Cottons Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s cookin’ over the next couple of weeks.

Right off the bat, I gotta be straight with you – the start of this forecast is a bit of a flat spell. The first real surf worth paddling out for isn't until Thursday morning the 2nd of July at Cottons Point (reef and point). It’s not a cracker, but it’s our first chance. The water is sitting at a very warm 69°, which is over two degrees warmer than what we’d normally expect for this time of year – that’s a real standout for the region.

Thursday morning brings a clean 3ft SSW groundswell with a long 16-second period. The combined energy is moderate at 378, and with a light WSW offshore breeze of 6 mph, that offshore wind will have those lines looking tidy. It’s a marginal call with tide likely playing games, but if you hit that window, it’s the pick of the first few days.

From Thursday afternoon right through Saturday the 4th of July, the wind swings cross-on and the conditions just get messy – the combined energy picks up a bit but the surface gets chopped up and the quality drops right off. Not worth your time.

Sunday the 5th of July morning has another brief window with a glassy 3ft, 18-second groundswell and an offshore breeze again – combined energy up to 517 (moderate). But it’s still marked marginal, probably a tide issue. It’s the next best moment before the wait continues.

Monday the 6th and Tuesday the 7th of July both have morning offshores, and Tuesday afternoon actually sees the swell nudge up to 3ft with a steady 18-second period from the SSW, combined energy hitting 881 – that’s the strongest energy in the whole run. But again, it’s flagged as marginal. If you can read the banks and the tide, Tuesday arvo might surprise you.

Wednesday the 8th of July morning is another similar setup: 4ft, 16-second SSW swell with light offshore SW winds, 6 mph, and combined energy at 848. The wave height is starting to push toward that intermediate zone, but the quality is still uncertain due to tide. This is likely the best looking morning of the first week.

After that, from Thursday the 9th through to the end of the second week, the surf slowly winds down. There are no real standouts. Most days are a mix of weak cross-on breezes and dropping swell – by the 14th of July the swell dips below 2ft, and the combined energy drops into the low 200s. The 15th and 16th of July see the swell shrinking to 1ft – barely a ripple. The 17th of July has a brief pulse of long-period energy (19 seconds) and combined energy of 282, but it’s small and cross-on.

Honest truth: the best window is the first Tuesday to Wednesday, 7th and 8th of July – if you can dodge the tide. After that, it’s a waiting game. The area doesn’t stay flat for long usually, so keep an eye on it.

Stay frothy.
Rusty.

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