
Surf Forecasts:
Point Arena surf forecast from 11 Sep 2026:
- Best quality surf: Tuesday 15 Sep, 8AM (local time) - 7ft (2.2m), 8s period, NW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Monday 14 Sep, 8PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 8s period, NW swell with 1,318 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 15 Sep, 8AM (local time) - 7ft (2.2m), 8s period with NW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Point Arena this week:
The surf forecast for Point Arena over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Sep 15) at 8AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.2m and 8s period with a secondary swell of 0.5m and 17s. Another secondary swell of 0.4m and 13s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Point Arena in the next 16 days are 3.0m 8s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Sep 14) at 8PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.3m 6s period and expected on Saturday (Sep 12) at 2PM.
| Wave Type | Time (PDT) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 8AM (Tue 15th Sep) | 7ft (2.2m) 8s |
| Best Surf | 8AM (Tue 15th Sep) | 7ft (2.2m) 8s |
| Most Powerful | 8PM (Mon 14th Sep) | 10ft (3.0m) 8s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Point Arena over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, Rusty here. Let’s see what we’ve got for Point Arena for the next couple weeks.
The first real window for a session doesn't open until Thursday the 10th, and it's a bit of a tease. Thursday afternoon sees some fun 3ft southwest groundswell coming in with a 17-second period, but that water temp is about 57°, which is par for the course this time of year. The sting in the tail is that 25 km/h NNW cross-offshore wind – keeps the surface glassy, sure, but the overall vibe is low score material. The combined energy (804) is moderate.
Friday the 11th is a washout in the morning. It jumps to 7ft from the north-west with a short, snappy 8-second period and messy cross-shore winds – that’s chop city. Friday afternoon drops to 3ft of southwest groundswell (15 seconds) but the wind cranks to 30 km/h from the NNW. Clean surface, but that’s a ton of wind for small waves.
Saturday and Sunday the 12th and 13th are a similar story: 2ft to 3ft under stiff NNW winds. The energy crashes on Sunday morning (93 is weak). That afternoon jumps to 7ft from the NW but with a tiny 7-second period – that’s just a bumpy mess.
Now, for the big wave crew – Monday the 14th gets serious. Swell peaks at 8ft in the morning and hits 10ft Monday afternoon. The combined energy hits 1498 – that's strong. But with a short 8-second period and a 35 km/h cross-offshore wind, this is for experts only. The size rules out beginners. The short period will close out sections on a reef like this – it’ll be a proper slab for the brave. The wind stays clean, but it’s powerful.
Tuesday the 15th holds at 7ft in the morning and 8ft in the afternoon, still NW and short-period. The wind backs off a touch Tuesday morning to a lighter cross-shore, making it a little more manageable. The afternoon wind jumps back to 30 km/h, so the morning is the pick.
Wednesday the 16th drops to 6ft to 5ft with lighter winds, but the wind turns cross-onshore. The surface gets a slight wrinkle – not glassy, but 5ft with a 15 km/h cross-off on Wednesday afternoon is the cleanest session in a few days.
From Thursday the 17th through to Sunday the 20th, it fades to knee-high, long-period south-west groundswell (18-22 seconds). The energy sits around 400-662, which is moderate, but the size is tiny – 2ft to 3ft. Those are going to be wobbly and straight-breaking here. The wind is mostly light to moderate cross-off, so it’s clean, but small.
Around the 21st and 22nd we get a little NW energy rebuilding (3ft, 16-17 seconds), but the wind is light and variable, sometimes onshore. Small and clean enough for a beginner, but nothing to get excited about.
The big standout is Monday the 14th and Tuesday the 15th for the daring. That 10ft NW swell Monday afternoon is the biggest, cleanest energy in the whole run. The crowd factor at Point Arena is ‘often’ – expect a full lineup on a Monday, but the size will thin the herd. The swell direction (NW) matches the optimum for the spot, so it’s nailing the angle. Downside is the short 8-second period – it’s punchy and fast, not the slow groundswell you want for a long ride. Experts only.
The other highlight is Wednesday the 25th – a 2ft whisper of 22-second south-west groundswell in the morning. Not rideable. That afternoon sees 3ft from the NW with a 9-second period and moderate cross-off wind. A small, clean longboard day, but that’s about it.
