
Surf Forecasts:
Point Arena surf forecast from 7 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Sunday 9 Aug, 8PM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 9s period, NW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Tuesday 11 Aug, 8PM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 9s period, NW swell with 1,833 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 9 Aug, 8PM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 9s period with NW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Point Arena this week:
The surf forecast for Point Arena over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Aug 09) at 8PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 3.5m and 9s period. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Point Arena in the next 16 days are 3.5m 9s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Aug 11) at 8PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.8m 16s period and expected on Sunday (Aug 09) at 5AM.
| Wave Type | Time (PDT) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 8PM (Sun 9th Aug) | 11ft (3.5m) 9s |
| Best Surf | 8PM (Sun 9th Aug) | 11ft (3.5m) 9s |
| Most Powerful | 8PM (Tue 11th Aug) | 11ft (3.5m) 9s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Point Arena over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, let’s not beat around the bush. The next couple of days are a total loss. We have some swell, sure, but the wind is blowing the wrong way and it’s turning the ocean into a washing machine. Not worth getting out of bed for.
The first glimpse of something decent is on Saturday the 9th. Swell is a solid 10ft, but it’s still rough with the cross-off breeze. The energy is ramping up, hitting 1473 by the afternoon. It’s a powerful west-northwest swell with a 9-second period, which is a bit short, but it has some grunt. Point Arena (Mendocino) is a reef, so it can take some size, but it won’t be perfect.
Sunday the 10th, we see the wind ease off a little. The swell is still pumping at 8ft, and the energy is still high at 1223 in the morning. It’s still cross-shore, but lighter, making for a slightly cleaner surface. It’s another powerful, grinding day. The water is sitting at 56°, which is a bit colder than usual for this time of year, so the wetsuit needs to be thick.
Monday the 11th is the one. This is the standout. We’ve got the same 10ft size, but the energy is highest we’ve seen, hitting 1512. The wind is cross, but it’s a gentle breeze, so the face should be glassier. This is a serious, heavy swell for experienced surfers only. The reef will be working hard, and the currents will be strong. This is the day to circle.
After that, it fades. The swell backs off through the week, and the winds turn onshore and messy. The 14th and 15th look weak, with waves dropping to around 3ft and energy draining away. Not worth the effort.
There is one more interesting blip on the 19th. The swell only picks up to around 4ft, but it’s a long-period swell at 12 seconds. This means more punch and better shape for the size. The energy reading is 709, which is moderate. The wind is cross-off and the surf looks clean. This could be a sneaky good day on the reef, but it’s far out, so treat it as a “maybe” rather than a “for sure.”
The rest of the second week is small and junky. We’re talking knee to waist high dribble with cross-shore winds. Not the time for a surf trip. If Point Arena was a beach break, you might think about the kite, but on a reef, it’s a no-go.
The honest truth? The whole period is a bit average. The standout is Monday the 11th. If you can only get one session, make it that one. Big, powerful, and with a touch less wind. The 9th and 10th are also options, just not as clean. And that long-period swell on the 19th is interesting, but we’ll see how it develops.
Take it easy,
Rusty
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 16°C on Sat morning, min 12°C on Sun night). Mainly fresh winds. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 16°C on Wed afternoon, min 12°C on Mon night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Friday 7 | Saturday 8 | Sunday 9 | Monday 10 | Tuesday 11 | Wednesday 12 | Thursday 13 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NW 6 | NW 7 | NW 7 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 9 | NW 9 | NW 9 | NW 9 | NW 9 | NW 9 | NW 9 | NW 9 | NW 9 | NW 9 | NW 9 | NW 10 | NW 10 | NW 10 | NW 9 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
120 | 183 | 365 | 350 | 653 | 1216 | 1201 | 1455 | 1351 | 1159 | 1134 | 1214 | 1083 | 1355 | 1398 | 980 | 863 | 862 | 967 | 738 | 418 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross | cross-off | cross | cross | glassy | on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross-on | glassy |
High Tide | 6:21PM1.94m | 9:16AM1.18m | 7:26PM2.02m | 10:10AM1.28m | 8:29PM2.09m | 10:54AM1.37m | 9:28PM2.15m | 11:32AM1.46m | 10:24PM2.16m | 12:09PM1.55m | 11:16PM2.11m | 12:44PM1.63m | 00:06AM1.99m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 11:37AM0.92m | 2:14AM-0.07m | 12:56PM0.98m | 3:13AM-0.22m | 2:13PM0.95m | 4:04AM-0.32m | 3:20PM0.87m | 4:51AM-0.37m | 4:19PM0.77m | 5:34AM-0.36m | 5:14PM0.65m | 6:14AM-0.28m | 6:08PM0.55m | ||||||||
6:20 | — | — | 6:20 | — | — | 6:22 | — | — | 6:22 | — | — | 6:24 | — | — | 6:24 | — | — | 6:26 | — | — | |
— | 8:19 | — | — | 8:17 | — | — | 8:16 | — | — | 8:15 | — | — | 8:15 | — | — | 8:13 | — | — | 8:12 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 15 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 16 | 16 | 14 |
Feels °C | 12 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 11 | 12 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 11 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 14 | 14 | 15 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 18 | SSW 19 | SSW 13 | SSW 18 | SSW 18 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | NW 9 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 14 | SW 18 | NW 9 | NW 9 | NW 10 | NW 10 | NW 10 | NW 9 |
127 | 205 | 111 | 240 | 240 | 226 | 263 | 186 | 167 | 1159 | 154 | 101 | 102 | 116 | 316 | 980 | 863 | 862 | 967 | 738 | 418 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 16 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | SSW 11 | SSW 14 | SW 20 | SW 20 | SSW 19 | SW 18 | S 12 | SSW 18 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 |
82 | 77 | 93 | 36 | 35 | 56 | 48 | 14 | 25 | 165 | 98 | 97 | 145 | 157 | 26 | 204 | 179 | 173 | 258 | 248 | 242 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NNW 8 | W 12 | SSW 19 | NW 12 | W 13 | SW 23 | SW 23 | SW 21 | SW 21 | SW 20 | S 10 | SSW 16 | S 12 | S 9 | SSW 12 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SW 14 | SSE 11 | S 11 | S 10 |
19 | 11 | 122 | 35 | 31 | 21 | 21 | 18 | 72 | 64 | 2 | 25 | 3 | 2 | 29 | 56 | 67 | 91 | 40 | 21 | 19 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NW 6 | NW 7 | NW 7 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 9 | NW 9 | NW 9 | — | NW 9 | NW 9 | NW 9 | NW 9 | NW 9 | — | — | — | SE 3 | SSE 4 | — |
120 | 183 | 365 | 350 | 653 | 1216 | 1201 | 1455 | 1351 | — | 1134 | 1214 | 1083 | 1355 | 1398 | — | — | — | 7 | 5 | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 265 | 126 | 43 | 320 | 610 | 58 | 91 | 265 | 43 | 421 | 577 | 43 | 433 | 82 | 0 | 7 | 56 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Mendocino County | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United States | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Point Arena Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Point Arena provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Point Arena can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Point Arena surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Point Arena) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Point Arena may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Point Arena is 52 km (32 miles) from Ukiah. If you plan a vacation in Mendocino County, look for hotels and other accommodation in Ukiah. Ukiah has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.











