Surf Forecasts:
South Padre Island surf forecast from 11 Jul 2026:
- Most powerful swell: Wednesday 15 Jul, 10AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.4m), 7s period, SE swell with 183 kJ wave energy.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for South Padre Island this week:
The most powerful waves expected at South Padre Island in the next 16 days are 1.4m 7s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 15) at 10AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives.
| Wave Type | Time (CDT) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | - | - |
| Best Surf | - | - |
| Most Powerful | 10AM (Wed 15th Jul) | 4.5ft (1.4m) 7s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for South Padre Island over the next 16 days.
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s be straight with you. The next 16 days are a tough stretch for South Padre Island. The wind is almost always working against us, and the swell is small, weak, and coming from the wrong direction. We’ve got a long gap of very poor conditions before anything even looks rideable, and even then, it’s a mess.
The first recommendation doesn’t pop up until the morning of Thursday, July 16th, but don’t get your hopes up. For the first week, from Friday the 10th right through to Wednesday the 15th, it’s a total write-off. We’re looking at tiny, wind-affected waves with a weak combined energy of around 38 to 85. The water’s sitting at a warm 84°, which is about normal for this time of year, but that’s the only thing that’s comfortable.
The best of a bad bunch is on Thursday, July 16th, in the morning. South Padre Island is showing a 5ft swell from the SE, with a short period of 7 seconds. The wind is a moderate cross-onshore from the SE at 16 mph. It’s not clean, but the energy jumps up to 301, which is a noticeable pulse. It’s still choppy, but it’s the most size we’ll see in the whole run. If you’re desperate, that’s your window.
After that, it’s back to small, weak, onshore junk. The wind stays fresh, and the swell drops back under 3ft for days. There’s a little bump around Thursday, July 23rd, with a 5ft swell from the SE, but again, the wind is fresh cross-onshore at 19 mph, making it lumpy. The very end of the fortnight, Saturday, July 25th, offers a similar story: 4ft from the SE, but with a 22 mph cross-onshore wind. That’s kite-surfing breeze, not paddle-surfing quality.
Honestly, South Padre is a beach and jetty, and with this constant side-shore wind and small, weak swell, it’s just not going to deliver. The only real standout is that Thursday morning the 16th, and it’s a low bar. Keep an eye on the charts, because this place can turn around, but for now, it’s a long, flat, windy wait.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 3mm), mostly falling on Fri night. Warm (max 28°C on Sat morning, min 27°C on Fri night). Mainly fresh winds. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 28°C on Mon night, min 27°C on Mon night). Mainly fresh winds. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Saturday 11 | Sunday 12 | Monday 13 | Tuesday 14 | Wednesday 15 | Thursday 16 | Friday 17 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 6 | ESE 6 | ESE 6 | ESE 6 | ESE 6 | ESE 6 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | SE 6 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | SE 7 | ESE 7 | ESE 6 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | ESE 6 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 61 | 49 | 53 | 34 | 33 | 58 | 96 | 105 | 70 | 153 | 83 | 117 | 183 | 99 | 90 | 96 | 88 | 100 | 108 | 136 | 160 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on |
High Tide | 4:23AM0.66m | 5:13AM0.71m | 6:02AM0.72m | 6:47AM0.70m | 7:25AM0.66m | 1:17PM0.59m | 7:50AM0.60m | 3:32PM0.56m | 8:03AM0.54m | 5:14PM0.51m | |||||||||||
Low Tide | 7:24PM-0.01m | 8:22PM-0.06m | 9:20PM-0.07m | 10:17PM-0.05m | 12:43PM0.59m | 11:11PM0.01m | 12:23PM0.53m | 00:03AM0.10m | 12:55PM0.46m | 00:50AM0.20m | |||||||||||
 |  |  | |  |  | | | | | | | | | | | |  | | | | |
 | 6:43 | — | — | 6:43 | — | — | 6:43 | — | — | 6:43 | — | — | 6:45 | — | — | 6:45 | — | — | 6:46 | — | — |
 | — | 8:24 | — | — | 8:24 | — | — | 8:24 | — | — | 8:24 | — | — | 8:23 | — | — | 8:23 | — | — | 8:23 | — |
mm | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1 | 2 | — |
Temp °C | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 |
Feels °C | 29 | 29 | 29 | 30 | 29 | 29 | 29 | 28 | 29 | 29 | 29 | 27 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 29 | 28 | 27 | 28 | 27 | 29 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 9 | ESE 9 | E 10 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | E 9 | — | — | — | SE 6 | E 10 | — | SE 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | 2 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 2 | — | — | — | 153 | 8 | — | 183 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 6 | ESE 6 | ESE 6 | ESE 6 | ESE 6 | ESE 6 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | ESE 6 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | ESE 6 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | ESE 6 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 |
| kJ | 61 | 49 | 53 | 34 | 33 | 58 | 96 | 105 | 70 | 85 | 83 | 117 | 99 | 99 | 90 | 96 | 88 | 100 | 108 | 136 | 160 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 971 | 974 | 1063 | 971 | 974 | 1063 | 971 | 974 | 1062 | 971 | 974 | 1059 | 971 | 974 | 1062 | 971 | 974 | 1063 | 971 | 992 | 1062 |
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Information about the South Padre Island Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for South Padre Island provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at South Padre Island can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our South Padre Island surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (South Padre Island) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for South Padre Island may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
South Padre Island is 66 km (41 miles) from Harlingen. If you plan a vacation in Texas, look for hotels and other accommodation in Harlingen. Harlingen has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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