Thompsons Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Gotta be straight with you – the next couple of weeks are looking pretty bleak for our shores. While there's some swell on the charts, the wind is just not playing ball, and the good days are few and far between.

Let's look at the one spot we've got, Thompsons Bay. It's a fairly consistent break, sheltered from the big stuff, but it needs a clean offshore wind to really shine. Right now, that's not happening.

The water temp is sitting at 73°F, which is about normal for this time of year, so you won't need a thick steamer.

We kick off on Sunday, July 19th with a pulse of 5ft SSE swell. The combined energy is moderate (960), and the 12-second period is decent. But the wind is a light cross-shore from the NE, which just messes up the face. It's a marginal call, and honestly, not worth paddling out for.

The rest of the week is a write-off. Monday the 20th gets a little bigger, 6ft to 7ft, but the wind is onshore or cross-onshore and strong, making it a choppy, bumpy mess. Tuesday through Thursday is more of the same: small, weak swell (344 to 890 combined energy) with cross-shore winds that kill any chance of a clean wave. The swell drops right off.

Saturday, July 25th is the first little glimmer. The morning has a 4ft south swell with a very long 15-second period (moderate energy at 767). The wind is a gentle cross-offshore breeze from the NE, which is clean. South swell at a sheltered spot isn't ideal, but if you're desperate, that morning window might offer a few long lines. The long period means it'll be better on the points than the beach.

After that, it's back to poor conditions. The wind gets howling again, and the swell direction flips around. For the next week, it's all cross-shore, lumpy, and poor. The only other thing to note is Wednesday, July 29th in the afternoon. There's a big 7ft to 7ft south swell rolling in with a very long 16-second period, and the combined energy is massive (2287). The wind is offshore from the WSW, which is clean. This is a big, powerful groundswell. For an expert, this could be a proper session if the tide lines up, but it's a long way out and the forecast isn't super solid yet. For the average surfer, 7ft+ with that much energy is a handful.

The very end of the window, Sunday, August 2nd in the morning, shows an 8ft ENE swell with a 10-second period and a massive combined energy of 2468. The wind is a gentle cross-shore from the NE. At 8ft, that's expert territory, and the ENE direction isn't perfect for this spot. It's something to watch, but with the wind being cross-shore, it's still a gamble.

Overall, if you're looking for a clean, fun surf, this is a tough stretch. The best bet is the morning of Saturday, July 25th for a small clean window, or the afternoon of Wednesday, July 29th if you're a local charger and willing to gamble on a big, clean swell. Don't hold your breath.

Rusty.

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