Surf Forecasts:
South Padre Island surf forecast from 10 Jul 2026:
- Most powerful swell: Monday 13 Jul, 1PM (local time) - 4ft (1.2m), 7s period, SE swell with 135 kJ wave energy.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for South Padre Island this week:
The most powerful waves expected at South Padre Island in the next 16 days are 1.2m 7s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Jul 13) at 1PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives.
| Wave Type | Time (CDT) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | - | - |
| Best Surf | - | - |
| Most Powerful | 1PM (Mon 13th Jul) | 4ft (1.2m) 7s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for South Padre Island over the next 16 days.
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s be straight with you – this outlook for South Padre Island is a tough one to write.
Right now, we’re looking at a stretch where there is simply no good surf on offer. The whole 16-day window from July 10th right through to the end of the month is a blank run. Every single session in the forecast comes in with poor surf conditions. The wind is stuck in a terrible pattern, blowing cross-onshore or messy cross-shore nearly the entire time, with speeds ramping up from a moderate 12 mph to a strong 28 mph by the end. That’s going to leave the water chopped up, lumpy, and messy – not what you want on a beach/jetty setup.
The swell is tiny and weak. We’re looking at chest-high waves at the absolute best, with most days offering knee- to waist-high slop. The swell period is short, between 4 and 7 seconds, so there’s no real energy behind it – the combined energy figures are low, ranging from a pathetic 11 up to a moderate 212, but even that higher number on July 13th afternoon is completely ruined by a fresh cross-onshore wind. The swell direction is coming from the SE and ESE, which is the optimum direction for this spot, but honestly, with the wind and lack of size, it doesn’t matter.
Because the break here is a beach and jetty, and we’ve got significant wind and poor quality, this setup honestly looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing for the foreseeable future.
You might see a tiny window late on July 17th or July 19th where the wind eases to a gentle cross-shore, but the swell is still non-existent at 2 ft with a period of just 4 to 6 seconds. It won't be worth the paddle.
The water temp is about average for this time of year, so no surprises there.
It’s a long, slow, frustrating run. For an area like this, a blank stretch is more normal when the summer wind patterns lock in. We just have to wait for a shift. Forecasts can change, but right now? Leave the board in the car and go do something else.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastModerate rain (total 13mm), heaviest on Fri morning. Warm (max 29°C on Sun afternoon, min 26°C on Fri afternoon). Mainly fresh winds. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 28°C on Sun night, min 27°C on Sun night). Mainly fresh winds. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Friday 10 | Saturday 11 | Sunday 12 | Monday 13 | Tuesday 14 | Wednesday 15 | Thursday 16 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 5 | SE 5 | SE 6 | ESE 6 | ESE 6 | ESE 6 | ESE 6 | ESE 7 | ESE 6 | ESE 6 | SE 7 | ESE 7 | ESE 6 | ESE 7 | ESE 6 | ESE 6 | SE 6 | SE 6 | ESE 6 | ESE 6 | SE 6 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 10 | 49 | 32 | 39 | 87 | 64 | 50 | 110 | 104 | 85 | 121 | 68 | 64 | 59 | 49 | 31 | 40 | 38 | 20 | 22 | 30 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on |
High Tide | 4:23AM0.66m | 5:13AM0.71m | 6:02AM0.72m | 6:47AM0.70m | 7:25AM0.66m | 1:17PM0.59m | 7:50AM0.60m | 3:32PM0.56m | |||||||||||||
Low Tide | 6:28PM0.05m | 7:24PM-0.01m | 8:22PM-0.06m | 9:20PM-0.07m | 10:17PM-0.05m | 12:43PM0.59m | 11:11PM0.01m | 12:23PM0.53m | 00:03AM0.10m | ||||||||||||
 | |  | |  | | |  |  | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
 | 6:41 | — | — | 6:43 | — | — | 6:43 | — | — | 6:43 | — | — | 6:43 | — | — | 6:45 | — | — | 6:45 | — | — |
 | — | 8:24 | — | — | 8:24 | — | — | 8:24 | — | — | 8:24 | — | — | 8:24 | — | — | 8:23 | — | — | 8:23 | — |
mm | 6 | 1 | — | 2 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
Temp °C | 28 | 27 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 29 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 27 |
Feels °C | 29 | 26 | 30 | 29 | 30 | 29 | 30 | 30 | 30 | 29 | 28 | 30 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 29 | 29 | 29 | 31 | 28 | 27 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 9 | ESE 9 | E 9 | E 9 | — | — | — | ESE 7 | — | — | SE 7 | E 10 | E 12 | E 10 | E 10 | E 9 | E 9 | E 10 | ESE 6 | E 9 | E 9 |
| kJ | 1 | 7 | 2 | 2 | — | — | — | 110 | — | — | 121 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 20 | 2 | 2 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | E 8 | — | — | ESE 9 | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | 7 | — | — |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | E 8 | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 5 | SE 5 | SE 6 | ESE 6 | ESE 6 | ESE 6 | ESE 6 | ESE 7 | ESE 6 | ESE 6 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | ESE 6 | ESE 7 | ESE 6 | ESE 6 | SE 6 | SE 6 | — | ESE 6 | SE 6 |
| kJ | 10 | 49 | 32 | 39 | 87 | 64 | 50 | 62 | 104 | 85 | 91 | 68 | 64 | 59 | 49 | 31 | 40 | 38 | — | 22 | 30 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 971 | 1059 | 971 | 974 | 214 | 992 | 974 | 1063 | 971 | 974 | 1073 | 971 | 974 | 1062 | 971 | 974 | 1059 | 971 | 974 | 1208 | 999 |
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Information about the South Padre Island Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for South Padre Island provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at South Padre Island can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our South Padre Island surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (South Padre Island) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for South Padre Island may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
South Padre Island is 66 km (41 miles) from Harlingen. If you plan a vacation in Texas, look for hotels and other accommodation in Harlingen. Harlingen has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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