Suicides Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s be straight with you. The 16-day outlook for Suicides is a tough one to swallow. This is a proper reef break, exposed and demanding, but the conditions just aren’t lining up for a good paddle session. We’re looking at a long stretch of poor surf quality, with cross-onshore winds and choppy, lumpy water dominating most of the period. The combined swell energy is mostly moderate (values between 222 and 439), but the wind is the problem.

The water temperature is sitting at 76°F, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year, so you won’t need a thick wetsuit, but that’s about the only comfort.

Right now, from Sunday the 30th of August all the way through to the end of the first week of September, it’s a write-off. The wind is relentless from the north and north-northeast, smashing the surface into a mess. The swell is there, between 4ft and 6ft, but it’s short-period windswell (7-9 seconds), and it’s all cross-on, making it choppy and ugly. Even the 6ft spike on Wednesday the 2nd of September (combined energy of 439) is ruined by a fresh breeze. This is not for beginners, and honestly, it’s not much fun for anyone on a paddle board.

We get a tiny glimmer on Friday the 4th of September morning. The wind finally swings offshore from the SSE at 9 mph, giving us clean, glassy conditions. The swell is small, just 4ft from the north at 8 seconds, and the combined energy is weak (152). It’s surfable, but very ordinary. The crowd factor here is “sometimes,” so you might have it to yourself, but don’t expect much.

After that tiny window, it’s back to the northerly winds and poor conditions. The second week of September is a total washout, with the swell dropping to under 3ft by the 7th and 8th, and the wind staying onshore or cross-onshore. The combined energy drops to weak levels (74-238). The long-period groundswell that shows up on the 7th (12 seconds from the NNW) is a tease, but it’s only 2ft and the wind is all wrong. Because it’s a reef break, the long period might have given it some shape, but the wind kills it.

The only real standout, if you can call it that, is that Friday morning. It’s the only time the wind gives us a break. Keep an eye on the forecasts, because this blank run is a long one, and for Suicides, it’s not unusual to see a stretch like this. For now, the setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing with those strong, consistent cross-shore winds.

Rusty.

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