Nova Mar Bella Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's be straight with you, the outlook for Nova Mar Bella is about as flat and frustrating as a summer doldrums afternoon. We've got a solid 16-day stretch ahead, but don't get your hopes up for anything that'll get your heart racing.

The overall pattern is a long, drawn-out period of minimal swell and poor surf conditions. There’s a gap right from the start with nothing worth talking about until Tuesday the 28th of July, and even that's a stretch. The truth is, almost every day is marked "poor surf conditions" with tiny, weak energy. The best you can hope for are a few fleeting moments of glassy, clean water with a knee-high bump, but the power just isn't there. For the first week, from the 28th through to the 1st of August, the combined swell energy is pitiful, rarely cracking double digits (peaking at a weak 11 on the afternoon of the 29th). The swell is mostly coming from the SSE and SW, with periods so short they might as well be wind chop – 3 to 4 seconds is all we're seeing. It's a beginner-friendly break normally, and on that front, the super small waves (0.7 ft to 2 ft) might be fine for a first lesson, but there's nothing here for anyone who's been surfing longer than a week.

We do see a few mornings that are glassy, like the 1st of August and the 2nd of August, but the swell is either non-existent or just a tiny 2 ft from the south. The water temp is gonna be about what you'd expect for this time of year, nothing weird going on there. The beach is exposed to the south, and that's about the only direction we see any pulse from, but it's just not enough. Most afternoons get chopped up by a moderate cross-shore or onshore breeze, killing any chance of a clean wave.

Then we roll into the second week – the 4th of August through to the 12th. It's more of the same, but perhaps even quieter. The energy numbers drop off a cliff, often reading 0, 1, or 3. There are more glassy mornings, like the 4th, 5th, 6th, 8th, 9th, 10th, and 12th of August, but they're all on flat or near-flat seas (0.3 ft to 1 ft). It's a long stretch of nothing. The wind is light and variable, mostly offshore or glassy in the mornings, but there's no swell to work with. The break is fairly consistent for its type, but "consistent" in this case means consistently flat. A few afternoons might see a little bump, like the 8th of August afternoon (2 ft from the south), but the onshore wind will blow it out.

Honestly, this is a tough outlook. There is no standout day. There is no best option. This is a run of weather and swell that is flat-out grim for surfing. For any surfer, the setup is more interesting for a swim or a paddleboard than a surfboard right now. We just have to wait for a proper system to change this up. Forecasts can change, but this is a blank run for the books.

Rusty.

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