Suicides Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at the surf outlook for the Suicides break.

To be straight with you, the next couple of weeks are looking pretty grim. We’re looking at a long stretch of poor to no worthwhile surf here. The forecast kicks off on Saturday, 25 July, and honestly, it’s a rough start. The swell is up around 6 ft from the north with a short, weak period of just 8 seconds, and the wind is a fresh cross-onshore from the NNE at 22 mph. The combined swell energy is moderate (414), but with that onshore breeze, it’s lumpy and messy. Not a good look. The water temperature is 73°, which is about average for this time of year.

This same pattern hangs around for days. Through Sunday, Monday, and into the following week, the swell stays between 4 ft and 6 ft, all from the north, with periods rarely breaking 8 seconds. The wind remains a persistent cross-onshore from the north, blowing at 12 to 16 mph, keeping the surface choppy and unappealing. The combined energy drops steadily, from 415 down to around 87 by Thursday, 30 July. It’s a long, flat, wind-affected stretch.

There’s a tiny glimmer on Saturday, 1 August, when the wind swings light cross-shore from the ENE at just 6 mph, with a 4 ft north swell at 7 seconds. The combined energy jumps to 232, and the forecast calls it marginal. But that’s about as good as it gets, and it’s still not great. The following days after that slip right back into moderate cross-onshore breezes and poor conditions.

The second week doesn’t offer much more. The swell picks up a little around 5 August, with a 2 ft swell from the NW at 10 seconds, and combined energy of 296, but the wind is still cross-onshore. By 6 August, the swell bumps to 6 ft from the north at 10 seconds, with energy jumping to 585, but the cross-onshore wind at 19 mph kills it. This continues right through to 9 August, with swell sitting around 5 ft to 5 ft, but always with that same northerly cross-onshore wind.

There are no standout days here. The only real highlight is that Saturday, 1 August morning, when the wind goes light and cross-shore, giving you a window of clean-ish conditions with a 4 ft north swell. Even then, the period is short and the energy is only moderate (232). It’s not going to be pumping, but it’s the best you’ll get. If you’re desperate, that’s your window.

For the rest of the 16 days, you’re looking at a solid 10-day stretch of poor surf from 25 July through to 3 August, and then a similar run of poor conditions from 4 August onward. The wind is the main problem—it’s almost always cross-onshore, and the swell is weak and short-period. The combined energy stays mostly in the moderate range (100–500), but the quality is never there.

Given the consistent onshore wind and beach/reef setup, this looks more like a kite-surfing week than a paddle-surfing week. If you’re a surfer, I’d say sit this one out and wait for a better window.

Rusty.

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