Suicides Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s get this out there. The forecast for the next couple of weeks is, to put it frankly, pretty ordinary for a spot like Suicides. This place has the quality, but the ocean gods aren't really cooperating for a good chunk of the run. The core issue is the wind. It’s coming almost entirely from the north, which for this reef is not what we want. It’s gonna be cross-on or onshore from the morning to the afternoon, and that’s going to mess up a lot of what could be good surf.

We start out in the low period. On Sunday the 16th, it’s pretty small. You’re looking at around 3ft of north swell with a weak energy reading (119) and a short 7-second period. It’s choppy with that cross-on breeze, so there’s not much point getting excited. This pattern holds through the week. We see those waves nudge up to 4ft on Monday the 17th, but the wind is still all over it. The energy is still weak, a 162 reading, but that’s still nothing to get too fired up about.

Things start to pulse a touch on Friday the 21st. We get a 4ft swell, energy picks up to moderate (253), and the period stretches to 8 seconds. But the wind is still cross-on at 25 km/h, making it lumpy. It’s a bit better than the beginning but still not what this wave can deliver. The weekend, the 22nd and 23rd, holds onto that 4ft to 5ft range, but then it backs off again into the start of the next week, dropping back to 3ft by Monday the 24th.

Here’s where I have to call it. The true standout of this whole 16-day stretch is going to be the 26th of August, that Wednesday. The swell jumps to 5ft in the morning, pushing to 6ft in the afternoon. The north-northeast direction is about as good as it gets for this spot. The combined energy is the strongest we see all run at 297. But look, I gotta level with you. The wind is still poo. It’s a fresh cross-onshore at 35 km/h, so while the size and power are there, it’s going to be messy. It’s surfable, but it’s gonna be a battle. The 27th is also notable, with that energy topping out at 398, but again, the wind just won't let up.

For anyone who is still keen, Suicides (reef break) is a consistent spot, but this isn't a beginner wave. With swells over 5ft on the 26th and 27th, it’s going to be a handful for anyone who isn’t solid. It will be one for the experienced crew only.

Look, it’s not a total write-off. Swell is there, but the clean conditions are just missing. Our best bet is gonna be those bigger days on the 26th and 27th. It’s a long-range call, so treat it as promising but keep your hopes in check. The setup looks more interesting for the kite surfers than paddle boarders, honestly. It's a 16-day outlook with a whole bunch of average days in between. Forecasts can change, but right now, I’d keep the expectations low and boards in the car just in case.

Rusty

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