Jacaraipe Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s talk about what’s going on with Jacaraipe.

First thing you need to know: this is a sandbar break, and it’s exposed to the swell. It’s a pretty forgiving spot for beginners, but we’re looking at a stretch that’s mostly offering up small, marginal surf. The water temperature is about average for this time of year, so nothing weird there.

The next few days are a bit of a mixed bag. We’ve got some swell rolling in, but it’s not really firing. On Wednesday the 12th, we’ve got a 5ft swell from the SSE with a 12-second period, but the wind is cross and there’s light rain. The combined energy is moderate (717), but the conditions are just marginal. Not really worth paddling out for.

Thursday the 13th morning sees a cleaner window with a north wind blowing cross-offshore, which is a plus. Swell drops a touch to 4ft from the SSE, period still 12 seconds, and the energy is moderate (579). That’s probably your best bet in the first week – a small, clean wave, but nothing to write home about. The afternoon goes to crap with a strong cross-on wind.

Friday the 14th and Saturday the 15th are similar stories: small SSE swell, around 3ft to 5ft, with decent periods (14 seconds) but the wind is either cross or cross-on. The energy is moderate (413 to 869). It’s frustrating because the swell is there, but the wind just won’t play ball.

Sunday the 16th morning, the wind goes light from the NE, and the swell is 4ft from the SSE with a 12-second period. Energy is moderate (561). It’s a marginal session, but the light wind could make it okay for a longboard or a foamie. The afternoon turns into a choppy mess.

Then we hit a rough patch. From Monday the 17th through to Thursday the 20th, the swell shifts to the east and short-period (7-8 seconds), with cross-on winds and moderate to fresh breezes. The energy drops significantly (from 422 down to 143). This is poor surf, flat and lumpy. Kite surfers might have more fun here than paddle surfers.

Friday the 21st morning has a brief window with clean conditions and a 3ft easterly swell, but it’s weak energy (210). Not worth rushing for.

Now, here’s the standout. Saturday the 22nd morning, we get a pulse of better quality. A 4ft swell from the SE with a long 15-second period, combined energy of 775 (moderate), and a light SSW cross wind. That’s a good setup for a sandbar – the long period will give the waves some shape and punch, and the light wind should keep it clean. This is the best looking session in the whole 16-day window. Sunday the 23rd morning is also a contender: clean, glassy conditions with a light north wind, but the swell is smaller at 3ft from the SE with a 12-second period. Energy is lower (299). It’s a fun little wave, but not as meaty as Saturday.

The final week sees a lot of short-period, small, messy easterly and northeasterly swells, with strong winds until Thursday the 27th morning, when we get a clean, light offshore wind and a 5ft northeast swell, but the period is short (6 seconds) and the energy is moderate (387). It’s a bit of a gamble.

So, bottom line: the best window is Saturday the 22nd morning. That’s the one to aim for. The long-period SE swell with light wind will give you the cleanest, most fun waves. Sunday the 23rd morning is a close second for a smaller, glassy session. The rest of the period is either small, windy, or both.

Stay patient, and keep an eye on that Saturday morning.

Rusty.

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