Suicides Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Right then, let’s have a look at the Suicides forecast. It’s a reef break that’s consistent and exposed, and it picks up swell from the NNW. The water temp is sitting at 72°, which is pretty average for the time of year, nothing unusual there.

Honestly, mate, the outlook for the next two and a half weeks is a bit of a grind. We’re looking at a long stretch of ordinary conditions. From Sunday the 26th of July right through to Friday the 7th of August, the wind is a constant problem. It’s cross-onshore or onshore from the north, blowing 12 to 22 mph most days, and that’s keeping the surf in “poor” condition. The swell is there, but it’s short-period windswell under 8 seconds, so the waves are weak and messy. The combined energy sits in the low to mid hundreds, like 108 to 451, which is weak to moderate energy, but it’s not doing us any favours with the wind. There’s a day on the 5th of August where the afternoon shows a bit of a bump in energy to 425, and the wind drops to 9 mph, getting more cross-shore, but even then it’s only a “marginal” call. Not worth getting excited about.

The first real standout comes on Saturday the 1st of August. The morning session is the only time in the whole run that gets a bit of glass. The wind swings to SSE at 3 mph, and it’s described as glassy. The swell is small, only 3 ft from the north, with a 7-second period, but with the wind dropping out, it’ll be clean. The energy is 145, so it’s weak, but for a reef break like Suicides, that glassy surface could still give you a few fun, small waves. The crowds are only “sometimes” here, so you might have it to yourself.

Then we get into the second week – 8th of August and beyond. The swell picks up, with heights over 5 ft and a longer period. On Saturday the 8th of August, we see a 5 ft to 5 ft swell from the north, with a period jumping to 12 seconds, which is a proper groundswell. The energy is strong, sitting at 643 to 663. But the wind is still a killer – cross-onshore from the NNE at 15 to 19 mph. That’s going to make it lumpy and choppy. The period is long enough to suggest good shape, but with that wind, it’s going to be a battle. This is potential for experts only, but it’s not looking clean. Sunday the 9th of August is similar, with 6 ft swell and fresh cross-onshore winds. It’s all a bit of a write-up for the paddle surfer. With that kind of wind and swell, a beach setup would be better for kites, but Suicides is a reef, so it’s just a messy, blown-out affair.

Overall, the best bet in this entire 16-day window is the glassy morning of Saturday the 1st of August. It’s the only time the stars align for something clean, even if it’s small. The rest of the run is a case of watching the wind and hoping for a change. It’s a long stretch of “poor” – about 13 days in a row – so if you’re not keen on that Saturday morning, you’re waiting until the 8th for some size, but you’ll be dealing with the wind. Forecasts can change, but right now, it’s a tough one.

Rusty.

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