Surf Forecasts:
Point Arena surf forecast from 16 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Sunday 23 Aug, 2AM (local time) - 8ft (2.4m), 8s period, NW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Saturday 22 Aug, 11PM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 8s period, NW swell with 897 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 16 Aug, 5AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.0m), 6s period with NW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Point Arena this week:
The surf forecast for Point Arena over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Aug 16) at 5AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.0m and 6s period. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Point Arena in the next 16 days are 2.5m 8s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Aug 22) at 11PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.4m 6s period and expected on Friday (Aug 21) at 5PM.
| Wave Type | Time (PDT) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 5AM (Sun 16th Aug) | 3.5ft (1.0m) 6s |
| Best Surf | 2AM (Sun 23rd Aug) | 8ft (2.4m) 8s |
| Most Powerful | 11PM (Sat 22nd Aug) | 8ft (2.5m) 8s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Point Arena over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s coming down the line for us.
Straight up, the next week and a half is a bit of a grind. We’ve got a long stretch of mediocre to poor conditions, but there is a light at the end of the tunnel. Hang tight, because the real action is on Sunday, August 23rd.
For the first several days, from Sunday the 16th right through to Saturday the 22nd, it’s a real struggle. The swell is mostly small, between 3 ft and 8 ft, coming from the NW. The problem is the wind. It’s a persistent moderate to fresh NW breeze, mostly cross or cross-off, which keeps things from being terrible, but the energy is just low. The combined swell energy is weak to moderate (between 64 and 625). It’s just not worth paddling out for. You’ll be scratching for scraps.
Now, let’s talk about the standout. On Sunday, August 23rd, we finally get a window. The morning is a bit iffy with a SW wind and a decent 8 ft NW swell, but the afternoon is where it’s at. The wind goes glassy – a slight WNW air at just 3 mph – and the surf is still a solid 7 ft from the NW with a period of 9 seconds. The combined energy is strong (770). The forecast says “expect very good surf conditions.” This is your session. The wind will be clean, the waves will have some punch. Keep in mind, at this size, it’s getting into the intermediate-to-expert territory. The water temp is about average for the time of year, so no surprises there.
After that, it’s a mixed bag. Monday the 24th and Tuesday the 25th are back to marginal, with the wind turning onshore or cross. The swell hangs around 5 ft to 6 ft, but it’s not clean. Then from Wednesday the 26th to Saturday the 29th, we get a building swell but the wind is a problem. By Thursday the 27th, the NW swell hits 10 ft to 12 ft with very strong energy (1472-2003), but it’s too big and the wind is howling from the NNW at 19 mph. That’s for experts only, and even then, it might be too much for the break. The rest of the month fades out into smaller, less clean conditions.
Bottom line: if you can wait for Sunday, August 23rd, that’s your best bet. It’s a glassy, clean, solid NW swell at Point Arena. Don’t waste your energy on the rest.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 15°C on Sun morning, min 11°C on Mon night). Winds increasing (calm on Sat night, fresh winds from the NNW by Tue afternoon). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 14°C on Wed morning, min 12°C on Tue night). Mainly fresh winds. | ||||||||||||||||||
Sunday 16 | Monday 17 | Tuesday 18 | Wednesday 19 | Thursday 20 | Friday 21 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NW 6 | NW 6 | NW 6 | NW 7 | NW 7 | NW 7 | NW 7 | NW 7 | NW 7 | NW 7 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 7 | NW 7 | NW 7 | NW 7 | NW 6 | WNW 10 | NW 7 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||
75 | 44 | 39 | 124 | 149 | 139 | 285 | 240 | 284 | 379 | 519 | 505 | 492 | 287 | 317 | 255 | 141 | 115 | 317 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | glassy | cross | cross-off | cross | cross | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off |
High Tide | 1:50AM1.63m | 2:30PM1.76m | 2:47AM1.43m | 3:07PM1.75m | 3:54AM1.25m | 3:46PM1.72m | 5:19AM1.13m | 4:32PM1.68m | 7:06AM1.10m | 5:26PM1.64m | 8:43AM1.14m | 6:28PM1.64m | |||||||
Low Tide | 8:04AM0.24m | 8:51PM0.37m | 8:39AM0.46m | 9:51PM0.35m | 9:14AM0.66m | 10:57PM0.34m | 9:54AM0.84m | 00:08AM0.31m | 10:46AM0.98m | 1:19AM0.26m | 12:02PM1.05m | 2:20AM0.19m | |||||||
— | 6:28 | — | — | 6:28 | — | — | 6:30 | — | — | 6:31 | — | — | 6:31 | — | — | 6:33 | — | — | |
8:09 | — | 8:07 | — | — | 8:07 | — | — | 8:06 | — | — | 8:04 | — | — | 8:02 | — | — | 8:00 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 13 | 15 | 14 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 13 |
Feels °C | 13 | 14 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 8 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NW 6 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | NW 7 | NW 7 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | WNW 12 | WNW 12 | WNW 11 | WNW 11 | WNW 11 | WNW 10 | SSW 13 |
75 | 519 | 506 | 124 | 149 | 334 | 268 | 239 | 357 | 291 | 305 | 309 | 193 | 242 | 173 | 167 | 88 | 115 | 99 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 16 | NW 6 | WNW 10 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | WNW 9 | SSW 18 | WNW 16 | WNW 15 | WNW 13 | WNW 12 | WNW 12 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 | WNW 11 |
627 | 44 | 30 | 405 | 334 | 43 | 62 | 50 | 85 | 102 | 172 | 169 | 252 | 220 | 229 | 236 | 154 | 99 | 65 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WNW 10 | NNW 7 | NW 7 | W 8 | W 9 | SSE 11 | S 10 | SSW 18 | NW 11 | SSW 13 | SW 20 | SW 21 | SW 21 | SW 19 | SW 19 | SW 20 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 18 |
34 | 20 | 14 | 37 | 39 | 11 | 8 | 62 | 5 | 65 | 16 | 18 | 18 | 57 | 58 | 15 | 50 | 80 | 49 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | NW 6 | — | — | NW 7 | NW 7 | NW 7 | NW 7 | NW 7 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 7 | NW 7 | NW 7 | NW 7 | NW 6 | NW 6 | NW 7 |
— | — | 39 | — | — | 139 | 285 | 240 | 284 | 379 | 519 | 505 | 492 | 287 | 317 | 255 | 141 | 133 | 317 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 46 | 120 | 46 | 46 | 265 | 43 | 91 | 72 | 43 | 82 | 125 | 43 | 165 | 264 | 43 | 165 | 264 | 43 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Mendocino County | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United States | |||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Point Arena Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Point Arena provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Point Arena can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Point Arena surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Point Arena) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Point Arena may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Point Arena is 52 km (32 miles) from Ukiah. If you plan a vacation in Mendocino County, look for hotels and other accommodation in Ukiah. Ukiah has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.











