Jacaraipe Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let's talk about what's on the menu for Jacaraipe over the next couple of weeks.

First up, the water's sitting at 71°, which is a bit colder than we’d normally expect for this time of year—about 2° cooler. Not a deal breaker, just grab a slightly thicker suit if you're sensitive.

Right now, the outlook starts on Thursday, August 27th, and honestly, it’s not pretty. We’ve got a 5ft SSE swell, but it’s coming with a stiff cross-shore breeze and that “marginal” feel. The combined energy is still high at 1168, so there’s plenty of water moving, but it’s messy. Not the day to clear the schedule.

We then hit a long dry spell. From Friday the 28th right through to the morning of Wednesday, September 9th, the conditions are consistently poor. The winds are either too strong or blowing the wrong way, and the swell quality drops off a cliff. You’ll see a few promising-looking swells in the 4ft to 7ft range, but the wind just ruins it. There's a stretch where the period drops to 6 or 7 seconds, making for weak, lumpy waves. Even the mornings that look clean-ish are let down by the short-period windswell. This is a tough run.

Now, there is a glimmer of light. Thursday morning, September 10th, shows some promise. We get a 3ft swell from the ESE with a very long period of 15 seconds—that’s proper groundswell energy. The combined energy is a solid 504. The wind is offshore from the N, which will make Jacaraipe’s sandbar set-ups clean. The *only* catch is the size is small, 3ft, so it’ll be fun for a log or a fish, but nothing to write home about. The score suggests it’s marginal, but that offshore wind on a long-period groundswell is the best combo we’ve seen in weeks.

Then Friday morning, September 11th, we see a bit more size, with 6ft from the SE, combined energy of 585, and light offshore winds again. Period drops to 8 seconds, so it’s more of a windswell, but it’s clean. If you’re an expert and can handle a bit of a lumpy afternoon, it might be worth a look.

The standout, if I had to pick one? It’s that Thursday morning, September 10th. It’s the only time we get that sweet long-period groundswell with clean, offshore wind. The size is small, but the quality should be there for the more refined equipment.

There’s nothing in this window that’s going to blow your mind for a big, powerful session. The crowds here can be "sometimes" an issue at Jacaraipe, but given the poor run, I reckon you’ll have it mostly to yourself.

Rusty.

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