Deadman's Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s take a look at what’s on the cards for the next couple of weeks.

First thing I gotta tell you: Deadman’s is a tricky stretch of reef. It’s got the right exposure, but it’s inconsistent and the crowds can be a problem. The water temp is sitting at 57°, which is about normal for this time of year, so nothing freaky there.

The swell is coming in from the SSW, but the winds are a bit of a mess. We’re looking at a cross-onshore breeze and a combined energy of 400 (moderate), but the surf is described as poor. Honestly, Thursday the 23rd isn’t worth paddling out for.

Moving into Friday the 24th, the swell picks up a bit of period, hitting 24 seconds, but the wind stays cross-onshore. The energy jumps to 655 (moderate) and then 1337 (strong) by the afternoon, but the reports are still marginal. The swell is small, only 3 ft, and it’s choppy. Not great.

Saturday the 25th and Sunday the 26th are more of the same. We’ve got a 4 ft SW swell with a 21 second period, but the wind is a gentle cross-onshore or cross-shore breeze. The energy is strong (1427 on Saturday morning), but the conditions are just fair to marginal. This is a long-period groundswell, which is better for a point or reef setup, but the wind is messing it up.

The highlight of the first week? It’s a tough call. I’d say Tuesday the 28th afternoon is the best bet. We get a clean, cross-offshore wind from the NNW at 19 mph, with a 4 ft SSW swell. The energy is strong (1262), and the wind is clean. That’s your window for a decent session at Deadman’s, but keep your expectations in check.

There’s a real lull from Wednesday the 29th through to the end of the month. The swell drops, the wind is messy, and the energy fades. It’s a proper gap with no real standouts.

Now, looking into the second week, things get interesting. On Sunday the 2nd of August, we’ve got a bigger 7 ft NW swell rolling in. The wind is cross-offshore and clean, and the energy is very strong at 1432. That’s a solid swell, but at 7 ft, it’s starting to get a bit big for beginners. The period is 9 seconds, so it’s a short-period wind swell, but the clean conditions will make it rideable.

The 4th of August sees a 8 ft NW swell with a 10-second period and an energy of 1350 (very strong). That’s expert territory. The wind is cross-shore, so it’s not perfect, but the size is there.

The real standout, though, is Thursday the 6th of August. The afternoon session is glassy. Glassy. That’s a rare treat. We’ve got a 5 ft NW swell with a 10-second period. The energy is moderate (535), but the wind is dead calm. The forecast says “expect very good surf conditions.” That is the session to circle on your calendar. It’s a bit of a wait, but promise is there.

For the rest of the second week, the swell stays around the 5 ft to 7 ft mark, but the wind is never as good as that Thursday afternoon. Treat Thursday 6th August as the one to chase.

Rusty.

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