Stela Maris Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Right folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s on the cards for the next couple of weeks.

Alright, straight up, if you’re looking for a clean, fun wave, you’ve got to be sharp and early. The standout window is this Saturday morning, July 11th. We’ve got a solid 4ft swell rolling in from the SE, and with a period of 13 seconds, that’s proper groundswell energy – it’ll have some punch. The water is sitting at 79°, which is about right for this time of year, nothing too unusual. The real magic is the wind: glassy, from the NNE at just 3 mph. That’s going to keep the surface silky smooth. The combined energy is 557 (moderate), so there’s enough push to get you into some fun ones. This is your best bet, no question.

The spot is Stela Maris. It’s exposed to the swell, and it’s consistent, so it’ll be working. Just a heads up, it can get crowded sometimes, so get in early. The optimum swell direction is from the S, and we’re getting a SE, which is a bit off, but with that glassy morning it’s still going to be the pick of the weekend.

After that Saturday morning, the wind shifts. Saturday afternoon goes cross-on, and Sunday morning, while the surf is still there at 4ft (SE, 12s), the wind is cross-off from the NNE, so it’ll be a bit bumpy. Sunday afternoon and Monday things start to drop off fast, and the wind gets messy.

There’s a long gap of poor to average conditions from Sunday afternoon right through to the morning of Wednesday, July 22nd. That’s a solid 10-day stretch of onshore winds and choppy, lumpy seas. The swell sticks around, but it’s blown out. For a few days there around the 15th and 17th, the swell gets big – 7ft to 7ft – but it’s short-period windswell (7 to 8 seconds), and the wind is howling onshore. That’s more of a kite-surfing kind of setup than a paddle-surfing one.

The next real glimmer of hope comes on the morning of Wednesday, July 22nd. After that long dry spell, we get calm winds again – glassy – with a 4ft swell from the E. It’s a short period though, only 8 seconds, so it’ll be a bit weaker and steeper breaking. The combined energy is 358 (weak), so it’s not a powerhouse, but it will be surfable and clean, which is a big relief after all that wind.

Beyond that, it’s back to onshore wind and choppy conditions for the rest of the forecast. So, honestly, if you want a wave, you’ve got Saturday morning. That’s your one true standout. The rest is a long, frustrating wait for a clean-up that doesn’t really come.

Rusty.

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