Jacaraipe Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s get into it. Things are looking pretty flat and frustrating for Jacaraipe for most of the next couple of weeks. The first real chance to get wet doesn’t show up until Tuesday morning, July 21st, and even then it’s a struggle. The swell is coming from the east at 5 feet, but the period is a short, weak 8 seconds, and the wind is howling cross-shore from the NNE at 9 mph, making for some chop. It’s a marginal call at best, so don’t expect much.

The rest of the week through to the end of July is a real write-off. The wind is mostly cross-on or cross-off, but it’s often too strong, and the swell is tiny or poorly directed. Wednesday morning the 22nd has a clean look with a light cross-off breeze from the north at 12 mph, but the swell is only 4 feet from the east with that same short 8-second period, and the combined energy is weak (229). It’s surfable but very ordinary. Friday morning the 24th is similar with a 4-foot east swell and light north wind, but again, it’s not going to get the heart pumping.

We then hit a real dead zone from Saturday the 25th right through to the end of the month. The swell drops to well under 3 feet, the wind is messy, and the combined energy readings are pitiful, often below 200. The only tiny highlight is Monday morning the 27th with a 2-foot long-period groundswell from the south at 12 seconds, but it’s tiny and clean with a light north wind. Not worth a drive.

Finally, we get a flicker of hope on the 3rd of August, Monday morning. The wind is light and cross-off from the north at 6 mph, and the swell is 4 feet from the east-southeast with an 8-second period. The combined energy is moderate (292), and the forecast says “expect good surf conditions.” This is the standout window of the whole 16-day run. It’s still not huge, but the clean conditions should make it fun for a beginner-friendly sandbar like Jacaraipe. The swell is from the east, which is a good direction for this spot. The water temperature is about average for this time of year, so no shock when you get in.

The following Tuesday morning the 4th has a slightly bigger 5-foot east swell, but the wind is cross-on, so it’s not as clean. Still, it’s a better wave size for the more experienced, but the wind is a letdown.

So, to sum it up: the best surf on offer is Monday morning, August 3rd. It’s the only morning that ticks the boxes for clean conditions and a decent, rideable swell. The rest of the forecast is a long, flat spell with a few almost-moments, but nothing to get excited about. If you’re desperate, the 22nd and 24th of July are just barely surfable.

Rusty.

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