Jacaraipe Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s talk about what’s on the menu for the next couple of weeks at Jacaraipe.

Right off the bat, it’s a bit of a mixed bag. The first few days are looking pretty weak and messy, so don’t get your hopes up for a solid session right away. We’ve got a long wait before anything really clicks. The first real standout doesn’t show up until Sunday the 10th of August.

The water temperature is sitting at a very average 74°, pretty much exactly what you’d expect for this time of year. No surprises there.

Let’s break it down. Saturday afternoon the 1st kicks off with some poor surf, tiny 3 ft from the SSE with a short period of 6 seconds – combined energy is weak at 117. Not worth paddling out.

Sunday the 2nd and Monday the 3rd have a little more size but still nothing special. Mornings offer the best chance with light N winds and clean conditions, but the swell is only 4 ft from the E. The energy picks up a bit though – 225 on Sunday morning, 183 on Monday. It’s surfable but very ordinary.

Tuesday the 4th and Wednesday the 5th follow the same pattern: clean mornings with that 4 ft to 4 ft E swell (energy up to 245), but every afternoon gets wrecked by onshore winds. Still, if you’re a beginner, those mornings are your window – that size is perfect for learning, and the wind is light. The swell period stays short under 9 seconds, so don’t expect any real power.

Thursday the 6th morning might look okay on paper, but it’s marginal – 4 ft from the NE, but the wind is up and the period drops to 7 seconds. Afternoon is a total write-off.

From Friday the 7th through to Tuesday the 12th of August, it’s mostly a grim run of poor surf. The afternoons are especially nasty with strong NE winds gusting over 18 mph and lumpy conditions. The swell bumps up a bit on Saturday the 9th to 5 ft in the morning, but it’s just not clean enough to get excited about.

Then we hit the real highlight. Monday morning the 10th of August. That’s the standout. You’ve got a solid 5 ft NE swell, a period of 7 seconds, and the wind is dead glass from the S – light offshore. It’s going to be clean, glassy, and the combined energy is moderate at 224. This is the best session on offer. The crowd factor here is ‘sometimes’, so you might have company, but with conditions like that, it’s worth it. Just keep in mind the period is short, so expect a bit of a choppy face, but still the best we’ve got.

After that, things drop off again. Tuesday the 11th morning is marginal with a clean 5 ft SSW swell (240 energy), and then we’re back into poor surf through the end of the week.

The long-range picture for the second week has a bit more juice but a lot of wind. Thursday the 14th morning shows a 6 ft SSE swell with strong energy (527) and clean cross-off winds – that’s a promising, but less certain call for experts only, as it’s over 5 ft and getting big. Friday the 15th morning holds 4 ft with very long period groundswell from the SSE at 13 seconds, which is a dream for a sandbar like Jacaraipe – long, clean lines, but the crowd profile could be a factor. Again, the energy is very strong at 546. Then Saturday the 16th morning fades to 3 ft but still that very long period and huge energy at 451 – if the wind cooperates, that could be a gem, but it’s a long way out.

Overall, there’s a big gap of poor conditions from now until Sunday the 10th, with only a few marginal mornings to paddle around. Monday the 10th of August, first light, is your best bet. After that, keep an eye on the 14th and 15th for bigger, more powerful groundswell.

Rusty.

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