Merewether - Ladies Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, this is Rusty. Let's break down what's happening on the home front.

Honestly, the next two weeks are a real rollercoaster. There's some serious swell comin' at Merewether - Ladies, but the wind is the boss here, and for most of the run, it's a grumpy boss.

The first few days are a write-off. On Wednesday the 8th, there's a 8ft swell from the southeast, but that southerly wind is going to turn it into a washing machine. The energy is 1415 (moderate). It's a day for the coffee shop, not the water.

Thursday the 9th is a little better. The swell is down to 7ft, the wind is light cross-shore. The energy drops to 862 (moderate). Still a bit bumpy, but you can see the potential.

Now listen up, because Friday the 10th of July is your first real chance. The swell drops to a sweet 5ft from the SE, and the wind goes light and cross-offshore from the west. That means clean, open faces. The energy is a solid 595 (moderate). The report says "very good surf conditions," and I'm stoked on it. The morning session is the one.

Saturday the 11th stays clean with a gentle offshore, but the swell is fading fast, down to 3ft. It'll be clean but small, with an energy of 344 (weak). Good for a log.

Then it goes flat. From Sunday the 12th all the way to Wednesday the 15th morning, the swell is tiny. The energy is barely registering. That's about 4 days of nothing.

Things perk up a little on Wednesday the 15th afternoon. The swell jumps back to 5ft, but it's a short, weak 6-second period from the south. It's crumbly and the wave energy is only 209 (weak). Not great.

And then the storms hit. From Thursday the 16th, the swell goes big, but so does the onshore wind. We're looking at an 12ft swell on the morning of the 16th, but it's blowing a gale onshore. The energy is 1462 (moderate), but it's a complete mess. This pattern of big, ugly surf sticks around for days. By Monday the 20th, the swell is still a solid 6ft with a long 11-second period from the SE, but the wind is still onshore, ruining it.

Finally, a silver lining. Tuesday the 21st of July morning. The wind goes light offshore from the WNW, and we get a clean 5ft SE swell with that nice 11-second period. The energy is 554 (moderate). The report says "very good surf conditions." That's your second standout in this long-range forecast.

So, here's the call: your windows are this Friday the 10th for clean, fun-sized waves, and next Tuesday the 21st if you can wait. Everything else is either blown out, flat, or just plain nasty.

The water is 66°, right where it should be for this time of year.

That's the story from here.

Keep your stick in the water,
Rusty

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