Kiholo Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s be straight with you. Looking at the next 16 days for Kiholo Bay, it’s a pretty quiet stretch. We’ve got a long run of tiny, weak surf ahead, but there are a couple of windows where conditions might just line up for a fun, mellow session if you’re not expecting much.

The water’s sitting at 81°, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year. That’s a nice little bonus.

For the first week or so, it's pretty much flat out. From Tuesday the 4th right through to around the 12th, we are looking at next to nothing. Swell heights are mostly under 1 foot with periods all over the shop, and the energy is just dead – readings of 15, 11, even zero. It's a lot of groveling on a log or just staying home. There’s a bit of bump on the surface at times with light cross-onshore breezes, especially on the 6th and 7th, but honestly, there’s no wave to push through it. This is a real dry spell, and it’s pretty normal for the area when it goes quiet like this. You just gotta wait it out.

Now, the first real sign of life comes on Thursday the 13th. We finally see the energy start to build, with a reading of 71 in the morning, climbing through the day. The swell fills in from the WNW at 1ft with a period of 15 seconds. That’s a proper long-period groundswell, even if it’s small. The morning is looking clean with light offshore winds, but the standout is the Thursday afternoon. The wind goes glassy, the water smooths right out, and you’ve got those 1ft lines rolling in. It’s surfable, but honestly, it’s still pretty ordinary. You’ll get a few fun ones on the point.

The pulse holds through the week. Friday the 14th sees the size nudge up to 2ft, but the wind gets a bit messy in the afternoon, going cross-shore and putting some ripples on the face. Not ideal. Saturday the 15th is where it gets interesting. Swell pushes up to 2-2ft from the W with a period of 15 seconds. The energy reading jumps to 156, which is a solid step up from the nothing we’ve had. That Saturday afternoon is looking like the pick of the week: glassy conditions, clean lines, and the most energy we’ve seen all forecast. It’s not big, but it will be clean and workable.

We see a similar pattern on Sunday the 16th – 2ft from the W with a 14-second period and glassy afternoon conditions. Another window for a few long, clean waves. The swell stays in the 2ft to 2ft range going into the next week, but the winds start to become more of a factor with mornings often onshore. The afternoons with lighter winds and glassy patches, like on the 18th, will still be worth a look.

Into the second week, the long-range stuff gets a bit more speculative, but there’s potential. Wednesday the 19th shows the most energy of the entire run, hitting 175, with 2ft swell at a 15-second period. The morning is onshore, but the afternoon glass-off looks promising. That could be the best day of the whole stretch, but we’re a week out so treat it as a promising prospect rather than a guarantee.

Overall, don’t hold your breath for the first week. The standout days, if you can call them that, are the afternoons of the 15th and 16th, and maybe the 19th if it comes together. It’s small, clean, and for intermediate surfers on a longboard or fish, it could be a real treat. For everyone else, it’s a lot of waiting.

Rusty out.

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