Majanicho Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Lookin' at the charts for our stretch of coast, and I gotta be straight with ya – it's a tough one. We're talkin' about a 16-day window that starts with a whole lot of nothin'. The first real day on the board is Thursday the 20th, and even then, the conditions are rough. But keep your chin up, there's a glimmer way out there.

The main issue is the wind. For days on end, we've got a fresh onshore breeze out of the north and north-northeast that's just destroying any hope of a clean face. It's a relentless chop-maker. The water's sitting at a warm 75° with a 3° anomaly, so a touch warmer than normal for this time of year, which is nice for the wait, but not for the surf.

For most of this run, from Thursday the 20th right through to the end of August, the swell is small to modest – mostly around 2ft to 4ft – with short, weak periods of 6-8 seconds. The combined energy barely gets into the moderate range most days [like 105-219]. It's just not worth paddling out for that mess.

There is one date that catches the eye if you're an expert with a death wish and a lot of patience. Sunday the 25th of August. The swell jumps overnight. By the afternoon, Majanicho is seeing a clean 6ft groundswell from the north-northwest with a very long 15-second period. The energy hits a solid [559]. This is the kind of combo that can set up perfection on that reef and point set up if the winds cooperate. But here's the kicker – the wind is still on it, a gentle breeze but directly onshore. That's why it's scoring so poorly for quality. It's a tease. It could be incredible, but the wind has the final say. If you're an expert and you see that wind clock around even a touch offshore, you go. But as it stands, look at it but don't expect much.

Then we hit another blank stretch – Monday the 25th through to about the end of the month – back to the same old story: moderate breezes and junky conditions.

The one true standout, the saving grace, is looking like Sunday the 1st of September. But we're far out so hold your horses. That morning, Majanicho has a 6ft swell from the north with a solid 11-second period, and the energy jumps into the very strong zone [798]. The wind? Still a fresh breeze from the north-northeast, directly onshore. It's a powerful swell, but it's going to be a messy, blown-out beast. Not for the faint of heart.

Beyond that, through the first few days of September, it's more of the same: consistent chest-to-head high swell, but with that onshore/trade wind pattern keeping it ugly. Honestly folks, for this whole 16-day forecast, the consistent onshore wind ruins everything. If you have to paddle out, save your energy for that last week of August or first week of September when the swell size is biggest, but be prepared for a washing machine. The setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing for most of this period.

I'm holding out hope for the forecast to change, because it usually does. But right now? It's a waiting game.

Rusty.

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