Molho Leste Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, this is Rusty. Let’s talk about what’s happening at Molho Leste.

Right now, and for the next several days, it is flat out grim. Water temp is 69°, running just a hair above average for this time of year, nothing wild.

We’ve got a long dry spell here. From Thursday the 23rd of July all the way through to Saturday the 26th, it’s just poor surf conditions – tiny choppy slop with cross-onshore breezes. On Saturday the 25th, the swell bumps up to around 5 ft from the NW, but the wind is a messy 30 km/h cross-shore pattern making it lumpy. The combined wave energy hits a moderate 241, which sounds decent, but the quality is blown out. That’s more of a kite-surfing day – paddle surfing is just frustration.

Sunday the 26th is dead flat – barely a ripple, with swell energy at just 4, so don’t bother.

Monday the 27th of July is actually the first interesting little moment. The morning turns glassy with an ENE offshore breeze at only 5 km/h. The swell is tiny, only 1 ft from the WNW, but that clean surface will make it look pretty. It’s inconsistent though – this spot rarely lines up. Still, if you’re desperate, that’s your window.

From there, it’s another bland stretch. Tuesday the 28th is cross-shore ripples, energy down to single digits. Wednesday the 29th and Thursday the 30th have some clean cross-off conditions, but again the swell is under 2 ft – very weak.

Friday the 31st of July shows a little more life. Morning sees a 3 ft NW swell with a clean NNE wind at 12 mph. Energy is up to 80 (moderate). It's not a standout by any means, but it’s the best looking morning in a week. The period is short (6 seconds) though, so don’t expect much push.

Sunday the 2nd of August is the one to circle. The morning has a 3 ft swell from the WNW with a clean 16 mph N cross-off breeze. Energy climbs to 133 (moderate) – the best reading in the whole forecast. The period is a modest 9 seconds. It's inconsistent and crowds are possible, but that clean surface might deliver a few fun ones for intermediate surfers. Not for beginners – wind is on the strong side.

After that, Monday the 3rd through to Wednesday the 5th of August, the swell drops back below 2 ft with cross-shore chop. Energy weak.

Thursday the 6th and Friday the 7th fizzle out entirely – Friday shows zero swell energy.

So the honest truth: there’s no true standout session in this 16-day window. The best on offer is that Sunday the 2nd of August morning – 3 ft from the WNW with clean conditions. That’s your best bet, but keep expectations low. It’s just one of those runs for the area.

Rusty.

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