Majanicho Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, it’s Rusty here, looking at the waves for our stretch of coast. I’ve got to be straight with you – this forecast is a tough one to write. We’re looking at a long stretch of nothing much, so let’s get into it.

First up, the bigger picture. We’ve got a 16-day window, but honestly, a lot of it is looking pretty flat and messy. The wind is the big story for the majority of this run. It’s blowing onshore, sometimes fresh, and that's going to put the brakes on any real quality. The water temp is sitting at about 75°, which is just a tick above normal for this time of year, so a nice warm wetsuit or just a spring suit will do. It’s about average.

Now, for the first recommendation, it’s not until Sunday the 13th, and even that is a "maybe." Look, the opening days are a write-off. The wind is up, the swell is weak and short-period, and the conditions are just poor. From the 8th right through to the 12th, there’s nothing doing. It’s not until the morning of Sunday the 13th that we get a bit of a window. The swell drops a little, the wind eases off to a light breeze, and it’s cross-onshore, which is at least cleaner than what we’ve had. You might find a couple of soft, 4ft waves with a 4ft south-southwest swell, but don't get your hopes up. It’s a scrape, not a score.

After that little pulse of hope, we go back into a long, flat, and wind-affected spell. There’s a solid gap from Sunday afternoon through to the following Saturday, the 19th, where you’d be better off doing maintenance on your boards. The energy is just not there and the breeze keeps messing things up.

When we get to Saturday the 19th, we see a subtle shift. The swell direction swings around to the NNW and the period stretches back out to a more surfable 12 seconds. The heights are still small, around 3ft to 3ft, but that longer period means the waves have a bit more push to them. The wind is still cross-onshore, so it won’t be glassy, but it’s workable. It’s not a standout, just a sign that things are trying to improve. This is our best bet for a surf, but it’s still a marginal call. The waves will be a little crumbly on the inside, but for a keen surfer, there might be a couple of fun ones.

The standout – and I use that term loosely – is on Wednesday the 23rd. We finally see that magic combination that gets me a little excited. The swell period jumps up to 16 seconds, which is a proper long-period groundswell. Size is still small, around 1ft to 2ft, but it’s coming from the NW, which lines up with what this break wants. It will be a little inconsistent and the wind will be cross-onshore, but that long period swell is going to wrap in with some real shape. This is the most promising day of the whole run, but given the size, it’s more of a longboard or funboard wave. It’s for those who don’t mind paddling around for a little while between sets.

So there you have it. A fairly bleak outlook, with two small windows of opportunity. The 19th and the 23rd are your best bets, and the 23rd is the one to keep an eye on. Beyond that, the forecast is just a mix of onshore winds and fading energy. Keep the board handy, but don't expect any fireworks. The forecast can always change, but as it stands, we just have to pick our moments.

Rusty out.

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