Surf Forecasts:
Point Arena surf forecast from 15 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Monday 17 Aug, 5AM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 7s period, NW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Wednesday 19 Aug, 11PM (local time) - 8ft (2.4m), 8s period, NW swell with 699 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 14 Aug, 11PM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.1m), 7s period with NW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Point Arena this week:
The surf forecast for Point Arena over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Aug 14) at 11PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.1m and 7s period. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Point Arena in the next 16 days are 2.4m 8s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Aug 19) at 11PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.3m 6s period and expected on Friday (Aug 21) at 5PM.
| Wave Type | Time (PDT) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 11PM (Fri 14th Aug) | 3.5ft (1.1m) 7s |
| Best Surf | 5AM (Mon 17th Aug) | 5ft (1.6m) 7s |
| Most Powerful | 11PM (Wed 19th Aug) | 8ft (2.4m) 8s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Point Arena over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, this is Rusty, and I’m looking at the next couple of weeks here at Point Arena. It’s a bit of a mixed bag, and honestly, we’ve got a long stretch of nothing much to write home about before we see a glimmer of hope way out there.
The water temperature is running about 55°, which is a bit colder than normal for this time of year—about 3° cooler. So you’ll want a good wetsuit if you’re heading out.
Right now, through the first several days, it’s all pretty grim. There’s surf, but it’s small, messy, and the wind is just not cooperating. The combined swell energy is weak, sitting around 165 (weak energy) on Friday morning, and it doesn’t get much better. We’ve got a mix of cross-on and cross-off winds, but the swell is short-period (7 seconds) and just doesn’t have any punch. The wave heights are hovering around 3ft to 5ft, but it’s choppy and wind-affected. There’s a brief moment on Saturday afternoon where the swell drops to 2ft with a 13-second period, but that’s just too small to do anything with. Honestly, this first week is a write-off for decent waves.
We then hit a gap of several days with no real recommendations. The surf stays poor, with small, short-period swell and bumpy conditions. The wind is mostly cross-off but still fresh, and the waves are just not forming up. It’s not until Wednesday, August 19th, that we see a slight uptick—the swell picks up to 7ft from the northwest, and the period stretches to 8 seconds. The combined energy jumps to 721 (moderate energy), and the wind is clean cross-off. But it’s still rated as marginal, with questionable tide conditions. It’s not a standout, but it’s the first sign of life.
The best bet on offer, and I mean the only real standout, comes way down the line on Friday, August 28th. The morning session shows a solid 8ft of northwest swell, with a 9-second period. The combined energy is a massive 1960 (strong to very strong wave energy), which is the biggest we’ve seen in the whole outlook. The wind is cross-shore, which is a bit of a bummer, but for a spot like Point Arena (a reef break that’s very consistent and handles a northwest swell well), this is going to be a big, powerful day. The afternoon cleans up a bit with cross-off winds, but the energy drops to 987. Still, this is the one to circle. The swell direction is right on the money for this spot—directly from the northwest, which is its optimum. Be warned though, at 8ft, this is expert territory. It’s going to be a big, heavy wave.
The rest of the second week has some 6ft to 7ft days, but nothing that compares to that August 28th morning. The Sunday before that, August 23rd, shows 7-7ft but with cross-on or cross winds, so it won’t be as clean. The very end of the outlook, around August 27th afternoon, shows another 8ft day with a long 8-second period, and clean wind, but it’s still a marginal call.
