
Surf Forecasts:
Point Arena surf forecast from 14 Sep 2026:
- Best quality surf: Monday 14 Sep, 8AM (local time) - 7ft (2.2m), 8s period, NW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Monday 14 Sep, 5PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 8s period, NW swell with 1,255 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 14 Sep, 8AM (local time) - 7ft (2.2m), 8s period with NW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Point Arena this week:
The surf forecast for Point Arena over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Sep 14) at 8AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.2m and 8s period with a secondary swell of 0.5m and 13s. Another secondary swell of 0.4m and 18s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Point Arena in the next 16 days are 3.0m 8s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Sep 14) at 5PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.5m 6s period and expected on Saturday (Sep 19) at 8PM.
| Wave Type | Time (PDT) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 8AM (Mon 14th Sep) | 7ft (2.2m) 8s |
| Best Surf | 8AM (Mon 14th Sep) | 7ft (2.2m) 8s |
| Most Powerful | 5PM (Mon 14th Sep) | 10ft (3.0m) 8s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Point Arena over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, Rusty here. Let's get into it.
We're starting off with a bit of a wait. The first real swell to talk about doesn't show until Monday the 14th, so we've got a quiet Sunday afternoon with a bit of cross-off wind but only poor surf, so you won't miss anything.
The first proper window opens up Monday morning, September 14th, at Point Arena (Mendocino County). It's bringing in a moderate 8-foot swell out of the northwest. The combined energy is a solid 956, so there's some decent push behind it. The wind is cross-shore, though, so expect a bit of a chop on the face. It’s not perfect, but it's the first real option. The afternoon gets bigger, hitting 10 feet with a cross-off breeze, cleaning things up nicely, but that size is getting into expert territory.
Tuesday the 15th sees some respite. The swell drops slightly to 8 feet, and the morning wind is a gentle cross-shore, making for a more manageable session. The afternoon wind picks back up, cleaning the waves but with a fresh breeze.
We then hit a bit of a lull. From Wednesday the 16th through Saturday the 20th, conditions are marginal at best, with poor surf and funky winds. No real standouts there. The swell direction shifts south-west, but the period gets long (18-19 seconds), which can make the waves a bit straight at this point break, but for a reef setup like Point Arena, the long period groundswell will wrap in with proper shape. The water temp sits around 57°, which is about normal for this time of year.
Now, let's talk about the real standout. Tuesday, September 22nd is the money day. Don't miss it. The morning session looks absolutely world-class. We’ve got a solid 10-foot groundswell from the northwest, with a 9-second period and a massive combined energy reading of 2262—that’s some serious power. The wind is forecasted to be glassy. Zero wind. The surface will be like a lake. This is excellent surf for experienced guys. That’s the best on offer for the entire run. The afternoon holds at 8 feet with a 10-second period, still good energy (2322), but a light cross-onshore will put a few ripples on it.
After that, the week gets messy. Wednesday the 23rd and Thursday the 24th get blown out by a strong south-easterly, ruining the swell. Friday the 25th offers a small window with an 8-foot, 10-second northwest swell and light offshore winds in the morning, giving you a chance at some clean waves. The energy is still moderate at 1044. But by the weekend, from Friday afternoon through Monday the 28th, it’s either too windy, too messy, or too big for comfort. Monday afternoon actually has an 12-foot northwest swell with 2570 energy, but with a 28 mph cross-off wind, it's just a washing machine out there.
In short: wait for the 22nd. That Tuesday glass-off will be the one to remember. Everything else is a bit of a gamble or just for the dedicated.
- Rusty
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 15°C on Sun afternoon, min 12°C on Sun night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the NNW on Mon afternoon, light winds from the N by Tue morning). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 16°C on Thu afternoon, min 13°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light. | |||||||||||||||||||
Sun 13 | Monday 14 | Tuesday 15 | Wednesday 16 | Thursday 17 | Friday 18 | Saturday 19 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NW 9 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | SW 19 | SW 19 | SW 19 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 18 |
Wave Graph | ||||||||||||||||||||
396 | 692 | 765 | 1255 | 886 | 724 | 724 | 919 | 773 | 542 | 403 | 367 | 264 | 191 | 303 | 303 | 236 | 311 | 375 | 375 | |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off |
High Tide | 1:44AM1.50m | 1:32PM1.80m | 2:41AM1.37m | 2:05PM1.75m | 3:46AM1.25m | 2:42PM1.69m | 5:09AM1.18m | 3:28PM1.61m | 6:48AM1.17m | 4:28PM1.55m | 8:08AM1.21m | 5:42PM1.53m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 7:32PM0.16m | 7:21AM0.56m | 8:20PM0.16m | 7:54AM0.73m | 9:11PM0.18m | 8:29AM0.88m | 10:09PM0.23m | 9:10AM1.00m | 11:16PM0.26m | 10:13AM1.08m | 00:27AM0.27m | 11:46AM1.11m | 1:32AM0.24m | |||||||
— | — | 6:54 | — | — | 6:54 | — | — | 6:56 | — | — | 6:56 | — | — | 6:58 | — | — | 6:58 | — | — | |
7:25 | — | — | 7:24 | — | — | 7:22 | — | — | 7:22 | — | — | 7:20 | — | — | 7:17 | — | — | 7:16 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 15 | 15 | 14 | 15 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 14 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 13 |
Feels °C | 11 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 14 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 9 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 13 | SSW 13 | SW 13 | SW 17 | SW 17 | NW 8 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SSW 17 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | SW 19 | NNW 8 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 18 |
142 | 116 | 84 | 107 | 106 | 581 | 122 | 87 | 121 | 264 | 403 | 367 | 264 | 191 | 156 | 303 | 86 | 311 | 375 | 375 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 19 | SW 19 | SW 17 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 16 | NW 13 | SSW 19 | NW 12 | SW 24 | SSW 18 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SW 19 | SSW 14 | SW 19 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 |
57 | 127 | 107 | 82 | 39 | 129 | 44 | 74 | 37 | 22 | 103 | 198 | 198 | 126 | 303 | 120 | 236 | 69 | 69 | 58 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 16 | WSW 10 | S 9 | NW 15 | WNW 14 | WNW 13 | SW 12 | NW 12 | S 19 | SSW 11 | SW 14 | SW 21 | SW 21 | SW 21 | SSW 14 | SSE 9 | SSW 14 | SSE 10 | NW 10 | S 9 |
41 | 10 | 2 | 54 | 21 | 69 | 23 | 37 | 117 | 12 | 71 | 160 | 162 | 159 | 165 | 17 | 105 | 33 | 34 | 16 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NW 9 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | — | — | — | — | — | NW 8 | NW 6 | NW 6 | NW 5 | NW 6 |
396 | 692 | 765 | 1255 | 886 | 724 | 724 | 919 | 773 | 542 | — | — | — | — | — | 180 | 50 | 104 | 90 | 184 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 267 | 43 | 120 | 264 | 43 | 73 | 120 | 58 | 120 | 233 | 30 | 7 | 56 | 0 | 73 | 125 | 43 | 120 | 267 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Mendocino County | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United States | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Point Arena Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Point Arena provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Point Arena can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Point Arena surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Point Arena) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Point Arena may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Point Arena is 52 km (32 miles) from Ukiah. If you plan a vacation in Mendocino County, look for hotels and other accommodation in Ukiah. Ukiah has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.










