Jacaraipe Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s see what we’ve got coming up for Jacaraipe over the next couple of weeks.

It’s a bit of a mixed bag, honestly. The sandbar setup here is a beginner-friendly zone, but the swell and wind aren’t always playing nice. We’ve got a few windows where it’ll be worth paddling out, and a couple of standouts that could be special. The water temperature is about average for this time of year, nothing weird going on there.

The first real chance is Saturday morning, September 5th. The wind is glassy, straight out of the SSE at just 3 mph, so the surface will be clean. Swell is a modest 4 ft from the ENE, with a short 6-second period. The combined energy is 343, which is moderate. It’s not huge, but it’s rideable and fun for a beginner-friendly wave. The afternoon goes downhill fast with a cross-on wind, so get it early.

Sunday and Monday are a write-off – cross winds and rain, with the swell either too small or messy. Monday morning (September 7th) sees a bigger 7 ft swell from the SSE, but that 16 mph cross wind will chop it up. Not worth it.

Now, Tuesday, September 8th, is a proper standout. Both morning and afternoon are glassy with the wind barely a whisper. The morning has a 5 ft ESE swell, 388 combined energy, and the afternoon drops to 3 ft but picks up a lovely 10-second period S swell with 350 energy. That afternoon session will be clean, lined up, and easy to paddle into. For a beginner-friendly spot like Jacaraipe, this is the best on offer in the first week.

Wednesday morning (September 9th) is also clean with a light NNW wind, 4 ft ENE swell, and strong energy at 446. The period is short again at 6 seconds, but the surface is clean so it’ll be fun.

Then we hit a long dry spell. From Wednesday afternoon all the way through to Monday, September 14th, the wind is mostly onshore, fresh, or cross, and the swell is either too small or too messy. There’s a bit of a tease on the 14th with a 6 ft SSE swell and 10-second period, but the cross wind ruins it.

The real wildcard comes on Tuesday, September 15th. The morning shows a thumping 8 ft SSE swell with a very long 15-second period, and the combined energy is a massive 2667. The wind is light and cross-shore. But here’s the thing – for a break like Jacaraipe, a 8 ft groundswell with that kind of period is going to be way too big and powerful for the sandbar, especially for beginners. It’s really only for experts. The wave will be dumping and the long period will make it tricky. The afternoon is similar, with onshore wind. So while it’s technically the biggest swell of the window, it’s not a good recommendation for this spot.

Wednesday morning, September 16th, is cleaner with a 7 ft SE swell, 14-second period, and a light offshore wind. Same issue though – it’s still a big, powerful swell for the sandbar, and the combined energy is 1734. Experts only, and even then, it’s a gamble.

After that, from Thursday the 17th through to Sunday the 20th, the swell drops off and the wind picks up again. The 19th has a 5 ft SE swell but the wind is a fresh 19 mph cross-on, so it’s a mess.

Best bet: Get out early on Saturday, September 5th, or go for the glassy sessions on Tuesday, September 8th and Wednesday morning, September 9th. The big stuff on the 15th and 16th is too much for this break.

Rusty.

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