 17 | 17 | 18 | 18 | 17 | 17 | 19 | 20 | 20 | 21 | 21 | 21 | 21 |
Feels °C | 14 | 15 | 13 | 18 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 12 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 15 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 14 | W 12 | WNW 10 |
| kJ | 4518 | 3307 | 2483 | 1812 | 1496 | 1387 | 1776 | 2053 | 1875 | 1977 | 2902 | 3126 | 2703 | 1220 | 1092 | 535 | 518 | 1111 | 1061 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 8 | E 8 | E 8 | ENE 8 | E 8 | E 8 | E 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | E 8 | SE 9 | ESE 9 | SE 8 | SSW 13 | SE 9 | SE 9 | SE 9 | SW 13 | N 8 |
| kJ | 86 | 105 | 80 | 104 | 64 | 68 | 47 | 12 | 34 | 18 | 13 | 32 | 18 | 368 | 22 | 21 | 22 | 852 | 587 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 8 | SSE 13 | SSE 12 | SSE 12 | WNW 7 | W 7 | SE 12 | ENE 8 | NNW 11 | SE 9 | E 7 | N 10 | N 10 | ESE 8 | — | — | SW 18 | ESE 9 | SW 14 |
| kJ | 51 | 17 | 15 | 14 | 36 | 22 | 22 | 12 | 11 | 14 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 28 | — | — | 50 | 8 | 1318 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | S 4 | S 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | N 3 | NNE 5 | N 7 | N 8 | N 8 | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | 18 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 5 | 80 | 568 | 1237 | 1364 | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3541 | 3525 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 12 | 6 | 12 | 6 | 3562 | 3525 | 3525 | 3562 | 3525 | 3525 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Easter Island | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Chile | |||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Papa Tangaroa Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Papa Tangaroa provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Papa Tangaroa can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Papa Tangaroa surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Papa Tangaroa) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Papa Tangaroa may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
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