Condos Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s coming up for Condos.

Right off the bat, I gotta be straight with you – it’s a tough outlook. We’re looking at a solid 16-day window, but there’s really no decent surf on the cards. The first recommendation doesn’t pop up until July 13th, and honestly, even then it’s a struggle. The whole run is plagued by cross-onshore winds, short-period windswell, and generally poor conditions.

For the first week, from Monday July 13th right through to the weekend of July 19th, the swell is tiny and weak. We’re talking heights from 3 ft to 5 ft, but all coming from the SE with a period of just 6 to 7 seconds. That’s weak, disorganised energy. The combined swell energy barely gets into the moderate range (a high of 343 on Thursday July 16th afternoon, but with a fresh cross-onshore breeze making it lumpy and choppy). It’s pretty much all “poor surf conditions” and zero-rated across the board. Don’t even think about paddling out unless you like dodging whitewash and getting blown off your line.

Then we hit a lull. From around Sunday July 20th, things drop right off. Swell heights slip under 3 ft, periods crash to 4 or 5 seconds, and the energy numbers are in the weak zone (down to 19 on Thursday July 24th afternoon). That stretch from July 21st to July 26th is a dead zone – tiny, onshore slop. It’s not worth wetting a wetsuit.

There is one tiny flicker of life right at the very end. On Monday July 27th, we see a bit of a pulse. Swell height bumps up to 4 ft from the SSE, with a period of 6 seconds, and the combined energy hits 117 (moderate). Winds are still cross-onshore though, so it’s messy. And on Tuesday July 28th morning, it gets a bit bigger at 5 ft from the SSE, period still 6 seconds, energy up to 202 – but the wind is either onshore or cross-onshore, and the report still says “poor surf conditions.” At 5 ft, it’s pushing out of beginner territory, but with those winds, it’s a grovel for anyone.

The water temp at the start on July 13th is 84°, which is pretty normal for the time of year – no anomaly to speak of. That’s the only bit of good news.

Look, Condos is an exposed SE spot, and it’s a beginner-friendly wave when it’s clean. But with this persistent SE wind and short-period swell, the set-up looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing for most of this period. The consistent onshore flow and moderate energy mean the breaks will be choppy and blown-out. We’ve got a few days with next to no swell – that’s just how it goes sometimes in this area. Forecasts can change, but right now, I’d give this one a miss unless you’re desperate for a paddle.

Rusty.

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