Deadman's Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here, looking at the outlook for Deadman's.

Well, the next couple of weeks are looking pretty average for Deadman's. The swell energy is moderate, mostly hanging around the 400 to 800 range, so nothing to write home about. The water temp is about 57°, which is pretty much bang on normal for this time of year, so no surprises there.

The weekend kicks off small on Saturday, with a 2ft SSW swell with a solid 17-second period. That's a proper groundswell, long and lanky, but at that size there's not much push. Winds are cross, so it'll be a bit bumpy. That small, long-period swell (17 seconds) tends to straighten out at beach breaks, but it can wrap nicely into a reef setup like Deadman's, so there's potential for a sneaky wave on the right tide. The afternoon picks up to 6ft from the NW but with a short, weak 7-second period, and the wind goes cross-offshore, cleaning it up. Still, that short period won't give you much shape.

Sunday keeps the NW swell around 5-7ft, but it's a cross-shore mess with moderate wind and a short period. Monday and Tuesday are more of the same: moderate NW swell, cross winds, and just a bit of chop on the face. It's ridable but not special.

Now, here's where things get interesting. Thursday the 13th is a real standout. First light is looking glassy with a 5ft NW groundswell (9-second period) and a slight air. That's a clean wave. The afternoon holds the glass with 5ft from the NW. This is the pick of the early period. The combined swell energy is solid at 645, and with no wind to mess it up, Deadman's will be fat and clean. If you've got a free day, that's the one to chase. Crowds are often an issue here, so expect some company.

The following days drop off a bit. Friday the 14th morning is small and cloudy, but Friday afternoon sees a tiny 2ft SSW swell with a very long 19-second period and glassy conditions. That period is so long you'll be waiting a while between sets, but the ones that come through will be clean and lined up.

The second week is mixed. Swell stays small to moderate, mostly from the SSW with long periods (14-17 seconds), but the wind is mostly on or cross-on, so you'll be battling some bump. The standouts in the second week are the afternoon of Monday the 17th and the glassy moment on the 18th, with small 3-3ft SSW groundswell and a clean surface. It won't be big, but it'll be rideable.

Then on Wednesday the 19th, a pulse of WNW swell hits with 6ft and a solid 12-second period. The combined energy jumps to over 1000, giving the most push of the whole period. But the wind is a moderate 15 km/h cross-shore, putting a bit of texture on it. The afternoon is similar but with a stronger 25 km/h breeze. There's plenty of energy in the water here, but the chop will have you working for the good ones.

Overall, the best bet is Thursday the 13th for the glassy, clean NW groundswell. The second standout is the Friday the 14th afternoon for the glassy, long-period cleanup session, though it's tiny. If you're a local, you know how to work these conditions.

Rusty, signing off.

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