Majanicho Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright mates, Rusty here. Let’s run it down for Majanicho—the only game in town for the next couple weeks. I won’t sugarcoat it: this is a grim outlook. The break is a consistent, exposed reef and point that likes a north swell, and we’ve got wind mostly coming from the north or northeast, which is onshore or cross-onshore. The data calls every single session “poor surf conditions.” That’s not a good sign. This isn’t flat, but it’s close to a total write-off.

Starting Sunday the 16th, the swell is a tiny 3ft from the north, period is only 7 seconds, and combined energy is a weak 147. Winds are 20 km/h from the north straight onshore. Water temp is 73°F—about average for the time of year—but you won’t care because it’s bumpy and weak.

Monday the 17th through Thursday the 20th: 3ft to 3ft waves, 8-second period, moderate northerly winds keeping it choppy or onshore. The energy stays weak, between 111 and 193. A reef and point like this needs a clean north swell with some push, and we’re not getting it.

Friday the 21st gets to 4ft, but it’s 25 km/h north wind onshore. Messy. Saturday the 22nd has 4ft to 4ft with a 7-second period, energy climbs to 257 and 231—moderate—but the quality is still labeled poor. This is just lumpy whitewater.

Sunday the 23rd is the only glimmer. Swell is 3ft to 4ft, but the morning period hits 10 seconds. Energy sits at 226 to 270. Wind is northeast at only 10 km/h in the morning—light cross-onshore. The afternoon gets a moderate north wind, so the morning is the one window that almost looks clean. This is the best of a bad bunch. For experts only at this spot, it’s the “if you’re really keen” session of the whole 16 days. Mark it.

Then Monday the 24th through to Monday the 31st: swell picks up to 6ft on the 24th and 25th, energy jumps into the 300s—strong—but the wind is 30 km/h or more from the northeast, cross-onshore or onshore. This is going to be a blown-out, lumpy, closeout fest. With that much north swell and short 8-second period, it’s more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing. After that, it’s 3ft to 5ft waves with fresh northeast winds right to the end. No clean windows.

So the standout? Barely, but Sunday the 23rd, morning. Light breeze, a little more period. The swell direction is north, which is exactly what this break wants. Crowds will be unlikely because nobody will be out there expecting anything. It’s a long shot, but it’s all we’ve got for the next 16 days.

Stay tuned, things can change fast.

Rusty.

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