The Breakwater-St Ives Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day surfers, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at the stretch ahead for The Breakwater-St Ives. Straight up, it’s a bit of a rough patch. We’ve got a lot of lumpy, cross-onshore slop and generally poor surf filling the forecast. There’s no single standout day, but a couple of sessions look salvageable for those who are keen.

The water’s sitting at 64°, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year. That’s a small positive, at least.

The run kicks off with nothing on offer for Tuesday the 8th. Rain showers and a fresh cross-on breeze with swell around 6ft to 7ft (moderate wave energy in the 613 to 1181 range). It’s lumpy and no good. That sort of messy pattern hangs around through Wednesday the 9th, with the swell easing a bit but the wind still cross-onshore and choppy.

Thursday the 10th sees the wind swing offshore but the swell drops right away to a weak 1ft in the morning (energy a low 42). The afternoon tries to pick up a bit of groundswell, but the period drops to a short 7 seconds and the wind picks up, making it clean but weak and disorganised. Not worth getting excited about.

Friday the 11th returns to onshore winds and a lumpy 5ft to 5ft swell. Still poor.

The first real window for a surf comes on Saturday morning, the 12th. Early, it’s a gentle cross-offshore breeze with a clean 4ft swell coming from the W with a 10-second period. The energy is moderate (297), and the offshore wind direction is what you want for this spot. It won’t be perfect, but that’s the pick of the first week. By the afternoon, the wind swings cross-off again and the swell backs off.

After that, we’re back into it. Sunday the 13th is lumpy and cross-shore, and Monday the 14th has small, ordinary waves with a light breeze. Tuesday the 15th has a clean 4ft morning with a nice 11-second period, but the wind goes cross-on in the arvo and chops it up.

From the 16th onwards, it gets pretty bleak. Onshore winds and small, weak swells. There’s a brief cleaner window on Friday the 18th with a cross-offshore breeze and 3ft of swell, but it’s very marginal. And that’s about it. The second week is a write-off, with a consistent lack of any proper swell or wind alignment.

It’s a long stretch of not much. This spot is inconsistent at the best of times, so a run like this isn't unusual. Keep the faith, forecasts change, and there’ll be better days.

Rusty.

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