Condos Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here again, switching to feet and miles for the crew that thinks that way.

The outlook starts on Thursday, July 16, and it’s a tough stretch. For the first ten days, there’s almost nothing to get excited about. A big gap with no real surf until the very end of the 16-day window.

The only spot we’re looking at is Condos – a beginner-friendly, fairly consistent beach break that’s exposed to the swell. The problem is the wind and the tiny waves. From Thursday the 16th all the way through to about Tuesday the 28th, the swell is tiny, mostly between 0.7 ft and 4 ft, with periods struggling to hit 6 seconds. The wind is a constant cross-onshore from the SSE and SE, blowing at 12 to 19 mph, making the ocean choppy and lumpy. The combined energy is weak, mostly in the double digits, so there’s just no power. The water is a warm 83°, which is normal for the time of year, so that’s not the issue.

There’s a brief moment on the morning of Thursday the 23rd where the wind goes glassy – a light 3 mph breeze – but the swell is only 0.7 ft. It’s flat, mate.

The real story picks up on Wednesday the 29th of July. The swell starts to nudge up to 4 ft from the SE, with periods still short at 6 seconds. The energy bumps into triple digits, but the wind is still cross-on from the SSE at 16 mph. It’s not clean, but it’s the first sign of life.

The standout window is Thursday the 30th of July. The morning sees swell building to 5 ft from the SE, and by the afternoon it’s hitting 5 ft from the SE with a period of 8 seconds. The combined energy jumps to 255 – that’s moderate wave energy, a real kick. However, the wind is still a fresh cross-onshore from the SSE at 19 mph. This is going to be lumpy, and at 5 ft, it’s borderline for beginners. For the more experienced crew, there’s some push, but the wind is making it a battle. The crowds here are "sometimes" an issue, so you might have a few others out.

After that, Friday the 31st settles back to 4 ft with the same cross-on mess.

So, the honest truth: there’s nothing worth a special trip for the first nine days. The best on offer is the afternoon of Thursday the 30th, with the biggest swell of the period, but it’s compromised by the wind. If you’re a beginner, this is a miss. If you’re an expert, it’s a maybe, but don’t expect perfection. Given the consistent cross-onshore winds and the beach break setup, this looks more interesting for a kite surfer than a paddle surfer for most of the run.

Rusty.

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