Surf Forecasts:
Papa Tangaroa surf forecast from 9 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Thursday 9 Jul, 9PM (local time) - 4ft (1.2m), 13s period, SW swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Thursday 16 Jul, 6PM (local time) - 18ft (5.5m), 14s period, SW swell with 10,748 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 9 Jul, 6PM (local time) - 4ft (1.2m), 13s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Papa Tangaroa this week:
The surf forecast for Papa Tangaroa over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 09) at 6PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.2m and 13s period. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Papa Tangaroa in the next 16 days are 5.5m 14s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 16) at 6PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 3.5m 8s period and expected on Friday (Jul 10) at 12PM.
| Wave Type | Time (-06) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 6PM (Thu 9th Jul) | 4ft (1.2m) 13s |
| Best Surf | 9PM (Thu 9th Jul) | 4ft (1.2m) 13s |
| Most Powerful | 6PM (Thu 16th Jul) | 18ft (5.5m) 14s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Papa Tangaroa over the next 16 days.
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s get into it.
We’ve got a solid run of swells lining up for Papa Tangaroa, but the first half of the week is a write-off. Starting Thursday 9 July, we’ve got messy conditions with onshore winds and a high-energy, low-quality swell that’s just not going to clean up. Friday 10 July is a no-go too – gale-force winds and a big, lumpy, blown-out 16ft swell that’s only for the very brave and experienced. The weekend looks rough with strong cross-onshore winds and choppy surf, so don’t bother paddling out until early next week.
The first real standout hits Monday 13 July morning. The swell drops to 6ft from the SSE with a lovely 12-second period, giving it some proper push. Winds are light from the WNW, almost glassy, and the wave energy is solid (1506). The water’s sitting at a comfortable 71°F, which is pretty much normal for this time of year. Conditions are clean and the reef setup at Papa Tangaroa should handle this long-period swell well. This is the pick of the first week – for stronger surfers, it’s excellent.
The next highlight is on Tuesday 21 July afternoon. We’ve got a 7ft swell from the WSW at 11 seconds, and light offshore winds from the NW. The wave energy is moderate (1207), but the conditions are described as excellent for experienced surfers. It’s clean, and the offshore wind will make for some tidy lines. Keep an eye on this one.
Then, on Thursday 23 July afternoon, another very promising window. A 8ft SW swell with a 12-second period, and light offshore winds from the NW. The water’s still clean, and the wave energy is strong (2940). This is a proper session for anyone who knows what they’re doing. The swell direction matches the optimum from the south, so the reef should be working its magic.
There is a long gap of poor, windy, or marginal conditions from Friday 10 July through Sunday 12 July, and again through much of the second week, but the standout windows are Monday 13 July, Tuesday 21 July, and Thursday 23 July. Don’t sleep on the 23rd – that’s the best on offer if you’re an experienced surfer.
Rusty, signing off.
