Majanicho Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's break down the next 16 days for Majanicho.

Straight up, I gotta be honest with you – this is a tough stretch for paddling. We’ve got a lot of wind and messy conditions that are going to make things pretty frustrating. The swell sticks to a north direction, which is almost on the money for this spot, but the wind just won't let up. For most of the period, we're looking at onshore or cross-onshore breezes that are going to chop things up. The wave energy starts weak, around 118 in the morning on the 11th, and only climbs into a moderate range as we go.

Now, the water temp is sitting at 74°F, which is about 2°F above the norm – so it's a bit warmer than usual for this time of year, but nothing crazy. You won't need a wetsuit, that's for sure.

Tuesday 11th through to Thursday 15th: This is a rough patch. Swell is small, mostly around 3ft to 4ft, with a short, weak period of 6 to 7 seconds. The wind is hammering from the NNE at 15-19 mph – mostly onshore or cross-onshore. The energy is moderate (118 to 316), but the conditions are poor. Honestly, this is more of a kite-surfing setup than a paddle surf one.

Friday 16th to Wednesday 20th: We get a slight improvement in swell period, up to 8-9 seconds, which gives a bit more push. The swell stays around 3ft to 4ft. The combined energy picks up, hitting the 300 mark on the morning of the 18th. The wind remains the main problem, still blowing onshore from the N or NNW, 9-16 mph. The break is a consistent reef and point, so it takes swell well, but with that wind it's going to be lumpy. There’s no real standout here for a quality session.

The Standout Window: Friday 21st to Sunday 23rd

Here is where things get interesting, but with a big caveat. On Friday, August 21st, the swell cranks up to 6ft from the north with a period of 9 seconds. The combined energy jumps to strong levels: 524 in the morning and 555 in the afternoon. Then, Saturday, August 22nd is the peak, with 6ft north swell at a 10-second period, and energy readings of 687 and a whopping 887 in the afternoon. This is serious power. The swell direction (N) is bang on for Majanicho’s optimum (N).

However, this is an expert-only zone anyway, and at 6ft to 6ft, it’s definitely not for the faint-hearted or beginners. The wind is still onshore from the NNE at 19-22 mph, which is a heavy, fresh breeze. For a reef and point setup like this, the north swell will offer good shape, but those winds are going to make it challenging and bumpy. It's a power session for the strong paddler who can handle the chop.

Monday 24th to the end (Wednesday 26th): The swell drops back down, from 5ft to 2ft, with the period shortening again to 8-9 seconds. The energy fades back into the moderate range (326 down to 222). The wind stays onshore, so we're back to poor surf conditions.

So, to wrap it up: there’s a long gap of poor conditions to start, then a punchy but windy swell window around the 21st and 22nd. It has power, but the wind is the spoiler.

Keep your eyes on the horizon, things can change. Forecasts can shift, and a clean one might pop up.

Rusty.

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