Sawtell-The Island Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, grab a coffee and listen up. Rusty here.

We’ve got a solid run ahead, but ya gotta pick your moments. The first few days are all about big, powerful groundswell, and it’s a pretty wild ride before it settles into a mellow, clean spell. Keep your eyes peeled for the standout day—it’s a good one.

Wednesday the 8th is where it kicks off, but this is for advanced crew only. Sawtell-The Island is pumping with a massive 12ft SSE groundswell. That’s huge, and with a period of 11 seconds, the energy is peaking at a very strong 4393. The wind is a cross-off S’ly breeze at 12 mph, which keeps it clean, but the swell is just too big for this break for most. The afternoon drops slightly to 8ft (3813 energy), but the wind stays the same. This is expert territory, no doubt.

Thursday the 9th hangs in there, but it’s dropping fast. Morning shows 7ft SSE swell (1840 energy) and moderate to strong cross-off winds, but the quality is marginal. By the afternoon, it’s down to 7ft from the SE (949 energy) and the wind is lighter, but it’s still not the pick.

Friday the 10th is where the mood shifts. Morning is looking tasty. The swell has dropped to a much more manageable 6ft from the SE, with a period of 10 seconds. The combined energy is a moderate 614, but the wind turns light from the SSW, making for clean, cross-off conditions. It’s a good, solid wave. The afternoon holds the same size but the wind goes cross-shore, which kills the shape a bit.

Now, here’s the highlight. Saturday morning, July 11th. The swell is a friendly 4ft from the ESE (471 energy), the wind is glassy—completely dead from the NNW at 3 mph. It’s gonna be a beautiful, clean morning with fun little waves. This is the standout for the week. The afternoon sees an ESE groundswell with a longer 11-second period, but the wind turns cross-on from the NNE, so the morning window is the one.

Sunday the 12th keeps the good vibes rolling with clean, offshore SW winds. The swell is 3ft from the ESE (205 energy), clean and lined up. Afternoon gets a bit more wind, but it’s still offshore from the SW. Good, solid weekend waves.

We drift into the new week. Monday the 13th is clean and glassy, but the swell is dropping to 3ft and the energy is weak (155), with a short period of 8 seconds. It’s surfable, but pretty ordinary.

Tuesday the 14th and Wednesday the 15th are a write-off. Swell drops below 2ft and the energy is pathetic (33 and 30). Basically, a flat spell.

Thursday the 16th brings a pulse back, but it’s a messy one. Morning is 5ft but with strong 16 mph cross-off winds and poor conditions. The afternoon kicks up to 7ft S’ly swell (1472 energy) but it’s still windy and marginal. This is more of a wind swell and not recommended for paddle surfing—it looks better for the kite crew.

Friday the 17th is similar: 7ft from the S (1335 energy) with strong cross-off winds, and the quality is poor for a paddle board. The wind stays on it into Saturday and Sunday, with fresh 19 mph breezes washing things out. Not your friend.

Monday the 20th finally sees a lull in the wind, but the swell is small (3ft) and the energy is weak. Tuesday the 21st has a glassy morning with just 3ft of weak E swell (98 energy)—barely rideable.

For the rest of the forecast, it’s tiny and ordinary right through to the 23rd, with a bit of a NE bump coming through with offshore winds, but it’s only 2ft. Not enough to get excited about.

So, the standout is Saturday morning, July 11th. Glassy, clean, and fun at Sawtell-The Island with that 4ft ESE swell. If you miss that, Friday morning the 10th is your next best bet for a clean 6ft wave. The rest is either too big, too windy, or too flat.

Stay stoked.

Rusty

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