Deadman's Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, listen up. The next couple of weeks are a mixed bag, and it’s gonna take a bit of patience to find the windows. We’ve got a slow start, but there are a couple of proper moments if you’re willing to wait it out.

The first day or so is pretty flat and messy. Thursday morning has a touch of swell, but it’s crossed-up and weak, not worth getting wet for. The water’s sitting at 56°, which is about normal for this time of year, so no surprises there.

Friday morning is still junky, but check out Friday arvo. The wind drops right out to glass, and there’s a long-period SSW groundswell starting to show. It’s small, around 1ft, but clean as a whistle. The energy is still weak (329), but for a wave count, it’s a fun little window if you’re desperate for a slide.

The weekend is a write-off. Saturday morning is bumpy, and Saturday afternoon sees the swell jump to 6ft, but it’s short-period NW windswell (7 seconds) with a cross-off breeze. It’ll be lumpy and hard work. Sunday pushes up to 8ft, but it’s still short-period and crossed-up, so it’s not gonna be pretty. The energy is getting stronger (961), but the quality just isn’t there.

Now, Monday arvo is where it starts to turn. The swell drops back to 6ft, but the period stretches out to 9 seconds, and the wind goes glassy. That’s a proper window. The energy is solid (817), and Deadman’s (Big Island) is your best bet. It’s a reef, so it’ll handle that long-period swell better than a beachie. It’s inconsistent, so you’ll be waiting for sets, but the clean ones will be worth it.

Tuesday and Wednesday are rideable, but the cross-shore wind keeps it from being great. The swell stays around 6-7ft, but it’s not the same as that Monday glass-off.

The next standout is Thursday the 13th arvo. The swell drops to 5ft, but the wind goes glassy again. Expect very good conditions. It’s another clean one, and the energy is still moderate (533). After that, the week is mostly onshore slop, with a bit of a SSW pulse coming in over the weekend. Saturday the 15th and Sunday the 16th have some size but are onshore, which is frustrating.

Then, look at Monday morning the 17th. There’s a bit of rain around, but the wind is offshore (ESE) and the swell is a clean 3ft SSW with a 15-second period. That’s your call. It’s clean, glassy, and the energy is moderate (515). This is the other standout.

Tuesday the 18th morning is also glassy with a similar size and period, but it’s a touch smaller. The swell then fades out toward the end of the window, with the 20th and 21st showing a drop back to smaller, less organized conditions.

So, the best on offer is that Monday afternoon the 10th, and that Monday morning the 17th. Both are small-ish but clean, with good period and light winds. The rest is a case of picking through the junk.

Rusty.

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