Deadman's Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Right then, let’s get into it. The only show in town for the next 16 days is Deadman's, a reef break that’s inconsistent, so when it’s on, it’s a bit of a special event. The water is sitting at 54°, which is a bit colder than normal for this time of year, so you’ll want a decent suit.

The first few days are a mixed bag. Saturday the 1st kicks off with a clean-looking 4 ft NW swell, but it’s a short-period 8-second wave with a moderate cross-off breeze, so it’s not going to be anything special. The combined energy is weak (447). Sunday the 2nd sees the swell bump up to 7 ft from the NW, period still only 8 to 9 seconds, and the energy climbs to moderate (733) and then strong (1010) in the afternoon, but the wind stays cross-off and fresh. It’s a bit of a mess.

Now, Monday the 3rd is where it gets interesting. Early morning brings a solid 10 ft NW swell, but that’s too big for this break – the combined energy is a whopping 2256, very strong. That’s expert-only territory, and with a cross breeze, it’s not ideal. The real standout is Monday afternoon. The wind drops to glassy, and the swell settles to a much more manageable 7 ft from the NW, period 9 seconds. The energy is still strong (783), but the glassy conditions will make it look absolutely perfect. That’s the best session of the first week.

The rest of the week slips into a more consistent groove. Tuesday the 4th through Thursday the 7th sees a steady 5 ft to 5 ft NW swell, mostly with a 9-second period, and the energy stays moderate (455 to 563). The winds are light or glassy through most of the mornings and afternoons, offering clean conditions. Crowds are a real possibility at Deadman's, so get there early. Friday the 7th afternoon is particularly glassy, a real treat.

The second week starts to build again. Saturday the 8th brings a 6 ft NW swell, and Sunday the 9th afternoon is a beauty: 8 ft NW swell, 9 seconds, glassy wind, and a combined energy of 1236. That’s a strong, powerful wave for experienced surfers. Monday the 10th afternoon is also a cracker, with 8 ft NW swell, glassy, and very strong energy (1408). That’s another expert-only day.

The swell drops off mid-week, with Wednesday the 12th offering clean, glassy 5 ft to 6 ft NW swell, nice and fun. Then the pattern shifts. From Thursday the 13th onward, a long-period groundswell starts to appear from the SW. Thursday the 13th is small, 2 ft with a 16-second period, but the energy is still moderate (579). The real gem is Saturday the 15th morning: a 4 ft SSW swell with a very long 17-second period and glassy wind. The energy is strong (1223). That’s a long, clean, powerful groundswell – perfect for a reef like Deadman's, but that long period means it might feel a bit straight at times. Still, that’s the standout of the second week.

All in all, there’s surf on offer every day, but the two absolute standouts are Monday 3rd afternoon and Saturday 15th morning. The first is a classic NW swell with glass, the second is a beautiful long-period SSW groundswell. Get out there.

Rusty

Read more