Stela Maris Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s be straight with you – this is a tough one to call. We’ve got a 16-day window on the table, but honestly, it’s a long stretch of frustrating conditions. The main issue is persistent cross-shore and onshore winds that just won’t let up, making a mess of what little swell we’ve got coming in. There’s a big gap of poor surf at the start, and the only faint glimmer of hope is right at the very, very end.

First up, the outlook for Stela Maris kicks off on Wednesday, 26th August, but it’s a no-go. We’ve got a tiny 2ft S swell with a decent 14-second period, but the wind is straight onshore at 12 mph. The combined energy is weak at 259, and the call is "poor surf conditions." The water is a warm 79° with a 1° anomaly, so it’s about average for this time of year, but that doesn’t help the waves.

The rest of August and the first week of September is a write-off. From Thursday the 27th through to the 8th of September, the guidance keeps saying "poor surf conditions" with scores of 0. The swell bumps up a bit – we see a 3ft S swell on Thursday afternoon with a 16-second period, pushing the combined energy to a strong 1065, but the wind is onshore at 16 mph. It’s like a raw, messy power that’s just unsurfable. The swell direction swings to the east from the 29th of August onwards, with short periods around 7-8 seconds, and the wind is almost always cross-onshore, often at a moderate to fresh breeze. It’s choppy, lumpy, and ugly. This is a solid 10-day gap with no recommendations.

The only thing that even gets a sniff of a chance is the morning of Wednesday, 9th September. We get a small 3ft swell from the ESE with a period of 11 seconds. The combined energy is moderate at 330, and the wind switches to a light breeze from the NE at 6 mph, making it a light cross-shore. The forecast calls it "marginal surf forecast or questionable tide conditions" with a score of 1. For a spot that’s "consistent," this is a real letdown. The swell is knee-to-waist high at best, but the cleaner wind might just offer a glassy window. It’s the only standout in the whole run, and it’s a small one.

After that, the onshore winds return and the quality drops back to zero for the rest of the period. It’s a flat, windy run for the most part, with one tiny, glassy hope on the 9th of September. Hang in there, and keep an eye on the forecasts because things can change.

Rusty.

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