Manchester Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what's on the cards for Manchester Beach.

To be straight with you, the next week and a bit is a bit of a write-off. We've got a real rough patch of onshore winds and messy swell. Monday the 14th and Tuesday the 15th are a total no-go with strong onshores and lumpy, short-period NW swell. The water is sitting at 57°, which is a good bit colder than what you'd expect for this time of year, so you'll want a thick steamer if you were even thinking of getting in, but honestly, don't bother. This first run of poor conditions stretches all the way through to the 20th. There's a little flicker of hope on the morning of Thursday the 17th with a light southerly cross-offshore wind and a clean-looking 6ft NW swell, but it's inconsistent and the crowds can be around. It might be a sneaky window if you're desperate, but it's hardly a standout.

Now, if you can hold out, things start looking much better. The real gem in this forecast is Tuesday the 22nd. We've got a solid 7ft to 8ft NW groundswell rolling in. The period pushes up to 10 seconds, so there's some decent energy behind it (combined energy of 1620). The wind is the clincher here – glassy in the afternoon with a light WSW breeze. For a beach break, that long period can make it a bit straight, but with clean conditions and that size, it'll be offering up some proper waves. This one is for the experienced crew though; at 8ft it's not a beginner's day. Keep an eye on the crowds too, it can get busy.

Wednesday the 23rd morning still looks fun with a 5ft NW swell and clean cross-offshore winds, a good follow-up session if you're around. After that, the surf drops right off into the end of the month, with a lot of small, weak, and wind-affected swell.

So, to sum it up: the next week is a bust. But mark your calendar for Tuesday the 22nd. That's your day. Glassy conditions, a solid groundswell, and proper waves for those who know what they're doing.

Rusty.

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