Majanicho Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Gotta be straight with you – the outlook for the next couple of weeks around here is a bit of a tough one to swallow. We've got some swell running, but the wind is just cooking from the north and northeast, ruining the surface on just about every pulse that rolls in. The whole period is plagued by these onshore and cross-onshore breezes, and the swell direction is coming straight from the north, which isn't ideal for the main setup.

Let's break it down. The first real swell shows up on the morning of Friday the 28th of August with waves hitting 5 ft from the north, but it's paired with a fresh 22 mph cross-onshore wind. The wave energy is moderate (213) but the surface is gonna be lumpy and messy. That afternoon, the swell jumps to 6 ft, and the wind stays on it. It’s just not a good look for a clean wave. This pattern locks in for a few days. Saturday the 29th has our biggest swell of the window – 6 ft from the north with a period stretching to 11 seconds, which usually brings some real power and shape. The combined energy rating is strong at 903. But again, that fresh cross-onshore wind from the NNE at 19 mph is going to trash it. For a spot like Majanicho, a reef-and-point break that works best with a clean offshore, this is a frustrating combo. The water temp is about average for this time of year.

We are looking at a solid 11-day stretch here where the wind just won't let up. While there are days with some decent sized swell – that 6 ft to 6 ft range between Friday and Sunday – it's all coming with moderate to fresh breeze, either onshore or cross-onshore. The waves will be there, but the quality will be poor. This setup honestly looks more interesting for kite surfing than traditional paddle surfing, given the consistent strong wind and lumpy conditions. There is no standout window for clean, glassy conditions.

Things do quiet down for the second week. We see the swell drop back below 5 ft, and the wind looks to ease a touch. For instance, on the morning of Thursday the 10th of September, the wind drops to a light breeze from the north at 6 mph, with a 4 ft north swell and a period of 9 seconds. That is the best wind we’ve seen, and the energy is moderate (351). Still, the swell direction isn't ideal, and it's a long way out, so keep your expectations in check.

Right now, there’s no day I can point to and say, "Go, that's the one." It’s a waiting game for the wind to swing around or drop off completely. This area doesn't tend to stay poor for long, so don't lose hope. Keep an eye on the charts, because when the stars align, this place can pump.

Rusty.

Read more