Cabo Roche Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Right, I’ve had a good look at what’s coming our way for the next couple of weeks, and I’ve got to be straight with you – it’s a quiet spell for this stretch. We’re talking about Cabo Roche, and honestly, the surf is mostly tiny and weak for the majority of the 16-day window. There’s a real gap of surfable waves from the start, right through until the very beginning of September. The first time we might see something with a pulse is on the 8th of September, and even that is a long way off.

Let’s break it down. Right now, through the rest of August and into the first week of September, it’s all pump and no grunt. You’ve got tiny swell under 3 ft most days, with periods barely scraping 8 seconds. The wave energy is weak, often sitting in the double digits like 25 or 36, so there’s just no power. The wind is a real problem early on; Wednesday the 26th through Friday the 28th is a write-off with onshore and cross-onshore breezes making a mess of what little bump there is.

We do get a few glassy mornings – Saturday the 29th and Sunday the 30th of August, and again on Monday the 31st – with that light morning air, but the swell is so small, around 2 ft, that it’s barely ankle to shin-high. It’s a good time to practice your pop-up or just have a float, but not really a surf.

Now, the offshore winds start to kick in properly from the 2nd of September. The wind turns clean from the ESE, and we get a stretch of clean, smooth water. But the problem is, the swell has completely dropped out by then. We’re talking 1 ft or even 0.7 ft with almost no energy. By the 3rd and 4th of September, the wind is blowing 22 to 25 mph offshore, which cleans it up but makes paddling into a 0.3 ft wave impossible. It’s more of a kitesurfing scene than a paddle surf setup.

The only moment on the horizon that gets a bit of a nod is the morning of Tuesday the 8th of September. We get a small tick in quality, with surfable but very ordinary conditions. The swell is still only 2 ft, but the period stretches a little to 8 seconds, and the energy is a moderate 42. The wind is a moderate offshore at 16 mph from the ESE, so it’s clean. It’s nothing to write home about, but it’s the best we’ve seen in two weeks. Crowds at Cabo Roche can be a factor sometimes, but on a day like that, with such small waves, it won’t be an issue.

So yeah, the standout, if you can call it that, is the morning of the 8th of September. For the rest, you’re looking at long gaps of flatness or tiny, blown-out junk. It’s a true low point for the area, but that’s how it goes sometimes. Forecasts can change, but right now, it’s a waiting game.

Stay patient, Rusty.

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