Surf Forecasts:
South Padre Island surf forecast from 25 Jul 2026:
- Most powerful swell: Monday 27 Jul, 7PM (local time) - 4ft (1.2m), 5s period, SE swell with 68 kJ wave energy.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for South Padre Island this week:
The most powerful waves expected at South Padre Island in the next 16 days are 1.2m 5s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Jul 27) at 7PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives.
| Wave Type | Time (CDT) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | - | - |
| Best Surf | - | - |
| Most Powerful | 7PM (Mon 27th Jul) | 4ft (1.2m) 5s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for South Padre Island over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, this is a tough one to call. I'm looking at the whole 16-day window for South Padre Island, and honestly, it's a bit of a flat, windy mess for a while.
We kick off with Saturday the 25th of July, and the outlook doesn't get much better from there. For the first week and a half, the sea is basically a washing machine. The wind is hammering straight out of the southeast most days, ranging from a moderate breeze all the way up to a strong breeze. Every morning and afternoon session gets the same sad report: poor surf conditions. The swell is tiny, barely scraping up to 4 ft at best, and it's coming from the southeast with a short, weak period. The combined energy is mostly in the double digits—like 80, 31, even as low as 17—which is just gutless. For a beach/jetty setup that needs some power, this is a total washout. The current water temperature is about average for this time of year, which is the only thing that wouldn't make you shiver while you stare at the flat ocean.
There is a flicker of hope on Thursday the 6th of August. The afternoon session shows combined energy jumping up to 217, which is into the moderate range. The swell bumps up to 4 ft from the ESE with a period of 7 seconds. It's still labelled "poor surf conditions," though, because that cross-onshore wind is still on it, making it lumpy. It wouldn't take much for this to become the best of a bad bunch, but the wind just isn't friendly.
The standout, and this is really more of a "least worst" option, is still *South Padre Island* itself. The swell direction from the ESE is on the right track, but the wind is the enemy the whole way. For any surfer, it's a frustrating stretch. If the wind ever drops or swings offshore, those small pulses have a chance, but as it stands, the consistent onshore breeze and lack of swell energy mean we're looking at a lot of days better spent doing something else. For kite surfers, the strong, consistent cross-onshore wind and lumpy, waist-high chop would actually look like a playground.
Hang in there, or check back later—forecasts can change.
Rusty
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 28°C on Fri night, min 27°C on Fri night). Winds increasing (light winds from the S on Sat night, strong winds from the SE by Mon afternoon). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 29°C on Wed morning, min 27°C on Mon night). Mainly strong winds. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Saturday 25 | Sunday 26 | Monday 27 | Tuesday 28 | Wednesday 29 | Thursday 30 | Friday 31 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 6 | ESE 6 | SE 6 | ESE 5 | ESE 5 | SE 4 | SE 5 | SE 5 | SE 5 | SE 5 | SE 5 | SE 4 | SE 5 | SE 4 | SE 4 | SE 5 | SE 4 | SE 4 | SE 6 | SE 5 | SE 5 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 52 | 29 | 21 | 17 | 24 | 20 | 25 | 55 | 51 | 39 | 68 | 32 | 25 | 31 | 26 | 23 | 17 | 20 | 31 | 47 | 41 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on |
High Tide | 5:20AM0.61m | 5:39AM0.61m | 5:58AM0.61m | 6:17AM0.60m | 6:33AM0.59m | 6:43AM0.57m | 2:05PM0.51m | 6:50AM0.55m | 3:22PM0.49m | ||||||||||||
Low Tide | 7:42PM0.11m | 8:22PM0.09m | 9:00PM0.09m | 9:36PM0.10m | 10:11PM0.11m | 11:50AM0.50m | 10:42PM0.15m | 12:02PM0.46m | 11:12PM0.19m | ||||||||||||
 | |  | | |  | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
 | 6:50 | — | — | 6:50 | — | — | 6:50 | — | — | 6:50 | — | — | 6:52 | — | — | 6:52 | — | — | 6:52 | — | — |
 | — | 8:20 | — | — | 8:20 | — | — | 8:19 | — | — | 8:19 | — | — | 8:17 | — | — | 8:17 | — | — | 8:16 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 27 | 28 | 28 | 27 | 28 | 28 | 27 | 29 | 29 | 28 | 29 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 |
Feels °C | 30 | 29 | 30 | 29 | 28 | 28 | 30 | 25 | 27 | 26 | 26 | 27 | 29 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 27 | 30 | 32 | 28 | 30 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 6 | SE 8 | E 4 | ESE 5 | — | — | — | E 9 | E 10 | E 9 | ESE 8 | E 8 | E 9 | ESE 8 | E 8 | E 8 | E 8 | E 8 | — | — | — |
| kJ | 52 | 2 | 5 | 17 | — | — | — | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | — | — | — |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 6 | ESE 6 | SE 6 | — | ESE 5 | SE 4 | SE 5 | SE 5 | SE 5 | SE 5 | SE 5 | SE 4 | SE 5 | SE 4 | SE 4 | SE 5 | SE 4 | SE 4 | SE 6 | SE 5 | SE 5 |
| kJ | 28 | 29 | 21 | — | 24 | 20 | 25 | 55 | 51 | 39 | 68 | 32 | 25 | 31 | 26 | 23 | 17 | 20 | 31 | 47 | 41 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 974 | 992 | 971 | 974 | 1062 | 971 | 974 | 1059 | 971 | 974 | 1063 | 992 | 971 | 1059 | 971 | 974 | 1062 | 971 | 974 | 1062 | 971 |
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Information about the South Padre Island Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for South Padre Island provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at South Padre Island can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our South Padre Island surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (South Padre Island) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for South Padre Island may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
South Padre Island is 66 km (41 miles) from Harlingen. If you plan a vacation in Texas, look for hotels and other accommodation in Harlingen. Harlingen has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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