
Surf Forecasts:
Point Arena surf forecast from 13 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Thursday 16 Jul, 5PM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 8s period, NW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Thursday 16 Jul, 8PM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 9s period, NW swell with 1,824 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 16 Jul, 5PM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 8s period with NW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Point Arena this week:
The surf forecast for Point Arena over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 16) at 5PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 3.5m and 8s period with a secondary swell of 0.6m and 19s. Another secondary swell of 0.6m and 16s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Point Arena in the next 16 days are 3.5m 9s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 16) at 8PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.8m 14s period and expected on Sunday (Jul 12) at 8PM.
| Wave Type | Time (PDT) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 5PM (Thu 16th Jul) | 11ft (3.5m) 8s |
| Best Surf | 5PM (Thu 16th Jul) | 11ft (3.5m) 8s |
| Most Powerful | 8PM (Thu 16th Jul) | 11ft (3.5m) 9s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Point Arena over the next 16 days.
Alright, this is a classic Northern California situation. Point Arena is a consistent reef set-up that can handle a lot of swell, but the timing has to be right. Looking at the next 16 days, we're staring down the barrel of a long, frustrating wait before things even start to look half decent. The first solid recommendation doesn't show up until Thursday the 16th, so that's a few days of nothing but rough, blown-out conditions to endure. The water right now is running at 52° and that's a whopping 4° colder than normal for July, so the wetsuit is going to be your best friend.
The swell kicks in proper around Thursday the 16th afternoon. We're looking at a solid 12 ft of NW swell, and even though the wind is a cross-offshore breeze, the wave energy is ramping up to a strong 1979. That's a lot of water moving. But here's the thing: at this size, 12 ft, Point Arena is only going to be for the experienced crew. This isn't the spot to be learning. The cross-off wind does help keep it cleaner, which is a bonus.
Then, we get a little reprieve on Friday the 17th. The swell drops back to 8 ft from the NW, but the period is a nice, long 9 seconds. That's proper groundswell energy, with a combined energy of 1481. The wind flips to a light WNW, so it's a bit cross-onshore, making for a slight chop, but nothing too messy. This is probably the most approachable day for the intermediate surfer who can handle a solid head-high+ wave at a reef.
After that, it's a real mixed bag. We bounce around with smaller swell and lumpy cross-shore winds for a few days, and nothing really locks in until the very end of the period. Now, look at the long range—Saturday the 26th and Sunday the 27th of July are on the radar. The swell is back up to 12 ft again from the NW with cross-off winds and energy readings over 1800. The model is giving those days a high score, but we're over a week out, so take that with a grain of salt. If it holds, that's a powerful, clean lineup for the experts.
For the standout in this outlook, I'd have to tip my hat to the Friday the 17th. The swell is a manageable 8 ft from the NW with a long 9-second period. Combined with only a light wind, that offers the best mix of size and quality for the widest range of capable surfers. Just be aware, this point can get crowded when it's on, and that's "often" the case here, so you'll have some company.
-Rusty
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 14°C on Sun afternoon, min 11°C on Tue night). Mainly fresh winds. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 14°C on Fri morning, min 11°C on Wed morning). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the NW on Thu afternoon, calm by Fri night). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Sunday 12 | Monday 13 | Tuesday 14 | Wednesday 15 | Thursday 16 | Friday 17 | Saturday 18 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NW 7 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 7 | NW 7 | NW 7 | NW 7 | NW 7 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 9 | NW 9 | NW 9 | NW 9 | NW 9 | WNW 16 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
452 | 523 | 559 | 424 | 403 | 452 | 334 | 351 | 585 | 516 | 842 | 957 | 979 | 1534 | 1136 | 952 | 846 | 542 | 552 | 492 | 359 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | cross | cross | cross-on | on | cross-off |
High Tide | 11:12AM1.28m | 9:33PM2.21m | 11:59AM1.36m | 10:27PM2.25m | 12:42PM1.43m | 11:20PM2.22m | 1:24PM1.50m | 00:13AM2.12m | 2:06PM1.56m | 1:06AM1.96m | 2:47PM1.62m | 2:00AM1.74m | 3:28PM1.67m | 2:59AM1.51m | |||||||
Low Tide | 3:17PM0.89m | 5:08AM-0.52m | 4:18PM0.86m | 5:55AM-0.56m | 5:16PM0.80m | 6:40AM-0.52m | 6:14PM0.74m | 7:24AM-0.42m | 7:13PM0.69m | 8:06AM-0.26m | 8:14PM0.64m | 8:46AM-0.05m | 9:20PM0.58m | ||||||||
5:58 | — | — | 6:00 | — | — | 6:00 | — | — | 6:01 | — | — | 6:01 | — | — | 6:03 | — | — | 6:03 | — | — | |
— | 8:40 | — | — | 8:39 | — | — | 8:39 | — | — | 8:38 | — | — | 8:38 | — | — | 8:37 | — | — | 8:37 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 13 | 14 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 13 | 12 | 15 | 14 | 13 |
Feels °C | 10 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 12 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | W 14 | SW 18 | SW 18 | WNW 13 | WNW 20 | WNW 19 | WNW 19 | WNW 18 | NW 9 | NW 9 | NW 9 | NW 9 | NW 9 | NW 9 |
217 | 229 | 229 | 161 | 139 | 181 | 68 | 104 | 194 | 150 | 57 | 223 | 286 | 286 | 356 | 952 | 846 | 542 | 552 | 492 | 359 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 18 | S 18 | WNW 16 | S 14 | WNW 15 | SW 19 | WNW 14 | SSW 12 | WNW 13 | WNW 13 | WNW 20 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | WNW 18 | WNW 17 | WNW 16 | WNW 16 | WNW 16 | WNW 16 |
56 | 55 | 51 | 34 | 76 | 133 | 69 | 59 | 59 | 58 | 160 | 161 | 159 | 159 | 139 | 348 | 414 | 412 | 402 | 362 | 348 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 18 | W 18 | SSW 21 | S 16 | S 16 | WNW 15 | SW 19 | SW 18 | SSW 12 | SW 12 | SW 16 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | S 13 | S 12 | SW 19 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 17 | SW 18 | SSE 15 |
25 | 25 | 45 | 20 | 45 | 71 | 58 | 112 | 60 | 39 | 96 | 28 | 28 | 13 | 11 | 181 | 74 | 74 | 297 | 383 | 123 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NW 7 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 7 | NW 7 | NW 7 | NW 7 | NW 7 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | — | — | — | SSE 3 | S 3 | — |
452 | 523 | 559 | 424 | 403 | 452 | 334 | 351 | 585 | 516 | 842 | 957 | 979 | 1534 | 1136 | — | — | — | 4 | 2 | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 115 | 102 | 43 | 120 | 610 | 43 | 165 | 102 | 43 | 145 | 265 | 72 | 265 | 265 | 43 | 13 | 46 | 7 | 46 | 16 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Mendocino County | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United States | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Point Arena Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Point Arena provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Point Arena can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Point Arena surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Point Arena) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Point Arena may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Point Arena is 52 km (32 miles) from Ukiah. If you plan a vacation in Mendocino County, look for hotels and other accommodation in Ukiah. Ukiah has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.










