Jacaraipe Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. Look, I’ll be straight with you – this forecast is a bit of a slow burn. We’ve got a long stretch of junky, cross-shore wind and weak swell that’s just not gonna do much for a week and a half. The first real sniff of something decent doesn’t show up until Thursday the 10th, and it ain’t until Friday the 11th that we finally get a proper window. So, be patient.

The only break on the cards is Jacaraipe, a sandbar setup that’s fairly consistent but takes a bit of luck with the wind. It’s a beginner-friendly spot, so don’t expect any heavy barrels. The water temp is about average for this time of year, nothing wild.

Right now, through Wednesday the 2nd and into the first week, it’s all cross-shore wind, lumpy chop, and weak energy readings. Swell heights are mostly around 3 ft to 5 ft, but the period is short (7-8 seconds) and the wind is a mess. The combined energy sits in the low to moderate range (164 to 517), but it’s just not coming together. Forget about it.

The first real standout appears on Thursday the 10th – the afternoon session. The wind goes light and variable, swinging NNE at 3 mph, and the swell switches to a long-period groundswell from the SSE at 13 seconds. That’s a proper pulse. The energy jumps to 659 (moderate), and with 3 ft of clean, lined-up swell, this is where you want to be. It’s not big, but it’ll be glassy and fun. The long period means it’ll be a bit more walled up, but for a sandbar, it’s a good trade-off.

Then, Friday the 11th is the real highlight – but only for the pros and confident crew. The morning swell pushes 7 ft from the E, with a short 8-second period and moderate energy (1056). That’s too big for beginners. The afternoon, though, is where it gets serious: 8 ft from the E, 9-second period, and the combined energy hits 1509 (strong). The wind is a gentle cross-shore from the NNE at 9 mph, keeping it a little bumpy but rideable. The model says the swell is actually too big for this break, so if you’re an expert, you’ll get some powerful, chunky waves. Crowds are possible here – it’s a popular spot – so expect company.

After that, the surf drops back through the weekend and into the next week. The standout in the second week is Tuesday the 15th morning – absolute glass. Wind is WSW at 0 mph, the swell is 4 ft from the E with a 9-second period, and the energy is moderate (331). It’s clean, it’s calm, and it’ll be a nice, mellow session for anyone. Not a standout power wise, but for pure conditions, it’s the best of the second week.

On Wednesday the 16th afternoon, we get another clean one with a cross-offshore N wind at 6 mph, 4 ft from the SSE at 8 seconds, and healthy energy (576). The morning of Thursday the 17th is also glassy, with a SSE breeze at 3 mph, 5 ft from the E at 10 seconds, and energy at 531. Both are solid, clean options.

So, the standout is Friday the 11th afternoon for the big, powerful stuff, but only if you’ve got the skills. The best all-rounder for clean, fun waves is Thursday the 10th afternoon. Get out there.

Rusty.

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