Deadman's Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s talk about what’s shaping up for Deadman’s.

Right off the bat, the water’s sitting at 53°F, which is a bit colder than normal for this time of year – you’ll feel that nip. The first few days have some swell, but honestly, it’s pretty average, nothing to get too excited about. The pattern leans on a mix of NW and SSW swells, but the quality is held back by conditions that are mostly marginal.

Looking at the timeline, Friday the 3rd kicks off with a 5ft NW swell, but it’s a short period (7 seconds) and cross-shore wind, so expect lumpy, weak lines. Saturday the 4th morning is similar with a 4ft NW swell, but the real highlight pops up Saturday afternoon: the wind goes glassy, swell nudges to 5ft from the NW, and the energy is moderate (516). That window is your cleanest bet early on – light offshore wind, smooth conditions. Sunday the 5th is a step down, with the swell dropping and wind turning cross-onshore, though the SSW swell on Sunday afternoon has a very long period (18 seconds) pumping in bigger energy (707), but it’s messy.

The second week is a different story. Monday the 7th through Thursday the 11th see a run of SSW groundswell with periods over 15 seconds, sometimes hitting 20 seconds. That’s prime for a reef break like Deadman’s – the long period will wrap in nicely, and the energy readings are high, often in the 1000s. However, the wind is mostly cross or cross-shore, so it won’t be glassy. The best of this stretch is probably Sunday the 12th afternoon: a 6ft NW swell, with a clean cross-offshore breeze, and strong energy (749). That’s the standout for the whole outlook – good size, clean, and the reef will handle that long-period swell well. Keep in mind, these longer-range calls are promising but less certain.

After that, the surf fades. By Tuesday the 14th, the swell drops to 2ft and the energy is weak (240). There’s a gap of a few days with very small, marginal surf, though Wednesday the 15th afternoon to Friday the 17th show a moderate NW groundswell with good period but again, not much size.

Overall, the best session to aim for is Saturday the 4th afternoon for clean conditions, or Sunday the 12th afternoon for a bigger, clean swell. Deadman’s is an exposed reef that’s inconsistent, so when it lines up, it’s a treat, but crowds are often around here.

Stay stoked,
Rusty

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