Jacaraipe Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G'day, I'm Rusty. Let's have a look at what's shaping up for Jacaraipe over the next couple of weeks. Real talk, it's a slow burn. We've got a big stretch of nothing much, but there's a serious payoff in the second week if you're willing to wait.

The immediate outlook is pretty flat and ordinary. Thursday the 30th of July starts with a tiny 3ft NE windswell, and while the morning is dead glassy, the swell period is short at 6 seconds, so there's no grunt to it. The combined energy is weak (89). Afternoon goes to junk with a strong cross-breeze. After that, we're looking at a dry spell. From Friday the 31st of July right through until Monday the 10th of August, the conditions are poor to marginal. You'll see the odd small bump of around 4ft, but the winds are all wrong – mostly cross or cross-on, and the wave quality just isn't there. It's one of those patches where the forecast is a bit of a write-off, so don't waste the fuel.

Now, things finally look interesting on Tuesday the 11th of August. The morning at Jacaraipe is a standout morning with a glassy 5ft NE swell. It's clean, the wind is dead calm, and while the period is a touch short at 6 seconds, the combined energy is moderate (260). It's a nice little window for a surf.

But the real event, the one you're waiting for, is Wednesday the 12th of August. The morning is on track to be the pick of the whole forecast. We've got a 5ft SSE groundswell with a very long period of 17 seconds, pumping out a massive combined energy of 1662. The wind is light and offshore from the north, and conditions are clean. This is genuine quality – long period energy like this really suits the sandbar setup here, and the crowd *sometimes* shows up, so you might have a few mates out but it won't be a circus. The water temp is about average for this time of year. It's a classic dawny mission. Be warned, by the afternoon the swell jumps to 7ft with a cross-onshore breeze, tipping it over the edge for being too big for most. That morning window is the sweet spot. The rest of the week holds solid, big swell (6ft, even 7ft on Friday the 14th), but the winds are mixed and the size will push it past the comfort zone for most, making it more of a spectacle for experts or a kite day.

So to wrap it: ignore the first week and a bit, circle Tuesday the 11th for a glassy clean-up, and absolutely lock in Wednesday the 12th of August morning for the best waves of the run.

Rusty.

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