Jacaraipe Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let's get into it.

First up, the outlook for Jacaraipe. It's a bit of a tough one, to be honest. We're looking at a long stretch of pretty ordinary conditions ahead. The water temperature is sitting at 73°F, which is pretty much standard for this time of year, nothing unusual there.

The week starts off with a bit of a damp squib. Monday the 20th sees some chest-high swell, around 5ft, coming from the east, but it's getting smashed by a 15 mph cross-on wind. The combined energy is a weak 225, so there's no punch to it. It's just messy.

Tuesday the 21st and Wednesday the 22nd are more of the same; the swell sticks around 4ft to 5ft, but the wind is never quite right. We get a bit of a cleaner look on Wednesday morning with a cross-off wind, but the swell is just a bit wonky. The energy is still weak, sitting in the 200s.

The real frustration is that there’s a constant, weak, short-period easterly swell (8 seconds) but the wind is constantly on it or cross to it. The morning of Friday the 24th is the closest we get to something decent. It's glassy, with a small 4ft east swell, energy is still low at 157. It's surfable, but it's not going to be a classic.

After that, the swell drops right off into the weekend. Saturday the 25th and Sunday the 26th are tiny, with waves barely hitting 3ft. The energy is weak, the wind is all over the place. It's a real struggle. This pattern of weak, short-period swell and persistent wind looks set to continue all the way through the end of July and into the start of August.

If we look further out, towards the end of the forecast period, things get a bit more interesting. On the morning of Friday the 31st of July, we see a glassy window with a 3ft swell from the SSE, but the period jumps to 14 seconds. The combined energy rockets up to 403, which is a moderate energy. That's a groundswell. The next morning, Saturday the 1st of August, looks even better on paper. It's clean, 3ft from the SSE, with a 12-second period and energy at 406. This is the best looking window in the whole 16 days. But, it's a long way off, so keep your hopes in check.

The bottom line is Jacaraipe is a sandbar that can handle east swell, but the wind is the enemy here. For most of the forecast, it's not going to be worth the paddle. The fact that the conditions are so persistently poor, and the consistency is only "fairly consistent", makes this a tough call. For a beginner, the swell is generally small enough, but the chop will make it a challenge. The only real standout is that glassy window on the morning of the 31st of July and the 1st of August. That's your best bet, and it's a long shot.

Rusty.

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