Cottons Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, I’m Rusty, and I’ve been looking at what’s ahead for Cottons Point. I’ll be straight with you—this outlook is a tough one. The next two weeks offer very little to get excited about, with a long stretch of days where the surf just isn’t cooperating. Let’s break it down.

Right now, through early August, the swell is small and the wind is mostly cross-on, keeping things messy. On Thursday the 6th, we’ve got a tiny 2ft SSW swell with a 13-second period, but the cross-on breeze from the WSW at 6 mph chops it up. The combined wave energy is weak (203), and the water is sitting at a super warm 76°, which is much warmer than normal for this time of year. It’s just not worth paddling out.

Moving into Friday the 7th and through the weekend, the swell nudges up a little—2ft to 3ft from the SSW, with periods jumping to 17-19 seconds. That’s a long-period groundswell, which would normally be promising for a reef and point break like Cottons Point, but the wind stays cross-on or onshore, keeping the surface ugly. The combined energy is moderate (326-449), but with poor surf conditions flagged every day, it’s all a no-go.

The following week, from Monday the 10th to Thursday the 13th, the swell stays small, between 2ft and 3ft, with mainly onshore winds from the SW. The energy is moderate (257-463), but there’s just no quality. A couple of afternoons, like Tuesday the 11th, get a “marginal” nod, but it’s not enough to get excited about.

There’s a brief glimmer on Friday the 14th and Saturday the 15th, where the swell builds to 2ft-4ft from the SSW, with periods around 16-18 seconds and combined energy climbing into the strong range (546-756). The wind is still cross-on from the WSW to W at 9 mph, so it’s bumpy, but the energy is there. For a point break, that long-period swell might offer some shape, but the offshore wind isn’t happening. These days are marked as “marginal” at best.

After that, from Sunday the 16th onward, it’s back to tiny 2ft-3ft SSW swells with onshore or cross-on winds and poor surf conditions. The only bright spot? The water temperature remains way above average, so if you’re just floating around, it’s nice.

There’s no standout day in this 16-day window. The best chance for a paddle is maybe Friday the 14th or Saturday the 15th, with that bigger swell energy, but the wind kills it. For a consistent, generally fishable spot like Cottons Point, this blank run is a bit of a bummer, but it happens. Forecasts can change, so keep an eye out.

Stay patient, and I’ll be here when it turns on.

Rusty

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