Majanicho Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a hard look at what’s cookin’ at Majanicho for the next couple of weeks. And straight up, I gotta be honest with you – it’s a tough stretch. This spot is an exposed reef and point break that takes a north-northwest to north swell, but for the entire 16-day window, every single session comes back as poor surf conditions. There’s simply no standout window where the stars align for a good paddle.

The water temp is running about average for this time of year, which is fine, but with the wind and the chop, that’s about the only thing that’s comfortable.

Starting off from Tuesday the 25th, we’ve got a moderate breeze blowing cross-on or on all day, with swell running 5 ft from the NNW but period under 10 seconds. The combined energy sits at 419 – moderate – but it’s a choppy mess. That theme doesn't let up. Through Wednesday and Thursday the swell drops away into the 2 ft to 3 ft range, combined energy down in the double digits (42-87), short period, onshore wind. It’s flat and bumpy.

Friday the 28th brings a bit more size, with the swell climbing to 5-6 ft from the N, but the wind jumps up to a fresh breeze (18-22 mph) out of the NNE, making it cross-on or onshore and lumpy. Energy bumps up to 334 by afternoon, but the quality is still poor.

Now, Saturday the 29th looks like the biggest pulse of the first week. Swell hits 6 ft from the N with a period of 11 seconds – that’s proper groundswell. Combined energy hits 936 (strong). But that NNE wind is still blowing 15-18 mph directly onshore, ruining what could have been a good thing. This is expert-level size (over 5 ft) but with the wind, it’s just a washing machine. Sunday and Monday see the swell backing off to the 4-5 ft range with moderate onshore winds – still poor.

Moving into the first week of September, there’s a bit more size on Wednesday the 2nd and Thursday the 3rd, with 5-6 ft swell from the N, but the wind is fresh and cross-on or onshore again. Combined energy stays in the moderate to strong range (278-501). Still, the wave comment screams poor surf conditions. By Friday the 4th and Saturday the 5th, it drops back under 3 ft.

Here’s where it gets interesting, but only for the calendar. On Sunday the 6th, we get a shift. The swell direction swings to the W with a period of 14 seconds – that’s long-period groundswell. On Monday the 7th and Tuesday the 8th, we’re seeing swell from the WNW with 14-second periods, and combined energy hits very strong numbers: 782 on Monday morning, 973 on Monday afternoon, and 983 on Tuesday morning. Swell sits around 3 ft to 4 ft. But here’s the kicker – the wind is still moderate onshore or cross-on from the N or NNE. For a reef and point, that long-period WNW swell would normally be a dream, but the onshore wind is going to put a chop on it. It’s a tease.

We finish the run on Wednesday the 9th with 6 ft from the N, 8-second period, moderate onshore wind – poor again.

There is no session in this entire 16-day forecast where I’d tell you to wet a line. It’s a blank run. Given the consistent onshore flow and chop, if you absolutely had to get on the water, this setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing. Conditions can flip, but right now, it’s a waiting game.

Rusty.

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