Davenport Landing Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, it's Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s on the table for our stretch of coast over the next couple of weeks. I gotta be straight with you: it’s a pretty grim start and we’re looking at a long stretch of meh before anything worth paddling out for shows its face.

Right off the bat, Davenport Landing (reef and point) ain't offering anything surfable until at least the middle of next week. We’re talking about a blank run from now, all through this week and into the weekend. The wind is mostly cross or cross-onshore with a fresh breeze, and the swell is all over the place. We get a couple of pulses of WNW swell around 4 ft to 5 ft on Monday (14th) and Tuesday (15th), but the period is short, around 8 to 9 seconds, and the wind is just ruining it. The water is a touch warmer than normal, sitting at 61°, which is about a degree and a half above average for this time of year. Honestly, there’s nothing to get excited about.

The whole first week is a write-off. The best the models can give us is a Monday morning (21st) with a 3 ft SSW groundswell (17 second period) and light cross-onshore wind, but it’s still labelled marginal. The combined energy is moderate, hitting 634 (moderate wave energy) but the quality just isn't there for a proper paddle session.

The Real Window

The one and only standout in this entire 16-day window is the last day of the forecast period: Tuesday the 29th of September. That morning looks like the only proper chance we get. We’ve got a solid 6 ft swell rolling in from the WNW, with a 9-second period. The combined energy will be strong, sitting at 803 (strong wave energy). The wind is set to be light and cross-shore, which should keep things much cleaner than anything we’ve seen for weeks. This is the one to circle on your calendar. It’s a week and a half away, though, so don’t book the day off just yet – conditions can change.

But here’s the kicker: by the afternoon, the wind is forecast to swing NW and crank up to 18 mph (fresh breeze) and go cross-shore again, turning it lumpy. So if that morning window holds, you’ll want to be on it early.

To sum it up: the next two weeks are mostly a flat, blown-out mess. Things might look a little more interesting for the kite surfing crew with that fresh cross-shore wind and a bit of swell, but for us surfers, it’s a long wait. The only real chance we have is the morning of the 29th, and even that’s a long-range gamble. Hang in there.

- Rusty

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