Surf Forecasts:
South Padre Island surf forecast from 6 Jul 2026:
- Most powerful swell: Saturday 11 Jul, 1PM (local time) - 4ft (1.2m), 6s period, SE swell with 109 kJ wave energy.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for South Padre Island this week:
The most powerful waves expected at South Padre Island in the next 16 days are 1.2m 6s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Jul 11) at 1PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives.
| Wave Type | Time (CDT) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | - | - |
| Best Surf | - | - |
| Most Powerful | 1PM (Sat 11th Jul) | 4ft (1.2m) 6s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for South Padre Island over the next 16 days.
Updates in hr min s Forecast update imminent
Alright, Rusty here again, giving you the same rundown in feet and miles per hour for South Padre Island.
Honestly, the outlook is pretty grim. We’re looking at a long stretch of poor surf conditions starting now and running all the way through July 20th. That’s a solid run of days where you won’t want to rush to the beach.
The biggest problem is the wind. It’s constantly blowing from the southeast at 12 to 25 mph, which keeps the ocean surface chopped up and lumpy. It’s either cross-onshore or just cross, so there’s no chance of a clean, glassy morning. The swell is tiny early on – just 2 ft to 3 ft from the southeast, with a short period of 4 to 6 seconds. That’s pure, weak windswell with no power. The wave energy is extremely low, with readings like 11 to 31 for the first several days.
We do see a little bump around Thursday July 9th, with the swell reaching 4 ft in the afternoon, but it’s still coming with a fresh 22 mph cross-onshore breeze. The surface will be lumpy and the quality poor. The combined energy at that point (77) is still on the weak side.
The only time the surf looks even slightly more interesting is around July 14th and 15th – Tuesday and Wednesday. Swell heights hold steady around 4 ft to 5 ft from the southeast, period stays at 6 seconds, and the energy climbs into the low 100s (130 and 136). That’s the highest we see all forecast. But the wind is still the enemy. Mornings offer a moderate cross-shore breeze instead of the full cross-onshore, but the description is still “moderate cross-shore with a cross-chop” – nothing clean.
South Padre Island (beach/jetty) is an inconsistent spot at the best of times. With constant onshore wind and short-period swell, the waves won’t have any shape. This setup is honestly more interesting for kite surfing than for paddling. The water is a warm 84°F, about normal for this time of year, so at least you can enjoy a float, but there’s no real surf to speak of.
There’s no standout session in this forecast. It’s a blank run. But that’s how it goes here sometimes – when it’s quiet, it can stay quiet. Forecasts can shift, but right now there’s nothing to chase.
Stay patient.
Rusty
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 28°C on Sun afternoon, min 27°C on Sun night). Mainly fresh winds. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 3mm), mostly falling on Thu night. Warm (max 29°C on Fri morning, min 27°C on Wed night). Mainly fresh winds. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Sun 5 | Monday 6 | Tuesday 7 | Wednesday 8 | Thursday 9 | Friday 10 | Saturday 11 | |||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 4 | SE 4 | SE 4 | SE 4 | SE 4 | SE 5 | SE 5 | SE 4 | SE 6 | SE 4 | SE 5 | SE 5 | SE 5 | SE 6 | SE 5 | SE 6 | ESE 6 | SE 6 | ESE 6 | ESE 6 | ESE 6 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 10 | 8 | 10 | 10 | 17 | 14 | 21 | 21 | 30 | 16 | 42 | 23 | 77 | 40 | 55 | 72 | 57 | 105 | 103 | 103 | 77 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on |
High Tide | 6:11PM0.41m | 8:29AM0.52m | 8:53PM0.40m | 8:28AM0.51m | 00:22AM0.44m | 8:19AM0.51m | 3:00AM0.52m | 7:40AM0.53m | 3:35AM0.60m | 4:23AM0.66m | 5:13AM0.71m | ||||||||||
Low Tide | 00:54AM0.29m | 3:43PM0.34m | 1:25AM0.36m | 4:11PM0.28m | 2:00AM0.44m | 4:49PM0.20m | 4:22AM0.52m | 5:35PM0.13m | 6:28PM0.05m | 7:24PM-0.01m | |||||||||||
 |  | | | | | | | | | | | |  |  |  |  | | | | | |
 | — | — | 6:41 | — | — | 6:41 | — | — | 6:41 | — | — | 6:41 | — | — | 6:41 | — | — | 6:43 | — | — | 6:43 |
 | 8:25 | — | — | 8:25 | — | — | 8:25 | — | — | 8:25 | — | — | 8:25 | — | — | 8:24 | — | — | 8:24 | — | 8:24 |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1 | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 28 | 27 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 27 | 29 | 29 | 28 | 28 | 29 | 28 | 29 |
Feels °C | 29 | 28 | 29 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 28 | 28 | 30 | 28 | 29 | 28 | 27 | 28 | 30 | 30 | 28 | 30 | 30 | 28 | 30 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 9 | E 9 | E 9 | E 9 | E 9 | E 9 | E 9 | E 8 | E 8 | SE 8 | — | E 8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | E 12 |
| kJ | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 3 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | ESE 9 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | 8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 4 | SE 4 | SE 4 | SE 4 | SE 4 | SE 5 | SE 5 | SE 4 | SE 6 | SE 4 | SE 5 | SE 5 | SE 5 | SE 6 | SE 5 | SE 6 | ESE 6 | SE 6 | ESE 6 | ESE 6 | ESE 6 |
| kJ | 10 | 8 | 10 | 10 | 17 | 14 | 21 | 21 | 30 | 16 | 42 | 23 | 77 | 40 | 55 | 72 | 57 | 105 | 103 | 103 | 77 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 1062 | 971 | 974 | 1108 | 971 | 974 | 1062 | 971 | 974 | 981 | 971 | 992 | 1062 | 971 | 981 | 1016 | 971 | 974 | 1063 | 992 | 974 |
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Information about the South Padre Island Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for South Padre Island provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at South Padre Island can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our South Padre Island surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (South Padre Island) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for South Padre Island may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
South Padre Island is 66 km (41 miles) from Harlingen. If you plan a vacation in Texas, look for hotels and other accommodation in Harlingen. Harlingen has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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