Short Range ForecastHeavy rain (total 24mm), heaviest during Thu night. Warm (max 20°C on Thu morning, min 17°C on Fri afternoon). Winds increasing (light winds from the NNW on Thu afternoon, gales from the WNW by Fri morning). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Tue afternoon. Warm (max 22°C on Tue morning, min 18°C on Sun morning). Winds increasing (light winds from the WNW on Mon morning, strong winds from the NW by Tue morning). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Thursday 9 | Friday 10 | Saturday 11 | Sunday 12 | Monday 13 | Tuesday 14 | Wednesday 15 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 14 | SW 14 | W 10 | SSW 11 | S 10 | SSW 10 | SSE 11 | SSE 12 | SSE 12 | SSE 12 | SSE 12 | SSE 11 | SSE 11 | SSE 11 | W 9 | W 11 | W 8 | W 8 | WSW 8 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 494 | 424 | 581 | 536 | 4865 | 3926 | 957 | 999 | 531 | 933 | 1106 | 1077 | 833 | 698 | 452 | 340 | 1412 | 1802 | 916 | 847 | 1271 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross | cross-on | cross | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross | cross | cross-on |
High Tide | 1:45PM0.61m | 2:34AM0.86m | 2:29PM0.60m | 3:18AM0.91m | 3:16PM0.59m | 4:05AM0.93m | 4:07PM0.57m | 4:56AM0.93m | 5:05PM0.55m | 5:52AM0.91m | 6:11PM0.54m | 6:53AM0.87m | 7:30PM0.54m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 7:47PM0.12m | 9:03AM0.22m | 8:26PM0.09m | 9:53AM0.21m | 9:10PM0.09m | 10:45AM0.20m | 9:57PM0.09m | 11:42AM0.20m | 10:51PM0.12m | 12:44PM0.20m | 11:52PM0.17m | 1:51PM0.20m | 1:06AM0.22m | ||||||||
 | |  |  |  |  | |  |  | |  | | | | | | |  | | | | |
 | 8:07 | — | — | 8:07 | — | — | 8:06 | — | — | 8:06 | — | — | 8:06 | — | — | 8:06 | — | — | 8:04 | — | — |
 | — | 6:37 | — | — | 6:37 | — | — | 6:38 | — | — | 6:38 | — | — | 6:39 | — | — | 6:39 | — | — | 6:40 | — |
mm | 4 | 3 | 14 | 2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | 1 | — |
Temp °C | 20 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 17 | 19 | 19 | 19 | 19 | 18 | 18 | 18 | 18 | 19 | 21 | 22 | 22 | 22 | 21 | 20 | 20 |
Feels °C | 17 | 19 | 14 | 12 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 12 | 14 | 14 | 17 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 19 | 16 | 15 | 14 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 13 | NNW 7 | SW 14 | SW 14 | NNE 9 | SSW 11 | S 10 | SSW 10 | SSE 11 | SSE 12 | SSE 12 | SSE 12 | SSE 12 | SSE 11 | SSE 11 | SSE 11 | WSW 13 | SSE 11 | SSE 11 | SSE 11 | SW 16 |
| kJ | 494 | 169 | 581 | 536 | 32 | 3926 | 957 | 999 | 531 | 933 | 1106 | 1077 | 833 | 698 | 452 | 340 | 980 | 186 | 133 | 133 | 306 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NNW 7 | SW 13 | S 14 | S 13 | SSE 9 | N 10 | SSW 13 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | WSW 8 | SW 11 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | SSE 11 | SSW 13 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SSE 11 |
| kJ | 127 | 424 | 453 | 339 | 8 | 188 | 444 | 365 | 289 | 187 | 449 | 757 | 613 | 471 | 187 | 96 | 226 | 68 | 263 | 252 | 157 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSE 10 | S 15 | NW 8 | SW 19 | — | SW 18 | NW 8 | NW 8 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SW 18 | SW 20 | SW 16 | SW 16 | WSW 15 | SW 20 | SW 19 | SSE 13 | SSE 13 | — |
| kJ | 123 | 287 | 91 | 183 | — | 154 | 167 | 71 | 279 | 362 | 323 | 54 | 60 | 69 | 68 | 169 | 64 | 181 | 68 | 67 | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | N 7 | NNW 7 | W 10 | WNW 8 | W 7 | — | WSW 9 | — | — | — | — | — | NW 5 | WNW 7 | W 9 | W 11 | W 8 | W 8 | WSW 8 |
| kJ | — | — | 134 | 936 | 4865 | 329 | 117 | — | 252 | — | — | — | — | — | 106 | 610 | 1412 | 1802 | 916 | 847 | 1271 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 2 | 3525 | 3525 | 3525 | 3525 | 3525 | 3562 | 3525 | 3525 | 3562 | 12 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 3602 | 3580 | 3588 | 3635 | 3525 | 3635 | 3602 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Easter Island | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Chile | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Papa Tangaroa Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Papa Tangaroa provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Papa Tangaroa can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Papa Tangaroa surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Papa Tangaroa) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Papa Tangaroa may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
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