Condos Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s on the table for Condos. I’ve gotta be straight with you – the next week and a half is looking pretty flat. We’ve got a long stretch of nothing worth paddling out for, so don’t be in a rush to wax up.

The first real sniff of action doesn’t show up until Wednesday the 9th of September. Through the end of August and right into the first week of September, we’re dealing with tiny, weak waves. Swell heights are hanging around 0.7 ft to 3 ft, with periods so short (4 to 6 seconds) there’s just no push. The combined energy is barely a whisper, with values like 14 to 39 – that’s practically flat. Winds are mostly cross-on or onshore, chopping up what little bump there is. There’s a glassy morning on Saturday the 29th of August, but with only 1 ft of swell, it’s still a lake. You’d be better off enjoying the clear skies from the beach.

Now, here’s where it gets a bit interesting. On Wednesday the 9th of September, the swell finally shows a pulse. The morning will see a jump to 5 ft from the SSE, with the period stretching to 6 seconds. The combined energy climbs to 158 (moderate). That’s a real step up from the flat spell. But, and it’s a big but, the wind is blowing cross-shore from the SSW at 9 mph, which will put a bit of a crinkle on the face. The afternoon gets bigger, hitting 5 ft from the SSE, but the wind swings onshore from the SE at 16 mph, making it choppy and messy. This swell is still short-period, so it won’t have that long-awaited power, but it’s the only real window of size we’ve got.

Thursday the 10th of September holds some of that energy, with 4 ft in the morning from the SSE, but again, that cross-on wind at 16 mph will wreck the shape. The energy drops to 145. By the afternoon, it’s fading to 4 ft.

So, what’s the standout? It’s got to be the morning of Wednesday the 9th of September. The swell is the biggest of the whole forecast, and the cross-shore wind is the best we’ll see for that size. It’s not going to be perfect, but for a break that’s "fairly consistent" and exposed to the swell, it’s the only real shot. The water is a warm 85°F, which is about average for the time of year, so you won’t need a wetsuit.

Looking further out, there’s nothing else on the horizon. After the 10th, it’s back to small, weak junk. This is a long dry spell, but with a break like this that’s fairly consistent, it tends not to stay this poor forever. Forecasts can change.

Stay patient, and keep an eye on that Wednesday morning.

Rusty

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