Majanicho Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at the outlook for Majanicho.

Well, I’m not gonna sugarcoat it – this 16-day window is a frustrating one. For a spot that’s usually consistent, we’re looking at a really long stretch of poor surf conditions. The wind is the main culprit here, hammering the place with persistent onshore or cross-onshore winds day after day. The swell is there, but it’s a short-period, wind-driven mess that just doesn’t have any shape to it. Wave energy is moderate at best, reaching the low 200s (243) at the start, but mostly hanging around in the 100s, which is weak for this exposed break.

The water temp is sitting at about 72°F, which is right around normal for this time of year, so that’s not going to save this forecast.

The whole first week is a write-off. From Monday the 27th of July right through to Saturday the 1st of August, we’ve got consistent 3ft to 5ft swell from the north, but it’s all short-period (5 to 8 seconds) and paired with a 9 to 16 mph onshore wind. That’s just choppy, lumpy, no-good surf. The wave energy is weak to moderate (77 to 243), and the forecast keeps calling it “poor surf conditions.” No point paddling out for that.

We get a little glimmer of a change on Sunday the 2nd of August. The swell drops to 2ft, shifts to the WNW, and the period stretches to 9 seconds. The wind goes light (3 mph) from the NNW, but it’s still cross-onshore, causing small wind ripples. The energy is a low 115. It’s still “poor surf conditions,” so nothing to write home about.

The next week, from Monday the 3rd of August through to Tuesday the 11th of August, the pattern repeats. The swell picks up again, hitting 6ft on the 10th and even 7ft by the 11th, all from the north-northeast. The wave energy climbs into the 300s and even the 500s (573) by the 11th, which is strong. But the wind is back to 16 to 22 mph onshore, with a short period of 7 to 8 seconds. That’s a lot of raw power, but it’s all blown out and choppy. The data says “poor surf conditions” through every single entry. With that much onshore wind and a strong, short-period swell, this setup looks far more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing.

The one real standout, if you can call it that, is a very brief window on Sunday the 9th of August. The swell direction goes to the northwest, and the period jumps to 12-13 seconds – that’s a proper groundswell. The height is only 3ft, but the energy is strong (412-400). The problem is the wind is still a fresh 22 mph onshore from the north-northeast. It’s a long-period swell, which would be great at a reef or point like Majanicho, but only if it’s clean. With that wind, it’s just a bumpy mess. It’s a promising sign for the future, but it’s not the day.

Best Option: Honestly, there isn’t a true standout. If you’re desperate, the cleanest conditions of the whole period might be on the morning of Sunday the 2nd of August, with that tiny 2ft WNW swell and light wind, but it’s barely surfable. The other option is Sunday the 9th of August, which has the best swell quality (long-period groundswell), but the wind ruins it. Neither is a good bet.

Summary: This is a tough one. The whole forecast is a washout for surf. The wind is relentless, and the swell is either too short and weak or too chopped up to be any fun. It’s a long stretch of poor conditions, and it’s going to stay that way until the pattern changes. I’d save the wax and wait for a better forecast.

Rusty.

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