Deadman's Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what Deadman's has in store for us over the next couple of weeks. It's going to be a bit of a mixed bag, and I gotta say, it's not the most inspiring outlook I've seen.

The overall pattern is one of persistent, choppy cross-shore wind. We're dealing with a reef break that's pretty exposed, but it's inconsistent and rarely gets its act together properly. The forecast starts off on the weaker side and doesn't really offer any solid, clean surf until we get further down the line. There's a stretch of poor to marginal conditions for the first week, so if you're looking to get wet right now, you might want to keep your expectations low.

Let's break it down. The first bit of surf is on Friday, July 11th. The morning's a write-off, but Saturday afternoon (July 11th) shows a little flicker of life. We've got a 3 ft SSW swell, and a nicer cross-offshore wind from the NNW at 12 mph that should clean it up a bit. But at that size and with inconsistent waves, it's not something to get excited about. The combined swell energy is moderate (429).

The whole first week is dominated by that pesky NW cross-shore wind. Swell sizes bounce around between 2 ft and 6 ft, but the wind just messes it up. The water temperature is sitting right around average for the time of year at 55°F.

The Standout Window
Alright, here's where we finally get something worth talking about. The real highlight of the entire forecast comes on Monday, July 20th. That afternoon, everything lines up. We're looking at glassy conditions, with a whisper of a WNW breeze at 3 mph. There's a clean 3 ft SW swell rolling in with a very long period of 16 seconds. This is a proper groundswell, and at a reef like Deadman's, that long period should translate into some beautifully shaped, lined-up waves. The energy is moderate (611), and with glass, it'll be as clean as it gets. This is unquestionably the best bet on offer.

Tuesday, July 21st afternoon also has some potential with similar glassy conditions (NW 3 mph) and a 3 ft SSW swell (15-second period). A solid backup option.

The Second Week & Later
Looking further out, there's another potential highlight on Thursday, July 23rd afternoon. Again, we get a glassy setup with light westerly winds, and this time a bigger 7 ft NW swell. That's getting up there in size – solid for intermediate surfers, but for a beginner that's a lot of water moving around. The combined swell energy is strong (865). It's promising, but it's far out so take it with a pinch of salt. The period is only 9 seconds, so it won't have the same grunt as the longer period stuff.

The rest of the second week looks like a return to that cross-shore chop, with moderate NW winds spoiling the party on bigger, jumbled swells. Kite surfers might actually have a better time on those days with the consistent side-wind and decent swell size.

So, bottom line: if you have to pick a day, make it the 20th of July. That's where the magic might happen. Otherwise, you're mostly looking at a chop-fest.

Rusty.

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