Deadman's Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's have a look at the outlook for Deadman's Reef. It's a reef break, exposed to the SW swell, and it's inconsistent, so don't expect it to be pumping all the time. The water temp is sitting at 55°, which is about normal for this time of year, nothing to write home about.

The next couple of weeks look pretty average for the most part, with a lot of marginal, poor surf on the cards. There's a decent gap of poor conditions here to start, with nothing really worth getting excited about until we get into the third week of July.

We start off with Thursday the 9th and Friday the 10th seeing some knee to waist high swell from the SSW, but the cross-shore winds are going to chop it up. The energy is there, moderate at best (1527 and 701), but it's not clean. Saturday the 11th is flat out poor, barely a ripple. Sunday the 12th has a bit of size, pushing 5ft to 6ft from the NW, but the period is a short 8 seconds, so it's weak and messy. Through the next week, from the 13th to the 18th, it's the same story: small, short-period windswell, cross-shore to cross-on winds, and questionable tides. Not worth the paddle.

Now, look, there is a bit of a glimmer on the horizon. It's a long way off, but Sunday the 19th of July has the potential to be a standout. The morning is a little iffy, but by Sunday afternoon we're looking at a glassy sea state with a light breeze from the WNW. The swell is only 3ft, but it's a long-period, 17-second groundswell from the SW. That's exactly what this reef wants. The energy is moderate (792), and the glassy conditions will make it silky smooth. It'll be a bit inconsistent, but the waves that come through will be super clean and have some push. The best part is, the crowds are likely to be there, but with this spot being inconsistent, it might just be a few of us in the know.

Then, coming into the following week, Tuesday the 21st of July is the real standout. The afternoon session is looking like the pick of the entire forecast. We've got a solid 6ft of SW groundswell, with a period of 14 seconds. The energy is strong (1324), and the wind is due to go glassy. For a reef break, that is the dream. The swell direction is a perfect match for the optimum. This is for experienced surfers for sure, as the size will be pushing it for beginners. It's the best on offer, no question.

So, to sum it up: the first two weeks are a washout. Get your gear ready for Sunday the 19th for a taste of clean, glassy waves, and circle Tuesday the 21st of July in your calendar for the best session of the stretch. The long-range stuff is promising, but always a bit less certain, so keep your fingers crossed.

Rusty.

Read more