Suicides Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here again, giving it to you in feet and knots for the old school crew.

Honestly, looking at the next 16 days... it’s a tough stretch for Suicides. We’ve got a solid run of small northerly swell through the whole period, but the wind is the real killer. For most of the first week and beyond, we’re dealing with a persistent moderate breeze from the NNE, right onshore or cross-onshore, which is going to chop things up into a mess. The water temp is sitting at 74°, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year, but that’s little comfort when the surf is poor.

Kicking off Wednesday the 12th, we’ve got a 3ft swell from the north with a short period of 5 seconds – that’s weak, wind-affected slop. Combined swell energy is low at 132, and with that 16 knots NNE cross-onshore, it’s just choppy and poor. This pattern holds through that whole first week. Thursday the 13th, Friday the 14th, Saturday the 15th – every session is written off as "poor surf conditions." Swell ticks up slightly to 4ft or 4ft, period stretches a little to 6 or 7 seconds, but the wind stays on it. The energy climbs into the 200s by the weekend, but it doesn’t matter with that onshore breeze.

We get a little glimmer on Monday the 17th: still 4ft northerly swell, but the period pushes to 9 seconds, which is more groundswell energy. The afternoon sees the wind shift to a 12 knots NNW onshore, and the energy is 240 – moderate. Still, the report says poor. Tuesday the 18th morning looks like our best early chance: a 4ft N swell with 9-second period, combined energy hits 315 (moderate) and the wind is a gentle 9 knots from the NNW, straight onshore. That onshore wind keeps it from being clean, but it’s less choppy. Don’t get too excited.

By Wednesday the 19th morning, the wind drops to a light 6 knots from the NNW, onshore. Swell is 4ft, 9 seconds, energy 203. It’s called "marginal" – the only session in the whole window that’s not straight-up poor. That’s your best shot, and it’s not great.

From there, it’s back to the same story. Through the 20th, 21st, and 22nd, the swell bumps up to 5ft on Friday the 21st afternoon with 8-second period and energy at 301, but wind is a fresh 19 knots from the north on Saturday afternoon, making it lumpy. Too messy to recommend.

The second week, from the 23rd of August through the 27th, it’s more of the same: 3ft to 4ft northerly swell, periods between 8 and 9 seconds, with persistent NNE or NE cross-onshore winds in the 12-16 knots range. Energy stays moderate, but the conditions stay poor. No standouts.

Truth is, for the entire 16-day run, there’s no day where the wind and swell line up for proper clean waves at Suicides. The swell is too small and onshore for a reef that needs a good NNW direction and offshore winds. If the wind ever clocks around to a true offshore (like a southerly), it would be a different story, but that’s not in the cards here.

So for experts who know the spot: Wednesday the 19th morning is your only marginal look, and even then, it’s small and onshore. The rest is a write-off for a paddle surfer. With that persistent onshore wind and small chop, the setup honestly looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing.

Rusty

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