Deadman's Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, grab your board. I’m Rusty, and I’ve been watching this one spot for the next couple of weeks. Let’s break it down.

First off, for the first few days, things are looking pretty average. The swell is there, but it’s small and mostly messy. The water temp is sitting at 56°, which is dead on average for this time of year, so no surprises there.

The first real chance to get wet is Monday the 20th, but it’s a weak one. Deadman’s is showing a 0.9m SW swell with a long 16-second period, but the wind is cross-on and the numbers are low. The combined energy is only 684 (moderate), and it’s just not worth paddling out for. Tuesday morning the 21st is similar, though by Tuesday afternoon there’s a little cross-off flow that cleans it up, but it’s only 0.7m SW. Nothing to write home about.

Wednesday morning the 22nd is the first real highlight in this first week. The wind goes glassy, dead calm, and the swell is a clean 1.0m from the S, with a moderate 11-second period. The combined energy is 460 (moderate), and it’s going to be smooth. For a small-wave day, this is your best bet early on. The crowd situation at Deadman’s? It can get busy, so expect company.

After that, we hit a bit of a lull. Thursday the 23rd and Friday the 24th are mostly cross-on and choppy, though Friday afternoon shows a big spike in energy: 1295 (strong), with a 0.9m SSW swell and a very long 24-second period. That’s groundswell, and it’s going to be lining up, but the wind is cross-shore. It’s more of a promise for later.

The weekend of the 25th and 26th brings more consistent SSW swell, with heights around 1.0m to 1.2m and periods in the 19 to 21-second range. The combined energy is strong (1243 to 1649), but the wind is mostly cross or cross-off, so it’s not perfect. Still, there’s enough push to get some fun ones, especially for a confident surfer.

Now, the real standout comes on Wednesday the 29th. The morning session is your pick: a 1.0m SSW swell, 16-second period, 1251 (strong) energy, and clean cross-off wind from the NNW at 25 km/h. It’s not a huge wave, but the quality is there. The afternoon shows a jump to 2.2m NW, but the period drops to only 8 seconds, so it’s a short-period wind swell, which can be a bit lumpy. That 2.2m is pushing into expert territory anyway.

The absolute best of the whole run, though, is waiting for the first weekend of August. On Saturday the 1st of August, the afternoon goes glassy, dead calm, with a 1.6m NW swell. The period is short at 7 seconds, but the combined energy is 608 (moderate), and the conditions are described as “very good.” That’s a clean, fun-sized wave. Then Sunday the 2nd shows a 2.0m NW swell, still glassy winds on the afternoon, and the energy climbs to 759 (moderate). But that 2.0m is getting bigger, and with a 7-second period, it’s more of a short-period beach break push. It’s for the stronger paddlers.

Finally, on Tuesday the 4th of August, the afternoon session is another glassy gem: 2.0m NW swell, but this time with a 10-second period, and the combined energy is 845 (moderate). The conditions are “very good” again. That’s a solid, clean wave. If you can make it out there, that’s the one to aim for. But remember, it’s over 2.0m, so it’s for the experienced crew.

So, here’s the short version: the first week is small and average, with Wednesday the 22nd being the best of the early days. The whole second week is where it gets interesting, with a handful of good sessions, but the glassy, clean afternoons on Saturday the 1st and Tuesday the 4th of August are your true standouts. Keep an eye on the forecast, because the long-range stuff can change, but right now, those dates have the most promise.

Rusty.

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