Cottons Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. Look, I’m not gonna sugarcoat it – this 16-day window for Cottons Point is a bit of a tough watch. We’ve got a solid groundswell hanging around for the first five days, but the quality is being held back by marginal conditions and tide issues. The real standout is the first day, Monday the 27th of July, and after that, we’re looking at a long, drawn-out taper into flat, poor surf from the 2nd of August onwards. It’s a classic case of a slow fade.

The pick of the whole run is hands down Monday morning, July 27th, at Cottons Point. We’ve got a clean 4ft swell rolling in from the SSW, with a very long period of 18 seconds – that’s proper groundswell energy. The combined energy is strong at 1126, and with a light offshore breeze from the SW, the waves will be glassy and clean. For a reef and point break, that long period means powerful, well-shaped lines that will hold up nicely. The water is sitting at 71°, which is much warmer than usual for this time of year – a solid 5° above average, so you’ll be in shorts and a spring suit at most. Crowds are a possibility here, so get in early.

Monday afternoon keeps the 18-second period, though the swell drops a touch to 4ft. The wind stays offshore, so it’s still worth a paddle, but the energy drops to 963 – still moderate, but not the peak.

Tuesday the 28th and Wednesday the 29th see the same 4ft to 4ft range, but the wind turns cross-onshore, introducing small ripples and chop. The energy is still moderate (1066 down to 867), but the clean morning windows are gone. Thursday the 30th is a little better with light offshore winds again, but the swell is dropping and the period is shortening.

Friday the 31st of July sees a bump in size to 5ft in the morning, but the period drops to 13 seconds and the wind is cross-onshore. That’s a bit of a messy mix, and the energy is still moderate at 907. It’s not the cleanest offering.

From Saturday the 1st of August onward, the swell drops off a cliff. By Sunday the 2nd, we’re down to 2ft with poor surf conditions, and that flat spell stretches all the way through to the 11th of August. There’s a tiny flicker of life on the 7th and 8th with some 2ft to 3ft SSW swell, but the periods are long and the energy is low – nothing to get excited about.

So, bottom line: Monday morning, July 27th, is your only real standout. After that, it’s a slow fade into a long, flat run. Keep your eyes on the forecast, but for now, that’s your lot.

Rusty.

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