Jacaraipe Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, it’s Rusty.

Look, the next couple of weeks are going to be a bit of a mixed bag around here. We’ve got some surf on the horizon, but it’s not going to be a non-stop party. There’s a bit of a slow start, then some half-decent windows, and a couple of longer-range pulses that could be worth keeping an eye on. Let’s break it down.

The first real window kicks off on Sunday the 2nd. Mornings are your friend. The swell is small, around 4ft from the east, but with a light northerly breeze, Jacaraipe (Espírito Santo) should have some clean little lines to work with. The energy is moderate (200), so nothing powerful, but for a beginner-friendly spot, it’s a good chance to get wet without getting thumped. The water temp is sitting at 74°, pretty much normal for this time of year, so you won’t need the thickest suit.

Monday the 3rd and Tuesday the 4th follow a similar pattern: small east swell, 4ft to 4ft, clean in the mornings with that light north wind. Monday’s energy is a bit weaker (177), but Tuesday morning bumps up to a decent 302. The issue is the afternoons – the wind swings onshore and chops things up. So be an early bird.

Wednesday the 5th sees a slight bump in size, 5ft from the east, but the morning wind is a bit stronger, making it a bit more blustery. It’s still surfable, but expect it to be a bit messier. The energy is solid (388). The afternoon is blown out.

Then we hit a bit of a lull. Thursday the 6th and Friday the 7th are pretty poor – small, weak, and the wind is all over the shop. Saturday the 8th has a touch more size (5ft) but the wind is still fresh, making it lumpy. Not really worth paddling out for.

Here’s a hint of something better. On Monday the 10th, a new, longer-period swell (11 seconds) from the south-southeast pops up. It’s small, only 3ft, but the clean morning conditions and the energy (322) mean the few waves that come through will have some push to them. It’s worth a look if you’re keen, but keep your expectations in check.

The middle of the week is pretty flat and ordinary. Then, we get a more interesting pulse. Around Wednesday the 12th and Thursday the 13th, there’s a jump in energy, hitting 483 and then 437. The swell is from the east-southeast, but the period is a mix. The 14-second pulse on Wednesday morning carries some real weight, even if the size is only 2ft. Mornings are clean, but the afternoons turn to junk. This is a case of checking the buoys and taking the chance when it’s clean.

Now, for the one that could be the standout of the whole run. Friday the 14th and Saturday the 15th see the energy really ramp up, hitting 610 and 673. This is strong stuff. The swell is from the east with a long, 13-second period. The size is around 3ft to 4ft, which isn’t huge, but with that kind of energy and period, it’s going to have proper push. The catch is the wind. Friday morning has a fresh northerly that will hold it open, making it workable, but it’s not glassy. It’s a promising window, but it’s also a week and a half out, so don’t book your flights just yet. This is one to watch.

Finally, Sunday the 16th looks like a nice little clean-up session. The swell drops back to 3ft but holds that long-period (11s) and the morning wind is light offshore. Energy is moderate (255). With clean conditions and a sandbar like Jacaraipe, this could be the most user-friendly session of the whole stretch.

So, the headline: the best bets are the clean mornings – particularly Sunday the 2nd, Tuesday the 4th, and that long-period window on Friday the 14th. The rest is mostly a case of picking your moments and dodging the afternoon onshores.

Stay stoked.

Rusty

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