Kiholo Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s talk about Kiholo Bay. Honestly, the next couple of weeks are a real test of patience. We’ve got a long stretch of tiny, weak, and often messy conditions before a little window of something surfable opens up.

Looking at the whole 16-day run, it’s a grim start. From Sunday the 16th all the way through to Tuesday the 25th, it’s just “poor surf conditions” day after day. That’s a solid 10-day gap with nothing to get excited about. The swell is tiny, mostly around 1ft to 1ft from the WNW, with combined energy readings struggling in the 20s and 30s. That’s weak stuff. On top of that, we’ve got a few days with onshore wind and even a risk of thunderstorms early on. There are a few glassy moments on Monday afternoon and Tuesday afternoon, but even then, the waves are just too small to make it worth the paddle. It’s a flat spell, plain and simple.

Now, the first real glimmer of hope shows up on Wednesday the 26th. Wednesday morning we see a bump in swell height to 2ft from the WNW, with a period of 12 seconds, and the combined energy jumps to 111. That’s moderate wave energy starting to show up. The wind is cross-on in the morning, so it won’t be perfect, but by Wednesday afternoon we get glassy conditions with that same 2ft swell and energy at 114. The description changes to “surfable waves but very ordinary conditions”. It’s not going to be epic, but after a long dry spell, it’s something to paddle out for. The swell direction (WNW) lines up with the optimum for Kiholo Bay, so the break should handle it okay. The period is 12 seconds, which is decent, so there will be some shape to the waves. This is the standout of the whole outlook. It’s not going to be a classic session, but it’s the best we’ve got, and after that long flat stretch, a clean 2ft wave on a glassy afternoon feels like a gift.

After Wednesday, we’re back into smaller stuff through the end of the month. Thursday the 27th has glassy afternoon conditions again, but the swell drops back to 1ft with energy at 66. Not terrible, but definitely smaller. The real interesting note comes on Monday the 31st of August. We see a 1ft swell from the WNW with a period of 15 seconds and combined energy of 123. That’s a long period groundswell, which can produce some nice, lined-up waves here at Kiholo Bay, especially with glassy winds in the morning. It’s a point break setup, so it should handle that long period well. Keep an eye on that one, but remember, it’s a long way out so don’t get too attached just yet.

All in all, it’s a tough outlook. The first ten days are a write-off. Wednesday the 26th afternoon is your best bet, and then maybe keep an eye on the 31st for something a bit more promising. It’s the kind of run that tests your commitment, but these things never stay flat forever.

Rusty.

Read more