Ano Nuevo Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s be straight with you – we’ve got a long stretch of pretty ordinary options ahead. The whole 16-day window is a bit of a grind, so we’ll keep it honest.

The Overall Pattern

Right now, the setup is dominated by a persistent cross-shore wind that’s just messing up the surface. For the first week and a half, we’re looking at small, weak swell and lumpy, chopped-out conditions. The real energy is in the longer period groundswells, but the wind is never clean enough to make it worthwhile. The best you can hope for is a brief window of “marginal” conditions, which is code for *maybe* a few rideable ones if you’re desperate.

The Breakdown

We’re starting with a blank run. For the first few days – Tuesday the 14th through to the end of that week – it’s a no-go. The swell is small (2 ft to 6 ft), but the wind is a constant cross or cross-shore at 12 to 19 mph, creating a lumpy cross-chop. The wave energy is mostly weak to moderate (220 to 978), and the period is short, around 8 seconds. It’s not worth paddling out.

The first flicker of something happens on Saturday the 18th. The morning shows a 2 ft SW swell with a long 17-second period, and the wind drops to a light cross-onshore breeze. The combined energy jumps to 590. It’s still only a “marginal” call, but if you’re dying for a wave, the long period means there’s a bit of push. The afternoon gets windier, so it’s a morning-only window.

Sunday the 19th and Monday the 20th are similar – 2 ft to 3 ft SW swell, long 16-17 second periods, but the wind stays cross-shore at 9-12 mph. Wave energy is moderate (517 to 738). Still “marginal” at best. The surface won’t be glassy, but it’s not as chopped as the week before.

The mid-week (21st to 24th) is more of the same. Small 3 ft to 3 ft SSW swell, 14-16 second periods, and cross-shore winds. The water temp is 59°F, which is a touch warmer than normal for the time of year, so that’s one small win.

Now, the standout for the whole period is the morning of Saturday the 25th. This is a long-range call, so don’t bet the farm on it, but it’s promising. We’ve got a 3 ft SSW swell with a very long 21-second period. The combined energy jumps to a strong 1283. The wind is still cross-shore at 12 mph, which is a shame, but that long period groundswell will have some serious grunt. The morning is marked as “marginal” due to tide or something, but if the wind eases, this could be the best session. The caveat: this long period (21s) is best for a reef or point break – Ano Nuevo is a beach and reef setup, so it might wall up and close out if it’s too straight. Still, it’s the only real standout.

Sunday the 26th morning also has a 3 ft SSW swell with a 20-second period and strong energy (1087), but again, the wind is cross-shore at 16 mph. Marginal.

The Bottom Line

There are no truly good, clean days in this window. The first week is a write-off. The second week offers a few “marginal” mornings, with the best chance being the morning of Saturday the 25th. If you’re an expert, that long-period groundswell might give you something to work with, but the wind is a constant issue. For anyone else, save your energy.

Rusty.

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