Condos Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Right, well I’ve had a good look at what’s on the horizon for this stretch, and to be honest, it’s looking like a pretty grim run for a while. The only spot on the roster is Condos, and it’s a beginner-friendly, fairly consistent place that’s exposed to swell from the SE. The water temp is sitting at 84°, which is about 0.5° warmer than usual for the time of year – so pretty average, nothing wild.

The first real chance of any surf worth paddling out for doesn’t kick off until Saturday the 12th of July. Before that, we’ve got a solid week of nothing but poor surf conditions. From Saturday the 4th right through Friday the 11th, it’s all cross-on winds, tiny swell under 4 ft, and short periods under 6 seconds. The combined wave energy is mostly weak (15 to 105), so honestly, don’t even bother.

Saturday the 12th sees a slight shift. On the Sunday morning, there’s some onshore flow swinging to an on wind from the SE with a clean wind state. The swell is still small at 3 ft from the SE, but the period stays short at 6 seconds, giving it a combined energy of 64 (weak). It’s a tiny step up, but still poor surf conditions are flagged. By Monday the 13th, the swell bumps up a notch to 4 ft from the SE in the morning, period climbing to 7 seconds, and energy hits 156 (moderate). That afternoon, the swell pushes to 5 ft from the SE with 377 (moderate) energy, but it’s still cross-on and labelled poor. Not exactly a standout.

Tuesday the 14th has a morning cross swell of 3 ft from the SE, period 8 seconds, and 128 (moderate) – again, poor conditions. The real kicker might be Thursday the 16th afternoon, with swell jumping to 5 ft from the SSE, period 6 seconds, and energy at 169 (moderate). But it’s blowing 22 mph cross-on, so it’s messy.

Now, Friday the 17th of July is the most notable window. The morning brings 8 ft from the SSE, period 8 seconds, and combined energy of 576 (strong). That’s a proper increase in size. However, it’s coming with strong cross-on winds of 19 mph, and the poor surf tag is attached. At over 8 ft, this is expert territory. The afternoon settles to 5 ft with 269 (moderate), but again cross-on. Saturday the 18th still has some push, with 5 ft from the SE in the morning and 451 (strong) energy, but cross-on wind and a risk of thunderstorms.

Honestly, nothing in this 16-day window has the right combo of clean wind, decent period, and quality direction to be a true standout. The surf quality is consistently poor, and with cross-on winds dominating, it’s not shaping up well for a traditional paddle session. Given the consistent onshore flow and beach setup, this stretch honestly looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing for most of the period.

Keep an eye on it, but for now, it’s a long wait.

Rusty.

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