Xivares Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Right, grab a coffee, ‘cause I’ve been staring at the charts for Xivares and I’ve got the full picture for you. It’s a bit of a slow burner, but there’s a serious finish line if you’re patient.

The next week is pretty slim pickings. We’re looking at a run of small, weak surf that’s mostly blown out or too gutless to bother with. Honestly, from Friday the 14th right through to the 25th, it’s a lot of ankle-biters and close-outs. You’ll see some glassy mornings, like Friday the 14th with that 2ft NW swell and light airs, but the energy is weak (73), and it’s just not got any push. There’s a little bump in size on Sunday the 16th, but the period drops and the combo energy (173) isn’t doing it any favors. The wind tends to get on it in the afternoons, so you’re looking at a dawn patrol for a couple of knee-high sliders at best. It’s a whole lot of nothing, but that’s the nature of this stretch.

Then things start to shuffle. We get a couple of more promising windows around the 26th and 27th. The swell starts to build, and the period stretches out. Wednesday the 26th has a clean, glassy morning with 5ft of NW swell on it, and that afternoon the energy jumps up to a solid 584, but the period is short and it’s breaking a bit close to shore. Thursday the 27th morning looks better, with a cleaner 5ft NW swell and a light cross-offshore wind. That’s the first time the conditions and the swell actually start to line up. The energy is moderate (409), which is a good sign.

But, mate, the real standout, the one you should be circling on the calendar, is Friday the 28th. The swell is pouring in, hitting 8ft from the NW with an 11-second period, and the energy is up at 1498. It’s a proper pulse of groundswell, and it’s got some punch. That morning, there’s a clean cross-offshore wind, which will groom it up nicely. This is the best combination of size and shape we’ve seen so far, and it’s worth the wait. This is the day to get on it, but be aware it’s big enough that it’s not a beginner’s wave.

Now, the big finale. Saturday the 29th is a beast, but it’s a bit of a double-edged sword. The model is calling for a solid 12ft of NW swell with a long 14-second period, and the energy is enormous, over 4700 in the morning. That’s a serious, powerful swell. The problem is, it’s just too big for this spot. The forecast notes say it’s too big for Xivares, and I’d have to agree. It’s an expert-only day, and even then, it could be a washing machine. Unless you’re a big-wave charger, you’re better off watching this one from the cliff with a pair of binoculars. This promises to be epic, but it’s not for the faint of heart.

So, to sum it up: the first 10 days are a write-off. The 26th and 27th are a warm-up. Friday the 28th is your main event, with good size, clean winds, and proper energy. And Saturday the 29th is the big, wildcard tow-day. The long-range stuff looks amazing, but we all know forecasts can change. Stay keen, and I’ll see you out there.

Rusty.

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