Surf Forecasts:
Point Arena surf forecast from 28 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Thursday 3 Sep, 11PM (local time) - 6ft (1.8m), 11s period, NW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Sunday 30 Aug, 8PM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 8s period, NW swell with 908 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 28 Aug, 8AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.4m), 6s period with NW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Point Arena this week:
The surf forecast for Point Arena over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Aug 28) at 8AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.4m and 6s period. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Point Arena in the next 16 days are 2.5m 8s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Aug 30) at 8PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.3m 18s period and expected on Saturday (Aug 29) at 11AM.
| Wave Type | Time (PDT) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 8AM (Fri 28th Aug) | 4.5ft (1.4m) 6s |
| Best Surf | 11PM (Thu 3rd Sep) | 6ft (1.8m) 11s |
| Most Powerful | 8PM (Sun 30th Aug) | 8ft (2.5m) 8s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Point Arena over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what's on the table for Point Arena over the next couple of weeks. Gotta be straight with you – it's a tough stretch. This is a consistent reef break that loves a good NW swell, but the wind and the quality just aren't lining up for paddle surfing most of the time.
The water is running about 56°, which is a bit colder than we're used to this time of year, so factor that into your wetsuit choice.
We kick off with nothing going on. Thursday the 27th has a tiny 2ft swell from the SW with a moderate NNW breeze, so we're looking at the forecast gap until Saturday the 29th before there's anything worth getting out of bed for.
Saturday the 29th, we start to see some life. The morning has a 6ft NW swell, but the period is a short 7 seconds and it's still a bit lumpy with a cross-off wind. The afternoon turns on a bit better – the swell bumps up to 8ft from the NW, and the combined swell energy is strong (645). It's a big, clean wave with good wind, but at that size, this reef setup is strictly for experienced surfers. It's pushing the limits for your average weekend warrior.
Sunday the 30th keeps the energy high with a 8-8ft NW swell, but it's a messy cross-shore and the period is still short at 8 seconds. It's a lot of whitewater and chop, and the forecast even calls it marginal.
We get a brief window of hope on Monday the 31st. The swell drops to a cleaner 6ft from the NW with a morning light cross-shore. Swell energy is moderate (335). It’s not big, but those lighter winds will make it the most manageable day. Still, nothing here is screaming "standout."
The long-range outlook, starting around the 5th of September, finally offers a true highlight. On Saturday the 5th, the afternoon glass off with a 6ft NW swell looking clean and inviting. The combined swell energy is moderate to strong (443), and the period is a workable 8 seconds. The wind goes glassy. For a spot that's been getting hammered by wind all week, that afternoon session is going to feel like a reward.
After that, it fades. The second week is a mix of smaller swells, more cross-shore winds, and marginal conditions. The combo on the 8th and 9th is small and messy. Not worth paddling out for.
In short, if you're an expert, the afternoon of the 29th will give you some power to play with, but it's rough. The best bet for a clean, fun, manageable wave is that glassy Saturday afternoon on the 5th of September. Everything else is a miss.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 15°C on Thu afternoon, min 12°C on Fri night). Winds increasing (light winds from the NNW on Fri morning, fresh winds from the NNW by Sat night). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 16°C on Tue afternoon, min 12°C on Sun night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the NNW on Sun afternoon, calm by Tue morning). | |||||||||||||||||||
Thu 27 | Friday 28 | Saturday 29 | Sunday 30 | Monday 31 | Tuesday 1 | Wednesday 2 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 14 | NW 7 | NW 6 | NW 6 | NW 7 | NW 7 | NW 7 | NW 7 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 7 | NW 7 | NW 10 | NW 9 | SW 17 | NW 9 | NW 9 |
Wave Graph | ||||||||||||||||||||
169 | 248 | 202 | 213 | 377 | 351 | 645 | 629 | 661 | 746 | 746 | 335 | 221 | 131 | 61 | 98 | 212 | 227 | 164 | 138 | |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross | cross | cross-on | cross | off | on | cross-on | glassy |
High Tide | 11:12PM1.83m | 12:19PM1.58m | 11:52PM1.77m | 12:44PM1.66m | 00:36AM1.68m | 1:11PM1.73m | 1:24AM1.56m | 1:41PM1.79m | 2:20AM1.42m | 2:15PM1.83m | 3:26AM1.28m | 2:55PM1.85m | 4:51AM1.18m | |||||||
Low Tide | 5:15PM0.67m | 5:55AM0.03m | 5:56PM0.56m | 6:24AM0.10m | 6:38PM0.46m | 6:52AM0.22m | 7:24PM0.36m | 7:22AM0.37m | 8:14PM0.27m | 7:54AM0.54m | 9:10PM0.20m | 8:30AM0.71m | 10:16PM0.15m | |||||||
— | — | 6:39 | — | — | 6:39 | — | — | 6:41 | — | — | 6:41 | — | — | 6:43 | — | — | 6:43 | — | — | |
7:52 | — | — | 7:51 | — | — | 7:50 | — | — | 7:47 | — | — | 7:46 | — | — | 7:45 | — | — | 7:44 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 15 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 14 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 16 | 16 | 16 |
Feels °C | 11 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 16 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WNW 8 | SSE 11 | S 11 | SW 17 | SSW 18 | SSW 18 | SSW 17 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 7 | NW 7 | NW 10 | SSW 13 | NW 9 | NW 9 | S 13 |
88 | 135 | 121 | 281 | 508 | 1026 | 734 | 733 | 724 | 505 | 405 | 335 | 221 | 131 | 61 | 98 | 114 | 194 | 164 | 255 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSE 12 | SW 14 | SSW 18 | S 11 | S 10 | SSE 9 | S 9 | S 10 | S 10 | S 9 | SE 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SSE 11 | SW 17 | S 13 | NW 9 |
145 | 211 | 174 | 85 | 50 | 28 | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 394 | 321 | 204 | 154 | 154 | 98 | 227 | 163 | 138 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 14 | W 10 | SW 14 | SSW 20 | S 10 | — | — | W 12 | S 8 | S 16 | S 9 | SSE 16 | SSE 14 | SSE 13 | SSE 12 | SSE 12 | SW 18 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | SSW 16 |
169 | 33 | 89 | 216 | 50 | — | — | 11 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 25 | 39 | 66 | 117 | 115 | 154 | 89 | 86 | 181 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NW 6 | NW 7 | NW 6 | NW 6 | NW 7 | NW 7 | NW 7 | NW 7 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | — | — | — | — | NW 6 | NW 9 | — | NW 9 | — |
103 | 248 | 202 | 213 | 377 | 351 | 645 | 629 | 661 | 746 | 746 | — | — | — | — | 41 | 212 | — | 112 | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 263 | 43 | 61 | 165 | 43 | 165 | 265 | 61 | 73 | 145 | 43 | 383 | 265 | 43 | 120 | 267 | 0 | 16 | 267 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Mendocino County | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United States | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Point Arena Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Point Arena provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Point Arena can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Point Arena surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Point Arena) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Point Arena may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Point Arena is 52 km (32 miles) from Ukiah. If you plan a vacation in Mendocino County, look for hotels and other accommodation in Ukiah. Ukiah has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.











