
Surf Forecasts:
South Padre Island surf forecast from 9 Jul 2026:
- Most powerful swell: Tuesday 14 Jul, 1PM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.1m), 7s period, SE swell with 125 kJ wave energy.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for South Padre Island this week:
The most powerful waves expected at South Padre Island in the next 16 days are 1.1m 7s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jul 14) at 1PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives.
| Wave Type | Time (CDT) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | - | - |
| Best Surf | - | - |
| Most Powerful | 1PM (Tue 14th Jul) | 3.5ft (1.1m) 7s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for South Padre Island over the next 16 days.
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s be honest right up front—this 16-day window for South Padre Island is a tough one. The whole run is a bust, plain and simple. We’re looking at a solid stretch of nothing worth paddling out for, starting now and running all the way through Thursday, July 24th. That’s more than two weeks where the surf just isn’t happening.
The main issue is a persistent SE wind that just won’t let up, blowing cross-onshore every single day. It’s choppy, lumpy, and messy. Early on, Thursday and Friday, July 9th and 10th, we’ve got tiny swell—1 ft to 3 ft—with short periods of 4 to 6 seconds. The combined energy is weak, barely registering (9 to 33). It’s poor. The weekend of July 11th-12th is a little bigger, up to 3 ft, but still short-period and cross-on, with weak energy (55 to 72). Not worth the drive.
Things try to pick up a touch around Monday, July 13th, with swell hitting 4 ft and a period of 7 seconds, and the combined energy jumps to 123 (moderate). But it’s still cross-onshore, choppy, and the data says “poor surf conditions.” The wind is up to 22 mph in the afternoon, just ruining any chance of a clean wave.
The best-looking swell in the whole window is actually on Saturday, July 19th, with 5 ft swell from the SE at 7 seconds and combined energy hitting 292 (moderate). But again, it’s cross-onshore, lumpy, and the wind is up. The setup is just too rough for a fun paddle session. Honestly, if you’re itching for the water, this looks more interesting for a kite surfer than a log or a shortboard.
South Padre (South Padre Island) is a beach/jetty break, exposed to the ESE swell, but it’s inconsistent at the best of times. With this forecast, even the consistent days aren’t delivering. The truth is, a blank run like this isn’t that unusual for the area; it happens. It’s a flat spell, and forecasts can change, but right now, I’d say hang the board up for a couple of weeks and wait for something better.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastModerate rain (total 12mm), heaviest on Fri morning. Warm (max 28°C on Thu morning, min 26°C on Wed night). Mainly fresh winds. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Tue morning. Warm (max 29°C on Sun afternoon, min 27°C on Sun night). Mainly fresh winds. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Thursday 9 | Friday 10 | Saturday 11 | Sunday 12 | Monday 13 | Tuesday 14 | Wednesday 15 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 6 | ESE 6 | SE 5 | SE 6 | SE 4 | ESE 6 | ESE 6 | ESE 6 | ESE 6 | ESE 6 | ESE 6 | SE 5 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | ESE 6 | SE 6 | ESE 7 | ESE 6 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
8 | 21 | 31 | 31 | 26 | 57 | 62 | 72 | 53 | 55 | 60 | 79 | 123 | 96 | 96 | 81 | 73 | 49 | 39 | 51 | 16 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on |
High Tide | 7:40AM0.53m | 3:35AM0.60m | 4:23AM0.66m | 5:13AM0.71m | 6:02AM0.72m | 6:47AM0.70m | 7:25AM0.66m | 1:17PM0.59m | |||||||||||||
Low Tide | 4:22AM0.52m | 5:35PM0.13m | 6:28PM0.05m | 7:24PM-0.01m | 8:22PM-0.06m | 9:20PM-0.07m | 10:17PM-0.05m | 12:43PM0.59m | 11:11PM0.01m | ||||||||||||
6:41 | — | — | 6:41 | — | — | 6:43 | — | — | 6:43 | — | — | 6:43 | — | — | 6:43 | — | — | 6:45 | — | — | |
— | 8:25 | — | — | 8:24 | — | — | 8:24 | — | — | 8:24 | — | — | 8:24 | — | — | 8:24 | — | — | 8:23 | — | |
mm | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | — | 2 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 2 | — | — |
Temp °C | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 29 | 28 | 29 | 29 | 28 | 28 | 29 | 28 | 28 | 29 | 28 |
Feels °C | 29 | 27 | 28 | 30 | 28 | 29 | 29 | 28 | 30 | 29 | 31 | 29 | 30 | 29 | 28 | 30 | 30 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 29 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 6 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | E 9 | ESE 8 | — | E 9 | — | — | — | — | — | — | E 12 | E 10 | — | — | E 10 | SE 6 | — | ESE 6 |
8 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 7 | — | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 3 | 8 | — | — | 2 | 39 | — | 16 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | ESE 8 | — | E 10 |
1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 12 | — | 2 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | ESE 6 | SE 5 | SE 6 | SE 4 | ESE 6 | ESE 6 | ESE 6 | ESE 6 | ESE 6 | ESE 6 | SE 5 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | ESE 6 | — | ESE 7 | SE 4 |
— | 21 | 31 | 31 | 26 | 57 | 62 | 72 | 53 | 55 | 60 | 79 | 123 | 96 | 96 | 81 | 73 | 49 | — | 51 | 9 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 971 | 974 | 971 | 974 | 992 | 971 | 974 | 1063 | 992 | 974 | 1063 | 971 | 307 | 1062 | 971 | 214 | 308 | 971 | 974 | 1073 | 971 |
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Information about the South Padre Island Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for South Padre Island provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at South Padre Island can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our South Padre Island surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (South Padre Island) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for South Padre Island may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
South Padre Island is 66 km (41 miles) from Harlingen. If you plan a vacation in Texas, look for hotels and other accommodation in Harlingen. Harlingen has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.










