Cottons Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s talk about what’s on the table at Cottons Point over the next couple of weeks.

Honestly, lookin' at this outlook, there’s no proper standout on offer. The whole sixteen-day window is a bit of a struggle. We start off weak and never really get a good clean swing at it. The first few days from Monday July 6th onward are in the “marginal” bin with small southwest swell and the wind not doing us any favours. The water temp is about 68°, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year.

There’s a bit of energy around Tuesday and Wednesday, with swell heights around 4ft and a nice long period (16-18 seconds), which means there’s some proper groundswell in the water (combined energy hitting the 800-880 range). That’s got a bit of push, but here’s the thing – a long period swell like that at a point and reef break like Cottons Point can line up nicely. However, the wind is either cross-on or onshore for nearly every session, so the surface will be messy. Tuesday morning might be your best shot with a light offshore SW wind at 6 mph and a 4ft swell from the SSW, but it still gets flagged as marginal, so keep expectations in check.

After that first week, the swell drops right off. From July 14th onwards we’re seeing tiny 1ft to 2ft waves, and the combined energy sinks below 300, which is weak. There are long gaps of several days where conditions are just poor or marginal. A few mornings around July 15th and 16th have light offshore winds on tiny swell, but it’s barely enough to get excited about. On July 18th, a bit more size pops up (3ft from the SW with 18 seconds) but with a stiff cross-onshore wind, it’s choppy and messy.

If you’re determined to get wet, aim for Tuesday morning July 7th, when the wind is offshore and the swell is 4ft from the SSW at 18 seconds – that’s the best of a pretty average bunch. But don’t expect perfection. Crowds are possible here sometimes, so if the forecast holds, you might have company. Still, for the most part, this is a kite-surfing setup with all that cross-onshore wind and small, choppy surf.

Rusty.

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