Deadman's Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s cookin’ for Deadman’s.

First up, this is a reef break, and it only breaks when the swell lines up right – it’s inconsistent. So we’re not starting with much. The first few days are a write-off. From Thursday, July 9th right through to the middle of the month, the combo of small, messy, cross-shore wind and marginal energy means the paddle out just isn’t worth it. The combined swell energy is weak to moderate at best, mostly sitting in the 400s to 500s (moderate wave energy), and the wind is a constant cross-breeze, not doing the face any favours.

The standout window opens up on Thursday, July 16th in the afternoon. That’s the real deal. The wind goes glassy, dead calm, and the swell jumps to 7ft from the NW, with a period of 9 seconds. The combined energy hits 1170 (strong wave energy). That’s a solid groundswell for the reef, and with offshore wind from the west, it’ll be clean. That said, 7ft is pushing into expert territory, so this one’s for the crew who know their way around a reef ledge. Don’t expect it to be empty – crowds are often here.

The next day, Friday, July 17th, morning is still decent with 7ft from the NW, but the wind is a light cross-on, so it won’t be as pristine. The afternoon glass-off returns with a very clean 3ft swell from the WNW, but the period is a long 17 seconds – that’s a proper groundswell. It’ll be clean and glassy, but the size is down. For a reef, that long period could mean the wave stands up nicely, but the sets will be spaced out.

By Sunday, July 19th, the afternoon glass-off is back with a tiny 3ft from the SSE but a very long 18-second period. The energy is solid (1261 – strong), and it’s glassy. Again, small but clean for the experienced crew.

The best call? That Thursday, July 16th afternoon glass-off with 7ft NW swell. It’s the standout. The Friday 17th afternoon is a close second for the glassy conditions, but the swell is smaller. The rest of the window is a mix of small, cross-wind conditions and not worth the drive unless you’re desperate for a long-period, clean, but tiny wave on the 19th.

Water temp is about average for the time of year, nothing unusual to report.

Rusty signing off.

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