Deadman's Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. Let’s be straight with you—this stretch is a tough one for most of the window. The only real action we’ve got is a couple of windows that are worth paddling out for, and the rest is a whole lot of nothing much. I’m talking about Deadman’s, a reef break that’s exposed to the southwest, and it’s inconsistent, so when it does decide to show up, you need to be on it.

The water’s sitting around average for this time of year, so no surprises there. Let’s get into it.

The first week is grim. From Thursday the 20th through to Saturday the 22nd, we’ve got small, weak swell—nothing over 2.6ft—with cross-onshore winds making it messier than a teenager’s bedroom. Energy is weak, sitting in the 150 to 530 range, and it’s just not worth the hassle. The whole weekend is much the same, with a slight bump on Sunday afternoon when the wind drops to glassy and the swell picks up to 4.6ft from the northwest, but the period is a short 8 seconds. It’s clean, but it’s not going to be pretty. A poor excuse for a wave, honestly.

Monday and Tuesday are more of the same—small, weak, and mostly messy. We’re looking at 2ft surf with light onshore breezes. Not even worth checking. Wednesday the 26th gets a bit of a kick with 5.2ft from the northwest, but the wind is howling at 18.6 mph, and it’s a cross-off, so it’s clean but blown out and unruly. That’s not your day either.

Now, here’s the first real standout. Friday the 28th morning. The swell jumps to 6.9ft from the northwest with a short 8-second period, but the energy is strong—1230. It’s a cross-shore breeze, so it’ll be a bit lumpy, but for the experienced crew, there’s some power to play with. This is a step up from the dribble we’ve had all week. Still, it’s a beach and reef setup, so with that size and shorter period, it could be closing out. Keep an eye on it, but don’t expect perfection.

The weekend after that, the 29th and 30th, is a letdown again. Swell backs off to 3.3-3.6ft, but the wind is up at 12.4-18.6 mph, making it cross and choppy. Not worth your time.

The second week gets interesting, but it’s a long way off so treat it as promising but not locked in. On Tuesday, September 1st, we’ve got small stuff, but then Wednesday morning, September 2nd, is the true gem. The wind goes completely glassy, and we get a clean 4.9ft swell from the west with a 9-second period. Energy is moderate at 625, but that glassy ocean is going to make it silky. This is your best bet of the whole window. It’s not huge, but it’ll be clean and fun.

The Thursday after, September 3rd, has a bit of size at 4.6ft, but the wind is up again, so it’s less appealing. And Friday the 4th, the final day, we’ve got 5.2ft from the northwest, but energy is strong at 987, yet the cross-shore wind will make it messy.

So, bottom line: The first ten days are mostly a write-off. Your window is the morning of Friday the 28th for the bigger, more powerful stuff, and then definitely Wednesday morning, September 2nd, for the cleanest conditions. Get out there then, because it doesn’t look like we’ll get much else.

Catch you in the water.

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