Deadman's Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s break down what’s coming for the next couple of weeks.

We’re talking about Deadman’s, a reef break that’s inconsistent and can get a bit crowded. It’s open to the swell, and the water temp is sitting at 59°F, which is about 1°F above normal for this time of year – nothing crazy, just a little warmer than usual.

The forecast starts off slow. Monday afternoon, the 7th of September, we’ve got a small 3ft swell from the SSE with a 13-second period (moderate wave energy at 566). The wind is a light cross-shore, so it’s not terrible, but it’s not clean. The best of the early run is Wednesday afternoon, the 9th of September. That’s where we get a glassy, clean session with 2ft of swell from the SW. The period jumps to a very long 19 seconds, which is proper groundswell energy. The combined energy is 519 (moderate). This is a real standout for the first week – that glassy surface and long period will make for some smooth, lined-up waves. The caveat is that long period at a reef can make it a bit more tricky, but for a surfer who knows the spot, it’s a treat.

Thursday the 10th of September morning and afternoon picks up a bit more size, 3ft to 3ft from the SW, with a 17-second period. Energy builds to 729 and then 898 (moderate). The wind stays light and cross-shore, so it’s not glassy, but it’s workable. Friday the 11th keeps the 3ft swell from the SW, but the wind picks up to a gentle breeze, creating a bit of cross-chop. It’s still surfable, but less clean.

The weekend of the 12th and 13th of September gets a bit sloppy. Saturday morning has 3ft swell but moderate wind and cross-chop. By Saturday afternoon, the wind is up to 16 mph, and the swell jumps to 4ft from the NW with a short 10-second period. That’s poor surf, a real mess. Sunday drops back to 2ft and 2ft, but the wind is still up, and the energy drops to 324 and 294 (weak). Not worth paddling out.

The middle of the second week, around the 14th and 15th of September, stays marginal. There’s some energy from NW swells, but the wind is moderate and the periods are mixed. The morning of the 16th of September has a tiny 1ft swell from the SSW with a 19-second period, but the wind is light and offshore. That’s a long period, but the size is just too small to get excited about.

The real standout for the second half of the window is Thursday afternoon, the 17th of September. We’ve got glassy conditions, a 1ft swell from the SW, and a very long 21-second period. The combined energy is 366 (weak to moderate). It’s small, but that glassy surface and those long-period lines will make for some delicate, clean waves. It’s a more refined session, not for the crowd-chaser.

Friday the 18th of September brings a bit more size, 2ft from the SW with a 19-second period, and light cross-shore winds. The energy is back up to 523 (moderate). It’s a solid option, but not as clean as Thursday. The final weekend, the 20th and 21st of September, keeps the 3ft to 3ft SW swell with moderate energy, but the wind is a bit stronger, so expect some chop.

Overall, the best bet for the first week is Wednesday afternoon, the 9th of September – glassy and long period. For the second week, keep an eye on Thursday afternoon, the 17th of September, for that glassy, small-but-clean session. The forecast is a bit up and down, but those two windows are your clear winners.

Rusty.

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