For the average surfer looking for a solid, clean 5ft to 6ft day with light wind, it’s a lean run. My best bet for a powerful wave that still has some order is Tuesday the 15th morning – 7ft, lighter cross-shore, less chaos than Monday.
Take care of yourselves out there. Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 17°C on Thu afternoon, min 12°C on Sat night). Mainly fresh winds. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 15°C on Sun afternoon, min 12°C on Sun night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the NNW on Mon afternoon, light winds from the NNW by Wed morning). | |||||||||||||||||||
Thu 10 | Friday 11 | Saturday 12 | Sunday 13 | Monday 14 | Tuesday 15 | Wednesday 16 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 17 | SW 16 | NW 8 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | NW 10 | NW 9 | NW 7 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 |
Wave Graph | ||||||||||||||||||||
553 | 489 | 446 | 453 | 418 | 350 | 301 | 388 | 70 | 436 | 731 | 875 | 1255 | 886 | 634 | 865 | 539 | 335 | 296 | 221 | |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off |
High Tide | 11:13PM1.88m | 11:59AM1.77m | 00:03AM1.77m | 12:30PM1.82m | 00:52AM1.64m | 1:00PM1.83m | 1:44AM1.50m | 1:32PM1.80m | 2:41AM1.37m | 2:05PM1.75m | 3:46AM1.25m | 2:42PM1.69m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 5:11PM0.41m | 5:41AM0.05m | 5:59PM0.29m | 6:15AM0.20m | 6:45PM0.20m | 6:48AM0.37m | 7:32PM0.16m | 7:21AM0.56m | 8:20PM0.16m | 7:54AM0.73m | 9:11PM0.18m | 8:29AM0.88m | 10:09PM0.23m | |||||||
— | — | 6:52 | — | — | 6:52 | — | — | 6:54 | — | — | 6:54 | — | — | 6:54 | — | — | 6:56 | — | — | |
7:30 | — | — | 7:30 | — | — | 7:28 | — | — | 7:25 | — | — | 7:24 | — | — | 7:22 | — | — | 7:22 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 17 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 14 | 14 | 15 | 14 | 14 | 15 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 13 |
Feels °C | 14 | 10 | 12 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 10 | 9 | 13 | 13 | 10 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SSW 13 | SW 13 | SW 17 | SW 17 | NW 8 | SW 16 | SW 16 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 |
553 | 489 | 558 | 453 | 418 | 350 | 301 | 203 | 183 | 142 | 116 | 84 | 107 | 107 | 634 | 88 | 87 | 335 | 296 | 221 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 11 | SSW 9 | S 8 | SSW 8 | NW 12 | WNW 11 | NW 11 | WSW 12 | NW 9 | SW 19 | SW 19 | SW 17 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 16 | NW 13 | NW 12 | SW 16 | SSW 17 | SSW 18 |
161 | 110 | 33 | 19 | 37 | 76 | 121 | 29 | 70 | 57 | 127 | 107 | 82 | 39 | 129 | 45 | 37 | 121 | 264 | 103 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NW 11 | WNW 11 | WSW 16 | WSW 16 | WSW 15 | WSW 13 | WSW 13 | S 10 | WSW 11 | SW 16 | WSW 10 | S 9 | NW 15 | WNW 14 | WNW 13 | SW 12 | SSW 19 | NW 12 | NW 11 | SW 14 |
119 | 101 | 52 | 84 | 72 | 59 | 34 | 7 | 23 | 41 | 10 | 2 | 54 | 21 | 69 | 37 | 74 | 37 | 33 | 71 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NW 7 | NW 7 | NW 8 | NW 7 | NW 7 | NW 6 | NW 9 | NW 10 | NW 6 | NW 7 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | — | NW 8 | NW 8 | — | — | — |
132 | 311 | 446 | 423 | 365 | 170 | 243 | 388 | 115 | 436 | 731 | 875 | 1255 | 886 | — | 865 | 539 | — | — | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 125 | 30 | 165 | 264 | 43 | 239 | 267 | 43 | 145 | 264 | 43 | 91 | 265 | 43 | 136 | 120 | 0 | 46 | 82 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Mendocino County | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United States | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Point Arena Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Point Arena provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Point Arena can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Point Arena surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Point Arena) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Point Arena may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Point Arena is 52 km (32 miles) from Ukiah. If you plan a vacation in Mendocino County, look for hotels and other accommodation in Ukiah. Ukiah has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.










