Condos Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s break it down.

Honestly, looking at the next sixteen days… it’s a tough watch. We’ve got a real flat spell on the cards. The first surf recommendation doesn’t even pop up until we look at the tail end of the outlook, and even then, it’s nothing to write home about.

The whole period is dominated by tiny, weak swell with poor conditions. Most days are cross-onshore or onshore, keeping the surface chopped up. There’s a long stretch from now through to early August where every session is rated as “poor surf conditions” with scores of zero. It’s a grim picture for paddle surfing.

Let’s talk about the only game in town for the whole 16 days: Condos. It’s an exposed, beginner-friendly spot, and it’s fairly consistent in picking up what little energy is out there, but it’s rarely good. All the swell we see here is short-period, windswell stuff coming from the southeast, with periods stuck at only 5 to 8 seconds. There’s no groundswell to speak of.

The combined swell energy is weak for almost the entire time – values barely climbing into the double digits, mostly between 27 and 89. It only just touches moderate territory on the morning of August 14th, hitting 102, but the conditions are still cross-onshore and grotty. The swell height stays tiny, between 1 ft and 3 ft. For a beginner break, that’s fine, but for anyone with a shred of experience, it’s barely worth the walk.

The only bright spot, and I mean the *only* one, is Sunday morning on the 2nd of August. The wind goes glassy out of the ENE for a few hours. The swell is a pathetic 3 ft from the SSE with a 5-second period and combined energy of just 41, but that glassy surface will make it look a million times better than it has any right to. If you’re absolutely desperate for a splash, that’s your window. After that, it’s right back to choppy, messy cross-onshore junk through the afternoon and for days to come.

Even the 14th of August, when the energy ticks up a notch (102), the wind is still cross-onshore from the SSE and the period is just 7 seconds. You’ll get a slightly bigger, bumpy closeout. Not worth the drive.

Crowds at Condos can pop up sometimes, but with surf this poor, it’ll be empty. The water temperature is sitting at a very warm 84°F with an anomaly of 1°F, so that’s about average for the time of year – at least you won’t freeze waiting for a wave that never comes.

Honestly, with this persistent onshore flow and tiny, weak swell, the setup here looks more interesting for a kite surfer than for someone with a paddle. There’s just no power or shape in the water for a proper surf.

Keep your expectations on the floor. Forecasts can change, but right now, it’s a long wait for a rare, glassy puff.

Rusty.

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