El Claron Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at the next couple of weeks.

Well, I gotta be straight with you – the outlook for El Claron (point) is a bit of a tough one. We’ve got a lot of cross-onshore wind in the forecast, and that’s gonna mess up the surface on most days. The water is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year, sitting at 58°F.

The first real chance of a surf comes in on Saturday the 5th, but it’s a write-off. We’ve got a 4ft swell from the SW, but that 12 mph cross-on wind is going to make it choppy and messy. The wave energy is actually very strong (1453), but it’s all for nothing with that wind. Not worth getting wet.

Sunday the 6th is a little more promising. The morning sees a 5ft SW swell, a bit cleaner with a lighter 6 mph cross-on, but the report says the surf is marginal. The period is a solid 15 seconds, so there’s some good groundswell energy in the water (1371). The afternoon is even better with the wind dropping to 3 mph and going onshore, but the swell drops a touch to 5ft. This is probably the cleanest window we get, but still not a standout.

Monday the 7th through to the end of the first week is more of the same – consistent 3ft to 5ft SW swell, but that persistent cross-on wind keeps the quality down. The energy drops from moderate (790) to weaker (385) by the end of the week. It’s a long stretch of mediocre conditions.

The second week kicks off on Saturday the 12th with a bit of a pulse. The morning sees a 5ft SW swell, but the wind is up to 12 mph, making it choppy. Then the afternoon bumps up to 8ft, but with a short 7-second period and a fresh 19 mph cross-on, it’s going to be a lumpy, blown-out mess. This is more of a kite-surfing setup than a paddle session.

Sunday the 13th has a weird one – a 3ft swell with a very long 17-second period, but the wind is back up to 19 mph. The energy is still strong (894), but the wind will trash it.

The only real chance for a decent wave comes on Monday the 14th. The morning has a 5ft SW swell with a 14-second period and a gentle 9 mph cross-on. The energy is moderate (1049). It’s not perfect, but it’s the most promising of a pretty average run. Still, the overall quality is marginal.

After that, it’s a slow fade. The wind stays cross-onshore, and the swell period drops into the 6-8 second range, which is just weak windswell. There’s a bit of size on the 19th and 20th (7ft to 8ft), but the short period and consistent cross-on wind will keep it messy and unappealing. The energy is moderate (553-677) but the quality just isn’t there.

Bottom line: there’s no real standout session in the next 16 days. The wind is the enemy here. If you’re desperate, Sunday the 6th afternoon or Monday the 14th morning are your best bets, but keep your expectations low. This is a place that can have empty, clean days, but this isn’t one of those windows.

Rusty.

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