So, in short: the first week is a dud. Mid-week around August 19th is a slight improvement, but still nothing special. The real standout, the one to get excited about, is the morning of Friday, August 28th, with a big, powerful northwest swell. It’s a long way off, so treat it as promising but not set in stone. For now, the Point is quiet, but that one day is worth watching.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 15°C on Sun morning, min 12°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 14°C on Mon afternoon, min 11°C on Mon night). Mainly fresh winds. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Friday 14 | Saturday 15 | Sunday 16 | Monday 17 | Tuesday 18 | Wednesday 19 | Thursday 20 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NW 7 | NW 7 | NW 7 | NW 7 | SW 13 | NW 6 | NW 6 | NW 6 | NW 7 | NW 7 | NW 7 | NW 7 | NW 7 | NW 7 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 7 | WNW 11 | NW 7 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
165 | 123 | 135 | 84 | 85 | 128 | 106 | 72 | 226 | 178 | 149 | 240 | 269 | 226 | 499 | 533 | 507 | 603 | 258 | 196 | 208 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | cross-off | cross | cross-on | cross-off | glassy | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off |
High Tide | 1:19PM1.70m | 00:57AM1.83m | 1:55PM1.75m | 1:50AM1.63m | 2:30PM1.76m | 2:47AM1.43m | 3:07PM1.75m | 3:54AM1.25m | 3:46PM1.72m | 5:19AM1.13m | 4:32PM1.68m | 7:06AM1.10m | 5:26PM1.64m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 7:01PM0.47m | 7:29AM0.04m | 7:55PM0.41m | 8:04AM0.24m | 8:51PM0.37m | 8:39AM0.46m | 9:51PM0.35m | 9:14AM0.66m | 10:57PM0.34m | 9:54AM0.84m | 00:08AM0.31m | 10:46AM0.98m | 1:19AM0.26m | ||||||||
6:26 | — | — | 6:28 | — | — | 6:28 | — | — | 6:28 | — | — | 6:30 | — | — | 6:31 | — | — | 6:31 | — | — | |
— | 8:10 | — | — | 8:09 | — | — | 8:07 | — | — | 8:07 | — | — | 8:06 | — | — | 8:04 | — | — | 8:02 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 14 | 14 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 15 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 12 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 12 |
Feels °C | 14 | 13 | 10 | 12 | 10 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 6 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NW 7 | NW 7 | SSW 18 | SSW 17 | SSW 16 | NW 6 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | NW 7 | NW 7 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | WNW 13 | WNW 12 | WNW 12 | WNW 11 | WNW 11 |
165 | 123 | 360 | 608 | 376 | 128 | 519 | 506 | 226 | 128 | 334 | 268 | 239 | 357 | 291 | 305 | 257 | 306 | 237 | 173 | 167 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 15 | SSW 14 | SW 14 | NW 7 | SW 13 | SSW 16 | NW 6 | WNW 10 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | W 9 | SSW 18 | SSW 18 | WNW 15 | WNW 14 | WNW 12 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 |
223 | 140 | 214 | 84 | 85 | 627 | 69 | 30 | 405 | 334 | 39 | 62 | 62 | 84 | 104 | 172 | 309 | 318 | 220 | 229 | 236 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 20 | SSW 19 | SSE 12 | WNW 10 | SSE 12 | WNW 10 | WNW 10 | SSE 11 | SSE 11 | W 9 | SSE 11 | WNW 13 | WNW 16 | NW 11 | SSW 13 | SW 20 | S 9 | SW 21 | SW 19 | SW 19 | WNW 14 |
149 | 201 | 29 | 35 | 47 | 34 | 32 | 25 | 22 | 40 | 11 | 17 | 25 | 5 | 65 | 16 | 2 | 18 | 57 | 58 | 21 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | NW 7 | — | NW 6 | — | NW 6 | NW 6 | — | NW 7 | NW 7 | NW 7 | NW 7 | NW 7 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 7 | NW 6 | NW 7 |
— | — | 135 | — | 77 | — | 106 | 72 | — | 178 | 149 | 240 | 269 | 226 | 499 | 533 | 507 | 603 | 258 | 196 | 208 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 46 | 120 | 30 | 165 | 91 | 0 | 46 | 120 | 7 | 120 | 265 | 43 | 91 | 102 | 43 | 145 | 102 | 43 | 165 | 264 | 43 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Mendocino County | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United States | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Point Arena Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Point Arena provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Point Arena can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Point Arena surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Point Arena) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Point Arena may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Point Arena is 52 km (32 miles) from Ukiah. If you plan a vacation in Mendocino County, look for hotels and other accommodation in Ukiah. Ukiah has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.











