Nova Mar Bella Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Hey, Rusty here. Let’s get real about Nova Mar Bella – the next couple of weeks are paper-thin for surf, almost nothing to work with.

The water is sitting at about 81°F, which is 5°F warmer than the long-term average for this time of year, making it noticeably warm like a bathtub, but all that warmth ain’t making waves. There’s a long stretch ahead with barely a bump.

Starting off: Saturday the 12th through Monday the 15th of September – flat as a pancake. Zero combined swell energy (0), and all we get are glassy mornings and light cross-onshore winds in the afternoons. Not a single wave worth paddling for. Wednesday the 16th brings the first tiny pulse – a 0.7ft SSW swell with a 4-second period and combined energy of just 2 – that’s a whisper, not a wave. The wind’s light cross-onshore from the ENE, so it’s messy and weak. That afternoon we get 2ft from the east, but still only 4 seconds of period and 18 combined energy – looks like wind chop under a moderate breeze from the SSE.

From Thursday the 17th all the way through to Sunday the 27th, the swell stays a joke: heights between 0.3ft and 1ft, periods rarely touching 8 seconds, and combined energy values maxing out at 4 – most days are at 1, 2, or 3. That’s next to nothing. We do get clean wind windows – like Sunday morning the 14th with an offshore NW breeze, Tuesday morning the 15th glassy from the west, and Saturday morning the 19th glassy from the NNW – but there’s no swell behind them. Clean but barren.

No standout day here. The best you get is Wednesday the 16th afternoon with a 2ft east swell and 18 energy, but it’s short-period chop with cross-onshore wind – not proper surf. The optimum direction is from the south, and we see a few tiny pulses from the SSW and SSE, but they’re too weak to form anything.

Because this break is a breakwater and there’s zero wave energy, the afternoons with cross-onshore breeze and chop are way more suited to kite surfing than a paddle board. Beginners might see the small days but won’t find anything rideable. The lack of consistency means you can’t plan on any session.

It’s a blank run from now through the end of the period – no hidden gem, no secret window. Sometimes these stretches are normal for the area, and forecasts can shift, but as it stands, you’re better off leaving the boards in the car.

Rusty.

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