The Breakwater-St Ives Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s get into it.

We’re looking at a pretty grim stretch for the next couple of weeks. The main spot on the radar is The Breakwater-St Ives, but honestly, it’s a real struggle to find a decent window. The water is running at about 65°F, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year, so at least it’s not freezing. But the surf quality? Rough.

The first few days are a write-off. From Friday the 14th through to Sunday the 23rd, it’s just a long, flat, blown-out mess. The swell is tiny, the wind is all over the shop, and it’s barely worth paddling out. The combined energy is weak, sitting at 129 (moderate) on the Friday morning, but it’s paired with a messy cross-onshore wind that’s just chopping it all up. That pattern pretty much holds for over a week – small, weak swell and poor conditions. There’s a brief moment on the Monday the 17th afternoon where the wind goes cross-offshore and the swell bumps up to 4ft from the west, but it’s still just a blip in a sea of rubbish.

Things start to look a bit more interesting towards the end of the run. On Thursday the 27th afternoon, we get a solid pulse of 8ft west-southwest swell with a short period of 8 seconds, and the wind is light and cross-offshore. The combined energy jumps to 848 (strong) and the conditions are clean. This is a good one for intermediate to experienced surfers, but it’s a long way out, so treat it as promising but not locked in.

Then Friday the 28th gets a bit wild. The swell jumps to 16ft from the west with a long period of 13 seconds, and the energy is massive at 8564 (very strong). But the wind is howling onshore at 28 mph, so it’s going to be a messy, blown-out beast. That’s expert-only territory, and honestly, it looks more like a kite-surfing day than a paddling day. The same goes for Saturday the 29th – 13ft swell but with a strong onshore wind from the north.

The best bet in the whole outlook? That Thursday the 27th afternoon window. The Breakwater-St Ives is a point break, so it handles a bigger swell well, and with an 8ft west-southwest swell and clean offshore-ish wind, it’s the standout. Just be aware it’s a long-range forecast, so don’t book the week off work yet. The break itself is inconsistent, so it’s not a reliable spot, but when it lines up, it’s a treat.

Rusty.

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