Johanna Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here with a look at what Johanna's got cookin' for us. We've got a serious run of south swell energy heading our way, but it's gonna be a bit of a mixed bag with the wind playing games.

The big picture? Swell is coming in strong and consistent, especially through the middle of next week. This is a long-period groundswell that will wrap right into the bay, but it's huge. Over 8ft and you're looking at expert territory, and we get way up there. The combined swell energy is going to be massive, hitting three and four-digit values, so this is powerful water. The water temp is about average for this time of year, nothing wild there.

We kick off this Sunday (July 5th) with some size already on the table. Morning sees a stormy 16ft+ SW swell with a 17-second period – that's a proper groundswell – but the wind is a messy cross-shore from the ESE at 19 mph, making for a lumpy surface. Energy is huge at 13344. By afternoon, the wind shifts a touch to cross-offshore and the swell drops to 15ft, cleaning up nicely. The energy is still massive at 9884. It's surfable for the experienced crew, but it's edgy.

Monday (July 6th) is a different story. Swell drops right back to a manageable 8ft SW, with a lovely 14-second period. The morning is the standout here: glassy offshores from the North at just 3 mph and clean conditions. This is the best wave quality of the first week for the intermediate surfer. Combined energy is still a solid 2881. Get out there early.

Tuesday (July 7th) looks good again, but it's a touch smaller at 8ft from the SW. The period is back up to 16 seconds. The morning is *glassy* – zero wind, just pure, clean lines. The energy is 2701. It'll be a little inconsistent with that long period, but the shape should be excellent for the reef and point.

Wednesday (July 8th) could be the pick of the week for the experts. The swell builds to a solid 10ft from the SW with a 16-second period, but the killer is the morning: light offshore NE wind at 3 mph, clean as a whistle, and the energy is massive at 6631. This is a big, powerful, clean swell. The afternoon picks up to 12ft but gets a bit of a cross-shore chop.

Thursday (July 9th) is a nice reset. Swell drops to 8ft, but the conditions are pure glass once again – the afternoon is dead calm. A perfect window for a longer session on the point.

We get another good window on Friday (July 10th) with an 8ft WSW swell. The wind is offshore from the North all day, light. Energy is good at 3114. Very clean.

Now, the wheels come off a bit for the weekend. Saturday (July 11th) starts with a strong 19 mph North wind and a dropping 7ft swell. Then the afternoon turns to moderate rain, a 19 mph cross-onshore, and the swell jumps to a messy 13ft (10-second period). The energy is 3076 but it's a wind-blown disaster. Sunday (July 12th) is even rougher, with 22 mph cross-onshore winds and a heaving 15-16ft SW swell. Forget it for surfing, unless you're kiting.

Monday (July 13th) and Tuesday (July 14th) are for the brave and the crazy. The swell peaks at a maxed-out 21ft from the SW on Monday afternoon (19-second period, energy 28682) with a strong cross-shore wind. This is massive. Tuesday is a touch smaller at 16ft but with strong cross-off winds, so it might be the better day of the two for the big-wave chargers. Energy is still over 10000 both days.

The rest of the second week (Wednesday 15th through Sunday 19th July) is just big, windy, and messy. We're looking at 11ft to 16ft swells with constant cross-onshore or onshore winds from the west. There's a brief respite on the morning of Friday, July 17th, when a 7ft WSW swell comes with a nice cross-offshore wind, giving you that one clean session in the middle of a rough patch. Everything after that into the 20th is a write-off.

So, if you're an expert, Wednesday the 8th morning is your standout for quality big-wave action. For the intermediate crew, Monday morning the 6th with that light offshore wind and 8ft swell is the best on offer. Just remember, this is Johanna – it's very consistent but when it's big, it's a serious challenge.

Stay safe out there.
Rusty.

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