Stela Maris Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s on the cards for Stela Maris. First up, the water temp is sitting at 80°, which is about par for the course this time of year—no surprises there.

Right now, we’re in a bit of a flat and messy spell. The forecast kicks off with some surf, but it’s not pretty. The swell is around 6 ft from the ESE with a short 9-second period, and combined energy is moderate at 629. The wind is onshore and blowing at 12 mph, so it’s choppy and ropy. Honestly, it’s messy out there, and that look sticks around through the first week. From Thursday 2nd of July right through to Monday 6th, it’s all poor surf conditions—cross-onshore breezes, short period swell, and not a clean face to be found. The swell drops from 6 ft down to 3 ft by Monday afternoon. Surfable? Barely. Fun? No.

There’s a brief flicker on Tuesday 7th morning—the wind goes glassy, dead calm, and there’s 3 ft of east swell showing. The period is still a short 8 seconds, so it’s weak and gutless, but if you’re desperate and the tide’s right, you could get a few grovelly ones. Combined energy is just 153—weak. This is not the standout of the run.

We then get a couple of clean windows. Wednesday 8th and Thursday 9th mornings both see a light north breeze, cross-offshore, and a groundswell from the SSE at 4 ft with a 12-second period. Combined energy climbs to 367 and 388—solid moderate. These are the best looking sessions in the entire outlook. The swell direction is a bit off the optimum south, but with that period and clean wind, the waves should have some shape and power. Crowds are often at Stela Maris, so don’t expect to be alone if you rock up.

Then comes Friday 10th morning—dead calm, glassy, with 3 ft of SSE swell at 12 seconds. Combined energy is 283. It’s the last clean morning before the winds turn again. After that, from Saturday 11th onward, the swell fades and the wind swings onshore or cross-onshore, and it’s pretty much game over. By the middle of the second week (14th July onwards), combined energy drops to two-digit numbers—38, 62—that’s whisper-level swell. There’s a tiny glimmer on Thursday 16th morning with 3 ft from the south at 13 seconds, but the wind is onshore so it’s likely bumpy. Not worth getting excited about.

The best on offer? Wednesday 8th morning and Thursday 9th morning. Clean, cross-offshore breeze, groundswell around 4 ft from the SSE, and decent period. That’s your window. After that, the outlook gets thin and crowded with onshore wind.

If you’re a beginner, those 6 ft days early on are a bit much, and later on it’s too small. Experts might find something on the 8th and 9th.

Overall, it’s a lean forecast with two solid mornings to aim for. The rest is either blown out, flat, or both.

Rusty.

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