Thompsons Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s translate that into imperial for the Americans.

Thompsons Bay – we’re starting slow. Sunday morning the 5th brings a 6ft SSE groundswell at 11 seconds, moderate energy (804). Wind is NE cross-shore, clean enough but marginal. That’s the best of the day. By afternoon the wind picks up and the quality tanks. Monday the 6th has a 3ft SE swell, cross-onshore – ugly. Monday afternoon cleans up with a light offshore, but the swell is only 3ft and energy is weak (272). Not worth it.

Tuesday and Wednesday are flat or blown. Tuesday morning has a 4ft NE windswell at 7 seconds – short period, onshore, bad. Wednesday has a 1ft SSW groundswell with a super long 14-second period but energy just 108 – tiny. Wednesday afternoon sees 1ft SW, long period, clean with light offshore, but it’s knee-high.

Thursday the 9th – a pulse: 6ft S swell at 12 seconds (993 energy) but cross-onshore and choppy. Thursday afternoon jumps to 7ft S at 13 seconds (1778 energy) but onshore wind – messy. Too big for beginners, not clean.

Friday the 10th – 6ft and 7ft S swell, onshore and rainy.

Saturday the 11th morning – 6ft S groundswell (13 seconds, 1102 energy) with light cross-onshore. Marginal but the best so far. Afternoon goes downhill.

Sunday 12th to Monday 13th – onshore winds, dropping swell. Tuesday 14th has 5ft ESE but messy. Wednesday 15th – 6ft ESE, same story.

Then Thursday the 16th morning – 6ft ESE swell at 10 seconds, moderate energy (795), and a light NNE offshore breeze – glassy clean. This is the standout. The wave comment says “expect good surf conditions”. Crowds are “sometimes” so you might see a few others, but this is your window. Optimum swell is SE, so ESE wraps in nicely. The period is 10 seconds – not long, but solid. The morning is prime.

Thursday afternoon stays clean but the wind picks up.

Friday the 17th – 5ft S with 8-second period and cross-on – not good. Friday afternoon hits 8ft S but onshore chop – expert only.

Saturday the 18th – massive: 13ft SSW at 12 seconds (4512 energy) and 15ft S at 13 seconds (5743 energy). That’s huge energy. Wind is cross-onshore – lumpy and powerful. Only for experts. The break is sheltered, so it might be a beast.

Sunday the 19th – leftover 10ft and 8ft, both with cross-onshore chop.

Monday the 20th – back to 5ft SSE, 10 seconds, light cross-shore – a manageable end.

Bottom line: Thursday the 16th morning is your call to action. The big stuff on the 18th is for the brave only. The rest of the first week is mostly skip-worthy.

– Rusty

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