Baleal Reef Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here with a look at what’s on the cards for the next couple of weeks. Let’s be straight – the charts are looking pretty flat for a lot of this run, but there are a couple of clean windows to get stoked about.

We’ve got a bit of a slow start, but the first real chance to paddle out comes on Monday morning, the 17th of August. That’s the standout of the whole forecast. The wind is going glassy, almost nothing, with clean conditions on the cards. Swell comes in at a decent 6 ft out of the NNW (305), with moderate energy driving it (344). It’s not a big session, but it’ll be clean and lined up. Water temps are sitting at 67°F, which is a bit colder than normal for this time of year, so a thicker suit might be the call at Baleal Reef.

That Monday afternoon fades a bit as the wind swings around, but Tuesday morning the 18th is another good chance. Offshore breeze from the SSW at 9 mph will groom that 5 ft NNW swell nicely (302). Clean and smooth. However, both Monday and Tuesday mornings have a period of only 8 seconds – not a proper groundswell, so it won’t have that heavy push, but still plenty of fun shapes on offer.

From Wednesday the 19th onward, it drops off significantly. Swell heights shrink down under 3 ft for a run of days, and cross-shore winds blow it out. Wednesday morning is surfable but very ordinary – 3 ft of weak energy (122) only. After that, there’s a long gap. Thursday the 20th through to the end of August is mostly poor. A lot of onshore and cross-onshore chop, with stronger winds – particularly Thursday afternoon (19 mph from the N, blowing lumps into the 6 ft), and Friday the 21st is a mess.

August 22nd Saturday and the 23rd Sunday morning are marginal, with the only clean-ish look coming late Sunday the 23rd as a gentle offshore kicks in (4 ft, 180). But honestly, the energy is weak. Between the 19th and the 31st, you’re looking at a stretch where nothing really grabs you – the exception might be the morning of the 31st of August: 5 ft from the NW (414) with light cross-shore wind – but that’s still a gamble. The afternoon of the 31st brings cross-off wind with 6 ft (494) that could clean up, but it’s at the tail end of the period and carries less certainty.

Bottom line: if you’ve got a free Monday or Tuesday morning mid-month, get on it. The rest of the time, the ocean’s either too messy or just plain flat. But as always, forecasts can change and good windows can pop up.

Rusty.

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