Jacaraipe Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, surfers, Rusty here with a look at what’s coming up for Jacaraipe (sandbar). Now, I gotta be straight with you – this 16-day window starts off a bit of a struggle, but there are a couple of windows where it could get real interesting if you pick your moment.

Alright, for the first week, it’s mostly a write-off. From Thursday the 10th right through until Sunday the 13th, we’ve got poor conditions with lumpy chop and messy winds. Swell’s between 3 ft and 5 ft, but the wind just won’t play ball – NE, NNE, E, all cross or cross-on, and up to 19 mph. The wave energy sits around 162 to 458 (moderate), so there’s some push, but it’s not one for a paddle. You’d be better off on a kite board in that setup.

Now, Monday the 14th morning – this is where it gets interesting. We’ve got glassy conditions with light ENE breeze, only 3 mph, and a 5 ft swell from the ESE at 7 seconds. Wave energy is moderate at 260. This is a proper morning session if you’re keen on clean lines at Jacaraipe. The swell direction (ESE) matches the optimum (E) pretty closely, so it’s worth a look. Water temp is about 73°, which is normal for this time of year.

Tuesday the 15th morning is another chance. Clean with a light N cross-off breeze at 3 mph, swell dropping to 3 ft from the ESE at 8 seconds, and wave energy at 223 (moderate). It’s smaller but clean, and could be fun on a longboard.

Then we hit a dry spell again. From Tuesday afternoon through to Saturday the 19th, it’s back to poor surf with lumpy cross-shore chop and very onshore winds. Swell bounces between 2 ft and 5 ft, but the wind (NE, SSE, S, ESE) keeps it messy. Wave energy stays moderate, from 217 to 410.

Sunday the 20th morning – another standout. Clean with a N cross-off breeze at 16 mph, 5 ft swell from the E at 7 seconds, and strong wave energy at 558 (moderate-to-strong). Swell direction is right on the money for the optimum. It’ll be a bit windy, but the cross-off keeps it lined up.

Monday the 21st morning is glassy again – light S breeze at 3 mph, 5 ft from the ENE at 7 seconds, wave energy at 289 (moderate). A real gem for a clean morning session. The swell is just above 5 ft, so it’s a touch bigger but still fine for most, just maybe a bit much for total beginners.

Tuesday the 22nd morning is another clean option. N cross-off at 12 mph, 5 ft from the NE at 8 seconds, with strong wave energy at 501. Good push and clean, but crowds are possible at this spot sometimes.

After that, from Tuesday afternoon through to Wednesday the 23rd, the wind picks up again (NE 19 mph, SSW 19 mph) and we’re back to lumpy cross-chop. Wave energy drops to 120–278 (weak to moderate). Not worth the drive.

Now, looking further ahead, Thursday the 24th and Friday the 25th bring something interesting. The swell period jumps to 13–16 seconds – that’s proper groundswell. Swell from the S and SSE at 2 ft to 4 ft, with wave energy shooting up to 417 to 863 (moderate to strong). But here’s the catch: it’s mostly light onshore or cross-on winds, and with that long period, a beach-and-sandbar setup like Jacaraipe might see the waves breaking a bit too straight. It’s a promising, but less certain, last few days. Might be worth a look if the wind shifts.

Overall, the best on offer is Monday the 14th morning and Monday the 21st morning – glassy, clean, decent swell, and the wind is right. Tuesday the 15th morning and Sunday the 20th morning are also solid clean sessions. The rest of the window is mostly a washout, so pick your mornings and don’t waste your petrol.

Rusty.

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