Jacaraipe Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s on the table for the next couple of weeks.

Honestly, it’s a bit of a slow grind for the most part. There’s some swell around, but the winds are going to make a mess of it for a good stretch. The first real standout doesn't come until well into the second week, so you'll want to pick your moments carefully.

Let’s talk about Jacaraipe (sandbar). Water temp is sitting at 73°F, which is basically dead average for this time of year, so no surprises there.

The first few days are pretty uninspiring. Sunday the 26th and Monday the 27th are a write-off with strong cross and cross-on winds killing any quality, even if there is a small 3ft swell. You do get a magical window Monday morning the 27th though – the wind drops to glass, making that 3ft SSE swell (with a period of 9 seconds) look way more inviting. It’s weak energy mind you (203), but on a sandbar with no wind, you could snag a couple of clean little peelers. Best bet of the first week.

From Tuesday the 28th right through to Tuesday the 4th of August, the pattern is a tough one. The wind is up – mostly cross or onshore – and while the swell height pushes up to 5ft to 6ft, the period is short and the energy is moderate at best. The mornings are often clean with offshore or cross-off winds, but the waves themselves are labeled "poor surf conditions" or just "ordinary." There's a moment on Friday morning the 31st of July with 4ft swell and glassy WNW winds, but the energy is weak (156) and the conditions are just “surfable but very ordinary.” Not worth getting too excited about.

Now, here’s where it gets interesting. If you’re a patient surfer, hold out for Thursday morning, August the 6th. That is the standout. The water is still calm, with glassy NNE winds at just 3 mph. The swell is a solid 5ft coming from the S, with a short period of 6 seconds, but the energy jumps to a strong 535. The forecast is calling for "very good surf conditions." This is the one.

Following that, Friday morning August the 7th sees a bigger, longer period swell: 5ft from the SSE with a very long 14 second period. Energy is huge at 990. The wind is clean and cross-off from the north. This would be a proper groundswell, meaning better shaped waves but longer waits between sets. That long period 14s stuff can be a bit fat on a sandbar, but if it lines up, it’ll be excellent. Just note that the forecast flags it as "marginal or questionable tide conditions," so check the charts.

Then Saturday morning August the 8th is another cracking option. 6ft of SSE swell, with a 13 second period and very strong energy at 1195. Again, clean cross-off wind from the north. This is the biggest, most powerful swell of the forecast and is only for experienced surfers at that size.

Beyond that, it trails off. Sunday the 9th and Monday the 10th still have some size (5ft and 4ft), but the period drops and the wind turns more onshore in the afternoons. The mornings are clean enough, just not the standout.

So to sum it all up: the first week is mostly a fight with the wind. Your only real gem is that glassy Monday morning the 27th. The real fire comes between August 6th and 8th, with Thursday morning the 6th and Saturday morning the 8th being the absolute pick of the bunch for size, power, and clean conditions.

Stay patient, and get wet on those days.

Rusty.

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