Jacaraipe Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what Jacaraipe’s got cooking over the next couple of weeks.

Right off the bat, it’s a bit of a slow start. Saturday the 1st and most of the first week is looking pretty average, with a lot of onshore wind and short-period, weak windswell making things messy. Not the kind of stuff that gets you out of bed early. The water temp is sitting at 74°, which is pretty normal for this time of year – nothing unusual there.

The first real glimmer of hope comes on the morning of Sunday the 2nd. A light northerly cross-offshore breeze, around 3 mph, will clean up those 4ft waves from the east. The period is a short 7 seconds, so it’s windswell, but the combined energy is moderate (227). It’s surfable, but don’t expect any world-class jewels. The afternoon on Sunday gets blown out by a strong ENE breeze, so the morning is the only window.

Monday the 3rd through Tuesday the 4th follow a similar pattern: clean mornings with light offshore winds and 4ft to 4ft east swell, but the energy stays moderate (around 170-218). The afternoons are wrecked by 16 mph cross-onshore winds. It’s a real case of “set the alarm early or don’t bother.”

The standout window in this whole forecast is shaping up for the morning of Thursday the 13th. We’ve got a light 6 mph northerly cross-offshore breeze, a 2ft SSE groundswell with a solid 11-second period, and combined energy of 222 (moderate). The winds will be light, keeping the surface clean. It’s small, but it’s the most user-friendly, cleanest option in the whole run. The swell direction from the SSE is a bit off from the optimum east, but the quality of the conditions makes it the pick.

Later, on the morning of Friday the 14th, we get a 3ft SSE groundswell (13-second period) with glassy conditions and a light SE breeze. Combined energy is strong (376). This is another good call, but the swell is a touch smaller than the 13th morning. The period is long, so this groundswell will have plenty of energy and shape, making it better for the sandbar than a beach break that might close out.

The following weekend, Saturday the 15th and Sunday the 16th, the mornings are still surfable, but the winds start to pick up, making it more marginal. The swells are from the SSE with a long period (12-13 seconds), but the energy is high (361-409). The winds are not ideal, so it’s a bit of a gamble.

Overall, the best bet is the morning of Thursday the 13th. It’s small but clean, with a well-ordered groundswell. The morning of Friday the 14th is a close second if you want a bit more juice. The rest of the time, you’ll be fighting the wind or settling for average conditions.

Rusty out.

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