Jacaraipe Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here, and I’ve been staring at the charts for our patch. Let’s be honest, the next couple of weeks are looking pretty grim for Jacaraipe. We’ve got a lot of days where the wind and swell just aren't playing nice together, so we’re going to be picking our moments carefully.

The water is sitting at 73°, right where it should be for this time of year, so no surprises there.

Wednesday, July 29th – We kick things off with a small NNE swell pushing in at 3 ft. The wind is a cross-off from the north at 12 mph, which keeps things looking clean, but the swell period is a short 5 seconds. The combined energy is weak (90), so it’s not really going to have any push. Don't get your hopes up.

Thursday, July 30th morning is a bit of a tease. The swell is 3 ft from the NE, still a short 6 second period, but the wind goes light and glassy from the NNW at just 3 mph. The wave comment says "surfable waves but very ordinary conditions", and honestly, that’s about the best we’re going to get for a while. It’s clean, but weak.

After that, we hit a serious dry spell. From Thursday afternoon right through to the morning of Monday, August 4th, the surf is small, messy, and crossed-up. The wind is mostly onshore or cross-shore, and the wave energy is too low to do anything with. It's a real bummer.

Monday, August 4th morning is the first real flicker of hope. We’ve got a 3 ft E swell (7 seconds) with a nice cross-off wind from the north at 9 mph. The wave comment says "expect good surf conditions" and the energy is moderate (220). It’ll be clean, but the short period means it won't be a world-beater. Still, it’s the pick of the first week.

We then have another rough patch of poor surf and choppy afternoons, but Friday, August 7th morning looks promising again. The swell is 4 ft from the east (8 seconds), the wind is light from the north at 6 mph, and it’s cross-off. The wave comment is again "expect good surf conditions". This is a solid morning session with clean, waist-high waves.

Saturday, August 8th morning – This one is a bit of a head-scratcher. The swell is 5 ft from the ENE (8 seconds), wind is a cross-off 16 mph from the north, and the energy is strong (486). It’s clean, but the comment says "marginal surf forecast or questionable tide conditions". It’s a lumpy, powerful 5 ft, so maybe one for the experienced guys, but the tide could mess it up.

The best window of the whole forecast looks like Wednesday, August 12th morning. The swell is 4 ft from the east, wind is a gentle 9 mph cross-off from the north, and the wave comment says "expect good surf conditions". The period is a nice 9 seconds, and the energy is strong (413). This is the one to circle on the calendar. It’s going to be clean, fun, and have a bit of power.

Thursday, August 13th morning – The swell jumps to 5 ft from the SSE with a 7-second period. The energy is very strong (766), but the wind is a tricky cross-shore from the NNE. The comment says "marginal surf forecast or questionable tide conditions". It’s a big, messy lump of water. For paddle surfing, it’s going to be a battle. Honestly, with that wind and bumpy cross-chop, this setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing.

So, to wrap it up: don't bother this week. The standout mornings are Monday, August 4th, Friday, August 7th, and the clear winner is Wednesday, August 12th. That last one is 13 days away, so keep an eye on the charts, but it’s the one with the most promise.

Rusty.

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