Majanicho Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s get straight into it. The outlook for the next 16 days at Majanicho is a bit of a tough one to swallow. We’ve got swell on the charts, but the wind just won’t play nice for most of it, leaving us with a lot of "poor surf conditions" to deal with.

Right from the get-go, Wednesday afternoon the 22nd, we see a 5ft north swell rolling in, but it’s pinned by a fresh 19 mph north wind. The water is sitting at a pretty normal 72°F for this time of year, but that wind is just ruining the party. The combined energy is moderate at 219, but it’s all for nothing with that wind.

We’ve got a long stretch of the same story. Thursday the 23rd through to the start of the following week, we’re looking at 5ft to 7ft north swells, but the wind is locked in from the north or north-northeast, gusting 19 to 22 mph. The break is an exposed reef and point, so that north wind is straight onshore, making a mess of what could be a nice wave. The energy builds from moderate right up to strong, hitting 532 on Sunday the 26th morning, but the wave comment stays "poor surf conditions." This is a kite surfer’s paradise, not a paddle surfer’s.

The first real chance of a break in the wind comes on Friday the 1st of August. We get a 4ft north swell with a light breeze at 6 mph, but it’s still onshore. The energy is weak at 150. It’s a small improvement, but nothing to get excited about.

The swell takes a real dive after that, dropping to 3ft and then 1ft by the 3rd and 4th of August. The energy drops into the weak range, down to 85 on the 3rd. The wind is still a problem.

Then, on Wednesday the 5th of August, we get a bit of a long-range glimmer. A 3ft west-northwest swell arrives with a long period of 12 seconds. This is a proper groundswell, and the energy jumps back to a moderate 258. The wind is cross-on from the north-northeast at 16 mph, which is still not ideal, but it’s the best looking setup of the whole window. A long period like this, this reef and point break could still offer some clean lines. It’s a promising but less certain bet being so far out.

The window closes on the 6th with a 3ft north swell and a short, weak period of 6 seconds, and the wind is back onshore.

So, the honest truth? There are no standouts in this 16-day run. The wind is the enemy here, and it rarely lets up. If you’re an expert and desperate, that window around the 5th of August might be worth a look, but don’t hold your breath. For everyone else, it’s a waiting game. The good news is, this spot is consistent, so this run of poor conditions is likely just a phase. Forecasts can change.

Rusty.

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