Jacaraipe Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, this is Rusty, your local surf reporter, and I’m looking straight at the forecast for Jacaraipe. Let’s get into it.

First up, the water temp is sitting pretty average for this time of year – nothing wild, just your typical Vitória winter chill.

The next couple of days are a write-off, I’m not gonna lie. Monday and Tuesday are blowing hard with cross-shore winds up to 19 mph, making for messy, poor surf. The swell’s building a bit, but it’s just not worth paddling out. From Wednesday morning, things start to settle. We’ve got a light cross-shore breeze and a moderate 271 combined energy swell, but the forecast only calls for marginal conditions, so don’t get too excited.

The real standout window kicks off on Thursday morning, the 16th of July. That’s your best bet in this whole run. We’re looking at 6ft of SE swell with an 11-second period – solid groundswell energy at 866 combined energy. The wind goes glassy, just a slight air, and conditions are clean. This is the pick of the fortnight, no question. Jacaraipe’s a sandbar, so with this longer-period swell it could be a bit straight, but the glassy morning makes it worth the look. It’s a beginner-friendly break, but the swell size is fine for all levels, and crowds are possible here, so get in early.

Friday morning still has some fun 5ft SE swell, with a light cross-shore and good energy (765 combined), but quality drops off in the afternoon as the wind picks up. By Saturday, the swell drops to about 3ft, and the wind is cross-off in the morning so it’s clean, but the energy’s weak at 244 combined. It’s surfable, but nothing exciting.

After that, we hit a long quiet stretch. From Sunday, the 19th, right through to the end of the month, the swell stays small – mostly under 3ft to 5ft – and the wind is often cross-on or messy. The energy barely stays in double digits for most of it. A few mornings are clean with cross-off breezes, but the waves are ordinary. The 23rd and 24th have a touch of long-period SSE swell (12-15 seconds) but at 2ft to 3ft, it’s just not enough.

Then on Monday morning, the 27th of July, you’ve got a huge spike: 8ft of SSE swell with a very long 15-second period, and the combined energy hits 2423 – massive. But here’s the catch: the finder says it’s too big for this break. Jacaraipe is a sandbar setup, and at that size it’s going to be a washing machine. Unless you’re an expert with nerves of steel, give it a miss. The wind is cross-shore and moderate, not helping either.

So, to wrap it up: your window is Thursday morning, the 16th, for clean, glassy, fun 6ft groundswell. That’s it. After that, it’s mostly small and average until the end of the run.

This is Rusty, signing off.

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