Majanicho Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s talk about what’s coming up for the local stretch.

Right off the bat, I gotta be straight with you: the next week and a half is a real struggle. We're looking at a long, frustrating gap of poor surf conditions that stretches from the 31st of July all the way through the 7th of August. There’s just nothing to get excited about. The wind is howling from the north and northeast, mostly onshore or cross-on, and it’s just wrecking any chance of a clean wave. The swell is small and weak, with combined energies barely cracking 100 (93-172) and periods under 10 seconds. It’s just choppy, bumpy, and not worth paddling out for.

We finally get a little pulse of life on the 8th of August, Saturday morning. Swell bumps up to 4 ft from the north, period a short 6 seconds, but combined energy jumps to 184. Still, the wind is a solid 12 mph from the north right onshore, so it’s going to be messy. This trend continues through the 9th, with the swell building to 5 ft from the north-northwest on Sunday afternoon, and energy hitting 305. But again, the wind is on it, so it’s a battle.

The real standout, if you can call it that, happens on the 10th of August, Monday. The swell hits 5 ft from the north, period stretches to 10 seconds, and the combined energy rockets up to 447. That’s a solid pulse of moderate energy. But here’s the kicker: the wind is blowing 19 mph from the north, right onshore. For a spot like Majanicho (reef and point), that’s a shame. This wave is an expert-only slab, and with that much wind on it, it’s going to be a wall of white water. For most of us, it’s a pass. For the absolute die-hards, it might be a session, but expect it to be messy and heavy. The water temp is about average for this time of year.

The 11th and 12th of August keep the same vibe: 5 ft north swell, onshore wind, energy in the 300s. Not clean, not fun. By the 14th of August, Friday, the wind cranks up to 25 mph from the north-northeast, making it strong cross-onshore and messy. If you’re into kiteboarding, this setup might look interesting, but for paddle surfing, it’s a hard no.

So, the long and short of it: the whole 16-day window is a write-off for clean, quality surf. The best chance is the 10th of August for the biggest swell, but the wind kills it. Hang tight, wait for the next forecast, and hope the wind gods change their tune.

Rusty.

Read more