Jacaraipe Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here again.

Look, I’m going to be straight with you. For the next sixteen days, we’re looking at a pretty drawn-out, flat-to-mediocre stretch here at Jacaraipe. There’s no proper swell train lined up, and the wind is constantly messing with the quality. It’s one of those periods where you have to pick your windows very carefully, and even then, it’s not going to be firing.

The first real chance to even wet a line comes on Monday the 28th. Tuesday morning the 28th is the first real standout. The water is sitting at 74°, which is dead average for this time of year, so no surprises there. We’ve got a tiny 1ft SSE swell, but it’s got a 10-second period, which gives it a bit more shape than the junk around it. The wind is light and cross-offshore from the North at 9 mph, keeping the surface clean. It’s very small, but it’s surfable. The combined energy is weak, only 73. You’ll probably be fighting for scraps, but it’s the cleanest option in the first week.

Then we hit a big gap. From Tuesday afternoon through the end of July, the wind either goes onshore, or the swell is too weak and short-period to do anything with. The morning of July 31st has a similar setup to the 28th – clean, cross-off wind, 1ft SSE swell at 10 seconds – but it’s still just ordinary. The combined energy is only 61.

The next glimmer of hope is on Saturday morning, August 1st. The wind goes glassy. That’s a major positive. It’s dead calm, a slight air from the NNE at just 3 mph. The swell is still tiny, 2ft from the SSE, period 9 seconds, and the combined energy is 81. It’s glassy, but it’s small. It’s a good morning for a longboard, but you won’t be getting any barrels.

Now, if you’re an expert and you’re willing to deal with rough conditions, there’s a couple of standout afternoons in the second week for size. On the 4th of August, the afternoon sees a 3ft ENE swell with a combined energy of 203, but the wind is a cross-onshore 16 mph from the ENE, making it choppy. It’s not clean surf. The afternoon of the 7th of August has a 5ft ENE swell, combined energy of 340, but again, it’s ruined by a 16 mph cross-shore wind. That’s windswell territory, and it’s going to be a messy, lumpy mess. The 8th of August afternoon is similar, 5ft, 327 energy, but with a 19 mph cross-shore. This setup is more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing, honestly.

The best of the bigger stuff comes on the morning of the 10th of August. The wind is light and cross-offshore from the SW at 6 mph, keeping the surface clean. The swell is 4ft from the ENE, with a period of 7 seconds, and a combined energy of 185. It’s clean, but it’s a short-period windswell, so it won’t have the power or the long lines of a proper groundswell. It’s a big improvement over the afternoons, but still just a "surfable" day.

The morning of the 11th of August is the last clean call, with a 4ft ENE swell, light cross-off wind, and 178 energy. Another small, clean morning.

Overall, the best on offer is that tiny, glassy Saturday morning the 1st of August for the cleanest ride, and the morning of the 10th of August for the best combination of clean conditions and a bit more size. But don’t expect much. It’s a waiting game.

Rusty.

Read more