Deadman's Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s break it down.

First up, we’re looking at Deadman’s. This is a reef break that doesn’t fire all that often, so when it does, you pay attention. Right now, the water temperature is sitting pretty average for this time of year, nothing wild to report on that front.

The whole 16-day window is pretty patchy, and honestly, there’s a lot of marginal stuff in the mix. We’ve got a big gap of mediocrity from the start all the way through the end of the second week. The first real standout doesn’t show up until Thursday the 24th of July, and it’s worth the wait.

For Friday the 11th and Saturday the 12th, the swell is small and the wind is mostly cross or cross-off, so it’s not going to be special. You’ll have a few small waves in the 3ft to 5ft range, but the energy is moderate at best (434 to 661). The wind is messy enough that the surface won’t be the cleanest. Not the time to call in sick.

Then we hit a long stretch from Sunday the 13th through to Wednesday the 23rd of July where it’s mostly poor to marginal. Swell bumps up now and then to 6ft or 7ft, but it’s mostly short-period windswell (6 to 9 seconds), coming from the NW, with cross-shore winds. The energy sits between moderate and moderate-high (273 to 979), but the quality is never quite there. A lot of these days are just “meh” – you might get a couple of rides, but you won’t remember them.

Now, here comes the highlight. Hang on for Thursday the 24th of July. Early morning, we’ve got dead calm winds – glassy as it gets – with a 5ft NW swell that has a short period (7 seconds), but the energy is moderate (359). The really good news is the wind stays glassy into the afternoon, with the swell building to 6ft and the energy climbing to 498. That afternoon session should be clean and fun, with a bit more push.

But the true standout is Saturday the 25th of July. Early morning, we’re looking at 6ft of NW swell, period picking up to 8 seconds, and the energy is solid (626). The wind is glassy – just a slight air from the WNW. This is the best window we’ve got. The break faces SW and the swell is coming from the NW, so it’s not a perfect match on direction, but with these glassy conditions and a decent sized swell, Deadman’s should be offering up some clean, rideable waves. Just remember, this break is inconsistent, so it’s a treat when it lines up. It can get crowded, so bring your patience.

After that, the window drops off again. Monday the 21st and Tuesday the 22nd of July are back to small 3ft SSW swells with cross winds. Not much to get excited about.

So, if you’re looking for the one day to paddle out, circle Saturday the 25th of July. Thursday the 24th is a solid backup, but Saturday is the one.

Rusty.

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