Condos Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s get real about what’s on the table for Condos (Condos_1). I’ve looked at the full 16-day picture, and honestly, it’s a tough one.

We’ve got a long stretch ahead with no real action worth paddling out for. The whole window is plagued by poor surf conditions. The first mention of any surf recommendation comes on Thursday, July 9th, but it’s a rough start. Swell is tiny at 0.5ft from the SE, with periods of 5 to 6 seconds – that’s weak, short-period windswill. The wind is cross-onshore, and the water is a warm 85°, which is about 2° warmer than average for the time of year, so nothing wild there. But the surf quality? Just poor.

That sets the tone. For the next several days straight, it’s all poor surf conditions. Tiny waves – nothing over 4ft until later in the month. The wind is consistently cross-onshore or onshore, keeping the surface chopped up. The combined swell energy stays mostly low, with two-digit values under 100 (weak) for most of the run. There are a few moments on Monday the 13th where we see moderate energy with readings of 124 and 114, but the swell is still only 4ft with a 6-second period, and the cross-onshore wind ruins it.

Because this is a beginner spot that is fairly consistent, the lack of any clean, rideable waves is a real bust. For a spot that’s exposed to swell with an optimum direction from the SE, we do get plenty of swell from that direction, but the timing and wind never align.

Looking further out, there’s a small uptick around Monday, July 20th, with a 4ft swell and combined energy hitting 103 (moderate). The morning is a risk of thunderstorms with cross-onshore wind, but the afternoon clears up with an onshore wind. Still, the periods are short (6 seconds), so the waves will be weak and crumbly. Not a standout.

Really, for the whole 16-day window, there’s no single day I’d call a standout. The swell never gets above 4ft, and when it does have a bit of energy, the wind is all wrong. The best you could hope for is a quick session on one of the afternoons with onshore wind, but the quality will still be poor. There’s a gap of poor conditions from the start all the way through to late July. It’s a block of nothing special.

For the expert crew, the swell never gets over 8ft, so it’s never just for experts. For beginners, it stays under 5ft, but the conditions are so poor it’s not worth it.

If the wind keeps up like this, and the swell stays weak, the break looks more interesting for a kite surfer than a paddle surfer given the consistent cross-onshore winds and small, choppy waves.

Stay patient, mates. It’s a waiting game.

- Rusty

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