Deadman's Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s coming our way.

We’re stuck in a bit of a flat spell at Deadman's for the next few days, and honestly, it’s not looking great. The first real window of opportunity doesn’t even open up until later in the period. There’s a long stretch of marginal surf ahead, with small swells, cross-chop, and barely a ripple worth paddling for. The wait is on.

Thursday the 27th and Friday the 28th of August are basically write-offs. Tiny, weak swell, cross-shore winds, and just poor conditions. Wave energy is low, around 373 and 563 respectively – nothing to get excited about. Saturday the 29th shows a bit more push, with a 4ft SSW swell and a very long 18-second period, and the afternoon cleans up with a cross-offshore breeze (19 mph). The energy jumps to 1160, but it’s still only a marginal call. For a reef break like Deadman's, that long period should mean some solid lines, but the quality is just not there.

The real standout, without a doubt, is Saturday the 5th of September. That afternoon, the wind drops to glassy – just dead calm – and we’ve got a clean 4ft SSW swell with a 16-second period. Combined energy is a solid 900. This is the moment the reef will start working. It’s not huge, but it’ll be clean, lined up, and the crowd potential is there (often crowded), so get in early. The water temp is about average for the time of year, nothing unusual.

Sunday the 6th of September is also a gem. Both the morning and afternoon look good, with that same 4ft SSW swell and glassy conditions in the afternoon. Energy is a touch lower at 747, but the glass-off will make it worth the paddle. The following Monday the 7th and Tuesday the 8th have some nice glassy windows too, though the swell starts to drop off a bit. By Tuesday the 8th afternoon, we’re back to a 2ft SW swell with a very long 19-second period, and glassy conditions – a proper little window of clean, long-period lines.

The second week is a bit more of a waiting game. The 9th, 10th, and 11th of September offer some small, clean-ish windows, but nothing that really jumps out. The energy is moderate, the winds are light, but the swell is inconsistent and small. If you’re desperate, you might get a few, but it’s not the main event.

So, to sum it up: the best bet is the afternoon of Saturday the 5th of September, and the glassy windows on Sunday the 6th and Tuesday the 8th. That’s the sweet spot. Everything else is just filling time.

Rusty.

Read more