Condos Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s tackle this stretch ahead. I’ve got the full 16-day window laid out, and I’ll be straight with you – it’s a tough one. We’re looking at a long, dry spell with nothing really worth paddling out for. The first real sniff of anything rideable is a long way off, so don’t hold your breath just yet.

The entire period is dominated by weak, short-period wind swell from the southeast. The combined energy of the swells barely breaks into three digits, hitting a peak of 161 (moderate energy) on the morning of Friday the 17th of July, but even then, the conditions are poor. The wind is a constant cross-onshore, chopping everything up. For the first week and a half, every single session is marked as "poor surf conditions." There’s a gap of almost two weeks with no real recommendations.

The only break on the radar is Condos. It’s a beginner-friendly, fairly consistent spot, exposed to the SE swell, but the optimum swell direction is SE, which matches the swell direction we get. The problem is the wind. We have a moderate to fresh breeze from the SSE or SE, blowing cross-onshore, creating lumpy, choppy conditions. The swell height hangs around 3 ft to 4 ft, but the period is a dismal 5 to 7 seconds – that’s pure wind chop, no power or shape. Even on the afternoon of Wednesday the 15th of July, when the wind switches to "on" for a brief moment, the swell is still weak and short.

For a standout, you’d have to look at the morning of Thursday the 16th of July. The combined energy hits 150 (moderate), and the swell is 4 ft from the SE. But it’s a risk of thunderstorms, the wind is a fresh cross-onshore at 19 mph, and the period is only 6 seconds. It’s not a day for a clean session. Because of the persistent cross-onshore wind and short-period chop, this setup actually looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing. The water is sitting at a warm 84°F, which is about average for the time of year, with an anomaly of +0.7°F.

After the 17th, the energy drops off fast. From the 20th of July onwards, the swell fades below 2 ft, and the energy is in the 20s and 30s (weak). It’s a flat, choppy wasteland. By the 23rd of July, the period drops to 4 seconds, and the wind is cross-shore and cross-onshore, with a cross-chop. There’s just nothing to get excited about here. The forecast is fairly reliable for the near term, and it’s a blank run. This area sometimes sees poor runs like this, so don’t be shocked.

Rusty.

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