Majanicho Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, this is Rusty. Let’s have a look at what’s cooking for the next couple of weeks.

Honestly, this is a tough one. We’re looking at a long, quiet stretch ahead. For the next ten days or so, the surf is pretty much flat to tiny, and the wind is blowing hard from the north-northeast, right onshore. The water temperature is sitting at a very comfortable 72°F, which is about average for the time of year, no real anomaly there. But the conditions are just poor for any kind of surf.

The first few days, from the afternoon of Friday the 24th of July all the way through to the 31st, it’s a write-off. We’re looking at swell around 6 ft down to 3 ft, but that’s all short-period windswell (7-8 seconds) with a northerly wind howling at 18-22 mph straight onshore. The wave energy (combined energy of all swells directed here) is mostly in the three-digit range early on, between 359 and 447, which is moderate energy, but it’s all messy. Forget it for a decent surf.

Things don’t improve much into the first week of August. From the 1st to the 3rd, the swell drops right off to 3 ft to 3 ft, with a slight shift to the west-northwest, but the wind is still onshore. The energy plummets into the double digits (73-170) – it’s weak. Still a no-go.

Now, there is a bit of a pulse showing up around Tuesday the 4th of August. The swell bumps up to 5 ft, coming from the north with a period of 8-9 seconds. The wave energy climbs back up to 339-345 (moderate energy). But the wind is still onshore from the north at 12-16 mph. It’s bigger, but it’s going to be a bumpy, choppy mess at Majanicho. For a spot that’s a reef and point setup, that onshore wind really trashes it.

The truth is, through this whole 16-day window, there is no single standout day. Every single entry in the data has a wind state of “on” or “cross-on” – never offshore. The wave comment consistently reads “poor surf conditions.” The score out of 10 is zero for every single record.

If you absolutely had to pick the least bad time, it would be around the 4th of August when the swell is a bit bigger, but be prepared for rough, onshore conditions at Majanicho. This is a spot that needs a clean north swell and offshore winds to shine. The optimum swell direction is from the north, which we are getting, but the wind is ruining the party.

Because of the persistent onshore wind and the swell size being solid (over 5 ft at times), this setup actually looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing. The waves will be sizable but blown out.

So, to wrap it up – bunker down. There’s nothing to get excited about in the forecast. It’ll probably turn around eventually, but for now, save your energy for the next swell window.

Rusty.

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