Merewether - Ladies Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. Look, I’ve got to level with you – the next couple of weeks at Merewether - Ladies are a tough watch. We’re looking at a long, drawn-out run of messy conditions, with only a couple of brief windows where things might line up. The water temp is sitting at 65° right now, which is pretty much dead average for this time of year, nothing weird going on there.

Tuesday the 15th kicks off with barely a ripple – a tiny 1ft Southerly swell with weak energy (37). Not worth paddling out.

Wednesday the 16th is where the frustration kicks in. There’s a big pulse of 10ft S swell, but the wind is a nasty 22 mph cross-shore in the morning, and that's paired with a fresh cross-onshore in the afternoon. The combined energy is serious (1773 in the morning, 2632 in the afternoon), but it’s lumpy, messy, and blown out. This is one for the kite surfers, not for a paddle board.

Thursday the 17th stays on the big side with 10ft S swell, but again the cross-shore wind and moderate chop kill the quality. The energy is very high (3144), but it’s not clean. The afternoon drops to 7ft SSE, but the wind is onshore.

Then we hit a bit of a lull. Friday the 18th morning is actually the best on offer in the first week. Clean 4ft S swell with a light offshore breeze from the NW. The energy is moderate (389). It’s small but rideable and clean. The afternoon gets trashed by a cross-onshore.

Saturday the 19th morning is another clean-ish window with 3ft S swell and cross-offshore wind from the WNW. It’s tiny (220 energy), but if you’re keen for a small board, it’s about as good as it gets.

Sunday the 20th morning goes glassy – zero wind and a 2ft S swell. The energy is weak (85), but it’s perfect for a longboard if you want a peaceful session. That’s your real standout for the first week – clean, uncrowded potential, just small.

From Monday the 21st, it gets ugly again. We’ve got a massive gap from Monday right through to the end of the period with constant onshore or cross-onshore winds, rain, and lumpy conditions. There’s a bit of swell – 6ft on the 23rd and 28th – but it’s all blown out. The 23rd has 6ft ENE swell with a cross-shore and a slight cross-chop, but again, not something to get excited about.

The last glimmer is Sunday the 27th morning with a tiny 2ft ENE swell and a gentle offshore from the NW, giving clean tiny waves (48 energy). But by the afternoon it’s trashed again.

Honest truth: if you’re waiting for a solid, clean day, the morning of Sunday the 20th is your best bet for clean, small waves. For a bit more size, Friday the 18th morning is okay. Everything else is a write-off for paddle surfing. The second week looks even more unreliable – keep an eye out, but don’t hold your breath.

Rusty.

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