Totoralillo Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, I’m Rusty, and I’ve been watchin’ this stretch of coast for a while. Let’s break down what’s comin’ for Totoralillo (point break) over the next 16 days.

Honestly, the first week is a bit of a write-off. We’ve got a bit of swell around, but the wind is a constant problem – mostly cross-onshore or onshore, keepin’ things messy. The water temp’s sittin’ about 60°, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year, so that’s a small bonus if you’re keen to get wet anyway.

Tuesday the 4th starts with a 6ft WSW swell at 12 seconds, but that cross-on 15 km/h SW wind is makin’ it choppy. The combined energy’s moderate at 1085, but it’s just not clean. Wednesday the 5th has a morning drop to 4ft on onshore wind, still not great. Thursday the 6th is small and messy. Friday the 7th turns into a poor one with 20 km/h cross-onshore winds and a 6ft swell – that’s lookin’ more like a kite session than a paddle. Saturday the 8th and Sunday the 9th are also cross-onshore and choppy, with moderate combined energy (up to 1443 on Sunday arvo). The pattern is pretty grim for clean waves.

Then we hit a big gap. From Monday the 10th through to around Wednesday the 12th, the swell drops away and the conditions are still marginal. Thursday the 13th to Saturday the 15th is a real dry spell – small waves, poor winds, and a lot of “poor surf conditions” flags. The combined energy slips to 303 on Friday the 14th arvo. That’s a solid 5-6 days of nothin’ worth paddlin’ out for.

Now, here’s where it gets interestin’. The real standout is Tuesday the 18th afternoon. That’s over a week away, so take it with a grain of salt, but the forecast is talkin’ glassy conditions with a 6ft SW swell at 15 seconds – that’s a long-period groundswell, and it’s gonna wrap nicely into this point. Combined energy is a strong 1480, and the wind is dead calm. This is excellent surf for experienced surfers. The swell direction is WSW, which matches the optimum direction for this spot. The break is very consistent, so you can expect plenty of waves. Crowds are possible here, so you might have some company. This is the best on offer.

Wednesday the 19th morning looks clean too, with 4ft SW swell at 13 seconds and glassy conditions, but the energy drops to 971. Still a decent fallback.

So, to sum it up: the first week is a struggle with messy onshore winds. There’s a big gap of poor surf from the 10th to the 15th. Your best bet is to wait for Tuesday the 18th afternoon – that’s the one to circle on the calendar. Glassy, solid groundswell, and a point break that’ll handle it. Don’t get too excited about the earlier days unless you’re just wantin’ a float in warmer-than-average water.

Rusty.

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