Jacaraipe Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s talk about Jacaraipe. This 16-day outlook is a grind, no two ways about it. We’ve got a long stretch of nothing happening before we see any real promise. The first decent look doesn't roll in until the tail end of the second week, so pack your patience.

Jacaraipe is a sandbar, and it’s fairly consistent, but that doesn’t mean a thing when the wind is all wrong. For the first week and a half, it’s a mess. Friday the 4th starts with a clean 4ft SSE swell (12 seconds) and a cross-offshore N wind, but the energy is weak (686) and the score is low. It’s a tease. After that, it’s a parade of poor conditions: strong NE winds, onshore slop, and short-period chop. Saturday the 5th has a 4ft NNE swell but the period is a pathetic 6 seconds, and that’s just not worth paddling out for. Sunday the 6th through to the weekend of the 13th is mostly cross-shore or onshore wind, with lumpy, choppy conditions. There’s a bit of a clean-up on the morning of the 10th, 11th, 12th, and 13th with cross-offshore N winds, but the swell is weak (around 4ft to 5ft) and short-period (6-8 seconds). The energy is low to moderate (227 to 354). It’s borderline.

The one true standout is Monday the 14th. That morning, we finally get a bit of a window. The forecast says "expect good surf conditions" with a clear sky, a gentle breeze from the north making it cross-offshore, and a 4ft ENE swell (7 seconds). The energy is moderate (368). It’s not a groundswell classic, but it’s the cleanest, most rideable wave in the whole 16 days. For a beginner-friendly sandbar, you’ll find some fun little waves. Be aware that crowds are possible at this spot.

After that, things go back to marginal. The morning of the 15th has a 5ft ENE swell with a cross SSW wind, but it’s messy. The 16th and 17th look like more onshore and cross-shore junk. Then, way out on Friday the 18th and Saturday the 19th, we get a long-period SSE groundswell (16 seconds on the 18th, 14 seconds on the 19th) with a lot of energy (982 and 790). But the catch is the wind is cross or cross-on, and the swell is small (3ft to 4ft). That long period will make those waves fat and hard to paddle into at a sandbar, especially with a cross-breeze. It’s a frustrating tease.

So, honestly, the best bet is to wait for the morning of Monday the 14th. It’s not pumping, but it’s the only clean, surfable window we’ve got. For the rest of it, you’re better off watching the horizon and waiting for the next run of swells. The blank run is typical for this time of year, so don’t lose hope – forecasts can change.

Rusty.

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