Narrabeen-Alley Rights Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s cooking for the next couple of weeks.

Alright, I’m not gonna lie to you – it’s a tough stretch ahead for Narrabeen-Alley Rights. We’re looking at a long, dry spell with barely a ripple. The first real sign of life doesn’t show up until Saturday the 12th, so we’ve got over a week of flat or close-to-flat conditions to get through first. For a break that’s usually consistent, that’s a bit of a heartbreaker.

The water temp is sitting around 64°F, which is pretty much dead average for this time of year, so no surprises there.

We go from now all the way to the morning of Saturday, September 12th, before we see anything worth getting wet for. Even then, it’s a very small SSE groundswell with a long 18-second period. That long period gives it some real energy (131 on the energy scale), but at only 1ft, it’s barely going to stand up. Still, the morning is glassy, and with a south swell direction being pretty much straight onshore here, the lack of wind is a huge positive. This is your best chance in the first ten days, but keep your expectations low. You might sneak a few tiny, clean ones.

After that, it drops right back off again until Tuesday the 15th of September. The morning shows a little pulse of 3ft from the NE (energy only 95), but with a short 7-second period, it’ll be weak and bumpy. The offshore NW wind will make it look clean, but there’s just no push.

Now, here’s the real standout, but you’ve gotta wait for it. On Thursday the 17th of September, the models are lighting up. We’ve got a very strong SSE groundswell arriving. The morning shows a massive 13ft at a long 13-second period, and the energy is off the charts at 5369. However, the morning wind is a cross-onshore, and the surf is going to be way too big for this beach break – that’s expert-only territory, and honestly, it’ll be dangerous and messy.

The real winner? Thursday the 17th of September, in the *afternoon*. The swell drops to a still-pumping 12ft from the SSE (energy 4356), and the wind swings light SSE, becoming a light cross-onshore. It’s still massive, but the tide and wind are reported to be favorable. This is the one day for the experienced crew to get a piece of it. It’s going to be big, powerful, and heavy, so don’t even think about taking a foamy out there. It’s only for experts.

That big swell hangs around into Friday the 18th of September. The morning has a 10ft swell from the SSE (energy 3772) with a strong WSW cross-offshore wind, meaning clean faces. Again, this is solidly in the "experts only" zone. The wind gets messy that afternoon and it all blows out.

After that, it fades fast into the weekend. A smaller 6ft to 7ft on Saturday the 19th is still sizeable, but the cross-onshore wind makes it ragged and choppy instead of nice.

So, to wrap it up: the first week and a half is basically dead. Don’t even bother. Hold out for the massive pulse on Thursday the 17th of September afternoon for the big-wave chargers. It’s a long way off, so keep an eye on it. For everyone else, the glassy, tiny wave on Saturday the 12th is the only real, clean option you’ve got.

Rusty.

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