Joss Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s get into it. Joss Bay, eh? I’ve had a look at the whole 16-day stretch, and I’ve gotta level with you—it’s a tough run. There’s a real dry spell to start, and honestly, the whole outlook is pretty flat. We’re not talking about waves you’d paddle out for, just ankle-snatchers and barely-there bumps. Let’s break it down.

Right from the get-go, through Wednesday the 16th of September and into the rest of the month, it’s a whole lot of nothing. The water temperature at Joss Bay sits at 67°F, which is about 5°F warmer than normal for this time of year—that’s pretty notable, the sea’s holding some real summer warmth. But warm water doesn’t make waves, and that’s the problem. Through Thursday the 17th, Friday, all the way into the middle of the week, we’ve got combined swell energy sitting at rock bottom—mostly single digits, sometimes a 2 or a 3 in brackets. It’s weak, it’s tiny, and the swell height is only around 0.3 to 1 foot. The best wind we see in the first few days is a moderate to fresh offshore from the WSW, so it would be clean if there was anything to ride, but there isn’t. You’ll see some glassy patches on Sunday the 20th and Monday the 21st, but again, the swell is simply not there.

There’s a notable gap here: from the 16th right through to the 23rd, there is no surf to recommend. It’s flat, with no energy.

Now, around Thursday the 24th of September, we finally see a little pulse. The swell height bumps up to about 3 feet from the NE, but the period is short at 5 seconds, and the combined energy only reaches 39 in brackets. That’s still weak, and it’s blown out by fresh onshore winds from the E and ENE at 18 to 22 mph. It’s onshore, messy, and lumpy. Not worth your time.

Friday the 25th and Saturday the 26th are similar—around 3 to 3 feet of short-period NE/E swell, but stiff onshore winds spoil any chance of a clean wave. The energy hovers between 21 and 57 in brackets. This is weak, crumbly stuff, and for a beach break like Joss Bay, the onshore wind just kills it. Frankly, with these winds and this setup, it looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing.

By Sunday the 27th, it’s already fading, and into the first days of October we’re right back to almost nothing—less than 0.5 foot, with strong onshore breezes. The entire 16-day window offers no standout options, no real quality, and no reason to get excited. It’s a blank run, and for Joss Bay, that’s not totally unusual when the conditions don’t line up.

So, in short—hold onto your board and wait for the next forecast. This one is a write-off. There’s nothing on offer worth paddling for.

Rusty.

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