JP Luby Pier Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. I’ve looked over the local surf outlook for the next 16 days. Gotta be straight with you: it’s a tough run. The forecast is showing a solid gap with no surf worth paddling out for. From right now, we’re looking at day after day of poor surf conditions. The first real chance of anything resembling a wave comes on August 4th, but even then, it’s not going to be anything to write home about.

Let’s break it down. For the first stretch, from July 27th straight through to August 3rd, it’s a write-off. The wind is relentless, cross-onshore and choppy, and the swell is weak. You’re looking at a combined wave energy of just 26 (July 27th) to 91 (August 3rd afternoon). That’s weak to barely moderate, but the wind just ruins it. The swell period is a short 5 to 6 seconds, so it’s all windswell, no grunt to it.

The first point where we see a little something is on Tuesday, August 4th. The morning shows a 4 ft swell from the SSE, with a period of 6 seconds and a combined energy of 110 (moderate). It’s still cross-onshore at 25 km/h (16 mph) from the SSE, so it’ll be choppy and lumpy. Not a standout, not a day to get excited about. The water temp is 83°F, which is about average for this time of year – no anomaly, so it’s just your usual warm summer water.

From there, the pattern holds. We get a sniff of offshore wind on Wednesday, August 5th afternoon and Thursday, August 6th morning at JP Luby Pier, with the wind turning onshore from the ESE. That’s a better direction for this spot, but the swell is still weak and short-period. On August 6th morning, the swell is 3 ft from the SE, period 6 seconds, energy 68, with a light breeze from the ESE. That’s the closest to clean you’ll get, but the waves will be small and weak.

Later in the run, Sunday, August 9th sees a 3 ft to 4 ft SSE swell, but the wind is back to a fresh cross-onshore, so it’s lumpy and messy. The combined energy maxes out at 68 that afternoon. Nothing is breaking through the wind.

Honestly, the only real standout in this whole 16-day window is the Thursday, August 6th morning session. The wind is light, from the ESE at 10 km/h (6 mph), which is onshore but light enough that it could be glassy early. The swell is 3 ft from the SE, period 7 seconds – the longest period we see in the whole forecast. That’s still a short period, but it’s the best of a bad bunch. The combined energy is 68, so weak, but the clean conditions might give you a fun, small wave if you’re on a log. It’s a beginner-friendly spot, so that’s a plus. Just remember, it’s a beach/pier setup, so don’t expect perfection.

Other than that, it’s a long, flat, windy slog. The swell directions are all from the SSE or SE, which is on the nose for this spot, and the wind never aligns properly to give us a clean, groomed wave. This is a tough period for the area. It’s not unusual – sometimes it just goes quiet. But the forecasts can change, so keep an eye on it.

Rusty.

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