Thompsons Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, here’s the deal with Thompsons Bay. It’s a sheltered little nook, so it’s picky about which swells it lets in. Over the next couple of weeks, we’re in for a real rollercoaster – some absolute gems, but also plenty of flat spells and wind-blown junk.

The clear winner is this coming Sunday morning, July 19th. Skies are clear, the wind is dead glassy from the ESE at just 3 mph, and we’ve got a solid 5ft swell from the south with a 12-second period. Water temp is normal for the season. The energy is strong at 1003 (moderate wave energy), and the conditions are perfect. This is the only time in the whole forecast where everything clicks. It’ll be clean, fun, and glassy. Just remember, crowds can show up here sometimes, so get down early.

After Sunday afternoon, it’s a mess. The wind picks up and swings around, the swell direction changes, and the quality tanks. Monday the 20th brings a bigger 7ft swell from the SSE, but it’s hammered by a 12 mph cross-onshore wind, making it choppy and poor. Not worth paddling out.

The middle of the week is dead – small, weak swell, bumpy cross-shore breezes, and overall marginal to poor conditions. The energy drops into the 600s (weak to moderate). Same story runs through the end of July.

The next real chance is Saturday morning, August 1st. This one’s a bit of a long shot, being a week and a half out, but it looks good. We’ve got a 8ft swell from the SE with a 9-second period, and the wind is a gentle cross-offshore from the NNE at 9 mph, leaving the waves clean. The energy is strong at 1460 (moderate wave energy). It’s a decent size, but at 8ft, beginners are going to struggle. It’s a promising long-range option, but don’t book your flights yet.

The final week fades out. Sunday the 2nd is back to choppy, onshore wind. There’s a last pulse on Monday, August 3rd – a 6ft south swell with a very long 18-second period, and clean offshore wind. That’s classic point-and-reef swell, but Thompsons Bay is sheltered, so it might not line up perfectly. Conditions are marginal, but there could be a few clean ones.

If you’re new to the sport, hit that glassy Sunday morning on the 19th. If you’re experienced, keep an eye on the 1st of August. Otherwise, there are long stretches of several days with nothing worth chasing.

Rusty.

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