Jacaraipe Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what's on the table for the next couple of weeks.

Overall, it's a tough stretch. We've got a solid pulse of south-southeast swell for the first week, but the wind is a constant battle. The real standout is a brief window of pure magic on Saturday morning, the 15th. For the rest of the time, we're chasing clean windows between the wind. The second week drops off significantly, with a small, weak, and short-period swell that’s mostly not worth the paddle.

We're looking at Jacaraipe, a sandbar setup that's fairly consistent. The water is sitting at 74°, which is bang on average for this time of year.

The first chance to get wet is Tuesday morning, the 11th. There's a solid 6 ft SSE swell, but it's running at 14 seconds and packing a punch with moderate energy (1386). The problem is a strong 16 mph southerly wind making it a cross-shore mess. It's going to be lumpy, and not much fun for a paddle. The afternoon drops to 3 ft, but it's cross-onshore and choppy.

Wednesday the 12th is more of the same. A 5 ft SSE swell in the morning with light cross-shore wind, but it's still messy. The afternoon turns onshore at 9 mph. Thursday the 13th morning is the first real hope. A 4 ft SSE swell, but the wind is North at 12 mph, making it cross-offshore and clean. The energy is still moderate (579). This is a window, but it's not the best of the week. The afternoon gets ruined by a strong cross-onshore.

Friday the 14th morning has a 4 ft SSE swell, but the wind is light from the SE, straight onshore. Not great.

Saturday morning, the 15th, is the absolute standout. The wind is a whisper from the NNW, glassy. The swell is a clean 5 ft from the SSE with a period of 14 seconds, giving it moderate energy (871). This is your moment. The waves will be clean, long-period groundswell, and the sandbar should handle it well. The afternoon looks like it will get blown out again, so get on it early.

Sunday the 16th has a smaller 4 ft swell with light cross-shore wind, but it’s not the same quality as Saturday. The following week, from the 17th onwards, the swell drops in size and period, switching to a weak, short-period easterly windswell. There are a few mornings with clean cross-offshore winds on the 18th, 20th, and 22nd, but the swell is small, often under 3 ft, and the energy is weak. The 25th of August morning has a tiny 4 ft ENE swell with glassy conditions, but it's barely surfable. The afternoons all have strong, choppy winds.

For the later part of the week, the combined energy drops to double digits, which is weak. The swell is too small and short-period to be worth a dedicated session unless you're desperate.

So, bottom line: If you can get out for Saturday morning, the 15th, that's your best bet. Otherwise, the first week is a game of picking clean morning windows. The second week is a write-off.

Rusty.

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