
Surf Forecasts:
Point Arena surf forecast from 16 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Saturday 18 Jul, 8AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.0m), 16s period, WNW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Thursday 16 Jul, 11PM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 8s period, NW swell with 756 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 18 Jul, 2AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.0m), 16s period with WNW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Point Arena this week:
The surf forecast for Point Arena over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Jul 18) at 2AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.0m and 16s period with a secondary swell of 0.6m and 14s. Another secondary swell of 1.9m and 7s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Point Arena in the next 16 days are 2.5m 8s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 16) at 11PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.3m 15s period and expected on Monday (Jul 20) at 8AM.
| Wave Type | Time (PDT) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 2AM (Sat 18th Jul) | 3.5ft (1.0m) 16s |
| Best Surf | 8AM (Sat 18th Jul) | 3.5ft (1.0m) 16s |
| Most Powerful | 11PM (Thu 16th Jul) | 8ft (2.5m) 8s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Point Arena over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, this is Rusty.
Let’s talk about Point Arena. Lookin’ at the next couple weeks, it’s a bit of a mixed bag, but there’s some real potential if you know when to paddle out. The main story here is a whole lot of wind and waves, but not always the good kind.
Thursday the 16th kicks things off with a decent northwest swell running 7 ft in the morning, bumping to 8 ft by afternoon, but a stiff northerly breeze has it looking a bit ragged. Not your top pick.
The real tease comes Friday the 17th. It’s small, just 3 ft to 3 ft, but that’s a long-period, 17-second groundswell from the west-northwest. The wave energy is in the moderate range (1140-1156) but with that long period, the shape should be nice at a reef like Point Arena. However, the wind is cross or cross-offshore, so there'll be some texture on the face. This is more of a promise than a party.
Saturday the 18th and Sunday the 19th are pretty average. Still that long-period 16-17 second swell but the size is up and down and the wind stays cross, keeping things lumpy. It’s rideable, but you won’t be telling stories about it.
Then… hold on to your board. We get some size building on Monday the 27th. Monday morning is a solid 8 ft from the northwest, and by Monday afternoon things get serious. The swell hits 12 ft out of the northwest, with a period of 9 seconds. The combined energy is a beefy 1989, so there’s a lot of water moving. That afternoon session is flagged as potentially too big and powerful even for this spot, which has that big-wave reef character. If you are not a seasoned charger, give this one a wide berth. For the experts among you, this is the window to watch, but go in with eyes wide open.
Following that, Tuesday the 28th stays big with 10 ft waves, but lighter winds on Wednesday the 29th drop the size to 8 ft and 7 ft. The morning sees a light westerly cross-on, but it’s still big and choppy.
Wait. There’s a little hidden gem in this whole forecast. Look at Thursday the 30th. The swell has backed off to a manageable 5 ft from the northwest. The wind goes glassy in the afternoon from the southwest, and the report says “expect good surf conditions” with that glassy surface. That is a major positive. For a day when everything else is messy, that afternoon window on the 30th looks like a proper score. The tide should be working in your favor. For a bit over a week out, it’s a hopeful one.
Overall, the consistency here is pretty good. This spot usually doesn’t stay flat for long, and the forecasts can always turn a blank stretch into a fun one. But if you’re picking one day to cancel your plans, circle Thursday the 30th afternoon. That’s the one that has me stoked.
Water temp is unremarkable for July, pretty average for the time of year.
-Rusty
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 13°C on Wed night, min 10°C on Thu night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the NNW on Thu afternoon, light winds from the NNW by Sat morning). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 15°C on Tue afternoon, min 11°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||
Thursday 16 | Friday 17 | Saturday 18 | Sunday 19 | Monday 20 | Tuesday 21 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NW 7 | NW 7 | NW 7 | NW 7 | WNW 17 | WNW 17 | WNW 16 | WNW 16 | WNW 16 | NW 8 | NW 8 | SW 17 | NW 8 | NW 8 | SW 16 | SW 16 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 7 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||
366 | 345 | 604 | 658 | 433 | 550 | 499 | 487 | 481 | 477 | 361 | 439 | 291 | 338 | 367 | 302 | 227 | 216 | 262 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross | cross-off | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross-off | cross | cross | cross |
High Tide | 00:13AM2.12m | 2:06PM1.56m | 1:06AM1.96m | 2:47PM1.62m | 2:00AM1.74m | 3:28PM1.67m | 2:59AM1.51m | 4:10PM1.70m | 4:07AM1.28m | 4:52PM1.72m | 5:32AM1.12m | 5:36PM1.73m | |||||||
Low Tide | 7:24AM-0.42m | 7:13PM0.69m | 8:06AM-0.26m | 8:14PM0.64m | 8:46AM-0.05m | 9:20PM0.58m | 9:26AM0.17m | 10:30PM0.52m | 10:05AM0.41m | 11:44PM0.43m | 10:47AM0.62m | 00:56AM0.32m | |||||||
— | 6:01 | — | — | 6:03 | — | — | 6:03 | — | — | 6:03 | — | — | 6:05 | — | — | 6:05 | — | — | |
8:38 | — | 8:38 | — | — | 8:37 | — | — | 8:37 | — | — | 8:37 | — | — | 8:36 | — | — | 8:36 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 13 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 14 | 15 | 15 |
Feels °C | 9 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 11 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WNW 9 | WNW 19 | WNW 19 | WNW 18 | WNW 17 | WNW 17 | WNW 16 | WNW 16 | WNW 16 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | S 13 | S 12 |
76 | 286 | 322 | 448 | 433 | 550 | 499 | 487 | 481 | 383 | 361 | 349 | 291 | 338 | 311 | 250 | 227 | 263 | 172 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WNW 20 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 19 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 17 | SW 18 | WNW 16 | WNW 15 | SW 17 | S 15 | S 14 | S 14 | S 12 | SSW 16 | SW 14 | SSW 15 |
223 | 159 | 159 | 139 | 181 | 74 | 130 | 362 | 383 | 348 | 339 | 439 | 367 | 713 | 529 | 374 | 310 | 214 | 272 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 16 | WNW 12 | WNW 12 | SSW 12 | SW 14 | SW 19 | NW 12 | NW 11 | NW 10 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SSE 15 | SSE 13 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | S 11 | WNW 13 | WNW 12 |
161 | 30 | 29 | 26 | 103 | 122 | 51 | 59 | 34 | 127 | 203 | 288 | 222 | 258 | 367 | 302 | 151 | 66 | 29 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NW 7 | NW 7 | NW 7 | NW 7 | NW 7 | NW 7 | NW 7 | NW 7 | NW 8 | NW 8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | NW 8 | NW 7 |
366 | 345 | 604 | 658 | 423 | 410 | 381 | 218 | 267 | 477 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 216 | 262 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 43 | 265 | 264 | 43 | 265 | 265 | 0 | 120 | 125 | 0 | 120 | 91 | 30 | 120 | 265 | 0 | 165 | 125 | 30 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Mendocino County | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United States | |||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Point Arena Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Point Arena provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Point Arena can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Point Arena surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Point Arena) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Point Arena may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Point Arena is 52 km (32 miles) from Ukiah. If you plan a vacation in Mendocino County, look for hotels and other accommodation in Ukiah. Ukiah has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.










