Condos Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, folks, Rusty here. Let’s be straight up: this outlook for Condos is a tough one. The next couple of weeks are looking mostly flat and messy, with very little to get excited about for a paddle surfer. We’ve got a long stretch of poor conditions ahead, but there is one day that might just save the run.

Right now, through the first week of July, it’s pretty grim. We’re looking at tiny swell, mostly between 2ft and 3ft, with a short, weak period around 4-6 seconds. The wind is a constant problem—cross-on or cross-shore, keeping the surface choppy and lumpy. The combined swell energy is weak, barely cracking 60 (16-59) for most of the week, so there’s just no power in the water. You’d be fighting an onshore breeze for nothing. This stretch runs from Sunday the 5th all the way through to about Tuesday the 14th.

The first real glimmer, and I mean *glimmer*, shows up on the morning of Monday, July 14th. We finally get a shift. A light 6 mph SW wind swings cross-offshore, cleaning the surface right up. The swell is a modest 3ft from the SE with a period of 7 seconds. The energy is still low at 89, but for the first time, the conditions are described as “clean.” It’s not pumping, but it’s surfable. The difficulty here is beginner, and it’s fairly consistent, so this is a session for the foam boards or a longboard, just to get a few crumbly lines in without the chop. Crowds are possible here, but on a day like this, it probably won’t be packed.

After that brief moment of calm, the wind turns nasty again right through the rest of that week, and we’re back to choppy, poor surf.

Now, here’s the standout, and it’s a long way off. Saturday the 18th of July. The morning session at Condos is the one to circle on your calendar. We’ve got an 8ft SE groundswell rolling in with a period of 10 seconds—that’s proper energy. The combined swell energy jumps to a whopping 1210, which is strong. The wind is light from the SW, creating cross-offshore, clean conditions. This is where it gets real. However, at 8ft, this is expert territory. It’ll be big, powerful, and for a beach break, that long 10-second period can make it a bit straight and dumpy.

So here’s the summary: there are over 10 days of flat, choppy junk to sit through. The only real, honest-to-goodness highlight is the morning of Saturday, July 18th. That’s the one session with size, power, and clean wind. Get ready for that one, because everything else is a write-off. The water temp is sitting around 84°, which is pretty much normal for this time of year.

Stay patient. Rusty.

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