Jacaraipe Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s get into it. The outlook for the area around Jacaraipe is a bit of a mixed bag over the next couple of weeks. We’ve got some solid swell windows, but the wind is going to be a constant battle, messing up what could have been some great sessions. The first real action kicks off this Saturday.

We start Saturday the 15th with a 6ft swell from the SSE, with a long 14-second period. That’s proper groundswell energy, with a combined energy of 1191 (moderate wave energy). The morning has light rain and a light breeze from the ESE – that’s onshore, so it’s not going to be glassy, but it’s light enough that it won’t totally ruin it. The water temp is about average for this time of year.

Saturday afternoon stays much the same, still 6ft SSE, with a slight air from the east. The waves are there, but the conditions are only marginal. Not a total washout, but you won’t be getting any barrels.

Sunday the 16th drops off a bit. We’re looking at a 4ft SSE swell in the morning, period down to 12 seconds. A gentle breeze from the ESE is onshore again. The combined energy drops to 672 (moderate). The afternoon is even smaller at 3ft. Honestly, Sunday is not looking like a day to get excited about. Scores are low for both sessions.

Monday the 17th is a write-off. The swell is 5ft from the ESE, but the period is a short, weak 7 seconds. The wind is a cross-onshore breeze from the ENE at 9 mph. It’s going to be choppy and messy. This is more of a day for the kites than for paddling in.

We then hit a real dry spell. From Tuesday the 18th right through to Saturday the 22nd, the conditions are poor. The swell is small, the period is short, and the wind is mostly cross-onshore or strong. There are a few mornings where the wind goes cross-offshore, which cleans it up, but the wave quality is still described as poor. Tuesday the 18th morning is clean but tiny, at 4ft and 7 seconds. It’s just not worth the paddle.

Now, the first real standout. Saturday the 22nd morning. It’s a tiny 3ft swell from the ENE with a very short 6-second period. The combined energy is only 85 (weak). But here’s the thing: the wind goes glassy. Absolutely flat calm. The conditions are described as “glassy” and the waves are surfable, just very ordinary. It’s not going to be epic, but if you’re desperate for a clean, small-wave session on a longboard, this is your window.

After Saturday, it’s back to the struggle. Sunday the 23rd and Monday the 24th are mostly poor, with onshore winds and choppy surf.

Then we get a real tease. Monday the 24th morning: a tiny 2ft swell from the SSE, but with a very long 16-second period! The combined energy is 264 (moderate). The wind is a light cross-offshore from the NNW. It’s clean. The guidance says it’s “expect good surf conditions” for that session. A 2ft wave with that kind of period and clean wind is a rare, glassy little gem. It won’t be big, but the shape will be incredible. This is the one to circle if you can.

Tuesday the 25th and Wednesday the 26th mornings are also clean with cross-offshore wind, but the swell is still small. Wednesday the 26th morning has a 3ft SSE swell at 13 seconds, with a combined energy of 433 (moderate). Clean, small, but fun.

Now, the final highlight. Friday the 28th morning. We have a 7ft NE swell with an 8-second period. The combined energy is 579 (moderate). The wind is glassy from the SE. The file says the wind and tide are favorable, but the swell is predicted to be too big for this break. For an exposed sandbar, 7ft is pushing into expert-only territory. The sets will be chunky, and with that short period, it’ll be a bit wonky. If you’re an experienced local who knows the sandbars, it could be a wild, heavy session. Beginners should stay well clear.

Saturday the 29th morning drops back to a more manageable 4ft ENE swell, 8-second period, combined energy of 227 (moderate), with glassy conditions again. Clean, fun, smaller.

The last day, Sunday the 30th morning, has a 5ft ENE swell with cross-offshore wind, but the conditions are only described as marginal.

So, to wrap it up: the best bets are the glassy, long-period morning on Monday the 24th for clean, small waves, and the big, glassy Friday the 28th morning for the experts who want some size. The rest of the window is a frustrating mix of onshore wind and choppy conditions. It’s not a total blank, but you’ll have to pick your moments carefully.

Rusty.

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