Fairy Bower Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s get into it. The first half of the forecast is pretty grim, but there’s a bit of light later on if you’ve got patience. The run starts off with nothing worth getting wet for, then picks up a little around the 6th, before a real standout on the 9th. Let’s break it down.

Right now, water temps are sitting at 63°, which is about average for this time of year, so no surprises there. The week starts flat and messy. Tuesday morning the 1st has a tiny 3 ft S swell at 11 seconds, but it’s cross-on and bumpy, just not worth it. Wednesday and Thursday are even smaller, with 2–2 ft S swell, and while the wind goes clean offshore at times, the wave size is just too weak to get excited about.

Friday the 4th sees a jump in size to 4 ft S swell, but the wind is cross-on and choppy, so it’s a write-off. Saturday the 5th is small and messy again. Then, finally, Sunday morning the 6th brings a bit of hope. We’ve got a 4 ft S swell, 11-second period, and light offshore winds from the south. The combined energy sits at 441 (moderate), and the conditions are clean. This is your first decent window, but it’s not a standout.

Monday the 7th is marginal, and Tuesday the 8th morning has a 4 ft NE swell with offshore WSW wind and clean conditions—surfable but average. The real standout arrives on Wednesday the 9th. Morning brings a 8 ft S swell, 11-second period, and clean offshore southerly wind. The combined energy is a hefty 1625 (strong), and the S direction is a great match for this spot, which is a point break. That means good shape, especially for advanced surfers. Afternoon holds 8 ft S swell and clean conditions, but the wind turns cross, so the morning is your pick. This is a big, powerful groundswell, and at 8 ft, it’s experts only.

Thursday the 10th sees even bigger swell—10 ft S at 13 seconds, combined energy 2904 (very strong)—but the wind is cross-on and light, so it’s raw and punchy. Still, for the brave, there’s power. After that, the swell fades fast. Friday the 11th has 5 ft S swell, but onshore wind kills it. From Saturday the 12th onward, it’s back to tiny, weak surf with nothing to offer through the rest of the 16 days.

So, the one to circle is Wednesday the 9th morning at Fairy Bower. That’s your best chance for solid, clean groundswell with offshore wind. The S swell direction is right in the sweet spot for this point break, and the energy is pumping. Just remember, it’s a heavy one—8 ft and only for the pros.

Rusty.

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