Deadman's Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s break down what’s on the menu for Deadman's over the next couple of weeks. It’s a tale of two halves, with a slow, grovelly start and then a proper pulse of energy rolling in later.

The first few days are pretty quiet. We're looking at small, weak surf, only around 2 to 3 feet on Friday and Saturday. The swell energy is weak to moderate, with readings hanging around 394-690, and that southwest groundswell isn't doing much. It’s a reef setup, inconsistent, and with a cross-onshore breeze it’s going to be a bit of a messy, choppy affair. Not worth getting too excited about, honestly.

Sunday afternoon sees a bit of a push, with the swell jumping to around 5 feet but the period dropping to 9 seconds, while the wind swings cross-offshore and clean. It’s still a bit jumbled, and the energy is middling (606 in the combined energy reading). It might offer a couple of corners, but there are better windows ahead.

The middle of the week stays on the small side, but Tuesday afternoon looks like the first real chance. The swell is a touch under 6 feet from the northwest, and we get a light cross-offshore breeze, leaving it clean. Combined energy is moderate at 629. It’s not giant, but it might be the pick of a pretty average bunch. Water temp is 59°, which is about normal for this time of year, so no wetsuit drama.

Then things go quiet again into the following weekend, with waves dropping back to 2 feet. The energy fades, and it’s mostly marginal. A lot of small, weak swell with light cross-onshore winds, so think soft shoulders and gutless walls. You'll be fighting for it, and there's plenty of time between sets.

We get another little bump around the 23rd, as a new northwest swell fills in. It looks okay, not amazing, but the Wednesday morning session is showing around 6 feet of swell with moderate energy (806) and a clean cross-offshore breeze. This is promising. The wind stays favorable into the afternoon, and we see the swell push up to nearly 7 feet. The period is a short 9 seconds, so it might be a bit crumbly, but there’s some push to it.

The real standout, though, is shaping up for Thursday the 24th. The swell is still a solid 5-6 feet from the northwest, but the period stretches out to 10 seconds. More importantly, the wind will go completely glassy in the afternoon, with a combined energy of 747. This is where Deadman's should really light up. Clean, lined-up, and with that long-period groundswell, it’ll be the best the break has looked in the whole run. It’s going to be a proper reef wave, and the crowds will be out for it.

There’s one more little pulse of energy arriving on the 26th, with a 4-5 foot swell and a much longer 15-second period. That long-period groundswell brings real power, and with glassy conditions in the afternoon, it could be excellent surf for the experienced crew. The combined energy hits 1158, which is the strongest reading of the whole period. Just keep in mind that a long period like that can sometimes make beach breaks close out, but on a reef like this, it should just make the walls stand up perfectly.

So, to sum it up: the start is slow and grovelly, but there’s a couple of decent windows, and the standout days look like Thursday the 24th and Saturday the 26th. Don’t sleep on them.

Rusty out.

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