Jacaraipe Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, I’m Rusty, and I’ve been staring at this forecast for Jacaraipe long enough to tell you it’s a mixed bag. The next 16 days start slow, real slow, with a run of weak, messy surf that’ll test your patience. The water’s sitting at 73°, which is about average for this time of year, so nothin’ to write home about. There’s a gap of about three days of poor conditions before we start to see a flicker of life.

The first real chance to get wet comes Thursday morning, 30 July. It’s not a classic, but the morning starts clean with a light cross-off breeze from the north at 6 mph. The swell is a weak 4 ft from the northeast, period a short 6 seconds, so it’s gonna be a bit weak and lumpy. Combined energy is only 107 (moderate), so don’t expect much push. Still, for a beginner-friendly sandbar like Jacaraipe, it’s surfable if you’re keen.

Keep an eye on Saturday morning, 1 August. The rain showers roll in, but the wind goes glassy, dead calm, and that’s a winner for clean conditions. Swell is 4 ft from the east-southeast, period still short at 6 seconds, but the energy jumps to 198 (moderate). The glassy surface means the waves will look a lot better than they are, but it’s the best you’ll get in the first week.

Now, here’s the standout for the whole outlook. Sunday morning, 2 August. Clear skies, a light cross-off breeze from the north-northeast at 6 mph, and the swell is 3 ft from the east. The period is still short (7 seconds), but the combined energy hits 224 (moderate). The forecast says “expect good surf conditions,” and for once, I believe it. The waves will be small but clean, perfect for beginners on this sandbar. Crowds are possible, so get in early.

The second week gets a bit more consistent, but not by much. Wednesday morning, 5 August, has a clean 4 ft swell from the east-northeast (period 7 seconds, energy 339 – moderate), but the wind is a moderate north at 12 mph. It’s cross-off, so it’s rideable, but nothing special. The period stays short, so the waves will be a bit crumbly and lack that punch.

Thursday morning, 6 August, is similar – 4 ft from the east-northeast, cross-off north wind at 16 mph, but the energy drops to 196 (moderate). It’s clean, but the swell is weak. The pattern rolls on like this: mornings with cross-off wind, then afternoons spoiled by strong cross-on or onshore winds. The swell direction never really matches the optimum east, so it’s always a bit off.

The best of the second week is Sunday morning, 9 August. A 4 ft swell from the east-northeast, north wind at 12 mph (cross-off), and energy at 181 (moderate). It’s clean, but the period is still a short 7 seconds, so don’t expect barrels. It’s a fun, small wave session for a sandbar.

Looking further out, Thursday morning, 13 August, shows a 5 ft swell from the east-northeast with a period of 9 seconds and energy of 297 (moderate). The morning is cross-off from the north at 12 mph, so it’s clean. But the swell is getting up to 5 ft, which might be pushing it for beginners. The afternoon turns ugly with onshore wind, so your window is tight.

Overall, this is a patchy forecast. The standout is Sunday morning, 2 August – clean, small, and fun. The second week has nothing that screams “drop everything,” but if you’re desperate, Sunday morning, 9 August, is your best bet. For a sandbar that’s fairly consistent, we’ll get waves, but they’ll be ordinary. If the wind stays cross-off, the setup might be more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing on the afternoons when the chop picks up.

Stay patient, and check the forecast again. It tends not to stay poor for long.

Rusty.

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