Molho Leste Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Gotta be straight with you – the outlook for the coming weeks is a tough one. We've got a long stretch of small, weak energy and poor conditions at Molho Leste, so we're looking at a real flat spell. Let's break it down.

The first sign of any energy comes on Sunday, July 5th, but it's barely a whisper. We're looking at a tiny 1 ft swell from the WNW with a short period of 9 seconds. The combined energy is a measly 16, so there's nothing pushing through. Winds are light and cross-off in the morning, but the lack of any real swell means it's a non-starter. This same low-energy pattern of 1 ft holds through the middle of the following week, with the same poor surf quality. It's a frustrating wait.

We see a slight pulse of energy building around Thursday, July 9th, with the swell picking up to 2 ft, but the combined energy is still only 55 (moderate). The wind is light and cross-shore, but the waves are still too weak to get excited about. This trend continues into the weekend of July 11th and 12th, where the swell finally nudges up to 3 ft from the WNW. The combined energy hits 111 to 150, which is moderate wave energy. However, the wind turns cross-on and choppy on the Saturday afternoon, making things messy. Sunday the 12th sees a cross-shore breeze, but the period is only 9 seconds, so it's not going to offer much shape.

The best of the lot, if you can call it that, falls on Monday, July 13th. The swell is still only 2 ft from the NW, but the period jumps to 12 seconds, giving it a bit more punch. The energy is moderate at 109, and the wind is a clean cross-off from the NNW. It's not big, but it'll be the cleanest we see all week. That said, it's inconsistent, and the crowd can be around sometimes, so it might be a scramble for a few small waves.

After that, we're back into a slide. The 14th and 15th see the swell drop back to 1 ft to 2 ft, and by the 16th, we're looking at 1 ft again with a fresh breeze that makes things choppy. The long-range into the third week of July shows a complete drop-off, with tiny 0.3 ft swells from the SW with a long period of 17 to 18 seconds. That long period, combined with no height, will just be a glassy lake. It's a blank run, and for this area, a stretch like this is more normal for the time of year.

So, the short story is: there's no standout surf. The best chance is a small, clean session on Monday morning, July 13th, but it's for the patient. Otherwise, I'd say keep the board in the car and hope the forecasts change.

Rusty.

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