Jacaraipe Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. We’ve got a 16-day outlook for Jacaraipe, and to be honest, it’s a bit of a slow burn. The first week is pretty grim, with a long stretch of poor conditions, but there’s a couple of decent windows to look forward to, especially for those who can wait.

The first bit of surf worth paddling out for won’t be until Monday morning, 31st August. We’ve got a 5ft northeast swell, pushing from the NE, but the wind is a cross-offshore breeze from the north at 12 mph, which is keeping the surface clean. The combined wave energy is moderate (507). It’s a beginner-friendly sandbar, so it’s not going to be a world-class wall, but it’s clean and rideable.

Then the tap gets turned off. From Monday afternoon right through to Wednesday, 9th September, we are looking at a real dry spell. The wind swings onshore or cross-shore, the swell drops, and the quality is just not there. It’s a long stretch of days where you’d be better off doing something else.

Now, things start to get interesting as we move into the second week. Thursday morning, 10th September, is a real standout. We’re looking at a 6ft E swell with a period of 7 seconds, and the wind is light and cross-offshore from the north at 6 mph. The surface will be clean. The combined energy is moderate (524). This is the best morning of the whole outlook for a proper surf.

But the real big-ticket item is Friday morning, 11th September. The models are calling for an 8ft ENE swell, with a period of 8 seconds, and a gentle cross-offshore breeze from the north at 9 mph. The combined energy is a very strong 1476. This is a big, powerful swell, and it’s predicted to be too big for the setup at Jacaraipe. It’s in the expert-only zone. The wind is favorable, but the sheer size will make it a heavy, challenging session. It’s a promising but less certain call this far out, so keep an eye on it.

After that, the weekend of the 12th and 13th September offers a bit more consistency with chest-high, clean waves on the Saturday morning (6ft E swell, light wind), but Sunday gets messy with strong winds.

The crowd factor at Jacaraipe can be an issue, as it’s known to get busy sometimes. The water temp is about average for the time of year, so no need for a thick wetsuit.

If you’re a beginner, stick to the Monday morning on the 31st or the Thursday morning on the 10th. If you’re an expert, keep your eyes on that Friday morning, 11th September. The rest of the window is a write-off.

Rusty.

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