Suicides Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's size this one up. Honestly, it's a pretty grim run ahead. The whole 16-day outlook is for Suicides, and it's a long, frustrating stretch of onshore and cross-onshore winds. There's no standout session, no hidden gem, just a waiting game.

We kick off on Thursday, August 13th, with nothing doing. A persistent NNE wind is messing everything up. Through the first week, right into August 20th, it's the same story: winds from the north-northeast or north, blowing cross-on or directly onshore. The swell hangs around in the 2ft to 5ft range, but it's mostly short-period windswell that's chopped to bits. The combined energy isn't huge but varies wildly between 166 and 272. This is a reef break (Big Island), and with that northerly wind and a northerly swell, the optimum is from the NNW, so it's all wrong. Conditions are consistently "poor." For openers and intermediates, the size stays manageable, but the chop makes it a chore. For the experienced crowd, it's just frustrating.

We hit a brief flicker of hope on Tuesday, August 18th, early. The wind drops to a light breeze from the north, only 6 mph, and the swell picks up a touch of period to 9 seconds. The energy sits at 200, which is moderate. The report calls it "marginal." It might be your only chance to get a couple of clean ones, but don't set your watch by it. After that, it's right back into the choppy garbage.

The second week, from August 21st to the 28th, is more of the same punishment. That relentless N to NNE wind sticks around at 12 to 19 mph, keeping everything lumpy and onshore. The wave heights bobble around but never get above 4ft, and with the cross-on wind, it's just not worth paddling out. The energy stays in the weak to moderate range, from 73 to 281, but the wind ruins any chance of a decent wave. There's a glimmer on Wednesday, August 26th, where the swell period hits 10 seconds from the north, but the wind is still a moderate cross-on breeze. It's a classic case of "looks okay on paper, feels terrible in the water."

For this stretch, if you absolutely have to get wet, Tuesday morning August 18th is the only "maybe." Keep your expectations low. The set-up here, with the constant strong cross-shore wind and beach/reef layout, honestly looks more like a kitesurfer's playground than a surfer's wave right now.

This is a tough run, but that's how it goes sometimes. Forecasts can change, so don't throw the towel in just yet.

Rusty.

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