Suicides Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s cookin’.

First up, this stretch is lookin’ like a bit of a write-off for the next little while. The swell is there, but it’s all coming from the north, and the wind is pretty much a constant cross-onshore from the N or NNE. That combination is churning up the surface and making a mess of things. The water temp is sitting at a balmy 73°F, which is about 2°F warmer than usual for this time of year, so it’s a touch on the warm side, but that won't fix the chop.

We start off on Tuesday the 28th of July with a weak 3ft swell from the north, period of 8 seconds, and the combined energy is a low 126 (weak). The wind is a solid 16 mph cross-on. It’s poor, and it’s gonna stay poor for a while.

The entire first week, from the 28th of July right through to the 3rd of August, is a total dud. The swell stays small, between 2ft and 4ft, and the wind is relentless. It’s a cross-onshore mess every single day. The energy climbs a bit on the 1st of August up to 260 (moderate), but it’s still a choppy, wind-blown situation. Not a single recommendation for a paddle in that whole stretch.

We get a little more size rolling in from the 5th of August, with the swell pushing 5ft to 6ft, and the energy gets into the 300s and 400s (strong). But the wind stays on it, North or NNE, and it’s still cross-onshore. The period is only 8 to 9 seconds, so it’s a short-period wind swell, not a clean groundswell. The surface is going to be lumpy, especially on the 7th and 8th of August when the wind picks up to 19 mph. That’s a fresh breeze, and it’s gonna be rough.

The only time the wind shifts to a straight "on" direction is on the 2nd of August, the 9th of August, and then a few days in the second week from the 10th to the 12th of August. But even then, the swell is still north and the conditions are described as "unknown" or "poor". The swell period does stretch to 9 seconds on the 9th and 10th, which is a bit better, but the energy is still moderate and the wind is still strong.

Bottom line: there is no standout window here. The wind is the enemy the whole 16-day run. For a spot like Suicides, a reef break that really needs a clean offshore wind to shine, this is a lost cause. The swell is on the small side for the first week, and then when it gets a bit bigger, the wind trashes it. The crowd factor is "sometimes" at Suicides, but with these conditions, even the crew won't be out.

If you're desperate, you could look at the 9th of August when the wind is "on" from the north and the swell is 5ft with a 9-second period, but the energy is 357 (strong). It’s still a north wind, so it’s straight onshore, and the sets will be a bit of a battle. Not one I’d be rushing to, but it’s the least bad of a very bad bunch.

For the rest of the run, the setup is so messy that it’s honestly looking more interesting for the kite surfers than us paddle surfers. The consistent cross-onshore winds and the moderate swell are a recipe for a good session for them.

That’s the long and short of it. No gems to dig up this time. The forecasts can always change, so keep an eye on the charts, but as it stands, I’d be giving this one a miss.

Rusty.

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