Deadman's Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here, let’s talk about what’s on the horizon for Deadman's.

Right off the bat, the start of the period isn't looking too flash. The swell is small and the wind is cross-onshore, so we’re dealing with marginal, rippled conditions. Monday the 31st has some waist-high stuff, but nothing to write home about, and it fades further into Tuesday the 1st. Don’t bother paddling out just yet.

Wednesday the 2nd looks even rougher, with moderate onshore winds and dropping swell – a write-off. But then things change. On Thursday the 3rd, we get an interesting shift. The morning still has a bit of bump, but the afternoon turns glassy. The swell jumps to a clean 5 ft with a short period from the WNW, and the calm wind will make it look like a mirror. The combined energy is pumping at 839, and that glassy surface is a huge win. This is a standout session – get on it.

Friday the 4th is a mixed bag. The morning has a bigger 6 ft NW swell, but the cross-wind kills the quality. The afternoon gets messy with a strong NW breeze, so stick to the morning if you're desperate. Saturday the 5th and Sunday the 6th are more of the same: small, cross-onshore waves. But Sunday afternoon pulls another glassy moment, with a 3 ft SSW groundswell and a long period of 15 seconds. It’s small, but with no wind, it’ll be clean.

Monday the 7th is a write-off again until the afternoon, when another glassy window opens. A 6 ft NW swell with a short period and 637 energy – it's not world-class, but the calm wind makes it rideable.

Now, here’s where it gets serious. From Wednesday the 9th all the way through Friday the 11th, Deadman's lights up. The wind goes cross-offshore and clean, and the swell builds. Wednesday the 9th has 4 ft to 8 ft from the NW, with moderate energy (962 to 1312). That 8 ft on Wednesday afternoon is getting big – this is expert territory, well overhead. Thursday the 10th and Friday morning the 11th are the real deal: 7 ft to 8 ft NW swell, clean winds, and excellent conditions. The combined energy is up in the 1000-1500 range. For experienced surfers, that’s the best stretch in the whole window. Keep in mind, this spot is a reef, so it’s better suited to those who know the line-up.

After that peak, things fade. Friday afternoon the 11th drops back to a small 2 ft SW groundswell, and then we hit a gap from Saturday the 12th to Sunday the 13th with marginal, cross-onshore dribble. Monday the 14th sees a pulse of 8 ft NW swell, but the wind is cross-onshore, so the quality won’t match that early September run. Tuesday the 15th is small and onshore again. That’s the long and short of it.

The water temperature is sitting at 57°F, which is about average for the time of year – no surprises there. Crowds are often a thing at Deadman's, so if you’re heading out on that glassy afternoon Thursday the 3rd or in that epic window around the 10th, expect some company.

Bottom line: the best of the period is hands-down Thursday the 10th to Friday the 11th, with that clean, powerful NW swell. The glassy Thursday afternoon the 3rd and Sunday afternoon the 6th are decent fallbacks for smaller boards.

Stay salty.
Rusty.

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