Costa Nova Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G'day, Rusty here. Let's talk about what's brewing for Costa Nova. It’s gonna be a bit of a slow burner at the start, but there are a few absolute crackers in the second week that make it all worth the wait.

The first real session kicks off on Saturday the 12th. The morning's not much to shout about, with a weak 3ft NNW swell and glassy conditions, making it surfable but flat. By the afternoon, forget it, the wind turns cross-on and the place turns into chop city. Sunday the 13th is where the first proper pulse arrives. A clean 4ft NW groundswell, with a 12-second period and decent energy, and glassy winds in the morning – that’s your first real window for some lined-up waves.

Monday the 14th is another solid early-morning option. Glassy again with a 3ft NW swell. The wind stays kind, so you’ll be getting clean, fun waves. The afternoons through this whole first week are pretty much all write-offs thanks to the cross-on breeze, so be on the water at first light.

Then things go a bit quiet through Tuesday and Wednesday, with small, choppy waves. Don't bother.

Now, the excitement starts Wednesday the 16th morning. We've got a chunky 8ft swell from the NNW, with huge wave energy (1281). That’s a lot of juice, but the wind is moderate cross-shore and the period is a short 8 seconds, so it'll be a messy, powerful beast. Only for the experienced, and even then, it's a bit of a battle. The wind worsens that afternoon, so stay out.

The true standout of the whole outlook is Thursday the 17th. We score a clean 6ft swell from the NNW, a nice 9-second period, and good energy (765). The real beauty is the wind: a light, cross-offshore breeze from the NE. That’s the dream for Costa Nova, giving you clean, groomed walls. This is the best session on offer.

If you miss that, hold out for Saturday the 19th. The morning is a total glass-off, zero wind, and a solid 5ft NW groundswell with a 13-second period. That long-period groundswell combined with perfect glass is pure magic. The waves will have serious power and perfect faces. A dead-set standout.

Sunday the 20th morning is another corker – glassy again with a 5ft NW swell. Clean, consistent, and fun. Monday the 21st morning also looks good with a 6ft NW swell, though the wind is a light cross-shore rather than true glass, so the surface might have a tiny ripple.

After that, the juice fades into smaller, wind-affected slop through the middle of the following week. There's one last gasp on Sunday the 27th morning with a 6ft NNW swell and glassy conditions, but the period is short at 7 seconds, so it'll be a bit lumpy and close-outy.

So, to call it: the first few days have some decent early windows, but the real best bets are the Thursday the 17th morning and that Saturday the 19th morning glass-off. Those are the ones to remember. The water temp is about 66°, which is pretty standard for the season.

See you in the water.

- Rusty

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