
Surf Forecasts:
Point Arena surf forecast from 2 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Friday 3 Jul, 2AM (local time) - 7.5ft (2.3m), 8s period, NW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Thursday 9 Jul, 5PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 9s period, NW swell with 1,437 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 3 Jul, 2AM (local time) - 7.5ft (2.3m), 8s period with NW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Point Arena this week:
The surf forecast for Point Arena over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 03) at 2AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.3m and 8s period with a secondary swell of 0.6m and 15s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Point Arena in the next 16 days are 3.0m 9s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 09) at 5PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.1m 16s period and expected on Wednesday (Jul 08) at 5PM.
| Wave Type | Time (PDT) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 2AM (Fri 3rd Jul) | 7.5ft (2.3m) 8s |
| Best Surf | 2AM (Fri 3rd Jul) | 7.5ft (2.3m) 8s |
| Most Powerful | 5PM (Thu 9th Jul) | 10ft (3.0m) 9s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Point Arena over the next 16 days.
Updates in hr min s Forecast update imminent
Gather 'round, crew. Rusty here, and I've got the lowdown on Point Arena for the next couple of weeks. It's a bit of a mixed bag, so let's get into it.
First things first, the water at Point Arena is sitting at 51°, which is a whopping 5° colder than normal for this time of year. That’s a serious chill, so make sure you’ve got a thick wetsuit and booties if you're heading out. It's not just a little nippy; it's properly cold.
Looking at the overall pattern, the first week is a struggle. The swell is around 7 ft to 8 ft from the northwest, but the wind is a problem. Thursday morning kicks off with a light cross-onshore breeze and some messy, weak surf (1056 combined energy). It's surfable but marginal at best. Thursday afternoon goes clean, but then it's a fresh 19 mph cross-offshore wind that will be blowing the tops off. The whole first week is a grind of cross-shore and cross-offshore winds, with the energy never really feeling powerful or well-shaped. You'll see waves, but they'll be lumpy and blown out. The swell stays around 6 ft to 7 ft, which is okay for intermediates, but the quality just isn't there. Even when the wind flicks offshore, the period is a short 7 to 8 seconds, which means weak, soft waves without much push. By the 9th of July, the swell bumps up to 10 ft, but it’s getting hammered by a fresh 19 mph cross wind, making it a bumpy, difficult mess. That's expert-only territory if you're even thinking about it, and honestly, it looks more like a day for the kiteboarders than a paddle surfer.
The one true standout in this whole 16-day forecast is the 16th of July. Thursday afternoon, we get something special. A solid 3 ft swell rolls in from the west-northwest, but the magic is the period: 17 seconds. That's a proper long-period groundswell with real energy (817 combined energy). And the wind? Glassy. Absolutely glassy, with a slight air. This is that rare clean, lined-up, long-period swell that Point Arena lives for. The size is small, so it’s perfect for a longboard or a fish, and the crowd will likely be there because it’s such a clean window. This is your day. After that, the swell holds a little on the 17th, but the wind comes back onshore, so the magic is gone.
So here's the deal: grit your teeth through the first week and a half. The conditions are poor and the wind is unruly. Skip the whole first week; it's not worth the hassle. Your focus should be on that Thursday, the 16th of July. Mark it in your calendar. That afternoon glass-off with a long, clean groundswell is the only true standout on offer. It’s a promise of clean, peeling lines if you can get in the water.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 13°C on Fri morning, min 10°C on Thu morning). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the NW on Fri afternoon, calm by Sat night). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 12°C on Sun morning, min 10°C on Sun night). Winds increasing (light winds from the S on Sun morning, fresh winds from the NW by Tue afternoon). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Thursday 2 | Friday 3 | Saturday 4 | Sunday 5 | Monday 6 | Tuesday 7 | Wednesday 8 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NW 9 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 7 | NW 7 | NW 8 | NW 7 | NW 7 | NW 8 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
853 | 655 | 689 | 528 | 525 | 582 | 468 | 470 | 542 | 532 | 470 | 505 | 545 | 457 | 559 | 363 | 344 | 565 | 312 | 360 | 676 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | cross | glassy | on | cross | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off |
High Tide | 2:37PM1.34m | 00:53AM1.73m | 3:09PM1.38m | 1:34AM1.62m | 3:41PM1.44m | 2:21AM1.48m | 4:13PM1.51m | 3:19AM1.33m | 4:47PM1.60m | 4:33AM1.17m | 5:24PM1.70m | 6:06AM1.06m | 6:06PM1.81m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 7:08PM0.93m | 8:12AM-0.14m | 7:58PM0.91m | 8:44AM-0.05m | 8:56PM0.86m | 9:17AM0.08m | 10:01PM0.77m | 9:52AM0.23m | 11:12PM0.62m | 10:30AM0.40m | 00:23AM0.42m | 11:14AM0.57m | 1:30AM0.19m | ||||||||
5:52 | — | — | 5:54 | — | — | 5:54 | — | — | 5:54 | — | — | 5:54 | — | — | 5:56 | — | — | 5:56 | — | — | |
— | 8:44 | — | — | 8:44 | — | — | 8:43 | — | — | 8:43 | — | — | 8:43 | — | — | 8:43 | — | — | 8:42 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 12 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 12 |
Feels °C | 11 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 7 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NW 9 | SW 15 | SW 15 | NW 8 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | SSW 16 | SSW 20 | SSW 20 | SSW 18 | SSW 18 | SW 18 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 |
853 | 232 | 174 | 528 | 277 | 288 | 468 | 470 | 542 | 532 | 470 | 505 | 433 | 330 | 485 | 485 | 508 | 651 | 319 | 659 | 452 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 16 | S 18 | SSW 18 | SSW 14 | WNW 15 | NW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 18 | SSW 18 | WNW 13 | WNW 12 | WNW 12 | NW 11 | SW 16 | WNW 11 | SSW 15 | SW 15 | S 20 | S 19 |
203 | 58 | 243 | 140 | 42 | 49 | 131 | 186 | 186 | 214 | 352 | 209 | 180 | 174 | 128 | 255 | 75 | 188 | 232 | 67 | 186 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 19 | WNW 16 | WNW 15 | SSW 17 | S 11 | SSW 21 | NW 14 | SSW 20 | WNW 12 | WNW 12 | WNW 13 | SSW 18 | SSW 16 | SSW 21 | SW 16 | NW 11 | SSW 14 | S 21 | SSW 19 | — | SSW 13 |
124 | 26 | 22 | 55 | 9 | 89 | 46 | 216 | 86 | 104 | 101 | 207 | 347 | 260 | 261 | 117 | 138 | 79 | 125 | — | 70 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | NW 8 | NW 8 | — | NW 8 | NW 8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 7 | NW 7 | NW 8 | NW 7 | NW 7 | NW 8 |
— | 655 | 689 | — | 525 | 582 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 545 | 457 | 559 | 363 | 344 | 565 | 312 | 360 | 676 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 46 | 102 | 0 | 46 | 120 | 4 | 46 | 125 | 0 | 16 | 265 | 0 | 120 | 265 | 43 | 91 | 265 | 43 | 145 | 264 | 102 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Mendocino County | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United States | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Point Arena Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Point Arena provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Point Arena can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Point Arena surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Point Arena) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Point Arena may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Point Arena is 52 km (32 miles) from Ukiah. If you plan a vacation in Mendocino County, look for hotels and other accommodation in Ukiah. Ukiah has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.










