Jacaraipe Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s break down the next couple of weeks for Jacaraipe. This sandbar is usually pretty reliable, so a slow start doesn’t mean it’s over.

First up, Monday the 10th, it’s nearly flat. The swell is a weak 2 ft from the SSE, with a combined energy of only 211 (weak). The wind is a cross-shore mess, so don’t bother. The afternoon gets a little bigger to 4 ft, but the period is a terrible 5 seconds and the wind is fresh, so it’s just lumpy.

Tuesday the 11th, the morning jumps to 7 ft from the SSE with a 14-second period, and the energy hits 1588 (strong). That’s a proper groundswell, but the wind is a moderate cross-shore, so it’s a bit junky. The afternoon drops back to 3 ft and cross-onshore chop. Not worth it.

Wednesday the 12th morning gives us 5 ft from the SSE, 13-second period, 645 energy (moderate). The wind is light cross-onshore, so it’s a bit rippled. Still not clean.

Now, Thursday the 13th morning, the wind shifts to a cross-offshore from the north at 12 mph, and the swell is 4 ft from the SSE, 12-second period, 466 energy (moderate). The conditions are clean. It’s small, but rideable. The afternoon gets ruined by a cross-shore.

But the highlight is Friday the 14th, morning. The wind goes glassy, just 3 mph from the NNE. The swell is 4 ft from the SSE, 14-second period, 541 energy (moderate). The water temp is about 74°, which is normal for the season. This is the best window. Glassy conditions will make the sandbar look really good. There will be a few people out, but it’s worth the company.

Saturday the 15th is a moderate cross-shore chop, and Sunday the 16th morning is clean again with cross-offshore wind, but the swell is only 3 ft. The afternoon gets lumpy with a 5 ft short-period swell from the NE (6 seconds).

The following week is a mixed bag. Monday the 17th morning is clean with 5 ft from the NNE, but the period is only 6 seconds, so it’s weak. The energy is only 273 (weak). Tuesday the 18th is similar but smaller. Wednesday the 19th and Thursday the 20th see building swell, up to 7 ft from the SE on Thursday morning, but the wind is cross-onshore and the period is short (7 seconds), so it’s messy.

Then, Friday the 21st of August, we get another big, long-period pulse. The morning shows 5 ft from the SSE, 15-second period, and the energy is a massive 2270 (very strong). That’s a serious groundswell, but the wind is a moderate cross-shore, so it’s cross-chop. For a sandbar, that long period can make the waves fast and straight, so it’s for experts only. The afternoon is blown out.

Saturday the 22nd and Sunday the 23rd are smaller, with cleaner conditions on Sunday morning. Monday the 24th and Tuesday the 25th are similar – clean mornings but small, with 4 ft to 4 ft swells and short periods (8 seconds). The afternoons are all onshore slop.

So, the one to circle is Friday 14th morning – glassy, clean, with a nice 4 ft SSE groundswell. That’s the best on offer. The big pulse on the 21st is powerful but messy. If you’re a beginner, stick to the smaller, cleaner days. If you’re an expert, you might get a few on the 21st morning, but it’s a gamble.

Rusty.

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