Suicides Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let me level with you. Looking at the whole 16-day window for Suicides, it’s a tough stretch. The wind is almost always up from the north or north-northeast, blowing cross-onshore, and the swell is short-period, weak, and onshore-directed. If you were hoping for clean, lined-up reef waves, this isn’t the run for that.

The first real chance at anything rideable kicks off on the morning of Tuesday, August 4th. We’re looking at a small 3ft swell out of the north with a short period of 7 seconds. Combined swell energy is a weak 156. The wind is a moderate cross-onshore from the NNE at 12 mph, making it choppy. Not good. Water temp is 73°F, which is about a degree and a half warmer than usual – you’ll feel that little bit of extra warmth on a board. Afternoon gets a touch bigger at 4ft, but it’s still messy.

Wednesday the 5th and Thursday the 6th are more of the same: waist to chest-high NNE windswell, short period, and that cross-onshore breeze keeping everything chopped out. It’s poor.

We see a bump in size starting Friday the 7th with 5ft, but the wind picks up to 15-19 mph. Saturday the 8th is the biggest of the run, with a 6ft north swell coming in with 8 seconds. Combined energy hits 515 – that’s moderate energy. But here’s the kicker: the north wind is gusting 19 mph, cross-onshore, and the surf description calls it "fresh cross-onshore and lumpy." That 6ft is size, but it’s going to be raw and ugly. Honestly, with that much wind and a short-period north swell at a beach-break setup, this looks more interesting for kiteboarding than paddle surfing.

Sunday the 9th drops back to 5ft, but still blown out. That pattern of moderate cross-onshore north winds and weak, short-period north-northeast swell holds all the way through to Saturday, August 15th. It’s just a long stretch of poor conditions.

There is a slight tease in the last few days. On Monday, August 17th, the wind eases to a gentle 9 mph, and the swell period starts to stretch out. By Tuesday, August 18th, we’ve got a 4ft north swell with a 10-second period. Combined energy is 241 (still moderate), but the morning wind is a light breeze from the north at 6 mph, only causing small wind ripples. This is the best of a bad bunch: cleaner, with a bit more push from a longer interval. The afternoon turns offshore from the NNW at 12 mph, which could make for a few glassy, lined-up waves if the swell direction lines up. It’s nothing special, but for this period, it’s the standout. Wednesday the 19th looks similar, with that offshore wind again in the afternoon.

But overall, buddy? This is a lean, mean, north-wind machine. No big standouts. The crowd factor at Suicides can get busy, but with conditions this poor, I wouldn’t stress about that. If you’re desperate, wait for that Tuesday the 18th morning or Wednesday the 19th afternoon for the best odds of something halfway decent.

Rusty.

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