Nova Mar Bella Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s be straight with you – this 16-day window for Nova Mar Bella is a tough one to call. We’re looking at a real quiet stretch, so let’s get into it.

First up, the water is sitting at 82° – that’s 4° warmer than usual for this time of year, so it’s noticeably warmer than what you’d expect. The swell energy is barely registering, with a combined energy value of just (30) – that’s weak, no two ways about it. The whole period starts off with a tiny 2ft SSW swell, but it’s a short-period windswell at 6 seconds, and the wind is cross-onshore from the SSE at 9 mph. That’s making for poor, choppy conditions. Not worth paddling out for.

Moving into Monday the 27th, the swell drops even more and the period gets shorter. We’re looking at 2ft on Monday morning, but the period is only 4 seconds, and the wind is cross-shore. The energy is next to nothing (13). The pattern stays flat or near-flat for days. Tuesday the 28th morning has a tiny 0.7ft swell with 3-second period and a combined energy of just (1). It’s clean, but there’s nothing to ride.

The whole first week is a write-off. We get a few glassy mornings, like Friday the 31st morning with 1ft from the SE and a 4-second period, but the energy is still pitiful (5). The wind is glassy, which is nice, but you can’t surf a ripple. The same goes for Saturday the 1st of August morning – glassy, 0.7ft, 5-second period, energy of (2). It’s pretty, but empty.

This pattern of tiny, weak swell and poor wind holds all the way through. There’s a gap of several days where there’s simply nothing to recommend. The swell disappears entirely from the 5th of August through the 6th, with zero energy. Then on the 7th of August, we get a small 0.7ft E swell with a 4-second period and glassy wind, but the energy is just (1). It’s not surf.

The only slight glimmer comes on Monday the 10th of August, but it’s still a long way off. Monday morning the 10th could be glassy with a 0.7ft SSW swell, but the period is a poor 3 seconds and the energy is (3). Then Monday afternoon the swell picks up to 1ft from the SW with a 6-second period, and the energy creeps up to (8). The wind is cross-onshore from the S at 9 mph, so it’ll be a bit choppy. It’s the best of a bad bunch, but it’s still poor surf conditions.

Honestly, for Nova Mar Bella, there’s no standout session in this 16-day window. The wave energy is just too weak, and the swell direction from the SSW or SW doesn’t line up well with the optimum S direction. The water is warm, but that’s the only positive. It’s a stretch of weather that’s better for a swim than a surf. The break is a breakwater, so it’s not likely to have much life in this kind of flat spell. Keep your eyes on the forecasts, things can change, but right now, it’s a blank run.

Rusty.

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