Majanicho Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Gotta be straight with you on this one – it’s a tough stretch ahead for this corner of the coast. The whole 16-day window is basically a write-off for quality paddle surfing, so let’s not kid ourselves.

Right out of the gate, Friday the 10th of July is a no-go. We’re looking at a weak, short-period 3 ft north swell with a measly combined energy reading (56). That’s not enough grunt to do anything interesting, and with a moderate onshore breeze, it’s just messy. That pattern sticks around for the first few days – tiny swells, poor conditions, all scoring a big fat zero for surfability. You’ll see a bump in swell around Sunday the 12th with the energy cracking 160, but it’s still a cross-onshore chop-fest and the period is short at 8 seconds. Not worth paddling for.

The water temp is sitting at 71°F, which is about normal for the time of year, but that’s about the only thing that’s average here.

We then hit a long, flat gap with nothing to recommend. The swell does start to build significantly from Thursday the 16th onwards – we’re talking 5 ft to 6 ft swells by the time we get to the 19th, and the combined energy numbers climb into the hundreds (up to 574). Sounds promising, right? Wrong. The problem is the wind. From the 16th all the way through to the 25th, it’s a relentless onshore or cross-onshore breeze from the north-northeast and north, blowing at 16 to 22 mph. And on top of that, every single session in this whole outlook is marked as “poor surf conditions.” The swell is there, but it’s being torn apart by the wind, making for crap, choppy lines.

The standout in terms of raw energy is around Sunday the 19th and Monday the 20th of July, when we see solid 6 ft to 6 ft north swells with energy readings over 500. But again, that’s all wasted. The wind is howling onshore at 22 mph and the period is only 9 seconds, so it’s just going to be a washing machine. This is a beach-and-reef setup that’s exposed, and with that much swell and that much wind, it honestly looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing.

For any brave beginner, stay well away – these swells hit over 5 ft and then push past 6 ft, which is expert-only territory if it were clean. But it’s not clean. The entire outlook is a blank run. This area just doesn't have the right sheltered breaks for this persistent northerly blow, so don’t hold your breath. Sometimes it be like that. Forecasts can change, but right now? I’d find something else to do.

Rusty.

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