Jacaraipe Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s get into it. We’re looking at the next couple of weeks here at Jacaraipe, a sandbar setup that’s exposed to the swell. The water temp is sitting about average for this time of year, so nothing crazy there.

The first few days are a bit of a write-off, to be honest. Sunday the 9th kicks off with a 5ft NE swell, but the wind is a messy cross-off 12 mph breeze, and the period is a short 7 seconds. The energy is there (332), but it’s not coming together. That afternoon gets worse: 19 mph cross-shore wind and a 6-second period – just lumpy junk. Monday the 10th is even smaller, with a 2ft SSE groundswell that has a long 14-second period, but the wind is light and cross, making it pretty weak sauce. The energy reading is only 210. Not worth paddling out for.

Tuesday the 11th and Wednesday the 12th are a washout with rain and onshore winds, making the surf choppy and poor. The conditions are just not cooperating. There’s a gap here of a few days with absolutely nothing to recommend.

Now, look to Thursday the 14th of August. That Friday morning (the 14th) is the real standout. We’ve got a 4ft SSE groundswell with a solid 14-second period, and the wind is going glassy – dead calm, 0 mph. That’s the kind of morning where you get that mirror-like surface. The combined energy is pumping at 614 (moderate energy), and the forecast says “expect very good surf conditions.” For a sandbar, that long period swell might make the waves a bit too straight, but with that glassy wind, it’s going to be clean, clean, clean. This is the one to circle. The crowds are listed as “sometimes,” so you might have a few others out, but it’s worth it.

Saturday the 15th sees the swell bump up to 6ft from the SSE, but the energy jumps to 1377 (strong energy) and the wind is a messy cross-on 12 mph. That’s going to be a big, choppy, heavy mess – only for the experienced crew, and even then, it’s going to be a battle. The waves will be too big for beginners, and the wind will ruin it for most.

The following week, from the 16th onward, is a mix of average conditions. Monday the 24th of August has a tiny 4ft E swell with a 8-second period, but the wind is glassy again at 0 mph. The energy is only 199 (weak), so it’s a small, clean, knee-to-waist high day. It’s surfable, but nothing to write home about.

So, the best bet is that Friday morning, the 14th of August, at Jacaraipe. It’s the only true standout in the whole 16-day window. The rest of the time, the wind is just too messy or the swell is too small.

Rusty.

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