Jacaraipe Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here, let’s have a look at what’s shaping up for Jacaraipe over the next couple of weeks.

The water temp is sitting around 74° – about bang on average for this time of year, no surprises there. The problem is, for the first week and a half, there’s almost nothing worth paddling out for. The weekend kicks off with tiny, messy junky stuff – a bit of 1ft to 3ft from the SSE on Friday with a cross-offshore kick, but it’s straight-up poor. Saturday’s a little bigger at 4ft but it’s onshore and choppy, and Sunday hangs in there at 5ft from the ESE early but the wind’s crossed and it’s only rated marginal. It’s a real grind with no clean, rideable surf until we get into the following week.

The first real flicker of hope comes Tuesday morning, the 4th of August. Conditions turn clean with a light cross-offshore breeze from the north swinging in, and we’ve got 4ft of east swell at 8 seconds. The combined energy sits at 222 (moderate), and the report says “expect good surf conditions.” It’s only a morning window, the afternoon gets blown out by a cross-on NE breeze, but it’s the first decent look.

Then we get a couple of fun, glassy mornings. Thursday the 6th has glassy conditions with a light NNW breeze and 3ft from the ENE – not a lot of push, but it’ll be clean. The real standout, though, is Friday morning the 7th of August. Glassy, perfect, with a light westerly off the land, 4ft of NE swell and a combined energy of 203 (moderate). This is the best session on offer. For a sandbar like Jacaraipe, that long period isn’t there, but the conditions are as good as they get. The swell is small enough for beginners, and the glassy morning will have it looking like a lake. Crowds are sometimes an issue here, so getting there early is key.

The second week is a mixed bag. Sunday the 9th has a clean-ish morning with 2ft of SE swell and a cross-offshore N wind, but the energy is weak. Monday the 10th has 3ft from the ENE with a clean cross-offshore again, but the wind bumps up to 15 mph in the afternoon, turning it lumpy. The end of the window sees a pulse of bigger swell – 6ft to 7ft from the NE on the 14th and 15th – but the wind is cross to cross-on and the energy is strong (963 on the 14th afternoon). That’s expert territory with the size, and the wind is messy, so it’s more of a watch-and-see spot.

Overall, the best call is Friday morning, the 7th of August, for a glassy, clean, small-wave session. Tuesday morning the 4th is a decent backup. The rest of the window is mostly poor or marginal, so don’t hold your breath for the long-range stuff.

Rusty.

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