Deadman's Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, this is Rusty. Let’s have a look at what’s cookin’.

Honestly, the next 16 days look pretty flat and frustrating for our region. There’s a long dry spell from the start all the way through to the end of the third week of September. From the 10th to the 12th, you’ll see some small, long-period swell from the southwest, but the wind is messy and the energy is just too weak to get excited about. The real issue is that after the 13th, the swell switches to a short, choppy northwest windswell, and the scores are just honestly not there. The best I can say is that Thursday the 10th afternoon has a moment: Deadman’s gets a clean 1.0m (3ft) from the southwest, with 17-second period and glassy conditions. The combined energy is moderate (860), but the wave quality is still just marginal due to the tide. That’s your only real window this week.

The weekend of the 13th and 14th sees the swell bump up to 5ft to 7ft from the northwest, but the period drops to 8-9 seconds, so it’s weak, crumbly windswell. The wind is mostly cross or cross-off, but the energy is moderate and the surf is just bumpy. It’s honestly not worth suiting up for unless you’re desperate. After that, the swell fades hard into the 16th and 17th, with a tiny 1ft to 2ft southwest groundswell with a very long period (16-21 seconds) but the wind is onshore or glassy. Thursday the 17th afternoon has a glassy, 2ft south-southwest swell with moderate energy (433), but it’s tiny.

The entire second week, from the 18th through the 25th, is a write-off. The swell is 2ft to 4ft at best, with periods that are either short or long, but the wind is consistently cross-on or cross-off with a chop. The combined energy is weak to moderate (302 to 714), but the scores are all 0-2 out of 10. Friday the 25th morning has a 4ft northwest windswell, but it’s onshore and small. There’s no standout, no real window of clean, rideable surf.

Deadman’s is a reef break that’s exposed to the southwest, which is good for the direction, but it’s inconsistent, and crowds are often an issue. The water temperature is about average for the time of year, nothing unusual. The only real positive is that the swell direction is from the southwest, which is the optimum for this spot, but the size and energy just aren’t there.

To be honest, this is a long, blank run. It’s not unusual for this area to get a quiet spell like this. If you’re a kite surfer, the 5ft to 7ft windswell on the 13th-14th with that fresh cross-off wind might look interesting, but for paddle surfing, it’s a hard pass. Hang tight, the forecasts can change.

Rusty.

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