Ano Nuevo Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s talk about the stretch ahead at Ano Nuevo. It’s a sheltered beach and reef setup that needs everything to line up, and honestly, this 16-day window is a tough one. We’re looking at a long stretch of frustrating conditions before a late, punchy change-up.

Right now, the outlook is grim. We’ve got a solid run of poor surf kicking off today, Tuesday the 21st, and dragging all the way through to the end of the month. The swell is hanging around 2 ft to 4 ft, mostly from the SSW, with periods of 14 to 15 seconds. That’s okay groundswell, but the problem is the wind. It’s a constant cross-shore or cross-onshore breeze, mostly from the NW, which is just ruining the surface. The energy is moderate (around 555 to 567), but the conditions are too messy to make it worth paddling out. The water temp is about average for the time of year.

This ugly pattern holds through the 23rd, 24th, and 25th. The swell gets a bit longer period (up to 24 seconds) on the 24th, and the energy jumps up to moderate-to-strong (807 to 901), but the wind is a fresh 19 mph from the NW. It’s a lumpy, cross-shore mess. That’s more of a kite-surfing scene than a paddle session.

We hit a real low point from the 26th to the 28th of July. The swell drops to 3 ft, then the wind stays strong and cross-shore. The energy is hefty (over 1000), but it’s all blown out.

Then, on Tuesday the 28th of July, there’s a brief flicker. The morning brings a 8 ft swell from the NW, but it’s a short period at 9 seconds. The wind is a gentle cross-shore breeze, and the energy is very strong (2179). That’s a big, powerful, short-period wall of water. It’s going to be heavy and challenging, and with a 8 ft swell, this is only for experts. The cross-shore wind will keep it from being completely clean, but it’s the only real size in the whole forecast.

After that, it’s back to the grind. The rest of the month and into the first week of August serves up mostly poor conditions. The swell sticks to 2 ft to 6 ft, with a mix of SSW and then WNW directions. The wind is almost always a cross-shore breeze from the NW or WNW, which is just not what we need for clean waves. The energy drops from moderate to weak (down to 191 by the 5th of August).

The best chance to get wet is that Tuesday morning, July 28th. It’s the only standout in the whole outlook. The swell is big, but it’s short-period and wind-affected. Still, for a crew that’s been staring at junk for over a week, that 8 ft of power is the only real offer. The rest of the 16 days is a write-off.

Stay patient, or go find a river mouth.
Rusty.

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