Cottons Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, surfers, Rusty here. Let’s be honest with you right off the bat: the next couple of weeks are looking pretty grim for any real waves at our main spot, Cottons Point. We’ve got a long, flat spell ahead before anything worth paddling out for shows its face. I’ll walk you through it, day by day, so you know when to bother waxing up and when to just go for a swim.

The first real glimmer of hope is on Saturday the 15th. It’s not much – a modest 3.9ft SSW groundswell with a long 16-second period. We’ve got light cross-on wind, but the strongest energy here is weak to moderate, registering at 774. It’s going to be a bit crumbly and choppy, not the cleanest surface. It’s just not enough to get excited about.

Sunday the 16th sees the swell drop to 3.3ft. The morning is cleaner with a light breeze, but the energy is weaker at 526, and the afternoon turns choppy with the wind picking up to 12 mph. The following week, from Monday the 17th all the way through Sunday the 23rd, is a real downer. Swell heights barely push past 3ft, and the periods hover in that mid-range. We’re looking at weak energy with numbers only in the 200s and 300s. It’s gutless and crumbly, with plenty of poor conditions. You’re better off finding something else to do.

We get a slight reprieve on Sunday the 23rd with a touch more energy (287), but the waves are just as small, and a cross-offshore wind on Monday the 24th brings a little bit of structure to a 2ft swell, though it's still marginal at best. The energy is still weak at 345.

Now, here’s where I start to perk up. Looking at the tail end of the window, around Friday the 28th and Saturday the 29th, there’s a pulse of stronger energy. On the 28th afternoon, the swell bumps up to 4.3ft from the SSW with a solid 16-second period, and the combined energy jumps to a strong 1044. This is the most significant push we’ve seen all window. It’s a bit more promising, but the winds are still cross-onshore, so expect some chop on the surface. The peak of this pulse looks like Saturday morning the 29th, with a 3.6ft SSW swell at an 18-second period and strong energy at 972. This could be the best we get. It’s still just a "marginal" forecast, so I wouldn’t call it epic, but it’s the only time with any real push behind it. The water right now is a very unusual 73.6°, running a full 5.9° warmer than average for this time of year, so a wetsuit might not even be needed.

So, for the honest truth: there are no standouts in this 16-day outlook. The best on offer is that push on the 28th and 29th, but it’s still likely to be a choppy and inconsistent affair. For the rest of the time, we’re mostly waiting for that long-period groundswell to fill in and hoping the wind gods cooperate. It’s looking like a lot of groveling and waiting. Forecasts change though, and with a period that long, there’s always a chance things could clean up. Keep your eyes on the horizon.

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