Surf Forecasts:
Papa Tangaroa surf forecast from 10 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Tuesday 11 Aug, 12PM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 15s period, SW swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Monday 10 Aug, 6PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 16s period, SW swell with 5,263 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 11 Aug, 12PM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 15s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Papa Tangaroa this week:
The surf forecast for Papa Tangaroa over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Aug 11) at 12PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.5m and 15s period with a secondary swell of 0.8m and 8s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Papa Tangaroa in the next 16 days are 3.0m 16s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 10) at 6PM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 4.5m 11s period and expected on Sunday (Aug 16) at 6PM.
| Wave Type | Time (-06) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 12PM (Tue 11th Aug) | 8ft (2.5m) 15s |
| Best Surf | 12PM (Tue 11th Aug) | 8ft (2.5m) 15s |
| Most Powerful | 6PM (Mon 10th Aug) | 10ft (3.0m) 16s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Papa Tangaroa over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, Rusty here. Let's talk about what's coming up.
We're looking at a solid run of swell for Papa Tangaroa, but we've got a bit of a rough patch to get through first. The early part of the week is a write-off, with strong winds and messy conditions. The real action starts to build from Tuesday afternoon, the 11th, and then it’s a waiting game for the standout windows.
The first real glimmer of hope is Tuesday afternoon, the 11th of August. The forecast shows a 8ft swell from the southwest, but the real kicker is the glassy conditions. The wind is calm, and for a spot like this, that’s a rare treat. The water temp is about average for the time of year, so nothing weird there. The combined energy is strong, at 2711, so there’s plenty of power behind that 15-second period groundswell. This is a big call, but for a Tuesday afternoon session, this is the best on offer in the first week. The swell’s a bit big for beginners, but for experienced surfers on a reef, it’s going to be pumping.
After that, things get messy again. Wednesday and Thursday are blown out with onshore winds. Friday morning, the 14th, sees the swell jump to 10ft, but the wind is on it, so it’s a no-go. Friday afternoon is a bit better with lighter cross-on winds, but still not clean.
The next real standout doesn't come until much later. We have a gap of several days with only marginal to poor conditions. Then, look at the 23rd and 24th of August. Starting Sunday the 23rd, we get a new pulse of swell from the west-southwest. The swell is 8ft – 10ft, with a very long period of 18-19 seconds. This is a deep groundswell. The wind is a clean cross-offshore breeze from the east-northeast. The combined energy is massive, hitting 5816 on Sunday afternoon. This is expert-level territory at 10ft, but the quality is going to be absurd. For the experienced crew, this is the second true standout of the outlook. The swell hangs in through Monday the 24th, still 10ft with a clean cross-off breeze.
So, the rundown: Tuesday afternoon the 11th is your window for glassy, powerful waves. Then, hunker down and wait for that big, long-period groundswell hitting Sunday the 23rd and Monday the 24th. That’s the one to circle on the calendar.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 5mm), mostly falling on Mon morning. Very mild (max 19°C on Sun night, min 14°C on Tue afternoon). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 20°C on Sat morning, min 17°C on Wed night). Winds increasing (light winds from the SE on Fri afternoon, strong winds from the NNE by Sat afternoon). | ||||||||||||||||||
Monday 10 | Tuesday 11 | Wednesday 12 | Thursday 13 | Friday 14 | Saturday 15 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 14 | WSW 14 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 14 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 1111 | 1809 | 2719 | 4518 | 3307 | 2614 | 1945 | 1496 | 1387 | 1474 | 1902 | 1902 | 1744 | 3224 | 3397 | 2558 | 1776 | 1387 | 1811 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | on | cross-on | on | cross-on | glassy | off | on | on | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | on | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | off | off |
High Tide | 3:42AM0.93m | 3:46PM0.60m | 4:28AM0.90m | 4:38PM0.59m | 5:20AM0.85m | 5:39PM0.56m | 6:21AM0.78m | 6:58PM0.55m | 7:34AM0.71m | 8:34PM0.57m | 8:59AM0.66m | 10:04PM0.62m | |||||||
Low Tide | 10:17AM0.17m | 9:39PM0.09m | 11:06AM0.19m | 10:30PM0.13m | 12:02PM0.22m | 11:30PM0.19m | 1:08PM0.24m | 00:48AM0.26m | 2:24PM0.25m | 2:29AM0.29m | 3:40PM0.24m | ||||||||
 |  |  | | |  |  |  | | | | |  | | | | | | | |
 | — | 7:50 | — | — | 7:50 | — | — | 7:50 | — | — | 7:48 | — | — | 7:48 | — | — | 7:47 | — | — |
 | — | — | 6:53 | — | — | 6:53 | — | — | 6:54 | — | — | 6:54 | — | — | 6:55 | — | — | 6:55 | — |
mm | — | 1 | — | — | — | 1 | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 19 | 18 | 18 | 17 | 17 | 16 | 17 | 17 | 18 | 17 | 17 | 18 | 18 | 17 | 17 | 18 | 20 | 20 | 20 |
Feels °C | 17 | 16 | 15 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 14 | 13 | 15 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 13 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 14 | WSW 14 | SW 14 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 14 |
| kJ | 1111 | 1809 | 1824 | 4518 | 3307 | 2614 | 1945 | 1496 | 1387 | 1474 | 1902 | 1902 | 1744 | 3224 | 3397 | 2558 | 1776 | 1387 | 1811 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 9 | SW 18 | SW 17 | SE 8 | E 8 | E 8 | ENE 8 | E 8 | E 8 | E 8 | ENE 8 | E 8 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | SE 10 | ESE 8 | SE 8 | SE 9 |
| kJ | 183 | 1684 | 2719 | 86 | 105 | 82 | 104 | 63 | 50 | 46 | 20 | 18 | 47 | 32 | 32 | 23 | 28 | 11 | 12 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 8 | SE 9 | SE 9 | ENE 8 | SSE 13 | SSE 12 | SSE 12 | N 4 | WNW 6 | SE 12 | SE 8 | SE 10 | N 10 | N 10 | N 10 | N 10 | N 10 | SE 10 | — |
| kJ | 66 | 95 | 91 | 51 | 17 | 15 | 14 | 13 | 33 | 22 | 15 | 33 | 8 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | SW 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | SSE 5 | SSE 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | NNE 5 | N 6 |
| kJ | — | 14 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 64 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 54 | 404 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 3577 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 3525 | 12 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 3525 | 3525 | 3541 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Easter Island | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Chile | |||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Papa Tangaroa Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Papa Tangaroa provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Papa Tangaroa can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Papa Tangaroa surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Papa Tangaroa) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Papa Tangaroa may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
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