Jacaraipe Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. Look, I’ll be straight with you – this stretch at Jacaraipe is a bit of a mixed bag, and you’re gonna have to be patient. We’ve got a solid run of marginal and poor conditions for the first week and a half, but there’s one morning that looks like it could actually deliver something worth paddling out for.

The pattern for the next week or so is dominated by a consistent SSE swell, but the wind is a constant issue. Most days are plagued by cross-onshore breezes or choppy conditions, making it tough to find anything clean. The water temp here is sitting right around 73°F, which is about average for the time of year, so nothing unusual there.

Let’s run through the days. Wednesday the 12th afternoon is a write-off with a light onshore breeze and marginal conditions on that 5 ft SSE swell (moderate wave energy at 581). Thursday the 13th morning looks a bit cleaner with a cross-offshore wind from the N at 12 mph, but the swell is only 4 ft and the score is still poor. That afternoon gets worse with a 16 mph cross-onshore. Friday the 14th and Saturday the 15th are much the same story – small SSE swell, but winds are either cross or cross-on, leaving the waves a choppy mess. Sunday the 16th kicks up a bit to 6 ft SE swell, but with a short period of 8 seconds and a cross-onshore wind, it’s going to be lumpy and poor.

Monday the 17th sees the swell build to 6 ft from the E, but again, short period (8 secs) and moderate cross-onshore winds make it a no-go for a clean surf. The combined energy is moderate at 508, but the quality just isn’t there. The rest of that week, from Tuesday the 18th through to Saturday the 22nd, is a real bummer – small swell, poor conditions, and winds that just won’t cooperate. There’s a bit of a gap with nothing really worthwhile for days.

Now, here’s where it gets interesting. Sunday the 23rd morning, we get a glassy session – dead calm, no wind. The swell is tiny, only 1 ft from the SSE, but with a long period of 14 seconds, it’s got some energy for its size (combined energy 164). It’s a real micro-swell, but for a patient surfer on a longboard, that glassy surface might be the only clean window in a week of rubbish. Monday the 24th and Tuesday the 25th are back to poor conditions with fresh winds.

The standout is Wednesday the 26th morning. This is the one to circle on your calendar. We’ve got some clouds, but the wind is glassy – N at 3 mph. The swell is a clean 4 ft from the SSE, with a very long period of 15 seconds. That’s proper groundswell energy, and with 747 in combined energy, it’s got moderate grunt. For a sandbar break like Jacaraipe, a long-period SSE swell can produce some nice, lined-up waves, especially with no wind to mess it up. Expect very good surf conditions. This is your best bet in the whole forecast.

After that, Thursday the 27th fades back into marginal cross-shore conditions.

To wrap it up: if you can only surf once, make it the morning of Wednesday the 26th. That glassy, long-period SSE swell at 4 ft is as good as it gets here. The rest of the time, you’re mostly looking at choppy, wind-affected waves or tiny glassy days. It’s a tough stretch, but that one morning is worth the wait.

Rusty.

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