Cabo Roche Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s coming up for Cabo Roche over the next couple of weeks.

Right off the bat, I gotta be straight with you: the next 16 days are looking pretty bleak for any real surf. The whole window is a long stretch of weak, small waves. We’re talking about a run of nothing but poor surf conditions from the start right through to the end. The combined swell energy is barely a whisper, with most readings in the single digits or low tens (like 4 to 52), which is just sad. The water temp is sitting at 73°F, which is about normal for this time of year, so at least you won’t be freezing waiting for a wave that never comes.

The first real chance of even a ripple is on Thursday the 10th of September, but it’s a total write-off. We’ve got a tiny 3ft swell from the west, with a short period of 6 seconds, and a cross-shore wind messing it up. The energy is a weak 51. Don’t bother.

Friday the 11th is clean with offshore winds, but the swell is only 1.0ft. Hard to get excited about a knee-high wave, even if it’s clean. The wind gets stronger through the afternoon, up to 25 mph, making it hard to paddle into what little is there.

The weekend and into the following week, we’re stuck in the same pattern. Plenty of offshore winds, especially from the east, but the swell just refuses to show up. We see 0.7ft, 1.0ft, and even a 0.3ft wave on the 12th. The wind is howling on the 12th and 13th, near gale force, so you’d be fighting the breeze more than the ocean. The swell around the 14th of September is a bit better with a 1.0ft wave and a 9-second period, but still not enough to get the board wet.

Midweek, around the 16th, we get a little bump in energy to 52, but it’s onshore wind and only 2ft. It’s messy. The 17th has some clean cross-off conditions, but again, the swell is minuscule.

Even the end of the run, around the 20th and 21st, is a damp squib. We get a glassy morning on the 20th with a 0.3ft wave, and a tiny 1ft bump on the 21st, but it’s from the SSW with a short period, so it’s not going to do anything.

Honestly, there are no standout days here. The surf is just too small and the energy too weak. If you’re desperate for a paddle, the cleanest conditions will be on the mornings with light offshore winds, like the 15th, 19th, or 20th, but you’ll be floating more than riding. For a true wave, this stretch is a write-off. It’s a blank run, and for this area, it happens. Forecasts can change, so keep an eye on it, but for now, I’d leave the board in the car.

Rusty.

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