Surf Forecasts:
South Padre Island surf forecast from 14 Jul 2026:
- Most powerful swell: Thursday 16 Jul, 10AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.3m), 7s period, ESE swell with 134 kJ wave energy.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for South Padre Island this week:
The most powerful waves expected at South Padre Island in the next 16 days are 1.3m 7s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 16) at 10AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives.
| Wave Type | Time (CDT) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | - | - |
| Best Surf | - | - |
| Most Powerful | 10AM (Thu 16th Jul) | 4.5ft (1.3m) 7s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for South Padre Island over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, Rusty here, lookin' at the South Padre Island stretch. Let's be straight with ya – this ain't gonna be one for the photo album.
Right from the get-go on Tuesday morning the 14th, it’s a tough scene. We’ve got a weak little 3ft swell bumpin' in from the SE with a short, snappy period of just 6 seconds, and the combined energy is barely a whisper. The wind is a solid cross-onshore out of the SSE at 15 mph, messin' it all up and makin' it choppy. That same messy story keeps rollin' all week. It’s basically the same tune: ankle to knee-high junk, short-period slop, and the wind never seems to let up. The water temp is runnin' about average for this time of year, but with the wind on it like this, it doesn't really matter.
Thursday the 16th sees a slight bump, with the swell hittin' 4 to 4ft from the ESE and the energy pickin' up, but the period is still a weak 7 seconds. It's still too lumpy and cross-onshore with a fresh 18 mph breeze to be any fun. For a beginner spot like this, that's just a washout.
We slog through a blank run of small, weak, and messy conditions right the way through to Sunday the 26th of July. That Sunday morning shows a little pulse again, with a 3ft SE swell, but the period is still a lousy 5 seconds and the wind is cross-onshore. This stretch just feels like it's stuck in a rut.
Honestly, the only faint glimmer in this whole 16-day window shows up around Monday morning the 27th and Tuesday the 28th. We get a 4ft to 4ft SE swell with a slightly better 6-second period, and the energy picks up a notch. A bigger positive is that the wind finally swings around to a more true cross-shore direction out of the SSE at 15 mph. That's gonna clean it up a bit, takin' the worst of the chop off the surface. It's still nothin' to write home about, and it's not gonna be glassy – just "less bumpy" – but compared to the rest, it's the best we've got. On a beach/jetty setup like South Padre, that cross-shore flow might just groom a few little peelers for a longboard or a foiler.
For a spot that's inconsistent at the best of times, this whole run is as grim as it gets. No standout sessions, no real power, just a long stretch of onshore slop. The setup looks more interesting for a kite than a paddle for most of this.
Rusty, out.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 4mm), mostly falling on Wed morning. Warm (max 28°C on Tue morning, min 26°C on Mon night). Mainly fresh winds. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 4mm), mostly falling on Sun morning. Warm (max 28°C on Thu night, min 27°C on Thu night). Mainly fresh winds. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Tuesday 14 | Wednesday 15 | Thursday 16 | Friday 17 | Saturday 18 | Sunday 19 | Monday 20 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 6 | SE 6 | ESE 5 | ESE 6 | ESE 6 | ESE 6 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | ESE 6 | ESE 6 | ESE 6 | ESE 6 | SE 7 | SE 7 | ESE 6 | SE 7 | ESE 7 | ESE 6 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 62 | 56 | 37 | 55 | 75 | 96 | 134 | 107 | 110 | 96 | 123 | 88 | 60 | 85 | 99 | 109 | 109 | 65 | 93 | 83 | 47 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on |
High Tide | 6:47AM0.70m | 7:25AM0.66m | 1:17PM0.59m | 7:50AM0.60m | 3:32PM0.56m | 8:03AM0.54m | 5:14PM0.51m | 8:05AM0.50m | 7:03PM0.47m | 7:57AM0.48m | 9:22PM0.45m | 7:40AM0.49m | |||||||||
Low Tide | 10:17PM-0.05m | 12:43PM0.59m | 11:11PM0.01m | 12:23PM0.53m | 00:03AM0.10m | 12:55PM0.46m | 00:50AM0.20m | 1:42PM0.38m | 1:31AM0.31m | 2:37PM0.30m | 2:00AM0.41m | 3:35PM0.24m | |||||||||
 |  |  |  | |  |  | |  | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
 | 6:43 | — | — | 6:45 | — | — | 6:45 | — | — | 6:46 | — | — | 6:46 | — | — | 6:47 | — | — | 6:47 | — | — |
 | — | 8:24 | — | — | 8:23 | — | — | 8:23 | — | — | 8:23 | — | — | 8:22 | — | — | 8:22 | — | — | 8:22 | — |
mm | — | — | — | 1 | 2 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | — | — |
Temp °C | 28 | 28 | 27 | 28 | 28 | 27 | 27 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 27 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 27 | 28 | 28 | 27 |
Feels °C | 29 | 29 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 27 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 29 | 28 | 27 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 29 | 28 | 27 | 29 | 28 | 28 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | ESE 10 | — | E 9 | E 9 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | E 11 | — | — | — | E 10 | — | — | E 10 |
| kJ | — | 9 | — | 2 | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | 2 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 6 | SE 6 | ESE 5 | ESE 6 | ESE 6 | ESE 6 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | ESE 6 | ESE 6 | ESE 6 | ESE 6 | SE 7 | SE 7 | ESE 6 | SE 7 | ESE 7 | ESE 6 |
| kJ | 62 | 56 | 37 | 55 | 75 | 96 | 134 | 107 | 110 | 96 | 123 | 88 | 60 | 85 | 99 | 109 | 109 | 65 | 93 | 83 | 47 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 974 | 1062 | 971 | 974 | 1063 | 971 | 974 | 1059 | 971 | 971 | 1059 | 971 | 974 | 1000 | 971 | 974 | 997 | 971 | 974 | 971 | 971 |
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Information about the South Padre Island Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for South Padre Island provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at South Padre Island can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our South Padre Island surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (South Padre Island) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for South Padre Island may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
South Padre Island is 66 km (41 miles) from Harlingen. If you plan a vacation in Texas, look for hotels and other accommodation in Harlingen. Harlingen has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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