Jacaraipe Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s cooking for the next couple of weeks at Jacaraipe. Gotta be straight with you – this is a tough stretch. There’s a big, dry gap at the start. Nothing really worth paddling out for until Monday the 10th, so that’s nearly a full week of flat or junk conditions to get through.

The first real glimmer of hope comes on Monday morning, the 10th of August. It’s not big, with a clean 2ft swell rolling in from the SSE, and the period is a very long 15 seconds. That long period groundswell will have plenty of push for the size, but at a sandbar, it can sometimes race through a bit too straight. The magic here is the wind – dead calm, glassy. That’s a major positive for clean surfaces. The combined wave energy is moderate at 280. It’s a small, glassy morning session for the patient ones.

Then we hit another rough patch with strong onshore and cross winds and poor surf quality right through until Thursday the 13th.

Thursday morning, the 13th of August, things get interesting again. Another glassy morning with zero wind, and a slightly better 4ft swell from the SSE. The period is a solid 12 seconds, and the energy is moderate at 433. It’s that glassy window that makes this the standout morning of the week. For a sandbar, those calm conditions will make all the difference.

The middle of August has some larger swells building, but the wind is mostly messy. Saturday the 15th has a big jump in energy – 744 in the morning with a 3ft SSE swell, but it’s cross-shore. By the afternoon, the swell jumps to 6ft at 15 seconds from the S, and the energy rockets up to a strong 1730, but it’s cross-onshore and choppy. Not the cleanest.

Now, the one to keep an eye on – and it’s a promise, not a sure thing this far out – is Sunday morning, the 16th of August. We’re looking at a solid 8ft swell from the SSE with a long 14-second period. That’s a lot of water moving. The combined energy is a whopping 2318, which is strong. The wind is light and cross-onshore from the E, which is okay. However, at 8ft, this is expert-only territory at Jacaraipe. For the average surfer, this will be too big and powerful, especially at a sandbar. The forecast suggests the conditions might be favorable, but size is the big caveat here.

Water temp is sitting at a normal 73° for this time of year, so no surprises there.

Overall, the best windows are the two glassy mornings: Monday the 10th for small, clean waves, and Thursday the 13th for a slightly better size with that same perfect glass. Anything beyond that is big, windy, or a gamble.

Stay patient, and keep an eye on that Sunday the 16th if you’re an experienced charger.

Rusty.

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