Majanicho Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's take a look at what's on the cards for the next couple of weeks at Majanicho.

First thing you need to know: it's a bit of a rough stretch for paddle surfing. The water's sitting at 72°, which is just about normal for this time of year – nothing to write home about. The issue is, while the wind is pretty much always blowing straight from the north, it's onshore for this break, and that's not what we want. The swell is tiny and weak for the first week, with combined energy barely cracking 50 (20 to 50) for days on end. We're talking ankle-snappers and bumpy, messy lines. Not a single session worth paddling out for through the end of the first week.

Now, there's a bit of a pulse coming. Starting around Sunday the 12th, we see a jump in energy. The swell actually gets some height and period, with combined energy hitting 146 on Sunday morning and building to 231 by Sunday afternoon. That's a moderate wave energy showing up. The swell direction is NNW, which is okay for the N-optimal setup here, but the wind is still onshore from the N and NNE, blowing 12 to 16 mph. That keeps things messy. The swell height climbs to 3 ft to 4 ft, but the quality is still given as poor.

The real kicker comes in the second week, around the 16th to the 18th of July. This is where the combined energy ramps up big time – we're talking 290 on the 16th, 342 on the 17th, and 604 on the 18th. That's strong to very strong wave energy. Swell heights are hitting 5 ft to 6 ft out of the north. That's solid, borderline expert territory at 6 ft, and the period is a short 7 to 8 seconds, so it's windswell, not groundswell – it'll be a bit lumpy and less shapely than a long-period wave. The catch is the wind: it's howling onshore from the NNE at 19 to 22 mph. That's a fresh breeze, and it's going to make those waves choppy and blown out. For a reef and point setup like Majanicho, this is a tough combo. Frankly, with that much wind and that size, this setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing.

So, the honest truth is there's no standout, quality surf session in the entire 16-day window. The swell is there in the second week, but the wind is persistently against us. For a spot that's normally consistent, this is a poor run.

Keep your eyes on the forecasts, though – it can't stay this way forever.

Rusty.

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