
Surf Forecasts:
Point Arena surf forecast from 31 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Saturday 1 Aug, 8PM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 8s period, NW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Sunday 2 Aug, 8PM (local time) - 15ft (4.5m), 10s period, NW swell with 3,311 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 1 Aug, 8PM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 8s period with NW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Point Arena this week:
The surf forecast for Point Arena over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Aug 01) at 8PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 3.5m and 8s period. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Point Arena in the next 16 days are 4.5m 10s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Aug 02) at 8PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.9m 14s period and expected on Friday (Jul 31) at 8AM.
| Wave Type | Time (PDT) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 8PM (Sat 1st Aug) | 11ft (3.5m) 8s |
| Best Surf | 8PM (Sat 1st Aug) | 11ft (3.5m) 8s |
| Most Powerful | 8PM (Sun 2nd Aug) | 15ft (4.5m) 10s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Point Arena over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s get into it for Point Arena.
We’ve got a solid run of swell on the way, but it’s a bit of a mixed bag for the next couple of weeks. The water is sitting at 53°, which is a solid 4° colder than usual for this time of year – that’s a pretty noticeable chill, so don’t forget the thick rubber.
The first few days are a write-off, honestly. Thursday the 30th and Friday the 31st of July are looking pretty average with short-period, 8ft to 6ft NW swell and a stiff cross-off wind. The combined energy on the 30th is only 585 (weak), and it’s just not happening. That pattern of chunky, short-period, wind-affected swell carries through the first weekend of August. The swell is there, but the quality is just not there.
But hold onto your board, because Sunday the 2nd of August is where it gets wild. The swell jumps up to 12ft from the NW in the morning, hitting 13ft by the afternoon. The combined energy is monstrous – 2786 (very strong) by the afternoon. This is a big, powerful, 9-second groundswell. The problem is, it’s simply too big for this break. The forecast even says so. This is expert-only territory, and even then, it’s going to be a washing machine. The wind is a fresh cross-off, so it’ll be clean, but the size will be the main event.
Monday the 3rd of August is much the same story – still 12ft of NW swell with a 10-second period (very strong energy at 2621) and moderate cross-shore wind. Still too big for most.
The real standout, the one you want to circle on your calendar, is Tuesday the 4th of August. The swell drops back to a much more manageable 8ft from the NW, still with a decent 9-second period. The combined energy is still a solid 932 (moderate). But the magic is in the wind. For the afternoon, we’re looking at glassy conditions. 3 mph of westerly wind, glassy as a mirror. This is going to be the cleanest, most user-friendly window of the whole forecast. The swell is solid, but not scary, and the conditions will be perfect. This is the one to aim for.
After that, the outlook fades a bit. From Wednesday the 5th of August through to the 14th, we’re looking at a long stretch of marginal surf. The swell hangs around the 6ft to 8ft range, but the wind is mostly cross or cross-on, and the energy drops. There are a few afternoons with clean cross-off winds, but the overall quality is just not there compared to that Tuesday glass-off. The last real highlight is a bit of a gamble on Thursday the 13th of August, with a gentle cross-shore and 8ft swell, but it’s a ways out, so keep an eye on it.
So, bottom line: the start of the run is a dud, the middle of next week is a monster that’s only for the brave, and the real gem is Tuesday the 4th of August. Don’t miss that glassy afternoon session.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 16°C on Sat afternoon, min 12°C on Thu night). Mainly fresh winds. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 16°C on Tue morning, min 12°C on Sun night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the NNW on Sun afternoon, calm by Tue night). | |||||||||||||||||||
Thu 30 | Friday 31 | Saturday 1 | Sunday 2 | Monday 3 | Tuesday 4 | Wednesday 5 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NW 7 | NW 7 | NW 7 | NW 7 | NW 7 | NW 7 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 9 | NW 9 | NW 10 | NW 10 | NW 10 | NW 10 | NW 10 | NW 9 | NW 9 | NW 9 | NW 9 | NW 9 |
Wave Graph | ||||||||||||||||||||
585 | 623 | 284 | 299 | 449 | 420 | 1055 | 1462 | 1774 | 2737 | 2476 | 2103 | 2580 | 1913 | 1245 | 853 | 750 | 668 | 654 | 552 | |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | glassy | cross | cross-on | cross-on | glassy |
High Tide | 00:02AM1.83m | 1:43PM1.49m | 00:42AM1.75m | 2:10PM1.55m | 1:25AM1.62m | 2:39PM1.62m | 2:15AM1.47m | 3:10PM1.68m | 3:16AM1.30m | 3:46PM1.75m | 4:35AM1.16m | 4:29PM1.81m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 6:11PM0.82m | 7:04AM-0.09m | 6:54PM0.76m | 7:33AM-0.00m | 7:41PM0.69m | 8:03AM0.12m | 8:34PM0.62m | 8:33AM0.28m | 9:33PM0.52m | 9:06AM0.46m | 10:40PM0.40m | 9:44AM0.64m | 11:54PM0.26m | |||||||
— | — | 6:13 | — | — | 6:15 | — | — | 6:16 | — | — | 6:16 | — | — | 6:18 | — | — | 6:18 | — | — | |
8:28 | — | — | 8:27 | — | — | 8:25 | — | — | 8:24 | — | — | 8:23 | — | — | 8:22 | — | — | 8:22 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 14 | 14 | 14 | 15 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 14 | 14 | 15 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 16 | 14 | 16 | 16 | 13 |
Feels °C | 9 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 14 | 15 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 13 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 16 | SW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSE 12 | S 13 | S 12 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SSW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 16 | NW 10 | NW 9 | NW 9 | NW 9 | NW 9 | NW 9 |
429 | 214 | 301 | 236 | 119 | 125 | 108 | 100 | 91 | 70 | 44 | 44 | 43 | 40 | 1245 | 853 | 750 | 668 | 654 | 552 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSE 13 | SSE 15 | SSE 14 | SSE 13 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | S 12 | S 12 | S 12 | SW 18 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 12 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 |
70 | 186 | 210 | 184 | 134 | 134 | 136 | 43 | 45 | 45 | 49 | 42 | 41 | 38 | 85 | 79 | 34 | 73 | 71 | 97 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSE 17 | S 15 | — | S 21 | S 14 | SW 20 | SW 19 | S 14 | SW 18 | SW 18 | S 13 | S 12 | S 12 | S 15 | SW 12 | SSW 12 | SSW 14 | SSW 11 | SSW 11 | S 13 |
29 | 112 | — | 9 | 102 | 15 | 15 | 32 | 12 | 49 | 30 | 11 | 11 | 18 | 37 | 14 | 38 | 12 | 12 | 30 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NW 7 | NW 7 | NW 7 | NW 7 | NW 7 | NW 7 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 9 | NW 9 | NW 10 | NW 10 | NW 10 | NW 10 | — | — | — | SSE 2 | — | — |
585 | 623 | 284 | 299 | 449 | 420 | 1055 | 1462 | 1774 | 2737 | 2476 | 2103 | 2580 | 1913 | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 264 | 43 | 145 | 264 | 43 | 145 | 264 | 61 | 145 | 265 | 58 | 165 | 145 | 43 | 7 | 0 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Mendocino County | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United States | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Point Arena Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Point Arena provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Point Arena can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Point Arena surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Point Arena) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Point Arena may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Point Arena is 52 km (32 miles) from Ukiah. If you plan a vacation in Mendocino County, look for hotels and other accommodation in Ukiah. Ukiah has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.











