Suicides Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s get into it.

Alright, look. I’ve got to be straight with you: the next 16 days at Suicides are a tough watch. The swell is coming in from the north, but it’s bumping into a near-constant cross-onshore wind. The combo of onshore wind and that swell direction just doesn’t line up with what this reef wants. The water temp is sitting at 72°F with a 1°F anomaly, so it’s pretty much dead average for the time of year.

We start off on Thursday the 23rd of July with some cross-onshore wind at 19 mph. The swell is 5 ft out of the north, but it’s short period, only 7 seconds, and the combined energy is 251 (moderate). The report says “poor surf conditions” and honestly, I’m not seeing anything to get excited about. That pattern sticks around for days. Friday the 24th is similar: 6 ft, north swell, 7 seconds, but the wind is up to 19-22 mph. It’s lumpy.

Saturday the 25th and Sunday the 26th see the swell hit 6 ft on Saturday, with combined energy climbing into the 400s (moderate to strong), but the wind is still cross-onshore and fresh. The wave period is only 8 seconds. For a reef like Suicides, that’s just messy. It’s not clean, it’s not fun.

We get a bit of a drop mid-week. Monday the 27th has a moment where the wind swings to NNW and goes “on” offshore at 12 mph, with 4 ft of north swell. But the period is still 8 seconds, and the combined energy is only 202 (weak to moderate). The report still calls it “poor surf conditions”. The wind is there, but the swell just isn’t packing enough punch or direction.

From there, it’s a long, grinding fade. Swell drops below 3 ft by the 1st of August, and the wind is stubbornly cross-onshore. We get a little bump on the 3rd of August: 6 ft to 6 ft north swell, period creeping up to 9 seconds, and the combined energy hitting 594 (moderate to strong). But again, it’s cross-onshore. The wind is 16 mph, then 19 mph. It’s frustrating.

The 4th of August has the biggest energy of the whole run: 712 (strong) with 6 ft north swell and a 10-second period. That’s a proper groundswell. But the wind is a fresh cross-onshore at 19 mph. For a reef, 10-second period is decent, but it’s still blowing onshore. The water is gonna be lumpy.

After that, the swell fades fast. By the 7th of August, we’re down to 2 ft out of the northwest with only 97 combined energy (weak). The wind is still a fresh cross-onshore.

The bottom line: There’s no standout in this window. The only flicker of hope is Monday the 27th of July afternoon when the wind goes offshore from the NNW, but the swell is small and the period is short. If you’re desperate, you could paddle out for a few weak ones, but don’t expect much. The rest of the time, the wind is just bad. Honestly, this setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing. The consistent cross-onshore wind and lumpy water aren’t doing us any favours.

Rusty.

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