Deadman's Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here, giving you the straight talk on Deadman's. Most of this 16-day run is going to be a frustrating one, but there are a couple of spots where you can get a decent wave.

First up, Thursday the 3rd. The morning is a total washout with light rain and a cross-on breeze messing with a small 3ft swell from the SW. The period is a very long 19 seconds, so there’s a ton of groundswell energy, but the wind is just killing it. The combined energy is a massive 1128, but it’s not doing you any favors. Thursday afternoon, however, is a total flip. The wind goes glassy, and we get a 6ft WNW swell. That’s a solid size, but it’s only a 10-second period, so it’s a bit more of a windswell. The glassy conditions are the whole story here – it’ll be clean. Deadman’s is inconsistent, so don’t expect a crowd, but you’ll have to work for the good ones.

Friday the 4th and Saturday the 5th are a real bummer. The swell drops to 3-4ft from the SSW, but the wind is cross-on shore. The energy is still high, in the 900-1200 range, but the wind is just making it bumpy and frustrating. The very long period (16-18 seconds) is there, but it’s a constant fight with the breeze.

Then we hit a long dry spell. From Sunday the 6th all the way through to Tuesday the 15th, the conditions are just marginal. The swell hangs around 3ft to 4ft, mostly from the S or SW, but the wind is a constant cross or cross-on shore, and often moderate to fresh. The combined energy drops into the 500-800 range, which is weak. It’s not going to be fun. There’s a brief moment on Saturday the 12th where we get a 6ft NW swell and a cross-off wind, but the period is a short 8 seconds, so it’ll be weak and bumpy. Not worth the paddle out.

Now, I’m going to point you to the only real standout in this whole forecast. Wednesday the 16th is the day. The morning has a 5ft NW swell with a 9-second period, and the wind is a clean cross-off. That’s a solid combo. The energy is moderate at 529, but the clean conditions will make it rideable. The real gem is Wednesday afternoon. The swell drops to 4ft from the NW, but the wind goes glassy. The combined energy is a bit lower at 497, but that glassy surface will make every wave feel like it has more push. It’s a reef break, so that NW swell with a short period is going to stand up a bit better than it would at a beach. For a dedicated surfer, that’s the session to target.

After that, we fade out. Thursday the 17th has a tiny 1ft SW swell in the morning, but the afternoon gets another glassy window with a clean 2ft SW swell that has a very long 21-second period. The energy is surprisingly high at 784 for that size, but it’s just too small to get excited about. The rest of the run is small and onshore, so don’t hold your breath.

Overall, it’s a tough 16 days. The forecast is much more reliable for the first week, but it’s mostly poor. The call for Wednesday the 16th is a long-range promise of a clean, fun session, but it’s not a lock. If you’re a local, you know the drill: wait for that glassy window and don’t bother with the rest.

Rusty.

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