Deadman's Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, listen up, crew. Rusty here with a look at what's on offer. We've only got one spot in the window, Deadman's, and it's a bit of a mixed bag. The water's sitting at 53°F, which is a bit colder than normal for this time of year, so you'll want a good thick wetsuit.

The first proper surf we see is kicking off Saturday afternoon, July 4th. It's not huge but it's clean. We're looking at a 5ft swell from the NW, period hanging around 7 seconds. The combined energy is moderate at 498. The key here is that wind is glassy, dead calm. That means Deadman's is going to be looking real smooth. It's a reef break, so that long-ish period is fine, and it's exposed to the SW, but we're getting NW swell, so it's a bit of a cross-up. Still, with zero wind, it'll be fun. Just a heads up, this spot can be inconsistent and crowds are often a thing, so get in early.

Sunday morning, the 5th, is actually a touch better. The swell drops slightly to 4ft from the NW, but the period bumps up to 8 seconds and the energy is a bit stronger at 593. Winds are still glassy. This is probably your pick of the first week. By Sunday afternoon, things change – the wind swings cross-shore and the swell drops off, so the quality fades.

From Monday the 6th through to Saturday the 11th, it's a long stretch of on-and-off marginal conditions. The swell sticks around knee to waist high mostly, with periods jumping around. There's a lot of cross-shore and cross-onshore wind, making it choppy. The combined energy spikes into the strong range, like 1030 and 1152 on the 6th and 7th, but the short period, SW swell with cross winds isn't doing Deadman's any favours. It's more of a messy paddle than a clean session.

Now, there is a bit of a pulse coming back around Sunday the 12th afternoon. The swell jumps to 5ft from the NW with a 10-second period. Energy is a solid 705. The wind is light and cross-shore, so it's not perfect, but there's some push there. After that, we hit a real quiet patch from the 13th to the 16th of July. The swell gets small, the wind is messy, and scores are poor. It's a barren run for nearly four days.

Things start looking more interesting again for the second week. On Thursday the 16th afternoon, we've got a 3ft swell from the WNW with a very long 19-second period, and combined energy of 1075 – that's strong. Wind is only a slight air, so it's glassy. That's a promising window for some proper lines, but it's a long way out, so keep your fingers crossed.

Then from Friday the 17th right through to Sunday the 19th, the swell builds back up. We're seeing consistent 5ft to 6ft waves from the NW, periods around 9-10 seconds, and strong energy readings over 1000. The wind stays cross-shore, mostly light to moderate. This is the standout run for the forecast. It's solid, consistent swell for Deadman's, and if that wind plays nice, it'll be the best week of the lot. But remember, at over 5ft, it's getting a bit much for beginners, and when it pushes past 8ft, that's expert territory – we're just under that here. Given this is a reef break, those longer period NW swells should set up nicely.

So, to wrap it up: your best bets are Sunday the 5th morning for a clean, smaller session, and then the long-range window from Thursday the 16th afternoon through the weekend of the 19th promises the most consistent size and energy. The rest is either too small, too windy, or just average.

Keep your eyes on the horizon, and as always, don't trust the forecast too much until you see it with your own eyes.

Rusty.

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