Thompsons Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here, lookin' at the charts for the next couple of weeks. Honestly, it's a bit of a tough stretch for us at Thompsons Bay. The water's sittin' right around 70°F, which is pretty much normal for this time of year, so at least you won't be freezin' while you're waitin' for a wave.

The pattern for the next week is pretty grim. We've got a solid run of poor surf conditions, with the wind mostly blowin' cross or cross-on, and the swell energy is all over the place but never really lockin' in. The wave energy is moderate in the early part, with combined energy values around 536 on Monday morning, but the quality just isn't there. We're looking at a big gap with no real recommendations until we get toward the end of the month.

The standout, and I mean the only real glimmer of hope in this whole 16-day window, is looking like Saturday, August 29th. On the Saturday afternoon, we've got glassy conditions with the wind laying right down, and the swell is a tiny 2ft from the east. It's not going to be big, but that glassy wind will make it clean. The wave energy is weak, only 106, so it's not gonna be a power session, but if you're desperate for a longboard or a foamy glide, you might finally get a clean one. The break is fairly consistent and intermediate level, so perfect for gettin' a few.

Before that, there's really nothin' worth paddling out for. The wind is consistently messy or onshore, and even when we get a bit of size, like the 8ft from the SSW on Thursday the 20th, it's with a fresh cross-onshore wind, making it a lumpy, choppy mess. That's more of a kite session than a surf session, to be honest. The only other days that even get a "marginal" nod are a few mornings with a long-period S or SSW swell, but the wind is never in our favor, and the surf quality is just poor.

After that Saturday glass-off, we get a pulse of big, powerful swell rolling in. Sunday, August 30th, sees a 10ft southerly swell with a combined energy of 1830, and then Monday the 31st cranks it up to 10ft with a massive 2900 energy. That's some serious water moving around. But the wind is onshore or cross, and it's gonna be a washing machine. Only for the hardcore, experienced crew. Then on Tuesday, September 1st, the swell is still solid at 7ft from the south with a 16-second period, and the wind is light and cross-on. The energy is still huge at 2391. That's a lot of power, but it'll be breaking straight and fast, tricky for the beach break. It's a promising look for the experts, but it's a long way out and the forecast confidence is lower.

So, keep your head up. The water's fine, but the waves are stubborn. The best bet is that glassy Saturday afternoon on the 29th for a clean, small wave session. For the rest, it's a waiting game.

Rusty.

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