Suicides Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright mate, Rusty here. Let’s be straight with you – this outlook is a bit of a tough one. We’ve got Suicides, a reef break that’s advanced-level and consistent, but the whole 16-day window is a real struggle for decent waves. The wind is a persistent problem, almost always cross-on from the north or north-northeast, and that means choppy, lumpy conditions nearly every day. The swell energy is weak to moderate for most of it, with the combined energy reading between 28 and 63 early on, then climbing into the hundreds but still not producing clean surf. The water temperature anomaly is about average for this time of year, so nothing unusual there.

The first few days, from Thursday the 27th of August through to the end of the month, are a write-off. Swell heights are tiny, between 1 ft and 6 ft, but the north wind is blowing 9 to 22 mph, cross-on, making it messy and poor. The combined energy slowly builds from 28 up to 931 by Saturday morning, but it’s all wind-affected. The swell period is short, mostly 5 to 11 seconds, but that doesn’t help when the surface is chopped up.

Into early September, it’s more of the same. Monday the 31st of August through to the 5th of September see swell heights around 3 ft to 5 ft, but the wind stays cross-on from the north, 9 to 19 mph. The combined energy sits between 119 and 294, which is moderate, but the wave comment says “poor surf conditions” every single session. The wind shifts to onshore or cross-on, and the quality is just not there.

There’s a glimmer on the 6th of September Sunday morning, with a longer period swell of 13 seconds from the northwest, but the wind is cross-on at 12 mph and the swell is only 2 ft, so it’s small and still messy. The combined energy is 204. Not worth a paddle.

The best chance in the whole 16 days appears on Wednesday the 9th of September morning. The combined energy jumps to 513 – strong wave energy – with a 3 ft swell from the northwest at 13 seconds, and a light north breeze at 6 mph, onshore. The wave comment is “marginal surf forecast or questionable tide conditions,” scoring a 1 out of 10, but it’s the only time the wind is light and the period is decent. That long period groundswell is best for reefs like Suicides, but the size is small. It’s a long shot.

Then Thursday the 10th of September morning has a similar story: 6 ft from the north at 11 seconds, combined energy 784, but the wind is cross-on at 9 mph. Still marginal. The rest of the window is more poor conditions.

So, what’s the standout? Honestly, there’s no true standout. If I had to pick one, it’s Wednesday the 9th of September at Suicides – the long period northwest swell and light breeze offer the cleanest chance, but it’s a thin one. For beginners, most of this is too small or too messy, though the heights rarely exceed 6 ft. For experts, the inconsistency and wind ruin the potential. The setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing, given the persistent cross-on wind and moderate swell.

That’s the long and short of it. Forecasts can change, but right now, it’s a waiting game.

Rusty.

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