Deadman's Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G'day, I'm Rusty. Let's have a look at what's coming up for Deadman's, a reef break that's exposed to the south-west.

Alright, it's a bit of a slow start here. For the first few days, we're looking at mostly poor to marginal conditions. Through Wednesday the 2nd and into Thursday the 3rd, the wind is a problem – it's blowing cross-on or cross, and the swell is small and messy. The combined energy is weak to moderate (442 to 1128), but the periods are long, which is a good sign for a reef, but the wind is ruining it. It's not worth paddling out.

Now, here's where it gets interesting. The real standout is the afternoon of Wednesday the 9th of September. That's the one to circle on the calendar. The wind goes glassy, and the swell is a clean 2 ft out of the south-west with a very long period of 19 seconds. The combined energy is moderate (543), and the conditions are described as "expect very good surf conditions." For a reef break like Deadman's, that long-period groundswell will wrap in and offer some really nice, lined-up waves. The water temperature is about average for the time of year, so no surprises there. It's a quiet spot, though – it's inconsistent, so don't expect a wave every minute, but when it comes, it'll be a gem. Crowds are likely, so get in early.

The next real highlight comes a bit later, on Monday the 14th of September. The afternoon session is looking unreal. The wind goes glassy again, and we've got a solid 7 ft swell from the north-west with a short period of 8 seconds. The combined energy is strong (823), and it's marked as "expect very good surf conditions." That size is getting into expert territory, especially for a reef. The short period means it'll be a bit more walled up, but the glassy wind will make it absolutely dreamy. Tuesday the 15th also looks promising, with a clean, cross-off wind and a 7 ft to 7 ft north-west swell. The combined energy is very strong (1062 to 1038), and the conditions are described as "excellent surf conditions for experienced surfers." That's a big call, but if you're comfortable on a bigger reef wave, that Tuesday afternoon could be the best session of the run.

For the rest of the period, there are a few other marginal windows, like Thursday morning the 4th with a 3 ft SSW swell and light offshore wind, but it's only a 3 out of 10, and the conditions are unknown. The wind on Friday the 11th turns cross-on and choppy, so that's a no-go. The swell stays around 3 ft to 5 ft, but the wind never really cleans up properly until those standout days.

So, to sum it up: the best bets are Wednesday afternoon the 9th for a mellow, glassy session on a long-period south-west swell, and Monday the 14th afternoon for the bigger, cleaner north-west swell. The 15th is also a ripper for the experienced crew. The first week is a write-off, so be patient. Keep an eye on the long-range stuff – it's promising, but a bit less certain. Remember, Deadman's is inconsistent, so when it's good, it's worth the wait.

Rusty.

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