Molho Leste Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, grab a seat. This is Rusty, and I’ve had a look at the charts for our patch. I’ll be straight with you—it’s a tough stretch ahead. We’ve got a long, dry spell to get through before anything even thinks about showing up.

The Outlook

Honestly, the next week and a half is about as flat as it gets. We are looking at a serious gap with no real surf on offer from now until the tail end of the first week of August. The swell just isn't there. Most days you’ll be staring at a lake. The water temp is sitting around 68°F which is pretty average for the time of year, so at least a paddle won’t be a shock to the system.

For the first few days, we’re looking at tiny dribbles at Molho Leste. Monday the 20th has got a tiny 1.0 ft from the WNW with a short 8-second period, but it’s cross-on and messy. Not worth a second look. Tuesday the 21st turns glassy in the morning, which is a tease, but the swell is still only 1 ft from the NW (10 seconds) and the combined energy is a weak 36. It’ll be a flat, bumpy lake before you know it. The whole week is a write-off of weak, cross-on, small dribble.

We get a bit of a pulse around Saturday the 25th. The swell jumps to 5 ft from the NW (7 seconds) in the morning, building to 6 ft by the afternoon. The combined energy climbs to 397 (moderate). But the wind is howling from the NNW at 15-18 mph, creating a lumpy cross-chop. It’s strong enough to be a hassle, and with that short, weak period, the waves will be messy and crumbly. This is more of a kite-surfing setup than a clean paddle day. Stay away.

After that, it drops off a cliff again. From Sunday the 26th right through to the 2nd of August, the swell disappears. It’s clean, but there’s nothing to ride. Just clear skies and flat water.

The One To Watch

Now, the only glimmer of hope comes on Monday the 3rd of August. The morning shows a 5 ft swell from the NW with an 8-second period and a combined energy of 283 (moderate). The wind is a clean cross-off from the N at 15 mph. This is the only real window in the whole 16 days. It’s still a long way out, so treat it as a promising possibility, not a guarantee. The waves will be a bit fat and crumbly due to the shorter period, but it’ll be rideable and clean. If you’re desperate, that’s your only shot. It’s still a bit much for beginners, but intermediates will find something to work with.

For the rest of it, the board stays in the car. It’s one of those blank runs for the area. Forecasts can change, but right now, we’re in a drought.

Rusty.

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