Merewether - Ladies Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, I’m Rusty, and here’s the outlook for the next 16 days.

Alright, listen up – we’ve got a bit of a slow start, but once we get past the middle of the week, there’s some serious grunt heading our way. The first few days are a bit of a write-off for a proper session, but don’t lose hope. The real action kicks off from Thursday the 24th and goes right through into the first week of August.

Tuesday the 21st is a no-go. The morning at Merewether - Ladies sees a tiny 4ft east swell with a 10-second period, but the wind is from the north at 3 mph, making it a cross-off breeze. The combined energy is weak (325). It’s clean, but the real kicker is that the water temp is sitting at 66°, which is pretty much bang on average for this time of year – nothing unusual there. The afternoon goes to crap with an onshore cross breeze, so forget it.

Wednesday the 22nd is small and ordinary. A 3ft swell from the ENE with a 9-second period and a weak energy reading of 138. The wind is offshore from the NW at 12 mph in the morning, which keeps it clean, but the waves are just too small to get excited about. It’s surfable, but you’ll be scratching for a ride.

Thursday the 23rd – forget it. Barely a ripple. Swell drops to 2ft, energy is a paltry 67. Not worth paddling out.

Now, here’s where it gets interesting.
Friday the 24th morning – this is the first real standout. A solid 7ft south swell, 10-second period, slamming into Merewether - Ladies. The combined energy is strong at 1275. The wind is WSW at 9 mph, a clean cross-off breeze. This is excellent surf for experienced surfers, but it’s too big for beginners. The afternoon turns to mush with a SE wind, so hit it early.

Saturday the 25th keeps the good vibes going. A 5ft south swell, but this one has a longer period – 11 seconds – giving it proper groundswell energy. The combined energy is strong at 584. Offshore WNW wind at 12 mph in the morning makes it clean and punchy. Expect very good conditions. This is another top pick for the week.

Sunday the 26th holds onto a 5ft south swell (11 seconds, 479 energy) but the wind is a cross-off from the west in the morning, keeping it reasonably clean. It’s good, but not as sharp as Saturday.

Monday the 27th sees a drop back to 4ft south swell, 9-second period, 234 energy, with a light NW offshore in the morning – clean but small. Good for a quick paddle, not a standout.

Tuesday the 28th and Wednesday the 29th die right off. Tiny waves, energy below 100, barely a ripple.

Then, the big one hits.
Thursday the 30th morning – hold onto your board. A massive 10ft south-southeast swell, 11-second period, and the combined energy is a beastly 2119. WNW wind at 9 mph, cross-off, and clean. This is expert territory only – way too big for beginners. Absolutely pumping, but you need to know what you’re doing.

Friday the 31st is another slab. 10ft SSE swell, 12-second period – that’s very long period groundswell, which will be best for this reef break. Energy is 2315. WNW wind at 16 mph, offshore, and clean. Again, for experts only. The morning is the pick.

Saturday the 1st of August – still pumping. 10ft south swell, 10-second period, 1770 energy. Offshore WNW wind at 6 mph. Huge and clean.

Sunday the 2nd of August – the absolute top of the pile. 10ft south swell, 11-second period, and a monstrous combined energy of 4075. WNW wind at 12 mph, offshore. This is the best on offer in the entire outlook. The wave quality, the consistency, the clean wind – it’s a dream. But it’s 10ft, so it’s experts only, and being a very long period groundswell, it’ll be powerful and bowling. A true standout.

Monday the 3rd – the swell is still big (8ft, 11 seconds, 1345 energy) but the wind turns on you. A fresh SW cross breeze at 22 mph makes it lumpy and messy. Not worth it.

Tuesday the 4th to Wednesday the 5th – the energy drops, the wind stays onshore or cross-onshore, and it’s sloppy. The run is over.

So, the true standouts are Friday the 24th morning for a solid, clean swell, and Sunday the 2nd of August morning for the mega-swell with perfect offshore wind. Both are for experienced surfers only.

Rusty.

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